NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 16
Home side won both Wake Forest-Pitt regular season games, with Pitt taking lone meeting in ACC tourney. Wake lost 13 of last 15 games after an 8-2 start to season- they're 3-4 as ACC road underdogs- four of their last five road losses were by 11+ points. Pitt lost six of last nine games after a 14-1 start; they're 3-2 as an ACC home favorite, but lost two of last three at home. ACC double digit home favorites are 12-9 vs spread.
Davidson won 78-70 at Richmond Jan 25; Spiders were 0-15 on arc in a game they led 54-49 with 9:00 left- they lost 81-67 LY in only A-14 visit here. Wildcats are 2-3 in last five games, 2-2 as home favorite- they are #1 in country at not turning ball over. Richmond won its last three games; they're 1-2 as road underdogs. A-14 favorites are 12-5 against the spread in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Texas won 56-49 at West Virginia Jan 20, turning ball over 8 times in a slow, 58-possession game; WVU was 8-23 on line that game, is 3-5 vs Longhorns in Big X play, losing by 17-27 points in last two visits here. Texas lost its last two games but is 5-0 at home in Big X- they're 2-2 as home faves. West Virginia won five of last six games, losing at Kansas by 10. Big X home favorites of less than 5 points are 5-2 vs spread.
Missouri snapped its 9-game skid Saturday; they lost 81-72 Jan 16 at South Carolina- Gamecocks shot 61% inside arc, outscored Mizzou on foul line, 22-9. Carolina won last three series games, by 5-9-9- they lost both visits here, by 6-8 points. Tigers are 1-3-1 as home dogs. Carolina is 3-3 on SEC road, winning by 17-3-3 points- they're 2-3 as road faves. SEC home underdogs of 4+ points are 7-5 against the spread.
Creighton beat Butler 72-64 at home Jan 23, holding Bulldogs to 29.2% inside arc; Bluejays are 3-2 vs Butler, splitting pair of visits to Hinkle, where Butler is 3-3 in Big East play this year (3-2 as HF). Creighton won its last three games, is 4-2 on Big East road, losing at Georgetown, Villanova- they're 2-1 as road dogs. Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 7-10 against the spread. Bluejays are making 30.7% on arc in Big East play, surprisingly worst in conference.
Michigan got LeVert back (11:00) last game, beat Purdue for second win in row after losses by 13-16 points before that. Wolverines won four of last five games with Ohio State, but are 0-10 in last ten visits here, in a series where home side won 13 of last 15 regular season games. Ohio St is 5-1 at home, losing only to Maryland by 5. Big 14 home teams are 5-3 vs spread in games where spread was 2 or less points.
VCU is 3-0 vs Rhode Island in A-14 action, winning by 6-16-5 points; URI lost 68-52 in only visit here, in '14. VCU lost two of its last three games aftr a 12-0 run, is 4-2 as home favorite- all five of its A-14 home wins are by 8+. URI lost three of last five games, is 1-4 on A-14 road-- all four road losses were by 5 or less points. A-14 home favorites of 8+ points are 17-13 against the spread.
TCU won 69-55/67-65 in its last two games with Kansas State LY; they had lost first five Big X games with Wildcats. TCU covered once in last seven games; they're 2-4 in Big X home games, beating Texas/OSU. Big X home underdogs of less than 5 points are 5-7 vs spread. K-State lost four of last five games; they're 0-6 on Big X road- they're 2-1 as Big X favorite, but all three of those games were in Little Apple.
Vanderbilt is 5-3 in last eight games with Mississippi State, splitting its last four visits to Starkville. Vandy won seven of last nine games, is 2-4 on SEC road, winning at Tennessee/Auburn. SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 6-10 vs spread. Bulldogs lost three of last four games, are 2-4 at home, beating Ole Miss-Arkansas, with three losses by 5 or less points. Vandy lost three of its last four road games.
Georgia lost 77-63 at Florida Jan 2; Gators made 9-22 on arc, only 24-41 on foul line (Dawgs were 19-27). Florida is 7-2 in last nine series games, but are 2-4 in last six visits here. Dawgs won five of last seven games, are 5-1 at home in SEC, with only loss to A&M- they're 2-0-2 as home favorites. Florida lost two of last three games, losing four of last five on road. SEC home favorites of less than 5 points are 9-4 vs spread.
Ole Miss won four of last five games; Texas A&M lost five of last six. Home side won all four series games; Rebels lost 69-67/71-60 in its two visits here. Ole Miss is 1-4 on SEC road with only win at Mizzou; they are 1-3 as road dogs. Aggies are 3-8-1 vs spread in SEC, 2-3 as favorite at home- their only loss in six SEC home games by to South Carolina by 3. SEC home favorites of 9+ points are 11-10 vs spread.
Baylor won 94-89 at Iowa State Jan 9, outscoring Cyclones 54-37 over last 16:23; Bears won four of last five games with ISU, winning by 13-1 in last two played here. Big X home teams are 10-7 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points. Baylor lost its last three home games; they lost three of last four overall. Cyclones are 3-3 in Big X road, with losses by 4-3-3 points- they're 7-5 despite being favored 11 times.
First UNLV road game since Zimmerman got hurt; they've got walk-on playing with seven scholarship kids. Rebels pounded Air Force 100-64 at home Jan 16, when Zimmerman/Carter both played- Rebels made 13 of 25 on arc. Flyboys are 3-4 in last seven series games, winning two of last three played here- they're 3-1 as home dogs- eight of its 10 losses in MW came by 9+ points. Mountain West home underdogs of 4+ points are 9-4 vs spread. UNLV is just 1-4 as a road favorite.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 16
Home side won both Wake Forest-Pitt regular season games, with Pitt taking lone meeting in ACC tourney. Wake lost 13 of last 15 games after an 8-2 start to season- they're 3-4 as ACC road underdogs- four of their last five road losses were by 11+ points. Pitt lost six of last nine games after a 14-1 start; they're 3-2 as an ACC home favorite, but lost two of last three at home. ACC double digit home favorites are 12-9 vs spread.
