http://www.sbrlines.com/StatFoxForm...age=NCAAF/expanded&date=12/26/2008&rotnum=215
I like this stat sheet.
2* FAU Owls TT over 30.5 -115
The Line: Not really sure who covers this game, or if it goes over and under overall, I can see a lot of different scenarios playing out in this one - but the one thing that seems pretty consistent in every scenario that I play out is FAU's ability to score in this game. Although FAU has averaged 25 points per game this year, if you throw out their 3 games vs. BCS opponents Texas, Minnesota and Michigan State, FAU averaged 32 points per game this year. I threw these teams defenses out, because the defense they are facing is horrible in Central Michigan, and I want to see how FAUs defense performs against poor units. In all games played, excluding the BCS teams, FAU scored 258 points this year, against the combined total of 237 points the defenses they faced typically gave up on average. In short, that means FAU scores more than the opposing defense usually gives up - solidifying the strength of this offense behind junior QB Rusty Smith. Central Michigan typically gives up 31 points per game, and I think FAU is better than a lot of the offenses they have faced.
Considering Central Michigan's ability to score, and score quick, FAU should have the ball in their hands plenty, with a sense of urgency to score points. FAU will need to play catch up in this game, and they have the offensive minded coach in Schnellengerger who coached Joe Namath, Jim Kelly and co. and the junior record setting QB, vs. a horrific pass defense.
FAU played very poor defenses like they will face vs. Central Michigan and scored 40+ points in 3 of their 4 final games.
A lot of signs point towards a shootout in this game as Vegas has inflated this total over 7 points what the line would *typically* be, indicating they believe a shootout will take place. I think we see it with LeFavour and Smith battling back and forth against two poor defenses.
I also like the fact that FAU is probably the worst punting team in the country while Central Michigan is statistically the best punt return team in the country. Would love to see Central Mich take 1 back to the house and get the ball right back in FAUs hands again.
Trends: Last year's Motor City Bowl involving this same Central Michigan team was the 2nd highest scoring bowl game in NCAA history.
Stat of the Game: FAU averages 45 points per game in 3 games this year when facing a total defense and pass efficiency defense that ranks lower than 100th in the country each. Central Michigan's defense falls into this category.
My Excel Sheet Line: Central Michigan -8
Why I am playing this small: FAU's offensive coordinator darted for the same position at Purdue on Dec 2, leaving a new play caller in here for FAU. However, Howard Schnellenberger has said it his his system in place at FAU, and they recruited Rusty Smith specifically to run the system and nothing will change at all.
If you like Central Michigan: This FAU team doesnt do much of the little things well: They suck on special teams, turnovers, and defense. They are essentiually on the road. Central Mich knows this dome very well as this is their 3rd straight bowl game in this dome. FAU won their bowl game at New Orleans last year, but they had their fan base travel pretty well as the game was not the day after Christmas, they were able to charter buses, set up package deals, Bourbon Street in New Orleans was a draw etc and FAU won. This year no Bourbon street or attractions, the day after Christams has heavily effected travel, no charter buses have been set up for students, the band, cheerleaders, etc are not going to the game to support FAU, and its hard to imagine them playing inspired defense.
If you like FAU: You have to feel comfortable in the fact that they can go score for score with Central Mich. The problem I have is that in shootouts something effects them. Special teams turnovers, etc and all of those intangibles point to Central Mich to be able to seperate in this game. Plus this is essentially a home game for them and we saw how that turned out for USF. You also would have to LOVE that 80% of the public is on Central Michigan, a MAC Team, the most shadiest conference in the land.
Central Michigan 42
FAU 34
The Line: Not really sure who covers this game, or if it goes over and under overall, I can see a lot of different scenarios playing out in this one - but the one thing that seems pretty consistent in every scenario that I play out is FAU's ability to score in this game. Although FAU has averaged 25 points per game this year, if you throw out their 3 games vs. BCS opponents Texas, Minnesota and Michigan State, FAU averaged 32 points per game this year. I threw these teams defenses out, because the defense they are facing is horrible in Central Michigan, and I want to see how FAUs defense performs against poor units. In all games played, excluding the BCS teams, FAU scored 258 points this year, against the combined total of 237 points the defenses they faced typically gave up on average. In short, that means FAU scores more than the opposing defense usually gives up - solidifying the strength of this offense behind junior QB Rusty Smith. Central Michigan typically gives up 31 points per game, and I think FAU is better than a lot of the offenses they have faced.
Considering Central Michigan's ability to score, and score quick, FAU should have the ball in their hands plenty, with a sense of urgency to score points. FAU will need to play catch up in this game, and they have the offensive minded coach in Schnellengerger who coached Joe Namath, Jim Kelly and co. and the junior record setting QB, vs. a horrific pass defense.
FAU played very poor defenses like they will face vs. Central Michigan and scored 40+ points in 3 of their 4 final games.
A lot of signs point towards a shootout in this game as Vegas has inflated this total over 7 points what the line would *typically* be, indicating they believe a shootout will take place. I think we see it with LeFavour and Smith battling back and forth against two poor defenses.
I also like the fact that FAU is probably the worst punting team in the country while Central Michigan is statistically the best punt return team in the country. Would love to see Central Mich take 1 back to the house and get the ball right back in FAUs hands again.
Trends: Last year's Motor City Bowl involving this same Central Michigan team was the 2nd highest scoring bowl game in NCAA history.
Stat of the Game: FAU averages 45 points per game in 3 games this year when facing a total defense and pass efficiency defense that ranks lower than 100th in the country each. Central Michigan's defense falls into this category.
My Excel Sheet Line: Central Michigan -8
Why I am playing this small: FAU's offensive coordinator darted for the same position at Purdue on Dec 2, leaving a new play caller in here for FAU. However, Howard Schnellenberger has said it his his system in place at FAU, and they recruited Rusty Smith specifically to run the system and nothing will change at all.
If you like Central Michigan: This FAU team doesnt do much of the little things well: They suck on special teams, turnovers, and defense. They are essentiually on the road. Central Mich knows this dome very well as this is their 3rd straight bowl game in this dome. FAU won their bowl game at New Orleans last year, but they had their fan base travel pretty well as the game was not the day after Christmas, they were able to charter buses, set up package deals, Bourbon Street in New Orleans was a draw etc and FAU won. This year no Bourbon street or attractions, the day after Christams has heavily effected travel, no charter buses have been set up for students, the band, cheerleaders, etc are not going to the game to support FAU, and its hard to imagine them playing inspired defense.
If you like FAU: You have to feel comfortable in the fact that they can go score for score with Central Mich. The problem I have is that in shootouts something effects them. Special teams turnovers, etc and all of those intangibles point to Central Mich to be able to seperate in this game. Plus this is essentially a home game for them and we saw how that turned out for USF. You also would have to LOVE that 80% of the public is on Central Michigan, a MAC Team, the most shadiest conference in the land.
Central Michigan 42
FAU 34
you youngin's need to stop clogging up post's with stupid ass questions. you want to know what TT means, post in the newbies thread. Box's thread is long enough to go through and find the valuable information, but you posting these stupid questions makes it even harder. gl Box, like the play
(at least most of us...and you just contradicted yourself by posting this meaningless bullshit. Congrats 
hno:
