Exbookie Wants To Help The Players Week 6

[AlistairCookie]

Thanks Ace for the picks...

by unit (helps me):

ATL +3 5 units
Carolina +1.5 4 units
Detroit / Minnesota Under 45.5 1.2 units
Carolina at Tampa 'over' 36.5 .8 units
Arizona +5 4 units
Baltimore +4.5 .6 units
Teaser (atl/tb over/ car) .2 Units.

 

[Fuzzyxlogikk]

ace/ace mvc most valuable capper hands down

 

[gynecologist]

Whats your 7 unit play ACE?

 

[gskiman]

Whats your 7 unit play ACE?

Come on gyno, I thought you were smarter than to have to ask that when the answer is already given. The Home Dog Atlanta +3.

 

[gynecologist]

I thought ATL was 5 units..

ACE has a 7 unit play this week..

 

[ACE-ACE]

Thanks Ace for the picks...

by unit (helps me):

ATL +3 5 units....................INVESTMENT
Carolina +1.5 4 units...........INVSTMENT
Detroit / Minnesota Under 45.5 1.2 units,,,,ACTION
Carolina at Tampa 'over' 36.5 .8 units.....ACTION
Arizona +5 4 units.................INVESTMENT
Baltimore +4.5 .6 units...ACTION
Teaser (atl/tb over/ car) .2 Units. ACTION

TWO WAYS I BET
ACTION UNDER $800
INVESTMENT OVER $2000

 

[ACE-ACE]

I thought ATL was 5 units..

ACE has a 7 unit play this week..

THAT WAS AlistairCookie way of betting....I have to use Units over there but here you see what I bet...ATL is that 7 unit play you are talking about.

good to see you over here old friend:toast:AA

 

[Cheddarforme]

Thanks ACE

Throw the :money8: on ATL:nohead: Too easy

 

[AlistairCookie]

THAT WAS AlistairCookie way of betting....I have to use Units over there but here you see what I bet...ATL is that 7 unit play you are talking about.

sorry Ace, didn't mean to muddle things...it's just that I don't bet $2500 on one game - would take me two weeks to place that much action, and I bet a lot of people are like me (even if they don't admit it )

Putting it in units just gives me a way of proportioning my bets to yours and to win like you do ...
:drink:

 

[ACE-ACE]

sorry Ace, didn't mean to muddle things...it's just that I don't bet $2500 on one game - would take me two weeks to place that much action, and I bet a lot of people are like me (even if they don't admit it )

Putting it in units just gives me a way of proportioning my bets to yours and to win like you do ...
:drink:

I alway say...bet at your level...one way to do it is by %

if I bet $2000...20% = you bet $400

I know a few that has e-mail me that they do it that way.

it could be 10-90%...but do it at your level

AA

 

[billbeater]

Parker is starting to attract attention in IDP leagues thanks to his 3.5 sacks this season. We should know more about his status later in the week.

Ace, what is "IDP leagues" ? i have no ideas....

I will be impressed if you can cash Atlanta, bears D will stop the run nicely and after that its up to a rookie...

Good Luck

 

[ACE-ACE]

Parker is starting to attract attention in IDP leagues thanks to his 3.5 sacks this season. We should know more about his status later in the week.

Ace, what is "IDP leagues" ? i have no ideas....

I will be impressed if you can cash Atlanta, bears D will stop the run nicely and after that its up to a rookie...

Good Luck

and chic has not face a D-line like Atl...Detroit would make anyone look good:missingte

IDP Leagues - The Next Generation of Fantasy Football

 

[ACE-ACE]

candy!

If the Chicago/Atlanta matchup updates, we'll post it below.


Week 6


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Sunday, October 12

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OAKLAND (1 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 3) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (2 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (0 - 5) at NY JETS (2 - 2) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (4 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 2) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0 - 4) at MINNESOTA (2 - 3) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (3 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 2) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 4) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (0 - 4) at WASHINGTON (4 - 1) - 10/12/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 3) at DENVER (4 - 1) - 10/12/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (2 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 3) - 10/12/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (4 - 1) at ARIZONA (3 - 2) - 10/12/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (2 - 3) at SEATTLE (1 - 3) - 10/12/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
SEATTLE is 17-43 ATS (-30.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 3) - 10/12/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 13

