I think Splash Brothers and company start launching threes. Curry has been off his 3 game for a while. Its going to lead to more possesions for the Lakers. It maybe a suprise Lakers have scored this much, but if youve been watching, they missed tons of easy baskets near the hoop. Missed layups. They should be making these 2nd half.
4-0 night, 5-0 since posting this season. Seems like its good luck for me to be posting. Funny thing, I actually got sent home early from the game, early in the 4th quarter because it was looking like a blow out. I wish I sprinkled a bit more on that Laker Moneyline. Dammit
I'm seeing a lot of players on GSW as a small dog. Warriors on fire lately (even though they were looking-ahead vs the Lakers the other night), previously beat the Clippers at Oracle, and you mentioned that they circled this game in advance for a Christmas Day showdown. However, I think you could even put the Warriors as favorites and bettors would still freely drop money on them. Do you think that the line is accurate for the game or is this a trap that the books are laying for a X-mas cashout to wrap up the night?
12/25
Hi All, hope everyones having a great christmas. Tonights game is a very exciting matchup. Like I mentioned couple days ago, I can tell you first hand all the Warrior players are focused on this game. ALL. Both Warriors and Clips are ready for this game. You are going to see two teams that are VERY hungry to win this. One of my coworkers, who works closely with the Warriors tv/radio host G*eg P**p@ told him before the trip to LA that he doesnt think Warriors can win this game. I personally think this game is a crapshoot. Here are some key factors: Warriors are going to be playing at a disadvantage tonite. Dispite them winning without Bogut, he is an extremly important part of this Warrior team. More than you would think. Its obvious he protects the basket. With him in the middle, he stops tons of drives and layups around the basket. The thing you dont know about Bogut (if your not familiar with this team) is he runs the offense. Similar to what the Old School Bulls did with Toni Kuckoc, Bogut will handle the ball to the top of the key. There the offense begins. They surround their offense around him at the top. Bogut is an above average passer and alot of their schemes involve him touching the ball first. There, they do the pick and roll or Curry will jump off a screen for his open threes. So you have to throw the first game they played this out. The Warriors offense is at a disadvanage. Secondly, Lee still looks really off.
Some other key stats: Clippers are number 3 in offense efficiency, Warriors are number 1 in deffensive efficiency.
These two teams know each other really well. Curry and Paul, probablly the only two players that are friends with each other, workout with each other in the offseason. They know eachothers game best. This is the first time in Currys career ( I believe, maybe rookie year was also) that he is guarding the other teams PG full time. Previous years they would sometimes have Curry guard the off guard and have Iggy or Klay guard the PG. So in tonites matchup, look for curry and paul to matchup the whole time. Another key matchup is Draymond Green and Blake. These two hate each other. Hate big time. After the playoff game last year, I dont think it made the press, but they got in a fight with each other in the hallway lockerroom following the game. Draymonds offense has stepped up big and he tends to do well guarding Blake. I dont see any answer for Deandre. Clippers do not like giving him the ball too much, but Warriors really dont have an option for him. Itll likely be Speights on Deandre and dispite Speights being a nice suprise this year, his D is below average. Deandre can easily muscle him. Ezeli is hurt and is gametime decision for tonite.
Sorry if this seems like im rambling as im typing. On to the gambling side of this.
The side in my opinion is a crap shoot. Id lean to Clippers winning this game and MAY make a play on them, if so it will be half a unit. Not locking it in though because Im going to see one of my coworkers in a couple hours and Id like to hear his thoughts too. But really, it would be an action play. I want to emphasize, if your a strict gambler, id hold off on a side.
The better bet would be the Under. Both teams no each other very well. Kerr is emphasizing Defense without Bogut, and Ezelli (game time decision). I believe the only chance Warriors have is if they play solid D and if Klay and Curry have their shots going.
Which lead me to my prop bets. Unfortunatly my book does not have any props up yet. Ill post my prop plays based on bovadas, but not sure what lines im going to get on my book. Im going to mention my plays now incase I cant post later. But I believe Klay goes off tonite. Klays shot has been on last couple games. Ive seen him make awesome shots without even setting up. His shot is on. Clippers dont have any above average defender that play SG or SF. Also, Klays family lives in LA and hes supposidly having tons of family and friends at his parents house in LA. I can see Klay putting on a performance tonite infront of his family who will be at the game. His dad mentioned he taught Klay a new elemant in his game this offseason. He said Klay cant finish strong around the basket and called his post game "Klay ups." So clippers have not seen his inside game that he has developed.
Deandre Jordan over in rebounds if avaiable. For reasons I stated previously, Warriors wont have an answer for him. I think his points and rebounds over will be a good look.
