Working on a strong bet for Hatton/Pacman fight , need this money after horrible bad beats yesterday in MMA .
To me this situation looks like Margarito beating up Cotto and then being a HUGE favorite over Mosley ( + 400 ) and getting schooled . People seriously overreacted even tho Mosley even with his age is a good boxer and shouldn't be + 400 shot against a guy like Margarito .
I was on De Le PAYDAY against Pacman and boy did I pay for this one but how much can we read from this fight ? Oscar was in for a big paycheck and Pacman was never in danger but it took him 8 rounds to make Oscar quit who has been washed up for a while , do I even have to say Felix Sturm beat him up but didn't get the decision cuz BHop fight was already booked .
Now have a look at previous Manny's fight before Oscar , not all of them have been impressive and I think this line should be closer than - 250 . Hatton might come short in the end but I don't think he will be dominated or quit .
To me this situation looks like Margarito beating up Cotto and then being a HUGE favorite over Mosley ( + 400 ) and getting schooled . People seriously overreacted even tho Mosley even with his age is a good boxer and shouldn't be + 400 shot against a guy like Margarito .
I was on De Le PAYDAY against Pacman and boy did I pay for this one but how much can we read from this fight ? Oscar was in for a big paycheck and Pacman was never in danger but it took him 8 rounds to make Oscar quit who has been washed up for a while , do I even have to say Felix Sturm beat him up but didn't get the decision cuz BHop fight was already booked .
Now have a look at previous Manny's fight before Oscar , not all of them have been impressive and I think this line should be closer than - 250 . Hatton might come short in the end but I don't think he will be dominated or quit .
After a good UFC event horrible weekend , Jorge Masvidal loses with 1:38 to go by probably sickest sub in recent years . Blanco gets DQed for soccer kicking a KOed opponent . Nam Phan ... well ... was getting dominated in the first round but I think ref should let it go with only 8 seconds remaining in the round and Omigawa not landing any shots with his standing GNP . Omigawa might benefit from ... not getting tested for ROIDS in Japan , he wasn't that strong in UFC and now he manhandles guys .
Oh well , hopefully Machida vs Rashad fights will be profitable and next UFC event .
Boxing RTD : 20-4 +114.22 units
MMA YTD : 93-48 + 100.17 units
08:00 PM PST
Manny Pacquiao vs Ricky Hatton: Light Welterweights
Will M. Pacquiao win by KO, TKO, D.Q. ?
My pick is NO
Odds : - 116
Where : pinnaclesports
11.6 units to win 10 units
Oh well , hopefully Machida vs Rashad fights will be profitable and next UFC event .
Boxing RTD : 20-4 +114.22 units
MMA YTD : 93-48 + 100.17 units
08:00 PM PST
Manny Pacquiao vs Ricky Hatton: Light Welterweights
Will M. Pacquiao win by KO, TKO, D.Q. ?
My pick is NO
Odds : - 116
Where : pinnaclesports
11.6 units to win 10 units
<table class="matchupBox fontsize12" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="banner"><td colspan="2">BOXING PROPS - May 02 </td> </tr> <tr class="banner"> <td colspan="2"> PACQUIAO VS HATTON EXACT OUTCOME HBO PPV - JR WELTERWEIGHT - 12 RDS </td> </tr> <tr class="evenRow"> <td class="leftColumn"> <small>7:30 PM</small> </td> <td class="rightColumn" runat="server" id="match_2_3"> <table class="noTopPadding" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr class="evenRow"> <td class="rotCell"> 11101 </td> <td class="teamCell">M PACQUIAO BY KO, TKO, DQ</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label class=""> <input name="game" value="889388_12014_11101_0_100_PROP" class="chkbox" type="checkbox"> EV </label> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr class="oddRow"> <td class="leftColumn"> <small>7:30 PM</small> </td> <td class="rightColumn" runat="server" id="match_2_4"> <table class="noTopPadding" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr class="oddRow"> <td class="rotCell"> 11102 </td> <td class="teamCell">M PACQUIAO BY DECISION</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label class=""> <input name="game" value="889389_12014_11102_0_240_PROP" class="chkbox" type="checkbox"> +240 </label> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr class="evenRow"> <td class="leftColumn"> <small>7:30 PM</small> </td> <td class="rightColumn" runat="server" id="match_2_5"> <table class="noTopPadding" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr class="evenRow"> <td class="rotCell"> 11103 </td> <td class="teamCell">R HATTON BY KO, TKO, DQ</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label class=""> <input name="game" value="889390_12014_11103_0_325_PROP" class="chkbox" type="checkbox"> +325 </label> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr class="oddRow"> <td class="leftColumn"> <small>7:30 PM</small> </td> <td class="rightColumn" runat="server" id="match_2_6"> <table class="noTopPadding" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr class="oddRow"> <td class="rotCell"> 11104 </td> <td class="teamCell">R HATTON BY DECISION</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label class=""> <input name="game" value="889391_12014_11104_0_800_PROP" class="chkbox" type="checkbox"> +800 </label> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr class="evenRow"> <td class="leftColumn"> <small>7:30 PM</small> </td> <td class="rightColumn" runat="server" id="match_2_7"> <table class="noTopPadding" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr class="evenRow"> <td class="rotCell"> 11105 </td> <td class="teamCell">PACQUIAO-HATTON DRAW</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label class=""> <input name="game" value="889392_12014_11105_0_2700_PROP" class="chkbox" type="checkbox"> +2700 </label></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
These are the props offered at BM, would any of these be worth taking? Is the Pacquiao by decision, or some combination of the Pacquiao by decision plus the Hatton to win at +205 which would approximate your wager, something you would consider?
