Cnotes NBA Season Trends/News/ Stats/ Picks All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 2

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LA LAKERS (17 - 34) at WASHINGTON (28 - 20) - 2/2/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (28 - 21) at HOUSTON (36 - 16) - 2/2/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 313-256 ATS (+31.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (37 - 11) - 2/2/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 500-414 ATS (+44.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 328-268 ATS (+33.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 204-155 ATS (+33.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (42 - 7) at LA CLIPPERS (31 - 18) - 2/2/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 138-111 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 128-102 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 204-161 ATS (+26.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-139 ATS (-49.9 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 256-307 ATS (-81.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 195-254 ATS (-84.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 2


Golden State @ LA Clippers

Game 707-708
February 2, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
124.828
LA Clippers
125.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+8 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ San Antonio

Game 705-706
February 2, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
115.751
San Antonio
125.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 10
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 15
211
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+15); Over

Atlanta @ Houston

Game 703-704
February 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
115.927
Houston
121.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 9
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+9); Over

LA Lakers @ Washington

Game 701-702
February 2, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
111.518
Washington
132.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 21
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 11
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-11); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
February 2, 2017


Thursday’s pro basketball card features four games on tap, which includes the nationally televised double-header on TNT.


Bettors could be a little reluctant to wager on tonight’s slate since all four of the contests appear to be mismatches when you look at the odds.


Then again, we saw the favorites go 11-1 straight up on Wednesday and 10 of those victories were by double digits. The ‘chalk’ was 9-2-1 against the spread and the ‘over’ produced an 8-4 record.


L.A. Lakers (17-34 SU, 23-27-1 ATS) at Washington (28-20 SU, 29-19 ATS)


Don’t look now but Scott Brooks has Washington playing great basketball and his club has been turning heads on the hardwood and at the betting counter. He was just named the top NBA coach in the Eastern Conference in January after going 12-4 plus he duplicated that record for bettors (12-4 ATS).


For Thursday’s matchup, the Wizards opened as 11-point home favorites over the Lakers and you could argue that the number is too low when you consider the drastic differences in the home and away records for each club.


Washington has won 15 straight games at the Verizon Center and what’s more impressive, the team has gone 14-1 against the spread during this run. Meanwhile, the Lakers have dropped 10 straight on the road and are 2-18 in their last 20 away from the Staples Center. Luke Walton’s team has covered its last two on the road and they should begin this five-game East Coast road trip with a little bit of confidence after outlasting the Nuggets 120-116 on Tuesday as one-point home ‘dogs.


As double-digit ‘dogs, the Lakers have gone 3-8 SU and 5-6 ATS this season. Los Angeles did capture a 108-104 win at Washington last season but is just 3-7 overall in the last 10 encounters between the pair.


Atlanta (28-21 SU, 24-25 ATS) at Houston (36-16 SU, 30-22 ATS)


If there’s a line on Thursday that seems completely off to me, it’s this game. The Rockets are clearly better but laying nine points with a team that isn’t in great form (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) doesn't seem like a solid investment.


To be fair, the Hawks have the same mark (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) over their last five games and they were run 116-93 at Miami on Wednesday. Playing on no rest hasn’t been an issue for Atlanta this season, with the team going 7-3 both SU and ATS in back-to-back spots.


I don’t put a lot of stock into handicapping emotions but Houston could have this game circled since center Dwight Howard will be making his first return to the Rockets since leaving the team in the offseason. The big man dominated the Rockets earlier this season as Atlanta captured a 112-97 win at home and he put up 20 points, 15 rebounds and two blocks.


Including that win, Atlanta has now won six straight against Houston and it’s covered five of those games. With the Super Bowl in town, a little more drama and fireworks will likely be expected. The total is hovering around 223 and the Hawks bring a six-game run to the ‘over’ into Thursday’s game.


TNT will provide national coverage at 8:05 p.m. ET.


Philadelphia (18-30 SU, 27-17 ATS) at San Antonio (37-11 SU, 29-19 ATS)


Tough game to handicap here knowing the coaches Gregg Popovich and Brett Brown are tight, and San Antonio is known to rest some players. Regardless of the uncertainty, the Spurs are laying more than two touchdowns (-15) and they’ve won 11 straight meetings against the 76ers. San Antonio has covered seven of those wins and four of the five victories at the AT&T Center came by double digits. Make a note that San Antonio is 11-4 SU as a double-digit favorite this season and a steady 8-7 ATS.


It’s hard to ignore what Philadelphia did in January, compiling a 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS mark. However, bettors might want to hop off the bandwagon. The team is 1-3 both SU and ATS in their last four and that includes a 113-95 loss at Dallas last night. The 76ers have gone 3-8 SU and 5-6 ATS when playing on no rest but two of the wins did come on the road.


Total enthusiasts should note that Philadelphia has watched the ‘over’ cash in seven straight games and San Antonio has seen the ‘over’ go 29-18-1 this season, which includes a 15-8 mark at home.


76ers center Joel Embiid (knee) will be sitting ‘out’ this game.


Golden State (42-7 SU, 23-24 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (31-18 SU, 24-25 ATS)


These teams just played Saturday and it was a wire-to-wire 144-98 win for Golden State as it easily covered the heavy point-spread (-13). Including this win, the Warriors have now won eight straight against the Clippers (5-3 ATS) and that includes victories in their last four trips to Los Angeles.


The Warriors have been installed as 8 ½-point road favorites for this matchup and bettors might not be gun-shy about laying the ‘chalk’ in this spot. After a rough skid that saw the team go 1-8 ATS, Golden State has gone 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games.


The Clippers and Warriors both enter this game off wins on Wednesday and each club put up some serious numbers. Los Angeles ran past Phoenix 124-114 in the desert while Golden State dropped Charlotte 126-111 at home.


Golden State has gone 7-2 on no rest this season but it has burned bettors with a 2-7 ATS mark. Los Angeles won its first five games on zero days rest but have dropped four in a row since then. Make a note that Los Angeles is returning from a five-game road trip tonight and it heads back out on the road for another five straight road games which begins in Boston on Super Bowl Sunday.


High total (227) for this game and it’s not surprising with Golden State’s firepower plus L.A. has seen the ‘over’ go 4-2 since point guard Chris Paul was shelved. The defense is allowing 118.5 PPG during his absence.


