Bryson DeChambeau

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Na and Morikawa looked good in charity round today. Neither long hitters but they dropped some birdies. Accuracy players will do better than you may think even at it being long and a par 70.
 

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Solid on the #’s on Gooch and Mackenzie. I mentioned I liked them few post up but you got much better odds. GL

Like Cantaly also, even though his form been bit off of late. But course fits his style.

Course seems more US Open. Rough is thick and tall. Fairways seem wide though. I think for once short game and scramble may factor in. Bent/Poa greens looked fast on today’s charity round coverage.

Day fits the mold. Plus good putter.

Any thoughts Tiger gets his old putter rolling again? T5 maybe? He is always suited for fast greens. Driver and iron game has been nice.

Kisner in a groove. Slick putter also. Not sure he has chops to win but won’t be shocked if he T5 or T10

Already liked Gooch, you turned me on to Mackenzie. I do like his game though.
I can't back Day at lower odds than some others like Cantlay and Finau.
I like Kisner but not crazy about his odds. Only +300 to top 10 where I'm looking.

Tiger, man...hard time backing him these days, he's just not consistent enough with the putter. Always root for him to do well though.
 

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when's the last time u ddint bet on Berger?

Tiger may have found something last Sunday, tee-to-greem that was solid. 66 , by far his best round in awhile. That's a positive, confidence builder
cant touch rory , pre-tourney..what a mess
players that had very good weekends were : X Schauffle 67, 67. Berger : 67, 67, Rose : 67,67, Rahm 67,65 Hovlund 68,66 (tee to green on Sunday was spectacular), Noren 64,68
Xander's driving this past weekend was very good, hit over 70% of fairways....feelin' it
cant back Rose
 

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when's the last time u ddint bet on Berger?

Tiger may have found something last Sunday, tee-to-greem that was solid. 66 , by far his best round in awhile. That's a positive, confidence builder
cant touch rory , pre-tourney..what a mess
players that had very good weekends were : X Schauffle 67, 67. Berger : 67, 67, Rose : 67,67, Rahm 67,65 Hovlund 68,66 (tee to green on Sunday was spectacular)
Xander's driving this past weekend was very good, hit over 70% of fairways....feelin' it
cant back Rose

Me?
Pretty sure I've bet on Berger every tournament since the restart haha.
Agreed on Rory he has been a big fade for me for several weeks now.
 

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I’m waiting for Finau to get his big win. I just can’t figure out where he will pull through.

English and Scottie have juicy odds. English is in the zone and both are great fits on this course. I just have hard time picking both of them. T20 them with a win and it covers the bet if they T20.

I understand Day. I never get him 100% right. The fact I didn’t want to acknowledge him gave me the vibe he is a good play. I may be wrong, but I think the rough and short game scramble and putting come into play. Berger checks the box on all that also.

GL
 

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when's the last time u ddint bet on Berger?

Tiger may have found something last Sunday, tee-to-greem that was solid. 66 , by far his best round in awhile. That's a positive, confidence builder
cant touch rory , pre-tourney..what a mess
players that had very good weekends were : X Schauffle 67, 67. Berger : 67, 67, Rose : 67,67, Rahm 67,65 Hovlund 68,66 (tee to green on Sunday was spectacular), Noren 64,68
Xander's driving this past weekend was very good, hit over 70% of fairways....feelin' it
cant back Rose

Im not a big Tiger backer. But I agree I think he found a bit more last week. And he gets the putter rolling this week.

Xander is more like Finau to me. Teases with victories ever too close.
 

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i dont know much about this course, other than its stupid long . Those two par 5's are 3 shots for shorter hitters, for sure ; 626 yds? that beast is only reachable for the very long. 606 yds the other.

Does the course avor a ball flight pattern?
 

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kuchar is out of form, he did play well last week. Cant see him doing much on this course purely from a length standpoint...he'll llikely wear out his mid irons lol
 

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i dont know much about this course, other than its stupid long . Those two par 5's are 3 shots for shorter hitters, for sure ; 626 yds? that beast is only reachable for the very long. 606 yds the other.

Does the course avor a ball flight pattern?

Its long for par 70 for sure

but watching the 600 yard par 5 today, Na Homa and Morikawa all with easy bird looks after 3rd chip. Bison drove it out bounds. Chipped up 25 yards and drove green on 3rd shot. He didn’t birdie but rest did.

Guys who can rip it long also have the chance they miss the green and walk out with par. I don’t think length is the deciding factor though it obviously helps.

Fast greens will favor high flight. Bison and Finau have very high flights. Tops I believe
 

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Its long for par 70 for sure

but watching the 600 yard par 5 today, Na Homa and Morikawa all with easy bird looks after 3rd chip. Bison drove it out bounds. Chipped up 25 yards and drove green on 3rd shot. He didn’t birdie but rest did.

Guys who can rip it long also have the chance they miss the green and walk out with par. I don’t think length is the deciding factor though it obviously helps.

Fast greens will favor high flight. Bison and Finau have very high flights. Tops I believe
What about DJ?
 

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I am adding that DJ vs Bryson matchup, fuck it. Not as big as originally planned but I think it merits a unit.
 