Boxing RTD : 20-4 +114.22 units
Holy shit, man, awesome record, that is just insane!!
These are the props offered at BM, would any of these be worth taking? Is the Pacquiao by decision, or some combination of the Pacquiao by decision plus the Hatton to win at +205 which would approximate your wager, something you would consider?
Boxing RTD : 20-4 +114.22 units
Holy shit, man, awesome record, that is just insane!!
They also have a shitload more props in general, I'm gonna compare the juice between the 2 books in bases and hoops it may be time to change! Best thing about BM is their mobile betting, easy to sneak in a wager when i'm not near a computer and in a situation where a phone call would be awkward.... GL tonight!
So far I only have money on Pat Barry and Machida , gonna check rest closer to the event , too many changes on this card .
Today
8:30PM (EST)
Bellator VI Fighting Championships - Central Pavilion Arena - Robstown, Texas
Joe Soto vs Wilson Reis
My pick is Wilson Reis to win
Odds : - 115
Where : bookmaker + 5dimes + bodog
6.90 units to win 6 units
I like getting even odds on what I think isn't a 50/50 fight . Joe Soto finished all his opponents easily so far but this will be a big step up for him . Soto has strong wrestling background and finishes his takedowns with ground and pound but from what I've seen his opponents didn't really know how to defend themself on the ground . Kind of reminded me of that video of Munoz doing jumping ground and pound on some poor guy who was just laying there , well guess what ... he didn't look all that impressive anymore once Hamill pounded him in the face and knocked him out cold . There are few more examples of getting even odds on lesser known fighters because they've looked impressive , Mike Campbell vs Danillo Villefort comes to my mind where Danillo was underdog because Campbell has looked strong beating up nobodys .
Wilson Reis is like smaller Ricardo Arona , he has very strong top control but also has slick BJJ to back it up . He is relentless with his takedowns but this might be a problem today as on paper it looks like Soto is the better wrestler in this fight however Reis can use his wrestling mixed up with BJJ to get on top of Soto and then I think Reis will have a big edge if he can gain top control on the wrestler . Standing Soto will most likely have advantage but I don't think there is a big difference between those two when it comes to striking , maybe more raw poker for Soto but Wilson showed that he can take a punch from ground and pound before or standing .
This fight should be decided on the ground , Soto has never gone to distance and Wilson Reis already had a 5x5min round fight showing no cardio issues .
I think good strategy here would be wearing Soto down in the first and then winning next 2 rounds either by decision or submission . I have yet to see Soto's sub defense against a fighter with skills and not like his last opponent who gave up full mount , got punched in the face 2 times and then just gave up his back and it was pretty much over .
My prediction is Wilson Reis by decision but I wouldn't be surprised if his BJJ was too good for Joe Soto and he caught him in an armbar or RNC .
Today
8:30PM (EST)
Bellator VI Fighting Championships - Central Pavilion Arena - Robstown, Texas
Joe Soto vs Wilson Reis
My pick is Wilson Reis to win
Odds : - 115
Where : bookmaker + 5dimes + bodog
6.90 units to win 6 units
I like getting even odds on what I think isn't a 50/50 fight . Joe Soto finished all his opponents easily so far but this will be a big step up for him . Soto has strong wrestling background and finishes his takedowns with ground and pound but from what I've seen his opponents didn't really know how to defend themself on the ground . Kind of reminded me of that video of Munoz doing jumping ground and pound on some poor guy who was just laying there , well guess what ... he didn't look all that impressive anymore once Hamill pounded him in the face and knocked him out cold . There are few more examples of getting even odds on lesser known fighters because they've looked impressive , Mike Campbell vs Danillo Villefort comes to my mind where Danillo was underdog because Campbell has looked strong beating up nobodys .
