Friday 07/03/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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anyone have vernon croy, mike handelzak or jimmy boyd service plays. all 3 have been hot on vegas top dogs site
 

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Anyone looking to follow a capper, this guy has always been better than most. He's at pregame dot com. Ive bought him in the past and early this year, and I dont normally pay these fools. This time of year I just play against the poor teams the rest of the way.

FWIW FYI

It has been a while since I sold a package on Pregame and I thought I would throw one out there today. Best Bets are on 16-4 and 23-6 runs and all plays this week are 7-1 as well. You can view today's package below if you are so inclined, and if you do not want to, that is fine too....
GREG SHAKER'S FRIDAY BEST BET

I will have a Forum Play later today...
 

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The Sports Investing Professional

Today's Play(s) - I carefully examined every game over and over
and couldn't find a solid edge on any of the sides but I did find a total
worth an investment. We're going right back to the same series
between LA and Baltimore. Now that the Orioles have had a day
to get the lag out, these two teams should have no problems in the
scoring department. Baltimore is one of the top 3 over teams on the
road and with the form that both starters have exhibited lately we
should get an early fireworks show tonight!

MLB - Baltimore Orioles / LA Angels OVER 10 -110[LISTED]D Hernandz /E Santana - 550 / 500


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (9-2) + $3150
 

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Chris Jordan or Cannon?

How reliable is fazzini? I was thinking of buying either cannon or chris jordan when it gets released.

Anyone wanna split either?
 

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Hey yall I got vr when he post at 6pm ill post at 6:01pm he has three picks today peace!
 

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LT Profits

MLB Free Pick:

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds u9.5 (-110) Fri Jul 3 '09 7:10p

Joel Pineiro of the St. Louis Cardinals has been pitching well all season with very little to show for it, but the key to this Under could very well be Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds.

Bailey was a highly regarded prospect in the Cincinnati system, and he showed some flashes of brilliance when he was first called two years ago. However, he regressed badly last season and found himself back in the minors until finally being recalled again to take his first 2009 Major League start on May 23, when he was bombed again.

However, after a brief return to the minors, he looked decent in his second start upon his recall vs. the Cleveland Indians last week, when he got the win while allowing three runs on only three hits in five innings. Now, he has the advantage of facing a struggling St. Louis offense that is averaging just 2.30 runs per game over the last 10 games while batting a horrific .213 as a team during this time.

As for Pineiro, he is probably the most unfortunate 6-9 pitcher in baseball, given his 3.44 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. In fact, Pineiro has now allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts, and yet he has gotten so little support for the quite Cardinal bats that they are only 2-6 as a team in those games. Naturally, that has made him a great Under pitcher, as it is 10-4-1 in all of his starts this year.

Tonight could be more of the same, especially if Bailey builds on his improved start the last time out, making for yet another Under.

Cardinals, Reds Under 9.5 (-110)
 

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How reliable is fazzini? I was thinking of buying either cannon or chris jordan when it gets released.

Anyone wanna split either?

I would suggest jake timlin. hes red hot lately.
400♦ NATIONAL LEAGUE NO BRAINER
Forget Matchup, Easy Winner

9-1 w/ 400♦ Baseball Selections
 

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Rocketman Sports

Bonus Play

Florida Marlins (-150) Fri Jul 3 '09 6:10p

Pittsburgh @ Florida 6:10 PM EST

Play On: Florida (Morton/Volstad) Listed

Pittsburgh comes in with a 36-43 overall record this year while Florida is 41-39 on the season. Florida has won 3 in a row and 8 of their last 11 games overall. Pittsburgh is only 14-26 on the road this year. Charlie Morton is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 home games. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass. Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. We'll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 

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Tom Freese

Bonus Play

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Total 7½ un-131

Los Angeles starter Hiroki Kuroda has a 16-0 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Los Angeles is 7-3 UNDER after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. The Dodgers are 6-1 UNDER in the last 7 starts made by Kuroda and they are 7-3-1 UNDER on Friday. San Diego starter Chad Gaudin has a 28-5 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. San Diego is 7-1 UNDER their last 8 games vs. righty starters. The Padres are 4-0 UNDER their last 4 games as underdogs and they are 7-3 UNDER their last 10 games vs. the Dodgers.

PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Gaudin vs. Kuroda)
 

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Vernon Croy

Bonus Play

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers -136

Take the L.A. Dodgers on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Dodgers have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight with Hiroki Kuroda (2-4, 3.77). The Padres are just 1-9 in their last 10 games in game 1 of a series and they are just 4-11 in their last 15 games as an underdog. Kuroda has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 3.20 over 3 starts and Chad Gaudin (4-6, 4.97 ERA) has struggled overall this season with an ERA of 5.11 over 12 starts. Gaudin got lit up in his last outing against the Dodgers back on May.3 giving up 6 earned runs over 5.7 innings while Kuroda pitched solid in his only start against the Padres this season allowing just 4 hits and 1 earned run over 5.7 innings. The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Padres and they are 4-1 in Kuroda's last 5 starts against them.

Take the L.A. Dodgers as my Free MLB Play for Friday Night.
 

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Jimmy Boyd

Bonus Play

Arizona D-Backs vs. Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies -125

I'll back the red hot Rockies, who have won 21 of their last 26, at home against the struggling D-backs, who have dropped 7 of their last 8 tonight. De La Rosa has had his fair share of struggles on the mound this season for Colorado, but I like his chances tonight against an Arizona club averaging only 3.6 runs per game against southpaw starters. In fact, the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter and just 8-14 against lefties this season. Scherzer has pitched pretty well for Arizona, but he hasn't gotten enough run support. As a result, the Diamondbacks are juts 3-8 in his last 11 road starts.
Rockies take care of business at home tonight.

1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -125
 

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Matt Fargo

Bonus Play

Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

Seattle Mariners +110

We catch a lot of value in this game as this one is almost opposite of most games where the teams control the line and not the starters. Tim Wakefield have been unbeatable at home as hew is 6-0 with the Red Sox going 7-0 in his seven starts at Fenway. However unbeaten and dominating are two different things and Wakefield has been far from the latter. He has a 3.55 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in those seven games which is definitely good but certainly not great. Boston has averaged 8.1 rpg in his home starts so that definitely has something to do with the record. Getting eight runs tonight will definitely be a challenge against Felix Hernandez who is pitching lights out of late. He has tossed seven straight quality outings while allowing one or no runs in six of those games. His ERA over this seven-game stretch is a remarkable 0.85 and he has simply been in the zone. In his career against Boston Hernandez is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and that improves to 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts at Fenway Park which includes his one-hit shutout three years ago. Those memories will definitely help him out tonight. The Mariners are 12-4 in Hernandez?s last 16 road starts against a team with a winning record. Seattle is 9-2 in its last 11games when its opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. The Red Sox meanwhile are 1-7 in Wakefield?s last eight starts against the Mariners. Seattle also falls into a solid underdog situation. Play on underdogs that are starting a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last five starts and with a bullpen whose season ERA is 3.33 or better. This situation is 31-14 (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons.

3* Seattle Mariners
 

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JR O'Donnell

Bonus Play

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres +130

Manny, Manny , Manny, He returns and the public lines up, the line is way to cheap here in Petco, Pads Steal One Tonight, We note that H Kuroda (2-4 and a 3.87 era takes the bump, He has been awful the last 4 outings with a close to 6 era.

PUBLIC GETS SQUASHED TONIGHT
PLAY THE SHARP ACTION AND THE PADS.
 

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Stephen Nover

Today’s Free Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies Jul 3, 2009 8:10PM

PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks

REASON FOR PICK: It's worth a strong look any time you can get a superior starting pitcher at a 'dog price. That's the case here with Arizona's Max Scherzer opposing Jorge De La Rosa.

Scherzer only went 4 1/3 innings in his last start giving up eight runs in a 12-8 loss to the Angels. But only three of those runs were earned.

