Cnotes NBA Season Trends/News/ Stats/ Picks All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

Pelicans visit Nets
January 12, 2017


NBA Thursday Betting Preview


New Orleans Pelicans vs. Brooklyn Nets


Sportsbook.ag Odds: New Orleans (-4); Total set at 218


Tonight's Pelicans/Nets game isn't the most attractive NBA game on the card by a longshot, but it could turn out to be one of the best games on the board from a betting perspective. Both teams enter with bad losing records, and although the Pelicans have been playing better of late, a 5-13 SU record on the road makes them very tough to trust laying points away from home.


Seven of Brooklyn's eight wins on the year have come at home and they've shown to be a feisty underdog in situations just like these. The players on Brooklyn know the team isn't going anywhere this year and when that reality takes a hold of a club, individual stat lines and performances become more of a priority.


Come contract negotiation time, individual stat lines become a barometer for salary figures throughout the league and with many of the Nets likely not being with the organization long term, boosting their point/rebound/assist production in games where they legitimately have a good chance at succeeding (winning) is something these guys are after.


Well, tonight's game with New Orleans fits that scenario for Brooklyn as the Nets know they play no defense at all and should be involved in an uptempo game tonight. New Orleans gives up 105.4/game on the year and with Brooklyn's numbers being much worse (114.1), we should see points come in flurries.


Oddly enough, VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers show more than 85% of the action on tonight's total on the low side of things, but the number has actually risen 1.5 points after opening at 216.5. These are prime situations to side with the line move, and given the situation tonight involving two higher scoring teams that play minimal defense at best, going against the majority and taking the 'over' is the way to go.


New Orleans has plenty of experience playing those types of games against other bad teams as they are 14-3 O/U in their last 17 against a losing team, and they are also 20-6 O/U when coming off a double digit win. Meanwhile, the Nets are 9-1 O/U in their last 10 against a losing team, and when a team has a losing record on the road and are visiting the Barclays Center, the Nets are 20-6 O/U in their last 26 tries.


Pelicans All-Star Anthony Davis status is up in the air which does hurt this wager a bit, but if he goes, he's got a great opportunity to put up monster numbers. The Nets won't back down from a shootout type game, and given the strong trends for the 'over' on both sides and the majority of the public betting the other way, there are more then enough reasons to add this unattractive game to your betting card tonight.

 

[CNOTES]

Knicks' PG Rose fined $200,000
January 12, 2017


The New York Knicks didn't take too kindly to guard Derrick Rose's disappearing act from when he missed Monday's 110-96 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans.


The Knicks fined Rose approximately $200,000 for missing the contest without notification, the New York Post reported on Thursday.


The actual amount of the fine is $193,848, which is 1/110th of his $21.3 million wage, matching the code used by the NBA when it suspends a player for one game.


"The team fined him a pretty hefty amount -- the amount of the fine for missing a game," first-year coach Jeff Hornacek told the newspaper.


Rose told reporters on Tuesday that he needed to tend to a family issue back home in Chicago upon his return to the team's practice facility.


Not only did Rose not contact the team to say he would miss the game, but he also ignored calls to locate him. He later said he needed space.


Rose returned to the lineup on Wednesday night, scoring 25 points in a 98-97 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers.


Rose, a three-time All-Star and the 2011 NBA MVP while playing for the Chicago Bulls, was acquired in an offseason trade. He is averaging 17.5 points and 4.4 assists per game, but Yahoo Sports reported that Rose has grown increasingly frustrated with his role.


Hornacek had benched him in the fourth quarter of the two games prior to his absence and has even used undrafted Ron Baker in place of Rose in close games.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, JANUARY 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NO at BK 07:30 PM


NO -4.0


O 218.0


CHI at NY 08:00 PM


CHI +3.5


U 207.5


LAL at SA 08:30 PM


LAL +14.0


O 212.5


DAL at PHO 10:00 PM


PHO +2.5


O 207.0


DET at GS 10:30 PM


DET +13.0


U 218.0

 

[CNOTES]

Texans at Patriots
January 11, 2017


The top-seeded Patriots are back from their playoff bye as New England is laying more two touchdowns in the AFC Divisional Round against Houston. The Texans seem like the sacrificial lamb on Saturday as New England is expected to cruise to the AFC Championship, but Houston has won four of its past five games, including last Saturday’s Wild Card rout of Oakland.

HOW THEY GOT HERE


Houston (10-7 SU, 7-9-1 ATS) captured its second consecutive AFC South title this season, in spite of a 9-7 regular season record. The Texans began the season with plenty of hope at the quarterback position with Super Bowl champion Brock Osweiler signing a four-year, $72 million deal. However, Osweiler underachieved in his first full season as a starting NFL quarterback by not throwing for more than 270 yards in a game, while throwing 15 touchdown passes and 16 interceptions.


Osweiler led the Texans past the Raiders in the Wild Card round, 27-14 in spite of 168 yards passing. The Houston quarterback connected with wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins on a two-yard touchdown, while Osweiler ran for a score in the fourth quarter to put the game out of reach. Houston finished with an 8-1 home record this season, but stumbled to a 2-6 mark away from NRG Stadium. In four of those losses, the Texans were limited to 13 points or fewer.

New England (14-2 SU, 13-3 ATS) is riding a seven-game winning streak, while allowing a total of 20 points in its final three victories. After sitting out the first four games due to the Deflategate suspension, quarterback Tom Brady put together another outstanding season by throwing 28 touchdown passes and only two interceptions, while racking up 3,554 yards. What’s even more impressive is the 13-3 ATS mark overall, including a 4-1 ATS home record with Brady under center.


