Info Plays
Info Plays Friday, July 3rd Bonus Play:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays -135
Reasons why Tampa Bay wins:
1.) Yes, Scott Kazmir has struggled this season. But he?ll get back on track tonight when facing one of his favorite opponents. Kazmir has owned the Texas Rangers, going 4-0 with a miniscule 2.06 ERA in his career against them. The Rays are a perfect 7-0 in Kazmir?s 7 career starts against the Rangers. The Rays are a great bounce-back team, and that?s proven by the fact that Tampa Bay is 42-18 in their last 60 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their preview games. This is a big letdown spot for Texas coming off their series win against their AL West rival in the L.A. Angels.
2.) System Play. We?ll Play On - Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games, playing on Friday. This is a 63-17 ML System hitting 78.8% over the last 5 seasons. Kazmir will come in and shut the Rangers down, and the Rays? bullpen will shut the door.
Bet Tampa Bay on the road.
3* on Tampa Bay Rays -135
(Listing Kazmir and Hunter)
Info Plays Friday, July 3rd Bonus Play:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays -135
Reasons why Tampa Bay wins:
1.) Yes, Scott Kazmir has struggled this season. But he?ll get back on track tonight when facing one of his favorite opponents. Kazmir has owned the Texas Rangers, going 4-0 with a miniscule 2.06 ERA in his career against them. The Rays are a perfect 7-0 in Kazmir?s 7 career starts against the Rangers. The Rays are a great bounce-back team, and that?s proven by the fact that Tampa Bay is 42-18 in their last 60 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their preview games. This is a big letdown spot for Texas coming off their series win against their AL West rival in the L.A. Angels.
2.) System Play. We?ll Play On - Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games, playing on Friday. This is a 63-17 ML System hitting 78.8% over the last 5 seasons. Kazmir will come in and shut the Rangers down, and the Rays? bullpen will shut the door.
Bet Tampa Bay on the road.
3* on Tampa Bay Rays -135
(Listing Kazmir and Hunter)
John Martin
Martin's Friday MLB Bonus Play:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Total 10½ ov-115
Scott Kazmir has lost it this season, and Tommy Hunter is about to get lit up by this hot Rays' lineup. Kazmir is 4-4 with a 7.28 ERA in 2009, giving up 43 earned runs in 50.7 innings of work. Tommy Hunter has only made two starts for the Rangers, but he's given up 14 hits and 3 walks in just 11.7 innings. Two of those 14 hits were home runs, and he's faced two of the worst lineups in baseball in the A's and Padres. Tampa Bay has won 7 of their last 8 games and they are really starting to hit the ball, which doesn't bode well for Hunter and the Rangers. Tampa is hitting .287 with a .384 OBP in their last 7 games. The OVER is 9-1 in Kazmir's 10 starts this season. The OVER is 12-3 in Tampa Bay's last 15 games following an off day. Texas is 13-4 OVER after scoring 8 or more runs in each of their last 2 games over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 11-1 in Kazmir's last 12 starts with a Total Set of 9.0-10.5 runs. The OVER is 14-2 in Kazmir's last 16 starts as a favorite. Finally, the OVER is 4-0 in Kazmir's last 4 starts against the Rangers. Cash in with the OVER 10.5 runs.
1 Unit on Rays/Rangers O 10.5
(Listing Kazmir and Hunter)
Martin's Friday MLB Bonus Play:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Total 10½ ov-115
Scott Kazmir has lost it this season, and Tommy Hunter is about to get lit up by this hot Rays' lineup. Kazmir is 4-4 with a 7.28 ERA in 2009, giving up 43 earned runs in 50.7 innings of work. Tommy Hunter has only made two starts for the Rangers, but he's given up 14 hits and 3 walks in just 11.7 innings. Two of those 14 hits were home runs, and he's faced two of the worst lineups in baseball in the A's and Padres. Tampa Bay has won 7 of their last 8 games and they are really starting to hit the ball, which doesn't bode well for Hunter and the Rangers. Tampa is hitting .287 with a .384 OBP in their last 7 games. The OVER is 9-1 in Kazmir's 10 starts this season. The OVER is 12-3 in Tampa Bay's last 15 games following an off day. Texas is 13-4 OVER after scoring 8 or more runs in each of their last 2 games over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 11-1 in Kazmir's last 12 starts with a Total Set of 9.0-10.5 runs. The OVER is 14-2 in Kazmir's last 16 starts as a favorite. Finally, the OVER is 4-0 in Kazmir's last 4 starts against the Rangers. Cash in with the OVER 10.5 runs.
1 Unit on Rays/Rangers O 10.5
(Listing Kazmir and Hunter)
Black Widow
Widow's MLB Free Pick for Friday:
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians -115
Cleveland and Oakland have been pretty miserable this season, as both are in the cellar in the American League. Oakland owns the second-worst record at 33-44 while the Indians are in dead last at 31-49. But Cleveland finally gets an opponent they can handle at a very good price Friday. Trevor Cahill was rocked for 7 earned runs in only 3.7 innings in his last start against Colorado, so he won't come in with much confidence. Cahill gave up 4 home runs to the Rockies in that one game, alone. This series has been dominated by the Indians. Cleveland is 20-8 in their last 28 home meetings with Oakland, including 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. The A's are 26-53 in their last 79 road games, and 13-32 in their last 45 games following an off day. Take the Indians on the Money Line.
