Cnotes NBA Season Trends/News/ Stats/ Picks All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, January 18

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. WASHINGTON
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Memphis is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Charlotte is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Portland

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. NEW ORLEANS
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. DETROIT
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Atlanta

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. HOUSTON
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
INDIANA vs. SACRAMENTO
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Sacramento is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 18

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PORTLAND (18 - 25) at CHARLOTTE (20 - 21) - 1/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (25 - 18) at WASHINGTON (21 - 19) - 1/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (28 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 26) - 1/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
TORONTO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 114-155 ATS (-56.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (18 - 24) at BOSTON (26 - 15) - 1/18/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (17 - 26) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 26) - 1/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (24 - 17) at DETROIT (19 - 24) - 1/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 20) at HOUSTON (32 - 12) - 1/18/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 245-298 ATS (-82.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 312-252 ATS (+34.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (21 - 19) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 24) - 1/18/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games this season.
INDIANA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (25 - 18) at GOLDEN STATE (35 - 6) - 1/18/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 133-109 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 123-100 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-53 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 74-52 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-47 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 167-121 ATS (+33.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
January 18, 2017


The underdogs profited on Tuesday night in the NBA by going 3-2 ATS as the Heat and Mavericks each won outright as a ‘dog. The Raptors sent the Nets to their 11th straight loss, while the Nuggets held off the Lakers, 127-121. The only underdog to cash in a loss was Minnesota, who fell short in a 122-114 setback at San Antonio as 12-point ‘dogs. The OVER hit in three of five games, including the Nuggets/Lakers matchup which had a total of 230.


Game of the Night – Thunder at Warriors (-13, 228) – 10:35 PM EST – ESPN


Golden State (35-6, 17-23-1 ATS) picked up a bit of revenge on Monday in a 126-91 blowout of Cleveland in an NBA Finals rematch. The Warriors scored 78 first half points, while Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson combined to hit 10 three-pointers to give Golden State its fourth consecutive victory. Steve Kerr’s squad wraps up a four-game homestand as the Warriors have covered two straight games since a 1-8 ATS slump that began on December 23.


Oklahoma City (25-18 SU, 23-19-1 ATS) continues a six-game road swing as the Thunder looks to rebound from a 120-98 setback to the Clippers on Monday as 8 ½-point underdogs. Russell Westbrook failed to post a triple-double as he finished with 24 points, five rebounds, and four assists, while OKC lost its fifth straight game in the role of a road underdog (1-4 ATS). The Thunder have bounced back after a defeat in which they were held below 100 points by posting a 6-2 SU and 4-3-1 ATS record.


Of course the top storyline is Kevin Durant facing his former team as the ex-Thunder standout crossed over to the Warriors in the offseason. Golden State erased a 3-1 deficit to Oklahoma City in last season’s Western Conference Finals, as the Warriors continued their recent ownership of the Thunder in a 122-96 blowout on November 3 at Oracle Arena. However, OKC played with no rest in that loss as 12-point underdogs, as Durant torched his former mates for 39 points, while the Warriors blew the game open in the second quarter by outscoring the Thunder, 37-11.

Capital Punishment


The Wizards suddenly have the best home-court advantage in the league, at least recently. Washington has won 12 consecutive games at the Verizon Center, while covering 11 times in this span following Monday’s 120-101 rout of Portland as 3 ½-point favorites. The Wizards will be tested tonight as the Grizzlies invade the Nation’s Capital, as Memphis will try to bounce back from Sunday’s home loss to Chicago.


Earlier this season, the Grizzlies held off the Wizards in overtime at home, 112-103, but Washington has captured three of the past four matchups in D.C. since 2013. Memphis has lost five of its past eight games away from FedEx Forum, but has earned solid road victories as heavy underdogs at Golden State and Houston this month.


No Rest Needed


The Rockets were silenced in last night’s shocking 109-103 defeat to the struggling Heat as Houston knocked down only 9-of-39 attempts from three-point range. Houston returns to the Toyota Center tonight to host Milwaukee as the Rockets try to improve on a solid 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS record on the second of a back-to-back set. However, Houston has covered just once in the last five games, including three consecutive non-covers at home.


The Bucks are back in Texas after pulling out their best win of the season at San Antonio on January 10 as 10-point underdogs, 109-107. However, Milwaukee is looking to snap a two-game skid, including a surprising 113-104 home setback to Philadelphia on Monday as 8 ½-point favorites. Milwaukee’s defense hasn’t been sharp of late by allowing at least 100 points in seven straight contests, while riding a four-game streak to the OVER.


Lacking Pace


Indiana is rolling at home this season by posting a solid 16-5 record at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The road has been a different story for Nate McMillan’s squad by losing 13 of 18 contests on the highway, including seven of the last nine away from Indianapolis. The Pacers begin a three-game road swing tonight in Sacramento against a Kings’ club closing out a seven-game homestand. Sacramento has dropped five of six games on this homestand, but the Kings have owned the Pacers recently by winning four straight meetings.


Bee Sting


The Hornets had expectations to advance past the first round of the playoffs this season after losing in seven games to the Heat last season. However, Charlotte has stumbled recently to fall below the .500 mark at 20-21 by losing seven of the past eight games. The Hornets welcome in the Blazers tonight as Charlotte starts an important five-game homestand. Portland attempts to snap a mini two-game skid as the Blazers allowed 115 and 120 points in its past two losses, while losing in two of its previous three trips to Charlotte.

Motor City Struggles


The Pistons finished off their five-game Western Conference road swing with a victory over the Lakers, but Detroit has dropped 11 of its past 16 games as it welcomes Atlanta to the Palace of Auburn Hills. Playing at home hasn’t been easy for the Pistons, as Stan Van Gundy’s team has compiled a 2-6 SU/ATS in the last eight at the Palace, which includes a victory over the Cavaliers without LeBron James.


The Hawks continue to remain hot after Monday’s one-point triumph at New York, as Atlanta has won nine of its past 10 games overall. Atlanta has been true road warriors by winning five consecutive contests away from Philips Arena, while capturing a pair of victories at the Palace last season.