This game is set to tip at 10:35 p.m. ET and TNT will provide national coverage.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 2


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


LAL at WAS 07:00 PM


WAS -11.0


U 218.5


ATL at HOU 08:00 PM


HOU -10.0


U 225.5


PHI at SA 08:30 PM

PHI +15.5


U 213.0


GS at LAC 10:30 PM


GS -8.0


O 227.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


Finalists for the Bob Cousy Award, given to the best college point guard:


— Nigel Williams-Goss, Gonzaga


— Monte Morris, Iowa State


— Frank Mason, Kansas


— De’Aaron Fox, Kentucky


— Melo Trimble, Maryland


— Joel Berry, North Carolina


— Dennis Smith, NC State


— Lonzo Ball, UCLA


— Jalen Brunson, Villanova


— Markelle Fultz, Washington


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: College basketball thoughts


Thursday night’s card of college basketball wasn’t a good set of games. Here is some info from both Wednesday/Thursday’s college hoop games.


Late Update:
Most of Thursday’s best action was after midnight:
— UTEP 63, UAB 59— Other than Middle Tennessee State, C-USA isn’t very good.
— Cal Poly 74, Cal-Davis 70— Fairly big upset in the Big West.
— Oregon 71, Arizona State 70— Sun Devils played their hearts out, came up little short.
— St Mary’s 74, Pacific 70— Gaels got up 17 fairly early, then let gritty Pacific back in it.
— California 77, Utah 75, 2OT’s— Utah didn’t score in last 3:26 of regulation.
— Gonzaga 85, BYU 75— Zags remain undefeated; they’re 23-0, and haven’t trailed once in their last 13 games.


13) Belmont 81, Murray State 69— Bruins are now 11-0 in OVC; this was Rick Byrd’s first win at Murray State- tough place to play. Going forward, Belmont still has to win OVC tourney to get into the NCAA’s, so there will be pressure on them in the conference tournament, even though they’re unbeaten in league play.


12) TCU 86, Kansas State 80 OT— Horned Frogs are 4-5 in Big X, which doesn’t seem like much, until you realize that TCU was 8-64 in conference games the last four years. Jamie Dixon is in the chase for National Coach of the Year.


11) VCU 81, Richmond 74— This is a crosstown rivalry that is fun to watch; Spiders have closed the gap with VCU this year in terms of athleticism, but Spiders’ bounciest guys are freshmen. Rematch is February 17, a Friday night with no NBA games that night. Good TV exposure.


10) Florida 93, Missouri 54— Mizzou is awful, just a terrible team. Let me be the first person to promote NC-Wilmington coach Kevin Keatts for the Missouri job. He is a Pitino protege, and he has built UNCW up into a CAA power in only three years. Tigers need a new direction.


9) Charleston 67, NC-Wilmington 66- Speaking of which, Keatts’ Seahawks got beat last night, are now tied for first in CAA with Charleston.


8) Arizona 71, Oregon State 54— Beavers led by a hoop at halftime, but then reality set in. Sean Miller signed a contract extension thru 2022 this week, a reward for the great job he’s done this season. Oregon State needs to get healthier and more experienced.


7) Mike Krzyzewski will be back on the bench for Duke Saturday when the Blue Devils host the skidding Pitt Panthers. Duke was 4-3 in his absence.


6) Indiana 110, Penn State 102 3OT’s— You lose in triple OT and shoot 17-29 on foul line, you have no one to blame but yourself.


5) USC 82, Washington 74— Huskies ended first half on 15-0 run, led by 10 at half, but Trojans had solid comeback— this was an uplifting win for them. Washington is where LSU was LY; they have a great freshman but their team stinks and Fultz will be in the NBA at this time next season.


4) Syracuse 100, NC State 93 OT— John Gillon was 9-10 on arc, 14-14 on foul line; how good would Colorado State be if they had him this year? Gillon has 56 points in his last two games, going 27-28 on the charity stripe.


Gillon is on his third college, by the way; he played a year at Little Rock, two at Colorado State and now Syracuse. You have to wonder about guys like that- do they just bolt at the first sign of adversity? Katin Reinhardt is also a 3-school guy, playing for Marquette this season, after playing for UNLV/USC.


3) Kansas 73, Baylor 68— Game was 64-all with 2:40 left; Baylor is better than people think. Jayhawks are very hard to beat at home.


2) Game of the Night: Towson 104, Drexel 103, 2OT’s— Towson was 37-50 on the foul line; Davis had 19 points, 17 rebounds in 34 minutes and he didn’t start.


1— Nebraska retired Cavaliers’ coach Tyronn Lue’s #10 jersey at halftime of their game with Michigan State last night. Last 12 months have been pretty good for coach Lue.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 3

Raptors lost seven of last nine games, are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Orlando lost five of its last six games, is 1-6 vs spread in its last seven home games. Three of their last four home games went over. Toronto won eight of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered five of last six series games. Raptors won three of last four visits here, with wins by 2-3-30 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Minnesota won five of last seven games, is 6-3 in last nine games as a road underdog. Last five Minnesota games went over total. Detroit lost three of last four games, is 2-8 in last ten games as a home favorite. Last six Detroit games went over the total. Pistons won their last three games with Minnesota by 10-25-27 points; T’wolves won four of last five visits to Motor City- road team is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Indiana won its last four games, is 2-5 as a road favorite. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Brooklyn lost lost its last seven games but covered six of last nine; they’re 7-5 in last 12 games as a home underdog. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Home side won seven of last eight Indiana-Brooklyn games; Pacers lost last two visits here, by 10-9 points. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Memphis won five of its last seven games, winning last three road games SU; they’re 8-5 in last 13 games as a road underdog. Last four Memphis games went over total. Oklahoma City lost its last three games, is 14-6 as a home favorite. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won seven of last eight OKC-Memphis games; Grizzlies lost last three visits here, by 16-18-8 points. Six of last nine series games stayed under total.

Chicago won four of last six games, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Rockets lost nine of last 14 games; they’re 12-10 as home favorites. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Bulls won four of last five games with Houston; they lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 4-11-15 points. Last three series games stayed under total.

Lakers lost nine of last 11 games, but covered five of last six, including last three road games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Boston won its last five games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as a home favorite. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Lakers won seven of last ten games with Boston; they won three of last five visits to Beantown. LA covered six of last seven series games. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Bucks lost four in row, nine of last ten games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five road games. Nuggets lost last two games but won/covered four of last five at home. Last four Denver games went over the total. Nuggets won eight of last ten games with Milwaukee; four of last six series games stayed under total. Bucks lost their last five visits here (2-3 vs spread).

Dallas won five of last six games, covered six of last seven; they’re 9-7 in last 16 games as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over. Portland won four of its last five games; they’re 11-6 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Mavericks won four of last six games with Portland; teams split last four games played here. Last three series games stayed under.