1* on Cleveland Indians -115
(List Huff and Cahill)
Widow's MLB Free Pick for Friday:
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians -115
Cleveland and Oakland have been pretty miserable this season, as both are in the cellar in the American League. Oakland owns the second-worst record at 33-44 while the Indians are in dead last at 31-49. But Cleveland finally gets an opponent they can handle at a very good price Friday. Trevor Cahill was rocked for 7 earned runs in only 3.7 innings in his last start against Colorado, so he won't come in with much confidence. Cahill gave up 4 home runs to the Rockies in that one game, alone. This series has been dominated by the Indians. Cleveland is 20-8 in their last 28 home meetings with Oakland, including 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. The A's are 26-53 in their last 79 road games, and 13-32 in their last 45 games following an off day. Take the Indians on the Money Line.
1* on Cleveland Indians -115
(List Huff and Cahill)
Craig Trapp
Now today's Bonus Play is a 4 star play for Craig that is very strong trends!
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Total 9½ ov-110
Betting Trends
-Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
-Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
-Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
-Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
Recently both of these teams have struggled at the plate, but no matter what when these two teams play runs follow. In fact so far this year when these teams play in Cincy they have averaged 12 runs per game. Homer Bailey goes for Cincy today and he has been horrible all year. He averages over a walk per inning which will really come back to haunt him today. Pinero goes for STL today and he has been pretty good as of late. Would expect him to go about 6 innings and give up three runs. Both bullpens will be called on for extensive innings and would imagine that both will give up 2 runs each. As it gets warmer in Cincy the balls fly out at breakneck speed would imagine that STL goes yard at least three times. Expect a really high score easily over 12 runs!!
SCORE STL 7 - CIN 5
Now today's Bonus Play is a 4 star play for Craig that is very strong trends!
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Total 9½ ov-110
Betting Trends
-Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
-Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
-Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
-Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
Recently both of these teams have struggled at the plate, but no matter what when these two teams play runs follow. In fact so far this year when these teams play in Cincy they have averaged 12 runs per game. Homer Bailey goes for Cincy today and he has been horrible all year. He averages over a walk per inning which will really come back to haunt him today. Pinero goes for STL today and he has been pretty good as of late. Would expect him to go about 6 innings and give up three runs. Both bullpens will be called on for extensive innings and would imagine that both will give up 2 runs each. As it gets warmer in Cincy the balls fly out at breakneck speed would imagine that STL goes yard at least three times. Expect a really high score easily over 12 runs!!
SCORE STL 7 - CIN 5
Robbie Gainous
Bonus Play
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers -140
The Dodgers make the trip to San Diego for a three-game weekend set against the host Padres. The Padres completed a four-game set at home on Thursday afternoon versus Houston losing the series 3 games to 1. In the last two games of that series they gave up seven runs in each contest and only managed to score a total of eight runs themselves during the entire series. San Diego is a miserable 5-12 W/L their last 17 at home and 1-7 W/L their last eight when installed as a home underdog. The road certainly doesn’t get any easier as the Dodgers are 14-2 W/L when facing teams with a win percentage in the range of 38 to 46 percent on the season. The Padres are 2-8 W/L their last 10 when facing right-handed starters and 9-25 W/L when they face a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.15 or less on the year. LA has proven to be a tough out in division play posting a record of 44-18 W/L versus opponents from the NL West and 50-22 W/L as a favorite overall. LA is also active in a MLB System that tells us to Play ON road favorites with a money line of -125 or more averaging 0.9 homeruns or less per game on the season coming in off a one run win in their last game, these teams are 71-22 W/L since the 97 season for +40.6 Units of profit. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Dodgers win in tonight’s contest by 1.3 runs and our Math Model also favors LA by 0.95 runs over the Padres so lay the chalk with the visitor as LA grabs game one on Friday night.
2* Los Angeles Dodgers 4 San Diego Padres 3
Bonus Play
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers -140
The Dodgers make the trip to San Diego for a three-game weekend set against the host Padres. The Padres completed a four-game set at home on Thursday afternoon versus Houston losing the series 3 games to 1. In the last two games of that series they gave up seven runs in each contest and only managed to score a total of eight runs themselves during the entire series. San Diego is a miserable 5-12 W/L their last 17 at home and 1-7 W/L their last eight when installed as a home underdog. The road certainly doesn’t get any easier as the Dodgers are 14-2 W/L when facing teams with a win percentage in the range of 38 to 46 percent on the season. The Padres are 2-8 W/L their last 10 when facing right-handed starters and 9-25 W/L when they face a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.15 or less on the year. LA has proven to be a tough out in division play posting a record of 44-18 W/L versus opponents from the NL West and 50-22 W/L as a favorite overall. LA is also active in a MLB System that tells us to Play ON road favorites with a money line of -125 or more averaging 0.9 homeruns or less per game on the season coming in off a one run win in their last game, these teams are 71-22 W/L since the 97 season for +40.6 Units of profit. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Dodgers win in tonight’s contest by 1.3 runs and our Math Model also favors LA by 0.95 runs over the Padres so lay the chalk with the visitor as LA grabs game one on Friday night.
