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Monday's NBA Essentials
January 30, 2017



Game of the Night - Memphis at Phoenix (TNT, 10:35 ET)


This is the second half of Monday's nationally-televised doubleheader, so the hope here is that it will provide a fun matchup to salvage what could potentially be a dud of a night. Of the six games on the schedule, there's only one matchup between teams that have both surpassed 20 wins, the opening game of TNT's twinbill, previewed below.


Of the 10 teams with the NBA's lowest winning percentages, eight will be in action on Monday. Only the Lakers and Pelicans are skipping the party.


The Grizzlies are the top Western Conference team playing Monday and come off an impressive 102-95 road win at Utah on the second night of a back-to-back. This will be the third leg of a six-game road trip, all against conference opponents, that continues against Denver, Oklahoma City and Minnesota. After spending most of the season with at least one regular out of the lineup -- more often three or more -- the Grizzlies will have everyone available.


Big forward/center Brandan Wright will make his season debut following ankle surgery. He's played just 12 games with Memphis, but is a strong rebounder and capable rim protector who should have an impact if he can stay healthy. Shooter Troy Daniels is back after undergoing knee pain and Chandler Parsons should play after resting on the second night of a back-to-back. With Zach Randolph coming off a season-high 28-point outburst over the Jazz and Vince Carter still effective despite now being on the other side of 40, a Grizzlies team that was once playing without All-Star Marc Gasol, point guard Mike Conley, Randolph, Parsons, Carter and Wright has a chance to be among the league's deepest heading into the break.


Since first-year head coach David Fizdale is just getting to know all these players, Parsons is still struggling to find his shot and Wright is just returning, there will definitely be more shuffling ahead. The next four games of this road trip give the Grizzlies opportunities to improve on the West's fourth-best conference mark, currently an impressive 19-10, but could also produce some spotty play since it's tough for new pieces to mesh on the road. Since the three renaining stops all feature teams playing better than the Suns, who have dropped three straight and bring up the rear in the entire West, it's important for Memphis to take care of business.


Randolph's 28-point game off the Griz bench is just the latest and best in a fantastic month where he's proven he can still be a force, averaging 15.9 points and 9.8 rebounds. Over the last three games, he's shooting nearly 66 percent and averaging 20 and 10. Gasol is averaging 30.4 points over his last five, so Phoenix has to hope Tyson Chandler can stay out of foul trouble or they'll have serious issues on defense.


The Suns have surrendered an average of 120.7 points during their current skid, which features a home loss to Minnesota and home-and-home sweep at the hands of Denver. They've lost five of seven and have allowed 103 or more points in each of their last 10.


Phoenix has lost five of its last six home games, with the lone win coming in an upset of San Antonio. This will be the first of three meetings over the next month between these teams, who split last year's four encounters, only one of which included Gasol.


Game of the Night II - Detroit at Boston (TNT, 8:05 ET)


Since Dec. 15, Detroit has gone 7-13 over a 20-game span, falling to the bottom of the Central Division. Stan Van Gundy has tried everything to try and push the right buttons, but after matching a season-high three-game winning streak, the Pistons lost at home to Sacramento and then got stomped in Miami despite four days off in between.


If nothing else, they'll have the fresher legs in this matchup, catching the Celtics on their fifth game in seven nights. They've won their last three despite missing two starters in F/C Al Horford (groin) and Avery Bradley (Achilles), most recently winning in Milwaukee after double-digit home wins over Houston and Orlando. Both players may return as early as tonight, so be sure to monitor news after shootaround. They're considered day-to-day and will likely be game-time decisions when they do return.


Marcus Smart has done tremendous defensive work filling in for Bradley, but he's shooting just 35 percent and definitely could benefit from a reduced workload. Kelly Olynyk picked up the offensive slack for Horford with 17 points in the win over the Bucks, but is also best in smaller doses. Getting Horford and Bradley back for the rest of Boston's homestand, which continues with an Atlantic Division showdown against Toronto on Wednesday and games against both LA teams this weekend, will give them an opportunity to hang on to a division lead they captured when the Raptors lost at home to Orlando on Sunday.


Isaiah Thomas has been the driving force, averaging 31.6 points over his last 22 games and is set to close out a second consecutive month averaging over 30 points. He's averaged 25.5 points in splitting the two contests the Celtics have played against Detroit, but will get a vastly different look here. Reggie Jackson, who excelled at Boston College, will be playing his first game in this series since he was injured to start the season, so he'll certainly bring it in his old college stomping grounds. The Celtics are favored for the fifth time in six games in this series, but Detroit has won two outright. Four of their last five meetings have gone under the posted total.


Matchup to Watch

Moisture postponed the Nov. 30 matchup between these teams, which could potentially work out as a bonus if Joel Embiid is able to play. Knee soreness has kept him out of most of Philadelphia's games of late, and he's been diagnosed with a bone bruise that may ultimately keep him out of this one.


If he's able to play, the fact he's further along now that he was late in the first full month of his rookie season means we could get a worthy sequel to their first meeting, when Embiid scored 25 points and grabbed eight rebounds but got his shot blocked as he pulled up on DeMarcus Cousins for a game-winner. Cousins, who won the game 102-100 with a 3-pointer with 20.9 seconds left in addition to the game-saving block, has led Sacramento to wins in three of four, pulling off upsets of Detroit, Cleveland and Charlotte.


The Kings have covered five consecutive games, all on the road. The 76ers have covered all seven of their home games in 2017, winning six outright before having that streak snapped in Friday's 123-118 loss to the Rockets, who were favored by 7.


Philadelphia lost 121-108 in Chicago on Sunday night, but has still won nine of 14, its most impressive run since 2011.


Notable Head-to-Head Trends


-- The Nets have lost eight of nine against the Heat and just blew a fourth-quarter lead last week in a 109-106 home loss. This matchup pits the team with the NBA's longest winning streak (Miami, 7) against the team with the longest run of losses. Brooklyn has dropped five straight and comes in 9-38, six games up on Phoenix for the league's worst record. Dion Waiters dished out a season-high eight assists against the Nets on Wednesday and hit the dagger 3-pointer to complete the comeback, finishing with 24 points. He's shockingly averaged 25.2 over his last five, shooting over 51 percent from the field and 3-point range.


-- The Magic and Wolves have nearly identical records, something that depresses both fan bases as they near the 50-game mark. Minnesota won the first meeting between these teams on Nov. 9, winning in Orlando 123-107 behind Zach LaVine's 37 points and Andrew Wiggins' 29. LaVine shot 7-for-9 from 3-point range, helping snap a five-game losing streak at the hands of the Magic. Minnesota has won just three times in 16 games in this series since '08-'09.


-- Dallas won five straight games over Cleveland without LeBron James in the lineup, but have lost the last four with him in the mix, including a 129-90 rout on Nov. 25. The Cavs shot 20-for-43 from 3-point range in that win, led by Kevin Love going 7-for-9 and finishing with 27 points and 10 rebounds in 28 minutes. Due to back spasms that knocked him out of Sunday's win over Oklahoma City, Love will be absent against the Mavs. James and Kyrie Irving made the trip to Dallas despite this game being on the second night of a back-to-back, so they're likely to play although a late audible is always a possibility.


Dallas is certain to be without Deron Williams (leg) and J.J. Barea (calf), in addition to probably missing Andrew Bogut, who hurt his hamstring in a stunning Dirk Nowitzki and Seth Curry-led upset of San Antonio last night. The Cavs are 3-5 SU/2-6 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back, while the Mavs are winless in nine games on the second night, covering just twice.
 

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Kevin Love's back problem gives Cavs another issue to handle
January 30, 2017



CLEVELAND (AP) Kevin Love's back flared up just when things were starting to calm down for the Cavaliers.


Love was to have an MRI and medical evaluation Monday to see what's causing the back spasms that have bothered him for several weeks. The All-Star forward, who left Sunday's win over Oklahoma City in the first half, did not travel with the NBA champions for their game in Dallas.


The team is expected to provide an update on Love, who is averaging 19.9 points and 11 rebounds in what to this point has been the best of his three seasons with Cleveland.


The Cavs, who play five of their next six games on the road, may decide to give Love some time off to see how his back responds. There's no urgency at this point other than to get him healthy for the season's final two months and the postseason.


''This has been our mantra since we all came together: Next man up,'' said forward Tristan Thompson, who had 19 points, 12 rebounds, four block and four steals in Sunday's 107-91 win over the Thunder. ''We talk about it every year. Next man up. We hope Kevin gets well, takes care of his body, because you know we're going to need him for the long haul.


''So whatever he has to do to get 100 percent, that's the most important. We need Kev for the long haul. Everyone wants to push it through, but if you're hurt or you're not feeling right, get right because we need the big fella.''


Love's back issue isn't new. He was kept out of the second half of a loss at Golden State on Jan. 16 with spasms and sat out a Jan. 18 home game against Phoenix. The 28-year-old player has been dealing with a back problem since he was traded to Cleveland from Minnesota in 2014. He scored one point and grabbed eight rebounds in 12 minutes on Sunday before his back tightened up on him.


Love's status could have a ripple effect over the coming weeks as the team looks to add frontcourt depth and a backup point guard. General manager David Griffin is expected to make some moves before the Feb. 23 trade deadline.


The Cavs have an open roster spot and it's possible they could sign a big man to a 10-day contract while Love recovers.


Cleveland has been dealing with some recent turbulence with ugly losses. LeBron James called the roster ''top heavy'' and questioned whether the front office was satisfied with one title.


While being named an Eastern Conference All-Star reserve last week, Love's name surfaced again in trade rumors, this time in a potential deal with the New York Knicks for Carmelo Anthony. Although the Cavs did not comment on a report the Knicks wanted to trade for Love, James and Anthony are close friends and have talked in the past about playing together.
 

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MONDAY, JANUARY 30


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SAC at PHI 06:00 PM


PHI +1.5


O 205.0



BK at MIA 07:30 PM


BK +8.5


O 218.0


DET at BOS 08:00 PM


BOS -5.5


O 215.0



ORL at MIN 08:00 PM


ORL +9.0


O 210.5


CLE at DAL 08:30 PM


DAL +4.0


U 208.0



MEM at PHO 10:30 PM


PHO +3.5


O 208.0
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


— 76ers 122, Kings 119— Cousins had 46 points, 15 rebounds, 5 assists in losing cause.


— Celtics 113, Pistons 109 OT— Boston is 10-4 in January.


— T’wolves 111, Magic 105 OT— Rubio had 22 points, 8 boards, 8 assists for Minnesota.


— Duke 84, Notre Dame 74— Irish lost four of last five games after a 16-2 start.


— Oklahoma State 68, Oklahoma 66— Cowboys’ first win in Norman since 2004.


— Casino mogul Sheldon Adelson pulled out of a plan to build a $1.9 billion domed stadium for the Raiders in Las Vegas. Now the Raiders will put up $1.15B for the stadium.


**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but………

13) St Louis Cardinals have to send the Astros $2M and two draft picks as payment for the hacking scandal that saw one of their employees hit with criminal charges.


12) Kid named Mathias on Purdue makes 49% (49-100) of his 3-pointers, a superior shooter. Was very frustrating watching the Boilermakers play at Nebraska Sunday and the kid who is guarding Mathias would leave him to help out on dribble penetration. No!!!!!


A 49% 3-point shooter is like a 73.5% 2-point shooter; you never leave a guy like that, but the old school “help defense” school of thinking says you should. No bueno. Mathias had 19 points but Nebraska pulled the upset anyway. Never leave a great 3-point shooter.


11) These teams had the most turnovers in any college hoop game this season: Manhattan 40, Western Carolina 34, New Hampshire 34.


The common thread of those three games? They all came against West Virginia.


