Brainiac’s Winter Sports

TheBrainiac · Mar 14, 2009

14 March

Start time : 12:30 PM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 4x6km Relay - Vancouver

WINNER

My pick is Germany to win the relay

Odds : 1.52

Where : betfair

5 units to win 2.6 units

Didn't have enough time to cap h2hs in this one , Germany has best team here by far .

TheBrainiac · Mar 15, 2009

15 March

Start time : 10:00 AM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 4x7,5km Relay - Vancouver

Austria vs Norway

My pick is Austria to finish ahead

Odds : 1.60

Where : unibet

4 units to win 2.4 units

TheBrainiac · Mar 21, 2009

21 March

Start time : 06:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 10 Km Pursuit Trondheim

Kati Wilhelm vs Eva Tofalvi

My pick is Kati Wilhelm to finish ahead

Odds : 1.50

Where : unibet

4 units to win 2 units

21 March

Start time : 06:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 10 Km Pursuit Trondheim

Kati Wilhelm vs Magdalena Neuner

My pick is Kati Wilhelm to finish ahead

Odds : - 154

Where : pinnaclesports

1.54 units to win 1 units

chriscol · Mar 21, 2009

i really like

Bailly over Becaert @ 2.20 ..Bailly somehow has found great form towards end of season

and
Domracheva over Berger @ 2.15

small play
on Zaidseva over Becaert @ 1.57

TheBrainiac · Mar 21, 2009

I think Becaert is a fade , she usually is slow like a turtle in those races but it's shocking she had best running time in sprint ...

chriscol · Mar 21, 2009

i hope so

rhinooooo · Mar 21, 2009

Nice calls Brain, I tailed you on these. Cheers.

TheBrainiac · Mar 21, 2009

No problem man , one of Wilhelm's opponents made all 20 shots but still finished behind , this sure feels great @)

Last : 3-1 + 1.6 units

This season : 96-55 + 47.39 units

All : 162-85 + 213.73 units

chriscol · Mar 22, 2009

do you like anything? i dont see much..maybe Neuner is a fade as there shooting goes all over the place again

TheBrainiac · Mar 22, 2009

Those are very close most of the time , didn't really plan to bet but just woke up anyway . Hope your bets worked out . Last events in Russia next week , most people wont be motivated , had to pay for this last year . Maybe some russians worth a play otherwise I am not sure it's a such a good idea to bet there .

TheBrainiac · Mar 27, 2009

27 March

Start time : 06:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 7,5km Sprint Khanty-Mansiysk

Marie-Laure Brunet vs Teja Gregorin

My pick is Marie-Laure Brunet to finish ahead

Odds : 1.55

Where : sportingbet

2 units to win 1.1 units

PARLAY

27 March

Start time : 06:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 7,5km Sprint Khanty-Mansiysk

Olga Zaitseva vs Simone Hauswald

My pick is Olga Zaitseva to finish ahead

Odds : 1.45

+
Kaisa Mäkäräinen vs Helena Jonsson

My pick is Helena Jonsson to finish ahead

Odds : 1.40

Combined odds : 2.03

Where : unibet

2 units to win 2.06 units

TheBrainiac · Mar 28, 2009

28 March

Start time : 04:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 12,5km Pursuit Khanty Mansiysk

A. Birnbacher vs S. Hallenbarter

My pick is A.Birnbacher to finish ahead

Odds : 1.50

Where : betandwin

2 units to win 1 units

Last week Hallenbarter has lost 2 minutes to Birnbacher in pursuit just in running time . Birnbacher starts 3 seconds ahead today , had 1 error more in sprint but was 20 seconds better in running time and shot 8 seconds quicker . If nothing strange happens Birnbacher is solid favorite in this one , Hallenbarter always good for many errors when you have to shoot 4 times , Birnbacher is pretty stable .

