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ERockMoney 2023 NFL Outlook
- Thread starter ERockMoney
- Start date
Here’s the model figures, struggled on sides last week 5-7-2, but went 2-1 on top plays while totals continued to do well going 8-5-1 and 2-0 on top plays. Sides are 36-37-5 on the year and totals 42-30-6, but I don’t typically put much stock in weeks 1-4.
KC -25.5 / 49.5 (actual -10.5/47.5)
BLT -4 / 34.5 (-4/41)
ATL -6.5 / 34.5 (-2.5/42.5)
MIN -5.5 / 47 (-2.5/44.5)
SEA PK / 45.5 (CIN -2.5/45)
SF -10 / 42.5 (-6.5/37)
HOU -7 / 40.5 (NO -1.5/42.5)
JAX -7 / 49 (-4/45.5)
MIA -16.5 / 61 (-13.5/48.5)
TB -2 / 40.5 (DET -3/44)
LV -1.5 / 33.5 (-3/41.5)
LAR -13 / 46 (-7/48.5)
PHI -3.5 / 38.5 (-7/41)
BUF -22.5 / 40 (-14/44.5)
DAL -3.5 / 50 (-2/51)
Continued success.
KC -25.5 / 49.5 (actual -10.5/47.5)
BLT -4 / 34.5 (-4/41)
ATL -6.5 / 34.5 (-2.5/42.5)
MIN -5.5 / 47 (-2.5/44.5)
SEA PK / 45.5 (CIN -2.5/45)
SF -10 / 42.5 (-6.5/37)
HOU -7 / 40.5 (NO -1.5/42.5)
JAX -7 / 49 (-4/45.5)
MIA -16.5 / 61 (-13.5/48.5)
TB -2 / 40.5 (DET -3/44)
LV -1.5 / 33.5 (-3/41.5)
LAR -13 / 46 (-7/48.5)
PHI -3.5 / 38.5 (-7/41)
BUF -22.5 / 40 (-14/44.5)
DAL -3.5 / 50 (-2/51)
Continued success.
Model projections: (points, total yards, passing, rushing)
DEN 12.00, 281 (192/89)
KC 37.50, 495 (335/160)
BLT 19.25, 369 (208/161)
TEN 15.25, 281 (179/102)
WSH 14.00, 269 (193/76)
ATL 20.50, 357 (220/137)
MIN 26.25, 447 (347/100)
CHI 20.75, 318 (194/124)
SEA 22.75, 364 (241/123)
CIN 22.75, 357 (256/101)
SF 26.25, 310 (190/120)
CLE 16.25, 293 (160/133)
NO 16.75, 334 (222/112)
HOU 23.75, 359 (276/83)
IND 21.00, 361 (223/138)
JAX 28.00, 423 (282/141)
CAR 22.25, 361 (243/118)
MIA 38.75, 488 (311/177)
DET 19.25, 385 (244/141)
TB 21.25, 302 (215/87)
NE 16.00, 322 (228/94)
LV 17.50, 189 (141/48)
AZ 16.50, 330 (186/144)
LAR 29.50, 445 (330/115)
PHI 21.00, 435 (259/176)
NYJ 17.50, 284 (161/123)
NYG 8.75, 252 (161/91)
BUF 31.25, 391 (275/116)
DAL 26.75, 388 (241/147)
LAC 23.25, 383 (265/118)
Continued success.
DEN 12.00, 281 (192/89)
KC 37.50, 495 (335/160)
BLT 19.25, 369 (208/161)
TEN 15.25, 281 (179/102)
WSH 14.00, 269 (193/76)
ATL 20.50, 357 (220/137)
MIN 26.25, 447 (347/100)
CHI 20.75, 318 (194/124)
SEA 22.75, 364 (241/123)
CIN 22.75, 357 (256/101)
SF 26.25, 310 (190/120)
CLE 16.25, 293 (160/133)
NO 16.75, 334 (222/112)
HOU 23.75, 359 (276/83)
IND 21.00, 361 (223/138)
JAX 28.00, 423 (282/141)
CAR 22.25, 361 (243/118)
MIA 38.75, 488 (311/177)
DET 19.25, 385 (244/141)
TB 21.25, 302 (215/87)
NE 16.00, 322 (228/94)
LV 17.50, 189 (141/48)
AZ 16.50, 330 (186/144)
LAR 29.50, 445 (330/115)
PHI 21.00, 435 (259/176)
NYJ 17.50, 284 (161/123)
NYG 8.75, 252 (161/91)
BUF 31.25, 391 (275/116)
DAL 26.75, 388 (241/147)
LAC 23.25, 383 (265/118)
Continued success.
