Brainiac’s Winter Sports

[TheBrainiac]

Now Neuner has to stick to her gameplan aka missing like 5 standing .

 

[TheBrainiac]

22 February

Start time : 02:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Championship 4x7,5km Relay PyeongChang

France vs Sweden

My pick is France to FINISH AHEAD

Odds : 206 & 1.50

Where : pinnaclesports & bet365

5.15 units to win 2.5 units & 2.4 units to win 1.2 units


Whole Sweden team sucks in this event , all 4 french men are good shooters and had solid results so far , eg yesterday Bergman ( Sweden ) made 10 errors in mass start , Ferry was/is sick and couldnt start in some races , other 2 guys cant be trusted either . I am not even sure if Ferry will really start .


22 February

Start time : 02:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Championship 4x7,5km Relay PyeongChang

Germany vs Austria

My pick is Austria to FINISH AHEAD

Odds : - 165

Where : pinnaclesports

4.12 units to win 2.5 units


Austria has a great team , all guys stable . I cant trust Germany and no way Greis will close out in the end against a strong Sumann . Greis missing a lot here and gave up yesterday in mass start .

 

[chriscol]

she did...olofson was too bad overall

 

[TheBrainiac]

Olofsson was really slow today and yesterday same time with Neuner but both Henkel and Domracheva finished ahead of Neuner for very small profit off those 3 bets .

 

[chriscol]

not sure what to do with relay...it looks all so close
if you look at this weeks results

austria very good,only mesoch not top, but still solid

norway svendson is again questionable for me with illness, bjornd looked tired last race but will be solid(BUT NOT GREAT); berger can be great or not, hannev solid

germany all are not great, but usually puuting good relays together..they can be hit or miss

sweden not good, all have very mediocre,bad results

france fourcades are both good, the others not

russia. usygov mediocre, tscherezov his hit or miss, tschudov very good, maksimov only one start in39th

 

[chriscol]

if i rank these it s

austria
russia, norway,germany on same level...all have some critical parts
france..depending if they can be close after 2nd leg
sweden fade

 

[TheBrainiac]

Sweden probably worst form out of them all , other than Ekholm everybody else straight sucked whole WC . Jay and Defrasne should hang in there with Nilsson and Jonsson , frenchies are better shooters so even if they lose some times in running they can make up with less extra shots but both Fourcades are clearly better than Ferry and Bergman IMO . Nilsson has just 62 % success rate in standing position , might be in trouble today .
Norway I wont touch here , you said it all , cant put money on them but not against them either .

 

[chriscol]

so france over sweden q1.55 is first big play


how do you feel just taking some dogs
between the big teams

 

[TheBrainiac]

France over Russia and Germany maybe ? Or Austria against Norway , all are dogs .

 

[chriscol]

i ll go with austria over norway...to lay 1.58 for austria over germany is too uch for me

russia over norway 2.86, france over germany 2.7 and germ or france over norway are some really big dogs....but dont put all eggs in the norway fade basket..they can win as well

 

[chriscol]

France over Russia and Germany maybe ? Or Austria against Norway , all are dogs .

france russia is good value and i also take germany over norway

 

[TheBrainiac]

28 February

Start time : 04:00 AM PST

Cross Country Women: World Championships 30km MST Free Liberec

Aino Kaisa Saarinen vs Justyna Kowalczyk

My pick is Justyna Kowalczyk to FINISH AHEAD

Odds : - 141

Where : pinnaclesports

2.82 units to win 2 units




28 February

Start time : 04:00 AM PST

Cross Country Women: World Championships 30km MST Free Liberec

Aino Kaisa Saarinen vs Kristin Størmer Steira

My pick is Kristin Størmer Steira to FINISH AHEAD

Odds : 1.60

Where : betandwin

2.81 units to win 1.69 units

 

[TheBrainiac]

<table width="100%" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr> <td class="i0" align="right"> 1</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 2</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 3435001</td> <td class="i0">KOWALCZYK Justyna </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">1983 </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">POL </td> <td class="i0" align="right"> 1:16:10.6</td> <td class="i0" align="right"> </td></tr> <tr> <td class="i1" align="right"> 2</td> <td class="ir_21" align="right"> 14</td> <td class="ir_21" align="right"> 1207165</td> <td class="i1">MEDVEDEVA Evgenia </td> <td class="i1" align="middle">1976 </td> <td class="i1" align="middle">RUS </td> <td class="i1" align="right"> 1:16:19.4</td> <td class="i1" align="right"> </td></tr> <tr> <td class="i0" align="right"> 3</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 7</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 1142563</td> <td class="i0">SHEVCHENKO Valentina </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">1975 </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">UKR </td> <td class="i0" align="right"> 1:16:19.9</td> <td class="i0" align="right"> </td></tr> <tr> <td class="i1" align="right"> 4</td> <td class="ir_21" align="right"> 8</td> <td class="ir_21" align="right"> 3425301</td> <td class="i1">JOHAUG Therese </td> <td class="i1" align="middle">1988 </td> <td class="i1" align="middle">NOR </td> <td class="i1" align="right"> 1:16:20.5</td> <td class="i1" align="right"> </td></tr> <tr> <td class="i0" align="right"> 5</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 5</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 3425003</td> <td class="i0">STEIRA Kristin Stoermer </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">1981 </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">NOR </td> <td class="i0" align="right"> 1:16:21.9</td> <td class="i0" align="right"> </td></tr> <tr> <td class="i1" align="right"> 6</td> <td class="ir_21" align="right"> 10</td> <td class="ir_21" align="right"> 1255374</td> <td class="i1">ROPONEN Riitta-Liisa </td> <td class="i1" align="middle">1978 </td> <td class="i1" align="middle">FIN </td> <td class="i1" align="right"> 1:16:22.8</td> <td class="i1" align="right"> </td></tr> <tr> <td class="i0" align="right"> 7</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 1</td> <td class="ir_20" align="right"> 1255665</td> <td class="i0">SAARINEN Aino- Kaisa </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">1979 </td> <td class="i0" align="middle">FIN </td> <td class="i0" align="right"> 1:16:27.1</td> <td class="i0" align="right"> </td></tr></tbody></table>
2-0 + 3.69 units


This season : 90-54 + 37.55 units

All : 156-84 + 203.89 units

 

[chriscol]

anything for today?

i am looking at

Gjerdalen over Guillard @ 1.75 or even better Gjerdalen over Dolidovich 1.76

Also Magal over Fische r@1.82
and Gaillard over Sommerfeld @ 1.87

thx for any input..