No that wasn't one of Scherzer's better performances. But in his four previous starts, the flame-throwing righty had a 1.46 ERA with 24 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings.

Scherzer is a tremendous young talent. He's a rising star. Arizona has won seven of his last 10 starts. De La Rosa, on the other hand, is a journeyman lucky to be on a major league roster.

To his credit, De La Rosa has been better than expected on the road. Of course the bar is set very low in his case. The lefty has struggled at Coors Field going 1-5 with a 7.97 ERA in seven home starts.

The Diamondbacks are not a good team. But their offense should pick up with the return of Chad Tracy, who was activated off the DL on Tuesday. The Diamondbacks do have the power bats to take advantage of De La Rosa.

The Diamondbacks also have a good history at Coors having defeated the Rockies seven of the last nine times in Colorado.

This is a one-unit play for me.
 

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Ben Burns

Today’s Free Pick

GAME: Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers Jul 3, 2009 8:05PM

PICK: Tampa Bay Rays

REASON FOR PICK: Scott Kazmir shows a 4-4 record and a 7.28 ERA. He's a lot better than those numbers indicate though and his first start since coming off the disabled list indicates that he's ready to "return to normal." Kazmir looked sharp in holding the Marlins to just two earned runs in his first start May 20th. Now Kazmir's second start is also drawn up well for success, as the Rays southpaw is 4-0 (team is 7-0!) with an impressive 2.09 ERA and a .201 BAA in seven career starts against the Rangers.

Also, even though he pitched while hurt earlier this season, Kazmir still has managed to go 3-1 on the road with a 4.29 ERA so far this season. On grass Kazmir is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA this season. At Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Kazmir is 2-0 in three starts with a 2.70 ERA.

While one thinks of Texas being the better offensive club, it's Tampa Bay's offense which is ranked #2 in the majors for both slugging percentage and batting average. The Rays lead the majors in runs scored. On the other hand, the Rangers offense has struggled recently and their .257 batting average is among the worst in the American League. The Rangers' struggles at the plate are likely to continue against an old nemesis, Kazmir.

On the other hand, the Rays hot hitting should continue against Tommy Hunter. While he's been respectable in two starst this season, Hunter is still 0-3 in his MLB career (five starts). Hunter has a 9.93 ERA and has a .356 BAA in his first five big league outings. Left-handers have been particularly troublesome, as he's got more walks than strikeouts against lefties plus he has a .385 BAA versus left-handed hitters. Note that the Rays will have a few lefties and a few switch-hitters in their lineup on Friday night.

The Rays are 31-20 (+7.7) units against right-handed starters this season and they've won 11 of their last 18 (+3.9) vs. Texas.

Consider Tampa
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Free Pick

930 ANA / 929 BAL Under 10

Analysis: Member Play: Sidelined with right triceps inflammation, Santana (1-3, 7.47 ERA)
hasn?t pitched for Los Angeles since allowing six runs and eight hits in 4
2-3 innings of an 11-1 loss at Tampa Bay on June 11. Now, after a solid effort
against minor league competition Sunday and a productive bullpen session
Tuesday, manager Mike Scioscia feels Santana is ready to go. Santana is 2-2
with a 4.60 ERA in seven starts versus Baltimore. Rookie David Hernandez
(1-2, 4.19) looks to avoid a second straight loss for the Orioles after
giving up three runs and eight hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 5-3 defeat to
Washington on Sunday. The Angels have seen the total go under the posted number
in 6 of their last 9 games as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and I look for
this trend to continue.

Play on the UNDER!
 

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Rocky Atkinson

Free Pick

904 FLA (-150) vs 903 PIT

Pittsburgh @ Florida 6:10 PM EST

Play On: Florida (Morton/Volstad) Listed

Pittsburgh comes in with a 36-43 overall record this year while Florida is 41-39 on the season. Florida has won 3 in a row and 8 of their last 11 games overall. Pittsburgh is only 14-26 on the road this year. Charlie Morton is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 home games. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass. Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. We'll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 

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