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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 17

Phoenix lost five of last seven games but is 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Oklahoma City lost three of its last four games; they’re 8-4 as home favorites. Last six Thunder games stayed under total. Thunder won its last five games with Phoenix (3-2 vs spread); Suns lost last five visits here, but covered three of last four. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Indiana lost last three road games by 8-6-7 points; Pacers are 2-5 as road underdogs. Last three Indiana games stayed under total. Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 7-3 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Pacers won five of last six games with Detroit; Indiana won three of its last five visits to Motor City (3-2 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Charlotte lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 5-1 in Hornets’ last six games. Atlanta won three of last four games; they’re 0-4-1 in last five games as a home favorite. Hawks’ last three games went over the total. Home side won eight of last nine Charlotte-Atlanta games; Hornets lost last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Lakers snapped their 8-game skid last night; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as a road underdog. LA’s last three games stayed under the total. Cavaliers won/covered five of last six games; they are 6-1 in last seven games as a home favorite. Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under. Lakers lost last four games with Cleveland (1-3 vs spread); Lakers lost four of last five visits to Lake Erie (2-3 vs spread). Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Rockets were 24-61 on arc last nite, most 3’s ever tried in one NBA game; Houston won its last nine games (7-2 vs spread)- they’re 5-2 as a road favorite. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Minnesota lost four of last five games; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as a home underdog. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Rockets won their last seven games with Minnesota (3-4 vs spread); Houston won its last three visits here, by 12-2-24 points. Last nine series games went over total.

New York covered six of last seven road games; they’re 13-4 vs spread in last 17 games overall. Over is 6-4-1 in New York’s last 11 road games. Denver lost three of last four home games; they are 4-7 SU at home. Over is 9-1-1 in Nuggets’ last 11 games overall. Knicks lost five of last seven games wth Denver; New York lost its last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Last six series games stayed under total.

Portland lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-8 as a road underdog. Over is 9-3 in Blazers’ last 12 games. Warriors won seven of last eight games but are 0-5 vs spread in last five; they are 5-7 as home favorites. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Golden State won seven of last eight games with Portland (6-2 vs spread); Trailblazers lost last five visits to Oakland (1-4 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games went over.
 

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Saturday, December 17

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. DETROIT
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. CLEVELAND
LA Lakers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Houston

9:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. DENVER
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Portland's last 12 games
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
 

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Long Sheet

Saturday, December 17

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PHOENIX (8 - 18) at OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 11) - 12/17/2016, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (13 - 14) at DETROIT (14 - 14) - 12/17/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 66-94 ATS (-37.4 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (18 - 6) - 12/17/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games this season.
LA LAKERS are 50-71 ATS (-28.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 133-186 ATS (-71.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (14 - 13) at ATLANTA (13 - 13) - 12/17/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (20 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 18) - 12/17/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (14 - 12) at DENVER (10 - 16) - 12/17/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (13 - 15) at GOLDEN STATE (23 - 4) - 12/17/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 127-101 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 117-92 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-48 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-49 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-43 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-105 ATS (-42.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Dunkel


Saturday, December 17


Portland @ Golden State


Game 713-714
December 17, 2016 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Portland
116.420
Golden State
131.970
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13 1/2); Under


New York @ Denver


Game 711-712
December 17, 2016 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.964
Denver
115.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+3 1/2); Over


Houston @ Minnesota


Game 709-710
December 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.920
Minnesota
117.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4 1/2); Over


Charlotte @ Atlanta


Game 707-708
December 17, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.649
Atlanta
116.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+2 1/2); Over


LA Lakers @ Cleveland


Game 705-706
December 17, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
110.714
Cleveland
130.766
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 20 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 16
218
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-16); Over


Indiana @ Detroit


Game 703-704
December 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.547
Detroit
117.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+4); Under


Phoenix @ Oklahoma City


Game 701-702
December 17, 2016 @ 5:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.147
Oklahoma City
121.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 11 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-6 1/2); Under
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHO at OKC 05:00 PM