Head-to-Head Trends


-- The Raptors have won 14 straight meetings with the 76ers since the 2013-14 season, while covering 11 times in this span. Toronto visits Philadelphia tonight as the Raptors are riding a seven-game winning streak at Wells Fargo Center.


-- Boston owns an 8-1 record in the past nine matchups with New York, including a 2-0 mark this season. The Celtics host the Knicks this evening as Boston has scored 115 and 119 points in the first two matchups this season, while the last three meetings at TD Garden have finished UNDER the total.


-- Orlando has captured the last four meetings with New Orleans, as the two squads hook up in the Big Easy tonight. The Magic topped the Pelicans at home in November, 89-82, the fifth consecutive time in this series the two teams have gone UNDER the total.

 

[CNOTES]

Hot and Cold Teams
January 17, 2017


The NBA season has reached the halfway point for many teams as several key trends have materialized to keep an eye on moving forward. There aren’t many surprises as far as the best teams against the spread this season, but one squad being the worst covering numbers may be a bit of a shocker.


Best ATS Teams


Houston: 27-16 ATS


The Rockets return home on Wednesday for a pair of games against the Bucks and Warriors as Houston is tied atop the Southwest division with San Antonio. Houston has done a majority of its damage on the road this season by posting a terrific 16-7 SU and 17-6 ATS mark away from Toyota Center, including 12 wins in their past 15 road contests.


However, Mike D’Antoni’s team is rolling at home of late by going 12-2 SU in their last 14 games at Toyota Center, although the Rockets have failed to cover in their last three at home.


Toronto: 25-14-1 ATS


The Raptors have split their success at home (13-7-1 ATS) and on the road (12-7 ATS), as 18 of their 27 wins this season have come against teams currently at .500 or below. Toronto continues a three-game road trip at Philadelphia on Wednesday, playing in the midst of six consecutive contests against under .500 teams, as the trip wraps up on Friday in Charlotte.


Dwane Casey’s squad started the season with a strong 11-3 road record, but have fallen back to 1-4 SU/ATS the past five games away from the Air Canada Center.


Worst ATS Teams


Cleveland: 17-21-2 ATS


Yep, the defending champions take this dubious honor of owning the worst record against the number at the halfway point. Cleveland finished a six-game road swing with a 126-91 beatdown at Golden State in a rematch of last June’s NBA Finals, suffering its largest defeat of the season. The Cavaliers are currently riding a 1-7 ATS run, while scoring less than 92 points in three of their past four contests.


After facing the Suns on Thursday, the Cavaliers welcome the Spurs on Saturday night, as Cleveland plays five of the next six games at Quicken Loans Arena. Cleveland is rolling at home lately by winning nine of the past 10 at the Q, while compiling a 6-3-1 ATS mark in this stretch.

Indiana: 17-23 ATS


The Pacers sit in second place of the Central division behind Cleveland, but the home/road splits for Indiana have been daunting. At home, the Pacers own a solid 16-5 mark, while covering 12 times. However, Indiana has slumped to a 5-14 SU/ATS record away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse, while losing seven of the past nine games on the highway.


Indiana heads back on the dreaded road for four of the next five games, starting Wednesday night in Sacramento. The Pacers head to Los Angeles to face the Lakers on Friday, followed by a trip to Utah on Saturday. One thing to note for Saturday, Indiana owns a horrible 1-6 SU/ATS record with no rest.


HOT STREAKS


Team Trend (SU/ATS)


Atlanta Hawks 9-1, 8-2 on road


Boston Celtics 13-3, 11-4-1


Cleveland Cavaliers 9-1, 6-3-1 at home


Golden State Warriors 12-1, 7-6 at home


Houston Rockets 12-2, 7-7 at home


Los Angeles Clippers 7-0, 6-1


Philadelphia 76ers 6-2, 7-1


San Antonio Spurs 10-1, 9-2 at home


Utah Jazz 11-0, 8-3 as road favorite


Washington Wizards 12-0 SU, 11-1 at home




COLD STREAKS


Team Trend (SU/ATS)


Brooklyn Nets 0-10, 2-8


Charlotte Hornets 1-7, 3-4


Chicago Bulls 2-8, 3-7 on road


Detroit Pistons 2-6, 2-6 at home


Indiana Pacers 2-7, 2-7 on road


Miami Heat 1-5, 2-4 at home


Minnesota Timberwolves 0-5, 1-4 on road


New York Knicks 1-9, 4-6 on road


Phoenix Suns 1-6, 2-5 on road


Portland Trail Blazers 2-10, 4-8 on road


Sacramento Kings 1-6, 2-5 at home


Toronto Raptors 1-4, 1-4 on road

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MEM at WAS 07:00 PM

WAS -2.0


O 207.0


POR at CHA 07:00 PM


CHA -5.0


O 217.0


TOR at PHI 07:00 PM


PHI +6.5


O 215.0


NY at BOS 07:30 PM


BOS -9.5


O 221.0

MIL at HOU 08:00 PM


MIL +7.0


O 226.0


ATL at DET 08:00 PM


ATL -2.0


O 201.5


ORL at NO 08:00 PM


NO -5.5


U 210.0


OKC at GS 10:30 PM


GS -13.5


U 230.5


IND at SAC 10:30 PM


SAC -1.5


U 214.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


— South Carolina 57, Florida 53— Gators were 0-17 behind the arc.


— Upsets of the Night: Oklahoma (+17) 89, West Virginia 87 OT……and Fordham (+11.5) 69, VCU 67.


— Auburn 78, LSU 74— Bruce Pearl gets his 500th coaching win.


— Pacers 106, Kings 100— Sacramento’s Rudy Gay tore his achilles tendon.


— Florida State 83, Notre Dame 80— First ACC loss for the Irish.


— Washington 85, Colorado 83 OT— Fun game to watch, but some of the worst defense I’ve ever seen played. Seriously, just terrible defense by both teams. Buffs led by 17 in second half.