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DJ is in rare form. He has been on these heaters before. If we get a taste of a bit of US open rough etc, DJ should donwhat he always does at Opens. Only thing is odds so short and if he is pedestrian after 1-2 rounds does he cruise control just to worry about next week and 15 million.

Bison looked good today in the charity scramble with Na, Morikawa and Homa. But DJ is DJ mode right now.

Id take a shot at some long shot round 1 leaders. Only 70 in field. Grab 1-5 each way with em. Take a stab at couple bottom guys.
 

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DJ is in rare form. He has been on these heaters before. If we get a taste of a bit of US open rough etc, DJ should donwhat he always does at Opens. Only thing is odds so short and if he is pedestrian after 1-2 rounds does he cruise control just to worry about next week and 15 million.

Bison looked good today in the charity scramble with Na, Morikawa and Homa. But DJ is DJ mode right now.

Id take a shot at some long shot round 1 leaders. Only 70 in field. Grab 1-5 each way with em. Take a stab at couple bottom guys.

Yeah I don't like his posted odds against the field any way you slice it. My opinion is with the way he's playing he should be favored in ANY h2h matchup though, save mayyyyyyybe even money against JT and Rahm. It's not like Bryson is a lock top 10 or anything either, he can easily put up a pedestrian effort too.

Fast greens I think Bryson's lack of distance control on his wedges could be costly.
 

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DJ is in JT and Berger group. Good sign. They will play good pace together. Grouping can be a positive or negative for some golfers.

Leischman, Na, Palmer is grouped. 3 golfers with similar skill sets. Good way to feed off each other and get info. Will all 3 play same distance.

Fritelli, Henley, Fitzpatrick group also.

Good matchup or round 1 leader way to find value.
 

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JT haven’t seen it lately
Cantlay also but I’ll go back to the well on him
Bison isn’t sharp with wedge game, solid point
DJ wins if he plays half as good as last week. He hit every fairway and is underrated putter
Rahm has the skills, emotions and between ears get him. But man several shots off come Sunday he does great with runs.
Xander everybody loves and picks, just hovers around too much for me
 

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JT top 10 +140 my favorite play of the week, Palmer T20 +275 is also up there


JT never putts poorly twice in a row. He lost more than 4 strokes putting to the field last week (kept pulling everything left) but has finished top 3 in 4 of last 5 events following a 4+ putting stroke loss, and was 12th in the other. Without any PGA history its tough to match the player to the course so I'll stick with great ball strikers that can scramble (reportedly 4-5" rough). JT #1 in T2G and #15 scrambler and the only better combos are Xander (5/4) and Berger (11/1). Toss in par 4 scoring since this is a 70 course and you can add Webb with those 3 guys.


for outrights I have JT 12/1 and Scott 45/1
 

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a little info on Rory...

he changed out the shaft of his driver on Monday and using a different type of putter in yesterday's practice round. these are not the actions of a confident player.

also Webb Simpson has withdrawn to rest up for East Lake. He's played 4 straight events and did not want to play two more in a row and then US Open a few weeks later. Because next week is a weighted event this will probably only cost him a few strokes...at 3rd spot he was set to begin East Lake at -7
 

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Nice tid bit on Rory. He hasn’t looked sharp. But talking heads keep backing him. Shafts and new putter just like that.

Dont blame Webb for sitting. Not a fan of this new stroke format next week. Any opinions on it yourself? As of now DJ would tee off at -12 and some guys -1. Be interesting to see how that plays out.
 

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Nice tid bit on Rory. He hasn’t looked sharp. But talking heads keep backing him. Shafts and new putter just like that.

Dont blame Webb for sitting. Not a fan of this new stroke format next week. Any opinions on it yourself? As of now DJ would tee off at -12 and some guys -1. Be interesting to see how that plays out.
my understanding is Webb cannot drop lower than 9th but could have also began next week in 1st. since 6-7-8-9 all start at -4 he can't lose more than 3 strokes to the #1 guy so i guess he doesn't see it as a big deal. my issues with this are

1) PGA is trying to push Fedex Cup playoffs as THE BIG DEAL so much that they moved around the Players, the PGA, and British Open so it would finish before NFL season started. Having your #3 player opt out of the penultimate tournament is a really bad look, I would have expected it maybe from a guy in 10th or 11th that would lose 1 stroke, not 3, by withdrawing
2) He openly chose to play in Greensboro where only 3 other guys in the top 15 in points played (Im, Reed, Todd) and none of the big names (DJ, JT, Rahm, Rory, X, etc) because he usually kills that course and wanted to pick up a paycheck. It didn't help in points, started 3rd finished 3rd, and it was one of the events that led to dropping out of the BMW. Playing in a terrible field when all top players are off and then resting when the top 70 are teeing up is another bad look

Odd decision especially when these guys pick their own events and he selected to enter 4 in a row and then not play at the 2nd of 3 playoff events

Personally i think there are way too many points given out for the playoffs. When winning a major gets you 600 but winning one of the easiest courses on PGA tour (DJ -30) gets you 1500 something is off...
 

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dfs ownership #'s ... English #1 and Hovland #3, two surprises

(speaking of points English made 900 points for a 2nd place finish last week...Morikawa earned 600 for winning the PGA)

not much love for DJ considering he just posted the best 54 holes in PGA history to end the tourney last week

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