The Patriots took care of business as a double-digit favorite this season by winning and covering in all four opportunities. Granted, the Pats totally outmatched the Browns, 49ers, Jets, and Rams, but the defense yielded a total of 43 points in those victories. New England showcases its first 1,000 yard rusher since 2012 as LeGarrette Blount compiled a career-high 1,161 yards along with 18 touchdowns. Blount reached the end zone in 13 of 16 games this season, including five consecutive games with a score.


SERIES HISTORY


The Texans have had much success with the Patriots since entering the league in 2002 by going 1-7 SU and 2-5-1 ATS. The latest setback in Week 3 at Gillette Stadium as New England blanked Houston, 27-0 in the pick-em role. Brady sat due to his suspension, but back-up Jacoby Brissett led the Patriots on three touchdown drives, while Blount found the end zone twice. The Patriots’ offense gained only 282 yards, but New England’s defense forced three Houston turnovers to hand the Texans their only shutout of the season.


Houston and New England are meeting for the second time in the postseason ever as the Patriots drilled the Texans in the AFC Divisional round in 2012 by a 41-28 count. Brady threw three touchdown passes in that victory as 9 ½-point favorites, while the Patriots grabbed a 38-13 lead in the fourth quarter. New England owns a perfect 4-0 record lifetime against Houston at Gillette Stadium with all four wins coming by double-digits.


PLAYOFF HISTORY

For the 13th time in 14 seasons, the Patriots are in the postseason as the only missed season in this stretch was 2008 when Brady tore his ACL in Week 1. Brady owns a 22-9 playoff record in his career, including a 15-3 SU and 9-8-1 ATS mark at Gillette Stadium. New England has won its playoff opener in each of the past five seasons, while scoring at least 35 points four times in this span.


The Texans are playing in their seventh playoff game in franchise history, going 3-3 in their first six postseason contests. Houston has never won a road playoff game, going 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS in those matchups.


LINE MOVEMENT


The Las Vegas Westgate Superbook listed the Patriots at -16 on Monday afternoon, while the total opened at 44 ½. The line has slightly dipped to 15 ½ at the Westgate, but the total hasn’t moved much as William Hill has the total at 45. The first half line opened at New England -9 ½ (-120) at the Westgate, as that number has increased -10.


HANDICAPPER’S CORNER


VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson says it hard to make a great case for Houston, “The Texans are the ultimate outlier in this season’s final eight, ranking 26th in the league in scoring differential in the regular season while the other seven remaining teams in the playoffs were the top seven scoring differential teams. Houston’s win last week certainly deserves some scrutiny with the Raiders left with rookie Connor Cook starting at quarterback in his first ever NFL start and predictably he had a costly turnover that helped Houston generate and early lead they held throughout the game.”


From a pointspread perspective, Nelson notes where this line ranks in postseason history, “This spread is poised to be the largest playoff number since Super Bowl XXIX (1994-95 season) when the 49ers bested the Chargers, covering at -19. The last six NFL playoff favorites of 14 or more points have all covered, but prior to that, the heavy underdogs had a great run of success. New England has hosted a divisional round playoff game 10 times in the Belichick/Brady era, going 9-1 SU and covering in four of the last five.”


PROPS – According to Las Vegas Westgate Superbook


Houston


B. Osweiler – Total Completions
19 ½ - OVER (-110)
19 ½- UNDER (-110)


B. Osweiler – Total Touchdown Passes + Interceptions
2 – OVER (-110)
2 – UNDER (-110)


New England


T. Brady – Total Gross Passing Yards
285 ½ - OVER (-110)
285 ½ - UNDER (-110)


T. Brady – Total Touchdown Passes
2 ½ - OVER (+130)
2 ½ - UNDER (-150)


T. Brady – Will he throw an Inteception?
YES (+110)
NO (-130)


J. Edelman – Total Receiving Yards
72 ½ - OVER (-110)
72 ½ - UNDER (-110)


FUTURE ODDS


The Patriots opened the season as one of three favorites listed at 8/1 to capture the Super Bowl title in Houston at the Westgate Superbook. New England is the clear-cut favorite at 7/5 odds (Bet $100 to win $140) to win the Super Bowl, while Houston is the longest shot on the board at 60/1 odds to win it all.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


— Rams hired Redskins’ OC Sean McVay as their new head coach. Rumors have him hiring Wade Phillips as defensive coordinator.


— Saints had 73 passing plays of 20+ yards this year, most in NFL; McVay’s Redskins had 69.


— Nuggets 140, Pacers 112— Indiana’s players didn’t seem very interested in playing this game.


— Chargers are going to hire Anthony Lynn as their new coach.


— Justin Thomas eagled the 18th hole, shot a 59 in Hawai’i yesterday, the 8th Tour player to do it.


— Vice-President Joe Biden was awarded with the Presidential Medal of Freedom Thursday, the nation’s highest civilian honor.


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Thursday night of hoop


13) UCLA 104, Colorado 89— Buffs are now 0-4 in Pac-12. UCLA is an offensive juggernaut- they made 19-31 on the arc in this game. Bryce Alford might be a better shooter than his dad– he was 9-14.


You cannot play help defense against UCLA, because they can all shoot, even Ball (43% on arc). Giving up layups is better than giving up 3-pointers.


12) Utah 86, USC 64— Young Trojans lost three of last four games after a 14-0 start.


11) Belmont 84, Morehead State 78— Evan Bradds is Belmont’s best scorer; he had 31 points, 10 rebounds in this game, but at one point about 8:00 into the game, Bradds put his fist up, wanted a rest. His coach sent a sub to the table but Belmont had a pretty good run going, so the coach wouldn’t call timeout- the game went on for another 3:00 before there was a whistle.


At one point, Bradds had the ball with a pretty good chance to score, but he passed- he seemed not to want to shoot, so he didn’t have to run back down to the other end. It was kind of funny. When the game got up/down, it was too fast for Bradds, but when it slowed down, he was by far the best player on the court.


10) UTEP 88, Florida International 87, 2 OT’s— Miners snap a 12-game losing streak in dramatic fashion.


9) Upset of the Night: 11-point underdog LaSalle won 87-75 at Rhode Island.


8) Arizona 91, Arizona State 75, LaSalle 87, Rhode Island 75— Rough night for the Hurley brothers.


Herb Sendek couldn’t win a whole lot at ASU and Bobby Hurley isn’t nearly as good a coach as Sendek is. Hurley will have to be a monster recruiter to win in Tempe— there aren’t lot of great high school players in Arizona. I don’t think Sean Miller has an Arizona kid in his rotation.


7) This is part of why handicapping college basketball is becoming more difficult; Arizona State has seven eligible players right now, Arizona has eight. Some of it is injuries, some is transfers, but an awful lot of teams are playing with very short rotations these days and it makes injuries, suspensions and other attrition so much more important than in the past.


Men’s basketball teams are allowed to have 13 players on scholarship; only 15 of 26 scholarships were filled in the ASU game. Nevada has four D-I transfers on scholarship who are sitting out this season, so they’re shorthanded. There are 351 D-I teams, only so many really good players.


6) NC-Greensboro 83, East Tennessee State 79— This was a fierce, physical game, tough game to ref, lot of chirping and staredowns. Two good teams with lot of good athletes. Someone at ESPN needs to get some Southern League games on their airwaves. Good basketball.


Greensboro is 13-5; they haven’t had a winning season in nine years, but they’re having one now. Good team coached by Wes Miller, who was a scrub at North Carolina in his playing days.


5) Iowa 83, Purdue 78— They were saying on the Northwestern-Rutgers game that Joe Lunardi doesn’t have any Big 14 teams seeded higher than a #5 in his bracketology for the NCAA tournament. Lot of pretty good teams, no great teams in the league this season.


4) Middle Tennessee State 69, Marshall 57— You hold the Thundering Herd to 57 points, you can play good defense. Marshall had been 42-94 on the arc in their last four games; they were 5-19 in this game.


3) St Mary’s 74, Portland 33— It is possible this was the worst basketball game ESPN has ever televised- it was 37-9 at the half. 37 to 9 and it was in Portland; team like the Pilots doesn’t get on ESPN very often— this was embarrassing.


I can’t remember a winning basketball team taking two foul shots in a game. St Mary’s was 2-2 on the line here; thats how little resistance they got in this game.


2) Gonzaga 93, LMU 55— Gonzaga-St Mary’s play Saturday night at 10 in the first of what should be three meetings this season between two very good teams.


1— Cincinnati 66, SMU 64— Bearcats are better shooting this team this year than they’ve been recently; they made 12-26 on arc in this game.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 13

Philly won four of its last five games (5-0 vs spread); they won three of last four home games, are 11-6 as home dogs. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Charlotte lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-8 in last 11 road games, 3-5 as road favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. 76ers lost their last six games with Charlotte (2-4 vs spread); Hornets won last two visits here by 20-15 points. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Brooklyn lost its last eight games; they’re 7-9-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Toronto is 3-5 in its last eight games, 10-5 vs spread as a home favorite. Raptors’ last three games all went over the total. Raptors won their last five games with Brooklyn; Nets lost last three visits to Canada, by 12-5-12 points. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Celtics won five of last six games; they’re 3-3-1 as road underdogs. Over is 11-1-1 in their last 13 games. Atlanta won its last seven games, covered last six; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as a home favorite. Under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Hawks won seven of last nine games with Boston; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Celtics lost their last five visits to Atlanta (1-4 vs spread).

Heat lost nine of their last ten games; they’re 11-8 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Milwaukee is 6-4 in its last ten games, 6-7 vs spread as home favorites; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Bucks won six of their last eight games with Miami; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Heat lost three of last four visits to Milwaukee (1-3 vs spread).

Grizzlies lost five of their last seven road games, are 6-7 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Rockets won nine of their last ten games, are 9-8 as home favorites (1-3 in last four tries). Four of their last five games went over the total. Memphis won four of last six games with Houston; they split last four visits to Houston. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Oklahoma City won its last three games, covered its last four; they lost four of last five road tilts, are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 road games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Minnesota won its last two games, covered its last three; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten home games. Thunder won nine of last ten games with Minnesota (6-4 vs spread); they won three of last four visits to Twin Cities (2-2 vs spread). Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

Orlando lost its last four games, is 12-6 vs spread as a road underdog. Last four Magic games stayed under total. Portland won three of last four games, covered five of their last six; they’re 9-4 vs spread as a home favorites. Home side won last eight Orlando-Portland games; Magic lost their last four games in Moda Center (2-2 vs spread). Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

