DJax's 2009 MLB Picks - Season Thread

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just need heat/hawks under, hornets/nuggets over, canucks/blues over, devils/hurricanes under, hurricanes, ducks/sharks under, and sharks.
 

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Quick overall summary as well, broken down into categories (I'm gonna try to do one of these every Sunday night):


YTD 45-28, +29.93 Units


Sides: 42-26, +25.96 Units
Totals: 2-0, +2.0 Units
Parlays: 1-2, +1.97 Units

Week 1 (+13.87 Units) = Sides: 20-10, +14.87 Units / Parlays: 0-1, -1.0 Unit
Week 2 (+16.06 Units) = Sides: 22-16, +11.09 Units / Totals: 2-0, +2.0 Units/ Parlays: 1-1, +2.97 Units



**Correction on my previous post, left out the parlay which I count in my overall record. Not that it matters because units were all correct and thats what matters in baseball especially!

Feelin good going into next week and gonna do my best to put up another solid week! :103631605 GL all
 

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Ninja calm down man, try to put it all in a post or two and not in 5 consecutive lol

You're gonna make it hard for me or anyone else to find the important info :ohno:

Doesnt bother me really but just to keep it a little more efficient in here lol

GL though man, leave me one when its all over and let me know how you did for the day!
I'll be on later tonight but I have things to get done and some NBA to watch for the rest of the evening @)
 

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Thank you

Second week following you, second week success!!!
Only play I didn't make was Pittsburgh:laugh:

You are the man right now, I hope you continue to crush it! I am going to Orlando with the family (with extra spending money:103631605) tomorrow and my resort better have internet access cause I need my DJAX fix!!

Seriously, thanks a bunch man:toast:
 

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No problem guys, I'm just doing what I started out doing and luckily the success is continuing even after people jumped on the bandwagon. So don't feel like I'm doing anything amazing by simply sharing my picks :103631605

Anyway, I'm really looking forward to this upcoming week...if it can continue this week then I'll realllllly feel confident that this can be a long-term approach because we'll have a a larger amount of changes to the teams being used. Definitely STAY CONSISTENT especially the next few days...you don't want to get greedy and get caught with your pants down if the adjustments dont pan out completely. If we stay patient and conservative though, we'll have a margin for error and be able to make changes before cutting into our profits too much, even if we struggle momentarily.

Have fun in ORL, buddy...sounds like fun! @):)
 

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YTD 45-28, +29.93 Units

Here we go, I got Monday's picks and I'm ready to kick off another big week...so lets make it happen!!! Just to let you know, I might add one or two more, havent decided on a few things yet, but these ones below are definites and I wanted to get them out so we can grab them before the lines move against us (as always, these are 1 Unit apiece):

Runlines
Marlins -1.5 (+140).......gonna keeping riding the money-train til it crashes:):)

Moneylines
Oakland +165
Reds +117

Totals
Boston/Baltimore Under 10.5 (-110)


GL boys, lets get that paper!!! :toast::toast::toast::toast:


***Not sure when/if I'll add more, but I'll do my best to update the situation before I go to bed, no gaurantees though because I might still be considering things or waiting on line improvements, etc
 

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I'm adding Padres ML +140...I was going to wait and see if the odds were right next series for them but these odds are too good to pass up the way both teams are playing, IMO. Take it FWIW...it leaves us with this for a final card:



FULL & FINAL card for Monday

Runlines
Marlins -1.5 (+140).......gonna keeping riding the money-train til it crashes:):)

Moneylines
Oakland +165
Reds +117
Padres +140

Totals
Boston/Baltimore Under 10.5 (-110)



(<)<GL
 

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Orioles are pathetic...I just didnt realize their bullpen was THAT bad. Maybe the worst I've ever seen. I knew it would be a pretty good start and sox bullpen would hold towards the end but I didnt think the Orioles bullpen would give up 7+ runs in the last three IP

Looks like we'll start 0-1 today...very frustrating loss, especially because Sox RL was an easy bet instead and I missed it.

Fuck
 

snappin necks & cashin checks
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Still an early day DJax...plenty of time left to put together the winning day! GL.
 

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Thanks tommy, love the picture btw...great movie lol

Guys, I'm actually going to add one more play. I might be a little upset about losing the first one but I did my best to separate that from the equation here. I rarely go "on tilt" because I'm trying to stay within the method. The truth is, I was debating this one last night because I had been fading Dbacks all season up until yesterday (with good results) and after seeing their offense continue to struggle, which was my original reason for the fade, I think maybe we should hang onto that. Garland is also a pitcher I like to bet against because he is generally overvalued based on performances years ago. After the odds moved a little bit more in our favor overnight I can't pass it up right now. Take it FWIW but I think this play fits into everything I've been doing so far and its not an "on tilt" play...the reason I hesitated was only because I'm trying to decide the best time to jump off the Dbacks fade, and I personally will ride it into this series at least.

Adding: Colorado ML+107 for 1 Unit


**Side note, Marquis usually pitches his best in April so his hot start might be based more on that than an aberration IMO**

GL boys, lets cash tonight!!! :toast:
 
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Best of luck with the rest of the day. Really like the Reds, and the Padres look pretty solid too. Can't argue riding the Marlins until the wheels fall off.
 