PHO +6.5


O 214.5


IND at DET 07:00 PM


DET -4.0 *****


U 200.5 *****



LAL at CLE 07:30 PM


CLE -15.5 *****


O 218.0


CHA at ATL 07:30 PM


CHA +2.0

U 207.0 *****



HOU at MIN 08:00 PM


HOU -4.0 *****


U 220.0 *****



NY at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN -4.0


U 215.5


POR at GS 10:30 PM


GS -13.5 *****


O 231.0
 

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NBA roundup: James, Irving, Love big for Cavs
December 18, 2016



CLEVELAND -- LeBron James scored 26 points, including 16 in the fourth quarter, and Kyrie Irving had 21 points and matched his career high with 12 assists in the Cleveland Cavaliers' 119-108 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday night.


Kevin Love had 27 points and a season-high 17 rebounds as all three of the Cavs' stars returned with big games after coach Tyronn Lue rested them in Cleveland's previous game on Wednesday. Irving took a week off because he complained to Lue he had tired legs in last Saturday's win over Charlotte.


The Lakers snapped an eight-game losing skid Friday at Philadelphia, but they've been known to give the league's elite fits. They smashed the Golden State Warriors by 20 earlier this season, the second straight season they've beaten their in-state rivals.

Thunder 114, Suns 101



OKLAHOMA CITY -- Russell Westbrook collected his 13th triple-double of the season to lead Oklahoma City to a victory over Phoenix at the Chesapeake Energy Arena.


Just days after saying he was tired of hearing about triple-doubles, Westbrook poured in 26 points, 11 rebounds and 22 assists, which is a career high. It's only the fifth time since 1983 that a player had a triple double and reach at least 20 points and 20 assists.


Thunder center Steven Adams added 19 points and six rebounds while Enes Kanter came off the bench to score 12 points as Oklahoma City broke a two game losing streak and raised its record to 16-11.


Warriors 135, Trail Blazers 90


OAKLAND, Calif. -- Kevin Durant scored 13 of his game-high 34 points in a first-quarter runaway, propelling Golden State to a victory over Portland.


Backup Ian Clark had 23 points, Stephen Curry contributed 19 points, Klay Thompson scored 16 points and Draymond Green posted a 13-assist, 12-rebound double-double, helping the Warriors improve their best-in-basketball record to 24-4.


The 45-point margin of victory was the Warriors' largest of the season, surpassing a 149-106 crushing of the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 23.


Hornets 107, Hawks 99

ATLANTA -- Marvin Williams matched his season high with 19 points, including the game-clinching 3-pointer with 27.8 seconds left that lifted Charlotte to a win over Atlanta and end its four-game losing streak.


Atlanta twice erased a double-digit lead in the second half and led 95-94 with 3:50 remaining. But the Hornets regained the lead on Marco Belinelli's third 3-pointer of the fourth quarter and Atlanta could never get closer than two points.


Williams, who played with Atlanta from 2005-2012, shot 7-for-10 from the field and added six rebounds. Belinelli shot 8-for-11 to finish with 19.


Pacers 105, Pistons 90


AUBURN HILLS, Mich. -- Paul George had 26 points and the Indiana Pacers took control late in the first half and rolled to a win over Detroit at The Palace.


George also grabbed seven rebounds, while Pacers point guard Jeff Teague supplied 19 points, a career-high-tying nine rebounds and seven assists. Backcourt partner Glenn Robinson III recorded his second double-double of the season with 12 points and 12 rebounds.


Thaddeus Young added 12 points and Miles Turner and C.J.Miles chipped in 10 apiece for Indiana, which salvaged the finale of a three-game road trip.

Rockets 111, Timberwolves 109 (OT)



MINNEAPOLIS -- James Harden and Ryan Anderson came together and the two agreed that Houston wasn't going to lose in Minnesota.


The timing just happened to be in the final minutes when Houston was down by double digits.


The confidence among the hot-shooting Rockets is immense.


