<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by GAMEFACE:
winky,
does anything stand out as a huge play tomorrow?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
SURE
texass will once again beat the daylights out of GA - but unlike the last time - be prepared to lay at least -220 from the opening number and at that price texass isn't worth playing. i have them -125 to win their bracket so in a sense i have them -125 in (what could be) both games so for me - no reason to play texass in the game.
just like i said the last time these 2 played - if you can find a book that allows you to lay -1.5 runs THAT i would do if it brought the price down to about -150 range - but even then i doubt that would be the case.
as for the other game, my titans and the cocks, i sense this line comes pretty close to -110 both ways or maybe fullerton -120 at most since windsor is not pitching. i am going to wait for olympic to hang one prop in particular and if/when they do i sense i will be on that one. i am actually going to miss the game because i have a ton of officiating to do wednesday but i am going to tape it - and watch it when i get home. any play for me on this game will be done no later than about 1P (PDT).
winky,
does anything stand out as a huge play tomorrow?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
SURE
texass will once again beat the daylights out of GA - but unlike the last time - be prepared to lay at least -220 from the opening number and at that price texass isn't worth playing. i have them -125 to win their bracket so in a sense i have them -125 in (what could be) both games so for me - no reason to play texass in the game.
just like i said the last time these 2 played - if you can find a book that allows you to lay -1.5 runs THAT i would do if it brought the price down to about -150 range - but even then i doubt that would be the case.
as for the other game, my titans and the cocks, i sense this line comes pretty close to -110 both ways or maybe fullerton -120 at most since windsor is not pitching. i am going to wait for olympic to hang one prop in particular and if/when they do i sense i will be on that one. i am actually going to miss the game because i have a ton of officiating to do wednesday but i am going to tape it - and watch it when i get home. any play for me on this game will be done no later than about 1P (PDT).
Omaha Picks Recap: 8-2 (+13.90 units)
Texass -125 to win its bracket: TBD
Texass +250 to win the CWS: TBD
LSU +190 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+1.90 units)
Arkansas +200 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+2.00 units)
6/19: Team to lead after the first 4.5 innings - Cal State Fullerton -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/19: Fullerton +115 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.30 units)
6/19: Miami -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: Texas -205/Miami -130/Fullerton +115: Winner (+4.65 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: texas -205/Miami -130/USC -135: Loser (-1.00 units - and for making this dumb bet i deserve to lose it!)
6/20: (2004 CWS GOY) Texass -150 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.00 units)
6/21: South Carolina -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/22: Arizona +135: Loser (-1.00 units)
not gonna take a side in either game today. like texass but not -230ish. for those w/an account @ 5dimes, texass is -1.5 -135 and that i would play if i didn't have texass -125 to win its bracket. the one thing i have done all along is separate my head from my heart in my picks. sorry - can't do that today. we all know i want fullerton to win, but the fact we are starting a pitcher who last threw on June 5 worries me. i am rooting for UGA to win today and then texass thursday so the horns can burn a pitcher (probably their #1 guy J.P. Howell) so he can't face us in the title game. and i know if fullerton has ANY PRAYER of winning it all we MUST win today for if we don't - we have to toss jason windsor thursday meaning the best we can hope for is him to pitch monday on a few days rest - if we get to monday.
so i am staying away from all sides and instead only going to play a prop in the fullerton game:
Kurt Suzuki -110 to have more total bases than Landon Powell.
powell has fattened up the past few games against stiff ptichers but tonite he faces a solid on in mik martinez - who throws a lot of sinkers and stuff like that. the weather for tonite will definitely favor MM and fullerton - for it will be cool and damp air - meaning less carry on the ball and the less the ball carries - the better chance it has of staying in the park - and if it stays in the park - our outfrielders will catch it.
jason fletcher is supposed to pitch for the cocks and while he threw great against us saturday - the fact we have seen him before helps suzuki and the rest of the team.
Suzuki is a MUCH better hitter than powell and will show it here.
Kurt Suzuki -110 (more total bases) is my only play for wednesday.
i will add 1 more thing. IF UGA beats texass - keep this in mind. i don't think there has ever been a situation in omaha under this new format where there were TWO games played on the same day where both teams had one loss and the winner of each game went to the finals. IF GA wins (they won't - but if they do) that will force a final game in their series thursday. knowing about the rarity of 2 true elimination games in 1 day, and that fullerton will be facing a pitcher we have seen before while USC hasn't might push me on my boys - although since i will be officiating all day and won't get to see the fullerton game until i get home about 11P (PDT) that will be tough.
