Friday 07/03/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Yanks]

Matt Rivers

Complimentary Selection


For Friday back the A's at the Jake.


Let me first say that there are not many positive things that I can say about this Oakland team right now. The A's are really not very good at all as guys like Jason Giambi, Matt Holliday and a few others have seemingly forgotten how to hit a baseball.


Plus Trevor Cahill is coming off of that terrible home start against the Rockies where he did not even work into the fourth inning. The Oakland starter though was very good in his previous few starts and should be alright here against a Cleveland team that right now is the biggest mush in the game.


Eric Wedge is a total joke and should no longer have a job. When you have guys like Sizemore, Martinez and Hafner you can't lose the way the Indians have been over and over and over again. Cleveland is just flat out atrocious right now as we just saw yet again in the last season where Ozzie Guillen's team came to town and left with one of the easiest sweeps you will ever see. The wheels have totally fallen off.


The Tribe's bullpen is pathetic, they just traded away Mark DeRosa somewhat signaling the raising of the white flag and are a total losing culture right now.


The A's are a poor ballclub at this time but they have not totally quit like the Indians and at this price against a guy in David Huff who is not good at all I will take my chances on Cahill and the visitors for sure.

There's bad and then there's BAD. Oakland is bad but Cleveland is BAD!

1♦ A's (out of 5♦)

 

[Yanks]

Jake Timlin

Today's Complimentary Selection


Pair of red hot pitchers going tonight in Boston I look for runs to be at a premium.


For Seattle, Hernandez 8-3 with a 2.54 ERA on the year the righty has only improved as of late going 4-0 with a 0.85 ERA over his last seven starts.


Boston will counter with Wakefield who posted a 1.80 ERA in two starts last season against Seattle and now looks to win his 11th game this year.


Now mix in that the UNDER is 13-3-3 in the last 19 games played at Fenway and it’s clear the UNDER is the obvious choice.


Look low tonight as both pitchers will continue to dominate.


3♦ Boston & Seattle UNDER the posted total

(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)

 

[Yanks]

Dominic Fazzini

Today's Bonus Play


I handed you a complimentary win Thursday for the third time in four days with the Cardinals' victory over the Giants. Let's keep it rolling into the weekend!

Scott Kazmir has one start under his belt since coming off the disabled list (right quad strain), and now he’s ready to reassert himself as one of the top young left-handers in the majors.

The 25-year-old Kazmir (4-4, 7.28 ERA) allowed two runs on four hits in five innings Saturday against Florida, and struggled with his command a little bit, but he should ready to take a step forward today against the Rangers.

Kazmir has owned Texas in seven career starts, going 4-0 with a 2.09 ERA, and is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in three starts at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. And the Rangers are hitting just .253 against southpaws this season.

Right-hander Tommy Hunter (0-1, 3.86) will make his third start of the season. He did OK Friday against San Diego, allowing two runs in 6 1/3 innings, but the Rays’ offense is a lot more potent than the Padres’. And Hunter, who turns 23 today, is 0-3 with a 9.93 ERA in five major league starts over the last two seasons.

The Rays had just four hits Wednesday in a 5-0 loss at Toronto, but that came after a seven-game winning streak. I don’t see Hunter keeping their bats quiet again. Go with Tampa Bay.

(Based on a 1? to 5? scale)

3? TAMPA BAY

 

[Yanks]

Cajun Sports

Bonus Play

With the way Hiroki Kuroda has been pitching, getting Manny Ramirez back into the Dodgers lineup tonight should prove too much for the San Diego Padres at Petco Park.
The Dodgers make the trip to San Diego for a three-game weekend set against the host Padres. The Padres completed a four-game set at home on Thursday afternoon versus Houston losing the series three games to one.

In the last two games of that series they gave up seven runs in each contest and only managed to score a total of eight runs themselves during the entire series. San Diego is a miserable 5-12 their last 17 at home and 1-7 their last eight when installed as a home underdog.

The road certainly doesn’t get any easier as the Dodgers are 14-2 when facing teams with a win percentage in the range of 38 to 46 percent on the season.

The Padres are 2-8 their last 10 when facing righthanded starters and 9-25 when they face a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.15 or less on the year. LA has proven to be a tough out in division play posting a record of 44-18 versus opponents from the NL West and 50-22 as a favorite overall.

LA is also active in a MLB System that tells us to play on road favorites with a moneyline of -125 or more, averaging 0.9 homeruns or less per game on the season and coming in off a one-run win in their last game; these teams are 71-22 since the '97 season for +40.6 units of profit.

Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Dodgers win in tonight’s contest by 1.3 runs and our Math Model also favors LA by 0.95 runs over the Padres so lay the chalk with the visitor as LA grabs game one on Friday night.

Projected Finals Score: Los Angeles-4 San Diego-3

Free Pick: Dodgers -135

 

[Yanks]

We Cover Spreads

Bonus Play

Joel Pineiro should get plenty of run support from the Cardinals hitters tonight with St. Louis travels to take on Homer Bailey and the Cincinnati Reds.
Tonight Joel Pineiro and the St. Louis Cardinals face the ever improving Cincinnati Reds and Homer Bailey at the Great American Ball Park.

In two starts this season Bailey is showing major control issues with a 5/13 strikeout/walk ratio along with a high 8.68 ERA. Pitching at the Great American Ball Park hasn't been kind to Bailey who gave up six earned runs in just 4.1 innings against Cleveland in his lone home start this year, pretty much picking up from last season's struggles here in the Queen City.