Wilson Reis is like smaller Ricardo Arona , he has very strong top control but also has slick BJJ to back it up . He is relentless with his takedowns but this might be a problem today as on paper it looks like Soto is the better wrestler in this fight however Reis can use his wrestling mixed up with BJJ to get on top of Soto and then I think Reis will have a big edge if he can gain top control on the wrestler . Standing Soto will most likely have advantage but I don't think there is a big difference between those two when it comes to striking , maybe more raw poker for Soto but Wilson showed that he can take a punch from ground and pound before or standing .
This fight should be decided on the ground , Soto has never gone to distance and Wilson Reis already had a 5x5min round fight showing no cardio issues .
I think good strategy here would be wearing Soto down in the first and then winning next 2 rounds either by decision or submission . I have yet to see Soto's sub defense against a fighter with skills and not like his last opponent who gave up full mount , got punched in the face 2 times and then just gave up his back and it was pretty much over .
My prediction is Wilson Reis by decision but I wouldn't be surprised if his BJJ was too good for Joe Soto and he caught him in an armbar or RNC .
good luck Brainiac
I am going with Reis as well
looking for him to get the sub here
I hate that these Bellator cards are not broadcast live
I am also going with Dennis Olson at Combat Zone 28 tonight
He is 23 years old and fighting a 36 year old novice named Jeff Soucie
going with the younger, fresher, more experienced, full time fighter.
The other guy has like 20 jobs.
http://www.czmma.com/
http://www.unionleader.com/article....rticleId=ea8a93f4-d41f-4fca-9257-4059e2b50db6
http://www.eagletribune.com/pusports/local_story_127035914.html?keyword=secondarystory
I am going with Reis as well
looking for him to get the sub here
I hate that these Bellator cards are not broadcast live
I am also going with Dennis Olson at Combat Zone 28 tonight
He is 23 years old and fighting a 36 year old novice named Jeff Soucie
going with the younger, fresher, more experienced, full time fighter.
The other guy has like 20 jobs.
http://www.czmma.com/
http://www.unionleader.com/article....rticleId=ea8a93f4-d41f-4fca-9257-4059e2b50db6
http://www.eagletribune.com/pusports/local_story_127035914.html?keyword=secondarystory
Joe Soto vs. Wilson Reis
<!-- .entry-header -->
Round 1
Reis seems tentative to engage and is showing Soto unexpected respect early. Soto lands a hard shot to Reis' chin, dropping him to the canvas for a second. Reis quickly gets back to his feet. Reis throws punches that comes nowhere near Soto, as he continue punching while moving backward. Reis lands a quick leg kick then starts to circle again. Soto continues to stalk, finally slipping a shot onto Reis' chin. Each fighter exchanges blows and Reis tries to take it to the ground. Soto scrambles and they are back to the middle of the cage. Soto grabs a front headlock and nails Reis with a knee to the head. Reis continues to fight at a distance. Soto almost grabs Reis in a choke, a slip by Reis, then back up and the fighters exchange more blows, with Reis landing a strike that momentarily stuns Soto. Soto recovers quickly and the fighter exchange wild blows. The bell sounds to end the round.
Soto clearly gets the round. Hard to give a round to a fighter that spends 5 minutes backpeddling.
Round 2
The fighters come out, sizing each other up again. Reis quickly tries to shoot in, but Soto blocks the attempt. Reis narrowly misses with a leg kick to the head. Soto pushes the pace and advances on Reis. Reis pushes the action back, but misses with a few punches. Reis continues to fight at a distance, seemingly scared to throw down. Soto lands a couple of shots and the fighters exchange several hard blows as Reis circles out and backpeddles again. Soto lands another sound exchange of punches. Soto scores with another hard right and Reis scrambles away from Soto again. Reis leg kicks onto Soto's side, Soto responds with a hard jab and punch back. Soto is now pushing the action, hard shots to Reis' face, and Reis is on his back for a few seconds, but gets back up. The fighters start circling again, with Soto looking to advance. Reis lands a left leg kick at the bell.
Soto wins another round solidly, as Reis musters no offense throughout the round.
Round 3
Bell sounds, fighters advance quickly, circle, left then right. Soto tries a side takedown, Reis denies it. Leg kick by Reis lands solid. Dancing, Reis tries to size Soto up and gets a blow to the face in return. Missing with another leg kick, Reis pushes, but Soto lands a blow to knock Reis down. Reis still rises to his feet quite quickly. Fighters keep swinging with a majority of them missing. Reis shoots, Soto almost drops but maintains his balance and stays up. Again, trading shots by both that are wild and Soto almost lands a finishing blow, but misses. Reis is beginning to pick up the pace, realizing he is behind on the judges cards. Reis grabs Soto's leg, attempts a take down, but Soto slips out and stays up. The fighters throw a couple blows that land, Reis tries two leg kicks to the head that miss and the bell for Round 3 sounds to end the fight.
