I would just like to thank you for several things:
i) Your spot on analysis of your team throughout this thread;
ii) Your well thought out, detailed descriptions and write-ups;
iii) And for sharing all of your work with us.
Win or lose, you efforts are very much appreciated.
To me, bets like these hurt the most. If I was way off on my analysis and I made a wrong bet, I wouldnt be as mad. But I feel like I had a great spot on analysis and just made the wrong picks off that analysis. I went back to reread my post and notes. I emphasized in my notes and my post that defense was going to be huge for both teams. They both are very familiar with each other, know what works and doesnt. Kerrs statements of Defense. So I bet the under but I made that my average bet and went 2 units on Klay. Man his game was off. Thought he would have the motivation to perform big with his fam there, but it looked like he didnt get seperation from Barnes. I couldnt tell if Barnes defense stepped up or Klay looked lethargic. He took 18 shots, so we definatly had a good chance but his shots just klanked.
Ironically, the other prop bet I UNDERthought. I was going back and forth with which prop on Deandre I wanted to do. Whether it was points over or rebounds/blocks over. Right when Deandre made that first dunk, I then just remembered something one of my coworkers said last Monday. We were talking about how without Bogut, these big guys were going to power the boards. Warriors played Demarcus Cousins and the box score showed him with ONLY 8 boards. Its because Warriors are drawing out the big guy out of the middle. Had I remembered that, I think that would have persuaded me to go with the points Denadre rather than the rebounds. I also shoudl have went bigger on clips. Oh well, its all in hindsite. Ill be working the next game on Saturday at the Studio so I should have a good read on the Warriors by then. Lee looked signifiantly better. Bench players have played lots of good minutes in both LA games so they should provide some great depth. Curry has me scared. The past 5-6 games his 3 point shots are not there. Hes doing MVP type work with the midrange, lay ups, assists, and great D, but suprisingly his 3 is not there. (Im jumping around here with my thoughts, but another thing that pissed me off about Klay today was that he did not change his game. His outside shots were not there yet he kept trying to do the spot up jump shots. The best players in the league will always get themselves to the foul line, somehow, someway, when their shots are not there. Klay did not try to get to the line with his shot being off.
Ironically, the other prop bet I UNDERthought. I was going back and forth with which prop on Deandre I wanted to do. Whether it was points over or rebounds/blocks over. Right when Deandre made that first dunk, I then just remembered something one of my coworkers said last Monday. We were talking about how without Bogut, these big guys were going to power the boards. Warriors played Demarcus Cousins and the box score showed him with ONLY 8 boards. Its because Warriors are drawing out the big guy out of the middle. Had I remembered that, I think that would have persuaded me to go with the points Denadre rather than the rebounds. I also shoudl have went bigger on clips. Oh well, its all in hindsite. Ill be working the next game on Saturday at the Studio so I should have a good read on the Warriors by then. Lee looked signifiantly better. Bench players have played lots of good minutes in both LA games so they should provide some great depth. Curry has me scared. The past 5-6 games his 3 point shots are not there. Hes doing MVP type work with the midrange, lay ups, assists, and great D, but suprisingly his 3 is not there. (Im jumping around here with my thoughts, but another thing that pissed me off about Klay today was that he did not change his game. His outside shots were not there yet he kept trying to do the spot up jump shots. The best players in the league will always get themselves to the foul line, somehow, someway, when their shots are not there. Klay did not try to get to the line with his shot being off.
Ha, yeah these defensive games are never fun to watch.
Thanks. Yeah, as long as I can help others, Im all for it. My pleasure.
Man, we definatly had our chance. He was getting his attempts, just looked flat. Im still upset he didnt try to get himself to the line. Kobe is one of those guys that will still get atleast 8 fts a game even if his game is off. Klay needs to get to the line consistantly.
Thanks Stacks.
I was playing a poker game during the 4th quarter, but from what I saw he was still in there. He had 11 rebounds since the start of the 4th quarter. Only got 1 more throughout that Quarter. Pissed me off. He played a majority of the 4th only came out when there was 3 minutes left. I saw some missed warrior shots go hard off basket so wasnt in his vicinity but he looked like he wasnt trying to get in the mix either.