Harden scored 10 of his 28 points in overtime and Houston won its 10th straight game, defeating Minnesota.


Nuggets 127, Knicks 114


DENVER -- Kenneth Faried had a season-high 25 points and three blocked shots, Emmanuel Mudiay scored 22, and Denver beat New York.


Will Barton had 17 points and eight rebounds for the Nuggets, who had seven players score in double figures.


Carmelo Anthony led the Knicks with 29 points in his return to Denver. Anthony, the No. 3 overall pick in the 2003 draft, played his first seven-and-a-half seasons with the Nuggets before being dealt to New York in February 2011.
 

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Sunday’s six-pack


Six most popular picks in Week 15 of the Westgate SuperContest:


6) Patriots (430) -3.5


5) Lions (433) +4


4) Ravens (456) -5.5


3) Raiders (501) -3


2) Buccaneers (593) +6.5


1) Steelers (603) -3


Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

13) Kentucky 103, North Carolina 100— A GREAT advertisement for college basketball, just a tremendous game. Malik Monk had 47 for the Wildcats.


if the Final Four isn’t from this group: Villanova-UNC-Kentucky-UCLA-Duke, it will be a surprise, which means who the 4th #1 seed is will be critical, because the “5th #1” will be the 2-seed in that same region as the 4th #1.


12) One of the cool things about college basketball is that during pre-conference play, you want teams in your league to win….seriously. It raises the platform of the whole league and could mean an extra bid to the NCAA tournament in March.


Kentucky beating North Carolina could help….say Texas A&M get a play-in spot over Virginia Tech. You never know.


Put it this way; San Diego State’s regression in the Mountain West hurts everyone in the league, especially potential bubble teams like Nevada.


11) Over the last four years, Los Angeles Dodgers have shelled out $113M, just in luxury tax payments- they’re expected to be over the cap again this coming season.


10) OK there is a Mercedes commercial where the young teenage boy bugs his dad to drive thru a snowstorm so he can meet his girlfriend at a movie theater. The father reluctantly does, and no one is there, but because it is TV, the girl shows up….in her parents’ Mercedes. The only two cars on the road. In a snowstorm.


Do these people not own cellphones? Do kids not text each other? Couldn’t they just watch movies at one of their houses, so one parent wouldn’t have to drive? Why does this bother me?


9) You know how Boise State has a blue football field? Well, Eastern Washington has a red field; it doesn’t look bad on TV but who decided this was a good idea?


8) Houston Rockets made 24-61 3-pointers Friday night, most 3’s ever taken/made in an NBA game. Just for the record, Phoenix Suns are 316-350 since they stupidly fired D’Antoni 8.5 years ago- they were 253-136 with D’Antoni as head coach.


7) Highland Park HS won the Texas 5-A state championship Friday night; why do I mention this? QB for Highland Park is Jerry Jones’ grandson. Imagine their booster club has some serious cash.


6) UCLA 86, Ohio State 73— Buckeyes did good job in first half of running offense, making possessions longer to keep UCLA from running, but then they didn’t in second half and Bruins pulled away. UCLA is great fun to watch because of freshman PG Lonzo Ball, who reminds lot of people of Jason Kidd— he gets the open guy the ball and UCLA has lot of kids who can put the ball in the basket, if they get it in the right place.


5) Purdue 86, Notre Dame 81— Irish led by 14 at the half, but Boilers stormed back and got Matt Painter a big win. Dick Vitale’s daughters went to Notre Dame, so if ESPN puts him on a ND game, they’re begging me to change the channel— it is intolerable to listen to him.


4) Phillies gave CF Odubel Herrera $30.5M for five years; he hit .286 with 15 HRs for the Phils last summer. Herrera is the first player Philly has under contract for 2018, which is next season. For a big market team to have such roster flexibility is interesting.


By the way, the word processing program on my MacBook Pro has an annoying auto-correct that changes Odubel to double every time I type it. Every time.