**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….


13) Did you know that Anheuser-Busch has the option to buy the first ad of the Super Bowl, and they’ve declined two of the past three years? Their research shows them that commercials later in the game get more attention that those early on. By doing that, they’re gambling the game isn’t a blowout and people stop paying attention.


Advertising is also a big money game. Over the last 35 Super Bowls, Anheuser Busch has spent over $520M in advertising.


12) Three Oregon football players went to the hospital after off-season workouts, and so the new strength coach of the Ducks has been suspended for a month, replaced by the old strength coach, who must be laughing up his sleeve.


The new strength coach came from South Florida with coach Willie Taggart; supposedly he does not have the college degree a person in his position usually has.


Signing Day is 13 days away; stuff like that can hurt your recruiting.


11) Back in 1960, the first year of the AFL, the Los Angeles Chargers had a damn good coaching staff. Sid Gillman was head coach; two of his assistants were Al Davis and Chuck Noll. Not bad.


10) Tony Romo has a steel rod in the collarbone that has been broken three times.


I mention this because the last couple of times I flew, the security person asked me if I had any steel rods in my body. Maybe I look like an NFL quarterback or maybe I just look old, you make the call but my preference is to think I look like a former signal caller.


9) Tennis player Nick Kyrgios was trailing 6-5 in the third set late Tuesday night in Australia when he actually hit a return shot between his legs, like it was nothing. Seriously, I’d be in traction if I tried to do what he did, even without any steel rods in my body.


I don’t know much about tennis, but this guy looks like a little like Giancarlo Stanton, resembles a Greek Adonis, but John McEnroe ripped Kyrgios after he lost his second round match, saying “…..he has about the #200 mental game.” Alrighty then.


8) Congrats to Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell, Pudge Rodriguez on getting into the Hall of Fame. Will be lot of people coming down from Montreal to Cooperstown in July, I’m pretty sure.


One other HOF note: if David Ortiz gets put in the Hall of Fame someday and that seems likely, then they need to put Edgar Martinez in also. His career on-base %age was .418. Four-Freakin’-eighteen.


Just because he played on the west coast shouldn’t mean he gets excluded.


7) Since 2010, your major league leader in home runs? Jose Bautista, with 249.


6) If I ever get involved in coaching basketball again, I’d be a strong advocate for spending eight minutes of EVERY practice with kids practicing all different kinds of layups. It really helps.


This is something from the Princeton school of coaching; I’m no fan of the Princeton offense itself, but if you’re lucky enough to have players who get the ball close to the basket, it is a big help to have guys who can finish plays. Watch Belmont in the OVC; they’re crafty around the basket and it helps them neutralize more athletic opponents.


I see it all season watching college hoop for 5-6 hours a night; some teams have kids who are uncomfortable when they have the ball around the basket, unless they can dunk it.


5) Surprising fact: Atlanta Falcons have four rookie starters on defense.


4) Over last two years, Clippers are 5-12 in games that Chris Paul missed; he is now out 6-8 weeks with a torn ligament in his thumb.


3) Baylor’s Johnathan Motley had 32 points, 20 rebounds against Texas Monday night; it is really hard to go 30-20 in a basketball game, you have to be totally dominant. Baylor got zero votes in the preseason college hoop poll, but now they’re a top 10 team.


2) Washington Huskies QB Jake Browning had shoulder surgery this week; they did a nice job of hiding his injury thru the season.


1— The following numbers are presented as facts, not as any sort of political statement, but they are facts, and they are interesting.


President Obama commuted 1,385 prison sentences in his eight years in office, 504 of which were life sentences. He also pardoned 212 people. This is more than the last 12 presidents did combined.


I don’t have an opinion on these stats, other than when you do something more than the 12 people who had your job before you (combined), it is an interesting statistic.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 19

Cavaliers won last four games with Phoenix but Suns covered six of last eight series games. Phoenix lost by 10-22 points in last two visits here. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Suns lost three of last four games, covered five of last six; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as a road underdog- their last four games went over total. Cleveland lost three of last four games (under 3-1); they’re 8-4-1 in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Miami won nine of last ten games with Dallas, covered four of last five; Mavericks lost four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Last four series games stayed under. Dallas won its last three games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as a road underdog. Heat lost four of last five games, is 2-5 in last seven home games, 3-4 vs spread as a home favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Washington won nine of its last ten games with the Knicks (7-2-1 vs spread); Wizards won last five visits to Manhattan, with 3 of 5 wins by 3 or less points. Three of last four series games went over total. Washington won six of its last seven games, but they lost four of last five road games. Knicks lost five of last seven games but covered three of last four; they’re 1-5 in last six home games. Three of their last four home games stayed under.

Spurs won nine of last ten games with Denver (7-3 vs spread); Nuggets lost last four visits to Alamo (2-2 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over total. Denver won/covered its last three games; they’re 9-6 as road underdogs. Last eight Nugget games went over the total. Spurs won nine of last 12 games, are 7-2 in last nine games as a home favorite. Over is 9-2 in San Antonio’s last 11 games.

Clippers are 7-12 without Paul the last two years. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Minnesota but are 3-3-1 in last seven series games; Timberwolves lost four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Minnesota lost six of last nine games; they’re 7-7 as a road underdog. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Clippers won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread) but are missing Griffin/Paul now. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.