Detroit lost in Oakland last nite; they’re 4-10 in last 14 games, 5-11 vs spread as a road underdog. Five of their last six games went over total. Jazz won their last three home games, are 5-9 as home favorites; their last five games stayed under the total. Pistons won last two games with Utah after losing six of previous seven series games; Detroit lost three of last five games here. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Cleveland lost three of its last five games; they’re 5-9 as road favorites (0-4 in last four tries). Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Sacramento lost five of last seven games, is 5-4 as a home underdog. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Cavaliers won last three games with the Kings by 11-20-9 points; they covered four of last five series games. Cleveland lost three of last four visits to Sacramento. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, January 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 14 games at home

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Memphis

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Miami is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 20 games at home

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Oklahoma City is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
DETROIT vs. UTAH
Detroit is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Utah
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Utah is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Detroit

10:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, January 13

Cleveland @ Sacramento

Game 717-718
January 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
122.892
Sacramento
113.054
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 10
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-6 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Utah

Game 715-716
January 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
114.885
Utah
122.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+10); Over

Orlando @ Portland

Game 713-714
January 13, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
116.950
Portland
121.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 4 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 7 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota

Game 711-712
January 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
127.262
Minnesota
118.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-2); Over

Memphis @ Houston

Game 709-710
January 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
115.248
Houston
131.173
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 16
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-7 1/2); Under

Miami @ Milwaukee

Game 707-708
January 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
114.987
Milwaukee
119.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 7
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-7); Over

Boston @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
January 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
126.118
Atlanta
120.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+2 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ Toronto

Game 703-704
January 13, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
103.376
Toronto
128.467
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 25
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 16 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-16 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
January 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
122.766
Philadelphia
112.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 10
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5 1/2
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-5 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (20 - 19) at PHILADELPHIA (11 - 25) - 1/13/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 113-155 ATS (-57.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (8 - 30) at TORONTO (25 - 13) - 1/13/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (24 - 15) at ATLANTA (22 - 16) - 1/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (11 - 29) at MILWAUKEE (19 - 18) - 1/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 49-78 ATS (-36.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (24 - 17) at HOUSTON (31 - 10) - 1/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (24 - 16) at MINNESOTA (13 - 26) - 1/13/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (16 - 24) at PORTLAND (18 - 23) - 1/13/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (18 - 23) at UTAH (24 - 16) - 1/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (28 - 10) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 22) - 1/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet
January 13, 2017


Favorites profited on Thursday in the NBA with a 4-2 SU/ATS record, including a late blowout by Golden State over Detroit. The Warriors snapped a six-game ATS skid in a 127-107 rout of the Pistons as 13-point favorites, while the Spurs and Knicks also picked up double-digit home victories. Both contests played out of the country sailed OVER the total as the Nuggets/Pacers in London and Mavericks/Suns in Mexico City easily went OVER.


Game of the Night – Celtics at Hawks (-2 ½, 212 ½) – 8:05 PM EST – ESPN


Atlanta and Boston are meeting for the first time since the Hawks knocked the Celtics out of the first round of the playoffs in six games last April. The Hawks captured all three games at Philips Arena, including holding the Celtics to seven points in the opening quarter of a Game 2 blowout. In fact, Atlanta put together a perfect 5-0 record at home against Boston last season with four of those wins coming by double-digits.


Al Horford is making his return to Atlanta as the Celtics’ forward is ranks third on the team in scoring at 15.3 points per game following a successful nine-year stint with the Hawks. Boston (24-15 SU, 21-16-2 ATS) has won seven of its past nine contests, including Wednesday’s 117-108 triumph over Washington as 5 ½-point home favorites. Guard Avery Bradley missed his third straight game with a strained Achilles’ tendon and is expected to sit out once again tonight. Boston is riding a 12-game OVER streak, including five straight away from TD Garden.


Atlanta (22-16 SU, 20-18 ATS) is the hottest team in basketball right now by winning seven consecutive contests, including pulling off a perfect 4-0 road trip. Although all four victories came against teams that are currently below .500 (Magic, Pelicans, Mavericks, Nets), Atlanta limited each squad to 97 points or fewer, while cashing the UNDER in each win. Atlanta has won each of its past three games at Philips Arena, including a pair in overtime against New York and San Antonio.


Cold Cavaliers


Even though it’s only a two-game skid, the defending champion Cavaliers are struggling offensively. Cleveland posted 92 and 86 points the last two losses at Utah and Portland, while the Cavs have failed to cover the spread in six consecutive games. Cleveland visits Sacramento tonight in a warm-up prior to its showdown with Golden State on Monday night in Oakland.


The last time the Cavs lost back-to-back games in December, they dropped the next contest as a road favorite at Chicago. Sacramento picked up the first win on its current seven-game homestand by beating Detroit on Wednesday, as the Kings have won three of their last four home matchups with the Cavaliers.


Southwest Showdown


The two teams sitting behind the Spurs in the Southwest division meet in Houston as the Rockets entertain the Grizzlies. Memphis shocked Houston as a home underdog the last time these teams hooked up in late December, 115-109 in the Grizzlies’ highest-scoring output in regulation this season.


Houston’s nine-game winning streak came to an abrupt halt in Wednesday’s 119-105 setback at Minnesota as the Rockets lost for the first time in 10 tries with no rest this season. The Rockets are riding a six-game hot streak at Toyota Center, but failed to cash in their last two victories against the Hornets and Thunder.