10) Joel Embiid played less than one year (23 games) in college at Kansas, scoring 11.2 pts/game in 23.2 mpg; he then missed two full seasons because of injury. Now he has emerged as a force in the NBA, scoring 20.3 pts/game in 25.4 mpg in 31 games for the 76ers.


Both very impressive and very surprising.


9) Kenny Smith took a night off from the TNT studios last week and the result was a great debate between Charles Barkley and Shaquille O’Neal on whether the Cavaliers need more help to defend their championship. Good spirited debate; less people makes for better TV.


8) Employees at the Albany Times-Union, the main newspaper in my hometown, haven’t had a raise in 3,376 days, or 9.25 years. Long time.


7) What four colleges have the most players in this year’s Super Bowl?


Alabama, LSU, Stanford aren’t surprising, but Rutgers having four guys in it is.


6) FOX Sports’ Steve Lavin compared Utah hoop coach Larry Krystkowiak’s coaching style to Robert Duvall in The Great Santini, where Duvall was a military parent who used tough love in raising his kids. Lavin is great with movie references but not sure that was a compliment.


5) If you care about such things, Eastern Washington is 8-1 vs spread in Big Sky games this season.


4) Someone on MLB Network was touting Dwight Evans as a Hall of Fame over the weekend; ugh. Evans is like Keith Hernandez; an outstanding defensive player who wasn’t a great player, but was a really, really good player on very good teams. I’d vote Hernandez for the HOF before I’d vote for Evans and I wouldn’t vote for Hernandez.


3) More bad injury news from the Big East: Xavier loses PG Edmond Sumner for the season with a torn ACL, joining Creighton’s Maurice Watson on the sidelines with a knee injury.


2) This is a quote in the Blue Ribbon Basketball Yearbook, a preseason hoop guide, from Arizona coach Sean Miller:


“Allonzo Trier has been in the gym more this summer than some guys who consider themselves hard workers would’ve done over two summers………..his body, his waist, his body fat— he looks like a different person and that’s through hard work. It is an obsession for him to become a great player and it’s so fun to be around him because he is maturing.”


Consider then, that Trier was later declared ineligible for most of the season due to having PED’s in his system. Maybe he really did get in a car accident and maybe a relative did give him PED’s to recover, but in today’s world, it isn’t difficult to be cynical.


1— Speaking of Arizona, the road team is 9-0-2 vs spread in Arizona’s Pac-12 games so far this season. With Trier eligible again, the Wildcats are going to be a fashionable Final Four pick.
 

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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 31

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NEW YORK (21 - 28) at WASHINGTON (27 - 20) - 1/31/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 209-164 ATS (+28.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (19 - 29) at TORONTO (29 - 19) - 1/31/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 67-40 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
TORONTO is 114-149 ATS (-49.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (19 - 29) at HOUSTON (35 - 16) - 1/31/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (36 - 11) - 1/31/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-66 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 72-54 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 144-110 ATS (+23.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 499-414 ATS (+43.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 149-104 ATS (+34.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 202-141 ATS (+46.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 172-126 ATS (+33.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-6 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (23 - 25) at PORTLAND (21 - 28) - 1/31/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 158-198 ATS (-59.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (21 - 25) at LA LAKERS (16 - 34) - 1/31/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 58-72 ATS (-21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 149-195 ATS (-65.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 62-94 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 31

New York lost 11 of last 14 road games, is 11-5 vs spread in last 16 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Wizards won eight of last nine games (8-0-1 vs spread); they’re 12-1-1 vs spread in last 14 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Washington won nine of its last ten games with the Knicks (7-2-1 vs spread), winning four of last five series games here. Four of last five series games went over total.

Pelicans are 5-0 vs spread in game following their last five losses; they’re 4-2 in last six games as a road underdog, Five of their last six games went over total. Raptors lost six of last seven games, is 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Toronto won eight of last ten games (7-2-1 vs spread) with New Orleans; Pelicans lost four of last five games in Canada (1-3-1 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over.

Kings are playing 4th game in five nights; they’re won three of last five games, are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten on road. Rockets lost three of last four games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five at home. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Houston won nine of last ten games with Sacramento (8-2 vs spread); Kings lost their last five games here (1-4 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over total.

Thunder won three of last four games, is 5-7 vs spread in last 12 road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. San Antonio lost its last two games, is 10-3 vs spread in last 13 home games- over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Oklahoma City won its last three games with the Spurs by 14-4-14 points; Thunder covered 8 of last 10 series games, won SU in last two visits to Alamo. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Hornets lost last four games, is 0-5 vs spread in last five; they’re 5-9 vs spread in last 14 road games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Trailblazers won three of last four games, are 10-7 as home favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under. Portland won seven of last ten games with Charlotte; Hornets lost their last five visits to Oregon (1-4 vs spread). Last three series games stayed under the total.

Denver won four of its last five games (5-0 vs spread); they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Lakers lost eight of last nine games, covered three of last four; they’re 5-7 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Denver, which won/covered its last five games against LA in Staples Center. Last six series games went over total.
 

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Tuesday, January 31

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
New York is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing New York

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

8:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
Oklahoma City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

10:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Charlotte

10:30 PM
DENVER vs. LA LAKERS
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games at home
LA Lakers are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games
 

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Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 31

New York at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
New York: 8-0 ATS off a close road loss of 3 pts or less
Washington: 13-30 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses

New Orleans at Toronto, 7:05 PM ET
New Orleans: 15-7 UNDER in non-conf games
Toronto: 10-2 ATS off back to back home games

Sacramento at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
Sacramento: 26-47 ATS revenging a same season loss
Houston: 12-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

Oklahoma City at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Oklahoma City: 16-31 ATS off a non-conf game
San Antonio: 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 pts or more

Charlotte at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Charlotte: 19-40 ATS on the road vs Northwest division
Portland: 16-6 ATS after playing as a home underdog

Denver at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Denver: 8-1 ATS off a win by 10 or more pts
Los Angeles: 33-20 UNDER as a home underdog
 

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Tuesday's Tip Sheet
January 30, 2017



Game of the Night – Thunder at Spurs (-9, 210) – 8:35 PM EST


Oklahoma City knocked San Antonio out of the second round of the playoffs last season in six games as the two teams meet for the first time this season on Tuesday. The Spurs led the series, 2-1, but the Thunder captured the final three games of the series, including a 113-99 triumph to eliminate San Antonio at home. One season later, the Spurs are still the leaders of the Southwest division, while Oklahoma City is still performing well in spite of Kevin Durant’s departure to Golden State.