NBA

Thursday, January 19

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CLEVELAND
Phoenix is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Phoenix's last 23 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. MIAMI
Dallas is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 4-14-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Dallas
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 20 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 22 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA CLIPPERS
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (13 - 28) at CLEVELAND (29 - 11) - 1/19/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (14 - 27) at MIAMI (12 - 30) - 1/19/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 364-301 ATS (+32.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 474-395 ATS (+39.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 311-259 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
MIAMI is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (22 - 19) at NEW YORK (19 - 24) - 1/19/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (17 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (32 - 9) - 1/19/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-59 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 70-52 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 498-413 ATS (+43.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 300-240 ATS (+36.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 90-69 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (14 - 28) at LA CLIPPERS (29 - 14) - 1/19/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 199-244 ATS (-69.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 93-62 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 86-118 ATS (-43.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 19


Minnesota @ LA Clippers

Game 709-710
January 19, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
118.292
LA Clippers
126.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-1 1/2); Under

Denver @ San Antonio

Game 707-708
January 19, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
115.446
San Antonio
132.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 17
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12
222
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-12); Under

Washington @ New York

Game 705-706
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
127.037
New York
117.167
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2); Under

Dallas @ Miami

Game 703-704
January 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
118.610
Miami
115.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 3
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
197
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
117.743
Cleveland
119.353
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 13
218
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+13); Over

 

[CNOTES]

How to get rich betting NBA back-to-back scenarios


The youthful Minnesota Timberwolves are one of the NBA's top teams in back-to-back situations at 6-1 ATS (4-3 SU).


Ask yourself a simple question before we dive into this week’s column: Have you come across a single NBA analyst, former player, friend or even twitter troll who has predicted anything but a Golden State-Cleveland showdown in this season’s NBA Finals?


While I’m virtually certain that Planet Earth contains at least one human being who believes that, perhaps, the Toronto Raptors, Boston Celtics, San Antonio Spurs or Houston Rockets will prevent us from the championship trilogy we appear destined to enjoy, the fact remains that the Warriors and Cavaliers boast such ridiculously impressive resumes that very few would be willing to bet against either team making it back to the NBA Finals.


Entering Wednesday night’s slate of action, Golden State and Cleveland ranked in the top five in the NBA in scoring, three-point percentage and a bevy of other statistical categories. But interestingly enough, there is one wagering category in which both the top seed in the Western Conference and the top seed in the Eastern Conference rank in the bottom five of the Association.


Boys and girls, if you plan to bet against the Warriors or Cavaliers, do it when either team is on the second half of a back-to-back stretch.


As of the close of business on Tuesday, January 16, LeBron James and the Cavaliers are just 2-6 against the spread this season when playing the second half of a back-to-back. As for Kevin Durant and the Warriors, Golden State is an abysmal 1-6 ATS in the second half of a back-to-back situation this season. Only Indiana (1-6 ATS) comes close to matching Golden State’s ATS futility as it pertains to this particular scenario.


A litany of reasons exist as to why certain teams struggle while others thrive when playing the second half of a back-to-back. Resting starters or established veterans, long travel, late nights and a lack of sleep are just a few of the possible reasons when it comes to the “why.” But now that we’re officially halfway through the 2016-2017 NBA season, it’s time to take a good, long look as to which teams excel and which clubs falter in this situation so we can better position ourselves to gain a potential edge over the bookmakers.


Entering Wednesday night, there were exactly 248 instances in which an NBA team played the second half of a back-to-back scenario this season:


Overall record straight-up: 101-147 (.407)
Overall record against the spread: 116-128-4 (.475)


At first glance, there really isn’t much to get excited about here. If we had bet against every single team every time they were playing in the second half of a back-to-back, we would barely have broken even up until this point.


But what if we were betting ON the top five clubs and AGAINST the bottom five franchises?


Top five teams in second half of a back-to-back: 33-10 ATS (.767)
Bottom five teams in second half of a back-to-back: 8-30 ATS (.210)


Granted, there was no way to know at the beginning of the season which teams would rank in the top five and which squads would rank in the bottom five at the midway point of the 2016-2017 NBA campaign. However, this should serve as useful information moving forward, as betting ON the top five and AGAINST the bottom five in the second half of a back-to-back has produced a combined record of 63-18 ATS this season (.777).


NBA teams in the second half of a back-to-back this season


*All records updated as of Wednesday, January 18.


Miami Heat: 7-1 ATS (2-6 SU)


Minnesota Timberwolves: 6-1 ATS (4-3 SU)


San Antonio Spurs: 6-2 ATS (7-1 SU)


Houston Rockets: 7-3 ATS (9-1 SU)


Memphis Grizzlies: 7-3 ATS (8-2 SU)


Atlanta Hawks: 6-3 ATS (6-3 SU)


Orlando Magic: 6-3 ATS (3-6 SU)


Toronto Raptors: 4-2-1 ATS (3-4 SU)


Los Angeles Clippers: 5-3 ATS (5-3 SU)


Phoenix Suns: 4-3 ATS (3-4 SU)


Boston Celtics: 5-4 ATS (6-3 SU)


Chicago Bulls: 5-5 ATS (4-6 SU)


New York Knicks: 4-5 ATS (1-8 SU)


Utah Jazz: 4-5-1 ATS (6-4 SU)


Sacramento Kings: 3-4-1 ATS (2-6 SU)


Los Angeles Lakers: 4-6 ATS (3-7 SU)


Brooklyn Nets: 2-3-1 ATS (0-6 SU)


Charlotte Hornets: 3-5 ATS (3-5 SU)


Denver Nuggets: 3-5 ATS (2-6 SU)


Oklahoma City Thunder: 3-5 ATS (2-6 SU)


Philadelphia 76ers: 3-5 ATS (1-7 SU)


Washington Wizards: 3-5 ATS (1-7 SU)


Portland Trail Blazers: 3-6 ATS (3-6 SU)


New Orleans Pelicans: 3-6 ATS (3-6 SU)


Dallas Mavericks: 2-5 ATS (0-7 SU)


Cleveland Cavaliers: 2-6 ATS (3-5 SU)


Detroit Pistons: 2-6 ATS (2-6 SU)


Milwaukee Bucks: 2-6 ATS (2-6 SU)


Golden State Warriors: 1-6 ATS (6-1 SU)


Indiana Pacers: 1-6 ATS (1-6 SU)



Here’s your rundown of back-to-back scenarios to monitor as we head into the weekend:


THURSDAY


Wizards at Knicks (8:00pm ET): Both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back in this matchup.


