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Saturday, November 30


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Saturday’s games
South Carolina
@ Clemson (-3)
South Carolina (8-3)
Gamecocks won their last five games, scoring 39.4 ppg.
Carolina is +6 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 7-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 14-12 ATS coming off a win.
Gamecocks are 8-2 ATS in last ten games overall.
South Carolina is 1-3 when it allows more than 20 points.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight I-A games.


Clemson (9-2)
Clemson allowed 34-33 points in its two losses.
Clemson is 15-20 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.


Clemson is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 55-45-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Tigers are 14-11 ATS in their last 25 ACC games.
Clemson is +13 in turnovers in wins, minus-1 in losses.
Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Clemson games.


Clemson is 8-1 SU/6-3 ATS in last nine meetings.
Gamecocks are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Clemson.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.


Kansas (-1.5) @ Baylor
Kansas (5-6, 4-4)
Kansas won four of last five games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks need a win to become bowl eligible.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.


In his career, Leipold is 8-10 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 1-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Kansas is 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in its five road games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 12-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Three of last four Kansas games stayed under the total.


Baylor (7-4, 5-4)
Baylor won its last five games, scoring 40.6 ppg
Last eight games, Bears gave up 33.4 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.


Baylor allowed 433+ yards in five of last six games.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 11-7 ATS as home favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 17-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 24-22 ATS in conference games.
Baylor is +5 in turnovers their last five games.
Over is 7-1 in Baylor’s last eight games.


Baylor won last 13 series games (11-0 ATS in last 11)
Jayhawks are 0-7 SU/ATS in last seven visits to Waco.
Big X home underdogs are 7-9 ATS


West Virginia @ Texas Tech (-3.5)
West Virginia (6-5, 5-3)
WVU won three of last four games, after a 2-3 start.
West Virginia is 0-3 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.


Under Brown, WVU is 13-11 ATS as a road underdog (3-0 TY).
In his career, Brown is 22-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 25-27 ATS in Big X games.
Under Brown, Mountaineers are 13-19 ATS in games coming off a win.
Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.


Texas Tech (7-4, 5-3)
Texas Tech is 2-3 in last five games, after a 5-1 start
Tech gave up 37-59-35-41 points in their four losses.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (25 TDs/7 INTs this year)


Texas Tech is 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 14-11-1 ATS in Big X games.
Texas Tech is 5-3 in Big X games (average total, 70.8)
Tech is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games.
Tech gave up 432+ yards in five of last seven games.
Over is 4-1 in Tech’s last five games.


Tech won/covered four of last five meetings.
WVU is 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Lubbock.
Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Big X home favorites are 20-19 ATS.


Pittsburgh @ Boston College (-4.5)
Pittsburgh (7-4, 3-4)
Pitt lost its last four games, after a 7-0 start.
Panthers scored 28+ points in six of their seven wins.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 2,228 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 7 INTs, but he’s been banned up recently.


Pitt is 1-8 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Panthers were held under 300 TY in four of last six games.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 28-25 ATS as an underdog
Panthers are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.


Boston College (6-5, 3-4)
BC won last week; they’re bowl eligible now.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 21 points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 648 PY in his three starts.


Boston College is 1-8 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
In his college career, O’Brien is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Eagles are 15-16 ATS in last 31 ACC games (4-0 last four).
BC gave up 431+ total yards in four of last five games.
Over is 5-0 in their last five games.


Pitt won five of last seven series games.
Panthers are 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Boston.
Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
ACC home favorites are 20-20 ATS


Notre Dame (-7.5) @ USC
Notre Dame (10-1)
Notre Dame won its last nine games, covered last seven.
Notre Dame’s only loss was 16-14 at home to Northern Illinois.
Irish have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Notre Dame has 34 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Leonard started 21 games at Duke.


Notre Dame held 10 of 11 opponents to 16 or fewer points.
Since 2017, Notre Dame is 18-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 9-3 ATS in all road games.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 17-8-1 ATS coming off a win
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


USC (6-5)
Trojans won three of their last four games.
USC is 2-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 3rd USC start.


USC is 0-5 when it gives up more than 21 points.
Under Riley, USC is 4-2 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Riley is 7-2 ATS as an underdog.
Under Riley, USC is 11-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in their last four games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-3 ATS.


Notre Dame is 5-1 SU/3-3 ATS in last six meetings.
Notre Dame is 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four games in the Coliseum.