2* Los Angeles Dodgers 4 San Diego Padres 3
Marc Lawrence
Today’s Free Pick
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Jul 3, 2009 7:10PM
PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: St. Louis w/Pineiro vs Bailey
Note: When the Cardinals meet Homer Bailey and the Reds in Cincinnati tonight they will turn the ball over to Joel Pineiro as he looks to improve on his 2.97 career ERA in his five team starts in this series. Pineiro has been super sharp of late, issuing only 5 walks against 32 strikeouts in his last ten starts. In addition, he is 6-2 in his last eight team starts in July. With Bailey in off an 'inside-out' win in his last start (5 innings pitched, 10 runners on base), look for the Reds to drop to 1-5 in their last six games on Fridays here this evening.
1-unit play on St. Louis with Pineiro versus Bailey.
Today’s Free Pick
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Jul 3, 2009 7:10PM
PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: St. Louis w/Pineiro vs Bailey
Note: When the Cardinals meet Homer Bailey and the Reds in Cincinnati tonight they will turn the ball over to Joel Pineiro as he looks to improve on his 2.97 career ERA in his five team starts in this series. Pineiro has been super sharp of late, issuing only 5 walks against 32 strikeouts in his last ten starts. In addition, he is 6-2 in his last eight team starts in July. With Bailey in off an 'inside-out' win in his last start (5 innings pitched, 10 runners on base), look for the Reds to drop to 1-5 in their last six games on Fridays here this evening.
1-unit play on St. Louis with Pineiro versus Bailey.
Lee Kostroski
Today’s Free Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies Jul 3, 2009 8:10PM
PICK: under
‘UNDER’ Arizona Diamondbacks (Scherzer) at Colorado Rockies (De La Rosa) 7:10 PM
Arizona managed just eight hits in the last two games of the Cincinnati series and the Diamondbacks are batting just .298 over the last ten games against left-handed pitchers. In 15 of the last 22 games Arizona has been held to four or fewer runs and Arizona is 8-14 against left-handed starters this season. For the season the Diamondbacks are batting just .245 overall, averaging just 4.3 runs per game. The numbers are worse on the road, batting .226 even though the Diamondbacks have won more road games than home games this season.
Jorge De La Rosa has won four of his last five starts and although he has had a few rough outings at home this season his overall results have been decent. Nine times this season De La Rosa has allowed three or fewer earned runs and he allowed just two runs over nearly seven innings against Arizona earlier this season in a 2-0 loss. Improvement in the Rockies bullpen has been a big reason for Colorado’s return to contention for the NL Wild Card. The ‘under’ is 11-4-1 in the last 16 Colorado games as Colorado pitching has been solid.
Arizona starter Max Scherzer has been very reliable as starting pitching has not been the problem for the Diamondbacks. Scherzer has allowed just seven earned runs in his last five starts. In road games this season Scherzer has an ERA of 1.80 and he pitched extremely well in his lone start against the Rockies last season. Colorado is a high scoring park but only 69 home runs have been hit at Coor’s Field. The ‘under’ is 19-13-3 in Arizona road games and both offenses have hit below .242 in the past ten games.
Today’s Free Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies Jul 3, 2009 8:10PM
PICK: under
‘UNDER’ Arizona Diamondbacks (Scherzer) at Colorado Rockies (De La Rosa) 7:10 PM
Arizona managed just eight hits in the last two games of the Cincinnati series and the Diamondbacks are batting just .298 over the last ten games against left-handed pitchers. In 15 of the last 22 games Arizona has been held to four or fewer runs and Arizona is 8-14 against left-handed starters this season. For the season the Diamondbacks are batting just .245 overall, averaging just 4.3 runs per game. The numbers are worse on the road, batting .226 even though the Diamondbacks have won more road games than home games this season.
Jorge De La Rosa has won four of his last five starts and although he has had a few rough outings at home this season his overall results have been decent. Nine times this season De La Rosa has allowed three or fewer earned runs and he allowed just two runs over nearly seven innings against Arizona earlier this season in a 2-0 loss. Improvement in the Rockies bullpen has been a big reason for Colorado’s return to contention for the NL Wild Card. The ‘under’ is 11-4-1 in the last 16 Colorado games as Colorado pitching has been solid.
Arizona starter Max Scherzer has been very reliable as starting pitching has not been the problem for the Diamondbacks. Scherzer has allowed just seven earned runs in his last five starts. In road games this season Scherzer has an ERA of 1.80 and he pitched extremely well in his lone start against the Rockies last season. Colorado is a high scoring park but only 69 home runs have been hit at Coor’s Field. The ‘under’ is 19-13-3 in Arizona road games and both offenses have hit below .242 in the past ten games.
