Christmas Eve Service Plays 12/24/08

[JoeDirt-]

Lang

Isn't Brandon Lang good fade material? Anyone know his bowl record?

He usually really sucks but he has been on a couple games lately.

 

[msmith2179]

coglye west says he has a total today, going for 14 straight but there are no nhl games til friday.
:think2:

You didn't read everything it's says he's going for 14th on friday

 

[ChipHilton]

No Ness for Lauer

For DonLauer, the biggest beggar on this site...


Larry's Las Vegas Insider-Haw Bowl (1-0 TY)


Las Vegas Insider on Notre Dame.

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The King

Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 207


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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->NESS??? TY
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Brady, don't you almost wish you could post the play without the beggar himself, DonLauer receiving it. Thanks for posting though. You've always posted consistently and early. Appreciated. Just wish he'd do better.

Hard to imagine much of a demand for Larry Ness these days though. Only one win each of the last three days with either three or four losses.

Three day record is three wins, ten losses. hno:

Yesterday:

<TABLE class=data id=hcPicks_tblHandicapperPicks cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead width="17%">Date </TD><TD class=datahead width="10%">W/L</TD><TD class=datahead width="15%">Sport</TD><TD class=datahead width="48%">Pick</TD><TD class=datahead align=right width="10%">Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Arizona </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>1000</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>New Orleans Hornets</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>Detroit Pistons</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-660</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Missouri </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-660</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

TWO DAYS PRIOR:

<TABLE class=data id=hcPicks_tblHandicapperPicks cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead width="17%">Date </TD><TD class=datahead width="10%">W/L</TD><TD class=datahead width="15%">Sport</TD><TD class=datahead width="48%">Pick</TD><TD class=datahead align=right width="10%">Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>Denver Nuggets</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>Chicago Bears</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Indiana </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Utah State </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-660</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>New York Giants</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>over (NO at DET)</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-990</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>Tampa Bay Buccaneers</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Miami (FL) </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAF</TD><TD class=datacell>Troy</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-770</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
and one of the wins was the lucky Giant overtime game that never usually covers in that situation. <!-- / message -->

 

[mark3]

steve i've been fading there football....and killing it,today they have a 1*hawaii and a lean on the over 48.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

steve i've been fading there football....and killing it,today they have a 1*hawaii and a lean on the over 48.

Thanks mark, looks like i'm on ND :nohead:

 

[jcubs55]

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dont think blue is getting these because he only gets their bball but has anyone seen the bowl game of the year?? i guess theyre releasing it at least a few days early since its not on the hawaii bowl considering they have a pick on that game too :think2:

 

[th7rose]

who is this best capper to follow during bowl season.. i have taken a beating so far

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cajun-Sports Comp Bowl Selection for Wednesday



DECEMBER 24, 8 PM EST – ESPN

1 STAR SELECTION

HAWAII +2 over Notre Dame

For the 5th time in the 7-year history of the Hawaii Bowl, the home team gets a chance to keep the trophy on the island as the Warriors host the Fighting Irish in Honolulu on Christmas Eve.

Hawaii won this Bowl Game in 2003, 2004, and 2006, so they have a history of doing well here. This season the Warriors began with three losses in four tries to kick off the campaign, but down the stretch got it together and finished 7-6 overall. It was nearly 8-5 with a win over the Big East Champions, but they blew a sizeable lead in the fourth quarter against Cincinnati in the regular-season finale.

Notre Dame began 2008 much like they closed out 2007 when they won back-to-back games, winning four of the first five decisions; however, after the 28-21 victory against Stanford at home in early October, the Irish nearly fell apart with just two more victories the rest of the way. One of those wins came against winless Washington, while the other was a 27-21 decision versus Navy. Clearly, Notre Dame backed into the postseason after losing two straight and four of five down the stretch to finish with a mediocre 6-6 mark. The Irish have lost NINE straight Bowl Games.

The Greg McMackin version of the Hawaii offense took some time to find out who the leader was in 2008. Several players tried to fit into the quarterback mold, but eventually the team turned to Greg Alexander and found a diamond in the rough. Alexander started a total of six games for the squad, converting 64% of his pass attempts for 12 touchdowns and just four interceptions.

Take away the 56 points allowed to Florida in the season opener and the 45 points posted by Oregon State in the middle of September, and the defense for the Warriors was not all that bad. They did allow 27 ppg, but they got better as the season wore on and the offense sustained some drives. The unit was decent against the run, permitting 148 ypg and average versus the pass with 204 ypg surrendered. What helped in both cases was a front line defense that was more active in the opponent's backfield with 2.6 sacks per game and 6.9 tackles for loss, both good for top 25 spots in the country.

In 2007, the Fighting Irish were last in the nation in total offense and 116th in terms of points scored, so the team could only get better. Quarterback Jimmy Clausen survived last year’s weekly beatings to complete close to 60% of his pass attempts for 231 ypg and 20 touchdowns, but he also tossed 17 interceptions. Three times in 2008 the team was held to seven points or less, partly because the rushing attack was limited to just 113 ypg, ranking the Irish 98th in the nation.

A year ago, the Irish held only three opponents to fewer than 27 points, which is why the squad's scoring defense was rather weak with 29 ppg allowed. This time around they cut the figure down by almost a full touchdown, but still the group had issues against the more talented opponents on the schedule. The pressure at the line of scrimmage was only slightly better, as the group ranked 81st and 112th in the country, respectively. The stats also show that the Irish tend to get weaker as the game wears on, giving up more than twice the number of points in the second quarter than they did in the first and watching opponents roll up even more points in the fourth quarter.

We’ve watched the spread move more than 3 points in this game, as the public has evidently decided that Notre Dame can’t lose another Bowl Game after dropping their last 9 and moved them from being a slight underdog to the role of favorite. It’s hard to get excited about backing a favorite in a spot they have failed miserably the last NINE times. Spread-wise, the Irish are also 0-9 ATS when not a Bowl double-digit underdog. Meanwhile, Hawaii is 4-0 SU (+13 ppg) + 4-0 ATS (+12.2 ppg) in Bowl Games with the line between -9 & +9.

Notre Dame is the only team playing a true road game during this Bowl season and the road has not been kind to the Irish, as they are 0-6 ATS (-8.8 ppg) on the road off a SU & ATS loss vs. an opponent not off a conference road favorite SU & ATS win.

Meanwhile, Hawaii enjoys a big homefield advantage due to location and climate. It’s no wonder they are 11-0 ATS (+11.9 ppg) at home with a line between -3 & +8 since 2000, and 12-0 ATS (+13.2 ppg) at home vs. non-conference opponents with a line between +9 & -3 since 1994.

Bowl teams have certainly enjoyed home field advantage under the conditions outlined in one of our Bowl-exclusive POWER SYSTEM. It states simply:

Play ON a Bowl home team (not a favorite of 9+ points) vs. an opponent not off 2 favorite SU wins of 10+ points each.

These hosts are 16-0 ATS, beating the spread by more than 12 points per game on average going back to at least 1980. This system may be even better than that, as the SportsDataBase only goes back to 1980.

Ultimately, we have 2 motivated teams in this game. Notre Dame is desperate to finally get a Bowl win, while the Warriors want to prove themselves against the most-storied team in college football. If this game had been played at the start of the season it would be an easy pick for Notre Dame; however, the Irish have gotten worse as the season went along, while Hawaii has recovered from their horrific start and got much better. In a close call, we like the Warriors to hang tough long enough for the Irish to find a way to come up short.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: HAWAII 28 NOTRE DAME 27
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[DancesWSheep]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, December 24, 2008
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PERFECT 9000* HAWAII BOWL WINNER
213 Notre Dame -2 8:00 EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Golden Contender's free Christmas Eve play:

On Wednesday night Christmas eve the play in the bowl game is on Hawaii.The Rainbow warriors are a senior laden team with an excellent defense.They are 8-1 ats as home dogs off a loss if they are better than 500.For technical support we have a solid bowl system that pertains to bowl favorites off blowout losses that scored less than 10 points and are either favored or dogs of less than 6 points.These teams come into these bowl and they just dont cover losing ats over 95% of the time.Homers in bwol games in general are a good investment when there opponent is off a loss, and they are not laying more than 6 points.Homers are 17-3 ats in this system.Coach Weis will have a big hand in calling the plays here today as there ofensive coordinator has taken another job.I think this will hurt ND here.Hawaii is averaging 30 p.p.g, and allowing less than 20 in home games ND is scoring 15 and allowing 22 in roadys.While ND has slightly better rushing numbers on both sides of the ball,i dont put much stock into the rush number for teams that arent playing neutral site games.Look for Hawaii to move to 5-2 in home bowl games here-BOL MERRY XMAS-GC-

 

[DancesWSheep]

Westcoast Sports
Your members play for Wednesday:
Notre Dame -2 over Hawaii.

 

[LLXC13]

all right i'm sold.
any ethan law college bowl? 14-1 last year 5-0 this year,

I'm confused...yesterday you called him a tool. :nohead:

 

[DancesWSheep]

Northcoast

3* Notre Dame

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matty O'Shea

Notre Dame -2 vs Hawaii

Yes, I know the Fighting Irish have lost nine straight bowl games, with their last postseason win coming almost 15 years ago. But as hard as it is to say, Notre Dame is still a far superior team when compared to Hawaii. The Irish's last five bowl losses have all been decided by two touchdowns or more because they were playing teams out of their league. This time around, the host Warriors are at a serious disadvantage because they simply lack quality talent. Meanwhile, Notre Dame will be getting LB Brian Smith (fourth-leading tackler with 53) and WR Michael Floyd (702 yards & 7 TDs) back after both missed the final two games of the regular season, which just happens to be when the team took a load of criticism for finishing so poorly. This game offers a shot at redemption for the Irish, and I believe they will take advantage of that opportunity and finish off the year with a big victory. Bet Notre Dame as my Double Dime College Bowl Game O' the Week.

 

[sportsamg]

onlly one game on the board...

dr guru advertised a 12* WED PACKAGE. instead i got this:

5* HAW/ND OVER 48
10* TEASER HAW +8 OV42

i elected to go with the 7.5pt same team teaser for -120 HAW +10 OV 41
GOOD LUCK!! HAPPY HOLLIDAYSS!

 

[glcsports]

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The King

Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 207



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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->NESS??? TY

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Brady, don't you almost wish you could post the play without the beggar himself, DonLauer receiving it. Thanks for posting though. You've always posted consistently and early. Appreciated. Just wish he'd do better.

Hard to imagine much of a demand for Larry Ness these days though. Only one win each of the last three days with either three or four losses.

Three day record is three wins, ten losses. hno:

Yesterday:

<TABLE class=data id=hcPicks_tblHandicapperPicks cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead width="17%">Date </TD><TD class=datahead width="10%">W/L</TD><TD class=datahead width="15%">Sport</TD><TD class=datahead width="48%">Pick</TD><TD class=datahead align=right width="10%">Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Arizona </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>1000</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>New Orleans Hornets</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>Detroit Pistons</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-660</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/23/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Missouri </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-660</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

TWO DAYS PRIOR:

<TABLE class=data id=hcPicks_tblHandicapperPicks cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead width="17%">Date </TD><TD class=datahead width="10%">W/L</TD><TD class=datahead width="15%">Sport</TD><TD class=datahead width="48%">Pick</TD><TD class=datahead align=right width="10%">Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>Denver Nuggets</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>Chicago Bears</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Indiana </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/22/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Utah State </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-660</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>New York Giants</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>over (NO at DET)</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-990</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>Tampa Bay Buccaneers</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Miami (FL) </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/21/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAF</TD><TD class=datacell>Troy</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-770</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
and one of the wins was the lucky Giant overtime game that never usually covers in that situation. <!-- / message -->

In Hoops since 12/8/08 he is a stellar 23-23-3
My dog picks better than that :lol:

 

[glcsports]

I just wanted to thank everyone for their posting and wish everyone a VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS.

 

[glcsports]

Billy Coleman
4* Notre Dame

Passing on Thursday

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Lock Line

NCAAF
Notre Dame (Top Play)
<!-- / message -->

 

[kidman232]

boys im still smiling ear to ear from last night, one of the best nights ive had in awhile calling plays. hopefully tonight can be just as good, eventhough i think their is only one game.