Suns lost last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Last five Phoenix games went over total. Sacramento lost three of last four games, is 1-4 in lat five games as a home favorite. Five of their last six games went over the total. Kings won/covered six of last seven games with Phoenix, winning last three played here, by 2-23-22 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, February 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ORLANDO
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. BROOKLYN
Indiana is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Brooklyn is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing Memphis

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. BOSTON
LA Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Boston's last 22 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Chicago's last 23 games when playing Houston
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Denver
Milwaukee is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games at home
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. SACRAMENTO
Phoenix is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Phoenix is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, February 3


Phoenix @ Sacramento

Game 867-868
February 3, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.448
Sacramento
122.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 14
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 4 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-4 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Portland

Game 865-866
February 3, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
122.792
Portland
122.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
Even
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+5 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ Denver

Game 863-864
February 3, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
112.219
Denver
121.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 9 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

LA Lakers @ Boston

Game 861-862
February 3, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
108.320
Boston
129.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 21
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 11
221
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-11); Under

Chicago @ Houston

Game 859-860
February 3, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
121.259
Houston
120.214
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7
223
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Under

Memphis @ Oklahoma City

Game 857-858
February 3, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
123.319
Oklahoma City
116.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 7
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+1 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Brooklyn

Game 855-856
February 3, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
118.522
Brooklyn
114.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 7
221
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+7); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 853-854
February 3, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.905
Detroit
122.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 7
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
211
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-4); Over

Toronto @ Orlando

Game 851-852
February 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.947
Orlando
110.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 10
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (30 - 20) at ORLANDO (19 - 32) - 2/3/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (19 - 30) at DETROIT (22 - 27) - 2/3/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 94-116 ATS (-33.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
DETROIT is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
DETROIT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (26 - 22) at BROOKLYN (9 - 40) - 2/3/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 207-155 ATS (+36.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 57-71 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
BROOKLYN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (30 - 21) at OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 22) - 2/3/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 155-118 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (25 - 25) at HOUSTON (36 - 17) - 2/3/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 38-54 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games against Central division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 313-257 ATS (+30.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 111-79 ATS (+24.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (17 - 35) at BOSTON (31 - 18) - 2/3/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 42-55 ATS (-18.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 104-141 ATS (-51.1 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (21 - 27) at DENVER (21 - 27) - 2/3/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (19 - 30) at PORTLAND (22 - 28) - 2/3/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 367-302 ATS (+34.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 475-397 ATS (+38.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 313-261 ATS (+25.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 189-150 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
PORTLAND is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (15 - 34) at SACRAMENTO (19 - 30) - 2/3/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
PHOENIX is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 7-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet
February 3, 2017


Game of the Night – Mavericks at Blazers (-4 ½, 206 ½) – 10:35 PM EST – ESPN


Even though both these teams are currently sitting under .500, the race for eighth place in the Western Conference is heating up with Portland entering Friday tied with Denver. The Blazers (22-28 SU, 22-28 ATS) have won four of their past five games, including Tuesday’s 115-98 blowout of the Hornets as four-point favorites. The backcourt duo of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum combined for 45 points, while Allen Crabbe chipped in 21 points off the bench for Portland.


The Mavericks (19-30 SU, 26-23 ATS) are heating up at the right time by capturing victories in five of the previous six contests. Following an impressive back-to-back sweep of San Antonio and Cleveland earlier this week, Rick Carlisle’s team cruised past Philadelphia, 113-95 as 7 ½-point favorites. Seth Curry may not have the scoring prowess of his older brother, Stephen, but the younger Curry has scored at least 20 points in three of the past five games.


Dallas has cashed in nine of the previous 11 contests overall, while compiling a 7-4 ATS mark in the past 11 games away from American Airlines Center. Portland has performed well in the role of a home favorite since late November by posting a 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS record, which includes a 96-95 setback to Dallas at the Moda Center on December 21. The Mavericks have covered in five of the last six meetings with the Blazers, including three straight as an underdog in Portland.


Just Like Old Times


The Celtics/Lakers rivalry ruled the 60’s and 80’s and had a resurgence in the 2008 and 2010 NBA Finals. These teams are in different places now as Boston leads the Atlantic division, while Los Angeles is near the bottom of the Pacific division. The Lakers will be playing with no rest following Thursday’s 116-108 defeat at Washington, but Los Angeles cashed as 10 ½-point underdogs for its third straight road cover. However, Luke Walton’s squad has dropped 11 consecutive away contests with its last win away from Staples Center coming at Philadelphia on December 16.


Boston is riding a five-game winning streak after holding off Toronto on Wednesday in a key division showdown, 109-104. Since consecutive losses to New York and Portland in late January, the Celtics have won four straight at TD Garden, while posting an 11-2 home mark since Christmas. The road team won each matchup last season, including a 112-104 triumph by the Lakers in Beantown as 13 ½-point underdogs in December 2015.


Reeling Rockets


Houston squandered a 20-point lead in Thursday’s 113-108 home loss to Atlanta as the Rockets have failed to win consecutive games since early January. The Rockets fell to 1-5 ATS in the last six games as Houston hosts Chicago tonight at Toyota Center. Mike D’Antoni’s team has responded well off a loss this season at 14-2 SU and 13-3 ATS, while posting an 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS mark with no rest.


The Bulls are looking for their fourth winning streak of at least three games this season after beating the 76ers and Thunder this week. Chicago posted its best offensive effort of the season in a 128-100 blowout of Oklahoma City on Wednesday, as the Bulls shot 60% from the floor, led by Jimmy Butler’s 28 points. The Bulls have owned the Rockets recently by capturing four of the last five meetings, including a season sweep in 2016.


Crashing Thunder

Oklahoma City remains in second place of the Northwest division at 28-22, but the Thunder have dropped three in a row following Wednesday’s 28-point blowout loss to the Bulls. OKC looks to bounce back tonight when Memphis comes to town as the Grizzlies continue a six-game road trip.


Following a three-point loss to Portland to kick off the trip, the Grizzlies have won three straight, while limiting each of those opponents to 99 points or less. In Wednesday’s 119-99 blowout of Denver as four-point favorites, Marc Gasol knocked down three treys in leading Memphis with 24 points. The Grizzlies and Thunder split each of the first two meetings with the home team winning each time, as Memphis has dropped three straight visits to Chesapeake Energy Arena.

Setting the Pace


Indiana is starting to pull away from the .500 mark as the Pacers own a 26-22 record following three consecutive victories. The Pacers picked up only their second win in the road favorite role in Wednesday’s 98-88 triumph at Orlando, the third victory over the Magic this season. Indiana heads to Brooklyn tonight looking to top the Nets for the third time this season after routing Brooklyn in each of the last two meetings in Indianapolis.