FRIDAY


None


SATURDAY


Trail Blazers at Celtics (5:00pm ET): Portland is on the second half of a back-to-back. In those situations this season, the Blazers are 3-6 ATS.


Nets at Hornets (7:00pm ET): Both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back in this matchup.


76ers at Hawks (7:00pm ET): Both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back in this matchup.


Bucks at Heat (7:30pm ET): Milwaukee is on the second half of a back-to-back. In those situations this season, the Bucks are just 2-6 ATS.


Rockets at Grizzlies (8:00pm ET): Both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back in this matchup.


Pacers at Jazz (9:00pm ET): Both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back in this matchup.


Kings at Bulls (9:00pm ET): Both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back in this matchup.


SUNDAY


Suns at Raptors (6:00pm ET): Phoenix is on the second half of a back-to-back. In those situations this season, the Suns are 4-3 ATS.


Nuggets at Timberwolves (7:00pm ET): Denver is on the second half of a back-to-back. In those situations this season, the Nuggets are just 3-5 ATS.

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
January 19, 2017


George Karl is no longer coaching in Denver but it’s hard to tell when you watch this year’s Nuggets squad, especially lately.


It’s rare to make the playoffs in the Western Conference with a losing record but Denver (17-23 straight up, 21-19 against the spread) currently sits in the eighth and final spot. If the club makes the postseason, a quick first-round exit would be likely against the Warriors or Spurs but it’s safe to say that either series would be entertaining to watch.


The Nuggets are ranked fourth in scoring offense with 109.7 points per game and they’re attempting 87.7 shots per game, which is the third fastest pace in the league. Defensively, Denver is ranked 28th in both field goal percentage (47.2%) and scoring (111.5 PPG).


A great offense and suspect defense usually produces ‘over’ tickets and it’s not surprising to see Denver lead the league with a 29-10-1 (74%) record to the high side.


VegasInsider.comNBA handicapper Paul Bovi is a little surprised that Denver continues to play so recklessly and actually win. He said, “The Nuggets have become amongst the most prolific scoring offenses in the league, while at the same time deemphasizing defense despite the outspoken criticism of their coach Mike Malone. Since his comments were made public on Jan. 4, the Nuggets have allowed an average of 118 PPG in winning three of five games while scoring at a 120 clip themselves. In the last three, they've logged an astounding 214 points in the paint but have allowed 166.”


Bovi isn’t sure if the points will keep coming but the bookmakers have taken notice.


“There was some value in their totals recently however those bargains are likely to evaporate going forward,” explained Bovi.


Denver visits San Antonio (32-9 SU, 24-17 ATS) on Thursday and the oddsmakers aren’t expecting the club to extend the winning streak on the road. The Spurs opened as 11 ½-point home favorites and the number moved quickly to 12 ½ at most betting shops.


The total opened 219 overnight but was as high as 222 as of Thursday morning. The Nuggets are on a 7-0 run to the ‘over’ and one of those outcomes came on Jan. 5 when they were blasted 127-99 to the Spurs at home. San Antonio was the club shooting lights out in that win, connecting on 56.7 percent of its shots and 12-of-24 from 3-point land.


That effort from the Spurs has become a common theme this season. San Antonio is averaging 107.1 PPG, up four points from last season, and it leads the league in 3-point shooting percentage (41.5%). Those offensive results have translated into a 24-16-1 ‘over’ mark for the Spurs.


Including the win a couple weeks ago, the Spurs have taken 11 of 12 versus the Nuggets and they’ve covered eight of those wins. Make a note that even though Denver is playing looser lately, the Spurs have had their number defensively in recent meetings from the AT&T Center. Denver has dropped seven straight trips at this venue and the offense has been held in check (98.5 PPG) during this stretch.


Along with this matchup from San Antonio, there are four other games on tap for Thursday.


Phoenix (13-28 SU, 21-19 ATS) at Cleveland (29-11 SU, 17-21 ATS): The Cavaliers return home Thursday after a six-game road trip that watched them to struggle to a 3-3 record which ended with a humbling 35-point loss (126-91) at Golden State on Monday. Despite owning the best record in the Eastern Conference, the defending NBA champions have been the second worst team against the spread this season (17-21) and most of the losses have come in January (1-7 ATS). These teams just met on Jan. 8 and the Suns dropped a 120-116 home decision to Cleveland but they covered as 8 ½-point home underdogs. Since LeBron James returned to the Cavs, the club has gone 5-1 in the last six encounters in this series but Phoenix has managed to earn covers in four of those games. Even though Phoenix is 15 games under .500 this season, it has produced an 8-5 record versus the East and that includes a 2-2 road mark (3-1 ATS). Most shops have Cleveland listed as an 11 ½-point favorite. Cavaliers forward Kevin Love (back) is listed as ‘questionable’ for this game.

Dallas (14-27 SU, 20-21 ATS) at Miami (12-30 SU, 20-22 ATS): Neither of these teams are going to this year’s playoffs but they both enter this matchup off wins. Miami knocked off Houston 109-103 on Tuesday as a 7 ½-point home underdog which snapped a four-game losing skid. The Heat haven’t been a great bet off a win this season, going 3-8 and they face a Dallas team that brings a three-game winning streak to town. The Mavericks started the season 1-12 on the road but have gone 4-3 in their last seven and they’ve covered five of those games. For what it’s worth, this series has been one-sided in the Heat’s favor since the Dallas beat Miami in six games of the 2011 NBA Finals. The Heat have captured nine of the past 10 meetings and four of the previous five from South Florida. Total bettors should note that Dallas has been one of the better ‘under’ wagers (24-17) and it enters this game on a 5-1 run to the low side and tonight’s number (197) is the lowest on the board.


