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NBA SEASON RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


ATS Picks 257-269-8 48.86% -19450


O/U Picks 272-258-5 51.32% -5900


DAILY OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


01/01/2017 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
01/02/2017 8-8-0 50.00% -400
01/03/2017 6-9-0 40.00% -1950
01/04/2017 6-8-0 42.86% -1400
01/05/2017 NO PLAYS
01/06/2017 NO PLAYS
01/07/2017 10-4-0 71.43% +2800
01/08/2017 12-6-0 66.67% +2700
01/09/2017 4-2-0 66.67% +900
01/10/2017 10-8-0 55.56% +600


DAILY BEST BETS


JANUARY


ATS:.......18 - 12 - 0


O/U........19 - 14 - 0
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, January 11

Orlando @ LA Clippers

Game 711-712
January 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
107.355
LA Clippers
126.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 19
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-9 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Portland

Game 709-710
January 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
119.307
Portland
125.160
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 6
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Houston @ Minnesota

Game 707-708
January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
125.120
Minnesota
121.024
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Memphis @ Oklahoma City

Game 705-706
January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
122.336
Oklahoma City
124.174
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+4 1/2); Under

Washington @ Boston

Game 703-704
January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
119.621
Boston
124.284
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

New York @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
January 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
118.038
Philadelphia
112.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-2); Over
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 11

Knicks lost eight of last nine games, are 1-1 as road favorites. Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Philly won three of last four games (4-0 vs spread); they’re 10-6 as home underdogs. 76ers’ last four home games stayed under the total. 76ers lost their last five games with New York (1-4 vs spread); Knicks won by 10-7 points in last two visits here. Four of last five series games went over.

Wizards won six of last eight games, are 6-4 as road underdogs. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Boston won four of last five games, covered four of last five as a home favorite. Over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven games. Celtics won four of last five games with Washington; three of last four series games stayed under total. Wizards lost last three visits to Beantown (0-3 vs spread).

Grizzlies are 3-5 in last eight road games, 6-3 in last nine games as a road underdog. Four of their last five games went over. Thunder won/covered four of last five home games; they’re 9-2 in last 11 games as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went over. Favorites covered last seven Memphis-OkC games; Grizzlies are 5-3 in last eight series games, but they lost three of last four visits here (0-4 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over total.

Rockets won their last nine games; they’re 9-4 as road favorites. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Minnesota lost four of last five games; they covered last five tries as a home underdog. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Houston won its last eight games with Minnesota but Wolves covered four of last five; Rockets won last four visits to Twin Cities, by 12-2-24-2 points. Nine of last ten series games went over the total.

Cavaliers split their last four games; they’re 6-3 in last nine road games, 0-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 4-2 in their last six road games. Portland lost nine of last 11 home games; they’re 1-4 as home underdogs. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Home side won last six Cleveland-Portland games; Cavaliers lost last three visits to Portland, by 12-19-29 points. Four of last six series games stayed under total. Note: Both teams played last night, both had issues flying into Portland due to a snowstorm there- Cavs got there very late last nite. Far as I know, Blazers will travel to Portland Tuesday morning.

Magic lost five of last six games; 11-7 as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under the total. Clippers won/covered their last four games; 9-7-1 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Clippers won their last six games with Orlando (4-1-1 vs spread); Magic lost their last three visits here (0-2-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games stayed under.
 

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Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing New York

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Oklahoma City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PORTLAND
Cleveland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Orlando is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Clippers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games when playing Orlando
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Orlando
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (17 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 25) - 1/11/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 112-155 ATS (-58.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (19 - 18) at BOSTON (23 - 15) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (24 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (23 - 16) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 165-121 ATS (+31.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (31 - 9) at MINNESOTA (12 - 26) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (28 - 9) at PORTLAND (17 - 23) - 1/11/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (16 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 14) - 1/11/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
January 11, 2017



Favorites fared well on Tuesday night in the NBA by winning seven of nine times, but turned in a 4-5 ATS mark. The biggest underdog to win outright was Milwaukee, who knocked off San Antonio as 10-point road ‘dogs, 109-107, while Miami and Chicago each cashed in losses as double-digit underdogs. The UNDER hit in six of nine contests, including in both games with a closing total of 226 or higher between the Hornets and Rockets, while the Blazers crushed the Lakers, 108-87 on a 228 ½ total.


