totally agree. and that's the difference between a private local booking this game and Vegas. they have the financial backing to be able to go for the throat here, whereas a tiny operation will be sweating major balls. no one.. and i mean no one.. will like Seattle at anything less than +3.
that's why if i'm just a small local, i wouldn't personally offer this game below several key numbers because 'gambling' wouldn't fit my business model.
books are also going to get crushed with Denver money on alternate lines like... -3' +150, -6' +220, etc.
Already leaning Seattle and the ML, but I'm going to have to think about this one.
I'm still not convinced the Broncos can do well in cold weather, plus they haven't played a defense anywhere near as fast and hard-hitting as Seattle. Think the weather may be the biggest factor, though. Seattle much more suited to play in the cold.
It's gonna be a pretty epic two weeks leading up to kickoff.
I'm still not convinced the Broncos can do well in cold weather, plus they haven't played a defense anywhere near as fast and hard-hitting as Seattle. Think the weather may be the biggest factor, though. Seattle much more suited to play in the cold.
It's gonna be a pretty epic two weeks leading up to kickoff.
gyno, listen to what i'm saying.. i'm not talking about who's the 'right side' to play in this game. i'm talking about the art of bookmaking and how oddsmakers need to read the pre-betting markets before posting a line.
it was so painfully obvious that the public would be in love with Denver that it made absolutely no sense to open this line below at least 3 key numbers (-3, -3',-4) unless the books were willing to 'gamble' (like seer and I have been saying) on the outcome.
if i was a small local, i couldn't care less about the outcome.. i just want balanced action!
Vegas is taking an enormous stand on Seattle, which i hope hits for them, but that's not one i could follow if i'm just a small operation.
right my apologies they have risen to 19th but what i really meant was they were 30th against the pass they are now 27th
http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/t...netPassingYards/position/defense/seasontype/2
they are still below jacksonville
Interesting common denominator between the two teams:
- both went 6-2 on the road (and 7-1 at home)
- both lost @ Indianapolis by 6 points (both games in October, 2 weeks apart)
- both teams lost @ teams they eventually had re-matches against in the conference championships (both DEN and SEA led in the 4th quarter of the regular season games)
-etc
the crowd noise helps no doubt. still it is manning vs the best dbs in the league. also it is beast mode vs a very average linebacking crew.like i said teams had to abandon the run vs denver when they fell behind but still they allowed 100yds plus on the ground. considering how many times those teams that ran the ball. i will bet the prop giving beast mode more than watever yds they post. prolly 95.5 i will take over
