Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2024-2025 !

[Udog]

BOWL SEASON

Tuesday, December 17

Wednesday, December 18

Thursday, December 19

Friday, December 20

Saturday, December 21

Monday, December 23

Tuesday, December 24

Thursday, December 26

Friday, December 27

Saturday, December 28

Monday, December 30

Tuesday, December 31

Thursday, January 2

Friday, January 3

Saturday, January 4

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Tuesday’s game
Frisco Bowl (Frisco, TX)
Memphis (-4.5) vs West Virginia
Memphis (10-2)
Tigers won seven of last eight games; their losses were 56-44/44-36.
Memphis ran for 200+ yards in five of last six games.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.


Memphis won its last three bowl games.
This year, Tigers are 0-2-1 ATS as a single digit favorite.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 13-24-1 ATS as a favorite.
Five of last six Memphis games went over the total.
Memphis was +7 in turnovers in its last two games.
Memphis is +19 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
AAC favorites are 7-6 ATS in non-conference games.


West Virginia (6-6)
WVU is 3-4 in last seven games; they fired their coach.
Rich Rodriguez was named the new coach Thursday.
West Virginia is 0-4 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.


WVU is 4-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
WVU is 19-23 ATS last 42 games as an underdog.
Last four games, Mountaineers gave up 466.3 yards/game.
West Virginia lost two games where they scored 34-35 points.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
WVU is 2-3 in its last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)


AAC teams are 3-4 SU in this game
Favorites are 7-3 ATS in last ten Frisco Bowls.




NCAAF

Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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Memphis vs West Virginia
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Wednesday’s games
Boca Raton Bowl
Western Kentucky vs James Madison (-7.5)
Western Kentucky (8-5)
WKU lost three of last four games, after a 7-2 start.
Last five games, Hilltoppers gave up 314.8 rushing yards/game.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp has 2,806 passing yards (23 TD’s, 10 INTs).


Hilltoppers are 3-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Overall, WKU is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as an underdog.
WKU is 7-0 scoring 26+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 26.
WKU won its last three bowls, scoring 59-44-38 points.
WKU is 1-5 TY when they score less than 26 points.
Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.
C-USA underdogs are 8-10 ATS in non-conference games.


James Madison (8-4)
JMU lost its last two games, 34-20/35-33.
JMU is 1-3 when it scores less than 30 points.
Dukes have 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Dukes have 64 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Bennett has 2,596 PY, with 26 TD’s, 4 INTs


JMU lost its first-ever bowl game LY, 31-21 (+1) to Air Force.
This year, JMU is 3-2 ATS as a single digit favorite.
JMU is 41-22 ATS in last 63 games as a favorite.
Last 3+ years, JMU has +46 turnover ratio in 50 games.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.


Last five years, underdogs are 4-1 ATS in this bowl.
WKU won this bowl in 2016, 2021.


LA Bowl
California (-1.5) vs UNLV
California (5-5)
Cal is 2-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cal is 1-4 when it gives up more than 21 points.
Golden Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Golden Bears have 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Mendoza started eight games last year.


Under Wilcox, Cal is 15-22-1 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Golden Bears are 3-3 ATS as a favorite.
Cal is +12 in turnovers this season (minus-4 in last 3 games).
This is Cal’s first road game in western time zone this season.
Under is 6-3-2 in their I-A games.
ACC favorites are 10-13 ATS in non-conference games.
California is 2-3 SU in last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)


UNLV (10-3)
UNLV took a body blow; coach Odom bolted to Purdue.
Rebels are 10-3 this year, have a +14 turnover ratio.
UNLV are 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS on the road this year.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.


UNLV won 4 of last 5 games; they lost MW title game 21-7.
Last two years, UNLV is 6-3 ATS as an underdog.
Rebels lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2000
This year, Rebels are 5-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
UNLV was minus in turnovers in only one game this year.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Mountain West underdogs are 17-13 ATS in non-conference games.


Cal (-12) beat UNLV 20-14 in ’22, before Odom was UNLV’s coach.
Favorites are 2-1 SU/ATS in the three LA Bowls.
Mountain West teams are 2-1 in this bowl, old Pac-12 teams 1-2




NCAAF

Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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Western Kentucky vs James Madison
Western Kentucky is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games
James Madison is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of James Madison's last 8 games

California vs Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of California's last 15 games
California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 6 games


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[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting spreads for Week 16:
— Lions (-7) @ Chicago
— Vikings (-2.5) @ Seattle
— Patriots @ Buffalo (-13.5)
— Jaguars @ Las Vegas (-1)
— 49ers @ Miami (-1.5)
— Buccaneers (-4) @ Dallas

Quote of the Day
“We got problems in college football…….the way the portal is and the timing of it and the way our team is playing, and when you play the position of quarterback and there’s only one spot and those spots are filling up, he felt like he was put in a no-win situation, and I agree with him.”
Penn State football coach James Franklin, talking about backup QB Beau Pribula entering the transfer portal

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder, who has scored the most points?
(Hint: They started playing in Oklahoma in 2008-09)

Monday’s quiz
25 years ago, the Rams won the Super Bowl for the first time, behind QB Kurt Warner, who was the backup during training camp. Trent Green was the Rams’ starting QB that summer, before he blew his knee out in an exhibition game.

Sunday’s quiz
Dallas Cowboys won the first Super Bowl played in a domed stadium; they beat Denver 27-17 in the New Orleans Superdome.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

Vikings 30, Bears 12
Chicago in first half: 28 plays, 107 yards, trailed 13-0.
Bears are 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
Bears are 8-15-1 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Bears scored 24+ points in their wins (0-9 score less than 24)
Vikings’ first four drives: 37 plays, 175 yards, only 13 points.
Minnesota was 7-14 on third down, Chicago 1-12.
Minnesota won last seven games, scoring 31.3 ppg in last four.
Vikings are 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS at home this season.

Falcons 15, Raiders 9
Falcons snap a four-game losing skid.
Atlanta blocked a punt and an extra point.
Atlanta is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Six of Falcons’ last eight games stayed under the total.
Raiders are 0-10 SU/3-7 ATS in last ten games.
Raiders are 2-11 SU, need three more losses to clinch #1 pick in ’25 Draft.
Falcons ran ball 37 times for 168 yards.
Las Vegas has 28 turnovers in 14 games (minus-19).

— Wake Forest football coach Dave Clawson has resigned, bad news for college football and college sports in general.
Clawson was 67-69 at Wake Forest, 5-2 in bowl games; Wake is the smallest of the Power 5 football schools. Clawson will stay at Wake Forest and work as a fundraiser, which these days is really important, since the players are getting paid (legally) now.
Clawson led Wake Forest to seven consecutive bowl games and had the Deacons in the top 10 in 2021/2022, the highest they’ve ever been ranked, but when QB Sam Hartman bolted Wake Forest for Notre Dame’s big $$$, the Deacons went 4-8/4-8 the last two years.

— Quarterback coming/goings:
Former Oklahoma QB Jackson Arnold bolted from the Sooners to Auburn
Former USC QB Miller Moss bolted from USC to Louisville.
Former Texas/Duke QB Maalik Murphy is in the transfer portal. Again.
Murphy threw for a school-record 26 TD passes in leading Duke to a 9-3 record, but he’s quit on his teammates before their bowl game.
Duke will replace Murphy with former Tulane QB Darian Mensah.
Oy.

— Former NFL QB Teddy Bridgewater won a state championship in his first season as coach at his alma mater, Miami Northwestern High- he led the Bulls to the Florida Class 3A state title with a 41-0 win Saturday.
Bridgewater was a backup QB for the Lions last year; now he has joined the growing list of former NFL Players who have become high school coaches- Carson Palmer is on that list now, also.

— Marshall dropped out of their Independence Bowl game against Army in Shreveport, because a bunch of Marshall players entered the transfer portal after Thundering Herd coach Charles Huff bolted to Southern Mississippi.
Louisiana Tech will now play Army in the December 28th game.

Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Eugene Levy, 78
Bill Pullman, 71
Albert King, 65
Claire Forlani, 53
Chase Utley, 46
Daniel Vogelbach, 32
Buddy Hield, 32
Ryan Weathers, 25
Caden Dana, 21

— Was watching the Gonzaga-UConn game Saturday night that was played in Madison Square Garden; Jason Benetti mentioned that this week was the 46th anniversary of Billy Joel’s first concert at MSG. He’s now done 100 concerts at MSG.

— Tampa Bay Bucs WR Mike Evans had a big game against the Chargers Sunday; back when he was in high school in Galveston HS, the other receiver on the school’s football team was Nick Williams, who wound up playing five years in the major leagues as an outfielder.
Must’ve been fun coaching a team with two big league athletes playing receiver.

— SEC has 8 of the 25 teams in this week’s AP Top 25 basketball poll.

— Cal-Davis is bolting the Big West for the Mountain West in 2026, in all sports but football.
UTEP< Hawai’i, Grand Canyon and Cal-Davis are the four new teams in the league; Grand Canyon doesn’t have a football team- the Cal-Davis football team will stay at the I-AA level.

— When Colts RB Jonathan Taylor dropped the ball before he got to the goal line in Denver Sunday, it rolled out of the end zone for a Broncos touchback. Not only did the Colts get outscored 24-0 the rest of the way, you wonder how many people won/lost their fantasy league playoff games because of that blunder.

— It must be fun to be really, really rich; Phoenix Suns minority owner Justin Ishbia, and the brother of Suns majority owner Mat Ishbia, is interested in buying the Minnesota Twins, who are said to be worth $1.5B and $2B. Justin Ishbia has a net worth of $5B.

— A’s will be playing in Sacramento the next three years; they added another starting pitcher last week, acquiring Jeffrey Springs from Tampa Bay. He was 9-5, 2.46 in 25 starts in 2022, then was off to a great start in ’23, before he got hurt and missed a year.
With Springs and Luis Severino in the rotation, the A’s figure to be improved in 2025.

— Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)
Sun Belt 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS
MAC. 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Favorites: 1-0 ATS
Totals: under 1-0

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, December 17

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston State
Georgia Southern is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sam Houston State's last 5 games
Sam Houston State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Thursday’s game
New Orleans Bowl
Georgia Southern (-6) vs Sam Houston State
Georgia Southern (8-4)
Eagles are 8-1 when they allow less than 47 points.
Eagles gave up 441+ total yards in four of last five games.
GSU is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
GSU has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 50 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB/new starter French threw only 16 passes LY.
Georgia Southern is 1-1-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
Under Helton, Eagles are 8-4-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Helton is 34-26-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Georgia Southern lost three of its last four bowl games.
Eagles (-6) beat Louisiana Tech 38-3 in this bowl four years ago.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.

Sam Houston State (9-3)
Sam Houston’s coach has bolted to Temple.
He coached Sam Houston for 11 seasons, the last two at I-A level.
Bearkats won four of its last five games (1-5 ATS last six).
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.
Last two years, Sam Houston is 9-5 ATS as an underdog.
Bearkats are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Sam Houston was held under 300 TY in three of last five games.
Last seven games, Bearkats are +7 in turnovers.
Under is 5-0 in their last five games.
This is Sam Houston’s first-ever bowl game (2nd year in I-A).
C-USA underdogs are 8-10 ATS in non-conference games.

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MEM at WVU	09:00 PM	MEM -6.0 U 60.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK AND BOWL GAMES !

12/17/2024.....................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%...................- 11.00
12/14/2024.....................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/07/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0......................40.00%...................- 13.00
12/06/2024.....................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%...................+ 9.00

TOTALS..........................8 -12 - 0......................40.00%...................- 26.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
NOVEMBER TOTALS............146- 147 - 0.........................49.82%............................- 78.50

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams shooting the best on the foul line:
84.8%— Wisconsin
83.8%— Cal-Irvine
82.4%— Tex-San Antonio
82.2%— Valparaiso
81.5%— Canisius
81.3%— Campbell

Quote of the Day
“He’s got to play better. We have to find a way to get him to play better. We have to play better at the quarterback position.”
Falcons coach Raheem Morris, before he benched Kirk Cousins Tuesday

Wednesday’s quiz
Which NFL team drafted Kirk Cousins in 2012?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder, Russell Westbrook has scored the most points.

Monday’s quiz
25 years ago, the Rams won the Super Bowl for the first time, behind QB Kurt Warner, who was the backup during training camp. Trent Green was the Rams’ starting QB that summer, before he blew his knee out in an exhibition game.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……​

— NFL teams who get the highest %age of their first downs on 3rd down plays:
33.3%- Chiefs
30.4%- Dolphins
29.4%- Broncos
28.8%- Eagles
28.5%- Steelers

— NFL teams who get the lowest %age of their first downs on 3rd down plays:
20.6%- Packers
22.0%- Browns
22.0%- Falcons
22.9%- Lions
23.1%- Vikings

— NFL screwed around with the Week 17 (next week) schedule, moving some games:
Saturday December 28:
Chargers @ Patriots, 1:00
Broncos @ Bengals, 4:00
Cardinals @ Rams, 8:00
Sunday, December 29:
Falcons @ Commanders, 8:20

— Minnesota Vikings are 12-2, having a great year; are they really going to let QB Sam Darnold walk next spring? The franchise tag for a QB figures to be around $41M next year, which would be a crimp in Minnesota’s salary cap, but quarterbacks are really important, and Darnold is leading a 12-2 team this season.
Rookie JJ McCarthy hasn’t played yet; he’s already had two knee procedures. Will Minnesota really let Darnold walk and let McCarthy take over, with Giants’ reject Daniel Jones as the #2 quarterback? Tough decision they’ll have to face after the season.

— Falcons are benching QB Kirk Cousins, will start rookie Michael Penix this week against the Giants, giving the rookie QB his first NFL start.
Tennessee Titans are benching QB Will Levis; Mason Rudolph is the likely starter- Trevor Siemian is their other QB. Rudolph has a 9-6-1 record as an NFL starter, mostly with Pittsburgh.
Cleveland Browns are benching QB Jameis Winston, will start #3 QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson against Cincinnati. Bailey Zappe is Cleveland’s other QB. Thompson-Robinson was 1-2 as a starter for Cleveland last year.

— Memphis 42, West Virginia 37
Tigers led 28-17 at halftime.
West Virginia outgained Memphis, 534-474
Mountaineers ran ball for 206 yards, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Memphis threw an 89-yard pass that wasn’t a TD; it was the longest pass play in the country this year that didn’t result in a touchdown.

— Ohio U is playing Jacksonville State in a bowl game in Orlando Friday; both teams have had really good years, so good that both head coaches have already bolted to greener pa$ture$.

Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 78
Bobby Jones, 73 (basketball player)
Roy Howell, 71
Brad Pitt, 61
Charles Oakley, 61
Don Beebe, 60
Dan McGwire, 57
Byron Buxton, 31
Ronald Acuna, 27
Jayden Daniels, 24

— Chicago Cubs traded OF/1B Cody Bellinger to New York Tuesday, in exchange for P Cody Poteet- the Cubs are dumping most of Bellinger’s salary. Chicago will send $5M to New York as part of the deal, but Bellinger is going to make $52.5M the next two years, so the Cubs dump $47.5M in salary.
Bellinger hit 18 homers LY with a .751 OPS; his numbers figure to go up with the short right field fence in the Bronx.

— Baltimore Orioles signed P Tomoyuki Sugano to one-year, $13M deal; the 35-year old Sugano had a 1.67 ERA in 24 starts LY in Japan, but had only 111 strikeouts in 156.2 IP. Sugano has spent his entire 12-year pro career with the Yomiuri Giants.

— Bucks 97, Thunder 81
Milwaukee wins the NBA Cup championship; not sure what that means.
Lakers won its last year; they fired their coach after the season.
Bucks have won 11 of their last 13 games.

— WCC (Gonzaga’s league) is ranked #7 this year; this is the highest the league has been ranked in the last 25 years, partly because having Washington State/Oregon State for this year only has provided a boost.
Oregon State is 12-6, ranked #65; Wazzu is 11-7, ranked #72; they give the WCC more depth than it has had in quite a while.
Of course, Gonzaga is off to the Mountain West in a couple years, and Coogs/Beavers will be back in the Pac-12 then, so the WCC has darker days ahead.

— Florida 90, North Carolina 83
11-0 Gators outscored Carolina 13-3 over the final 4:03
Tar Heels were only 5-28 behind the arc.
SEC is 28-3 against the ACC this year, which is pretty amazing.

— South Carolina 91, Clemson 88 OT
Gamecocks led by 14 in first half; they shot 56% inside the arc.
Clemson led 69-67 with 5:09 left in the game.
Carolina has won five games in a row, after a 3-3 start.

— Drake 73, Kansas State 70 OT
Drake was up 29-9 in first half of this game.
K-State was up by a hoop with 1:19 left to play.
Drake is 10-0, with four starters who were playing D-2 ball last season.

— Dayton 66, UNLV 65
UNLV led 62-58 with 1:25 left in the game.
Dayton shot 63.3% inside the arc.

— Cal-San Diego 75, Utah State 73
Tritons of Big West have won eight in a row, are 10-2.
Cal-San Diego shot 70% inside arc; they were 23-27 on foul line.

— Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)
AAC 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS
Big X 0-1 SU/1-0 ATS
MAC. 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS
Sun Belt 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

Favorites: 1-1 ATS
Totals: under 1-1

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Wednesday, December 18

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Friday’s games
Cure Bowl, Orlando
Ohio U (-3) vs Jacksonville State
Ohio U (10-3)
Ohio U’s coach bolted to Charlotte 10 days ago.
Bobcats won/covered their last six games, all by 17+ points.
Last three games, Ohio U ran ball for 246.7 yards/game.
Bobcats have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Bobcats have 57 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Navarro has thrown for 2,169 yards (12 TD’s, 10 INTs)


Ohio U is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Ohio U is 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite.
Bobcats are 7-10 ATS in last 17 non-MAC games.
Last four games, Ohio is +6 in turnovers.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Bobcats won/covered their last five bowl games.


Jacksonville State (9-4)
Jacksonville’s coach bolted to West Virginia.
Gamecocks won nine of last ten games, after an 0-3 start.
Jax State ran ball for 229+ yards in nine of those 10 games.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.


Last 3 years, Gamecocks are 7-5 ATS as an underdog (1-2 TY).
In his career, Rodriguez is 37-42-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Jax State was +11 in turnovers the last ten games.
Gamecocks scored 31+ points in 8 of last 10 games.
Over is 8-5 in their games this season.
Jax State won its bowl 34-31 in OT LY, its first-ever I-A bowl game.


Underdogs are 7-1 ATS in last eight Cure Bowls.


Gasparilla Bowl
Tampa
Tulane vs Florida (-14)
Tulane (9-4)
Tulane QB Mensah has bolted to Duke.
Junior QB Thompson has thrown 11 passes this season.
Green Wave lost its last two games, after an 8-0 run
Tulane was held to 27-19-24-14 points in its four losses.
Tulane’s last three wins were by a combined 121-9.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.


Tulane is 1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Tulane is 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games as an underdog.
Last two games, Green Wave gave up 236/335 rushing yards.
1st-year Tulane coach Sumrall is 27-12 ATS overall as a head coach.
Over is 8-4 in their I-A games.
Tulane is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls (average total, 65.0)


Florida (7-5)
Gators won their last three games, giving up 14.7 ppg.
Florida is 7-0 when it scores 24+ points, 0-5 when it scores less.
Last three games, Florida is +7 in turnovers. .
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 11 TD passes, 7 INT’s (1,610 PY).


Under Napier, Florida is 5-8 ATS as a favorite (2-0 TY).
In his career, Napier is 21-24-1 ATS as a favorite.
Florida covered eight of its last nine games overall.
Florida’s last three games stayed under the total.
Florida lost this bowl game 29-17 (-7) three years ago.
Gators lost their last three bowls, were favored in two of them.


Favorites are 5-3 ATS in this bowl the last eight years.


First round playoff game
Indiana @ Notre Dame (-7.5)
Indiana (11-1)
Hoosiers only loss this year: 38-15 at Ohio State
That game is only time this year Indiana was an underdog,
Hoosiers scored 31+ points in nine of ten I-A wins.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U


Indiana is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
In his I-A career, Cignetti is 2-2 ATS as an underdog.
Last six games, Indiana is +12 in turnovers.
Seven of Indiana’s last nine games went over the total.
Hoosiers lost their last six bowl games; their last bowl win was 1991.


Notre Dame (11-1)
Notre Dame won its last ten games, covered last eight.
Notre Dame’s only loss was 16-14 at home to Northern Illinois.
Irish have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Notre Dame has 34 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Leonard started 21 games at Duke.


Notre Dame held 10 of 12 opponents to 16 or fewer points.
Notre Dame is 9-3 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 10-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Last ten games, Notre Dame is +16 in turnovers.
Notre Dame won its last two bowl games, 45-38/40-8.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.


The two schools are 197 miles apart.




NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Ohio vs Jacksonville State
Ohio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Jacksonville State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

Tulane vs Florida
Tulane is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Tulane is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Indiana vs Notre Dame
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 18​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
WKU at JMU	05:30 PM	WKU +7.0 U 50.5	+500 +500
CAL at UNLV	09:00 PM	CAL +3.5 U 45.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK AND BOWL GAMES !

12/18/2024.....................2 -2 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 1.00
12/17/2024.....................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%...................- 11.00
12/14/2024.....................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/07/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0......................40.00%...................- 13.00
12/06/2024.....................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%...................+ 9.00

TOTALS.........................10 -14 - 0......................41.66%...................- 27.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
NOVEMBER TOTALS............146- 147 - 0.........................49.82%............................- 78.50

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Most TD passes thrown for the Buffalo Bills:
237— Jim Kelly
192— Josh Allen
181— Joe Ferguson
80— Ryan Fitzpatrick
77— Jack Kemp
55— Drew Bledsoe

Quote of the Day
“I mean, you really want to get me going today. Yeah, I think to be honest with you, I think that’s complete and total bullshit if you want my honest opinion. These guys are tough (bleep)ers, man, they go after it every day……I can’t even wrap my mind around how that would even be a conversation. I mean, just because we don’t win games doesn’t mean we’re soft.”
Titans coach Brian Callahan

Thursday’s quiz
Which two starting QB’s in the NFL have fathers who played major league baseball?

Wednesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder, Russell Westbrook has scored the most points.

********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— James Madison 27, Western Kentucky 17
Dukes get their first-ever I-A bowl win.
Hilltoppers led 14-7 at halftime.
JMU ran ball for 212 yards, outgained WKU 394-318

— UNLV 24, California 13
Rebels get their first bowl win since 2000.
UNLV won despite completing only 6-19 passes.
Cal’s QB bolted; they used two backups in this game.

— Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)

AAC 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS

ACC 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Big X 0-1 SU/1-0 ATS

C-USA 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

MAC 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

MWest 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

Sun Belt 2-0 SU/2-0 ATS

Favorites: 2-2 ATS
Totals: under 3-1

— UConn 94, Xavier 89 OT
Xavier shot 13-24 on arc; they led by 5 with 5:16 left.
UConn shot 55.6% inside the arc.

— Oklahoma 87, Michigan 86
11-0 Sooners were down 11 with 9:55 left to play.
Oklahoma was 12-25 on arc, Wolverines 4-28

— Memphis 64, Virginia 62
Virginia led by 11 early in second half.
PJ Haggerty played all 40:00, scored 27 points for 9-2 Memphis

— New Mexico 78, VCU 71
Donovan Dent scored 40 points for the Lobos.
VCU was only 13-24 on the foul line.

— Atlanta Falcons added kicker Riley Patterson to replace Younghoe Koo, who is on IR and is done for the regular season.

— As we speak, the Chicago White Sox win total for 2025 in 49.5, the lowest in recent memory. Last year, the A’s were supposed to suck; their win total was 57.5. White Sox were 41-121, an incredibly terrible season. The 2024 A’s wound up 69-93, by the way.

— Famous birthdays, December 19:
Tim Reid, 80
Kevin McHale, 67
Bill Wegman, 62
Jennifer Beals, 61
Arvydas Sabonis, 60
Joe Slusarski, 58
Tom Gugliotta, 55
Alyssa Milano, 52
Warren Sapp, 52
Jake Plummer, 50

— When the Carolina Panthers were favored over the Cowboys Sunday, it was the first time in 34 games that the Panthers were favored to win. It didn’t go well.

— Former NFL QB Michael Vick is the new football coach at Norfolk State, which went 3-8/4-8 the last two years at the I-AA level.
Vick is 44 years old; he last played in the NFL in 2015 for Pittsburgh. He has no formal coaching experience, but he played QB in the NFL for 13 years and was a coaching intern for the Chiefs five years ago. He’ll need to hire experienced assistant coaches.

— Quarterback TJ Finley should write a book someday; he recently transferred to Tulane, which will be his fifth college team. He’’ll be 23 in March.
2020— started five games for LSU (2-3)
2021-22— started six games for Auburn (2-4)
2023— started the whole season at Texas State (8-5)
2024— started three games for Western Kentucky (2-1)
2025— Tulane.

— Wake Forest hired former Washington State coach Jake Dickert as its new football coach; he replaces Dave Clawson, who is a really good coach, but Wake Forest doesn’t have the resources that its competitors have, so Clawson resigned.
Dickert was 23-20 in three years at Wazzu, 8-4 this season. Washington State wasn’t in a league this year; they’ll eventually be in the re-configured Pac-12 with a lot of Mountain West teams.

— Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia was granted eligibility for the 2025 season, very good news for the Commodores; he’s been arguing that junior college seasons should not count against NCAA eligibility, which could open up a whole new can of worms.

— Modern college football: Alabama poached the long snapper from the Cal Bears.

— In his excellent career, NBA star James Harden has scored 40+ points in 103 games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, December 19

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Saturday’s games
College football playoff
SMU @ Penn State (-8.5)
SMU (11-2)
SMU won 9 of last 10 games; they lost ACC title game, 34-31 to Clemson
SMU’s other loss: 18-15 at home to BYU.
SMU gained 434+ TY in eight of last nine games.
Mustangs have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Mustangs have 120 returning starts on the offensive line.


Soph QB Jennings started twice LY.
SMU is 7-3 ATS in its last ten games.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 4-6 ATS as an underdog (2-0 TY).
Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
SMU lost its last four bowl games; their last bowl win was in 2012.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 4-9 ATS in non-conference games.
Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
SMU held last three opponents to 74.7 rushing yards/game.


Penn State (11-2)
Penn State won four of last five games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
PSU’s losses:20-13 at home to Ohio State, 45-37 vs Oregon.
Nittany Lions are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS at home this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.


Under Franklin, Penn State is 35-25-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Nittany Lions are 13-6 ATS in last 19 non-conference games .
Nittany Lions are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowl games .
Penn State ran ball for 219+ yards in four of last five games.
Over is 4-0 in their last four games.
Penn State is 7-3 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.


Cold weather could be a factor here; not lot of freezing weather in Dallas.


College football playoff
Clemson @ Texas (-12)
Clemson (10-3)
Clemson is 4-1 in last five games; they won ACC title December 7.
Tigers allowed 431+ TY in three of last four games.
Clemson was held to 3-21-14 points in their losses.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.


Clemson is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games.
In his career, Swinney is 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 11 years, Tigers are 1-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Clemson is +16 in turnovers in wins, even in losses.
Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Clemson games.
Tigers won their last three bowl games.


Texas (11-2)
Ten of eleven Texas wins are by 10+ points.
Texas was held to 15-19 points in their two losses.
Texas was held to 29-31 rushing yards in the two losses.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers has completed 66.2% of passes (25 TD’s, 9 INTs)


Under Sarkisian, Texas is 15-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Texas lost SEC title game 22-19 to Georgia.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 6-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Texas held 12 of 13 opponents under 300 TY.
Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.
Texas lost its last two bowls, both as a favorite vs Washington.


College football playoff
Tennessee @ Ohi0 State (-7.5)
Tennessee (10-2)
Vols’ two losses: 19-14 @ Arkansas/31-17 @ Georgia
Tennessee is 2-2 SU/ATS in true road games this year.
Tennessee scored 23+ points in all their wins.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.


Tennessee is 1-7 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
In his career, Heupel is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 3-9 ATS as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Vols gained 452+ yards in four of their last five games.
Vols won four of last five bowls (loss was 48-45 in OT)


Ohio State (10-2)
Ohio State won five of their last six games.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Buckeyes’ two losses were by total of four points.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.


Under Day, OSU is 25-16 ATS as a home favorite.
Buckeyes are 9-5 ATS in last 14 home games.
Buckeyes held last six opponents to 276 or fewer yards.
Buckeyes are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 non-conference games.
OSU is 2-2 this year in games decided by less than 23 points.
Ohio State lost four of its last six bowl games.


Cold weather could definitely be a factor in this night game.




NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Southern Methodist vs Penn State
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Penn State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Clemson vs Texas
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 9 games
Texas is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

Tennessee vs Ohio State
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Ohio State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
GASO at SHSU	07:00 PM	SHSU +4.0 U 48.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK AND BOWL GAMES !

12/19/2024.....................0 -2 - 0.......................00.00%..................- 11.00
12/18/2024.....................2 -2 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 1.00
12/17/2024.....................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%...................- 11.00
12/14/2024.....................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/07/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0......................40.00%...................- 13.00
12/06/2024.....................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%...................+ 9.00

TOTALS.........................10 -16 - 0......................38.46%...................- 38.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
NOVEMBER TOTALS............146- 147 - 0.........................49.82%............................- 78.50

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams with the best eFG% defense in country:
40.0%— Tennessee
41.0%— Houston
41.2%— Duke
41.4%— Illinois
42.2%— George Mason
42.2%— Cincinnati

Quote of the Day
“Great football game. Let’s talk about Cam Dicker and the free kick. It’s my favorite rule in football. I have been trying to get one in every game. When Cameron Dicker made it, it got the momentum back. This was our chance. This was our moment [to try it].”
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh, talking about the 57-yard FG on a free kick

Friday’s quiz
What city is the Liberty Bowl football game played in every year?

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff are the two starting QB’s in the NFL who have fathers that played major league baseball.

Wednesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

*******************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Chargers 34, Broncos 27
Broncos’ first three drives: 28 plays, 212 yards, 21 points.
Denver led 21-13 at halftime.
Broncos last seven drives: 37 plays, 124 yards, 3 points.
Broncos are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Denver’s team total: over 10-4-1
QB Herbert threw for 284 yards and two TD’s.
Chargers are 6-0 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 scoring 23 or fewer points.
Over is 5-0 in their last five home games.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS this season as home favorites.
Bolts are 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
Chargers got a 57-yard field goal at the end of the first half on a free kick after a fair catch by the punt returner; the last time that happened in the NFL was 1976.

— Sam Houston 31, Georgia Southern 26
Sam Houston scored on a pick-6 2:58 into the game.
Georgia Southern ran for 181 yards, outgained Bearkats 393-267.
Problem is, Sam Houston was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
Bearkats win their first-ever I-A bowl game.
Sam Houston still has 10 guys who were on 2021 team that won the 2021 national title at the I-AA level.

— When the Detroit Lions play in Chicago Sunday, it’ll be their second outdoor game this year, on freakin’ December 22. Very unusual.
Lions won their first outdoor game 24-14 at Green Bay in Week 9, but they were outgained 411-261. Detroit scored 34-42 points in their last two games, but those were both at home.

— Cardinals’ 3B Nolan Arenado vetoed a trade to Houston; at this point, the best St Louis can probably get for Arenado is most likely a mid-level prospect and for the other team to take on some of his salary (he will make $59M the next two years).
Does this mean Alex Bregman is leaving the Astros? Boston is rumored to be interested in him, as well as the Tigers.

— Sacramento A’s signed 33-year old IF Gio Urshela Thursday; he hit .250 last year, with nine homers, 52 RBI in a season split between Detroit/Atlanta.

— 31-year old Max Kepler signed a one-year, $10M deal with the Phillies; he’s played for the Twins the last 10 years, and was hampered by injuries LY, playing in only 105 games. Kepler is expected to play left field for Philadelphia.

— Washington Nationals signed P Mike Soroka for one year, $9M; Soroka was 17-8, 3.32 in 43 starts for Atlanta from 2018-23, but was 0-10, 4.74 in 25 games (nine starts) for a dreadful White Sox team last year. He is expected to be a starter again for Washington.

— Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 78 (executive producer, Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 75
Jenny Agutter, 72
Trent Tucker, 65
Tom Newberry, 62
Rich Gannon, 59
David DeJesus, 45
James Shields, 43
Jonah Hill, 41
Calvin Ridley, 30
Bryce Perkins, 28
De’Aaron Fox, 27
Friday would’ve been John Hillerman’s 92nd birthday.

— Cal-Irvine 92, Belmont 84
Anteaters were down 13 with 12:20 left to play.
Irvine scored 40 points in the last 10:00 of the game.
Anteaters were 24-26 on foul line, Belmont 5-8; game was at Belmont.
It is December 20; Irvine already has four true road wins. Impressive.

— How much does Patrick Mahomes’ status effect the pointspread?
When it was thought he was sitting Saturday’s game out, Houston was favored by 2.5 points.
Now that Mahomes is going to play, Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points.

— Duke QB Maalik Murphy bolted to Oregon State, which probably means the Beavers gave him a lot more $$$$ than Duke was. On the surface, bolting from the ACC to the Mountain West isn’t a brilliant move. Duke is 9-3 this year; Murphy threw 26 TD’s, 12 INTs before he bolted.
Washington State QB John Mateer is bolting to Oklahoma, where he will reunite with his old offensive coordinator, Ben Arbuckle, and quarterbacks coach John Kuceyesk from Wazzu.
Coogs are 8-4 this year, losing their last three games; Mateer threw 29 TD’s, 7 INT’s. It is safe to assume that Oklahoma gave him a boatload of $$$, too.

— NBA franchises that are worth the most $$$$:
Golden State $9.14B
NY Knicks $8.3B
LA Lakers $8.07B
Brooklyn $5.7B
LA Clippers $5.68B

— Steph Curry is getting paid $55,761,216 this season: he is expected to make another $90M or so off the floor, in endorsements. Same thing for Lebron James, who the Lakers are paying $48,728,845 this year (plus another $2M or so to his son).
Basketball is big business, but if the TV ratings keep tanking, will be interesting to see where the salary cap winds up the next few years.

— JJ Redick gave up the TV booth this year to coach Lebron and the Lakers, who are 15-12 as we speak, the #7-seed in the West. Redick had never coached before; they fired last year’s coach Darvin Ham even after the Lakers won the in-season tournament, which is probably an indictment of that event.
Would seem that coaching a big-market team with two big stars wouldn’t be an entry-level position, but this year, it is.

— Random stat: Los Angeles Chargers have lost their last 11 games that were decided by 3 or fewer points; the longest losing streak ever in that category is 13 (Buffalo, from 2001-06).

— Looks like Georgia Bulldogs QB Carson Beck is exploring surgery options on his injured throwing elbow; he isn’t expected to play in Georgia’s playoff games. Sophomore Gunner Stockton is expected to take his place- he was 12-16 for 71 yards in the SEC title game against Texas, which the Dawgs won 22-19 in overtime.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, December 20