Game of the Night – Grizzlies at Thunder (-4 ½, 205) – 8:05 PM EST – ESPN


Each of these Western Conference squads head into tonight’s matchup riding modest two-game winning streaks. The Grizzlies (24-16 SU, 21-19 ATS) are coming off a pair of impressive victories over the Warriors and Jazz, as Memphis erased a 24-point deficit in a 128-119 overtime triumph at Golden State on Friday. Memphis avoided a letdown in its next game back at home by cruising past Utah on Sunday, 88-79 as 2 ½-point favorites to win its third straight contest at FedEx Forum.


Oklahoma City (23-16 SU, 21-17-1 ATS) looks to improve on a 14-6 home mark before hitting the road for a six-game trip on Friday at Minnesota. The Thunder ripped the Bulls on Monday in Chicago, 109-94 as Russell Westbrook finished one assist shy of his 18th triple-double of the season. The big man duo of Steven Adams and Enes Kanter combined to shoot 20-of-25 from the field for 42 points, while OKC hit 57% of its shots from the floor.


The Grizzlies shot lights out against the Thunder in their last meeting on December 29 in Memphis in a 114-80 rout. Memphis led the whole way, while outscoring OKC in the fourth quarter, 36-19, as the Thunder connected on only 4-of-22 shots from three-point range. Mike Conley missed the game due to injury for Memphis, but the Grizzlies hit 13-of-22 attempts from downtown, including six three-pointers from Troy Daniels off the bench.


The Thunder has captured six of the last nine meetings at Chesapeake Energy Arena since 2014, including a 112-94 blowout as 8 ½-point favorites last January. Memphis is riding a six-game OVER streak on the road, while topping the 100-point mark in each of those games. The Thunder has posted an impressive 7-1-1 ATS record in its last nine opportunities in the home favorite role with the only straight-up loss in this span coming to the Hawks on December 19.


Missing Magic


Orlando didn’t have high expectations this season, as the Magic is in the midst of a 1-5 SU/ATS run the last six games. The Magic continue a six-game road trip in Los Angeles against the Clippers tonight after getting run by the Lakers on Sunday, 111-95 as two-point underdogs. The offense is non-existent recently by scoring 95 points or fewer in each of their past three losses, while easily cashing the UNDER in each of those defeats.


The Clippers closed out December with six consecutive losses, but 2017 has been bright for Doc Rivers’ club by winning four straight games. Three of those victories came at Staples Center, including Sunday’s 98-86 triumph over Miami as nine-point favorites. Los Angeles has won seven of its past nine home contests, while looking for the sweep of Orlando after beating the Magic last month, 113-108 as eight-point road favorites.


Welcome Back, Derrick


The Knicks were blown out by the Pelicans, 110-96 on Monday night as New York suffered its eighth loss in the last nine games. Derrick Rose didn’t suit up for New York as the point guard was in Chicago tending to a family matter, which came to a surprise to many in the Knicks’ organization. Rose is back for tonight’s contest in Philadelphia as the Knicks try to improve on a 6-13 road record, while facing the 76ers for the first time this season.


Last season, New York pulled off a four-game sweep of Philadelphia, including a pair of road favorite victories at Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers may own a 10-25 record, but Philadelphia has heated up of late by winning three of their last four games, while compiling a 5-1 ATS mark in the past six contests.


We’re Not Tired


The Rockets have jumped out of the gate with an impressive 31-9 mark, coming off Tuesday’s 121-114 home victory over the Hornets for their ninth straight win. Houston travels to Minnesota tonight as the Rockets go for their 10th win in 10 tries this season with no rest, while owning a 7-2 ATS mark in this situation.


The last time the Rockets faced Minnesota back on December 17, Houston played with no rest and were in danger of suffering its first loss in this rest situation, trailing by 12 points with two minutes remaining. Houston posted a furious rally to force overtime and ultimately stun Minnesota at Target Center, 111-109, but couldn’t cash as 2 ½-point favorites. The Wolves held off the Mavericks on Monday night, but Minnesota owns a dreadful 1-10 SU and 4-7 ATS mark off a victory this season.


Not Too Late


The Wizards started the season at 3-10 under new head coach Scott Brooks, but Washington has rebounded to win 16 of its last 24 games to forge above the .500 mark. Washington rallied past an undermanned Chicago squad in Tuesday’s 101-99 victory for its third straight win. The Wizards head to Boston tonight as Washington has compiled a 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS mark with no rest, while sailing OVER the total six times in this situation.


The Celtics had their four-game winning streak snapped at Toronto last night after getting outscored in the fourth quarter, 34-22 in a 114-106 setback. Boston is riding a five-game home winning streak, as the Celtics try to avenge a 118-93 blowout loss at Verizon Center in early November. Last season, the Celtics routed the Wizards twice at TD Garden with the two victories coming by 20 and 30 points.