Texass -125 to win its bracket: TBD
Texass +250 to win the CWS: TBD
LSU +190 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+1.90 units)
Arkansas +200 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+2.00 units)
6/19: Team to lead after the first 4.5 innings - Cal State Fullerton -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/19: Fullerton +115 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.30 units)
6/19: Miami -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: Texas -205/Miami -130/Fullerton +115: Winner (+4.65 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: texas -205/Miami -130/USC -135: Loser (-1.00 units - and for making this dumb bet i deserve to lose it!)
6/20: (2004 CWS GOY) Texass -150 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.00 units)
6/21: South Carolina -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/22: Arizona +135: Loser (-1.00 units)
not gonna take a side in either game today. like texass but not -230ish. for those w/an account @ 5dimes, texass is -1.5 -135 and that i would play if i didn't have texass -125 to win its bracket. the one thing i have done all along is separate my head from my heart in my picks. sorry - can't do that today. we all know i want fullerton to win, but the fact we are starting a pitcher who last threw on June 5 worries me. i am rooting for UGA to win today and then texass thursday so the horns can burn a pitcher (probably their #1 guy J.P. Howell) so he can't face us in the title game. and i know if fullerton has ANY PRAYER of winning it all we MUST win today for if we don't - we have to toss jason windsor thursday meaning the best we can hope for is him to pitch monday on a few days rest - if we get to monday.
so i am staying away from all sides and instead only going to play a prop in the fullerton game:
Kurt Suzuki -110 to have more total bases than Landon Powell.
powell has fattened up the past few games against stiff ptichers but tonite he faces a solid on in mik martinez - who throws a lot of sinkers and stuff like that. the weather for tonite will definitely favor MM and fullerton - for it will be cool and damp air - meaning less carry on the ball and the less the ball carries - the better chance it has of staying in the park - and if it stays in the park - our outfrielders will catch it.
jason fletcher is supposed to pitch for the cocks and while he threw great against us saturday - the fact we have seen him before helps suzuki and the rest of the team.
Suzuki is a MUCH better hitter than powell and will show it here.
Kurt Suzuki -110 (more total bases) is my only play for wednesday.
i will add 1 more thing. IF UGA beats texass - keep this in mind. i don't think there has ever been a situation in omaha under this new format where there were TWO games played on the same day where both teams had one loss and the winner of each game went to the finals. IF GA wins (they won't - but if they do) that will force a final game in their series thursday. knowing about the rarity of 2 true elimination games in 1 day, and that fullerton will be facing a pitcher we have seen before while USC hasn't might push me on my boys - although since i will be officiating all day and won't get to see the fullerton game until i get home about 11P (PDT) that will be tough.
>
You don't win the SEC tournament wihtout a ton of pitching in South Carolina has it. I can see why Horton is trying to get Romero and Windsor to the operating table for Tommy John. Hey Windy, can you please tell Kurt Suzuki to get his hands of off his throat, 1-11 in CWS with an army left on base. I hope Kurt enjoys carrying Landon Powell's jock in the minors. The SEC is really getting exposed as 2 of the last 4 are from the SEC. South Carolina will win it all, they are a complete team. Watch out Windsor, revenge is sweet and all those pitches over the last few weeks are sure to come back and bite you in the ass tommorrow. One more thing Mr. Left Coast, LSU would have beat USC this year in football. I would have loved to have seen USC try to move the ball on LSU's defense.
Omaha Picks Recap: 9-3 (+12.80 units)
Texass -125 to win its bracket: Winner (+1.00 units)
Texass +250 to win the CWS: TBD
LSU +190 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+1.90 units)
Arkansas +200 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+2.00 units)
6/19: Team to lead after the first 4.5 innings - Cal State Fullerton -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/19: Fullerton +115 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.30 units)
6/19: Miami -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: Texas -205/Miami -130/Fullerton +115: Winner (+4.65 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: texas -205/Miami -130/USC -135: Loser (-1.00 units - and for making this dumb bet i deserve to lose it!)
6/20: (2004 CWS GOY) Texass -150 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.00 units)
6/21: South Carolina -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/22: Arizona +135: Loser (-1.00 units)
6/23: Suzuki -110 more total bases than Powell: Loser (-1.10 units)
thursday's game (now?) has a -110 both ways line. matt campbell (G1 starter) is going for the cocks. for all those who saw espn and saw jason windsor mentioned as the starter - HE IS NOT STARTING! instead it will be scott sarver. i know no one here has heard of him - but simply put - we are NOT in omaha w/o sarver. on the sunday of the regionals against pepperidge farm, when we needed an arm to get us a good pitching performance. i have no desire to bet against him - but then again - i have no desire to bet ON him, too. we were in this spot last year and choked - losing 2 straight - and if we do it again this year it won't shock me. our coach george horton is a nice guy who can get us very far - but when we get to the point where we need to go just a tad further - he can't do that. whatever happens today won't shock me. i do think NOT throwing windsor does give us a slight edge in that SC has never seen sarver and has no clue what to expect while SC is throwing matt campbell and we saw him saturday.
should be a GREAT game and 4,000% more exciting than the - yawn - nba draft.