Here’s the model projections, went 8-6-1 on sides (44-43-6/yr.) and 12-3 on totals (54-33-6/yr.) this week. Top qualified sides/totals after initial month exclusionary period, 5-1 sides and 5-0 totals.
JAX -6 / 36 (NO -1/40 actual)
TB -8 / 34 (-2.5/38)
CHI -2 / 39 (LV -3/37.5)
CLE -3.5 / 51 (-2.5/40)
BLT -1 / 43 (-3/42)
BUF -12.5 / 35 (-8.5/41)
NYG -3.5 / 33 (WSH -2/39)
SEA -6.5 / 51.5 (-7.5/44.5)
LAR -7.5 / 43.5 (-3/44)
KC -8.5 / 45 (-5.5/48)
GB -5 / 59.5 (-1/45)
PHI -1 / 61 (-2/51)
SF -11 / 45 (-7/44)
Continued success.
JAX -6 / 36 (NO -1/40 actual)
TB -8 / 34 (-2.5/38)
CHI -2 / 39 (LV -3/37.5)
CLE -3.5 / 51 (-2.5/40)
BLT -1 / 43 (-3/42)
BUF -12.5 / 35 (-8.5/41)
NYG -3.5 / 33 (WSH -2/39)
SEA -6.5 / 51.5 (-7.5/44.5)
LAR -7.5 / 43.5 (-3/44)
KC -8.5 / 45 (-5.5/48)
GB -5 / 59.5 (-1/45)
PHI -1 / 61 (-2/51)
SF -11 / 45 (-7/44)
Continued success.
Model projections (points, total yards, passing, rushing):
JAX 21.00, 322 (214/108)
NO 15.00, 298 (207/91)
ATL 13.00, 359 (230/129)
TB 21.00, 315 (230/85)
LV 18.50, 306 (229/77)
CHI 20.50, 314 (182/132)
CLE 27.25, 407 (220/187)
IND 23.75, 290 (192/98)
DET 21.00, 353 (239/114)
BLT 22.00, 300 (172/128)
WSH 14.75, 273 (194/79)
NYG 18.25, 308 (193/115)
AZ 22.50, 408 (235/173)
SEA 29.00, 440 (302/138)
PIT 18.00, 354 (248/106)
LAR 25.50, 475 (335/140)
LAC 18.25, 381 (270/111)
KC 26.75, 461 (318/143)
GB 32.25, 453 (322/131)
DEN 27.25, 362 (237/125)
MIA 30.00, 455 (289/166)
PHI 31.00, 417 (259/158)
SF 28.00, 382 (229/153)
MIN 17.00, 279 (217/62)
Continued success.
JAX 21.00, 322 (214/108)
NO 15.00, 298 (207/91)
ATL 13.00, 359 (230/129)
TB 21.00, 315 (230/85)
LV 18.50, 306 (229/77)
CHI 20.50, 314 (182/132)
CLE 27.25, 407 (220/187)
IND 23.75, 290 (192/98)
DET 21.00, 353 (239/114)
BLT 22.00, 300 (172/128)
WSH 14.75, 273 (194/79)
NYG 18.25, 308 (193/115)
AZ 22.50, 408 (235/173)
SEA 29.00, 440 (302/138)
PIT 18.00, 354 (248/106)
LAR 25.50, 475 (335/140)
LAC 18.25, 381 (270/111)
KC 26.75, 461 (318/143)
GB 32.25, 453 (322/131)
DEN 27.25, 362 (237/125)
MIA 30.00, 455 (289/166)
PHI 31.00, 417 (259/158)
SF 28.00, 382 (229/153)
MIN 17.00, 279 (217/62)
Continued success.
