Boxslayer's CFB Week #4 Plays

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UF. Champion U.
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this is the final card for awhile. i may have one more play on a later game, but things didn't line up on the one I was liking (FSU)
 

UF. Champion U.
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2* South Carolina Gamecocks +2.5 1H -110
1* South Carolina Gamecocks +4 Full Game -110

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1* Missouri Tigers -7 -110
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4* Virginia Tech Hokies +3 -116
2* North Carolina Tar Heels +3 -116
2* LSU Tigers -12 -110


May have one more play on a later game, will likely post around 2pm or so if I have one. I haven't gotten to the late games yet.
 

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Don't like the line moving down for LSU........
Any thoughts / ideas???? Worries / concerns??? :103631605
 

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Don't like the line moving down for LSU........
Any thoughts / ideas???? Worries / concerns??? :103631605

Was raining cats and dogs earlier supposedly in Starkville, rain makes it tougher to cover a big number and LSU has struggled with the run game which you want to be able to do in the rain. Could be the reason.
 

UF. Champion U.
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BIG WAVE.....


Some friendly advice: You can't bet based on hunches.

I believe handicapping is stages of development. Everyone starts with betting the easy heavy faves, then they start betting on hunches, then the underdogs, then they start using systems and trends, then they start reading line movement and betting based on that, then they go contrarian, etc, etc and it gets to the point when they have no idea what they are doing anymore, they overthink things.

It's all gimmicks, and in my opinion, can't lead to consistent winning.

All of those things can be used as tools to determine how big or small to play something, but no single one should steer you completely away from a play.

Last week you had Boise State staring us in the face, and I couldn't find any reason to take Fresno. I took Boise, laid the points on the road and won on a "suspicious" line. Money's in the bank now.

I also laid the points on Miami -5, last week. This week I took the dog, South Carolina. Suspicious, not suspicious, home underdog, road favorite, running dog, running favorite, some lines move in your favor, some don't.

Just win baby.

Last night, I won on a "suspicious" Mizzou line.

I don't care about the line movement.
 

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Tennessee Ohio

Hey Box I go to UT the spread is huge and it has been raining well not raining absolutely monsooning since early this morning and does not look like its going to let up. With a Tennessee team that cannot throw the ball down field and a defense that holds florida to 20+ points I am on the under but what do you think about a nice lil parlay for OHIO to cover and the under??? It is real grass at the stadium they baby it and its very soft and short it will be a mess today...
 

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Boxslayer = GOAT college football handicapper
x22p2c.gif


:laugh: at Miami
 

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Everyone whos on V-Tech re-watch this its hilarious the second time around :laugh: at this clowns:dancefool:cripwalk:

Remember if it wasn't for the rain this game would be a lot closer. The rain has played right into VT's hands. They have a huge advantage with the rain taking away Miami's pass.
 

UF. Champion U.
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1* Washington Huskies + 9 -110

Emotional home win now travels on the road keeps this play small. But that is the only reason.

Washington was a team and program searching for a big win. They need things to build off of as they turn this program around. Sarkisian wasn't hired to beat USC, he was hired to win the Pac-10.

You usually see a team off a big win like that favored the next week or a small underdog. But not a huge underdog like this.

The win vs. USC was no fluke - this team battled LSU just as hard. They smoked Udaho.

If they lose this game that win vs. USC means little. They need to show consistency, come out and fight in this game. Getting 9 points is too many with Jake Locker at QB and the former condoms on the sideline. They know how tough Stanford can be.

Don't be surprised to see these guys come out and avoid the let down.

Stanford 31
Washington 28
 

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1* Washington Huskies + 9 -110

Emotional home win now travels on the road keeps this play small. But that is the only reason.

Washington was a team and program searching for a big win. They need things to build off of as they turn this program around. Sarkisian wasn't hired to beat USC, he was hired to win the Pac-10.

You usually see a team off a big win like that favored the next week or a small underdog. But not a huge underdog like this.

The win vs. USC was no fluke - this team battled LSU just as hard. They smoked Udaho.

If they lose this game that win vs. USC means little. They need to show consistency, come out and fight in this game. Getting 9 points is too many with Jake Locker at QB and the former condoms on the sideline. They know how tough Stanford can be.

Don't be surprised to see these guys come out and avoid the let down.

Stanford 31
Washington 28

I'm badly stuck today and riding with this.

Hope you're right man!

lets go!
 

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1* Washington Huskies + 9 -110

Emotional home win now travels on the road keeps this play small. But that is the only reason.

Washington was a team and program searching for a big win. They need things to build off of as they turn this program around. Sarkisian wasn't hired to beat USC, he was hired to win the Pac-10.

You usually see a team off a big win like that favored the next week or a small underdog. But not a huge underdog like this.

The win vs. USC was no fluke - this team battled LSU just as hard. They smoked Udaho.

If they lose this game that win vs. USC means little. They need to show consistency, come out and fight in this game. Getting 9 points is too many with Jake Locker at QB and the former condoms on the sideline. They know how tough Stanford can be.

Don't be surprised to see these guys come out and avoid the let down.

Stanford 31
Washington 28
@):mad:
 

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hey box- loving the picks and write-ups like always! I learned my lesson about going against you in the florida game last week and your picks are pretty much auto-plays for me at this point! will definitely be riding ya on the huskies tonight.

I got a question though- do you have any thoughts on the auburn/ball state game at all? it seems to me that auburn should be favored by a lot more than 31.5 here..they are 3-0 and averaging 42 points a game against three very legit teams (la tech, west virginia, and mississippi state), and ball state is 0-3 against army, north texas, and div-II new hampshire!
And of course it is a night game at jordan-hare..is there something I am missing here? nate davis IS gone now, right?

anyways, I will probably be on this one, but would feel much better about it with your stamp of approval, or at least to know that you aren't leaning the other way...

BOL and thanks for all the winners!:toast:
 

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