Davidson won 78-70 at Richmond Jan 25; Spiders were 0-15 on arc in a game they led 54-49 with 9:00 left- they lost 81-67 LY in only A-14 visit here. Wildcats are 2-3 in last five games, 2-2 as home favorite- they are #1 in country at not turning ball over. Richmond won its last three games; they're 1-2 as road underdogs. A-14 favorites are 12-5 against the spread in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Texas won 56-49 at West Virginia Jan 20, turning ball over 8 times in a slow, 58-possession game; WVU was 8-23 on line that game, is 3-5 vs Longhorns in Big X play, losing by 17-27 points in last two visits here. Texas lost its last two games but is 5-0 at home in Big X- they're 2-2 as home faves. West Virginia won five of last six games, losing at Kansas by 10. Big X home favorites of less than 5 points are 5-2 vs spread.
Missouri snapped its 9-game skid Saturday; they lost 81-72 Jan 16 at South Carolina- Gamecocks shot 61% inside arc, outscored Mizzou on foul line, 22-9. Carolina won last three series games, by 5-9-9- they lost both visits here, by 6-8 points. Tigers are 1-3-1 as home dogs. Carolina is 3-3 on SEC road, winning by 17-3-3 points- they're 2-3 as road faves. SEC home underdogs of 4+ points are 7-5 against the spread.
Creighton beat Butler 72-64 at home Jan 23, holding Bulldogs to 29.2% inside arc; Bluejays are 3-2 vs Butler, splitting pair of visits to Hinkle, where Butler is 3-3 in Big East play this year (3-2 as HF). Creighton won its last three games, is 4-2 on Big East road, losing at Georgetown, Villanova- they're 2-1 as road dogs. Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 7-10 against the spread. Bluejays are making 30.7% on arc in Big East play, surprisingly worst in conference.
Michigan got LeVert back (11:00) last game, beat Purdue for second win in row after losses by 13-16 points before that. Wolverines won four of last five games with Ohio State, but are 0-10 in last ten visits here, in a series where home side won 13 of last 15 regular season games. Ohio St is 5-1 at home, losing only to Maryland by 5. Big 14 home teams are 5-3 vs spread in games where spread was 2 or less points.
VCU is 3-0 vs Rhode Island in A-14 action, winning by 6-16-5 points; URI lost 68-52 in only visit here, in '14. VCU lost two of its last three games aftr a 12-0 run, is 4-2 as home favorite- all five of its A-14 home wins are by 8+. URI lost three of last five games, is 1-4 on A-14 road-- all four road losses were by 5 or less points. A-14 home favorites of 8+ points are 17-13 against the spread.
TCU won 69-55/67-65 in its last two games with Kansas State LY; they had lost first five Big X games with Wildcats. TCU covered once in last seven games; they're 2-4 in Big X home games, beating Texas/OSU. Big X home underdogs of less than 5 points are 5-7 vs spread. K-State lost four of last five games; they're 0-6 on Big X road- they're 2-1 as Big X favorite, but all three of those games were in Little Apple.
Vanderbilt is 5-3 in last eight games with Mississippi State, splitting its last four visits to Starkville. Vandy won seven of last nine games, is 2-4 on SEC road, winning at Tennessee/Auburn. SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 6-10 vs spread. Bulldogs lost three of last four games, are 2-4 at home, beating Ole Miss-Arkansas, with three losses by 5 or less points. Vandy lost three of its last four road games.
Georgia lost 77-63 at Florida Jan 2; Gators made 9-22 on arc, only 24-41 on foul line (Dawgs were 19-27). Florida is 7-2 in last nine series games, but are 2-4 in last six visits here. Dawgs won five of last seven games, are 5-1 at home in SEC, with only loss to A&M- they're 2-0-2 as home favorites. Florida lost two of last three games, losing four of last five on road. SEC home favorites of less than 5 points are 9-4 vs spread.
Ole Miss won four of last five games; Texas A&M lost five of last six. Home side won all four series games; Rebels lost 69-67/71-60 in its two visits here. Ole Miss is 1-4 on SEC road with only win at Mizzou; they are 1-3 as road dogs. Aggies are 3-8-1 vs spread in SEC, 2-3 as favorite at home- their only loss in six SEC home games by to South Carolina by 3. SEC home favorites of 9+ points are 11-10 vs spread.
Baylor won 94-89 at Iowa State Jan 9, outscoring Cyclones 54-37 over last 16:23; Bears won four of last five games with ISU, winning by 13-1 in last two played here. Big X home teams are 10-7 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points. Baylor lost its last three home games; they lost three of last four overall. Cyclones are 3-3 in Big X road, with losses by 4-3-3 points- they're 7-5 despite being favored 11 times.
First UNLV road game since Zimmerman got hurt; they've got walk-on playing with seven scholarship kids. Rebels pounded Air Force 100-64 at home Jan 16, when Zimmerman/Carter both played- Rebels made 13 of 25 on arc. Flyboys are 3-4 in last seven series games, winning two of last three played here- they're 3-1 as home dogs- eight of its 10 losses in MW came by 9+ points. Mountain West home underdogs of 4+ points are 9-4 vs spread. UNLV is just 1-4 as a road favorite.