3) Lane Kiffin’s move to Florida Atlantic means that Steve Sarkisian is the new OC at Alabama, once the Crimson Tide’s season is over. Good to see Sarkisian get a second chance in life; hope he makes the most of it.


2) Brandon Shell, the Jets’ right tackle this week, is nephew of the great Art Shell, the Raiders’ Hall of Famer. If he is anything like his uncle, young Shell is a keeper.


1) West Virginia coach Bob Huggins won his 800th game Saturday, just 10th college coach to do so. He looks gruff on TV but I’ve met him twice and he’s a pretty normal guy to talk to, and when he was sitting in the lobby at an AAU tournament in Las Vegas in July of ‘15, a ton of people came up to talk to him. His teams are fun to watch. Congrats coach.
 

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Sunday’s games


Clippers won five of last six games with Washington; five of last seven series games went over. LA won three of last five visits here. Clippers won last four games but are 0-3 vs spread in last three; they’re 1-5 in last six games as a road favorite. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Wizards won their last four home games, won four of last five overall; they’re 1-2 as a home underdog. Over is 8-1 in last nine Washington games.


Kings won last three games with Dallas, by 3-22-31 points— they won by 31 here 11 days ago; three of last four series games went over total. Sacramento covered eight of last 10 series games, four of last five here. Kings are 0-3 vs spread in game following their last three wins; they’re 2-0 as road favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Mavericks lost seven of last ten games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as a home dog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


Memphis won its last two games with Utah by six points each; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here. Utah won eight of its last ten games; they’re 6-0 as road favorites this year- three of their last four games stayed under total. Grizzlies won seven of last nine games; they’re 5-2 as home underdogs. Last six Memphis games stayed under the total.


Home side won last four Brooklyn-Philadelphia games; Nets lost by 5-6 points in last two visits here. Eight of last nine series games stayed under total. Brooklyn lost six of last eight games; they’re 4-6-1 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. 76ers are 0-2 as favorites this year; they lost eight of last ten games. Five of last six Philly games stayed under the total.


Raptors won nine of their last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered last four series games; Toronto won four of last five games in this building. Raptors won eight of last ten games, are 1-2 as a road favorite; eight of last ten series went over total. Orlando lost four of last six games; they’re 0-5 as a home underdog. Six of their last seven games went over the total.


Celtics/covered won their last four games with Miami; they won/covered last three games in this building. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Boston lost four of last six games; they’re 5-3 as road favorites- three of their last four games stayed under total. Miami lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-4 as home underdogs. Under is 4-2 in Heat’s last six games.


Spurs won last four games with New Orleans but Pelicans are 7-2 vs spread in last nine series games. New Orleans lost last four visits to Alamo by 2-13-8-19 points (2-2 vs spread). Pelicans lost seven of last nine games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as a road underdog. Last three NO games stayed under total. Spurs won seven of last eight games, are 3-7 as home favorites; under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
 

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NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )


OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200




WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 197-184-7 51.71% -2700


O/U Picks 193-191-4 50.26% -8550


BEST BETS:


12/1716 - 4 - 3 - 0 +350


ATS: 35- 29 +2 + 1550


TOTALS: 35 - 26 + 3300


OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4


OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3


DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 31 -20
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 18

New Orleans @ San Antonio

Game 513-514
December 18, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.677
San Antonio
121.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 4
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
N/A

Sacramento @ Dallas

Game 511-512
December 18, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
122.264
Dallas
113.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 8 1/2
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
N/A

Utah @ Memphis

Game 509-510
December 18, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.395
Memphis
124.795
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1 1/2
177
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
185 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+1 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Orlando

Game 507-508
December 18, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
126.257
Orlando
117.755
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-5 1/2); Under

Boston @ Miami

Game 505-506
December 18, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
120.315
Miami
120.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+4); Under

Brooklyn @ Philadelphia

Game 503-504
December 18, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
109.063
Philadelphia
119.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 10
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-2 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ Washington

Game 501-502
December 18, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
126.554
Washington
116.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 10
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5
216
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-5); Over
 