However, Indiana has lost three of its last four visits to Barclays Center, including a 103-94 in late October as six-point favorites. The Nets are seeking their 10th win of the season, while going 1-18 SU and 5-13-1 ATS in the past 19 games. In case you were wondering, the last time the Nets won at Barclays Center came back on December 26 against Charlotte as 6 ½-point underdogs.

Deer Meat


The Bucks have spun out of control since the calendar turned to 2017, losing 11 of the past 14 games as Milwaukee travels to Denver. During this current 1-9 run, Jason Kidd’s team has covered only once, coming in a 123-114 home triumph over the Rockets as 4 ½-point underdogs on January 23. Since upsetting San Antonio on January 10, the Bucks have lost six straight games away from BMO Harris Bradley Center, while scoring less than 100 points in each of those defeats.


Denver tries to snap a two-game skid following losses to the Lakers and Grizzlies, as the Nuggets have allowed at least 112 points in four consecutive contests. The Nuggets are riding a four-game winning streak in the favorite role at Pepsi Center, while beating the Bucks in each in six consecutive home matchups.

Head-to-Head Trends


-- Toronto and Orlando have exchanged road victories in their two meetings this season as the teams hook up in central Florida tonight. The Raptors have dropped seven of their last nine games, while the Magic are 3-9 in their past 12 contests. Orlando edged Toronto in their previous matchup this past Sunday, 114-113 as 11-point road underdogs.


-- Detroit seeks its fourth consecutive victory over Minnesota since 2015 as the Wolves visit the Palace of Auburn Hills. The Pistons ripped the Wolves, 117-90 as 3 ½-point road favorites in December, as Minnesota has scored 90 points or less in its last three matchups against Detroit.


-- Sacramento routed Phoenix on opening night, 113-94 as short road favorites as the two Pacific rivals meet for the first time since late October. The Suns head to Sacramento tonight looking to end a five-game losing streak, while the Kings return home from an eight-game road swing. The Kings have owned the Suns recently with four straight wins in the series, including a pair of home blowouts last season.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 3


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOR at ORL 07:00 PM

TOR -5.0


IND at BK 07:30 PM


BK +7.0

U 220.0


MIN at DET 07:30 PM

DET -4.5


O 210.5


MEM at OKC 08:00 PM


MEM -1.0


O 204.0


CHI at HOU 08:00 PM


CHI +6.5


U 223.5


LAL at BOS 08:00 PM


BOS -11.0


U 221.5


MIL at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN -2.0


DAL at POR 10:30 PM


DAL +5.5


O 206.0


PHO at SAC 10:30 PM


SAC -4.5


U 217.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Lefty reliever Jerry Blevins got $6M from the Mets; if you have a son and don’t make him a lefty, you’re a damn fool.

— Celtics 113, Lakers 107- Both teams started the night with 3,252 wins.

— Central Michigan 86, Western Michigan 82— Chippewas play up/down, wild games. They finished this game on a 21-5 run- they trailed by 18 at one point.

— Rhode Island 70, Davidson 59— Big road win for Danny Hurley’s squad.

— Jeff Bagwell is in the HOF but was 0-24 against a reliever named Scott Sullivan, who now sells real estate in Alabama. Sullivan was 40-28 with nine saves in 528 big league games in his 10-year major league career.

— Dodgers signed former Giants reliever Sergio Romo, which will seem weird.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

13) As I write this, Treasure Island is only sports book in Las Vegas that has the Falcons +3.5 for the Super Bowl; apparently they feel strongly about New England covering.

12) Atlanta scored a TD on the first drive of its last eight games; hard to do.

Odd stat: In Brady’s six Super Bowls, New England scored zero first quarter points.

11) JJ Watt, Jordy Nelson and Antonio Brown are all NFL stars; they were also all walk-ons to their college football teams.

10) Colts’ punter Pat McAfee retired at age 29; he’s had three knee operations in last four years, and could need more later on. McAfee is going to try and become a professional comedian. Seriously.

9) College of Charleston’s women basketball team lost two wins after it was discovered they used men’s basketballs during two recent games.

Men’s basketballs are larger than ones used in women’s games; players on other teams complained, but the refs said the balls were legit. Refs should be disciplined, too.

8) Ten kids from Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas got D-I football scholarships this week. Must’ve been a damn good high school team.

7) Ever hear of Hitch Moore or Doyeob Mun? Nah, me either.

Moore is the #665-ranked golfer in the world; Mun is #667.

Eldrick Woods is ranked #666.

6) So I turn the Golf Channel on at 2:30am Thursday night to watch Eldrick Woods hack around the course at Dubai; at 2:32 they announce he withdrew. Did he get an appearance fee to go over there and if so, does he have to give part/all of it back?

5) Interesting conversation Friday afternoon on The Golf Channel with David Duval from the Phoenix Open, talking about what it is like when a great golfer loses his swing. Tough to imagine a champion golfer losing his confidence, but that is what Duval says happened to him. He stood on the tee and didn’t know if the ball was going to go 60 yards right or 70 yards left. Eye-opening stuff.

4) They were also telling a story about Jon Rahm, who got a golf scholarship to Arizona State, but when he got to Tempe, he didn’t know any English.

How the bleep do you get accepted into Arizona State (or any college in this country) if you don’t understand English? Had to be so difficult for him early on; can’t imagine living in an environment where I didn’t know the language.

Rahm made $1,004,035 on the PGA Tour last year, has already made more than that this season, so things are going well for him.

3) Notre Dame’s basketball team didn’t travel to North Carolina Friday, due to a water main break in the Chapel Hill area. Game was postponed, will now be played Sunday at 1:00 in Greensboro, instead of Saturday night at the Smith Center in Chapel Hill.

2) They had the ribbon cutting for the new VSIN radio studio in Las Vegas Friday, at the South Point Casino. Brent Musburger arrived on a stagecoach pulled by the Budweiser Clydesdales.

Looking forward to my next adventure in Las Vegas; as luck would have it, I’ll be at South Point.

1— I had forgotten about Dan Quayle, former Vice-President. He was honored at the Phoenix Open this weekend, becoming an honorary Thunderbird, a group that does a lot of charity stuff in the Phoenix area. Somehow his dad and son were already Thunderbirds but the former Vice-President wasn’t.

Random fact: While he was VP, Quayle visited 47 different countries.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 4

Orlando lost five of its last seven games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven road games, all of which went over the total. Hawks won 7 of last 10 home games but are 0-3 vs spread in last three; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Magic won three of last four games with Atlanta; road team won five of last seven series games. Orlando won by 7-11 points in last two visits here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Detroit lost five of its last six road games; they’re 4-3 in last seven games overall, 2-6 if they played night before. Last seven Piston games went over total. Pacers won their last five games, are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight home tilts. Last three Indiana games stayed under. Indiana won four in row, 7 of last 8 games with Detroit; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Pistons lost last three visits to Indiana by 5-12-12 points.