28 March

Start time : 04:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 12,5km Pursuit Khanty Mansiysk

Maxim Tchoudov vs Bjorn Ferry

My pick is Maxim Tchoudov to finish ahead

Odds : - 122

Where : pinnaclesports

1.22 units to win 1 units

TheBrainiac · Mar 28, 2009

Biathlon - World Cup Winner (W)

WINNER

My pick is LAY KATI WILHELM ( SOMEONE ELSE TO WIN )

Where : betfair

1.58 units to win 4 units

I don't understand why Wilhelm is such a heavy favorite to win when Helena Jonsson is 11 points ahead with 2 events to go , today they both will start at the same time but I dont believe Wilhelm will be able to make up 11 pts in the pursuit today . Actually I am banking on Jonsson to finish in front of Wilhelm and increase her lead with just 1 event to go tomorrow where winner gets 60 pts .

TheBrainiac · Mar 28, 2009

Bookies actually favor Jonsson to finish in front of Wilhelm today , this bet is huge value .

28 March

Start time : 06:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 10km Pursuit Khanty Mansiysk

M. Brunet vs M. Gwizdon

My pick is M.Brunet to finish ahead

Odds : 1.55

Where : betandwin

2.1 units to win 1 units

28 March

Start time : 06:15 AM PST

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 10km Pursuit Khanty Mansiysk

Martina Beck vs Andrea Henkel

My pick is Andrea Henkel to finish ahead

Odds : 1.45

Where : unibet

2 units to win 0.9 units

TheBrainiac · Mar 29, 2009

This season : 100-57 + 48.17 units

All : 166-87 + 214.51 units

29 March

Start time : 02:00 AM PST

World Cup 15km Mass Start Khanty Mansiysk

Daniel Mesoch vs Arnd Peiffer

My pick is Daniel Mesoch to finish ahead

Odds : + 130 and + 121

Where : pinnaclesports

2 units to win 2.51 units

Yesterday same amount of errors in pursuit but Daniel was 1 minute faster in running . Peiffer shocked whole biathlon elite and won sprint here but yesterday I had a feeling that he is done for this season . Anyway that was a great win for Arnd Peiffer but I believe he gave his whole energy in this race , he never had such fast running time before and couldn't prove yesterday that it wasn't one day form .
Both solid shooters with same amount of errors Meso tits

ch should be able to finish ahead and if Peiffer shows up with same running form like yesterday he will probably need 2 errors less than Meso tits

ch .

TheBrainiac · Mar 29, 2009

The Brainiac said:
Biathlon - World Cup Winner (W)

WINNER

My pick is LAY KATI WILHELM ( SOMEONE ELSE TO WIN )

Where : betfair

1.58 units to win 4 units

I don't understand why Wilhelm is such a heavy favorite to win when Helena Jonsson is 11 points ahead with 2 events to go , today they both will start at the same time but I dont believe Wilhelm will be able to make up 11 pts in the pursuit today . Actually I am banking on Jonsson to finish in front of Wilhelm and increase her lead with just 1 event to go tomorrow where winner gets 60 pts .

<table class="" summary="" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr class="altrow"><td class="textcenter">1</td><td>Helena JONSSON (SWE)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">952</td></tr><tr><td class="textcenter">2</td><td>Kati Wilhelm (GER)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">952</td></tr><tr class="altrow"><td class="textcenter">3</td><td>Tora BERGER (NOR)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">894</td></tr><tr><td class="textcenter">4</td><td>Magdalena NEUNER (GER)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">891</td></tr><tr class="altrow"><td class="textcenter">5</td><td>Andrea Henkel (GER)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">838</td></tr><tr><td class="textcenter">6</td><td>Olga Zaytseva (RUS)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">834</td></tr><tr class="altrow"><td class="textcenter">7</td><td>Darya DOMRACHEVA (BLR)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">776</td></tr><tr><td class="textcenter">8</td><td>Martina Beck (GER)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">685</td></tr><tr class="altrow"><td class="textcenter">9</td><td>Simone Hauswald (GER)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">677</td></tr><tr><td class="textcenter">10</td><td>Anna Carin OLOFSSON (SWE)</td><td class="textcenter"> </td><td class="textcenter">645</td></tr></tbody></table>

This almost went wrong with me not knowing they will remove worst result of the season for every discipline . Today Jonsson finished 2nd with 0+0+0+0 and Wilhelm 6th with 0+0+0+2 and this was spot on for Jonsson to win the whole thing with same amount of points but better overall finishes .

This season : 101-57 + 52.17 units

All : 167-87 + 218.51 units

Overall a good season , most losses were from relay races and one bad week where almost every bet was wrong . New season next winter .