Oregon Trail



The Cavaliers continue their six-game road swing tonight in Portland, looking to rebound from last night’s 100-92 setback at Utah. Cleveland failed to cover in its fifth straight game, while scoring 94 points or less for the third time in the last five contests. Heading to Portland may be a fix to Cleveland’s offensive issues, as the Cavaliers posted a season-high 137 points against the Blazers in late November, led by Kevin Love’s incredible 34-point first quarter.


Portland returns home after a 108-87 rout of the Lakers in Los Angeles last night as the Blazers shoot for consecutive victories for the first time in over a month. The Blazers are riding a 6-2 ATS run in the last eight games, including a 3-1 ATS record in the past four opportunities as an underdog. Portland has struggled with no rest this season at 2-6 SU/ATS, as the Blazers were on the second of a back-to-back the last time they faced Cleveland in that 137-125 setback on November 23.
 

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3-pointer: Emerging East Teams
January 11, 2017



As the Cleveland Cavaliers climbed 20 games over .500 for the first time on Sunday, one couldn’t help but notice that 11 of the Eastern Conference’s 15 teams entered the week with 20 or fewer wins. The only other East team with a record better than 10 games over .500 were the Raptors, which means that portion of this postseason is going to be a drag unless multiple teams improve over the next few months.


While the Warriors will be tested as they look to get to their third straight NBA Finals, Cleveland’s road looks lined with rose pedals by comparison. Literally. Derrick Rose’s Knicks could be their first opponent and have looked anything but a super team he predicted they would be. Given the drama surrounding New York, landing the No. 8 seed would seem like a win at this point.


Despite the star power of Carmelo Anthony, Kristaps Porzingis and Rose, the results haven’t come. Fortunately for the sake of our entertainment value come April and May, other teams are beginning to step up.


Behind Houston’s nine-game run of victories, the three longest winning streaks in the league entering the week belonged to Atlanta, Boston and Indiana. While they’re not necessarily the three teams most likely to emerge as the Cavs’ top adversary, they are worth watching to see whether their early success in 2017 is a sign of things to come.


If these teams come through to join the Raptors and others worth watching like Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Bucks and John Wall’s Wizards, the Eastern Conference playoffs may indeed be salvageable.


Despite "Greek Freak" being ill, Milwaukee beat the Spurs in San Antonio on Tuesday behind Jabari Parker, Michael Beasley and rookie Malcolm Brogdon. Washington survived depleted Chicago 101-99 to climb over .500 for the first time. The Wizards have won 10 straight home games. In this week's 3-pointer, we'll look at three other surging Eastern Conference teams worth watching.

Soaring in Atlanta



The Hawks last lost on Dec. 26 and own victories over the Spurs, Pelicans and Mavs during their surge. Despite ownership appearing to be rebuilding on the run by moving Kyle Korver and shopping All-Star Paul Millsap, the team has pressed forward and actually thrived on the road. Thanks to a blowout win in Brooklyn on Tuesday, the Hawks completed a sweep of a four-game trip. Considering Atlanta lost eight straight road games from Nov. 18-Dec. 3, that's a major accomplishment.


Since head coach Mike Budenholzer also has final say in all transactions as team president, the fact he’s been able to keep the team focused is a testament to veterans like Millsap, who hasn’t allowed the rumors to affect his on-court performance. On Monday, the news came down from Yahoo! Sports that GM Wes Wilcox had informed teams that Millsap was no longer available. We’ll see whether that remains the case over the next month, but for now, it renews hope.


Less than two years removed from a 60-win season and a trip to the conference finals, the acquisition of Dwight Howard to replace Al Horford helped produce a 9-2 start, but losses in 10 of 11 quickly drowned out heightened expectations. It will be interesting to see what direction they go in after. Despite moving Korver, convincing Mike Dunleavy, Jr. to come on board when he wanted to be bought out suggests they’re still interested in competing for a division title and ultimately, a ring, but the fact so many contenders are sniffing around Millsap means things could change at any moment.


The Hawks returned home and have a few days off before settling in for weekend home games against the Celtics and Bucks, teams that also harbor postseason expectations.


Boston is Back


Boston had won four straight before falling to Toronto on Tuesday, riding an amazing run from point guard Isaiah Thomas, who is now averaging 28.0 points per game. Thomas closed out 2016 with a 52-point game on Dec. 30 and scored 38 points to secure a 117-108 win against New Orleans to close out a perfect 4-0 homestand. He went for 27 points and seven assists in the loss to the Raptors.