Lastly, Im taking the 1st Q under. This is more of a hunch but 2 days off for a jump shooting team. Kerr gonna focus on Defense. I think they pace this one slow in the begining. After first Q, the pace will speed up but Defense will still be key.
12/25
Warriors/Clippers Under 218 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit
Klay Thompson Over 22 pts 2.2 Units to win 2 Units
Deandre over 15.5 rebounds and blocks 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit
Warriors/Clippers 1st Q Under 55.5 1.1Units to win 1 Unit
*My 1 unit is my average bet. A goy type would be 3 units. I play $100 a unit.*
Hi All, hope everyones having a great christmas. Tonights game is a very exciting matchup. Like I mentioned couple days ago, I can tell you first hand all the Warrior players are focused on this game. ALL. Both Warriors and Clips are ready for this game. You are going to see two teams that are VERY hungry to win this. One of my coworkers, who works closely with the Warriors tv/radio host G*eg P**p@ told him before the trip to LA that he doesnt think Warriors can win this game. I personally think this game is a crapshoot. Here are some key factors: Warriors are going to be playing at a disadvantage tonite. Dispite them winning without Bogut, he is an extremly important part of this Warrior team. More than you would think. Its obvious he protects the basket. With him in the middle, he stops tons of drives and layups around the basket. The thing you dont know about Bogut (if your not familiar with this team) is he runs the offense. Similar to what the Old School Bulls did with Toni Kuckoc, Bogut will handle the ball to the top of the key. There the offense begins. They surround their offense around him at the top. Bogut is an above average passer and alot of their schemes involve him touching the ball first. There, they do the pick and roll or Curry will jump off a screen for his open threes. So you have to throw the first game they played this out. The Warriors offense is at a disadvanage. Secondly, Lee still looks really off.
Some other key stats: Clippers are number 3 in offense efficiency, Warriors are number 1 in deffensive efficiency.
These two teams know each other really well. Curry and Paul, probablly the only two players that are friends with each other, workout with each other in the offseason. They know eachothers game best. This is the first time in Currys career ( I believe, maybe rookie year was also) that he is guarding the other teams PG full time. Previous years they would sometimes have Curry guard the off guard and have Iggy or Klay guard the PG. So in tonites matchup, look for curry and paul to matchup the whole time. Another key matchup is Draymond Green and Blake. These two hate each other. Hate big time. After the playoff game last year, I dont think it made the press, but they got in a fight with each other in the hallway lockerroom following the game. Draymonds offense has stepped up big and he tends to do well guarding Blake. I dont see any answer for Deandre. Clippers do not like giving him the ball too much, but Warriors really dont have an option for him. Itll likely be Speights on Deandre and dispite Speights being a nice suprise this year, his D is below average. Deandre can easily muscle him. Ezeli is hurt and is gametime decision for tonite.
Sorry if this seems like im rambling as im typing. On to the gambling side of this.
The side in my opinion is a crap shoot. Id lean to Clippers winning this game and MAY make a play on them, if so it will be half a unit. Not locking it in though because Im going to see one of my coworkers in a couple hours and Id like to hear his thoughts too. But really, it would be an action play. I want to emphasize, if your a strict gambler, id hold off on a side.
The better bet would be the Under. Both teams no each other very well. Kerr is emphasizing Defense without Bogut, and Ezelli (game time decision). I believe the only chance Warriors have is if they play solid D and if Klay and Curry have their shots going.
Which lead me to my prop bets. Unfortunatly my book does not have any props up yet. Ill post my prop plays based on bovadas, but not sure what lines im going to get on my book. Im going to mention my plays now incase I cant post later. But I believe Klay goes off tonite. Klays shot has been on last couple games. Ive seen him make awesome shots without even setting up. His shot is on. Clippers dont have any above average defender that play SG or SF. Also, Klays family lives in LA and hes supposidly having tons of family and friends at his parents house in LA. I can see Klay putting on a performance tonite infront of his family who will be at the game. His dad mentioned he taught Klay a new elemant in his game this offseason. He said Klay cant finish strong around the basket and called his post game "Klay ups." So clippers have not seen his inside game that he has developed.
Deandre Jordan over in rebounds if avaiable. For reasons I stated previously, Warriors wont have an answer for him. I think his points and rebounds over will be a good look.
Lastly, Im taking the 1st Q under. This is more of a hunch but 2 days off for a jump shooting team. Kerr gonna focus on Defense. I think they pace this one slow in the begining. After first Q, the pace will speed up but Defense will still be key.
12/25
Warriors/Clippers Under 218 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit
Klay Thompson Over 22 pts 2.2 Units to win 2 Units
Deandre over 15.5 rebounds and blocks 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit
Warriors/Clippers 1st Q Under 55.5 1.1Units to win 1 Unit
*My 1 unit is my average bet. A goy type would be 3 units. I play $100 a unit.*