The Thunder (28-20 SU, 26-21-1 ATS) sit one game behind the Jazz in the Northwest division heading into Tuesday’s action following Sunday’s 107-91 setback at Cleveland as 7 ½-point underdogs. Russell Westbrook compiled his 24th triple-double of the season with 20 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists, but Thunder star was limited to 7-of-26 shooting from the floor. Oklahoma City’s three-game winning streak came to an end, while the Thunder fell to 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 opportunities as a road underdog.

San Antonio (36-11 SU, 27-19-1 ATS) suffered consecutive losses for only the second time this season after falling at home to Dallas on Sunday, 105-101 as 12-point favorites. The Spurs topped the 100-point mark for the 24th straight game in spite of the defeat to the Mavericks, only the second home loss since the start of December. Gregg Popovich’s squad has eclipsed the OVER in nine of the last 10 games, including each of the past five at the AT&T Center.


The Spurs have won seven of the past 10 home meetings with the Thunder, as Oklahoma City has been held to 98 points or less in its last six trips to San Antonio. However, OKC captured the previous two visits to San Antonio in the playoffs last season after losing the series opener, 124-92.


Heading West


The Hornets begin a short three-game road swing against Portland, Golden State, and Utah on Tuesday at the Moda Center. Charlotte is trending backwards by losing four straight games, coming off Saturday’s 109-106 home defeat to Sacramento. The Hornets are 0-for the road in 2017 by losing all seven games away from the Spectrum Center this month, while allowing at least 100 points in all seven defeats.


Charlotte routed Portland earlier this month, 107-85 as 5 ½-point home favorites, only the third win in the last 10 games of the series. The Blazers continue a five-game homestand following Sunday’s 113-111 setback to Golden State as six-point underdogs. Since late November, Portland has cashed in seven of the last 11 opportunities as a home favorite, while beating Charlotte eight consecutive times at the Moda Center since January 2009.


Home Wizardry


Washington hasn’t lost a game at the Verizon Center since December 6 to Orlando as the Wizards shoot for their 15th consecutive home win against the Knicks. Scott Brooks’ club is rolling from an ATS perspective by covering nine straight games, coming off Sunday’s 107-94 triumph at New Orleans to improve to 27-20 on the season.


The Knicks haven’t won back-to-back contests in over a month as New York had an opportunity to accomplish that feat on Sunday in Atlanta. Forty-eight minutes of regulation didn’t decide a winner as New York fell in four overtimes, 142-139, but the Knicks managed to cash as 6 ½-point underdogs. New York has fared well of late as a road ‘dog by covering three of the past four in this role, but the Knicks have lost the first two meetings to the Wizards this season by a combined 10 points. New York will be without point guard Derrick Rose, who is sidelined with an ankle injury.


Facing Extinction?


The Raptors have gone backwards of late by losing six of the last seven games to fall out of first place in the Atlantic division. Toronto was tripped up by Orlando as 11-point favorites, 114-113 on Sunday in spite of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan combining for 55 points. The Raptors have allowed at least 100 points in each of their last five defeats as Toronto welcomes in New Orleans to the Air Canada Center.


The Pelicans have alternated wins and losses in their past seven contests, coming off Sunday’s 13-point home setback to the Wizards. New Orleans’ five-game OVER streak came to a halt in the loss to Washington, as the Pelicans begin a three-game road trip that continues to Detroit and Washington. The Pelicans have dropped four of their last seven contests away from the Big Easy, but Alvin Gentry’s team has covered five times in this span.

Eight is Enough



Sacramento finishes off a brutal eight-game road trip in Houston after losing at Philadelphia on Monday, 122-119. The Kings built an early 16-point lead before the 76ers rallied back with 42 third quarter points to hand Sacramento its fourth loss on the trip. Dave Joerger’s squad owns a 5-1-1 ATS record in its last six games as a road underdog, as the Kings are playing with double-revenge after losing the first two meetings with the Rockets this season by double-digits.


The Rockets return home following a 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS away swing, capped off by a 19-point setback at Indiana on Sunday. After allowing 95 points in a victory at Memphis to kick off the trip, Houston yielded 118 points or more in each of the past four contests, but the OVER went 2-2 in those four games.

Hot Nuggets



Don’t look now, but Denver is flying high by winning seven of its last nine games to move into the eighth spot in the Western Conference playoff race. The Nuggets look to extend their hot streak to four after completing a home-and-home sweep of the Suns as Denver travels to Staples Center to face the Lakers. Denver has captured four of the past five meetings with Los Angeles, including a 127-121 road victory two weeks ago.


The Lakers are in a difficult schedule spot off an 0-3 road trip before hitting the highway once again for five contests starting Thursday in Washington. Los Angeles has been limited to 98 points or fewer in seven of the past nine games, while the UNDER has cashed seven times during this stretch. Since winning three straight at Staples Center in early January, the Lakers have dropped three of the past four home contests.
 

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Hoop Trends - Tuesday
January 31, 2017

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Knicks are 0-10-1 ATS (-10.68 ppg) off a loss where they scored 15+ points more than Vegas projected since Nov 29, 2009.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:



-- The Trail Blazers are 10-0 OU (18.65 ppg) after playing as a home dog and facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game since Jan 11, 2013.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:



-- The Spurs are 9-0 OU (14.06 ppg) since Nov 21, 2016 at home after Kawhi Leonard was the Spurs’ high scorer.

CHOICE TREND:



-- The Spurs are 10-0-1 ATS (9.86 ppg) after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws since Nov 18, 2016.