The diminutive Celtics guard was outplayed by Kyle Lowry and the Raptors and failed to even up the Atlantic Division, but has little time to stress over it. Thomas returns home to square off against John Wall-led Washington on Wednesday. Next week features home games against Kemba Walker’s Hornets, Rose’s Knicks and Damian Lillard’s Trail Blazers, so he can really make an impression as he seeks a second consecutive All-Star berth. Thomas was fourth in the first returns of fan voting behind Kyrie Irving, Dwyane Wade and DeMar DeRozan, so people have really taken notice of his exploits.


The Celtics have fared well since getting Horford back in the lineup to provide the defensive presence they hoped he’d bring to the table when he agreed to leave Atlanta for Boston as a free agent, but it’s been Thomas’ big nights on offense that has helped put away games of late. He’ll have to do even more of the heavy lifting this week since backcourt partner Avery Bradley is suffering through an Achilles injury. Marcus Smart has stepped his game up of late and should take on an increased role.


Boston has seen the over prevail in 11 consecutive games after the 114-106 loss to the Raptors, averaging 114 points while surrendering 111.


Faster pace lifts Indiana


Indiana has gotten its act together to open 2017 and hasn’t lost since Dec. 28. The over has come in six straight times in Pacers games, prevailing in nine of the last 10.


All but one of the wins have come at home, but they’ll be a long way from Indianapolis for their next encounter, a date with the Nuggets at 02 Arena in London on Thursday. The Pacers will try to move their winning streak to six games, rallying after dropping a season-high four straight games from Dec. 20-28. They’ve averaged 118.6 points in the victories, finally executing at the tempo team president Larry Bird wanted employed when he let Frank Vogel go and hired Nate McMillan.


The Pacers won’t play again after the London game until they’re back home to host the Pelicans on Jan. 16, so they should have fresh legs once they overcome any jet lag. McMillan’s first season as head coach didn’t start as Bird had hoped, but this current run suggests that the pieces are finally coming together.


Although no one will line up the Bulls, Magic, Pistons, Nets and Knicks as a murderer’s row, the fact the Pacers handled business against teams that they were favored to win against bodes well for their continued improvement since they’ll face New Orleans, Sacramento and the L.A. Lakers after they return from England. All are sub-.500 teams. If Indiana takes care of business, they could be hunting a 10-game winning streak when they take the court at Utah on Jan. 21.
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 11


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NY at PHI 07:00 PM


PHI +1.5


O 209.5



WAS at BOS 08:00 PM


BOS -6.5


U 218.0


MEM at OKC 08:00 PM


MEM +5.0


U 203.0


HOU at MIN 08:00 PM


MIN +3.5


O 219.0



ORL at LAC 10:30 PM


LAC -10.5


O 208.5


CLE at POR 10:30 PM


POR +4.5


O 221.0
 

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NBA SEASON RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


ATS Picks 257-269-8 48.86% -19450


O/U Picks 272-258-5 51.32% -5900


DAILY OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


01/01/2017 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
01/02/2017 8-8-0 50.00% -400
01/03/2017 6-9-0 40.00% -1950
01/04/2017 6-8-0 42.86% -1400
01/05/2017 NO PLAYS
01/06/2017 NO PLAYS
01/07/2017 10-4-0 71.43% +2800
01/08/2017 12-6-0 66.67% +2700
01/09/2017 4-2-0 66.67% +900
01/10/2017 10-8-0 55.56% +600


DAILY BEST BETS


JANUARY


ATS:.......18 - 12 - 0


O/U........19 - 14 - 0
 

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NBA Capsules
January 12, 2017



OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) Russell Westbrook posted his 18th triple-double of the season, and the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 103-95 on Wednesday night.


Westbrook finished with 24 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists for the 55th triple-double of his career. He already has matched his triple-double total from last season less than halfway through this one, and last season's total was the most for an NBA player since Magic Johnson had 18 during the 1981-82 season.


Enes Kanter scored 19 points and Victor Oladipo added 16 for the Thunder, who won their third straight and avenged their worst loss of the season. Oklahoma City lost 114-80 in Memphis on Dec. 29, a game Westbrook was ejected from.


Mike Conley scored 22 points for the Grizzlies.


TIMBERWOLVES 119, ROCKETS 105


MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Andrew Wiggins scored 28 points, Karl-Anthony Towns had 23 points and 18 rebounds, and Shabazz Muhammad scored 20 to help Minnesota beat Houston.