New Orleans lost its last four road games, four of last five overall; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Wizards won last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’ve won 16 in a row at home (13-2-1 vs spread). Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Washington won nine of last ten games with New Orleans (8-2 vs spread); Pelicans lost last four visits here (2-2 vs spread). Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Philly lost its last three road games, is 2-5 vs spread in its last seven; they lost four of last five games overall. 7 of their last 8 games went over total. Miami won won its last nine games; they ar e6-1 vs spread in last seven home tilts. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. 76ers lost five of last six games with Miami but covered three of last four; they lost last three visits to South Beach by 5-5-11 points. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Cleveland won three of last four games but lost five of last six on road; they’re 6-12 vs spread in last 18 road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. New York is 4-7 in its last 11 games, 2-7 in last nine at home. Three of their last four games went over. Knicks lost their last eight games with Cleveland (0-3 vs spread in last three); Cavaliers won won last six visits to Manhattan, covering three of last four. 8 of last 9 series games stayed under total.

Grizzlies won three of last four games, all on road; they’re 5-3 in last eight games overall. Last five Memphis games went over total. Minnesota won six of its last seven home games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games overall. Last six Wolves games went over. Memphis is 5-3 in its last eight games with Minnesota; home side won five of last six series games. Grizzlies lost by 5-36 points in last two visits here. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Denver won four of last six games, covered 9 of last 12; they lost three of last four road games. Last five Nugget games went over total. San Antonio won 7 of last 9 games, is 12-3 vs spread in last 15 home games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games (0-2 in last two). Spurs won nine of last ten games with Denver, covering four of last five; Nuggets lost last five visits to the Alamo (2-3 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Milwaukee lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they’re 0-7 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Suns snapped 5-game skid last night; they’re 5-2 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Bucks won three of last four games with Phoenix; road team won four of last five series games. Milwaukee won last two visits here, by 2-6 points. Last four series games stayed under the total.

Charlotte lost its last six games, is 0-7 vs spread in last seven; they’ve lost nine road games in a row (2-7 vs spread). Three of their last four games went over. Utah won 8 of last 11 games, 8 of last 10 at home. Four of last five Jazz games stayed under the total. Home side won last six Hornet-Jazz games; Charlotte lost last four visits to Utah (0-3-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games stayed under the total.

Warriors won their last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Three of their last four games went over. Sacramento lost 8 of last 9 home games, is 1-10 vs spread in last 11 at home. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won its last ten games with he Kings (8-2 vs spread); Warriors won last five trips to Sacramento (3-2 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, February 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Orlando's last 25 games when playing Atlanta
Orlando is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games
Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. WASHINGTON
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 13 games when playing New Orleans
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

8:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Memphis
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

9:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. UTAH
Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Charlotte

9:00 PM
DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Denver

9:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Phoenix is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SACRAMENTO
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (20 - 32) at ATLANTA (29 - 21) - 2/4/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (23 - 27) at INDIANA (27 - 22) - 2/4/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (19 - 31) at WASHINGTON (29 - 20) - 2/4/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (18 - 31) at MIAMI (20 - 30) - 2/4/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 60-44 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (33 - 15) at NEW YORK (22 - 29) - 2/4/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (30 - 22) at MINNESOTA (19 - 31) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 94-117 ATS (-34.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 344-404 ATS (-100.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 200-248 ATS (-72.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (22 - 27) at SAN ANTONIO (38 - 11) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (21 - 28) at PHOENIX (16 - 34) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 343-417 ATS (-115.7 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 141-185 ATS (-62.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 246-301 ATS (-85.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
PHOENIX is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (23 - 27) at UTAH (31 - 19) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Saturday games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 158-199 ATS (-60.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 69-39 ATS (+26.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (43 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (19 - 31) - 2/4/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 139-111 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 129-102 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 205-161 ATS (+27.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Saturday
February 4, 2017


After watching the favorites go 10-1 straight up and 9-2-1 against the spread in the NBA on Wednesday, we’ve seen the underdogs rebound the last couple nights. Despite going 5-8 SU the last two days, the pups have owned the betting counter with an 8-5 ATS mark. The ‘over’ has gone 15-10 (67%) the last three days.


Game of the Night – Cavaliers at Knicks (ABC, 8:30 p.m. ET)


Madison Square Garden will headline Saturday’s nationally televised showdown as Cleveland (33-15 SU, 20-26 ATS) meets New York (22-29 SU, 29-22 ATS). This will be the third meeting between the pair this season and if the trends hold steady in this series, we’ll be looking at another lopsided win for the Cavaliers.


Cleveland dropped New York at home by 29 points (117-88) on Oct. 25 and followed it up with a 126-94 thrashing of the Knicks in its first visit to MSG on Dec. 7.


Including those wins, the Cavaliers have won eight straight against the Knicks and have managed to cover four of those games. Total bettors should note that the ‘under’ has gone 7-1 during the Cavs’ win streak and New York hasn’t been able to crack 100 points in any of the eight losses.


Backing the Cavs seems like the obvious choice but you should be aware that they’ve gone 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five games on the road and the defense has allowed 100-plus in every contest. Overall, the Cavs have gone 11-10 SU and 7-14 ATS on the road.


New York enters this game off a 95-90 road win over Brooklyn on Wednesday and is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four games. At home, the Knicks have been a solid investment (13-11 SU, 15-9 ATS) this season for bettors.


Saturday’s does have an additional storyline that surrounds Kevin Love and Carmelo Anthony. The Knicks supposedly offered ‘Melo for Love but the Cavaliers didn’t bite. The trade rumors surrounding Anthony continue to heat up, specifically with the Cavs and Los Angeles Clippers.


No opening line was posted due to the uncertain status of Knicks point guard Derrick Rose (ankle). New York has gone 5-7 SU and 6-6 ATS when installed as a home underdog this season.


These teams will meet for the fourth and final time of the season right after the All-Star break from Cleveland on Feb. 23.


Streaking Teams

We’ve got four teams in action on Saturday that enter the day with win streaks of five-plus games.


The Pacers have won five straight and are 4-1 ATS during this run, with the lone non-cover missing by a half-point. Indiana hosts Detroit tonight and both are playing on no rest (see below).


The Wizards own a six-game winning streak (5-1 ATS) but their home run is even more impressive. Washington has won 16 straight at the Verizon Center and covered 14 of those games, one of the ATS losers coming on Thursday versus the Lakers. The Pelicans visit tonight and they’re mired in a 1-4 skid.