Texass -125 to win its bracket: Winner (+1.00 units)
Texass +250 to win the CWS: TBD
LSU +190 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+1.90 units)
Arkansas +200 to be 1st team eliminated from its bracket: Winner (+2.00 units)
6/19: Team to lead after the first 4.5 innings - Cal State Fullerton -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/19: Fullerton +115 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.30 units)
6/19: Miami -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: Texas -205/Miami -130/Fullerton +115: Winner (+4.65 units)
6/18-19: 3-Teamer: texas -205/Miami -130/USC -135: Loser (-1.00 units - and for making this dumb bet i deserve to lose it!)
6/20: (2004 CWS GOY) Texass -150 (2 unit play): Winner (+2.00 units)
6/21: South Carolina -130: Winner (+1.00 units)
6/22: Arizona +135: Loser (-1.00 units)
6/23: Suzuki -110 more total bases than Powell: Loser (-1.10 units)
thursday's game (now?) has a -110 both ways line. matt campbell (G1 starter) is going for the cocks. for all those who saw espn and saw jason windsor mentioned as the starter - HE IS NOT STARTING! instead it will be scott sarver. i know no one here has heard of him - but simply put - we are NOT in omaha w/o sarver. on the sunday of the regionals against pepperidge farm, when we needed an arm to get us a good pitching performance. i have no desire to bet against him - but then again - i have no desire to bet ON him, too. we were in this spot last year and choked - losing 2 straight - and if we do it again this year it won't shock me. our coach george horton is a nice guy who can get us very far - but when we get to the point where we need to go just a tad further - he can't do that. whatever happens today won't shock me. i do think NOT throwing windsor does give us a slight edge in that SC has never seen sarver and has no clue what to expect while SC is throwing matt campbell and we saw him saturday.
should be a GREAT game and 4,000% more exciting than the - yawn - nba draft.
duke - the more you open your mouth, the more ignorant you sound. You had SoCarol beating CS Fullerton even when you thought Windsor was starting.
Then your comment that LSU's football team would have beaten USC sealed your fate as a moron. I live on the left coast and I hate USC, but I know they would have beaten LSU.
Winky, I wish you hadn't told me Windsor wasn't starting, but that's the way it goes. That other kid was great. And his mother is so knowledgeable! Congrats to CSF.
Then your comment that LSU's football team would have beaten USC sealed your fate as a moron. I live on the left coast and I hate USC, but I know they would have beaten LSU.
Winky, I wish you hadn't told me Windsor wasn't starting, but that's the way it goes. That other kid was great. And his mother is so knowledgeable! Congrats to CSF.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by rscl31:
Your writeup convinced me that Cal State at plus money was worth a shot. Thanks for your coverage of all CWS. What do you see the series opening up at for Texas?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
the price will be a tad higher on texass than it would have had windsor gone against howell in G1 instead of romero facing him. the simple fact is people are betting texass with both hands all CWS - and it won't stop here. the books NOW know that (after getting their heads handed to them in the 1st TX/GA game where the line moved an amazing 80-cents) and will shad texass. IF texass should be, say -150, they will open them about -160 to -170 since they KNOW texass money will come pouring in. as for the series price - i can see texass opening at least -160 and that is probably conservative. i can see texass opening about -180 to -200 for the series. as for G1 i sense the horms cum about -170 since it is against romero NOT windsor and then come G2 i sense you see a line VERY close to -110 both ways - with maybe as high as -130 texass since the books know texass money will come pouring in anyway.
as for my titans - i am excited. i will have to tape sunday's game since i have games to ref - and maybe even saturday, too, but i will be watching every second!
Your writeup convinced me that Cal State at plus money was worth a shot. Thanks for your coverage of all CWS. What do you see the series opening up at for Texas?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
the price will be a tad higher on texass than it would have had windsor gone against howell in G1 instead of romero facing him. the simple fact is people are betting texass with both hands all CWS - and it won't stop here. the books NOW know that (after getting their heads handed to them in the 1st TX/GA game where the line moved an amazing 80-cents) and will shad texass. IF texass should be, say -150, they will open them about -160 to -170 since they KNOW texass money will come pouring in. as for the series price - i can see texass opening at least -160 and that is probably conservative. i can see texass opening about -180 to -200 for the series. as for G1 i sense the horms cum about -170 since it is against romero NOT windsor and then come G2 i sense you see a line VERY close to -110 both ways - with maybe as high as -130 texass since the books know texass money will come pouring in anyway.
as for my titans - i am excited. i will have to tape sunday's game since i have games to ref - and maybe even saturday, too, but i will be watching every second!