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NY GIANTS (4 - 0) at CLEVELAND (1 - 3) - 10/13/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Short Sheet


Week 6


Sunday, October 12th

Oakland at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 1-7 ATS vs. NFC
New Orleans: 10-2 Over off BB Overs

Baltimore at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 1-8 ATS in road games
Indianapolis: 7-0 ATS off BB ATS losses

Cincinnati at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 14-4 Under Away if total is 45.5 or higher
NY Jets: 50-27 Under if failing to cover 2 of 3

Carolina at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 8-1 Under as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Tampa Bay: 82-52 Under as favorite

Detroit at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-6 ATS Away in dome games
Minnesota: 19-6 ATS at home off win by 6 or less

Chicago at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 5-1 Under vs. Atlanta
Atlanta: 14-4 ATS after allowing 400+ yards BB games

Miami at Houston, 1:00 ET
Miami: 12-28 ATS off a SU win as underdog
Houston: 26-12 ATS off BB SU losses

St. Louis at Washington, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 3-13 ATS as an underdog
Washington: 6-1 Under off BB SU wins as underdog

Jacksonville at Denver, 4:05 ET
Jacksonville: 9-0 Over off 3+ Overs
Denver: 2-8 ATS off home win

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
Philadelphia: 7-0 ATS off division game
San Francisco: 7-1 Over in October

Dallas at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Dallas: 13-4 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
Arizona: 16-6 Over as an underdog

Green Bay at Seattle, 4:15 ET
Green Bay: 11-1 Over off 3+ losses
Seattle: 24-45 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

New England at San Diego, 8:15 ET NBC
New England: 15-5 ATS in road games
San Diego: 9-2 ATS in home games



Monday, October 13th

NY Giants at Cleveland, 8:30 ET ESPN
NY Giants: 7-0 Over after gaining 400+ total yards
Cleveland: 9-0 ATS off road game

Trend Sheet
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Sunday, October 12

1:00 PM BALTIMORE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Baltimore is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore


1:00 PM CAROLINA vs. TAMPA BAY
Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Carolina


1:00 PM CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. NY JETS
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games
NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Cincinnati


1:00 PM DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


1:00 PM MIAMI vs. HOUSTON
Miami is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games
Miami is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games


1:00 PM OAKLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home


1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis


4:05 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. DENVER
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


4:15 PM DALLAS vs. ARIZONA
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Dallas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


4:15 PM GREEN BAY vs. SEATTLE
Green Bay is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay


4:15 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


8:15 PM NEW ENGLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
New England is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
New England is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games
San Diego is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
San Diego is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New England



Monday, October 13

8:30 PM NY GIANTS vs. CLEVELAND
NY Giants are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, October 12

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Panthers: The Panthers have quietly become one of the NFL’s best teams and they are doing it behind a ground game that’s chewing up 123 yards per contest thanks to the tandem of DeAngelo Williams and rookie Jonathan Stewart. The Panthers piled up 205 yards rushing against Kansas City, despite starting tackles Jordan Gross and Jeff Otah both being out. Carolina’s defense is healthy again this season and it’s showing on the field, as they allow just 14 points per game. Carolina’s defense was incredible in the first half last week when it held the Chiefs to 28 yards and one first down.

Panthers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.

Key Injuries - OT Jordan Gross (concussion) is questionable.
OT Jeff Otah (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20 (Side Play of the Day)

Bucs (-1.5, O/U 36.5): Brian Griese left last week’s game with a bruised elbow and right shoulder and all indications are Jeff Garcia will start against Carolina. Garcia had been the inactive third quarterback since getting benched following the Sept. 7 season opener at New Orleans. He was the backup Sunday at Denver and entered the game in the second half to lead the Bucs on a 90-yard touchdown drive. Garcia could be getting some help today. WR Joey Galloway, who has missed the last three games with a foot sprain, could return to the lineup against Carolina.

Bucs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC South.
Bucs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Key Injuries - QB Brian Griese (shoulder) is doubtful.
WR Joey Galloway (foot) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17



Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Cowboys (-5, O/U 50): Dallas is coming off a lethargic win over the Bengals and now the Cowboys pass defense, which is allowing 210 yards per game, must prepare for the Cardinals aerial onslaught. Dallas needs to start causing more turnovers on defense. The Cowboys have one interception after five games, which ties them with the winless Lions for the fewest in the NFL. Things don’t look good for the Cowboys secondary this week. Corner Terence Newman (groin) missed last week and could sit again on Sunday, while S Roy Williams (forearm) will miss his third straight game.

Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
The UNDER is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 road games.

Key Injuries - CB Terence Newman (groin) is doubtful.
S Roy Williams (forearm) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 34 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Cardinals: The Cardinals secondary is bruised and battered just in time for the Cowboys and their vaunted passing attack to come to town. Cornerback Rod Hood has a sore groin and might not be able to play on Sunday. Strong safety Adrian Wilson is nursing a sore hamstring that limited him to about a dozen snaps last Sunday. If Hood can't play, rookie Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie will take his place. Arizona’s offense racked up 373 yards last week against Buffalo thanks in large part to Kurt Warner playing a near flawless game. Warner is now 33-10 as a starter playing in domes and 18-28 in the open air. In the last two years, the Cardinals are 8-2 at home and 3-8 on the road.

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The OVER is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 vs. NFC.

Key Injuries - WR Anquan Boldin (head) is doubtful.
CB Roderick Hood (groin) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28



New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Patriots: Two weeks after an embarrassing loss to Miami, the New England Patriots got back on track Sunday with a decisive 30-21 win over San Francisco in which they once again controlled all phases of the game. The Patriots had the ball for 39 minutes and 52 seconds out of a possible 60 minutes and held San Francisco without a first down for nearly three quarters after falling behind early. Matt Cassel had his best game as a pro last week, and he’ll look to build on that performance against a Chargers defense that ranks 30th in the NFL defending the pass.

Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - RB LaMont Jordan (leg) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Chargers (-6, O/U 44.5): The heat is on Norv Turner after last week’s loss at Miami left the talented Chargers sitting at 2-3. San Diego’s defense has been pitiful, allowing 379 yards and 25.8 points per game. On offense, LaDainian Tomlinson is battling a sore big toe and has yet to get going this year He gained just 35 yards on 12 carries last week against Miami. The Chargers may have to lean on LT even more Sunday night since leading WR Chris Chambers (ankle) is likely to miss this game.

Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Chargers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in October.

Key Injuries - WR Chris Chambers (ankle) is doubtful.

 

[attilamm]

$2000.00 #224 Arizona (+5) over Dallas (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)
Dallas is a team that’s dealing with an awful lot of turmoil this week as head cases like T.O. and Pac Man are doing everything they can to serve as a distraction. Arizona is looking at this game as an opportunity to make a statement and the home team is 5-2 ATS in this series. Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games and continues to be a team facing inflated odds from the books. We’ll take the points and look for the Cards to put a scare into the Boys.

$300.00 #205 Baltimore (+4.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)
Baltimore has played great against two of the better teams in the league (Pittsburgh, Tennessee) over the last two weeks while the Colts really should have gotten blown out in Houston. Baltimore is the much tougher team here and they should manhandle Indianapolis on both sides of the ball. The line on this game is sinking like a stone and I think that’s a great indicator that we’re getting value on the Ravens.

Thanks ACE nice picks... I'm with you for most of them...

BTW I'll pick OVER for ARI game... ARI is 22nd in scoring defense... if ARI is going to stay in the game, this will cause a high scoring game...

+

IND has no win in its new home... OK every stat is against them but I will be fading the rookie QB on its second career away game...

I'll be betting on ATL and CAR big...

good luck...

 

[jasmine]

Hello Ace, why do you like Atlanta am I missing something Atlanta's opponents (avg ranking) off-rush 18 off-pass 18 def-rush 29 def-pass 28, Chicago's opponents (avg ranking) Off-rush 18 Off-pass 18 Def-rush 14 Def-Pass 13 Atlanta offense rushing is ranked 2 and off passing 20 Atlanta's Defense rushing is ranked 24 and passing defense ranked 15 Chicago's offense rushing is ranked 18 and off passing 15 Chicago's defense rushing is ranked 11 and def passing ranked 6 Atlanta's home victory came against Detriot week1 and Kansas City week 3 lost to two good defesive teams Tampa Bay 9-24 and Carolina 9-24 and squeeked by a Greenbay team with injuries on defense and Rogers not even close to 100 % Chicago has played @Indy 29-13 @ Carolina 17-20 vs Tampabay 24-27 overtime lost should have won if not for that selfish penalty by the bears. vs Philadelphia 24-20 @ Detriot 34-7 Atlanta will have a tough time stopping RB Forte and set up the play action just my thoughts Ace can you shed some light why you are on Atlanta? :think2: Thanks

 

[ThEjAcK]

Ace have a question I was just wondering how come you dont lay more on the 10 pt teasers?. In the article from Nick he said that if sharps just got 1 point in their favor they would make a killing. I know im not remotely even close to being a sharp but after I do my rookie handicapping and pick who I wanna play and then getting 10 points on top of that, seems like a solid winner.