Washington (22-19 SU, 22-19 ATS) at New York (19-24 SU, 25-18 ATS): The Wizards have won 11 of the past 12 meetings against the Knicks, which includes a 119-112 decision on Nov. 17 as five-point home favorites. During this span, the Wizards have won five straight at Madison Square Garden but three of the five victories were decided by three points or less. Both of these clubs won on Wednesday and bettors could be hesitant to back either one in this spot tonight. When playing with no rest, neither Washington (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS) or New York (1-8 SU, 5-4 ATS) have been sound investments in back-to-back spots. The Wizards have been in much better form than the Knicks, winners in six of their last seven games. However, Washington’s home (18-6) and away (4-13) tendencies have been very drastic this season. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since mid-December but it has been solid at Madison Square Garden (12-9 SU, 14-7 ATS) this season.


Minnesota (14-28 SU, 19-23 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (29-14 SU, 22-21 ATS): Tough game to handicap here due to the Chris Paul thumb injury, which occurred in Monday’s 120-98 home win over Oklahoma City. The All-Star point guard is expected to miss up to eight weeks and those minutes will likely be filled by a combination of Austin Rivers, Raymond Felton and Jamal Crawford. The Clippers have gone 3-5 without him this season and were playing at a high level recently, winners in seven straight games (6-1 ATS). Los Angeles has won 17 of the last 20 meetings against Minnesota and that includes a 119-105 win on Nov. 12 as a 5 ½-point road favorite. The Timberwolves have struggled on the road (5-15 SU, 7-13 ATS) and they enter this game with six straight losses as visitors. As expected, the Clippers (-2) aren’t going to be laying heavy digits anymore until Paul returns.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Thursday
January 19, 2017




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Suns are 0-13 ATS (-10.85 ppg) as a 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a home game since Apr 02, 2004.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Nuggets are 10-0 OU (15.00 ppg) after they had 6+ double digit scorers since Dec 12, 2016.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS (-8.64 ppg) since Jan 05, 2013 at home after Kyrie Irving had at least 5 turnovers on the road.

CHOICE TREND:


-- The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS (-7.15 ppg) with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers since Mar 20, 2014.

ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Clippers are 9-0 OU (16.11 ppg) with rest after they had 6+ double digit scorers since Apr 29, 2016.

 

[CNOTES]

Russ-Harden MVP debate fun at midway point


We’ve reached the halfway point of the NBA season, which means it’s time to break off some awards.


MVP: Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook racked up 20 triple-doubles, so he’s earned this award. The Thunder would be lost without him. I’ll go on record as saying that when I’m doing these come April, I expect to have Houston’s James Harden in this space, but you can’t deny Westbrook’s greatness through 41.


He’s played so hard that it appears inevitable he’ll run out of gas and fall short of joining Oscar Robertson as the only players in league history to average a triple-double, but through 42, he was at 30.9-10.5-10.7. OKC is on the heels of a superior Utah team and in the hunt for a top-four seed in the Western Conference despite losing a top-five player in Kevin Durant. Harden has been fantastic and has led the Rockets to the third-best winning percentage in the NBA, delivering in the clutch while becoming more of a distributor. He should be a co-winner, but splitting an award is lame. For now, he’s waiting in the wings and would be who I’d invest in at this point. Just giving his Westbrook his well-deserved props.


Morey and D'Antoni have nicely executed their vision


Coach of the Year: This looks to be Houston's Mike D’Antoni in a runaway. The first-year Rockets coach came in with a plan and has executed it brilliantly. GM Daryl Morey gets the assist and would be the current Executive of the Year favorite too, signing Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon, the top two shooters on the market, to equip the team’s vision with top tools.


D’Antoni’s work turning Harden into a point guard is what makes him a lock to win this come season’s end barring some unforeseen collapse. He’s established a connection and gotten through to his star. He’s also made the best of Patrick Beverley’s unique tools, allowing him to contribute despite not fitting the ideal profile of someone who would excel in his system. D’Antoni has found ways to win despite using top big man Clint Capela and has helped young athletes Montrezl Harrell and Sam Dekker become key contributors. Utah’s Quin Snyder deserves a mention for his great work, but this award belongs to D’Antoni. Morey should win his first Executive of the Year award too.


Rookie of the Year: Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid has been prohibited from playing in back-to-backs and been limited by a minutes restriction that has allowed him to play as many as 30 minutes only once, but the impact he’s made makes this award a runaway too. Entering Monday’s game at Milwaukee, he’d scored 20 or more points eight straight times and had the 76ers up in the minutes where he was on the floor alongside them. Without him, they were -243. He’ll be a unanimous winner.


Most Improved: There are many ways this can go. Boston’s Isaiah Thomas and Toronto’s DeMar DeRozan were All-Stars last season, but have taken a noticeable step forward in terms of consistency and explosiveness. Indiana’s Myles Turner, Washington’s Otto Porter and Denver’s Nikola Jokic embody what the winner of this award normally displays, taking a big leap in a larger role than they were in last year. All have had eye-opening games and been consistent.


But it’s impossible to go against Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo. The “Greek Freak” has to win something. Averaging 23.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 8.7 assists, the Bucks star has been fantastic, overshadowing the tremendous improvement of standout teammate Jabari Parker, who is also a quality candidate for this. The 6-foot-11 marvel has been that special. He must be rewarded.


Defensive Player of the Year: Utah’s Rudy Gobert is the key to the entire operation for the Northwest Division leaders, putting his 7-foot-7 wingspan to work night in and night out. He’ll get the slight edge over Golden State’s Draymond Green, who has helped the Warriors win games thanks to his stops multiple times already and makes their superteam concept work by doing all the little things.


Top Sixth Man: Houston’s Gordon has a substantial lead on the field at the midway point, coming off the bench to lead the league in 3-pointers made. Both LA teams have terrific volume scorers in former winners Jamal Crawford and Lou Williams, but they’re currently behind Gordon here.


Best Cover Team: The Rockets and Raptors have been the most reliable teams to back thus far, amassing the top winning percentages against the number throughout most of the first 40 games. To break the tie, you have to take into account that Houston has gone 17-6 away from home, giving them the edge for biggest lock.


Most Consistent Fade: The books have done a nice job making it difficult to pick a team to bully on a nightly basis, but the Lakers and Timberwolves have fared the worst. Considering they’ve dealt with injuries and have been on the receiving end of some pretty big blowouts, L.A. gets the nod after opening 19-25-1.