ACTIVE TRENDS:



-- The Wizards are 10-0 ATS (6.35 ppg) since Dec 18, 2016 after Otto Porter shot better than 50% from the arc.
 

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 31


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NY at WAS 07:00 PM


WAS -7.5


O 217.0


NO at TOR 07:00 PM


TOR -8.0


U 214.5


SAC at HOU 08:00 PM


HOU -11.5


O 225.0



OKC at SA 08:30 PM


SA -9.5


U 210.5


CHA at POR 10:00 PM


POR -3.5


O 214.5


DEN at LAL 10:30 PM


DEN -2.5


U 226.0
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack


— Kentucky 90, Georgia 81 OT– Wildcats’ PG Fox didn’t play; Monk scored 37 to bail Kentucky out.


— North Carolina 80, Pitt 78— Panthers have now lost 7 games in a row, but they damn near pulled off a huge upset in Chapel Hill.


— Maryland 77, Ohio State 71— Terps are 12-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.


— Creighton 76, Butler 67— Bad home loss for the Bulldogs; Creighton is playing without its injured point guard.


— West Virginia 85, Iowa State 72— What genius put West Virginia in the Big X? This is shortest road trip they have in the league and it is 871 miles. Oy.


— Derek Fisher had $300,000 worth of jewelry stolen from his home; hell, if someone stole my whole house, the whole damn thing, they wouldn’t net $300,000. Bad day for the former Knicks coach.


**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) In mid-September, the Atlanta Falcons were 100-1 to win the Super Bowl.


12) Matt Ryan was the 25th-rated QB in the high school class of 2003. One of the QB’s ranked ahead of him was Clayton Richard, who pitched for the Cubs/Padres last year- he’s spent eight years in the major leagues. Richard was a backup QB at Michigan for a while in college.


11) Speaking of the Padres, they’ll be paying a lot of money this season to BJ Upton, James Shields and Hector Olivera, none of whom are Padres anymore.


No one on the current San Diego roster will earn as much money as any of those three guys this year.


10) St Louis Cardinals’ first pick in the June amateur draft will be the 94th pick in the draft.


9) ESPN hired David Ross (baseball), Rex Ryan (NFL) as analysts. Ryan should be TV gold, unless he wants to coach again and watches his words, which has never happened before.


8) Barclays Center in Brooklyn is booting the NHL’s Islanders out, saying they could make more money if they just had concerts and the Nets there.


Where will the Islanders go? Here is a novel idea: how about moving the team to Canada, where I’m told that hockey is very popular? Quebec City, Hamilton, Saskatoon; I’m sure they would all love to have an NHL franchise of their own.


7) Take the Power 6 college basketball conferences (ACC, Big X, Big 14, SEC, Pac-12, Big East); this year, those teams are averaging 73.3 pts/game, compared to 71.7 LY and 66.2 the year before, so thats a good trend.


Imagine if they let refs call continuation on drives to the basket; would increase scoring even more.


6) In 1992, the Florida Marlins drafted a pitcher from Stanford in the 2nd round, kid named John Lynch— he pitched two years in the NY-Penn League, then dedicated himself to football, where he was a great player. Now Lynch is the GM of the 49ers, despite having no experience in the front office. Will be interesting to see how he does.


I’ll say this: as a Ram fan, I can’t root for Lynch to succeed, but he’ll be missed on TV. He was smart and fair and teamed up well with FOX’s Kevin Burkhardt.


5) There have been 94 Kentucky players who played in the NBA, 88 from UCLA; they were talking about that on the Memphis-Phoenix NBA game Monday night.


4) Northwestern is going to make the NCAA’s this year for the first time; one of their best players is Bryant McIntosh, who is from Greensburg, IN. He was saying last week how Indiana Hoosiers recruit nationally more than they do in Indiana, so they weren’t so interested in him, but now he is helping put the Wildcats on the national map for the first time. Good for him.


3) You look at Gonzaga as a #1 seed that has never been to a Final Four; they’ll be the #1 seed out west if they wind up as a #1— now you look at Bracketology to see who they could possibly face in a second round game, just to get to the Sweet 16. They’ll have lot of pressure on them.


Here are the 8-9 seed matchups that ESPN has up right now; I know it is still early, but it gives you a little bit of an idea what could be ahead for Gonzaga.


USC-Indiana…..Marquette-Arkansas……Va Tech-Kansas State…….Michigan St-Dayton


Wow, being a #1 seed and playing a Michigan St-Dayton winner would be a really hard second round game. We’re 5.5 weeks away from all that, but it is food for thought.


2) Carroll Hardy played eight years in the majors, from 1958-67; he hit .225 with 17 career HR’s. His claim to fame is that he is the only player who ever pinch-hit for Ted Williams.


Hardy also played 10 games for the 49ers in 1955; he caught 12 passes, four for TD’s. After his playing days, he became player personnel director for the Denver Broncos in the 70’s. Interesting career.


1— Next four Super Bowl sites: Minnesota-Atlanta-Miami-Los Angeles, with three of those four coming in very new stadiums. Wonder if there will be a Super Bowl in Las Vegas someday.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 1

Timberwolves won five of its last six games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as a road underdog. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Minnesota games. Cleveland is 4-7 in its last 11 games, 2-5-1 in its last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cavaliers won last four games with Minnesota (3-1 vs spread); Timberwolves lost last three visits to Cleveland, by 1-21-7 points. Four of last five series games went over.

Pacers won their last three games, are 1-5 vs spread as road favorites. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Magic lost seven of last nine games, is 2-10 vs spread as a home underdog; over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Indiana won/covered nine of last ten games with Orlando; Pacers won/covered last four trips to Orlando by 15-7-9-3 points. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Hawks won six of last nine games, are 5-6 as road favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Miami won its last eight games (6-2 vs spread); they covered last three tries as a home underdog. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Road team won six of last nine Atlanta-Miami games; Hawks won four of last five visits to Miami. Seven of last eight series games stayed under the total.