Running out of Fuel


The Pistons trailed the Warriors by two points at halftime on Thursday night, but Golden State outscored Detroit, 41-19 in the third quarter in a 127-107 rout. Detroit travels to Utah tonight as the Pistons have slumped to a 2-5 SU/ATS record this season without rest, but both victories in this situation came on the road. Utah owns a 1-4 ATS mark in its last five opportunities as a home favorite, as the Jazz are coming off a win as a slight home underdog against Cleveland on Tuesday.


Striking Back


The Thunder face the Timberwolves for the third time this season as Oklahoma City has captured each of the first two meetings at home. OKC is riding a three-game winning streak following Wednesday’s 103-95 home victory over Memphis, while the Thunder have won and covered five straight in the road favorite role. Minnesota closes out a four-game homestand following victories over Dallas and Houston as the Wolves hope to get guard Zach LaVine back in the lineup after missing Wednesday night with a hip injury.


Buzzing the Liberty Bell


The Hornets have owned the 76ers the last few seasons by winning seven of the past eight matchups since the start of the 2014-15 campaign. Charlotte drilled Philadelphia, 109-93 as 13-point favorites in early November, while the Hornets blasted the 76ers twice at the Wells Fargo Center last season. However, Charlotte has lost five of six overall, including each of the first three contests on its current five-game road swing.


Philadelphia is playing its best basketball of the season by winning four of five to eclipse last season’s win total (10). The 76ers have covered five consecutive games, while going 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in their past four home contests.


Missing Nets


Brooklyn didn’t have high expectations for this season, but the Nets can’t get out of their own way by losing eight straight games. In all eight of these defeats, Brooklyn has allowed at least 100 points, while busting the 100-point mark only twice in this span. Brooklyn has been limited to 97 points or less in three consecutive games, including in last night’s 104-95 setback to New Orleans as the Nets are 0-5 SU and 2-2-1 ATS on the second of back-to-backs this season.


Toronto has dropped five of its last eight games, but the Raptors still sit atop the Atlantic division at 25-13. The Raptors have cleaned up against subpar competition this season by going 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of eight points or more. The only ATS loss came to the Nets last month in a 116-104 victory as 15 ½-point favorites.

Head-to-Head Trends


The Bucks have won six of the past eight matchups with the Heat since 2014, but Miami routed Milwaukee at American Airlines Arena in November. Milwaukee is 3-1 SU/ATS in its previous four home meetings with Miami, but all three wins came as an underdog.


The home team is riding an eight-game winning streak in the Magic/Blazers series dating back to 2013 as the teams hook up in Portland. The Blazers have captured each of the past four home meetings with the Magic, including the last three by double-digits.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, JANUARY 13


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CHA at PHI 07:00 PM


PHI +4.5


O 209.5


BK at TOR 07:30 PM


BK +15.5


O 223.5


OKC at MIN 08:00 PM

MIN +2.0


U 209.0


MIA at MIL 08:00 PM


MIL -7.0


U 205.0


MEM at HOU 08:00 PM


HOU -7.5


U 217.0


BOS at ATL 08:00 PM


BOS +2.5


U 211.5


ORL at POR 10:00 PM


POR -7.0


O 213.0


DET at UTA 10:30 PM


UTA -11.0


U 191.5


CLE at SAC 10:30 PM


SAC +6.5


O 213.5

 

[CNOTES]

NBA roundup: Embiid-led Sixers win third straight
January 14, 2017


PHILADELPHIA -- Joel Embiid had 24 points, eight rebounds and three blocked shots as the surging Philadelphia 76ers beat the Charlotte Hornets 102-93 on Friday night.


Dario Saric added 15 points for the Sixers, who won their third straight and their fifth in six games.


Ersan Ilyasova finished with 12 points and Robert Covington and Sergio Rodriguez contributed 11 apiece for Philadelphia (12-25).


Nic Batum had 19 points to pace Charlotte, which shot 32.9 percent from the floor in losing for the sixth time in seven games. The season low for the Hornets (20-20) is 32.7 percent.


Kemba Walker had 17 points and Cody Zeller chipped in 15 points and 10 rebounds. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist finished with 12 points and 12 boards.


Timberwolves 96, Thunder 86


MINNEAPOLIS -- Karl-Anthony Towns had his 10th straight double-double with 29 points and 17 rebounds and Ricky Rubio continued his strong play with 14 points and 14 assists for Minnesota in a win against Oklahoma City.


Andrew Wiggins added 19 points for Minnesota, which won three games in a row to end a four-game homestand. Making another start in place of injured Zach LaVine, Brandon Rush hit three 3-pointers and scored 11 points.


Russell Westbrook had 21 points, 12 assists and 11 rebounds for his 19th triple-double of the season, the most in a season since Wilt Chamberlain had 31 in 1967-68. Enes Kanter added 21 points and eight rebounds off the bench as Oklahoma City had its three-game winning streak snapped.


Bucks 116, Heat 108


MILWAUKEE -- Playing at full strength for the first time in a week, Giannis Antetokounmpo had 19 points, eight rebounds and six assists as Milwaukee extended Miami's losing streak to four games with a victory at the Bradley Center.


A virus limited Antetokounmpo to nine minutes of action in Milwaukee's last two games, but he returned and hit 8 of 12 shots as the Bucks connected at a 50.6 percent clip and made 9 of 15 3-pointers.


Jabari Parker hit three 3-pointers and led the Bucks with 24 points. Tony Snell added 14 and Malcolm Brogdon finished with 13.