James Harden had 33 points and 12 assists for the Rockets, who had their nine-game winning streak snapped.


Ricky Rubio tied his own franchise record with 17 assists to go with 10 points for the Timberwolves, who used a 17-4 run to build an 89-77 lead after three quarters.

CELTICS 117, WIZARDS 108



BOSTON (AP) - Isaiah Thomas scored 20 of his 38 points in the fourth quarter and Boston pulled away late to beat Washington.


Al Horford added 16 points and nine rebounds for the Celtics, who won for the fifth time in six games and ended Washington's three-game winning streak. Jae Crowder scored 20 and Terry Rozier had 11.


Bradley Beal led the Wizards with 35 points. Otto Porter Jr. scored 20 and Markieff Morris finished with 14.


Boston held John Wall to a season-low nine points. The star guard did have 10 assists for the Wizards, who fell to 19-19 a day after moving above .500 for the first time since November 2015.


76ERS 98, KNICKS 97


PHILADELPHIA (AP) - T.J. McConnell hit a baseline jumper at the buzzer to give Philadelphia a victory over New York.


Joel Embiid had 21 points and 14 rebounds, and Ersan Ilyasova added 16 points to help the 76ers rally from a 17-point deficit.


Derrick Rose returned from a one-game hiatus and scored 25 points for the Knicks. Carmelo Anthony had 28.


Rose showed why New York needs him on the court, two days after an unexcused absence. He missed Monday night's loss to New Orleans when he traveled home to Chicago without informing the team first.


TRAIL BLAZERS 102, CAVALIERS 86


PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) - CJ McCollum had 27 points and Portland shook off fatigue caused by weather-related travel delays to beat defending NBA champion Cleveland.


Allen Crabbe added 24 points off the bench for the Trail Blazers, who have won four straight home games against the Cavaliers. Portland led by as many as 24.


LeBron James had 20 points and 11 rebounds for Cleveland (28-10).


McCollum scored 21 points in the second half. He has had seven straight games with 25 or more.


A snowstorm that dumped as much as 14 inches on parts of Portland caused travel problems for both teams late Tuesday.

CLIPPERS 105, MAGIC 96



LOS ANGELES (AP) - J.J. Redick had 22 points and Los Angeles hit five 3-pointers in the fourth quarter to hold off Orlando, improving to 5-0 in the new year.


Marreese Speights scored 10 of his 13 in the fourth, including three 3-pointers, on a night when the Clippers committed 21 turnovers. DeAndre Jordan grabbed 20 rebounds (to go with 10 points) for his NBA-leading sixth game with 20 or more.


Aaron Gordon had 28 points, 18 in the first half, to lead Orlando, which has lost four in a row and six of seven. Nikola Vucevic had 16 points and 12 rebounds.
 

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Thursday’s six-pack


Some thoughts on the Chargers moving to Los Angeles


— If they move to the Coliseum, they need to put FieldTurf down; no way will that grass field hold up with USC, the Rams and Chargers all playing home games there.


— There is a chance the Chargers could play in a 28,000-seat stadium in Carson for a couple years, until the new stadium in Inglewood is ready.


— Chargers have to pay the city of San Diego $12M to get out of their lease at Qualcomm.


— What coach is going to be willing to coach a nomadic team for two years?


— What if the Jaguars wanted to move to San Diego? If I owned the Jaguars, I would.


— I’m very curious to know how much money the Spanos family will rake in by moving to LA, as opposed to just staying in San Diego and playing in the old stadium.


Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) News came down little while ago that the Chargers will indeed move to LA and may even change their nickname a year from now. Sad day for people in San Diego, who supported this team for 50 years but in today’s society, greed trumps loyalty and that goes for the Rams’ owner, as well. It goes for the whole NFL, but they’re rich people and I’m not, so I’ll shut up.


I’ll just say this; at some point, teams will stop moving and governments will stop shelling out ridiculous sums of money for stadiums that aren’t needed.


Elsewhere in the world…….
12) All four NFL playoff games this weekend are rematches from regular season games, though I doubt Jacoby Brissett will play for the Patriots this week, like he did in Week 3 against Houston.


11) I’m wondering what Clemson’s windfall will be from apparel sales after they won the national title Monday night? Someone in the stadium’s gift shop said Tuesday’s business was similar to an actual game day as far as how much gear they sold. People love a winner.