 

[gskiman]

Just a heads up clarification on Arizona. The state of Arizona does not observe Day Light Savings Time. Currently Arizona is on Pacific Time and should be treated like a west coast team as it applies to the following article. Sunday morning at 2am, Nov 2 when most states turn back the clocks 1 hr, Arizona will not and thus will change to Mountain Time.
Been using the tendency pointed out in article for several seasons now.

FROM MY FREIND NICK:thumbsup:ENJOY


[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]DIRECT FROM NEVADA [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]WITH NICK BOGDANOVICH [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]BAD BODY CLOCK SHOWS UP AGAIN IN THE NFL [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]A couple of weeks ago I talked in a national publication about how oddsmakers in Las Vegas and Reno are defenseless against “bad body clock” bets. They just can’t put the “right” number on a game like this because not enough people are betting the tendency! [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]That was right after California lost at Maryland as a big favorite in college football. I also referenced the big Seattle loss at Buffalo in the NFL that we had already seen. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]This past Sunday, two more jump out as very obvious. Not only were they early kicks for West Coast teams…but they involved flying from one coast all the way over to the other.[/FONT]

• [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]San Diego (-6) lost to Miami 17-10, and got drilled by a lot more than the final score indicates. The West Coast sleepy-heads were outgained 390-202, and outrushed 157-60. That’s not supposed to happen with LaDainian Tomlinson in uniform! [/FONT]
• [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Seattle (+7) lost to the NY Giants 44-6, and arguably lost by more than the final score makes it sound! New York won total yardage 523-187. It didn’t even look like an NFL game. Note that a lot of sharps took a bad hit here. The public bet New York up to 7.5 on game day, and many Wise Guys stepped in big on Seattle figuring that half a point off a key number was too good to pass up. Even the Wise Guys forget about the bad body clock sometimes. [/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif](Oh, while we’re on that game, the sportsbooks took a big hit even though the Wise Guys lost because the public LOVED the Giants. That means they included them in a lot of parlay and teaser plays that typically cashed. It was a big Sunday for the squares thanks to the G-men). [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Those are both double digit misses from the market spreads, with San Diego missing by 13 points and Seattle missing by a whopping 31 points. Note how both teams started slowly and just never got going. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]FIRST QUARTER [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]New York 14, Seattle 3 [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Favored San Diego 3, Miami 3 [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]HALFTIME SCORE [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]New York 27, Seattle 6 [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Miami 17, San Diego 3 [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The games were pretty much over in the first 30 minutes. In fact, the home teams had covered the full game spreads by two touchdowns or more at halftime! [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]So, the guys betting the “bad body clock” theory on quarters and halves also cashed their tickets. There just wasn’t much to sweat here. Unless you’re a bookmaker! [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]How can the oddsmakers put up the right number in a game like this? [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]If Seattle no-shows, like they did in Buffalo too, then you could probably argue that the “right” line is something like 17-21 points. Normally spreads like that are reserved for the very best against the very worst. Well, the Giants are the defending Super Bowl champs, and Seattle playing at 10 in the morning with jet lag might well be one of the worst. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Imagine that the sportsbooks DID put a line like 17-21 on the game! If the sharps came in heavy at +7.5, the action would obviously have been ridiculously one-sided on the Seahawks. Sportsbooks will accept a level of risk, but not THAT much risk. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]What about the other game. Can you make Miami a favorite over San Diego? The Chargers were playing their second straight road game after a road divisional win. Situational handicappers might argue Miami WAS the true favorite in the game (I heard some guys make that very point last week). But, if the sportsbooks even drop it to -3 or pick-em for the Chargers, the public action is so heavy that the books aren’t remotely balanced. A perfect balance is rare. Sportsbooks don’t what THAT big a position on any one team, no matter what eventually happens in the game. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Because hardly anyone is betting the “bad body clock” angle aggressively, the market prices just don’t incorporate it right now. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Should you be looking at the system when the Oakland Raiders visit the New Orleans Saints this weekend? The kneejerk answer would be yes, of course! But, let’s remember that:[/FONT]