Raptors 132, Nets 113


TORONTO -- DeMar DeRozan scored a game-high 28 points as Toronto defeated Brooklyn at Air Canada Centre.


DeRozan added four rebounds and two assists for Toronto, which shot 53.6 percent from the floor. Kyle Lowry chipped in 20 points, six assists and six rebounds while DeMarre Carroll added 18 points and 11 boards.


Raptors guard Cory Joseph went a perfect 7 for 7 from the field while adding 16 points and seven assists off the bench.


Grizzlies 110, Rockets 105


HOUSTON -- Zach Randolph posted a double-double off the bench and Memphis erased a 16-point deficit in rallying past Houston at Toyota Center.


Randolph finished with 16 points and 12 rebounds and carried the Grizzlies offensively during a 9-0 run to open the fourth quarter. Houston (31-11) dropped consecutive games for the first time this season largely due to their poor perimeter shooting. The Rockets missed 21 of 24 3-pointers in the second half.


Mike Conley had 17 points and nine assists for the Grizzlies (25-17), who also received 14 points, six rebounds and six assists from Marc Gasol and a season-high 22 points from Tony Allen before he fouled out with 3:35 to play.


Celtics 103, Hawks 101


ATLANTA -- Isaiah Thomas made sure that first-year Boston Celtics teammate Al Horford was a winner in his return to Atlanta, snapping the Hawks' seven-game winning streak in the process.


Thomas had the winning basket with 2.2 seconds left while scoring 13 of his game-high 28 points in the fourth quarter as the Celtics won despite the Hawks overcoming a 16-point deficit in the fourth quarter.


The Hawks tied the score on a 3-pointer by Paul Millsap with 25.6 seconds remaining, but the Celtics set up Thomas for the final shot and the diminutive guard penetrated into the lane to score in traffic.


The Celtics, who have won six of seven games, made 17 3-pointers and got a boost off the bench from Kelly Olynyk, who had a season-high 26 points.


Magic 115, Trail Blazers 109


PORTLAND, Ore. -- Nikola Vucevic scored a season-high 30 points and grabbed 10 rebounds to lead Orlando to a victory over Portland at Moda Center.


Elfrid Payton contributed 19 points and seven assists as the Magic snapped a four-game losing streak.


Damian Lillard collected 34 points and eight rebounds and CJ McCollum added 26 points for the Trail Blazers, who had won two in a row.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s six-pack


— Steelers-Chiefs game was pushed back to 8:20 Sunday night because of an ice storm headed to the Kansas City area.


— Broncos named Mike McCoy OC, Bill Musgrave QB coach, hiring a couple of coaches let go by their division rivals.


— Packers WR Jordy Nelson has broken ribs, is out for Sunday’s game with the Cowboys.


— East Carolina hoop coach Jeff Lebo is having hip surgery, will take a leave of absence.


— San Diego Padres signed Will Myers to a six-year contract worth $80M+.


— Texas Longhorns suspended their top scorer indefinitely for “breaking team rules”, which most probably means he flunked a drug test or two.


— 76ers are 12-25, but they’re +37 in points when Joel Embiid has been on the floor; thats a very impressive stat.


***************


Saturday’s Den: Where NBA head coaches went to college…….


NBA head coaches come from surprisingly diverse backgrounds; 13 played in the NBA, 17 did not. Here is a quick look at where they went to college…….


Iowa State (2)— Fred Hoiberg (Bulls), Jeff Hornacek (Knicks)— Hoiberg played 11 years in the NBA, Hornacek 15. Hoiberg was coach at Iowa State until he left to coach the Bulls.


Arizona (2)— Luke Walton (Lakers), Steve Kerr (Warriors). Walton played 11 years in the NBA, Kerr played for 16 years.


Air Force Academy— Gregg Popovich (Spurs)


Appalachian State— Alvin Gentry (Pelicans)


Boston U— Brett Brown (76ers)


Brockport State— Stan Van Gundy (Pistons)— When I was in college, we played in a tournament at Brockport, where his dad Bill was the coach. He coached that weekend in a neck brace; had been in a car accident.


Cal-Irvine— Scott Brooks (Wizards). He played 11 years in the NBA also played in the CBA here in Albany for the Patroons.


California— Jason Kidd (Bucks). Kidd played 20 years in the NBA; of the current head coaches, he was the best player.


Concordia— Dave Joerger (Kings)— Came up to the NBA thru the D-League.


DePauw— Brad Stevens (Celtics)— Took Butler to the Final Four. Twice. Underrated feat.


Duke— Quin Snyder (Jazz)— Was also coach at U of Missouri and in the D-League.


Juaniata/Kentucky— Frank Vogel (Magic)— Was a starter at D-III Juniata, knew he wanted to be a coach, so he transferred to Kentucky, where he became a student manager. Good career move.


Kentucky— Dwane Casey (Raptors)


Loyola, MD— Mike Malone (Kings)— His dad was a longtime NBA assistant coach.


Maine-Farmington— Steve Clifford (Hornets)— Was an assistant coach at Siena for a year.


Maine/Virginia— Rick Carlisle (Mavericks)— Played six years in the NBA.


Marquette— Doc Rivers (Clippers)— Played 14 years in NBA, now coaches his son with the Clippers.


Marshall— Mike D’Antoni (Rockets)— Played three years in the NBA, then in Europe.


Nebraska— Tyronn Lue (Cavaliers)— Played 12 years in the NBA.


NC State— Nate McMillan (Pacers)— Played 13 years in the NBA; three of his NC State teammates also coached in either the NBA or big-time college ball.


