+5.566
A bit too much love for Nigeria IMO with money continuing to pour in on the African side. I spoke with a larger book in the city here today and he mentioned getting crushed with bets on Nigeria, many from bettors who haven’t really been playing the WC at all. I’m not sure what is causing this phenomenon, but I’m going to fade it.
Neither team has much of an offensive presence and tends to play stringer defense. Iran is difficult to gauge, as they played against some very questionable opposition, so there numbers may be inflated. There is virtually zero international talent on this side, but they appear to some team chemistry, which can be invaluable. Nigeria won the African Cup of Nations, but I’m not sure if that means much as the African Cup of Nations winner rarely even makes to WC due to Egypt’s shocking inability to qualify. The last few that did fizzled out in the group stage.
Neither team has won a WC match in nearly twenty years, which may not be shocking for Iran, but certainly is for Nigeria IMO. They have failed time and time again to deliver, so I can’t see them as heavily favored as they are in this spot. A key to the match could be Iran’s strong set pieces versus Nigeria’s questionable defense versus set pieces. Under 2 looks promising, but the way goals are flying, I’ll pass.
0.6 Iran PK +220
0.4 Iran ML +375
Best of luck with your action.