10) Denver Broncos hired Vance Joseph, Buffalo Bills hired Sean McDermott as their new head coaches, so Panthers, Bills are looking for new defensive coordinators.


9) I didn’t know that Wyoming is the least populated state in the country. Now I do.


8) Speaking of Wyoming, their former star basketball player Josh Adams was in a severe car accident last spring and almost died, but he’s recovered enough that he flew to Russia yesterday to begin his pro basketball career, so that is very good news.


Adams is good enough that he’ll be on an NBA roster someday.


7) Chicago Cubs are visiting the White House Monday, unusually early for a World Series champ, but the outgoing President is from Chicago and the Cubs owner despises the President-elect, so guess it makes some sense.


Can’t wait until next spring’s NBA champ declines to visit the White House. It’ll happen.


6) Upset of the Night: 15-point underdog Fordham won 60-54 at Davidson; with players from seven different countries, you think Davidson has chemistry issues? Seriously, has to be tough to get people from so many different cultures to pull together.


5) 23-year old OF Mallex Smith hit .238 in 72 games in his rookie year for the Braves LY; he was traded twice on Tuesday, first to Seattle, then quickly to Tampa Bay. Had to be a weird day for him.


4) Denver Nuggets-Indiana Pacers are playing a game in London Thursday. Remember that the Nuggets are owned by Stan Kroenke, who also owns the Rams, who get stuck playing a game in London every year. He also owns a soccer team in England. He is really rich.


3) Last night, Chris Paul became the 10th player with 15,000 points and 8,000 assists.


2) This is probably a stupid idea, but wouldn’t it be cool if a former President became a radio talk show host? He could have a studio built in his house and a couple days a week, take calls from ordinary Americans and explain to them why our government is so messed up, and how it could be better.


What better way to learn about government than to hear from a man who ran the country?


“Hello, it is 2:23 and it is 70 degrees in Washington. We’ve got Jane from Spokane on Line 3…..”


1— Hunter Renfrow was a walk-on football player at Clemson; Monday night, he caught 10 passes for 92 yards and scored two TDs for the Tigers. This kid was a 2-star recruit in HS; it is pretty rare for 2-star recruits to become such good players, but good for him.


Several times in the second half Monday night, when Clemson had big plays coming up, Boston College coach Steve Addazio said in the coaches’ studio on ESPNews, “…find number 13” and then Watson would throw him a pass.


There is not, hasn’t been and never will be a metric to measure someone’s heart, or desire, which is a big part of what makes sports great, even if the pro teams are mostly owned by greedy bastards.
 

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NBA SEASON RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


ATS Picks 261-271-8 49.06% -18550


O/U Picks 274-262-5 51.12% -7100


DAILY OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:


01/01/2017 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
01/02/2017 8-8-0 50.00% -400
01/03/2017 6-9-0 40.00% -1950
01/04/2017 6-8-0 42.86% -1400
01/05/2017 NO PLAYS
01/06/2017 NO PLAYS
01/07/2017 10-4-0 71.43% +2800
01/08/2017 12-6-0 66.67% +2700
01/09/2017 4-2-0 66.67% +900
01/10/2017 10-8-0 55.56% +600
01/11/2017 6-6-0 50.00% -300


DAILY BEST BETS


JANUARY


ATS:.......21 - 12 - 0


O/U........21 - 17 - 0
 

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Long Sheet

Thursday, January 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (20 - 18) vs. DENVER (14 - 23) - 1/12/2017, 3:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (15 - 24) at BROOKLYN (8 - 29) - 1/12/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (19 - 20) at NEW YORK (17 - 22) - 1/12/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 34-48 ATS (-18.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 83-49 ATS (+29.1 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (15 - 27) at SAN ANTONIO (30 - 8) - 1/12/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 497-412 ATS (+43.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 201-139 ATS (+48.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 299-238 ATS (+37.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-67 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (11 - 27) vs. PHOENIX (12 - 26) - 1/12/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 190-148 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
PHOENIX is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (18 - 22) at GOLDEN STATE (33 - 6) - 1/12/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 72-52 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-47 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 12

Indiana-Denver are playing over in London today. Nuggets are 8-2 in last ten games with Indiana; underdogs are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine series games— over is 7-3 in last ten. Pacers won/covered their last five games, four of which were at home. Last six Indiana games went over total. Nuggets lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 2-6 in last eight games away from home. Last five Denver games went over.

Pelicans won their last five games with Brooklyn, winning by 20-19 points in last two games here; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. New Orleans lost three of last four games; they’re 3-8SU in last 11 road games. 1-1 as road favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Nets lost their last seven games, are 9-8 as home underdogs. Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Pelicans had two nights off in NYC after playing Knicks, not always a good thing.