Knicks lost five of last seven games; they’re 1-2 as road favorites. Over is 6-3 in last nine New York games. Brooklyn lost its last six games but covered six of last eight; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as a home underdog. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Home side won last five New York-Brooklyn games; Knicks lost last four visits to Barclays Center, by 11-4-6-11 points. Four of last six series games went over total.

New Orleans lost its last three road games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as a road underdog. Five of their last seven games went over total. Pistons lost their last three games, are 1-8 in last nine games as a home favorite. Last five Detroit games went over total. Pelicans won their last eight games with Detroit (7-1 vs spread); New Orleans won/covered their last four visits to the Motor City. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Toronto lost six of last eight games, is 6-2-1 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Celtics won their last four games, are 6-9 vs spread in last 15 games as a home favorite. Six of their last seven games went over the total. Toronto won/covered five of last six games with Boston; three of last four series games stayed under total. Raptors won three of last five visits to Boston.

76ers won six of last nine games, are 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as a road underdog. Last six Philly games went over total. Mavericks won four of last five games, covered five of last six; they’re 3-1 as home favorites. Last three Dallas home games stayed under total. Dallas won nine of last ten games with Philly, but 76ers covered four of last six series games; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. 76ers lost last four visits to Dallas (1-3 vs spread).

Milwaukee lost eight of last nine games, is 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Three of their last four games went over the total. Jazz lost three of last four games, are 3-7 in last ten games as a home favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under. Utah won its last four games with Milwaukee (3-1 vs spread); Bucks lost their last five visits to Utah (1-4 vs spread). Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Grizzlies won three of last four games; they’re 6-8 vs spread in last 14 road games. Last three Memphis games went over the total. Nuggets won seven of last ten games, are 8-2 vs spread in last ten games. Over is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Memphis won eight of its last ten games with Denver; Grizzlies won three of last four visits to Denver. Three of last four series games went over.

Clippers are 1-4 since Chris Paul got hurt; they’re 1-9 vs spread in last ten games as a road favorite. Over is 4-1-1 in LA’s last six games. Phoenix lost its last four games; they’re 8-6 vs spread as home underdogs. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Home side won last six Clipper-Phoenix games; LA lost its last two visits to desert, by 14-9 points. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Chicago is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten games as a road underdog. Four of their last six games stayed under. Oklahoma City won/covered its last five home games; they’re 4-5 in last nine games in last games overall. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Thunder won seven of last ten games with Chicago; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Bulls lost four of last five visits to Oklahoma (2-3 vs spread).

Hornets lost their last five games, are 0-6 vs spread in last six games; eight of their last ten games stayed under the total. Warriors 10 of last 11 games; they covered last four games at home. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Golden State won its last five games with Charlotte (3-2 vs spread); Hornets lost three of last four visits to Oakland (2-2 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under.
 

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Wednesday, February 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ORLANDO
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Indiana is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DETROIT
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. BROOKLYN
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 9 games
Brooklyn is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Clippers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Clippers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. UTAH
Milwaukee is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Utah
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DENVER
Memphis is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Denver
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Denver is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games

9:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Chicago is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 1

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MINNESOTA (19 - 29) at CLEVELAND (32 - 15) - 2/1/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 200-247 ATS (-71.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (25 - 22) at ORLANDO (19 - 31) - 2/1/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games this season.
INDIANA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (28 - 20) at MIAMI (19 - 30) - 2/1/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 59-44 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (21 - 29) at BROOKLYN (9 - 39) - 2/1/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (19 - 30) at DETROIT (21 - 27) - 2/1/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (30 - 19) at BOSTON (30 - 18) - 2/1/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 29) at DALLAS (18 - 30) - 2/1/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (21 - 26) at UTAH (30 - 19) - 2/1/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 343-415 ATS (-113.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 246-299 ATS (-82.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 147-109 ATS (+27.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (29 - 21) at DENVER (21 - 26) - 2/1/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (30 - 18) at PHOENIX (15 - 33) - 2/1/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 102-139 ATS (-50.9 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 255-307 ATS (-82.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 215-267 ATS (-78.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 49-20 ATS (+27.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (24 - 25) at OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 21) - 2/1/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 58-72 ATS (-21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (23 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (41 - 7) - 2/1/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 158-199 ATS (-60.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 138-111 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 128-102 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 75-53 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, February 1


Charlotte @ Golden State

Game 523-524
February 1, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
115.105
Golden State
134.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 19 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 14
223
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-14); Under

Chicago @ Oklahoma City

Game 521-522
February 1, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
118.318
Oklahoma City
119.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Phoenix

Game 519-520
February 1, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.341
Phoenix
113.528
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 7
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-3 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Denver

Game 517-518
February 1, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.967
Denver
123.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 4
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

Milwaukee @ Utah

Game 515-516
February 1, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
114.422
Utah
120.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 6
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 8
197
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+8); Under

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Game 513-514
February 1, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
115.121
Dallas
125.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 10 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
203
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 511-512
February 1, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
116.004
Boston
124.527
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

New Orleans @ Detroit

Game 509-510
February 1, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.276
Detroit
117.206
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
Even
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+6 1/2); Under

New York @ Brooklyn

Game 507-508
February 1, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.529
Brooklyn
112.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2
223
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-2); Over

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 505-506
February 1, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
116.023
Miami
124.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+2); Over

Indiana @ Orlando

Game 503-504
February 1, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.180
Orlando
115.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 5
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-2); Under

Minnesota @ Cleveland

Game 501-502
February 1, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.241
Cleveland
127.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 13 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-7); Under
 

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
February 1, 2017



Game of the Night – Bulls at Thunder (-3, 207 ½) – 9:35 PM EST – ESPN


Oklahoma City (28-21 SU, 26-22-1 ATS) returns home after a pair of double-digit losses at Cleveland and San Antonio in the last three days. The Thunder trailed the Spurs last night by 18 points in the first half, but used a 24-4 run to grab a 73-70 lead in the third quarter. However, that advantage was short-lived as San Antonio pulled away for a 108-94 triumph as 9 ½-point favorites to hand OKC its 9th road loss in its last 13 tries.


