I can always figure out if the math is right to call but depending on the player.....it's not the only factor. I'm not of the school that says...well the math says I should call and just call. It's only part of the equation for me.
OK so here's the scenario.
Mid-stages of a tournament, far from the money (I'll take ICM out of it to make this easier on you)
Blinds are 500/1k with a 100 ante.
You have 22k chips (after your ante and blind) and KJo in the big blind.
It folds to the cutoff, who shoves 11k, and then it folds to you.
Question 1 (easy) - what are your immediate pot odds
Question 2 (harder) - what is the minimum equity you need to make a call +EV
Question 3 - how do you range this opponent (doesn't really matter, just make up a theoretically feasible range)
Question 4 (no cheating using pokerstove) - What is your equity vs his range
I think most players understand that if your answer to #4 is > your answer to #2 you should call. And that your answer to #4 depends on your answer to #3. But what are the answers?
Good tournament players make the mathematically correct play here, they don't only trust their gut. And they have a good idea of the answers to all 4 questions without using a calculator or any other tools, and base their decision in that math.
So which is it? Call or fold? And why?
You have 20 seconds