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Long Sheet

Sunday, December 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (20 - 7) at WASHINGTON (11 - 14) - 12/18/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 372-439 ATS (-110.9 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (7 - 18) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 20) - 12/18/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-68 ATS (-36.8 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 111-154 ATS (-58.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (14 - 12) at MIAMI (9 - 18) - 12/18/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 125-165 ATS (-56.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (18 - 8) at ORLANDO (12 - 16) - 12/18/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (17 - 10) at MEMPHIS (18 - 10) - 12/18/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
UTAH is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
UTAH is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
UTAH is 33-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 66-34 ATS (+28.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (10 - 16) at DALLAS (6 - 20) - 12/18/2016, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Sunday, December 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. WASHINGTON
LA Clippers are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers

4:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Brooklyn is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn

6:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

6:00 PM
UTAH vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Memphis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games

6:00 PM
BOSTON vs. MIAMI
Boston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Miami's last 22 games when playing at home against Boston

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SAN ANTONIO
New Orleans is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
New Orleans is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 18


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


LAC at WAS 03:30 PM


LAC -5.5 *****


O 214.0


SAC at DAL 04:00 PM


SAC +1.5 ***** ( DOG OF THE DAY )


O 193.0


BK at PHI 06:00 PM


PHI -2.0


U 215.0


BOS at MIA 06:00 PM

BOS -4.5 *****



U 200.5


UTA at MEM 06:00 PM


UTA -1.0 *****


U 184.0 *****



TOR at ORL 06:00 PM


ORL +5.5


U 214.0


NO at SA 07:00 PM


SA -13.0


U 203.5
 

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NBA Capsules
December 18, 2016



WASHINGTON (AP) Bradley Beal scored 41 points, Markieff Morris had 12 of his 23 points in the fourth quarter, and the Washington Wizards beat the Los Angeles Clippers 117-110 on Sunday.


John Wall added 18 points and 11 assists for the Wizards. They closed with a 22-8 run to win their third straight game and fifth in six.


Blake Griffin scored 26 points for the Clippers, but was held scoreless during a fourth quarter in which coach Doc Rivers was ejected.


DeAndre Jordan added 13 points and 17 rebounds, and Chris Paul had 13 points and 12 assists. Los Angeles had won four in a row.


Washington shot 80 percent (12 of 15) from the floor in the fourth after already coming back from an 11-point deficit in the third.

JAZZ 82, GRIZZLIES 73



MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Gordon Hayward scored 22 points and Rudy Gobert had 21 points, 12 rebounds and three blocks, helping Utah win a defensive battle.


The win -Utah's fourth straight and seventh in the last eight - came after the Jazz broke open a close game with about four minutes remaining. Boris Diaw, Hayward and Shelvin Mack connected on a trio of 3-pointers, turning a 66-all tie into a Jazz win. Diaw had 11 points and Mack had 10.


Mike Conley led Memphis with 14 points, while Zach Randolph had 12 points and 11 rebounds. JaMychal Green added 10 points and 11 rebounds.


Memphis managed only 30 percent shooting on the night against the aggressive Jazz defense. That included the Grizzlies converting only 2 of 23 shots from outside the arc.


SPURS 113, PELICANS 100


SAN ANTONIO (AP) - LaMarcus Aldridge had 22 points and San Antonio paid tribute to Tim Duncan on his jersey retirement night with a fundamentally strong performance.


San Antonio won its fourth straight overall and fourth consecutive at home after a slow start at the AT&T Center.


The Spurs retired Duncan's jersey after the game. The franchise cornerstone retired in the offseason after winning five championships and two MVPs in 19 seasons, all with San Antonio.


Duncan's style of play led to the nickname ''The Big Fundamental,'' and the Spurs honored him with their own rather seamless performance against the Pelicans.

RAPTORS 109, MAGIC 79



ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - DeMar DeRozan scored 31 points and Jonas Valanciunas added 16 points and 13 rebounds, helping Toronto beat Orlando.