In his two career starts against the Cards he has yet to make it past the fourth inning. Bailey has been annihilated by St. Louis batters allowing 12 earned runs with four strikeouts and eight walks.

Pineiro has been amazing with a 1.59 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP in his last three starts. He has been solid all year with a 3.44 ERA but has fallen victim to lack of run support which is the reason for the 6-9 record. Tonight, given the fact of the struggling opposing pitcher on the hill, we don't see that happening. Pinerio has been good giving up just 10 earned runs in four career starts in Cincy. The Reds are batting just .240 on the season vs. righthanders and we don't seem them getting much off of Pinerio tonight.

Bailey hasn't won a start at the Great American Ball Park since September 2007 and the Reds are 1-9 in his last 10 starts overall. Oddsmakers are a little generous with this "soft" moneyline and we think it should be more in the -150 to -160 range. We'll grab the value and expect the Cardinals bats to wake up tonight.

Free Pick: Cardinals -130

 

[Yanks]

Big Al McMordie

Bonus Play

One of the game's top sluggers returns to the team with the best record in the majors on Friday. Take the Dodgers on the road at the San Diego Padres tonight.
Our Friday night MLB selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the San Diego Padres at Petco Park.

Padres righthander Chad Gaudin is a bit of an enigma. He goes out and throws arguably his best start of his career in one of the toughest places to pitch in all of baseball (Arlington, Texas) last Sunday night, but only can manage a .500 record (2-2) in his home ballpark which is considered the most pitcher-friendly place to play.

Now granted, the Rangers have been in an awful power slump since losing outfielder Josh Hamilton to injury, so perhaps tonight facing their division rival and the best team in the National League it will be a much truer test for the former Oakland starter.

Other than having to face the team with the best record in the NL, Gaudin will likely have another obstacle to deal with and that is the much-anticipated return of slugger Manny Ramirez to the majors. And the offensive spark provided by Manny's return could be just the thing that hard-luck L.A. starter Hiroki Kuroda needs.

In limited action (Kuroda missed the beginning of the season due to injury), the Japanese righthander has put up some of the best numbers in the NL in every category except win percentage as, despite a 3.77 ERA and an incredible 35 Ks to just seven walks, Kuroda is only 2-4. He is working on an amazing streak of four games – 29 consecutive innings – without issuing a base on balls.

Kuroda also happens to be 3-1 in five career starts against the Padres. Take the Dodgers.

Free Pick: Dodgers -132

 

[Yanks]

Lock Of The Day

Bonus Play

Friday, July 3rd, 2009
Today's Lock: Orioles/Angels Under 10

The Orioles travel cross-country to face one of the best teams in baseball. Baltimore's batters might be a little sleepy for this contest. Two strikeout pitchers throw today. We'll take the Under.

 

[cork999]

i'll be back with timilin---------cork

 

[JDizzle311]

cannon or c jordan? ill get one or the other.

cannon: 20 dimer

c jordan: 200 R/L and 50 dog

 

[Yanks]

Wunderdog

Bonus Play

Arizona at Colorado

Pick: Colorado -130

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been futile on the road as they have a 1-5 mark in their last six road games. One of the biggest reasons is that they have scored just 16 runs, or 2.7 per game. They have already been shutout five times on the road, and have had a total of 13 games scoring two runs or less on the highway. That makes for a difficult time taking on a Rockies team that is red hot. The Rockies are scoring nearly six runs per game this season at home, and have won 10 of their last 12 here. The D-Backs are just 18-39 in their last 57 as a road dog, while the Rockies are on a 21-5 run in their last 26 games and are also 19-7 in their last 26 against a right-hand starter.

I'm going with the hot hand here and playing the Rockies.

 

[dfresh1239]

cannon or c jordan? Ill get one or the other.

Cannon: 20 dimer

c jordan: 200 r/l and 50 dog

c jordan

 

[Yanks]

The Spread

COMP.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies, 8:10PM ET

Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

Pick: Colorado


Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox, 7:10PM ET

Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Seattle
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle

Pick: Seattle


Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants, 10:15PM ET

Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

Pick: San Francisco

 

[Yanks]

Ron Raymond

Bonus Play

ANA / BAL Over 10

When Baltimore played as an Underdog - During Last 2 Years - With 1 Under or Less - Lost Last Game by 3 Runs or Less - With a SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3 Games; The OVER is 9-4-0 for the Orioles in this underdog role the L2Y.

 

[cork999]

cannon or c jordan? ill get one or the other.

cannon: 20 dimer

c jordan: 200 R/L and 50 dog

get jordan or cannon, i will get timlin

 

[JDizzle311]

cork....which one? cannon or timlin?

we know cannons is on the red or cards, but a 20 dimer release is kinda rare for him.

 

[dfresh1239]

cork....which one? cannon or timlin?

we know cannons is on the red or cards, but a 20 dimer release is kinda rare for him.

hes gotta be on cards bro.
get jordan.

 

[JDizzle311]

so do we take the marlins straight up or roll with the run line? i wud think they shud win by 1.5

 

[cork999]

so do we take the marlins straight up or roll with the run line? I wud think they shud win by 1.5

take the run line,should win big

 

[JDizzle311]

alright....sounds good!

thanks again cork....ill be away this weekend, but we'll get back to work next week...

 

[cork999]

alright....sounds good!

Thanks again cork....ill be away this weekend, but we'll get back to work next week...

welcome aboard and good luck----cork