Most reliable Over team: The Nuggets moved to 28-10-1 in delivering the over coming out of their Martin Luther King Day date with Orlando, following up dropping 140 points on the Pacers in London with a 125-112 victory over the Magic. They’re an easy call here.


Most deliberate Under team: The Bulls lack of consistent shooting has helped them come in under the posted total 27 times over the first 42, including a pretty reliable 15 of 21 times on the road.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, JANUARY 19


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHO at CLE 07:00 PM


PHO +12.5


U 220.5


DAL at MIA 07:30 PM


DAL +2.5


U 197.5


WAS at NY 08:00 PM


NY +2.5


O 219.5


DEN at SA 08:30 PM

SA -11.5


O 221.0


MIN at LAC 10:30 PM


MIN +1.0


O 207.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


— Mark Trumbo gets $37.5M for three years from the Orioles.


— Reds traded P Dan Straily to the Marlins for three prospects.


— Giannis Antetokounmpo is the Bucks’ first All-Star Game starter since Sidney Moncrief in 1986.


— Pau Gasol broke his hand during pre-game warmups last night, is out indefinitely.


— Colts QB Andrew Luck had his shoulder operated on, is expected to miss most of Indy’s offseason program.


— Jets’ owner Woody Johnson is in line to be the new American ambassador to the UK.


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday…..


13) Maryland 84, Iowa 76— NFL ref Gene Steratore gets around; he worked the Ohio State-Nebraska basketball game Wednesday, then worked this game.


Seven of the ten starters in this game are freshmen.


12) Memphis 70, Houston 67 OT— Best game I saw Thursday, but it was a brickfest; Tigers won despite going 9-21 on the foul line. Teams combined to go 8-37 on the arc.


11) North Dakota State 89, Fort Wayne 83— Who said shooting is a lost art? Bison were 13-22 behind the arc in this game, Fort Wayne was 16-31. Tough night if you go 16-31 on 3’s and lose.


10) Oregon 86, Cal 63– Ducks are 4-0 at home in Pac-12, winning last three home games by 23-42-23 points, but lost Dillon Brooks again to another leg injury. Cal’s big man Ivan Rabb was 2-10 in this game; if thats all they’re going to get from him, Golden Bears won’t beat anyone who is any good.


9) UCLA 102, Arizona State 80— ASU fired Herb Sendek in 2015 and replaced him with Bobby Hurley; if they think that was an upgrade, they’re imbeciles. Arizona State is a tough job; Hurley will have to be a GREAT recruiter to make the Sun Devils a consistent winner.


As for UCLA, they’re great this year, but Lonzo Ball will be in the NBA next year; then what?


8) LaSalle 91, Davidson 83— Much-improved Explorers are 11-5, 5-1 in the A-14- they scored 84 pts/game during their 5-game win streak.


7) Random thought: How is Russell Westbrook not starting in the All-Star Game?


6) SMU 69, UConn 49— Rough year for the 7-12 Huskies; they trailed 41-17 at halftime.


5) Middle Tennessee State 65, FIU 52- Blue Raiders are only unbeaten (6-0) team left in Conference USA.


4) North Dakota 83, Weber State 77— Wildcats were last unbeaten team in Big Sky play.


3) Wizards 113, Knicks 110— Washington has won seven of its last eight games.


2) NC-Wilmington 65, Charleston 59— Seahawks win battle of unbeatens in CAA.


1— ESPN’s people like to put Gonzaga in late night slots; problem is, they’re so good that their games aren’t that much fun to watch. Gonzaga in the WCC is like UNLV was in the Big West during the Tark the Shark heyday 26-28 years ago, totally dominant.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 20

76ers won seven of last nine games, winning/covering last four at home. Sixers are 13-6 as home underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Trailblazers lost 11 of last 13 road games; they’re 4-2 as road favorites. Over is 10-5 in their last 15 road games. Portland won three of last four games with Philly; underdogs covered four of last five series games- teams split last four played here (over 3-1).

Toronto won four of its last five games, but lost five of last seven on road; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Hornets lost five of last six games, but won seven of last eight at home (6-2 vs spread). Four of last five Charlotte games stayed under. Raptors won five of last six games with Charlotte; they lost three of last five visits here. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-1 vs spread as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Magic lost seven of last eight games, are 1-8 vs spread as home underdogs; last four Orlando games went over the total. Bucks won four of last five games with Orlando; teams split last four series games played here. Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Nets lost their last 11 games (3-8 vs spread); they’re 7-9-1 as road underdogs. Last three Brooklyn games went over. New Orleans won five of last six home games; they’re 6-9 as home favorites. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Pelicans won their last six games with Brooklyn; Nets lost by 9 at home to New Orleans eight days ago. Brooklyn lost last three visits here, by 2-6-5 points; dogs covered five of last six series games. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Bulls lost eight of last ten road games but covered three of last four; they’re 9-9 as road underdogs. Last three Chicago games went over. Atlanta won nine of last 11 games, is 2-8 in its last ten games as a home favorite. Last three Hawk games went over. Hawks won seven of last eight games with Chicago, which lost last four visits here (0-4 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.

Sacramento lost six of last seven games and now Rudy Gay is out for year; Kings covered three of last four road games, are 7-9 as road underdogs. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Grizzlies lost three of last four games, are 5-6 as home favorites. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Memphis won five of last six games with Sacramento; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Kings lost four of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread).

Golden State won its last five game (4-1 vs spread), beating Cavs/Thunder in last two games; Warriors are 2-6 in last eight games as a road favorite. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Houston lost three of last five games; they’re 13-2 in last 15 home games, 0-1 as home dogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Warriors won eight of last ten games with Houston; they won three of last four visits here (3-1 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.

Utah won its last four games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games (2-3 SU). Five of his last seven games stayed under. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 5-6 SU in last 11 home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Jazz won three of last four games with Dallas, but lost three of last four visits here. Three of last four series games went over.