Miami is the hottest team in the league, winners in nine straight games. They’ve only been favored three times during this run and have covered all of them to go 9-0 ATS. The Heat (-8) are laying a healthy price tonight to Philadelphia, who was on an incredible run in January. Unfortunately, the 76ers are 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last five.


It’s rare to see Golden State struggle due to its talent but its ability to cover numbers lately has been impressive. The Warriors are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games and they’ve produced a stellar 8-2-1 ATS mark during this span while laying some heavy digits. Golden State is listed as a healthy road favorite (-12) over Sacramento, who lost on a buzzer beater to Phoenix last night.


Back-to-Back


Saturday’s card will feature nine teams playing on no rest. Listed below are SU and ATS records for each clubs plus any notable trends to watch.


Denver: 2-8 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 7-3 O/U (Both wins occurred on the road)


Detroit: 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS (Pistons have dropped three straight B2B games, all by double digits)


Indiana: 2-7 SU, 1-8 ATS, 6-3 O/U (All nine opponents scored over 100)


Memphis: 9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS (Just 1-3 last four on no rest after 8-0 start)


Milwaukee: 2-8 SU, 2-8 ATS, 6-4 O/U (The ‘over’ has cashed in five straight)


Minnesota: 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U (Two of three losses came at home)


Phoenix: 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS (3-0 last three games and ‘under’ on a 4-0 run)


Orlando: 3-7 SU, 7-3 ATS (2-3 last five but 5-0 ATS, ‘over’ 6-1 run)


Sacramento: 3-8 SU, 5-5-1 ATS (Nine of 11 played on the road, 0-2 at home)


Super Bowl 51 Props – Best Bet


The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has released hundreds of proposition wagers for Super Bowl LI between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons for Sunday, Feb. 5, 2017.


Included in that mix are “Cross-Sport” prop wagers, which allow bettors to focus on pro football and other sports, one of them pro basketball.


For Saturday, there are four games in play and there is one particular prop that caught my attention.


Stephen Curry -2 ½ Points & Assists over Patriots-Falcons 1st half combined points


I like the Golden State All-Star in this matchup and it’s apparent the oddsmakers just looked at his season numbers (22.7 PPG, 6.8 APG) rather than his current form. He’s on a roll right now and if you average his points and assists over his last three games, the total comes out to an eye-opening 45.3. In his first meeting versus the Kings, Curry dropped 30 points and six assists at Sacramento. Barring a ridiculous effort by the Patriots and Falcons on Sunday, I believe he’ll get close to 40 combined points and assists on Saturday.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack


— Happy to report that Kurt Warner was elected to the Hall of Fame last night, along with six other football greats. Looking forward to going to Ohio this summer.


— Someone bet $1.1M on the Falcons this weekend; on Thursday, someone wagered $200,000 on New England, someone else bet $485,000 on the Patriots. Imagine carrying that much money around?


— An average of $100,000 is wagered in Las Vegas every year on the Super Bowl coin flip. Just on the coin flip. Heads or freakin’ tails.


— Cal-Irvine guard Max Hazzard is the grandson of former UCLA coach Walt Hazzard. Spencer Rivers is also an Anteater, another one of Doc Rivers’ sons.


— Timberwolves lost Zach LaVine for the season with a torn ACL.


— A drone flew over Falcons’ practice Friday; you don’t think the Patr—- nah…..


**********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Saturday of basketball…..


13) Oregon 85, Arizona 58— It isn’t that the Ducks won, its that they led 36-11, and then it got a lot worse for the Wildcats, who had won 15 games in a row coming in. Ugly game. Oregon made 16-25 3’s- they made 10 of their first 13 behind the arc.


12) Florida 88, Kentucky 66— Rick Barry’s son Canyon is Florida’s 6th man; he’s made 30 free throws in a row, and he shoots underhanded, like his Hall of Fame father did.


Dwight Howard has missed 3,492 foul shots in his career (56.8%) yet he’s never tried shooting them underhanded— he makes $23M a year. Oy.


11) Bad Beat of the Year/Decade/Century?— VCU led by a hoop at St Bonaventure but Bonnies hit a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left, giving them a 1-point lead. VCU was favored by a point, so if you bet on St Bonaventure, you just won your bet right? Um, not so fast.


Nitwit students stormed the court, thinking the game was over and the Bonnies had won. It wasn’t over and they hadn’t won yet. Refs called a technical foul, VCU made the foul shot and the game went to overtime.


VCU won by 6 in overtime. Very tough loss for the home side.


10) Very upsetting day in the Big X:
Iowa State (+11) won 92-89 in OT at Kansas.
Kansas State (+8.5) won 56-54 at Baylor.
Oklahoma State (+11) won 82-75 at West Virginia.


9) Game of the Day: Eastern Washington 130, Portland State 124, in triple OT. Eagles led by 16 early in second half, before things got crazy.


EWU had two players score 45 points each, first time in eight years that any D-I college team had two kids score 40+ points in same game.


8) Syracuse 66, Virginia 62— Cavaliers were up 12 at the half, but scored only 28 points in second half as Orangemen improved to 6-0 at home in the ACC.


7) Ohio 85, Akron 70— Zips lost their first MAC game of season (9-1); they also had two kids wear one white sneaker, one dark blue sneaker in this game. Interesting fashion statement.


6) Rutgers 70, Penn State 68— Scarlet Knights are now 1-23 in Big 14 road games since joining the league.


5) St Mary’s 71, San Diego 27— Yikes. Toreros were down 32-9 at the half- they were 3-2o for the game, INSIDE the arc. Just a horrible performance.


4) Texas El-Paso 57, Middle Tennessee 54— Miners were an 11-point underdog but pulled the upset; UTEP has now won six of last seven games after starting the season 2-13. Tim Floyd can really coach- in their last four games, UTEP won as underdogs of 8/14/5.5/11 points.


3) Green Bay 86, Valparaiso 69— Upset win puts the Phoenix only a half-game out of first place in the Horizon League.


2) Yale-Cornell game was suspended until Sunday with the score 2-0 due to a power outage in Ithaca.


1— Virginia, Kansas, Middle Tennessee, Wm & Mary, Tennessee, Oral Roberts; they all had double digit halftime leads Saturday- they all lost. Its been an odd season- I can’t get a handle on it yet. Teams are incredibly erratic.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 5


Portland @ Oklahoma City

Game 855-856
February 5, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.497
Oklahoma City
125.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-4 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ Boston

Game 853-854
February 5, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.470
Boston
119.348
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+5 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Brooklyn

Game 851-852
February 5, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
113.320
Brooklyn
114.761
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 1 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
N/A




NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (30 - 21) at BROOKLYN (9 - 41) - 2/5/2017, 12:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (31 - 19) at BOSTON (32 - 18) - 2/5/2017, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-140 ATS (-51.0 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 256-308 ATS (-82.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 216-267 ATS (-77.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 195-255 ATS (-85.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 104-142 ATS (-52.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (22 - 29) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 22) - 2/5/2017, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 168-123 ATS (+32.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 5

Toronto won its last seven games with Brooklyn (5-2 vs spread); they won last three games in Barclays Center, by 17-7-10 points. Last two series games went over. Raptors lost 8 of last 10 games, are 3-9 vs spread in their last twelve road games. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. Brooklyn lost eight games in row and 19 of last 20; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home tilts. Nets’ last three games stayed under the total.