 

[TheBrainiac]

Just woke up 1 hour ago , race already started . Good luck with your bets , this one is very tough to bet on , anything can happen and anybody can collapse in 50 km .

 

[TheBrainiac]

One bet real quick for women sprint , will try to get ready for men race earlier .

 

[TheBrainiac]

13 March

Start time : 02:00 PM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 10km Sprint Vancouver

Alexander Os vs Carl Johan Bergman

My pick is Carl Johan Bergman to FINISH AHEAD

Odds : 1.72

Where : unibet

3 units to win 2.16 units

 

[chriscol]

i have

Greis over Sikora @ 1.65
Wolf over Tscherezov @ 2.27
Greis over Bjorndalen @ 2.6
m Fourcade over Lorenzi @1.69

GL

 

[TheBrainiac]

13 March

Start time : 02:00 PM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 10km Sprint Vancouver

Michael Roesch vs Simon Eder

My pick is Simon Eder to FINISH AHEAD

Odds : 1.75

Where : unibet

3 units to win 2.25 units


Both are gonna be close but I don't see many solid picks today , tough to predict after such a break and then just place bets based on 20 km race .

 

[TheBrainiac]

12 49 BERGMAN Carl Johan SWE 1 1 2 25:21.8 +1:15.3
13 87 LINDSTROEM Fredrik SWE 0 0 0 25:23.3 +1:16.8 28 128
14 31 USTYUGOV Evgeny RUS 0 1 1 25:23.8 +1:17.3 27 127
15 45 SIKORA Tomasz POL 1 0 1 25:25.9 +1:19.4 26 126
16 10 ANDRESEN Frode NOR 2 1 3 25:26.4 +1:19.9 25 125
17 83 SCHEMPP Simon GER 0 1 1 25:28.9 +1:22.4 24 124
18 60 NILSSON Mattias SWE 0 1 1 25:31.2 +1:24.7 23
19 46 DE LORENZI Christian ITA 1 0 1 25:31.6 +1:25.1 22 122
20 15 EDER Simon AUT 0 2 2 25:32.3 +1:25.8
20 73 BOEHM Daniel GER 0 1 1 25:32.3 +1:25.8 21 121
22 57 PEIFFER Arnd GER 1 1 2 25:33.9 +1:27.4 19
23 35 HALLENBARTER Simon SUI 0 1 1 25:35.1 +1:28.6 18 118
24 34 SLESINGR Michal CZE 1 0 1 25:35.7 +1:29.2 17 117
25 62 EBERHARD Tobias AUT 1 0 1 25:36.4 +1:29.9 16
26 27 HANEVOLD Halvard NOR 0 2 2 25:36.9 +1:30.4 15
27 5 TCHOUDOV Maxim RUS 2 0 2 25:37.6 +1:31.1 14 114
28 14 WOLF Alexander GER 0 1 1 25:38.9 +1:32.4 13
29 16 PINTER Friedrich AUT 1 1 2 25:40.5 +1:34.0 12
30 19 VUILLERMOZ Rene Laurent ITA 0 1 1 25:40.7 +1:34.2 11 111
31 30 FAK Jakov CRO 1 0 1 25:43.4 +1:36.9 10 110
31 44 DERKACH Vyacheslav UKR 0 0 0 25:43.4 +1:36.9 10 110
31 74 HOLUBEC Tomas CZE 1 0 1 25:43.4 +1:36.9 10 110
34 32 MAKOVEEV Andrei RUS 1 0 1 25:43.8 +1:37.3 7
35 69 EKHOLM David SWE 1 0 1 25:45.5 +1:39.0 6
36 24 BAUER Klemen SLO 0 3 3 25:46.0 +1:39.5 5 105
37 23 DERYZEMLYA Andriy UKR 1 1 2 25:47.2 +1:40.7 4 104
38 58 HAFSAS Ronny NOR 2 2 4 25:52.9 +1:46.4 3
39 25 NOVIKOV Sergey BLR 0 0 0 25:54.9 +1:48.4 2 102
40 42 DEFRASNE Vincent FRA 0 0 0 25:57.0 +1:50.5 1 101
40 55 MAKSIMOV Maxim RUS 0 1 1 25:57.0 +1:50.5 1
42 9 BURKE Tim USA 0 2 2 25:57.4 +1:50.9 99
43 21 JAY Vincent FRA 1 0 1 25:58.8 +1:52.3
44 54 SYMAN Alexandr BLR 0 0 0 25:59.4 +1:52.9 97
45 39 OS Alexander NOR 2 2 4 26:01.1 +1:54.6
46 64 PRYMA Roman UKR 1 0 1 26:02.3 +1:55.8 95
.............................
48 41 ROESCH Michael GER 0 3 3 26:10.7 +2:04.2

Today : 3-0 + 8.24 units

This season : 93-54 + 45.79 units

All : 159-84 + 212.13 units