Auburn @ Alabama (-11.5)
Auburn (5-6, 2-5)
Auburn won 3 of last 4 games, needs this win to go bowling.
Auburn is 0-6 when it scores less than 24 points.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Thorpe has 37 career starts.


Last 3+ years, Auburn is 7-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 19-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 8-7 ATS in SEC games.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-7 ATS coming off a win
Auburn is minus-1q in turnovers this season.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.


Alabama (8-3, 4-3)
Alabama is 6-0 if it allows less than 24 points, 2-3 if they allow 24+.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in all three losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.


Alabama is 20-9-1 ATS last 30 games as a home favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 14-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Alabama is 12-10-1 ATS in its last 23 SEC games.
Under is 4-0 in their last three I-A games.
Alabama is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.


Alabama is 4-0 SU/1-2-1 ATS in last four series games.
Auburn is 0-6 SU/0-5-1 in last six visits to Tuscaloosa.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Oklahoma @ LSU (-6)
Oklahoma (6-5, 2-5)
Oklahoma lost 4 of last 5 SEC games, but upset Alabama LW.
Sooners are 0-5 when they allow more than 21 points.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Arnold has thrown for 1,311 yards (12 TDs, 3 INTs)


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 2-0 ATS as a road underdog.
Sooners are 3-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
Under Venables, Sooners are 10-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 8-12-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last five I-A games, Oklahoma is minus-7 in turnovers.
Sooners held 3 of last 4 I-A opponents under 300 TY.


LSU (7-4, 4-3)
LSU lost 3 of last 4 games, after a 6-1 start.
LSU scored 24+ points in wins, 20-23-13-16 in losses.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 63.2% of passes (23 TD’s, 11 INTs)


Under Kelly, Tigers are 10-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Kelly is 52-45-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-11-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-27-2 ATS in SEC games.
Seven of LSU’s last eight games stayed under the total.
LSU is 3-7 ATS in its I-A games this season.


These teams haven’t met since a bowl game five years ago.
SEC home favorites are 6-22 ATS


Texas (-5.5) @ Texas A&M
Texas (10-1, 6-1)
Nine of ten Texas wins are by 10+ points.
Texas held 10 of 11 opponents under 300 TY.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers has completed 68% of passes (23 TD’s, 6 INTs)


Under Sarkisian, Texas is 6-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 16-19 ATS in conference games.
Texas is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Longhorns’ only loss was 30-15 at home to Georgia.
Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.


Texas A&M (8-3, 5-2)
A&M lost its last two SEC games, 44-20/43-41.
Aggies scored 34+ points in five of its last six games.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Weigman has 8 career starts.


A&M allowed 439+ total yards in three of last four games.
Aggies are 2ann underdog for first time this season.
A&M is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
In his career, new HC Elko is 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
Aggies are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Five of A&M’s last six games went over the total.


These teams used to be bitter rivals; they haven’t met since 2011.
SEC home underdogs are 17-9 ATS.


Kansas State @ Iowa State (-2.5)
Kansas State (8-3, 6-3)
K-State lost two of last three games, after a 7-1 start.
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19-14 in losses.
Wildcats are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 2,297 yards (19 TDs, 79INTs)


Under Klieman, K-State is 16-9 ATS as an underdog.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 10-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Klieman, K-State is 34-21 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 24-20 ATS last 44 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in K-State’s last four games.


Iowa State (9-2, 6-2)
Iowa State scored 36-34-31 points in its last three games.
Cyclones’ losses: 23-22 Tex Tech/45-36 at Kansas
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State’s last five games had average total of 57.8.
Under Campbell, ISU is 19-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 10-7 ATS in last 17 conference games.
Cyclones are +7 in turnovers this season.
Over is 6-4 in Iowa State’s I-A games.


Iowa State won four of last six series games.
K-State is 4-2 SU/1-4-1 ATS in last six visits to Ames
Big X home favorites are 20-19 ATS.


Virginia @ Virginia Tech (-7)
Virginia (5-6, 3-4)
Virginia lost 5 of last 6 games, after a 4-1 start.
Cavaliers allowed 33+ points in their last four losses.
Cavaliers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 81 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB started six games last year.


Under Elliott, Virginia is 14-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 8-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 14-7 ATS in ACC games.
Virginia is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.


Virginia Tech (5-6, 3-4)
Tech lost last three games, giving up 31 ppg.
Hokies are 5-0 when they allow less than 21 points.
Tech gave up 34-26-38-38-24-31 points in losses.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.