DeRozan has scored at least 30 points in four straight games and 15 times overall this season. Toronto exploded in the third quarter to open a 20-point lead and has scored 100 points in 14 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the NBA.


Toronto outscored the Magic 29-13 in the third quarter to break open a four-point halftime advantage.


Evan Fournier led the Magic with 15 points but was plagued by foul trouble trying to guard the more physical DeMarre Carroll.


76ERS 108, NETS 107

PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Joel Embiid scored 17 of his career-high 33 points in the third quarter and hit a pair of free throws with 12.5 seconds left to lead Philadelphia over Brooklyn in a matchup of two of the league's worst teams.


Embiid added 10 rebounds and Ersan Ilyasova had 22 points for the 76ers, who snapped an eight-game home losing streak while winning for the third time in 13 games.


A leading Rookie of the Year candidate, Embiid was 12 for 17 from the field, including 2 for 3 from beyond the arc, and 7 for 8 from the free-throw line.


Brook Lopez had 22 points, nine rebounds and eight assists for the Nets, who lost their ninth in a row on the road.

CELTICS 105, HEAT 95



MIAMI (AP) - Isaiah Thomas scored 23 points before getting ejected, Avery Bradley added 20 and Boston built a huge early lead on the way to beating Miami.


Al Horford had 17 points, eight rebounds and seven assists for the Celtics. They led by 22 in the first half and beat Miami for the fifth consecutive time.


Miami turned the ball over 23 times, and Boston converted those into 24 points. And the Heat, the worst free-throw shooting team in the NBA, went 6 for 14 from the line in the fourth quarter.


Goran Dragic led all scorers with 31 points for Miami. Hassan Whiteside finished with 23 points and 17 rebounds, all but one of those rebounds coming in the second half.


Thomas was ejected with 3:02 left for elbowing Justise Winslow in the face, bloodying the Heat forward and being assessed with a flagrant-2 after a lengthy review.


MAVERICKS 99, KINGS 79


DALLAS (AP) - Rookie Dorian Finney-Smith scored a season-high 17 points, leading six Dallas players in double figures.


After losing to Sacramento by 31 points at home 11 days ago, the Mavericks started fast. They made 11 of their first 15 shots and never trailed.


Deron Williams, Harrison Barnes and Wesley Matthews each scored 15 for Dallas.


DeMarcus Cousins scored 33 for Sacramento. The Kings were minus second-leading scorer Rudy Gay, who missed his third consecutive game because of a strained right hip flexor.
 

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Monday’s six-pack


Six most popular picks in Week 15 of the Westgate SuperContest:


6) Patriots (430) -3.5- W


5) Lions (433) +4- L


4) Ravens (456) -5.5- L


3) Raiders (501) -3- T


2) Buccaneers (593) +6.5- W


1) Steelers (603) -3- W


Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday


Giants 17, Lions 6— Seattle jumps Detroit into #2 seed in NFC after an inept offensive performance by Lions in their 3rd (and last) outdoor game of year. Giants are 8-1 in last nine games, now head on road to Philly/Washington to end season. Last eight Detroit games stayed under the total, as have last six Giant games.


Steelers 24, Bengals 20— Bengals led 20-6 wth 2:51 left in first half, but Steelers kicked FG’s on five consecutive drives, then finally scored TD and won/covered fifth game in row, with four of those wins on road- they’ve now won seven of last eight games with Cincinnati. Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games this season.


Ravens 27, Eagles 26— Eagles scored TD with 0:04 left, went for two points and the win, a play I just disagree with, especially on road with a rookie QB who had just run for a TD. Tennessee did it, failed but wound up winning anyway. Philly has now lost nine of last ten games after a 3-0 start; they’re 1-7 on road. Ravens won its last five home games (4-1 vs spread).


Every TV announcer “loves the aggressive nature of going for two” in that spot. Without fail, they cover the coach’s butt by saying that, but I disagree. Let your entire team decide the game.