The biggest soap opera in the league this season has taken place in Chicago (24-25 SU, 23-26 ATS), as the Bulls have failed to find consistency following a roster overhaul in the offseason. The Bulls snapped a two-game skid with a 121-108 home triumph over the 76ers on Sunday as Jimmy Butler led Chicago with 28 points following his 1-for-13 performance two nights earlier against Miami. Fred Hoiberg’s team has slumped to a 2-5 ATS mark in spite of covering as seven-point favorites against Philadelphia as the Bulls embark on a six-game road swing against Western Conference foes.


These teams are meeting for the second time in less than a month, as the Thunder crushed the Bulls as one-point favorites at the United Center, 109-94 on January 9. OKC scorched Chicago from the floor by shooting 56%, while receiving 42 points from the frontcourt duo of Steven Adams and Enes Kanter. However, Kanter is sidelined with a broken wrist, but the Thunder limited Butler to one point on 0-for-6 shooting. Chicago snapped a five-game skid at Chesapeake Energy Arena last season with a 105-96 triumph on Christmas Day.


Where’s the Love?


If you’re talking about Kevin Love, he is going to miss his second straight game with a back injury. However, the Cavaliers are looking beat Love’s former team, the Timberwolves when the two teams meet up at Quicken Loans Arena. The defending champions are scuffling at the moment in spite of an Eastern Conference-best 32-15 record as the Cavs have dropped four of their past six games. Cleveland owns the second-worst ATS mark in the league at 19-26-2, including a 3-12 ATS record in January.


The Wolves are sitting in last place of the Northwest division, but Minnesota is playing better of late by winning five of its previous seven games. Minnesota is listed as an underdog for the first time in the last seven contests, as the Wolves covered in their last underdog opportunity at San Antonio on January 17 in a 122-114 defeat. The Cavaliers have won each of the past four matchups with the Wolves since December 2014, as three of those games finished OVER the total.


Top of the Atlantic

The race for first place in the Atlantic division has tightened up between Boston and Toronto as the Celtics have pulled into the top spot by one half-game. The two squads hook up at TD Garden tonight as the Raptors are fresh off an overtime victory over the Pelicans last night. Toronto won without top scorer DeMar DeRozan, who will be out again this evening with a lingering ankle injury. In Tuesday’s victory, Kyle Lowry stepped up with a game-high 33 points and the game-winning jumper in the final seconds of overtime.


The Celtics seek their fifth consecutive victory after holding off the Pistons on Monday, 113-109, but Detroit cashed as five-point underdogs. Isaiah Thomas continued his All-Star season as the diminutive guard poured in 41 points for his fourth game this season of 40 points or more. The Celtics have had their issues with the Raptors this season by losing each of the first two meetings, including a 114-106 setback at Air Canada Center in early January.


Fired Up


The Heat were left for dead following an 11-30 start to the season, but Miami seeks its ninth consecutive victory tonight against Atlanta. Following Monday’s 104-96 triumph over Brooklyn, the Heat have won six straight games at American Airlines Arena, while topping the 100-point mark in seven wins during this streak.


The Hawks have had several days off since Sunday’s four-overtime marathon victory over the Knicks, but Atlanta failed to cash as 6 ½-point favorites. Atlanta is rolling on the highway of late by capturing wins in six of the past seven games away from Philips Arena. The Hawks have won each of the first two meetings with the Heat this season, but Miami covered each time in the underdog role.


Buzz Kill


The Hornets can’t buy a win away from home as Charlotte suffered not only its fifth straight loss overall, but its eighth consecutive road defeat in last night’s 115-98 setback at Portland. Things don’t get any easier for Steve Clifford’s squad as the Hornets travel to Golden State tonight to face the Warriors. These teams met last Wednesday in Charlotte as the Warriors held off the Hornets, 113-103 to barely cover as 9 ½-point road favorites.


Stephen Curry is listed as probable after missing Sunday’s victory at Portland with an illness, as the Warriors have covered in each of their past four home wins. Golden State has turned into a solid UNDER team of late by cashing the UNDER in eight of the last nine games, although the lone OVER in this stretch came in Saturday’s 144-98 blowout of the Clippers.


Texas Two-Step


Although both the Mavericks and 76ers have won 18 games apiece this season, these two squads are on fire from an ATS standpoint. Philadelphia has compiled a solid 13-3 ATS mark in the past 16 games, while winning 10 games in January, which equaled its season total from last season. The 76ers head to Dallas tonight looking to improve on a 9-5 ATS record on the road since the start of December. However, leading scorer Joel Embiid is out tonight with a knee injury, but the Sixers have won three of the last four games without the former Kansas standout.


The Mavericks are fresh off a pair of impressive victories in a two-day span by knocking off San Antonio as heavy road underdogs on Sunday, followed by a 104-97 triumph over Cleveland on Monday. Dallas has cashed in eight of the past 10 games, including five consecutive covers at American Airlines Center. The Mavs have captured seven straight meetings with the 76ers, including blowouts in each of the last two home matchups.


Head-to-Head Trends


-- Indiana travels to Orlando as the Pacers have owned the Magic this season with a pair of home victories. Since the start of the 2014-15 season, the Pacers have won eight of the last nine meetings with the Magic, including three victories in Orlando.


-- The battle of New York City pits two underachieving teams as the Knicks and Nets meet at Barclays Center. New York cruised past Brooklyn in its first meeting at Madison Square Garden in November, as the home team has won each of the past five matchups.


-- The Pelicans travel to Detroit after last night’s two-point overtime setback at Toronto. New Orleans has had its way with Detroit over the years by winning eight consecutive meetings, as the teams hook up for the first time this season.


-- Memphis and Denver have played some exciting games in their recent matchups, including a one-point triumph by the Grizzlies back in November. The Grizzlies have won six of the last seven meetings with the Nuggets, but each of the past five matchups have been decided by seven point or less.