Under Pry, Hokies are 6-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Pry, Hokies are 13-9 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 10-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Tech is 0-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over is 6-3 in last nine Tech games.


Tech won three in row, 18 of last 19 games vs Virginia.
Cavaliers are 0-11 SU/2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Blacksburg.
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DUKE at WAKE12:00 PMDUKE -3.5
O 53.0
+500 +500
CONN at MASS12:00 PMCONN -10.0
U 49.5
+500 +500
UTSA at ARMY12:00 PMARMY -6.5
U 52.5
+500 +500
MICH at OSU12:00 PMMICH +20.5
O 41.5
+500 +500
WVU at TTU12:00 PMTTU -3.0
U 64.5
+500 +500
ULL at ULM12:00 PMULL -9.5
O 49.5
+500 +500
TENN at VAN12:00 PMVAN +10.0
O 47.0
+500 +500
KU at BAY12:00 PMKU +1.0
O 62.0
+500 +500
UNT at TEM12:00 PMUNT -11.5
O 64.0
+500 +500
LOU at UK12:00 PMUK +3.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
SOCAR at CLEM12:00 PMCLEM -2.5
U 49.0
+500 +500
ILL at NW12:00 PMILL -9.5
U 43.0
+500 +500
CCU at GSU02:00 PMGSU -1.0
U 54.5
+500 +500
USF at RICE02:00 PMUSF -5.5
U 54.0
+500 +500
USM at TROY02:00 PMTROY -17.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
MTU at FIU02:00 PMFIU -9.0
U 51.0
+500 +500
PITT at BC03:00 PMPITT +4.0
U 50.5
+500 +500
ODU at ARST03:00 PMODU -4.5
U 59.5
+500 +500
ND at USC03:30 PMND -7.0
U 52.5
+500 +500
CAL at SMU03:30 PMCAL +13.0
U 57.0
+500 +500
FRES at UCLA03:30 PMUCLA -7.5
O 46.5
+500 +500
MD at PSU03:30 PMPSU -25.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
ASU at ARIZ03:30 PMARIZ +8.5
O 53.5
+500 +500
FAU at TLSA03:30 PMFAU +1.0
O 57.5
+500 +500
UAB at CHAR03:30 PMCHAR -1.5
U 60.5
+500 +500
ARK at MIZZ03:30 PMMIZZ -3.0
O 53.0
+500 +500
RUTG at MSU03:30 PMMSU -2.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
AUB at ALA03:30 PMAUB +10.5
O 52.0
+500 +500
MIA at SYR03:30 PMSYR +11.0
O 67.5
+500 +500
KENN at LT04:00 PMKENN +12.5
O 42.0
+500 +500
UTEP at NMSU04:00 PMNMSU -3.0
U 51.5
+500 +500
JVST at WKU04:00 PMJVST -1.5
O 62.0
+500 +500
TCU at CIN06:00 PMTCU -3.0
O 58.0
+500 +500
APP at GASO06:00 PMAPP +2.5
U 62.5
+500 +500
WYO at WSU06:30 PMWYO +18.0
U 55.5
+500 +500
OKLA at LSU07:00 PMOKLA +6.0
O 48.0
+500 +500
FLA at FSU07:00 PMFLA -16.5
O 45.5
+500 +500
PUR at IU07:00 PMIU -29.0
U 56.5
+500 +500
KSU at ISU07:30 PMISU -2.5
U 51.0
+500 +500
TEX at TAM07:30 PMTAM +5.0
U 48.5
+500 +500
WASH at ORE07:30 PMORE -19.0
U 50.5
+500 +500
MRSH at JMU08:00 PMMRSH +3.5
O 52.5
+500 +500
UVA at VT08:00 PMVT -6.5
U 47.5
+500 +500
NEV at UNLV08:00 PMNEV +17.5
O 55.0
+500 +500
HOU at BYU10:15 PMBYU -12.0
U 40.0
+500 +500
AFA at SDSU10:30 PMAFA -4.5
U 43.5
+500 +500
UNM at HAW11:00 PMHAW +3.5
U 62.0
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/30/2024...............30 - 23 - 0...................56.60%................+ 23.50
11/29/2024.................10 - 9 - 2....................52.63%...............+ 0.50
11/28/2024..................2 - 0 - 0....................100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/27/2024..................2 - 0 - 0....................100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/262024....................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%...............- 11.50
11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50

TOTALS........................146 - 147 - 0.................49.82%.................- 78.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
NOVEMBER TOTALS.....,,,,,146- 147 - 0........................49.82%............................- 78.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Conference championship games next week:
— Sun Belt: Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
— Mountain West: UNLV @ Boise State
— American: Tulane @ Army
— MAC: Miami vs Ohio (@ Detroit)
— SEC: Georgia vs Texas (@ Atlanta)
— Big 18: Penn State vs Oregon (@ Indianapolis)
— ACC: Clemson vs SMU (@ Charlotte, NC)

Quote of the Day

“It’s hard for me to say we’re not one of the 12 best teams in the country. If the committee’s job is to pick the 12 best teams, you tell me.”
South Carolina coach Shane Beamer

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Hurricanes lost their last five bowl games; who did they beat the last time they won a bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
USC basketball coach Eric Musselman was also head coach for the Golden State Warriors and the Sacramento Kings.

Friday’s quiz
Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley scored 3.8 ppg in his five-year NBA career; he played most of his career with the Sacramento Kings.

****************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— Marshall 35, James Madison 33 OT
James Madison led this game 17-0 at halftime.
Marshall tied game on a TD with 5:04 left.
Marshall-Louisiana is the Sun Belt title game next week.

— Texas 17, Texas A&M 7
Texas outgained A&M 458-248; they led 17-0 at halftime.
A&M’s only score was a 93-yard pick-6 in third quarter.
Longhorns ran ball 50 times for 240 yards (4.8 yards/carry)

— Iowa State 29, Kansas State 21
Cyclones are 10-2, program’s first-ever 10-win season.
Teams combined to convert 7-29 third down plays.
K-State completed only 12-29 passes, was minus-2 in turnovers.

— Syracuse 42, Miami 38
10-2 Hurricanes led this game 21-0 early in second quarter.
This score means SMU-Clemson is the ACC title game next week.

— Michigan 13, Ohio State 10
Wolverines beat Ohio State for 4th year in a row.
Buckeyes were a 20-point favorite in this game.
Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in last ten series games.

— South Carolina 17, Clemson 14
QB Sellers ran 20 yards for game-winning TD with 1:08 left.
South Carolina ran ball for 267 yards (6.4 yards/carry)
Both teams finish regular season 9-3.

— Georgia 44, Georgia Tech 42 OT
Tech led 17-0 at halftime.
Dawgs scored two TD’s in last 3:39 of regulation to force OT.
Yellow Jackets outgained Georgia, 563-405.
The college overtime system is strange; liked the old format better.

— College football upsets of the week:
Michigan (+20.5) 13, Ohio State 10
Memphis (+12) 34, Tulane 24
Syracuse (+11) 42, Miami 38
Utah (+9.5) 28, Central Florida 14
Rice (+5.5) 35, South Florida 28

College basketball
notes:
— Monmouth 63, Seton Hall 51
Big East teams aren’t supposed to lose to CAA teams.
Monmouth shot 10-21 on the arc, Seton Hall 5-21.

— Creighton 80, Notre Dame 76
Bluejays shot 11-24 on the arc.
Notre Dame lost its last four games; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams.

— San Diego State 73, Houston 70 OT
Aztecs scored 25 points in first half, 40 in second half.
Houston shot 11-24 on arc, only 12-38 inside arc.
7 of the 10 starters in this game played 36+ minutes.

— Oregon 83, Alabama 81
Ducks put in a rebound with 0:04.4 left for the win.
Oregon is 8-0; they win the Players’ Era tournament.
Barthelemy scored 22 points for Oregon; he didn’t start.

Famous birthdays, December 1st:
Bette Midler, 79
Charlene Tilton, 66
Larry Walker, 58
Steve Walsh, 58
DeSean Jackson, 38
Dan Straily, 36
Gary Payton II, 32
Christian Encarnacion-Strand, 25

— UConn 47, UMass 42
Huskies are quietly 8-4 under Jim Mora Jr, who was an NFL head coach for four years.
UMass led this game 28-27 at halftime.
UConn ran for 253 yards, outgained the Minutemen, 434-390.

— Utah 28, Central Florida 14
UCF finishes season 4-8, its worst record since 2015.
Coach Gus Malzahn is going to resign and become offensive coordinator at Florida State.
Utes’ win snaps their 7-game losing skid.

— Rice 35, South Florida 28
EJ Warner threw for 430 yards, three touchdowns.
Rice overcame 12 penalties for 93 yards; they averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt.
Owls led 27-7 at halftime.

— NC State 35, North Carolina 30
Wolfpack scored game-winning TD with 0:25 left.
UNC had taken lead on a 47-yard TD pass with 1:51 left.
Teams converted only 5-23 third down plays.
NC State is 6-6; both teams are bowl eligible.

— Notre Dame 49, USC 35
Trojans are 6-6 this year, 8-10 in last 18 games overall.
Notre Dame had two pick-6’s in 4th quarter, 99 and 100 yards.
Notre Dame beats USC for sixth time in last seven meetings.

— Western Kentucky 19, Jacksonville State 17
WKU kicked a 50-yard field goal with 0:03 left for the win.
These teams meet again next week, in the C-USA championship game.
WKU was 7-20 on third down, Gamecocks were 2-13.
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Cavaliers 115, Celtics 111- Cleveland is off to an 18-3 start.
— Lakers 105, Jazz 104- Laker starters were minus-23, subs +28.
— Clippers 126, Nuggets 122- Denver shot 58% from floor, still lost.
— Spurs 127, Kings 125- Wembanyama had 34 points, 13 boards, 11 assists.
— Mavericks 137, Trail Blazers 131- Doncic had 36 points, 13 assists.
— Magic 100, Nets 92- Orlando is off to a 15-7 start.

Quote of the Day
“As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly!!!”
Mr Carlson, WKRP in Cincinnati

Friday’s quiz
Where did Bills’ QB Josh Allen play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Hurricanes lost their last five bowl games; they beat West Virginia 31-14 the last time they won a bowl, in Orlando back in 2016.

Saturday’s quiz
USC basketball coach Eric Musselman was also head coach for the Golden State Warriors and the Sacramento Kings.

**************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Eagles 24, Ravens 19
Eagles’ first four drives: 14 plays, 23 yards, four punts.
Eagles’ last seven drives: 43 plays, 237 yards, 24 points.
Philly is 8-0 SU/6-2 in their last eight games.
Philly is 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Saquon Barkley ran ball 23 times for 107 yards and a TD.
Baltimore led 9-0 after the first quarter.
K Tucker missed a PAT and FG’s of 47-53 yards (he made 34-50 yard FGs).
Baltimore is 8-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-5 if they score less than 28.

Vikings 23, Cardinals 22
Vikings drove 62 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:13 left.
Kevin O’Connell is 24-9 as a HC in one-score games, really good.
Arizona ran for 154 yards, most RY Vikings have allowed this year.
Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as home favorite.
Cardinals outgained Minnesota 406-273, but scored only one TD.
Arizona had 10 drives; 5-6 on FG’s, one TD, two INT’s on last three drives.
Arizona is 17-9 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog.
Vikings have won 5 in row, are 10-0 giving up less than 30 points.

Seahawks 26, Jets 21
Jets led 21-7 after a 99-yard kick return in second quarter.
DE Marshall had 92-yard pick-6 that made score 21-13.
Seahawks are 3-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6-21 points.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
Jets first three drives: 18 plays, 110 yards, 14 points.
Jets rest of game: 44 plays, 155 yards, outscored 7-0 by Seattle defense.
Jets are 9-15 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 1-8 SU/ATS in their last nine games.

Steelers 44, Bengals 38
Wilson threw a pick-6 on Pittsburgh’s third play of the day.
Steelers’ next five drives: 35 plays, 302 yards, 27 points.
Steelers won/covered six of their last seven games.
Steelers are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
Wilson was 29-38/414 passing, with three TD’s.
Last eight games, Steelers are +13 in turnovers.
Cincinnati is 0-7 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.

Buccaneers 26, Panthers 23 OT
Carolina led 16-10 after the third quarter.
Carolina scored on 25-yard TD pass with 0:30 left to go ahead 23-20
Tampa Bay kicked 51-yard FG at the gun to force overtime.
Seven of Tampa Bay’s last nine games went over the total.
Carolina QB Young threw for 298 yards; he has gotten a lot better.
WR Thielen caught 8 passes for 99 yards and a TD.
Last four games, Panthers are 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS.
Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine NFC South home games.

Chargers 17, Falcons 13
Chargers’ only TD was 61-yard pick-6 late in third quarter.
Chargers won/covered five of last six games.
Bolts in first half: 31 plays, 148 yards, 3 FG’s on four drives.
Chargers held on in 2nd half: 15 plays, 40 yards, no points.
Atlanta lost its last three games SU, scoring 3 TD’s on 29 drives.
Cousins threw 4 INT’s, 3 of them on Falcons’ last four drives.
Falcons were held to 17 or fewer points in all six losses.
Falcons/Tampa Bay are now tied for first atop NFC South.

Famous birthdays, December 2nd:
Steven Bauer, 68
Mark Kotsay, 49
Britney Spears, 43
Aaron Rodgers, 41
Gary Sanchez, 32
Aaron Jones, 30

Colts 25, Patriots 24
Down 24-17, Colts drove 66 yards, scored TD with 0:12 left.
Then they went for 2 points; QB Richardson ran for the winning score.
6-7 Colts are 5-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Despite the win, Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last five games.
NE outgained Colts 422-253, but had only 2 TD’s in 6 trips to red zone.
Patriots lost their last three games, giving up 28-34-25 points.
Over is 5-1 in New England’s home games.
Patriots are 1-10 when they allow more than 10 points.

Rams 21, Saints 14
First regular season game in McVay era Rams didn’t score in 1st half.
Rams in first half: 23 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Rams in second half: 29 plays, 239 yards, 21 points.
Rams won five of their last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
Saints in first half: 43 plays, 159 yards, only six points (led 6-0 at half).
NO is 1-4 in one-score games this year.
Saints are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
New Orleans is 9-16-2 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.

Texans 23, Jaguars 20
Texans first five drives: 33 plays, 125 yards, six points.
Texans last four drives: 23 plays, 171 yards, 17 points.
WR Collins caught 8 passes for 119 yards.
Houston has six wins by 6 or fewer points.
Jaguars’ QB Lawrence was KO’d (concussion( by a violent hit.
Jaguars lost last five games, by 3-5-5-46-3 points.
Jacksonville covered five of their last six games.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.

Commanders 42, Titans 19
Washington’s first four drives: 26 plays, 197 yards, 28 points.
Commanders led 21-0 after first quarter, outgained Titans 463-245.
Washington is 7-0 when it gives up less than 26 points.
McLaurin caught 8 passes for 73 yards, two TD’s.
Washington ran ball for 267 yards (5.9 yards/carry)
Titans are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight games.
Titans scored 31-20-32 points in wins, 19 or fewer in their losses.
Tennessee is 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog.

Bills 35, 49ers 10
49ers lost last three games, giving up 35-38 points in last two.
Buffalo ran ball for 220 yards, outgained SF 372-239 on a snowy night.
Star RB McCaffrey (knee) could be out for the season.
49ers are 0-6 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Buffalo’s first four drives: 26 plays, 238 yards, 21 points.
Bills won their last seven games (6-1 ATS); they clinched AFC East.
Last eight games, Bills are +12 in turnovers (17-5).
Last seven Buffalo games went over the total.

— Hall of Fame basketball coach Lou Carnesecca, who led St John’s to two Big East tournament titles and a 1985 Final Four appearance, died Saturday at age 99.
Carnesecca led St. John’s to eighteen 20-win seasons and 18 NCAA tournament appearances; he had a 526-300 record, was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame in 1992.
RIP, coach.

— New York Mets signed P Frankie Montas to a 2-year, $34M deal; Montas was 7-11, 4.84 in 30 starts last year, for the Reds/Brewers. He is 44-46, 4.09 in 129 MLB starts.

— Bill Vinovich was the referee for the Cardinals-Vikings game in Minnesota Sunday; during the week, he was a basketball referee at the Acrisure tournament in Palm Springs, CA. I saw him do at least two games during the week (Thursday/Friday??) Busy week for a good official.
 

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NCAAF

Week 15


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Trend Report
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Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Jacksonville State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Nevada-Las Vegas vs Boise State
Nevada-Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada-Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Tulane vs Army
Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games

Ohio vs Miami-OH
Ohio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami-OH is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Ohio

Iowa State vs Arizona State
Iowa State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Iowa State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Georgia vs Texas
Georgia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games

Marshall vs Louisiana-Lafayette
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Clemson vs Southern Methodist
Clemson is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

Penn State vs Oregon
Penn State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Penn State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games


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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams playing the fastest tempo:
— New Mexico
— Fresno State
— Cal Poly
— Kentucky
— Alabama
— Western Kentucky

Quote of the Day
“I’m not doing another 3-game MTE again. Moving forward, we will only play home-and-homes or single-game events… I don’t think I’ll ever do a 3-game MTE again. There’s zero chance I ever do that again”
Connecticut basketball coach Dan Hurley, after going 0-3 in the Maui Classic

Tuesday’s quiz
What team did John Calipari lead to the Final Four in 1996?

Monday’s quiz
Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Hurricanes lost their last five bowl games; they beat West Virginia 31-14 the last time they won a bowl, in Orlando back in 2016.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

Broncos 41, Browns 32
Winston threw for 497 yards, four TD’s.
He also threw 3 INT’s, 2 of which were returned for Denver TD’s.
Jeudy caught nine passes for 235 yards and a TD.
Last time a Cleveland QB threw for 400+ yards? Josh McCown (457) in 2015
Nix threw a 93-yard TD pass to put Denver ahead, 28-17.
Lutz kicked 27-yard FG to put Denver ahead 34-32 with 2:54 left.
Cleveland outgained the Broncos, 552-400.
Denver is 7-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.

— Rhode Island 84, Yale 78
Archie Miller’s Rams are 8-0, albeit against schedule #337.
Yale, Charleston are only teams in top 150 that URI has played so far.
Providence @ URI is an interesting game on Saturday’s schedule.

— Washington State 68, Nevada 57
Nevada was favored by 11.5 points.
Wazzu was 12-29 on the arc, Wolf Pack 4-20.

— Purdue fired football coach Ryan Walters after going 1-11 this season, 0-11 vs I-A teams, with only three of the 11 losses by less than 17 points.
Purdue was 5-19 in Walters’ two seasons as head coach; they lost 66-0 to rival Indiana Saturday- they’re 129th in the country in offense, 130th in defense.

— Good news for Sam Houston State- they went 9-3 this year, in their 2nd year as a I-A team.
Bad news for Sam Houston State- Temple hired Sam Houston’s coach KC Keeler as their new head coach. Keeler was 97-39 overall at Sam Houston, winning the I-AA national title in 2020;

— Duke 23, Wake Forest 17
Duke threw a 39-yard TD pass on the last play of the game for a walk-off win.
Wake Forest led 17-3 with 1:00 left in the third quarter,
Duke is 9-3, with six wins by 7 or fewer points.

— Former NFL QB/Stanford alum Andrew Luck was named as the Cardinal’s general manager; he will manage aspects of both the football and business sides of the program.
On the business side, he will handle duties typically held by NFL team presidents — fundraising, sponsorships, attendance, sales, in-stadium experience and alumni relations.

For football, Luck will oversee the coaching staff, player personnel, recruiting, roster management and student-athlete experience, whatever that is.

— Chicago Cubs signed P Matthew Boyd to a 2-year deal worth $29M; Boyd will be 34 on Ground Hog Day- he was 2-2, 2.72 in eight starts for Cleveland this past year, 0-0, 0.77 in three playoff starts for the Guardians. For his career, Boyd is 46-69, 4.85 in 168 career starts, mostly with Detroit.

Famous birthdays, December 2nd:
Bobby Howfield, 88
Tom Woodeshick, 83
Jim Brewer, 73
Daryl Hannah, 64
Julianne Moore, 64
Brendan Fraser, 56
Lindsey Hunter, 54
James Laurinaitis, 38

— Washington Commanders were 4-13 last year; they’re 8-5 this year, despite playing a rookie QB, who has done really well.
Commanders were minus-14 in turnovers last year; they’re +3 this week,

— Started watching re-runs of the old TV series Criminal Minds, never watched that show much. One of the first shows I watch, the bad guy is played by Michael O’Keefe, who played Danny Noonan in the classic movie Caddyshack.
Michael O’Keefe will be 70 in April, which makes me feel old; he played Lakers owner Jack Kent Cooke in the HBO series Winning Time couple years ago.

— I’m watching the Duke-Kansas game on TV last week; the game was played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and former Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski was sitting courtside with his wife. Sitting to Krzyzewski’s left was the actor Ken Jeong, who was in the Hangover movies.
Made me wonder what those two guys would talk about, if anything, and if Coach K had ever seem The Hangover. Funny movie.

— Colorado-Iowa State was the 5th place game at the Maui Classic, which is unusual only because those teams are in the same league now. Usually teams from the same league aren’t in the same tournament, but with all the jumping between leagues, this happened.
Same thing at the Battle for Atlantis, where Arizona-West Virginia played in the 3rd place game.

— Last year, 1,962 college basketball players entered the transfer portal, with over 1,100 of them changing teams. With 364 Division I teams now, that works out to 5+ players per team looking to jump ship.

— Dartmouth 88, Boston College 83
ACC teams aren’t supposed to lose to Ivy League teams, especially lower-level Ivy teams.
Dartmouth made 17-31 3-pointers in the game, which was last Friday.

— Notre Dame’s basketball team has a freshman guard Brady Stevens, who scored over 1,000 points in high school at Wellesley High in Massachusetts. The reason I mention this is that his father is Brad Stevens, the President of Basketball Operations for the Celtics.
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams playing the slowest tempo:
— Wagner
— Virginia
— Air Force
— Minnesota
— North Texas
— Seton Hall

Quote of the Day
“I mean, they’ve been kicking everybody’s ass. So I’m fortunate enough to, again, just to be on a team that’s rolling like that. And whatever I can do to help, that’s what I’m here for.”
Jamal Adams, on why he signed recently with the Detroit Lions

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers before Mike Tomlin?

Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari led UMass to the Final Four in 1996.

Monday’s quiz
Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming

**********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy night of basketball…….

— Rough night for the ACC; their teams went 1-8 against the SEC in their annual challenge, with Clemson’s win over Kentucky the only bright spot.

— Clemson 70, Kentucky 66
Clemson F Schieffelin was 4-20 from floor, also had 20 rebounds.
Clemson is 8-1, with three top 100 wins.
Kentucky is 7-1, splitting two top 100 games.

— Arkansas 76, Miami 73
Miami led this game by 7 with 6:51 left to play.
Arkansas was 11-23 on arc, Miami 9-29.
I’m still a little amazed that Kentucky didn’t want Calipari to coach anymore.

— Missouri 98, California 93
Cal Bears led 51-33 at halftime.
Mizzou was 32-44 inside arc, 3-9 outside arc, 25-38 on foul line.
Cal is an ACC team, by the way. No idea why, but they are.
Mizzou is off to a 7-1 start, after going 0-18 in SEC last year.

— Ole Miss 86, Louisville 63
7-1 Rebels shot 65% inside the arc.
Ole Miss was 8-20 on arc, Louisville 5-30
This was Louisville’s 4th top 60 game in the last seven days.

— Oklahoma 72, Georgia Tech 61
Tech led this game 34-30 at halftime.
Oklahoma was 26-30 on foul line, Tech 12-18.
Sooners are 8-0, with three top 100 wins, plus this win.

— South Carolina 73, Boston College 51
Gamecocks were 10-19 on the arc, BC was 2-15.
Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc vs Carolina (#39)
Eagles are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#298) vs schedule #284.

Famous birthdays, December 4th:
Jeff Bridges, 75
Bernard King, 68
Lee Smith, 67
Frank Reich, 63
Marisa Tomei, 60
Jeff Blake, 54
Blake Snell, 32
Paul Blackburn, 31
Jackson Holliday, 21

— Clemson won the last eight times they played in the ACC football championship game; last time they lost was in 2009, 39-34 to Georgia Tech.

— Michigan 67, Wisconsin 64
Wolverines are off to a 7-1 start, after going 8-24 LY.
Michigan is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#14 in country).

— Iowa 80, Northwestern 79
Hawkeyes outscored Northwestern 12-5 over the final 1:43
Iowa led 38-21 late in the first half.

— Villanova 68, Cincinnati 60
Wildcats get their first top 100 win in four tries.
Villanova was 14-17 on foul line, Bearcats 6-11.
Cincinnati is 6-1, but they’ve played schedule #308.

— Army 103, LeMoyne 100 3OT
Army led by 14 with 5:07 left in regulation.
Teams combined to shoot 18-70 on the arc; no bueno.
LeMoyne’s subs outscored Army’s bench, 35-5.

— Murray State 63, Evansville 61
Purple Aces shot 55% inside arc, but never led this game.
Murray State starts five seniors; three of them played 38:00+.
Evansville is 3-5; this was their first loss by less than 11 points.

— Cavaliers 118, Wizards 87
Washington is 2-17; they’ve lost 15 games in a row.
Wizards are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games.
Washington’s last win was October 30th. Oy.
 

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