Knicks won/covered four of last five games with Chicago; Bulls lost by 16-12 points in last two visits to Manhattan. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Chicago lost last two games but covered four of last five; they’re 8-8 as road underdogs, covering last three tries. Three of their last four games stayed under. New York lost nine of last ten games, including last four in row at home. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven home games.

Spurs won their last six games with the Lakers but LA covered three of last four; Lakers lost last three visits to Alamo, by 14-22-4 points. Last five series games went over total. LA lost their last five road games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 games as a road underdog. Four of Lakers’ last five road games went over. San Antonio won seven of last nine games, is 8-1 vs spread in last nine home tilts. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Mavericks won four of last five games with Phoenix; teams split last four games played here. Last three series games stayed under total. Dallas lost its last three games but is 4-2 vs spread in last six road games- they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as a road underdog. Suns won three of last four home games (4-0 vs spread); they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

Golden State won nine of last ten games with Detroit but Pistons covered three of last four; Detroit lost last four visits to Oakland (2-2 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Pistons lost four of last six road games, are 5-10 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over total. Golden State won six of last seven games but covered just one of last six games. Over is 4-2 in their last six home games.
 

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Thursday, January 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:00 PM
INDIANA vs. DENVER
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NEW YORK
Chicago is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 16 games
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
LA Lakers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
DETROIT vs. GOLDEN STATE
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
 

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Inside the Paint - Thursday
January 12, 2017



New York Struggles


Two of the coldest clubs in the NBA currently reside in New York and they’re both in action on Thursday.


After a promising start to the season and hopes of making the playoffs, the Knicks (17-22 straight up, 22-17 against the spread) have fallen apart on and off the court. New York has dropped nine of its last 10 games (4-6 ATS) and four of the losses have been decided by five points or less.


Last night, New York collapsed at Philadelphia and lost a 98-97 decision. Point guard Derrick Rose returned to the club after an unexcused absence and actually played well (25 points) against the 76ers.


On Thursday, New York welcomes Rose’s former team to Madison Square Garden when Chicago (19-20 SU, 19-20 ATS) visits. As bad as the Knicks are playing, they’ve been installed as short favorites (-3) over the Bulls.


Chicago is coming off back-to-back losses and it already dropped the first meeting this season against the Knicks on Nov. 4 as New York captured a 117-104 road win.


Make a note that New York hasn’t won when playing on no rest this season, going 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS. Total bettors should be aware that the ‘over’ has gone 6-1 in the back-to-back spots for New York.


While the Knicks have been horrible lately, the Nets (8-29 SU, 18-17-2 ATS) have outdone their neighbors. Brooklyn has dropped seven straight and is 4-25 in its last 29 games with their last win coming on Dec. 26 against Charlotte (120-118) at home.


Brooklyn lives and dies on the 3-point shot and if they’re not falling, it doesn’t have a chance to win because the defense has been an afterthought this season. The unit is ranked last in scoring, allowing 114.1 points per game. To put things in perspective, the Nets have only kept three teams under the century mark this season.


New Orleans (15-24 SU, 18-20-1 ATS) visits the Barclays Center and the Pelicans could be without All-Star Anthony Davis (hip) on Thursday. The Pelicans have won five straight over the Nets and will likely be rare road favorites in this spot.


For what it’s worth, Brooklyn has notched five of its eight wins against the Western Conference this season and four of them came at home.


International Action


The NBA Global Games returns Thursday with not one but two games on tap.


Indiana (20-18 SU, 17-21 ATS) vs. Denver (14-23 SU, 18-19 ATS)
London (NBATV, 3:00 p.m. ET)



This will be the seventh game played at the The O2 Arena from London and favorites have gone 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS in the first six in this event while the ‘over’ has produced a 4-2 mark. No opening line was posted on this game due to the ‘questionable’ status of Denver forward Danilo Gallinari (ankle).


The Pacers enter this game on a roll, winning and covering five straight games. The offense is averaging 118.6 points per game during this run and that’s led to a 5-0 ‘over’ record. Make a note that four of the five wins came at home and all of the opponents were below .500.


Denver falls into the aforementioned group of losing teams and coincidentally it enters this game with five consecutive losses, three of them coming at the Pepsi Center. Denver’s issues is defense or lack thereof. The Nuggets are ranked 28th in scoring defense (111.2 PPG) and they’ve surrendered 123.8 PPG during their current losing streak. To no surprise, the ‘over’ has cashed in all five losses.