Very close round, but a slight edge goes Soto due to the knockdown blow.
Official Result
Soto by unanimous decision of 30-27 on all three judges cards.
Boxing RTD : 20-5 +102.62 units
MMA YTD : 93-49 + 93.27 units
I have lost all my confidence betting on MMA , another loss .
<!-- .entry-header -->
Round 1
Reis seems tentative to engage and is showing Soto unexpected respect early. Soto lands a hard shot to Reis' chin, dropping him to the canvas for a second. Reis quickly gets back to his feet. Reis throws punches that comes nowhere near Soto, as he continue punching while moving backward. Reis lands a quick leg kick then starts to circle again. Soto continues to stalk, finally slipping a shot onto Reis' chin. Each fighter exchanges blows and Reis tries to take it to the ground. Soto scrambles and they are back to the middle of the cage. Soto grabs a front headlock and nails Reis with a knee to the head. Reis continues to fight at a distance. Soto almost grabs Reis in a choke, a slip by Reis, then back up and the fighters exchange more blows, with Reis landing a strike that momentarily stuns Soto. Soto recovers quickly and the fighter exchange wild blows. The bell sounds to end the round.
Soto clearly gets the round. Hard to give a round to a fighter that spends 5 minutes backpeddling.
Round 2
The fighters come out, sizing each other up again. Reis quickly tries to shoot in, but Soto blocks the attempt. Reis narrowly misses with a leg kick to the head. Soto pushes the pace and advances on Reis. Reis pushes the action back, but misses with a few punches. Reis continues to fight at a distance, seemingly scared to throw down. Soto lands a couple of shots and the fighters exchange several hard blows as Reis circles out and backpeddles again. Soto lands another sound exchange of punches. Soto scores with another hard right and Reis scrambles away from Soto again. Reis leg kicks onto Soto's side, Soto responds with a hard jab and punch back. Soto is now pushing the action, hard shots to Reis' face, and Reis is on his back for a few seconds, but gets back up. The fighters start circling again, with Soto looking to advance. Reis lands a left leg kick at the bell.
Soto wins another round solidly, as Reis musters no offense throughout the round.
Round 3
Bell sounds, fighters advance quickly, circle, left then right. Soto tries a side takedown, Reis denies it. Leg kick by Reis lands solid. Dancing, Reis tries to size Soto up and gets a blow to the face in return. Missing with another leg kick, Reis pushes, but Soto lands a blow to knock Reis down. Reis still rises to his feet quite quickly. Fighters keep swinging with a majority of them missing. Reis shoots, Soto almost drops but maintains his balance and stays up. Again, trading shots by both that are wild and Soto almost lands a finishing blow, but misses. Reis is beginning to pick up the pace, realizing he is behind on the judges cards. Reis grabs Soto's leg, attempts a take down, but Soto slips out and stays up. The fighters throw a couple blows that land, Reis tries two leg kicks to the head that miss and the bell for Round 3 sounds to end the fight.
Very close round, but a slight edge goes Soto due to the knockdown blow.
Official Result
Soto by unanimous decision of 30-27 on all three judges cards.
Boxing RTD : 20-5 +102.62 units
MMA YTD : 93-49 + 93.27 units
I have lost all my confidence betting on MMA , another loss .
Today
10:00PM (EST)
MFC 21 Hard Knocks - River Cree Resort & Casino - Enoch, Alberta, Canada - HDNET
Trevor Prangley vs Emanuel Newton
My pick is Emanuel Newton to win
Odds : + 170
Where : 5dimes
2 units to win 3.4 units
Today
10:00PM (EST)
MFC 21 Hard Knocks - River Cree Resort & Casino - Enoch, Alberta, Canada - HDNET
Travis Galbraith vs David Heath
My pick is David Heath to win
Odds : - 200
Where : sportsbook
4 units to win 2 units
10:00PM (EST)
MFC 21 Hard Knocks - River Cree Resort & Casino - Enoch, Alberta, Canada - HDNET
Trevor Prangley vs Emanuel Newton
My pick is Emanuel Newton to win
Odds : + 170
Where : 5dimes
2 units to win 3.4 units
Today
10:00PM (EST)
MFC 21 Hard Knocks - River Cree Resort & Casino - Enoch, Alberta, Canada - HDNET
Travis Galbraith vs David Heath
My pick is David Heath to win
Odds : - 200
Where : sportsbook
4 units to win 2 units