Packers 30, Bears 27— Green Bay blew a 27-10 4th quarter lead, but Rodgers hit Jordy Nelson with a 60-yard bomb to set up the GW field goal with 0:03 left. Packers have now won last seven games in Chicago, but Bears have to like what they see out of 3rd-string QB Barkley.


if Dallas wins Sunday night, Packers are tied with Tampa Bay for last Wild Card slot.


Colts 34, Vikings 6— Stunning no-show by Minnesota that basically ends their season; game was 27-nil at the half. I spent 50 Sunday afternoons watching Sam Bradford play for the Rams, so I’m not totally surprised by all this, and the Norv Turner resignation should’ve raised the red flag about as high as it can go, that there were big problems with this team.


Bills 33, Browns 13— Worst thing for the Browns is that they still have zero idea who their QB is as they move towards 2017. Cleveland is 2-12 vs spread; ’08 Lions went 0-16, but were 7-9 against spread. In its last four games, Cleveland was outscored 65-9 in first half. Buffalo is 7-1 if they allow 21 or less points, 0-6 if they allow more. Over is 11-2 in Buffalo’s last 13 games.


Titans 19, Chiefs 17— Chiefs led 14-0 after 10:31 of play but lost. Kansas City had the ball with 3:12 left up 17-16 and Tennessee had no timeouts left (other than 2:00 warning), but Chiefs couldn’t get a first down and lost 19-17 at home for the second time in five weeks (Bucs were other loss). Tennessee has now won four of last five games; they went for two-point conversion and the lead with 3:12 left, down 17-16 and won despite not getting it.


Texans 21, Jaguars 20— Houston benched Brock Osweiler after his second INT; he has $37M in guaranteed money coming his way. Bill O’Brien coached this game like he was getting fired if Houston misses the playoffs— Tom Savage may have saved O’Brien’s butt by leading this comeback that makes the Texans 6-1 at home this season. Jaguars lost their ninth game in a row; they fired coach Gus Bradley after the game- at least he’ll get to spend Christmas with his family.


Saints 48, Cardinals 41— 20 possessions in this game; 11 TD’s, three FG’s tried, not a lot of defense played. Cardinals have now allowed 30.9 pts/game their last seven games, giving up 22 TD’s on opponents’ last 72 drives. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 10-2 vs spread this season. Except for Seattle, NFC West has been a dumpster fire in 2016.


Falcons 41, 49ers 13— First three times they had the ball, Atlanta ran 22 plays for 157 yards and a quick 21-nil lead— Falcons coasted the rest of the way, running ball for 248 yards, throwing for 302. 49ers haven’t won since Week 1; they allowed 12.6 yards/pass attempt in this game. In their last three games, Niners have been outscored 52-0 in second half. I’m going to spend Christmas Eve in a sportsbook watching Rams-49ers; Feliz Navidad. Over is 12-2 in Falcon games this season.


Patriots 16, Broncos 3— In their last three games, Denver has two offensive TDs on 35 drives; we’re going to find out this winter how patient John Elway is. Will he go after Tony Romo and try to jumpstart his offense for 2017? Patriots won for just second time in last eight visits here. Under is 8-3 in last 11 Denver games, 4-1 in last five Patriot games.


Raiders 19, Chargers 16— Two years ago, Oakland went 3-13 with rookie Derek Carr at QB; things have improved for him. Oakland is 6-1 in true road games this year; they’re 8-1 in games decided by 7 or less points, thanks in large part to a +15 turnover ratio. San Diego is 1-7 in games decided by 7 or less points; their TO ratio is -6. There is a very fine line between winning and losing in the NFL.


Cowboys 26, Buccaneers 20— Prescott went 32-36/280 in this highly entertaining game; putting to rest any potential QB controversy. Jameis Winston is going to be really good; this was his first game in the brightest of NFL spotlights. Bucs’ 5-game win streak is snapped. Packer fans were rooting like hell for Dallas, Giant fans were rooting for Tampa Bay
 

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Monday’s games


Washington three in row, five of last six games; their last five games went over total. Wizards are 3-2 as a road underdog. Indiana won/covered its last four home games; they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Last four Pacer games stayed under total. Pacers won four of last five games with Washington in series where road team won five of last six series games. Wizards won three of last four visits here. Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.