Fans in the United Kingdom might have a good chance of watching a tight game on Thursday based on the recent history between these teams. Denver has won two of the last three encounters but all three games were decided by four points or less.


Dallas (11-27 SU, 17-21 ATS) vs. Phoenix (12-26 SU, 19-18 ATS)
Mexico City (10:05 p.m. ET)



This is the third game played in Mexico City in the last three seasons and fourth overall. Favorites have gone 2-0 both SU and ATS the last two years, while the total went 1-1.


The Suns have won and covered the only meeting against the Mavericks this season, a 102-95 win at Dallas last Thursday as 5 ½-point road underdogs.


Including that setback, Dallas has now dropped three in a row and four of its last five. The Mavericks have been hobbled all season with injuries but they’ve been better in the second quarter (7-11) of the season after starting 4-16.


The Suns haven’t played since Sunday when they came up short to Cleveland, losing a 120-116 decision at home. Phoenix covered in the loss (+8.5) and has now cashed ticked in five of its last six games.


The total on this game (202) seems a little low based on Phoenix’s weak defensive tendencies (111.9 PPG) but Dallas has been a solid ‘under’ wager (17-13) this season and the Suns enter this matchup on a 5-1 run to the low side.


Two Straight?


San Antonio (30-8 SU, 23-15 ATS) will look to bounce back on Thursday after dropping a 109-107 decision to Milwaukee on Tuesday as a 10-point home favorite. The setback was just their eighth of the season and bettors should note that the club has gone 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS after a loss.


The Spurs will face the Los Angeles Lakers (15-27 SU, 19-22-1 ATS) in the rebound matchup and the oddsmakers expect them to cruise as favorites (-14 ½). San Antonio has won six straight meetings against Los Angeles, which includes a 116-107 won on Nov. 18 as a 7 ½-point road favorite.


The Lakers have gone 3-3 both SU and ATS in January and the key to Luke Walton’s club has been defense. In the last six games, the club allowed 99 PPG in the three wins and 116.3 PPG in the losses.


The Spurs have gone 13-4 since Dec. 6 and the point-spread hasn’t matter in any of those 17 games. When they win, they cover and vice versa with losses. So if you’re looking to back the Lakers, a look at the generous money-line (+1150) might be in play.


Golden Burn


The Warriors (33-6 SU, 16-22-1 ATS) host the Pistons (18-22 SU, 18-22 ATS) in Thursday’s late-night tip on TNT and bettors could be hesitant to back Golden State, who opened as 13 ½-point home favorites.


The two-time defending Western Conference champions will likely be in the hunt for another NBA Finals appearance but covering games on a nightly basis hasn’t been on their agenda this season.


Golden State has lost money for bettors and it enters this matchup with six straight losses against the spread. The club has gone 5-1 SU during this span and every win came by eight-plus points but when you’re consistently laying double digits, covering becomes a lot tougher. Especially when you’re defense hasn’t been great and that’s been the case during this recent stretch (110.6 PPG).


The Warriors dropped the Pistons 119-113 on Dec. 23 as eight-point road favorites and the ‘over’ (214 ½) connected. Including that win, Golden State has won 10 of the past 11 meetings against Detroit and the Pistons haven’t won in the Bay Area since 2008.


Detroit has been playing a tad faster lately and the ‘over’ has produced a 7-2 mark in its last nine games. The Pistons have been an ‘under’ lean (22-18) all season but the ‘over’ (12-8) has been better on the road.


Golden State faces Cleveland at home on Monday after this game and while the look-ahead could be in play, the time between the two contests certainly lessens that angle.
 

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sorry about the earlier game.........hope you rode denver and the over..........
 

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Hoop Trends - Thursday
January 12, 2017



ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Pelicans are 0-13 ATS (-10.38 ppg) on the road with rest off a 10+ point win as a dog since Dec 15, 2002.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Suns are 11-0-1 OU (12.79 ppg) with rest off a loss in a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points since Nov 20, 2015.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Suns are 7-0 OU (13.07 ppg) since Apr 13, 2016 after Devin Booker was not the Suns’ high scorer in a home loss.


CHOICE TREND:

-- The Suns are 11-0-1 ATS (11.29 ppg) with more than two days of rest after their opponent shot over 50% from the field since May 22, 2006.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Lakers are 0-10 ATS (-10.30 ppg) with rest when the line is at least 10 points higher than their last game since Apr 12, 2015.
 

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