Clippers won five of last six games with Boston; they won three of last five visits to Beantown (over 4-1). Los Angeles is 2-5 since Paul got hurt but they did play Golden State twice in there; Clippers are 4-9 vs spread in last 13 road games- their last five games went over the total. Celtics won their last six games, but are 2-5 vs spread in their last seven home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Home side won last seven Blazers-Thunder games; OKC covered five of last seven series games. Portland lost their last three visits here, by 34-16-11 points. Portland won four of its last six games, is 5-10 vs spread in its last fifteen road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Thunder lost three of last four games, is 6-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 8-5 in their last thirteen games overall.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOR at BK

BK +7.0


O 216.0


LAC at BOS 02:00 PM


LAC +5.0


U 220.5


POR at OKC 03:00 PM


OKC -4.5


O 217.0

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack


— Florida State 109, Clemson 61— Losses like this get coaches fired.


— North Carolina 83, Notre Dame 76— Tar Heels out rebounded Notre Dame 44-25 in game played in Greensboro instead of Chapel Hill, because of a water main break.


— California 77, Colorado 66- Buffaloes played without couple of big men.


— Iowa 81, Nebraska 70— Cornhuskers were only down 3 with 3:57 left.


— Thunder 105, Trailblazers 99— Oklahoma City is 30-22, even without Durant.


— Raptors 103, Nets 95— Brooklyn is 9-42. Nine. and. Forty-two. Oy.


**********


Armadillo: My running diary of Super Bowl LI……..


After an interminable pre-game show, they’re actually going to play the Super Bowl. Here are some of my thoughts as I watch the game……….
6:25— Luke Bryan cranks out the National Anthem in 2:04; if you bet the under, go cash your ticket.


6:30— There is a golf playoff going on at the Phoenix Open; Webb Simpson and Hideki Matsuyama. Good competition, but am I the only person watching this?


6:33— President George H Bush (41) is flipping the coin; no matter what your politics, have to have lot of respect for this man, who went skydiving on his 75th birthday. A great American and a very tough guy— he was shot down while flying as a Navy pilot in the war.


6:38— While Atlanta won the coin toss, Simpson just left the winning putt about an inch short, just like Matsuyama did on the 18th hole. The playoff continues but now no one is watching.


6:41— An argument for Brady as the all-time best QB is that New England rarely has had a great WR; Julian Edelman was a QB in college at Kent State.


6:42— Patriots go 3-and-out; this is where I mention that in six Super Bowls, Brady-led offenses have scored zero first quarter points.


6:45— Falcons get a long run but wind up punting, first time in nine games they didn’t score a TD on their opening drive.


6:53— Budweiser had the option to have the first commercial, but turned it down- their research says commercials are better off run later in the game. Google had the first commercial instead.


6:55— Hideki Matsuyama makes a pretty long putt, wins the Phoenix Open for the second year in a row, and I put my remote away for the next three hours.


5:08 left in first quarter, 0-0. That total of 59 looks pretty daunting right now.


7:05— Scoreless first quarter. Weird stat that Brady has put up zero first quarter points out in the first quarter of his seven Super Bowls, yet won four of the first six.


7:07— New England fumbles, Falcons recover at the Atlanta 29. America cheers.


7:16— Devonte Freeman scores the first TD of the game; Atlanta is running ball down New England’s throat. 12:15 left in the half. Falcons 7-nil. Atlanta is 9-1 this year when they score first.


Referee Gene Steratore worked the Nebraska-Iowa basketball game today; someday I hope he gets to work a Super Bowl.


Good Honda commercial with some famous people talking over their high school yearbook pictures. It would take an enormous amount of money for me to show anyone my senior picture from way back when. Uh uh, no thanks.


Oh by the way, Falcons’ center Alex Mack is playing this game with a broken leg. In an age where NBA players now routinely take “maintenance days” just to rest up, a guy is playing on the offensive line with a freakin’ broken leg.


7:21— I’m still an advocate of throwing long passes towards YOUR SIDELINE; think you get an extra interference call or two a game that way.


7:28— Austin Hooper catches a TD pass from Ryan and Kyle Shanahan’s agent is doing backflips, whoever/wherever he is. Young Shanahan’s price tag is going up by the second here. 14-0 Atlanta with 8:48 left in the half.


Roger Staubach/Hank Aaron both had birthdays today; couple of pretty good ballplayers.


7:32— Total yards so far: 189-111, Falcons. Joe Buck informs me that no team has won a Super Bowl after trailing by more than ten points. Thanks, Joe.


Falcons traded five draft picks to Cleveland so they could draft Julio Jones; none of those five players is still in the NFL.


7:38— New England is dying here, but refs have called two defensive holding penalties on Atlanta on this drive. Falcons have allowed 30+ points six times this year, although only once since Halloween. Their tackling so far has been tremendous.


Lady Gaga is wearing sunglasses in an indoor stadium. With the roof closed.


Three defensive holding penalties on this drive; where were these guys when the Rams played New England in the Super Bowl?


7:45— Robert Alford picks off a pass and scores an 82-yard TD for the Falcons. Wow. Arthur Blank is looking for people to high-5 in his box. Alford showboats for the last 20 yards but for the love of God, this is a shocking result. 21-nil Falcons.


One of Mr Blank’s sons is named Max. Max Blank; is that a tremendous name or what? You could imagine a movie with a private eye named Max Blank.


Atlanta’s defensive coordinator is Richard Smith, working for his 8th NFL team in 28 years. His heartbeat has to be pretty high right now; his defense is playing its ass off!!!!


One of the endless list of prop bets was over 49.5 yards for the longest touchdown of the game, so if you had over, go cash your ticket.


7:55— Is Tom Brady the only NFL quarterback who makes less money than his wife?


A ticket to the first Super Bowl cost $12. A souvenir soda at this Super Bowl costs $11.


8:02— Troy Aikman kills Josh McDaniels’ play selection after a screen pass on 3rd down falls flat. New England kicks a field goal and it is 21-3 Falcons at halftime. I am stunned.


