Game 4 - Warriors at Thunder
May 24, 2016
For the first time in these playoffs, the reigning NBA champion trails in a series. Oklahoma City (65-31 straight up, 46-49-1 against the spread) dominated Golden State in Sunday’s Game 3 at Chesapeake Energy Arena, coasting to a 133-105 win as a two-point home underdog. The 238 combined points soared ‘over’ the 219.5-point total.
Golden State (82-13 SU, 53-40-2 ATS) trailed by six after the first quarter, then went into intermission down 25 points after the Thunder went on a 38-19 roll in the second quarter. The lead would reach 37 going into the final stanza.
Billy Donovan’s club scored only 16 points in the fourth, but it still produced the highest output of any team in this postseason. The 133 was a franchise-record in the playoffs.
Russell Westbrook led the way with 30 points, 12 assists, eight rebounds and two steals. Kevin Durant had a game-high 33 points on 10-of-15 shooting from the field. Durant made all 12 of his free throws, pulled down eight boards and blocked three shots.
Serge Ibaka added 14 points, eight rebounds and two rejections, while Andre Roberson contributed 13 points and six boards. In only 18 minutes of playing time from off the bench, Enes Kanter tallied 10 points and 12 rebounds. Dion Waiter had 13 points, three rebounds and three assists.
In the losing effort, Steph Curry had 24 points, five rebounds and three assists, but he struggled at a 3-of-11 clip from downtown. Klay Thompson finished with 18 points but was limited to one rebound and one assist compared to three turnovers. No other Warrior scored in double figures. They made only 41.3 percent of their overall shots, hitting only 10-of-33 from deep.
OKC dominated the boards by a 52-38 margin. The Thunder made 50 percent of its overall shots, going 8-of-25 from 3-point range. They did a lot of work at the charity stripe, draining 33-of-37 attempts (89.2%).
For tonight’s Game 4, the Westgate SuperBook opened the matchup as a pick ‘em with a total of 222 points. After moving to one, the number was increased to 1.5 points early Monday night. The total was down to 221.5 as of early this morning. OKC was available on the money line for a +105 return (risk $100 to win $105). For first-half wagers, it’s a pick ‘em.
With its outright victory in Game 3, OKC improved to 1-1-1 ATS in its three games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, Golden State has compiled a 1-4 spread record when listed as a road favorite by 3.5 points or fewer.
VegasInsider.com's Chris David had this take on Game 4: “Tuesday’s game is a very tough handicap because the eyeball test should have you leaning to Oklahoma City after what we saw from them on Sunday. However, you can’t ignore the fact that Golden State hasn’t dropped back-to-back games all season. The Warriors have gone 12-0 in these situations and more importantly, they’ve produced an 8-3-1 record at the betting counter. This includes a 3-0 mark in the playoffs with victories coming by 27, 7 and 27 points.
“The one close call took place in Game 4 at Portland from the Moda Center, which is often considered one of the toughest venues in the NBA and very similar to Chesapeake Energy Arena since it’s the only pro game in town. Golden State won the contest in overtime 132-125 and as I’ve noted before, the offensive production shouldn’t come as a surprise. The Warriors are averaging just under 121 points per game in these situations and seeing a team total of 110 ½ for Tuesday’s contest could have you leaning to their high side.”
OKC now owns a 37-11 SU record and a 24-23-1 ATS mark in its home games. Golden State has won 36 of its 46 road outings while posting a 25-19-2 spread ledger it its road contests.
The ‘under’ cashed in the first two games of this series before the ‘over’ appeared in Game 3. The ‘under’ also went 2-1 in three regular-season meetings.
The ‘over’ is 51-43-1 overall for the Warriors, 26-20 in their road assignments.
The ‘under’ is 50-46 overall for the Thunder, 28-20 in their home contests.
David had this opinion for the total: “Even though the ‘over’ connected easily in Game 3, the oddsmakers didn’t rush to adjust the total for Game 4 and have kept the number in the same neighborhood. The effort from OKC on Sunday was the sixth time they scored 130-plus points this season. Looking at the following games, the Thunder’s offense has proven they’re not a fluke by averaging 111 PPG. Coincidentally, they have a team total of 110 ½ as well for Tuesday and the numbers tell you’ll that the outcome should be tight.”
Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern tonight on TNT.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
-- The last time Golden State trailed in a series was when the Cavs took a 2-1 advantage in last year’s NBA Finals. On that occasion, the Warriors responded to win three consecutive games and win the world title.
-- Gamblers could have taken Toronto at 200/1 odds to win the NBA championship after getting run out of Quicken Loans Arena in Game 2. After back-to-back home wins, however, the Raptors have pulled even with Cleveland at 2-2 in the Eastern Conference finals.
-- Dwane Casey’s squad raced out to an 18-point lead in last night’s Game 4 at Air Canada Centre, only to fall down by three midway through the fourth quarter. Nevertheless, the Cavaliers went cold in the final five minutes and Toronto regained the lead and captured a 105-99 win to even the best-of-seven set. The Raptors won outright as six-point home underdogs, while the 204 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 197-point total. They hooked up money-line supporters with a sweet +230 payout (paid $230 on $100 wagers).
-- After struggling immensely for the most part in the first two rounds of the playoffs, Toronto All-Stars DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have erupted in back-to-back home wins over Cleveland. Lowry was nothing short of sensational, scoring 35 points on 14-of-20 shooting from the field. The Villanova product hit 4-of-7 from 3-point range and also produced five rebounds, five assists and three steals. DeRozan finished with 32 points on 14-of-23 shooting. Bismack Biyombo has been terrific in the last two contests, snaring 14 rebounds while rejecting three shots.
-- Toronto starting center Jonas Valinciunas was available for Game 4 for the first time since spraining his ankle in Game 3 at Miami in the East semifinals. Casey opted not to play him, though, but gamblers can certainly count on seeing the big man in Game 5 at Cleveland. Valinciunas had recorded four straight double-doubles before being sidelined.
-- The Westgate opened Cleveland as a 10.5-point home favorite vs. Toronto in Wednesday’s Game 5 at Quicken Loans Arena. The total was 198.5 on the send-out, but the betting shop quickly moved it down to 198 points.
-- Doug Gottlieb said this on his show Monday: “I like Cleveland plus the points tonight. I love the Cavs at 6.5.” When his sidekick said, “ The Cavs are +6.5?” Gottlieb: “Yes.” Then after getting corrected, Gottlieb said, “That’s what I meant. I like the Cavs getting the points.” Huh? Anyway, when Gottlieb quickly looked to transition to another topic, here’s where he went: “So The Bachelor starts tonight…” Need I say more?