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Thanks Luther, I think tonight should be a pretty solid one, but you never know with this game

I can say that if I do lose, I wont regret making any of these picks. I think they have good value and make a pretty solid card tonight...just too bad I started in a hole cuz Radhames friggan Liz lol

GL Luther and all, I'll be out for likely the rest of the evening with the Celts/Bruins playing big games!
 

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First let me thank you for sharing your picks. I have been using a mix of bronco and you and it has been money. Simply following you has worked very well, so I want to increase my units. You said to stay consistent, so I want to know: if I place two units on every bet, will it work out? I would stay consistent after the change, but I don't want to get burned. Right now I'm up 9 units
 

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First let me thank you for sharing your picks. I have been using a mix of bronco and you and it has been money. Simply following you has worked very well, so I want to increase my units. You said to stay consistent, so I want to know: if I place two units on every bet, will it work out? I would stay consistent after the change, but I don't want to get burned. Right now I'm up 9 units

Well you never know, its not a precise science. Thats for sure. There's two big reasons for staying consistent IMO:

1. You want some consistency so you dont get tempted into going on tilt or putting diferent amounts on different bets, with seemingly random amounts. Obviously, this reason isnt your concern if you're goint to stay consistent after the switch.

2. You want consistency because you dont want us to suddenly hit a bad streak and lose your profits twice as fast as you earned them. To me, this is the more relevant one to our situation. I think since its early in the year and you're planning to stay consistent after the switch, you should be fine. I think the real question is whether you have enough money to risk two units per play and still have a bankroll left even if we went a bad streak. If thats the case, it shouldnt be too dangerous BUT whenever you raise your units you're taking the risk that it could turn out to be bad timing...in that sense, you're relying a lot on luck but it could work for you or against you. My best recommendation if you really want to increase your units is maybe to take it slower and see how it goes at 1.25 or 1.5 units for a while. Then slowly move it up more if we continues to have consistent success. Especially since its early in the year and we dont know when a bad streak could hit us and turn the season around. I dont plan on one obviously, but you can never be too sure :103631605

GL whatever you decide, I'll keep doing my best to get us some winners! :toast:
 

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Runlines
Marlins -1.5 (+140) LOSER -1.0 Units

Moneylines
Oakland +165 PPD
Reds +117 WINNER +1.17 Units
Padres +140 PPD
Rockies +107 LOSER -1.0 Units

Totals
Boston/Baltimore Under 10.5 (-110) LOSER -1.1 Units

Daily Total: 1-3, -1.93 Units :ohno:

YTD 46-31, +28.0 Units


Well it looks like the Marlins moneytrain officially crashed tonight (and it burned horribly, I might add). Fortunately, one bad night cant damage things too much, especially thanks to the big winners yesterday. We had a little room for error from that. We also had one very tough loss today with the Total in the Sox game...if anyone watched, they know that it should have gone under until some hideous bullpen work by the Orioles. A win there wouldve completely changed todays outcome but all in all, we might as well just move on to the rest of the week with a full slate of games the next two days. Hopefully we save our success for the big days!! :toast:

GL guys, I'll have most/all of my picks posted reasonably soon...although I'll be up late tonight so I may post them a little later than usual
 

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YTD 46-31, +28.0 Units

I'm not completely done with these because the rainouts tonight led to probable pitchers being uncertain in a few cases...so I'll be waiting for tomorrow to see if I'll officiall bet Oakland ML and Milwaukee ML*(note: not definite picks yet, but very likely). For now, I'm gonna post 4 official plays and get to bed finally. The following picks are OFFICIAL:

Moneylines
Reds +200
White Sox -107
Tigers -110
Padres -117


GL guys, I'll add some more as soon as i get a chance tomorrow, probably early afternoon sometime. :103631605
 

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YTD 46-31, +28.0 Units

I'm not completely done with these because the rainouts tonight led to probable pitchers being uncertain in a few cases...so I'll be waiting for tomorrow to see if I'll officiall bet Oakland ML and Milwaukee ML*(note: not definite picks yet, but very likely). For now, I'm gonna post 4 official plays and get to bed finally. The following picks are OFFICIAL:

Moneylines
Reds +200
White Sox -107
Tigers -110
Padres -117


GL guys, I'll add some more as soon as i get a chance tomorrow, probably early afternoon sometime. :103631605


Officially Adding: Oakland ML+180

Debating 1 or 2 more plays, having a tougher time choosing than usual ona few of these games. I like a couple teams but cant quite pull the trigger yet for various reasons. Theres a strong possibility that I'll end up adding at least one more today though :think2:
 

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OK, I have everything all figured out finally...there wont be any more additions after this. I actually liked 8 picks coming into the day but I just don't think Milwaukee is quite getting the value I was looking for. I was hoping at Philly they'd be more like +140/+150 so I'm holding off on them and maybe I'll jump on the bandwagon later in the series (or some other time). I sense that they'll have value as a "follow' pick at some point but not quite yet. In the meantime, I have added two more games tonight to give us a nice 7-game card. I dont like to go much higher than that so this will be the final card for me:

Moneylines
Reds +200
White Sox -107
Tigers -110
Padres -117
Oakland +180
Royals +165 (just added)
Colorado +110 (just added)


As always, these are ALL 1 Unit plays. GL ALL! :toast:
 

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