Oklahoma— Terry Stotts (Trailblazers)


Pomona— Mike Budenholzer (Hawks)— Was an assistant coach with the Spurs.


Portland— Eric Spoelstra (Heat)— His dad was an executive with the Trailblazers.


Providence— Billy Donovan (Thunder)— Won two national titles in college at Florida.


Richmond— Kenny Atkinson (Nets)— Played in Europe for a long time.


Salem State— Tom Thibodeau (T’wolves)— Was an assistant coach for the Spurs during Jerry Tarkanian’s short tenure coaching in San Antonio.


San Diego— David Fizdale (Grizzlies)


UCLA— Earl Watson (Suns)— Played 14 years in the NBA, sponsored AAU teams for years.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s games


Lakers beat Clippers 111-102 on Christmas, their first win in last ten series games; Lakers covered five of last six. Seven of last eight series games stayed under total. Clippers won last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 4-7-1 in last 12 games as a Staples favorite. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Lakers lost last two games by 21-40 points; they won three of last four games at Staples. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


Bulls won their last four games with New Orleans; over is 3-2 in last five games played here. Pelicans covered their last five games in Windy City (2-3 SU). New Orleans won its last two games; they covered four of last five road games. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Bulls lost their last three games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 games as a home favorite. Four of their last five games stayed under total.


Spurs won their last nine games with Phoenix, covering five of last six; three of last four series games went over. San Antonio won four of last five games, covered 12 of last 15 (11-3 as a favorite). Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Phoenix lost seven of last eight games away from home; they covered four of last six as an underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. This game is in Mexico City; Suns lost to Dallas here couple nights ago.


76ers won three in row, five of last six games; they’re 1-4 vs spread on road if they played at home night before. Four of their last five games stayed under. Washington won six of its last nine games, covered nine of last ten at home. Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Wizards won six of last seven games with Philly, but Sixers covered last three; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. 76ers lost their last four visits here (1-3 vs spread).


Jazz won seven of last ten games with Orlando; three of last four series games went over total. Magic won two of last three visits here; they covered last four visits to Utah. Orlando snapped 4-game skid last night in Portland; they’re 12-4 in last 16 games as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Utah waxed Detroit by 33 last night; they’re 6-9 as home favorites. Last five Jazz games stayed under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA SEASON RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


ATS Picks 261-271-8 49.06% -18550


O/U Picks 274-262-5 51.12% -7100


DAILY OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


01/01/2017 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
01/02/2017 8-8-0 50.00% -400
01/03/2017 6-9-0 40.00% -1950
01/04/2017 6-8-0 42.86% -1400
01/05/2017 NO PLAYS
01/06/2017 NO PLAYS
01/07/2017 10-4-0 71.43% +2800
01/08/2017 12-6-0 66.67% +2700
01/09/2017 4-2-0 66.67% +900
01/10/2017 10-8-0 55.56% +600
01/11/2017 6-6-0 50.00% -300
01/12/2017 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
01/13/2017 12-6-0 66.67% +2700


DAILY BEST BETS


JANUARY


ATS:.......26 - 17 - 0


O/U........29 - 21 - 0

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (15 - 28) at LA CLIPPERS (27 - 14) - 1/14/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 38-51 ATS (-18.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 91-62 ATS (+22.8 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (16 - 24) at CHICAGO (19 - 21) - 1/14/2017, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (31 - 8) vs. PHOENIX (12 - 27) - 1/14/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 70-50 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 157-120 ATS (+25.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (12 - 25) at WASHINGTON (19 - 19) - 1/14/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (17 - 24) at UTAH (25 - 16) - 1/14/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 14

Lakers beat Clippers 111-102 on Christmas, their first win in last ten series games; Lakers covered five of last six. Seven of last eight series games stayed under total. Clippers won last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 4-7-1 in last 12 games as a Staples favorite. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Lakers lost last two games by 21-40 points; they won three of last four games at Staples. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Bulls won their last four games with New Orleans; over is 3-2 in last five games played here. Pelicans covered their last five games in Windy City (2-3 SU). New Orleans won its last two games; they covered four of last five road games. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Bulls lost their last three games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 games as a home favorite. Four of their last five games stayed under total.

Spurs won their last nine games with Phoenix, covering five of last six; three of last four series games went over. San Antonio won four of last five games, covered 12 of last 15 (11-3 as a favorite). Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Phoenix lost seven of last eight games away from home; they covered four of last six as an underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. This game is in Mexico City; Suns lost to Dallas here couple nights ago.

76ers won three in row, five of last six games; they’re 1-4 vs spread on road if they played at home night before. Four of their last five games stayed under. Washington won six of its last nine games, covered nine of last ten at home. Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Wizards won six of last seven games with Philly, but Sixers covered last three; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. 76ers lost their last four visits here (1-3 vs spread).

Jazz won seven of last ten games with Orlando; three of last four series games went over total. Magic won two of last three visits here; they covered last four visits to Utah. Orlando snapped 4-game skid last night in Portland; they’re 12-4 in last 16 games as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Utah waxed Detroit by 33 last night; they’re 6-9 as home favorites. Last five Jazz games stayed under the total.