Pacers won seven of last eight games (only loss was in London); they’re 1-4 as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Lakers lost last five games; they split last ten home games, are 7-8 as home dogs. Four of their last six games stayed under. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Indiana; over is 4-2 in last six series games. Pacers won four of last five visits here (3-1-1 vs spread).

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, January 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Orlando
Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Orlando is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHARLOTTE
Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Portland
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. NEW ORLEANS
Brooklyn is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Atlanta's last 21 games when playing Chicago

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State's last 11 games on the road
Golden State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Houston
Houston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MEMPHIS
Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis's last 13 games when playing Sacramento

8:30 PM
UTAH vs. DALLAS
Utah is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Utah
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah

10:30 PM
INDIANA vs. LA LAKERS
Indiana is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the LA Lakers last 16 games when playing Indiana
LA Lakers are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, January 20


Indiana @ LA Lakers

Game 867-868
January 20, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
115.682
LA Lakers
115.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
Even
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 3
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+3); Under

Utah @ Dallas

Game 865-866
January 20, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
121.824
Dallas
120.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Golden State @ Houston

Game 863-864
January 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.096
Houston
120.526
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 5
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-5); Over

Sacramento @ Memphis

Game 861-862
January 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
118.078
Memphis
118.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+7); Over

Chicago @ Atlanta

Game 859-860
January 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
118.359
Atlanta
121.376
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 5 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ New Orleans

Game 857-858
January 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
106.730
New Orleans
121.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 15
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
N/A

Milwaukee @ Orlando

Game 855-856
January 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
114.225
Orlando
116.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 2 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+3 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Charlotte

Game 853-854
January 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118.561
Charlotte
123.860
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 5 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
Pick
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
Under

Portland @ Philadelphia

Game 851-852
January 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
119.690
Philadelphia
116.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 3
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (18 - 26) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 26) - 1/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 115-155 ATS (-55.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (28 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (21 - 21) - 1/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (20 - 21) at ORLANDO (17 - 27) - 1/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 146-107 ATS (+28.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (8 - 33) at NEW ORLEANS (17 - 26) - 1/20/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (21 - 22) at ATLANTA (24 - 18) - 1/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-50 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 84-50 ATS (+29.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (16 - 25) at MEMPHIS (25 - 19) - 1/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 54-73 ATS (-26.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (36 - 6) at HOUSTON (33 - 12) - 1/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 134-109 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 124-100 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 74-54 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 200-160 ATS (+24.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 12-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (27 - 16) at DALLAS (14 - 28) - 1/20/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (22 - 19) at LA LAKERS (15 - 31) - 1/20/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
INDIANA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 207-154 ATS (+37.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 55-71 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 38-54 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 60-79 ATS (-26.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, January 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday’s NBA Game of the Day: Warriors at Rockets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

James Harden and the Rockets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific division opponents. They're 5.5-pt home pups vs the Warriors.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (+5.5, 236.5)

The Golden State Warriors had no trouble turning away a pair of playoff contenders in their last two games and are winners of five straight after sweeping a four-game homestand. The Warriors will try to keep that momentum going and avenge one of their few losses when they open a road-heavy portion of the schedule with a visit to the Houston Rockets on Friday.

Golden State faced one triple-double threat in Oklahoma City's Russell Westbrook on Wednesday and let him fill up the stat sheet a bit but also forced him into 10 turnovers and locked down on the defensive end in the second half of a 121-100 triumph. The Warriors held the Thunder to 8-of-28 from beyond the arc and lead the NBA in 3-point field-goal defense, limiting opponents to 32.1 percent. That should come in handy against the Rockets, who hoist an average of 40 3-point attempts and connect at a rate of 37 percent. Houston missed its first 10 attempts from beyond the arc on Wednesday but knocked down 14 of the next 30 and pulled away from the Milwaukee Bucks in a 111-92 win in which triple-double threat James Harden collected 38 points, eight assists and six rebounds.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSN Bay Area (Golden State), ROOT (Houston)

LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened as 4.5-home dogs against the defending Western Conference champions and that line has since been bet up a full point to +5.5. The total opened at 236.5 and has yet to move off that number.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Rare opportunity to lay a short number with the Warriors and it's a revenge spot to boot. But beware of the fact that Houston is 6-2 ATS as a dog this season!"

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - PF David West (early Feb, thumb)

Rockets - PF Ryan Anderson (questionable, illness)

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-15.2) - Rockets (-9.4) + home court (-3) = Warriors -2.8

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (36-6 SU, 18-23-1 ATS, 19-23 O/U): Golden State star Kevin Durant dominated his former team on Wednesday and went 13-of-16 from the field en route to a season-high 40 points - one more than he managed in a 132-127 double-overtime home loss to the Rockets on Dec. 1. Durant's offensive efficiency is the perfect complement to the Warriors' offense, and he is shooting 61.4 percent from the field - 55.2 percent from 3-point range - over the last five games. Golden State will put its NBA-best record to the test over the next four weeks as they play 10 of the next 13 on the road, including trips to Houston, the Los Angeles Clippers, Memphis, and Durant's return to Oklahoma City on Feb. 11.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (33-12 SU, 28-17 ATS, 25-20 O/U): Harden collected 29 points, 15 rebounds and 13 assists in that Dec. 1 win, and he managed seven triple-doubles in 11 games before coming up short in Wednesday's win. The star guard was 14-of-25 from the field on Wednesday but was more impressed with his team's effort on the other end of the floor after holding Milwaukee to 39.8 percent shooting. "We're realizing that in order for us to get to where we want to go, we're gonna have to get stops," Harden told reporters. "When we get stops, we are 10 times better because we get out, we get in transition and we get easy points, easy 3s and layups. (Wednesday) was a good start for us, we've just got to carry it over."

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
* Rockets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
* Rockets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Friday games.
* Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 road games.
* Over is 8-0 in Rockets last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.

CONSENSUS: 54 percent of the picks are siding with the road favorite Golden State Warriors and Over is picking up 59 percent of the totals wagers.