Detroit lost three of its last four games; they won/covered last five road games. Under is 6-2 in Pistons’ last eight games. Chicago lost last three games by 26-11-5 points; they’re 3-4 in last seven home games (2-5 vs spread). Five of Bulls’ last six games stayed under total. Pistons won six of last eight games with Chicago; Detroit won by 3-4 points in last two visits to Windy City. Under is 4-2 in last six series games.


Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five games after a 1-10 skid; Hawks are 4-6 as road underdogs. Three of last four Atlanta games went over. Oklahoma City won seven of its last nine home games; they’re 9-4 as home favorites. Last seven Thunder games stayed under total. Thunder won six of last eight games with Atlanta; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Hawks lost last three visits here, by 2-8-13 points.


Phoenix lost six of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in Suns’ last ten games. Timberwolves lost five of last six games; they’re 3-2 vs spread as home favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Minnesota won three of last four games with Phoenix; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Suns lost last three visits to Twin Cities, by 2-30-5 points.


Dallas lost its last nine road games (2-7 vs spread); they’re 1-3 if they played night before. Over is 5-3 in last eight Maverick games. Nuggets won three of last four games; they’re 4-4 as home favorites. Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Denver games. Mavericks won six of last seven games with Denver; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Dallas lost three of last five games in this building.
 

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NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )


OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200
12/18/2016 6-6-2 50.00% -300




WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 199-188-8 51.42% -3900


O/U Picks 197-193-5 50.51% -7650


BEST BETS:


12/18/16 - 3 - 1 - 0 +450


ATS: 37- 30 +2 + 2000


TOTALS: 36 - 26 + 3800


OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4


OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3


DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 31 -21
 

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Monday, December 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. INDIANA
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington


8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Atlanta is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Phoenix's last 24 games
Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games


8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Detroit


9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas




------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, December 19


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (12 - 14) at INDIANA (14 - 14) - 12/19/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ATLANTA (13 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 11) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (14 - 15) at CHICAGO (13 - 13) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 255-307 ATS (-82.7 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHOENIX (8 - 19) at MINNESOTA (7 - 19) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 82-105 ATS (-33.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 195-242 ATS (-71.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DALLAS (7 - 20) at DENVER (11 - 16) - 12/19/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 358-296 ATS (+32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 469-392 ATS (+37.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


-------------------------------------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel


Monday, December 19


Dallas @ Denver


Game 709-710
December 19, 2016 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
118.937
Denver
118.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
Even
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+8 1/2); Under


Phoenix @ Minnesota


Game 707-708
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.597
Minnesota
121.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 11 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
214
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5); Under


Detroit @ Chicago


Game 705-706
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
116.145
Chicago
114.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
195
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Under


Atlanta @ Oklahoma City


Game 703-704
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
113.104
Oklahoma City
122.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3
210
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-3); Over


Washington @ Indiana


Game 701-702
December 19, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.202
Indiana
121.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 6
212
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+6); Over


-----------------------------------

Clippers' Blake Griffin will miss the next 3-6 weeks after undergoing arthroscopic surgery on his right knee. Clippers host Denver on Tues.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,921
Tokens
MONDAY, DECEMBER 19


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at IND 07:00 PM


IND -6.0


O 210.0 *****


ATL at OKC 08:00 PM


OKC -2.0


U 208.0


PHO at MIN 08:00 PM


MIN -5.5 ***** ( NBA BLOW OUT OF THE NIGHT )


U 215.0


DET at CHI 08:00 PM


DET +3.0 ***** ( NBA DOG OF THE NIGHT )


U 196.5


DAL at DEN 09:00 PM


DAL +8.5 *****


O 204.5 ***** ( NBA TOTAL OF THE NIGHT )
 

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