Time to hit the mens’ room and get some food!!!!


They opened the roof for the halftime show; seems like a good time to see what is on other channels:
— ESPN has a 30 for 30 on Allen Iverson
— ESPNU has a Memphis-USF womens’ basketball game. Do people bet on this?
— ESPN2 has the Harlem Globetrotters playing on an outdoor court.
— FX1 has motorcycle racing.
— NBC Sports Network has curling on (China 6-3 over US at the half)
— CBS Sports Network has poker on; Phil Hellmuth is playing with an Aria hat on that I declined to buy when I stayed there in December. For what I spent there, they should’ve thrown in a free hat.


8:35— Falcon offense went 68 minutes between drives; they get the second half kickoff.


Teams leading the Super Bowl at halftime are 37-10 (three games were tied).


8:47— Neither team scored on their first drive of second half; now Martha Stewart is on a commercial with Snoop Dawg. Another $5M down the drain.


8:55- Atlanta scores another touchdown; Arthur Blank is dancing again. Falcons just seem like the faster team across the board. 28-3 Atlanta; can we see Robert Kraft? Please?????


Right on cue, FOX shows Kraft and his hideous son Jonathan, who mocked Colts GM Ryan Grigson after he was fired. I understand why he would enjoy Grigson getting canned, since he helped instigate DeflateGate, but be a bigger person and keep it to yourself.


9:00— I’m in my late 50’s; right now I’m thinking of someone who is my age who became a Falcons’ fan as a little kid and has lived/died with every game of theirs since then. They must be SO EXCITED and that clock must be going so slowly for them.


Meanwhile, the Falcons have a new domed stadium opening next year; pretty good time to be selling luxury boxes/PSL’s for the new ballpark, eh?


9:05— Brady just ran for 15 yards, winning somebody a prop bet on his rushing yardage.


9:07— New England scores on a TD pass to White; time-consuming drive, and now the score is only 28-9 as Gostkowski clanks the PAT off the right upright.


Caesar’s Palace offered a prop on: “Will a PAT/FG hit the goal post?” The line was -$600 and of the $20,250 wagered, $20,o00 of it was on “No”. Whoops.


Mike Pence is sitting with Texans’ owner Robert McNair; when he was watching the Super Bowl at this time last year, Mr Pence had zero idea how much his life would change in a year. It won’t happen, but what a book he’ll be able to write if he ever wanted to.


If you had 8-0 in a square pool, you just threw something; if you had 8-9, you’re damn happy.


9:10— Onside kick fails miserably. Falcons take over at New England’s 45 with 2:06 left in the third quarter. If you’re an Atlanta fan, that clock can’t move fast enough.


17 years ago, the Rams led Tennessee 16-0 in the third quarter; a game that seemed over soon got very dicey. That freakin’ clock went so slow. Atlanta fans are not resting easily yet.


9:18— Third quarter is over. 28-9 Atlanta.


9:20— Arizona CB Tyrann Mathieu just tweeted this: “NE should have played Mike Floyd. They have no deep threats… ATL LBs too good. They aren’t any mis matches”


In NFL history, teams leading by 19+ points after third quarter in playoff games are 94-0.


9:27— New England is driving again, but Grady Jarrett (#97 on the Falcons) is having a big game; he has just tossed a few guys out of his way tonight. If you’re thinking (too early) about an MVP for this game, Jarrett deserves consideration.


Jarrett’s dad, by the way, is former Falcon linebacker Jesse Tuggle.


9:29— Patriots kick a field goal; game is 28-12 Atlanta with 9:44 left. If you’re a Falcon fan, that damn clock needs to start moving a little faster. Couple of first downs wouldn’t hurt, either.


Ryan is 7-7 for 121 yards on passes thrown in the middle third of the field. Atlanta’s offense has done very little in this game, but they have run the ball for 6.8 yards/attempt.


9:38— Ryan is sacked/fumbles and New England recovers on the Atlanta 25; if you’re a lifelong Falcon fan, your blood pressure just went up. A lot. This will be the longest hour of your life.


Random baseball stat that I just saw on Twitter: Claudell Washington struck out 39 times against Nolan Ryan, the most of any player ever.


9:40— Danny Amendola just caught a TD pass from Brady and the score is 28-20 with 5:56 left. When Amendola played for the Rams, he got hurt on every other play. Now he’s Cal Ripken.


I’ve lived through a game just like this; if you’re an avid Falcon fan, life is standing still right now; you’re ignoring the commercials and praying for Ryan to hit Julio Jones a couple times. Nothing else matters; you’re not hungry, Arthur Blank isn’t dancing anymore and your team that has never won a Super Bowl is desperately holding on.


9:45— Ryan hits Freeman for a big gain and Atlanta has the ball at midfield. Clock is under 5:00 but one of the Atlanta linemenn just got hurt.


9:49— Julio Jones just made a great catch!!! Fantastic!!! First down and Atlanta is in field goal range. Clock is at 4:40, the ball is on the 22 and those five draft picks the Falcons traded to the Browns so they could draft Jones seems like a mere pittance.


9:53— Good God. The Falcons implode, wind up with a 4th-and-33 near midfield; they’re punting with 3:38 left and New England has two timeouts left.


I’m guessing this is getting big TV ratings.


10:00— Julian Edelman just made a great catch on a deflected pass; Atlanta wasted their last challenge— they’ll lose it. That catch will go down in history as a great play but by God Atlanta, make a play!!!!


10:02— New England is inside the Atlanta 25 and Falcon fans are promising to give up any bad habits they might have if just this one time, their team can win. Even if the Patriots score a TD, they need the 2-point conversion to tie the score.


How hard is Roger Goodell rooting for the Falcons right now?


10:06— White scores another TD. 28-26. High drama. Patriots have to go for 2- they make it, so now a game that was 28-9 after three quarters is 28-28. Kraft and his creepy son are hugging in their box. Aikman just called Brady the best QB ever. I have empathy for loyal Falcon fans.


0:57 left, the Falcons have no timeouts; if you bet the over, the only way you can lose in on a safety. If you took three points or money-lined Atlanta, you’re queasy.


10:10— I saw an article this week that said if the Patriots win 31-28, Vegas sports books would be refunding tickets for a week— so many wagers would be pushed.


10:14— First overtime in Super Bowl history. 28-28. FOX executives have to be thrilled.


10:18— Patriots are -$165 in OT; Atlanta is +$145. New England has the ball first.


During the week, odds on there being overtime was +$525.


10:23— Pass interference on Atlanta; ball is on the 2-yard line. TD wins the game; if they kick a FG, Falcons will get the ball for one possession.


10:24— New England scores, the Patriots win 34-28 and my condolences to Falcon fans.