-- Milwaukee begins a three-game road swing in Utah as the Bucks have dropped eight of their last nine contests. Playing the Jazz isn’t the cure to Milwaukee’s ills as the Bucks have lost four straight matchups with Utah since January 2015.


-- The Clippers have cruised past the Suns in two meetings this season at home as Los Angeles visits Phoenix. The Suns have won each of the last two home matchups with L.A., but have dropped six straight games at Talking Stick Resort Arena.
 

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WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 1


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at DAL 08:30 PM


PHI +7.5


O 206.0



MEM at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN +3.5


O 212.5


MIL at UTA 09:00 PM


UTA -7.5


U 198.0



LAC at PHO 09:00 PM


LAC -2.5


O 220.0


CHI at OKC 09:30 PM


OKC -3.5

U 207.0



CHA at GS 10:30 PM


CHA +15.0


O 225.5
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


— Underdogs covered 11 of the last 15 Super Bowls.


— Clemson signed 14 football players Wednesday, from 10 different states.


— Washington Wizards won their last 15 home games (13-1-1 vs spread).


— Pro Bowl got higher TV ratings than 34 of 40 college bowl games.


— Former LSU coach Les Miles’ son is going to Nebraska, as a fullback.


— Cavaliers were 7-8 in January, Lebron James’ first losing month since 2006.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Must admit, I watched some of the National Signing Day stuff on TV Wednesday and it is interesting, because the teams with the best players win, but when did self promotion become such a big deal? Have people (kids/parents alike) become such attention junkies that there has to be a news conference to announce where you’re going to college?


One kid had a Florida t-shirt on over a Florida State shirt over a USC shirt; it was like watching the old game show To Tell the Truth to see where he was going to college by what shirt was showing when he finally stopped undressing.


12) As one coach wrote in an article a few years back, “You have to recruit like hell to get them, but then when you get them, you have to de-program them.” Most college football players sit out as redshirts their first year, they just practice and get more physically mature, so the kids we saw sign today, most of them won’t see game action until 2018.


11) This year in the NFL, 48 QB’s threw 50+ passes; New England faced only two of the top 15 in passer rating this season, Matt Moore (Miami’s backup) and Ben Roethlisberger.


10) Michael Bidwill, president of the Arizona Cardinals, was once a federal prosecutor for six years.


9) Julian Javier was a 2B for the St Louis Cardinals in the 60’s/early 70’s; decent player. He had a career batting mark of 2-16 against Nolan Ryan, which doesn’t sound like much until you realize that his 16 AB’s vs Ryan, with no strikeouts, are the most AB’s by any player EVER against Ryan with no strikeouts.


Javier’s son Stan won a World Series ring as an OF with the ’89 A’s.


8) Nevada sportsbooks made $219.1M last year, their 3rd-best year ever, but 5.4% down from LY.


7) Raiders-Patriots will be playing a regular season game in Mexico City next season.


6) Irony; back in 1998, it looked like the Patriots were moving to Hartford, CT, but one of the main people involved in getting them a new stadium in Foxboro was an NFL employee not too many football fans knew about back then. Without this guy, the Patriots would be in the Nutmeg State.


That guy was Roger Goodell.


5) Sitting court side at the Mississippi State-Ole Miss Tuesday night? The great actor Morgan Freeman, who apparently goes to a lot of Ole Miss games.


4) Alabama signed two QB’s Wednesday; they just came thisclose to winning a national title with a freshman QB playing the whole season. Granted the incumbent QB isn’t a good passer yet, but he is a leader and he won a lot of games this year- why would a top prospect go there, when you know pretty much you might not start until 2020?


The incumbent QB sure as hell won’t be going to the NFL early, so the new kids will have to beat him out. Good luck there.


3) Colorado’s football coaches were sitting around a big table in their conference room, when this young lady comes sprinting into the room with a signed NLI in her hand— she gives it to Coach MacIntyre and he hi-5’s her and she sprints out. She had an Olympic medal around her neck.


Turns out the young lady won a bronze medal in track at the Olympics; pretty good gimmick for the Buffaloes on live TV.


2) Clemson’s new football facility opened the day before Signing Day, complete with a bowling alley, a barber shop and a nap area that resembles sleeping cars you see on a train.


1— One poor kid wanted to go to Alabama; he verbally committed, but the school doesn’t have a scholarship for him, so he is in limbo and may “grayshirt” which means he does nothing next fall, enters Alabama in January of 2018 and is a freshman-eligibility wise in the fall of 2018.


I would advise a recruit to “go where you are wanted” and it doesn’t sound like Alabama wants this kid that much. Hope things work out for him.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 2

Lakers lost eight of last ten games, but covered four of last five; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Washington won its last 15 games (13-1-1 vs spread); they’re 9-0-1 vs spread in last ten games overall. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four home games. Road team won six of last eight Laker-Wizard games; teams split last six series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Atlanta lost three of last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as a road underdog, 7-3 if they played night before. Rockets are 5-7 in their last 12 games, 2-4 vs spread in their last six home games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Hawks won their last six games with Houston (5-1 vs spread); three of last four series games played here went over. Atlanta won by 7-6 points in its last two visits to Houston. Hawks won six of last nine games, 2 of last 3 on road.

76ers lost three of last four games, are 10-11 as road underdogs. Last seven Philly games went over the total. San Antonio won 12 of last 15 home games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 home games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Spurs won their last ten games with Philly (7-3 vs spread); eight of last nine series games stayed under total. 76ers lost their last five visits to Alamo (1-4 vs spread). Philly won six of last nine games;

Warriors won their last eight games with the Clippers; they beat ‘em by 46 Saturday in Oakland. Golden State won its last four series games in Staples (3-1 vs spread). Six of last nine series games stayed under total. Warriors won four in row, 11 of last 12 games; they’re 13-12 as road favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Clippers lost four of last six games, but won six of last seven at home. Last four LA games went over the total.




NBA

Thursday, February 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. WASHINGTON
LA Lakers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
LA Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. HOUSTON
Atlanta is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 11 games

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
 

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