NBA

Saturday, January 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. LA CLIPPERS
LA Lakers are 5-18 SU in their last 23 games
LA Lakers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Clippers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing LA Lakers

5:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHICAGO
New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
New Orleans is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

6:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home

9:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. UTAH
Orlando is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah
Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, January 14


Orlando @ Utah

Game 509-510
January 14, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
113.721
Utah
126.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 13
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10 1/2
195 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-10 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 507-508
January 14, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
110.693
Washington
127.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 17
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 9
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-9); Over

San Antonio @ Phoenix

Game 505-506
January 14, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
124.848
Phoenix
123.254
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+11 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Chicago

Game 503-504
January 14, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
118.998
Chicago
117.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+2); Over

LA Lakers @ LA Clippers

Game 501-502
January 14, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
107.168
LA Clippers
126.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 19 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 11
216
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-11); Under

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JANUARY 14


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


LAL at LAC 03:30 PM


LAL +11.0


U 217.5


NO at CHI 05:00 PM

NO +2.0


U 205.0


SA at PHO 06:00 PM


PHO +12.5


O 214.5

PHI at WAS 08:00 PM


PHI +9.5


O 207.5


ORL at UTA 09:00 PM


UTA -11.5


O 196.0

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack


Odds to win the 2017 Masters


15-2— Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy


8-1— Jason Day


10-1— Dustin Johnson


13-1— Hideki Matsuyama


18-1— Bubba Watson


20-1— Adam Scott, Eldrick Woods


**********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday


13) Falcons 36, Seahawks 20— Matt Ryan has a 2-4 career record in playoff games, with both wins at home against Seattle. Football is an emotional game; Seahawk lineman Michael Bennett went off on a reporter for a question he was asked after the game.


Side note: This result is a win for the Rams; had they waited for Kyle Shanahan to be available, this would’ve been bad. Now they already have their coach and are assembling a staff. Curious to see if Shanahan goes to San Francisco.


12) Patriots 34, Texans 16— Home favorites won/covered first six playoff games this month; bad for ratings, but what can you do? It is not pro wrestling or roller derby, where the finishes are scripted. Sometimes the top teams are just a lot better than the teams below them.


11) Upsets of the Day: Saint Louis (+14) got their first A-14 win, 63-56 at George Mason, and Brown (+12) upset Penn 82-70 in the Palestra. Stephen Spieth (Jordan’s brother) had 22 points for the victorious Bears and yes, he really is Jordan Spieth’s brother.


10) Louisville 78, Duke 69— Blue Devils are 2-3 in ACC, their worst league start since 1996, last time Mike Krzyzewski had his back operated on. Duke is fairly ordinary without big man Amile Jefferson, who has a bad foot (again). Louisville sometimes looks like they practice without a basketball, but boy can they defend.


9) West Virginia 74, Texas 72— Longhorns played their hearts out in first game without leading scorer Tevin Mack (suspended), but came up just short. This was just second win for West Virginia in their last eight games with Texas, which is floundering this year at 7-10, 1-4 Big X.


8) Mississippi State 67, Texas A&M 59— Starters in this game: 4 freshman, 5 sophomores and one lone junior. Two good teams; Ben Howland is quietly assembling a very good team down there in Starkville.


7) Loyola Marymount 79, Portland 78— Just watched a replay of this game; Portland led 78-73 with 0:45 left and then collapsed, just an awful loss, but LMU starts three seniors and they’re struggling, so unless they have a great recruiting year, they’ll get pummeled next year.


6) Illinois State 76, Wichita State 62— Big win for the Redbirds, who are challenging Wichita for MVC supremacy; it is possible the Valley could get two teams in NCAAs this year.


5) UCLA 83, Utah 82— If you had the Bruins -3, a pretty bad beat. Welsh hit two FT’s with 0:01 left to give UCLA an 83-80 lead, with ONE SECOND LEFT. Somehow, Utah throws a long pass right under the basket and the kid hits a short jumper and he celebrates like they just forced OT, except THEY WERE DOWN THREE POINTS. Why do these arenas have scoreboards?


4) UTEP 66, Florida Atlantic 65 OT— Miners came into this weekend on a 12-game losing skid, but they won both home games, both by a point in OT. Winning helps and losing doesn’t.


3) TCU 84, Iowa State 77— Is Jamie Dixon National Coach of the Year so far? After going 50-79 the last four years (8-64 in league play), Horned Frogs are 14-3 this year, 3-2 in Big X play and there are no easy games in the Big X. They beat a very experienced Cyclone team here.


2) Richmond 70, St Joe’s 66— Spiders were 5-5 when they inserted freshman De’Monte Buckingham into the starting lineup; they’re 6-1 since, are 5-0 in A-14 with three road wins.


1— San Diego 88, BYU 75— BYU won here 69-67 LY; two nights later, the teams met again in Provo and BYU crushed the Toreros 91-33. 91-33, an ugly night.


Revenge was sweet last night, as an 11-point underdog San Diego squad that played seven guys; three freshmen, two sophs, a junior from Germany and a senior, beat the Cougars and evened their record at 9-9.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (18 - 22) at TORONTO (26 - 13) - 1/15/2017, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (20 - 18) at ATLANTA (22 - 17) - 1/15/2017, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (14 - 26) at DALLAS (12 - 27) - 1/15/2017, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (31 - 11) at BROOKLYN (8 - 31) - 1/15/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 311-251 ATS (+34.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 93-57 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (20 - 21) at MEMPHIS (25 - 17) - 1/15/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (24 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 23) - 1/15/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 166-121 ATS (+32.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (18 - 24) at LA LAKERS (15 - 29) - 1/15/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 55-69 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 196-240 ATS (-68.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 149-193 ATS (-63.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 62-93 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons