CFL season betting preview: How to bet the East Division-West and Best Bets !

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 9

August 25, 2014

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 9
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 9
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 9
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 9
-- The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 9

Team Betting Notes

-- Calgary (7-1) annihilated expansion Ottawa (1-7), as the West continues to dominate the East. First-place Calgary has won three straight, and covered each contest.

-- Edmonton (7-1) kept pace with their provincial rivals by hammering Toronto (3-6) by a 41-27 score. The Esks have won three in a row since losing to Calgary July 24. While they have an impressive straight-up record, they're still just 2-2 ATS over the past four, and 5-2 ATS overall. A rematch with Calgary looms Sept. 1 on the road, with the second game of a home-and-home Sept. 6 in Edmonton.

-- Montreal (1-7) continues to fight hard, but they suffered another loss Friday in Winnipeg (6-3). The Alouettes have improved since a couple of lopsided losses July 19-Aug. 1 when they lost by an average of 31.0 points per game. Over their past three losses, they have fallen by an average of just 7.8 points per game. Still, a loss is a loss. They're also 1-5 ATS over the past six.

-- The Blue Bombers put the skids on a two-game SU/ATS losing streak, and they're now 6-3 ATS overall. They 'over' and 'under' has alternated over each of their past five, so no helpful trend there. Next up is a key home-and-home series with Saskatchewan (6-2).

-- The Roughriders lost QB Darian Durant (finger) to a finger injury at halftime, so former Pitt QB Tino Sunseri was forced into action. He actually rallied the defending champs to a win at BCLions (5-4). Saskatchewan has won five straight games, and they're 4-1 ATS during the span.

-- Saskatchewan has also had the 'under' cash in five of the past six games. In their previous meeting with Winnipeg, the under hit back on Aug. 7.

 

[CNOTES]

ate WLT Pct Net Units Record

08/24/14 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail

08/23/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

08/22/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

08/17/14 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

08/16/14 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail

08/12/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

08/09/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

08/08/14 1-*2-*1 33.33% -*600 Detail

08/07/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

08/02/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

08/01/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail

Totals 17-*12-*1 58.62% +1900

 

[indiana]

C/note............nicely done..........continued success.............indy

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 10

August 26, 2014

The CFL will close the first-half of its 2014 regular season this upcoming Labor Day Holiday Weekend and all indications continue to point to a league of “haves” (the West Division) and “have nots” (the East Division).

Winnipeg got things going for the West last week with a 24-16 victory over Montreal as a 7 ½-point home favorite on Friday night. The total stayed UNDER the closing 49 ½-point line.

Saturday’s CFL double-header kicked things off with Edmonton almost doubling-up Toronto 41-27 as a seven-point favorite at home. This time the total went well OVER the 49 ½-point line. Calgary rolled over Ottawa 32-7 in the nightcap to easily cover as an 8 ½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48-point line.

This past Sunday in the only divisional matchup on the slate, Saskatchewan outlasted British Columbia 20-16 as a 2 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed UNDER the 50 ½-point closing line.

Friday, Aug. 29

Ottawa (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) at Montreal (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -5 ½
Total: 47

Game Overview

The good news for the expansion RedBlacks is that they have a decent shot at doubling their win total on the year in their first meeting this season against Montreal. Ottawa has held their own against the other two teams they faced from the East with a Week 3 victory over Toronto (18-17) as a one-point home underdog and a 10-point loss to Hamilton as a 6 ½-point road underdog in Week 4.

The Alouettes continue to sink deeper and deeper into a hole they probably will not be able to climb out of. Their offense is ranked last in the CFL in scoring with an average of 15.6 points a game and they have major issues at the quarterback position. Montreal’s defense has allowed 30 or more points four times during its current six-game losing streak.

Betting Trends

Ottawa is 1-4 against the spread in its last five games and 0-4 ATS in four road games this year. Montreal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 home games and total has stayed UNDER in its last five division games.

Sunday, Aug. 31

Winnipeg (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS) at Saskatchewan (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -5 ½
Total: 47

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers snapped a two-game skid both SU and ATS with last week’s win. Drew Willy struggled at quarterback by going 14-for-23 for 200 yards and an interception, but he still got the job done with a 16-point fourth quarter rally to steal the win. Nic Grigsby turned in a solid performance running the ball with 73 yards on 10 carries.

Saskatchewan has now gone 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) since stumbling out of the gate with a 1-2 start both SU and ATS. Quarterback Darian Durant’s numbers are nothing to write home about with a 60.1 percent completion rate and five interceptions vs. seven touchdown throws, but the Roughriders’ defense has held firm; allowing an average of 18.9 PPG. Durant missed the second half of Sunday’s game against BC with a finger injury and so far his status for this Sunday is unknown.

Betting Trends

The Roughriders won the first meeting this season 23-17 as three-point road favorites and they hold a 6-1 SU edge (5-2 ATS) in the last seven meetings. The total in this series has stayed UNDER in three of the last four games.

Monday, Sept. 1

Toronto (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) at Hamilton (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

Toronto has just three SU victories on the year, but it can open-up a three-game lead in the East Division with a win next Monday. Quarterback Ricky Ray continues to lead the CFL in total passing yards with 2,442 and he has a league-high 15 touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ downfall has been a defense that is giving-up 27.7 PPG.

The Tiger-Cats have been able to keep the majority of their games relatively close, but they have not played with the consistency needed to turn these losses into wins partially due to multiple injuries at the quarterback position. They will try and snap a three-game skid both SU and ATS which includes a 10-point loss to Calgary at home as 2 ½-point underdogs before last week’s bye.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats have won the last three meetings both SU and ATS after dropping their previous four games to Toronto both ways dating back to the 2012 regular season. The total in this series has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings.

Edmonton (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Calgary (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The surprising Eskimos continue to keep pace with Calgary in the West Division title race with a three-game SU winning streak (2-1 ATS). They have scored 26 points or more in seven of their eight games this year and their defense is holding teams to an average of 17.8 PPG. Slotback Adarius Bowman is leading the CFL in receiving yards with 619.

Calgary’s numbers are even more impressive with an offense that is averaging 27.9 PPG complementing a defense that is allowing an average of 15.1 points, which is tops in the CFL. Bo Levi Mitchell has done a good job leading the offense at quarterback. He has thrown for 1,958 yards and 12 touchdowns against just four interceptions.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders grinded-out the early edge in this season’s series with a 26-22 victory in late July as 1 ½-point road favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 49 ½-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in the last three meetings. Calgary is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings with a 7-3 edge ATS.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Ottawa at Montreal
The REDBLACKS head to Montreal on Friday to face an Alouettes team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games in Week 10 of the season. Ottawa is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Montreal favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 29

Game 281-282: Ottawa at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 103.237; Montreal 106.872
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+6 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, AUGUST 31

Game 283-284: Winnipeg at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 109.231; Saskatchewan 120.424
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 43
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1

Game 285-286: Toronto at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.230; Hamilton 114.585
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+2); Under

Game 287-288: Edmonton at Calgary (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 116.615; Calgary 124.502
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 8; 56
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5; 50
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Friday, August 29

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OTTAWA (1 - 7) at MONTREAL (1 - 7) - 8/29/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road lined games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, August 31

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WINNIPEG (6 - 3) at SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 2) - 8/31/2014, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 1

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TORONTO (3 - 6) at HAMILTON (1 - 6) - 9/1/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 1) at CALGARY (7 - 1) - 9/1/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Friday
Ottawa (1-7) @ Montreal (1-7)-- Expansion RedBlacks lost last five games, outscored 30-0 in the second half of last two games; Ottawa is 0-4 vs spread as road underdogs, losing by 8-16-11-21 points; in only one of those games did they trail by more than 3 points at the half. Montreal lost its last six games, scoring 13.8 ppg the last four weeks- they're 0-2 as favorites this year. Six of eight Alouette games stayed under total. Als were outscored 35-13 in second half of last couple games. Ottawa scored only 11.5 ppg in last four games.

Sunday
Winnipeg (6-3) @ Saskatchewan (6-2)-- Roughriders (-3) won 23-17 in Winnipeg three weeks ago running ball for 186 yards, while forcing six Bomber turnovers (+6) in their 12th series win in last 14 meetings. Winnipeg lost its last ten visits here, last three by average score of 42-11- they're 4-2 as underdogs this year, 3-1 on road, with only road loss 38-21 (+3) at Toronto. Riders won five in a row (4-1 vs spread) since their bye, with +13 turnover ratio in those games- they're 2-2 as home favorites. Five of last six Roughrider games, four of last six Bomber games stayed under total.




CFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, August 29

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Ottawa's last 18 games
Ottawa is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home


Sunday, August 31

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home


Monday, September 1

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Redblacks at Alouettes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa Redblacks at Montreal Alouettes (-6, 46)

Something has to give when the Montreal Alouettes host the Ottawa Redblacks on Friday. The Redblacks are mired in a five-game losing streak and the only team in the league with a longer streak of futility is the Alouettes, who have lost six in a row. Despite these slides, both teams still have a realistic shot at the playoffs in the weak East Division.

Montreal could finally have some stability at quarterback after Jonathan Crompton stepped in with a 266-yard performance against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, but Crompton also threw three interceptions and will need to be more accurate if he hopes to hang on to the job. Ottawa’s offense has been even worse than the Alouettes’, recording 15 points over its last two games and managing 46 over its last four. Redblacks quarterback Henry Burris has five touchdown tosses in 2014, putting him on pace for his lowest total as a starter.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Als as 5.5-point home favorites. They moved to -6.5 before dropping down to -6. The total opened at 47 and has dropped to 46.

INJURY REPORT: Redblacks - DB Jovon Johnson (Questionable, bicep). Alouettes - Chad Johnson (Probably, concussion), Marc-Oliver Brouillette (Questionable, upper body).

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-7): Ottawa lost backup quarterback Thomas DeMarco to a season-ending ACL injury when DeMarco replaced Burris in the fourth quarter in Week 9. Rookie Antoine Pruneau is quickly becoming the most exciting Redblacks player with 24 tackles in three contests as a starter and a pass deflection that led to an interception touchdown last week. Chevon Walker is tied for third in the league with 421 rushing yards.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-7): Alex Brink will back up Crompton while Troy Smith remains on the six-game injured list. Brandon Whitaker is second in the league with 431 rushing yards. John Bowman leads the team with seven sacks but has just two in four games since Montreal’s Week 5 bye week.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in Alouettes last five vs. East.
* RedBlacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Alouettes are 0-4 ATS in their last four Friday games.
* Under is 10-2 in Alouettes last 12 games overall.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 56 percent of wagers are on the Alouettes.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, August 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Ottawa - 7:30 PM ET Ottawa +4 500 *****

Montreal - Over 45 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica]Monday, Sept. 1

Toronto (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) at Hamilton (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

Toronto has just three SU victories on the year, but it can open-up a three-game lead in the East Division with a win next Monday. Quarterback Ricky Ray continues to lead the CFL in total passing yards with 2,442 and he has a league-high 15 touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ downfall has been a defense that is giving-up 27.7 PPG.

The Tiger-Cats have been able to keep the majority of their games relatively close, but they have not played with the consistency needed to turn these losses into wins partially due to multiple injuries at the quarterback position. They will try and snap a three-game skid both SU and ATS which includes a 10-point loss to Calgary at home as 2 ½-point underdogs before last week’s bye.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats have won the last three meetings both SU and ATS after dropping their previous four games to Toronto both ways dating back to the 2012 regular season. The total in this series has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings.

Edmonton (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Calgary (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The surprising Eskimos continue to keep pace with Calgary in the West Division title race with a three-game SU winning streak (2-1 ATS). They have scored 26 points or more in seven of their eight games this year and their defense is holding teams to an average of 17.8 PPG. Slotback Adarius Bowman is leading the CFL in receiving yards with 619.

Calgary’s numbers are even more impressive with an offense that is averaging 27.9 PPG complementing a defense that is allowing an average of 15.1 points, which is tops in the CFL. Bo Levi Mitchell has done a good job leading the offense at quarterback. He has thrown for 1,958 yards and 12 touchdowns against just four interceptions.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders grinded-out the early edge in this season’s series with a 26-22 victory in late July as 1 ½-point road favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 49 ½-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in the last three meetings. Calgary is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings with a 7-3 edge ATS.[/FONT]

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Winnipeg at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders (6-2) host Winnipeg (6-3) today and come into the contest with a 6-0-2 ATS record in their last 8 games versus teams with a winning record. Saskatchewan is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 31

Game 283-284: Winnipeg at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 109.231; Saskatchewan 120.424
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 43
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1

Game 285-286: Toronto at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.230; Hamilton 114.585
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+2); Under

Game 287-288: Edmonton at Calgary (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 116.615; Calgary 124.502
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 8; 56
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5; 50
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Sunday, August 31

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WINNIPEG (6 - 3) at SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 2) - 8/31/2014, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (3 - 6) at HAMILTON (1 - 6) - 9/1/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 1) at CALGARY (7 - 1) - 9/1/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Sunday

Winnipeg (6-3) @ Saskatchewan (6-2)-- Roughriders (-3) won 23-17 in Winnipeg three weeks ago running ball for 186 yards, while forcing six Bomber turnovers (+6) in their 12th series win in last 14 meetings. Winnipeg lost its last ten visits here, last three by average score of 42-11- they're 4-2 as underdogs this year, 3-1 on road, with only road loss 38-21 (+3) at Toronto. Riders won five in a row (4-1 vs spread) since their bye, with +13 turnover ratio in those games- they're 2-2 as home favorites. Five of last six Roughrider games, four of last six Bomber games stayed under total. .


Monday

Toronto (3-6) @ Hamilton (1-6)-- Argonauts are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 14+ points; Toronto lost five of last seven games, with five of those seven staying under total- thye've got a -11 turnover ratio in last six games. Hamilton lost last three games despite scoring 25 ppg in those games; TiCats are 1-2 in their new stadium, with two of the three decided by a single points- they won last three series meetings LY by 14-6-2 points; six of last eight series games went over total. Hamilton seems to get a QB hurt every week; Masoli finished last week's game.

Edmonton (7-1) @ Calgary (7-1)-- Stampeders (-1.5) won 26-22 in Edmonton back in Week 5, its 8th straight series win; Eskimos lost last four visits here, by 1-24-3-14 points, but the game five weeks ago is Edmonton's only loss this year- they're 4-0 SU on road, winning twice as underdogs. Calgary won/covered its last three games, winning by 21-10-25 points, but six of their seven wins came vs weaker eastern teams, as have five of Edmonton's seven wins. Six of eight games for both teams stayed under the total.




CFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, August 31

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home


Monday, September 1

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, August 31

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan -8 500

Saskatchewan - Under 49.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Kevin Durant will sign a deal with Nike that will play him around $27M a year for ten years to wear Nike gear, more money than the Thunder pays him.

-- Indians' team ERA for August before Sunday's game was 2.40.

-- Patriots traded backup QB Ryan Mallett to Houston, so if you drafted Texans' QB Ryan Fitzpatrick on your fantasy team, go pick Mallett up.

-- Tennessee 38, Utah State 7-- Terrific start for young Vols; Utah State ain't bad.

-- Finland 81, Ukraine 76-- Great coaching job; these guys lost by 59 Saturday- it takes onions to bounce back and win a close game the next day.

-- USA 98, Turkey 77-- Turks led by 5 at half; thank god we had Jim Boeheim on the bench to make those critical tactical adjustments at halftime.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy Labor Day, everyone.........

13) Had my fantasy football draft Sunday; amazing how late Eli Manning went, like no one thinks he can play anymore. Am guessing he does better this year.

12) I watch these NASCAR races and the cynic in me thinks the caution flags near the end of the race are intentional, to create dramatic finishes.

11) Maybe its just me, but RGIII is a little young to have a statue of himself outside Baylor's new football stadium, even if he is a big reason why the thing got built. How about waiting until he turns 30 or something.........

10) Watching an old Tennessee-Auburn game on SEC Network, just heard Keith Jackson say "they've got to hunker down...." and I smiled.

9) Croatia 90, Argentina 85-- Guy playing for Croatia lost six teeth during this game but returned to play later on-- did he used to play hockey?

8) Should be noted that Turkey has one NBA player (Omar Asik) on its team and they led Team USA by 5 at the half.

7) Surprised that Houston cut Case Keenum after they traded for Ryan Mallett; someone will pick Keenum up- he started eight games last year.

6) In last five weeks, Minnesota Timberwolves have sold 500 new season ticket packages, I guess because people are glad they traded for Andrew Wiggins, who is a Canadian. Wolves had lost around 1,100 of their 7,400 season ticket holders from last year, but have about half of them back now.

5) Brewers' farmhand Nathan Orf played all nine positions in a Class A minor league game Sunday; he started at catcher, ended it on the mound.

4) As I type this, Indians-Royals are in a rain delay in 10th inning of the Sunday night game in Kansas City; Tribe has a 4:00 home game Monday against Detroit, in another important series. Tough scheduling spot there, but at least Kluber flew home a day early and will be well-rested.

3) Oakland traded for Adam Dunn, saving White Sox $1.25M in salary-- Dunn will retire after the season, this is a chance for him to play playoff baseball before he ends a long and interesting career.

2) Rough weekend for my A's, who have four weeks left to right the ship and make the playoffs. Baseball is a six-month grind; there are ups and downs, but this is one terrible time for the A's to hit the skids. They head home now, time for some wins.

1) Baseball playoffs if they started today:
NL-- Washington-Mil or StL-Dodgers. Wild Card: Giants/Mil or StL
AL-- Baltimore-Kansas City-Angels. Wild Card: A's-Detroit

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Toronto at Hamilton
The Tiger-Cats host a Toronto team today that is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. Hamilton is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has Hamilton favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1

Game 285-286: Toronto at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.230; Hamilton 114.585
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+2); Under

Game 287-288: Edmonton at Calgary (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 116.615; Calgary 124.502
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 8; 56
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5; 50
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Monday, September 1

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TORONTO (3 - 6) at HAMILTON (1 - 6) - 9/1/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (7 - 1) at CALGARY (7 - 1) - 9/1/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Monday

Toronto (3-6) @ Hamilton (1-6)-- Argonauts are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 14+ points; Toronto lost five of last seven games, with five of those seven staying under total- thye've got a -11 turnover ratio in last six games. Hamilton lost last three games despite scoring 25 ppg in those games; TiCats are 1-2 in their new stadium, with two of the three decided by a single points- they won last three series meetings LY by 14-6-2 points; six of last eight series games went over total. Hamilton seems to get a QB hurt every week; Masoli finished last week's game.

Edmonton (7-1) @ Calgary (7-1)-- Stampeders (-1.5) won 26-22 in Edmonton back in Week 5, its 8th straight series win; Eskimos lost last four visits here, by 1-24-3-14 points, but the game five weeks ago is Edmonton's only loss this year- they're 4-0 SU on road, winning twice as underdogs. Calgary won/covered its last three games, winning by 21-10-25 points, but six of their seven wins came vs weaker eastern teams, as have five of Edmonton's seven wins. Six of eight games for both teams stayed under the total.




CFL

Week 10

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Trend Report
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Monday, September 1

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games

 

[CNOTES]

Monday, September 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Toronto - 1:00 PM ET Hamilton -1.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Hamilton - Over 50 500

Edmonton - 4:30 PM ET Calgary -4 500 GRAND SLAM

Calgary - Under 50 500 DOUBLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/01/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

Totals 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100

 

[CNOTES]

CFL

Tuesday, September 2


The under trend continues north of the border

While everyone starts to turn their focus on college football and the NFL, there is still some interesting totals trends going on north of the border.

Week 11 came to a close in the CFL with teams going 1-3 over/under, a trend that has been going strong all season. The under is now 27-13 this season, hitting almost 68 percent of the time

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 10

September 2, 2014

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 4-0 straight up in Week 10
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 10
-- Home posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 10
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
-- The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 10

Team Betting Notes

-- For the second consecutive week, the 'under' went 3-1. Over the past three weeks the 'under' is 10-3.

-- Hamilton (2-6) snapped a three-game losing streak with a narrow 13-12 home win against Toronto (3-7). Somehow, some way, the TiCats find themselves in a tie for first place in the East. However, they're 0-4 ATS over their past four games.

-- Montreal (2-7) snapped a six-game losing streak with by doubling up Ottawa (1-8), 20-10. The Alouettes are 2-1 ATS over the past three games. Better yet, for bettors, the 'under' is 3-0 over the past three, 5-1 over the past six, and 7-2 overall this season.

-- Edmonton (7-2) didn't get the memo that their Week 10 game against provincial rival Calgary (8-1) was supposed to be a good game. The Esks were smoked by the Stamps, 28-13. Edmonton will get their chance at revenge Saturday at home in the second end of the home-and-home.

-- So far this season, the Stamps are 2-0 SU/ATS against the Esks. Saturday's game will be the third and final meeting of the regular season.

-- Winnipeg (6-4) slipped further off the pace out west, losing it fourth in five games. However, the Blue Bombers have covered back-to-back games. They'll look for better results at home in the second end of the home-and-home Sunday.

-- The Blue Bombers are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS this season against Saskatchewan (7-2), who has now won six straight games.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, Sept. 5

British Columbia (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) at Ottawa (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -8 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

British Columbia went into last week’s bye with a 3-1 record both SU and ATS in its last four games. Kevin Glenn has taken the bulk of the snaps at quarterback this season and he is actually ranked fourth in the CFL in total passing yards, but look for the possible return of Travis Lulay, who has finally been cleared to play.

The expectation level for expansion teams is usually set pretty low and Ottawa has followed suit with just one SU win in its first nine games in the league. The RedBacks’ offense is ranked dead-last in the CFL in scoring with an average of 15.1 points per game, while their defense is allowing 27.9 points to their opponents.

Betting Trends

The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their first nine games this year. The RedBlacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

BC at Ottawa
The REDBLACKS (1-8) play host to BC on Friday in search of the second win of the season. Ottawa is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+9). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5

Game 493-494: BC at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 113.490; Ottawa 107.534
Dunkel Line: BC by 6; 52
Vegas Line: BC by 9; 48
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+9); Over


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 6

Game 495-496: Calgary at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 123.187; Edmonton 117.429
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-2 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

Game 497-498: Hamilton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.520; Montreal 112.707
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 2; 41
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 1; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+1); Under

Game 499-500: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 116.843; Winnipeg 111.811
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-2 1/2); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 11

Friday, September 5

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 4) at OTTAWA (1 - 8) - 9/5/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, September 6

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CALGARY (8 - 1) at EDMONTON (7 - 2) - 9/6/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 9-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 7

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HAMILTON (2 - 6) at MONTREAL (2 - 7) - 9/7/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 2) at WINNIPEG (6 - 4) - 9/7/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

BCLions (5-4) @ Ottawa (1-8)-- Expansion RedBlacks lost last six games (1-5 vs spread) since a 18-17 upset of Toronto in Week 4; Ottawa scored only 8.5 ppg in last three games, despite being plus in turnovers all three games- they were outscored 42-7 in second half of those three games. BC is 3-4 as a favorite this year, 1-1 on road; they're 3-1 SU on road, winning by 13-1-7 points. Lions scored 26+ points in their wins, 20 or less in their losses. Ottawa allowed 30+ points in four of last six games. Last three Ottawa games, five of last seven Lion games stayed under total.





CFL

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 5

7:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 9 games
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games


Saturday, September 6

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home


Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, September 5

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/01/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

Totals 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100



Game Score Status Pick Amount


BC Lions - 7:30 PM ET BC Lions -8.5 500 Double Play

Ottawa - Under 48 500 Double Play

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, September 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 7:00 PM ET Edmonton +3 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Edmonton - Under 49.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica]Sunday, Sept. 7

Hamilton (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Montreal (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 45 ½

Game Overview

Hamilton closed the gap for the lead in the East to just one game with last week’s SU win, but it comes into this matchup with a 0-4 mark ATS in its last four games after starting the season 3-1 ATS. Quarterback Zach Collaros returned to the starting lineup against Toronto and threw for 317 yards while completing 71 percent of his 38 attempts.

The Alouettes scored 20 points or more for just the fourth time in their first nine games. Jonathan Crompton was behind center in that game and he completed 15-of-25 attempts for 245 yards. Brandon Whitaker rushed for 100 yards and Duron Carter caught five passes for 127 yards in the winning cause.

Betting Trends

This will be the first meeting this season, but the home team in this matchup has won the last seven meetings SU with Montreal covering the spread in the last four. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings in Montreal.

Saskatchewan (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Total: 51

Game Overview

The Roughriders victory this past Sunday was their sixth straight since a 1-2 SU start and they have now scored 35 point or more in three of those games. Darian Durant is still having consistency issues throwing the ball with a completion rate of 53.8 percent in last week’s win, but did a great job of spreading the ball around with sixth different players posting at least one catch.

Winnipeg faces its first must-win test of the season to keep pace in the West Division title race. The Blue Bombers have now lost three of their last four games SU with a 2-2 record ATS. Defense has been a bit suspect lately after allowing an average of 32 points in those three setbacks.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan has won both meetings this season SU and it is now 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings. It is 5-3 ATS over the same stretch of games and while the total went OVER last week, it has actually stayed UNDER in three of the previous four meetings.[/FONT]