• [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oakland busted the system with a near upset at Buffalo a few weeks ago. [/FONT]
• [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oakland also won an early kick at Kansas City, though that was only a trip halfway across the country. [/FONT]
• [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oakland had a bye last week (though Seattle was coming off a bye and it didn’t help them). [/FONT]
• [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]New Orleans has a short preparation week after a Monday Night game. [/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]It’s not the ideal go-against situation. Oakland has established success in this kind of spot, and could be helped by the bye week. It’s also a trip only halfway across the country. Personally, I think the approach is best when the West Coast teams have to go all the way to the East Coast (which we saw in both examples last Sunday). I do know some guys who also include the Mountain Time Zone teams (Arizona and Denver) when they start early…and guys who only focus on the clock and not the geography. To each his own. Pick an approach you’re comfortable with. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Just don’t ignore this factor! It’s a proven winner. And, it’s also something to look for in non-conference college basketball. The season starts in November, and the first 4-6 weeks is when opportunities like this pop up on Saturdays in hoops. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Let me leave you with a list of possibilities for the next few weeks: [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]SUNDAY [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oakland at New Orleans (not ideal) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]OCTOBER 19TH [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]San Diego at Buffalo (horrible spot for the Chargers off New England) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]San Francisco at the NY Giants [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]OCTOBER 26TH [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oakland at Baltimore (Raiders might as well move East!) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]San Diego at New Orleans (no break for the Bolts) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Arizona at Carolina (if you play the Mountain teams too) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]NOVEMBER 2ND [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Arizona at St. Louis (early, but not much of a trip) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]NOVEMBER 9TH [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Seattle at Miami (3rd cross country trip of the year for Seattle) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]NOVEMBER 16TH [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Denver at Atlanta [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oakland at Miami (Raiders really racking up frequent flyer miles) [/FONT][FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]I’m not saying all of the Eastern teams will win and cover these games. You have to handicap each game as it comes. But, they will have a potential edge that you should be aware of as you study the possibilities. I don’t think we’ve seen the last body clock blowout of 2008. [/FONT]

 

[oddball]

Ace do you have any college plays this week? I have not seen any.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Hello Ace, why do you like Atlanta am I missing something Atlanta's opponents (avg ranking) off-rush 18 off-pass 18 def-rush 29 def-pass 28, Chicago's opponents (avg ranking) Off-rush 18 Off-pass 18 Def-rush 14 Def-Pass 13 Atlanta offense rushing is ranked 2 and off passing 20 Atlanta's Defense rushing is ranked 24 and passing defense ranked 15 Chicago's offense rushing is ranked 18 and off passing 15 Chicago's defense rushing is ranked 11 and def passing ranked 6 Atlanta's home victory came against Detriot week1 and Kansas City week 3 lost to two good defesive teams Tampa Bay 9-24 and Carolina 9-24 and squeeked by a Greenbay team with injuries on defense and Rogers not even close to 100 % Chicago has played @Indy 29-13 @ Carolina 17-20 vs Tampabay 24-27 overtime lost should have won if not for that selfish penalty by the bears. vs Philadelphia 24-20 @ Detriot 34-7 Atlanta will have a tough time stopping RB Forte and set up the play action just my thoughts Ace can you shed some light why you are on Atlanta? :think2: Thanks

if one can know who would turn the ball over more you would win 75% of your bets
ATL HAS 4 VS CHI WITH 11....CHI HAS NOT PLAY THIS GOOD OF A D-LINE. ONE KEY REASON

 

[ACE-ACE]

Ace have a question I was just wondering how come you dont lay more on the 10 pt teasers?. In the article from Nick he said that if sharps just got 1 point in their favor they would make a killing. I know im not remotely even close to being a sharp but after I do my rookie handicapping and pick who I wanna play and then getting 10 points on top of that, seems like a solid winner.

When I was a book...I love players betting them...They all look good but I feel they are sucker plays...but fun to do ...so small amount is my play on them....all 3 must win....every week you will have a blow out....