Thanks. I thought I checked ESPN gamecenter when he sat with 5 fouls with around 5 min left. Thought he only has 11 boards still. Maybe they updated late, who knows
Id like to add the only reason I was gonna take this prop was because you said he was gonna have a large game
Still can't believe the Clipps ended up running away with this game after that atrocious first half. Nasty winner for me
Id like to add the only reason I was gonna take this prop was because you said he was gonna have a large game
Still can't believe the Clipps ended up running away with this game after that atrocious first half. Nasty winner for me
The Warriors benefited from THE easiest schedule in the NBA so far. Being 4 games up, your probably not going to get much or any value from a gambling perspective. But if your just wondering in general, I think the Warriors will win Pacific. In fact, I think they will be the top 2 in the West. Warriors front office around our studio a lot and they stated that they are committed to win the it all this year. Right now, the season really rests on Boguts knee. I think regardless of his status Warriors front office will trade for a big man. They need one to have this chance to win it all. I can also tell you, Right when the season started Kerr told our media that 55 was his goal. They believe if they get to 55 wins they should be in good position to get homecourt against their tough opponents for playoffs.
12/27
Im going to put my notes on for the game early because Ill be working the game and in studio so may not be able to post later. I can already tell you, Im not going to play a side. I told myself that if it Warriors were favored by 12 or less Id play them. They opened at 17. A spread that large, how can you even cap that? Too much variable can swing either team to cover that number. So no side. I couldnt even give you a lean. Warriors WILL bounce back and I cant see any chance of them losing, by not even worth leaving an open parlay at -5000. Once my props are out, Ill look to see if there is anything that catchs my eye. I can tell you, every Warrior is well rested. Starters and bench. Im personally curious how Curry and Klay respond. Curry is being touted out here as NBA MVP. To showcase that (granted its early in the season) you have to turn this teams 2 game losing streak around against a bad Timberwolve team.
A couple props Im going to key on are David Lee and Curry. I like the way Lee played against the Clip offensvily and Defensivly. He HAS to build off that and continue to get better to get himself back to his old self. I thought I overheard on the radio that Boguts knee isnt getting better and its going to delay him further than origanlly thought. Ill ask around when I get to work. Obviously Warriors care about his knee for the playoff push and feel they have enough talent to win regular season. This is why Lee has to get himself going. Ill be back in an hour or so when props are out.
Im going to put my notes on for the game early because Ill be working the game and in studio so may not be able to post later. I can already tell you, Im not going to play a side. I told myself that if it Warriors were favored by 12 or less Id play them. They opened at 17. A spread that large, how can you even cap that? Too much variable can swing either team to cover that number. So no side. I couldnt even give you a lean. Warriors WILL bounce back and I cant see any chance of them losing, by not even worth leaving an open parlay at -5000. Once my props are out, Ill look to see if there is anything that catchs my eye. I can tell you, every Warrior is well rested. Starters and bench. Im personally curious how Curry and Klay respond. Curry is being touted out here as NBA MVP. To showcase that (granted its early in the season) you have to turn this teams 2 game losing streak around against a bad Timberwolve team.
A couple props Im going to key on are David Lee and Curry. I like the way Lee played against the Clip offensvily and Defensivly. He HAS to build off that and continue to get better to get himself back to his old self. I thought I overheard on the radio that Boguts knee isnt getting better and its going to delay him further than origanlly thought. Ill ask around when I get to work. Obviously Warriors care about his knee for the playoff push and feel they have enough talent to win regular season. This is why Lee has to get himself going. Ill be back in an hour or so when props are out.
Didnt see any David Lee props. Saw Draymond Green was thinking taking his rebounds under but Im going to pass. Playing Curry over 3.5 3point field goals made. This is a ballsy pick because he has only made this prop 1 time in the past 8 games or so. But I like it. He likes to throw those 3s up at home and this is his chance to showcase his MVP campaign by shooting lights out against a bad team.
12/27
Curry over 3.5 3pointers made 1.0 units to win 1.05units
*My 1 unit is my average bet. A goy type would be 3 units. I play $100 a unit.*
12/27
Curry over 3.5 3pointers made 1.0 units to win 1.05units
*My 1 unit is my average bet. A goy type would be 3 units. I play $100 a unit.*
