BoSox04 2024 MLB Season Thread

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Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 214-199, +11.06

July 30th


Royals -1.5 (-110), 1*

The White Sox have lost 15 straight and will probably trade 1-2 more bullpen arms before tomorrow’s deadline. The Royals are in a battle for a wildcard spot and know they have to clean up on trash teams like Chicago. I can’t imagine the morale is too high in the White Sox locker room and if they move Crochet in addition to the aforementioned relievers, they will be starting from scratch in terms of their pitching staff. They already traded Fedde today who was their second best arm and is under contract for next season. Not to mention they were up 5-2 in the eighth with a chance to get their first win in three weeks tonight. They proceeded to give up back to back home runs followed by a grand slam to Bobby Witt. I don’t see the price coming down for any reason between now and first pitch, especially if the White Sox move more big leaguers.

This is absolutely a square bet, but that doesn’t mean it’s the wrong bet. GL
 

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Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 216-200, +12.14

July 31st


Phillies ML (-115), 1*
Twins ML (-115), 1*
Rangers ML (-110), 1*
Cubs ML (+125), 1*
Astros -1.5 (-105), 1*

Few positive days in a row, let’s keep it going. The public is going to bet the Yankees pretty aggressively in the short term. They got Stanton back, Chisholm had a couple good games. I’m sure he is happy to be on a team with playoff aspirations, although he will come back to earth obviously. There should be opportunities to bet against NY in the near future. I understand why people are betting the Yankees today, especially after seeing the Phillies lineup without Turner and Realmuto. I still like the Phillies pitcher better and I think they can pick one up at home to avoid the sweep. This is like when I bet Texas on Monday night. I knew why the Cardinals were taking money, I just thought the price was too good to pass up. Hopefully I’m right about this one too. GL
 

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Yesterday: 2-3/YTD: 218-203, +11.09

Nothing today with the small slate. Good luck to those of you with action.
 

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Athletics team total over 3.5 (-120), 1*

Oakland is 11-6 their last 17 games. Their offense has been excellent during that stretch. I was considering betting them money line, but I kind of missed the move on that one. Stone has been lousy over his past four starts. He is far from the only young pitcher who has been struggling lately as they reach or surpass their career high for innings pitched. But this is another way to bet on Oakland/against the Dodgers and you don’t need the Athletics to win.
 

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Yesterday: 2-0/YTD: 222-204, +14.49

August 4th


Blue Jays/Yankees under 9 (EV), 1*
Phillies ML (-115), 1*

GL
 

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Cardinals/Cubs over 9 (-110), 1*

Phillies are going to be an easy winner. The Yankees game could go either way with extra innings on the horizon.
 

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Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 224-205, +15.39

August 5th


Cardinals/Mets No Runs in First Inning (-110), 1*
Astros/Rangers under 8.5 (-110), 1*

I am not a guy who bets on will there be a run in the first inning typically. I think this is my first one all year. I am following the data on this one. The Cardinals first inning numbers are pretty mediocre, but then I looked at the Mets. NY has not scored a first inning run in 20 consecutive games. They have scored a first inning run once in the prior 30 games. The Mets had to fly in from California for one game before turning around and heading back to Colorado for a series that begins tomorrow. The Cardinals played on the road last night and this is a 4pm local start time on a Monday. This feels like a pretty good spot to bet on a slow start. Maybe I will be the jinx, but I’m trusting the data here.

GL
 

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Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 226-206, +16.29

August 6th


Rays ML (+130), 1*
Astros ML (-130), 1*
Red Sox ML (+110), 1*

I’m on a 14-8 run over the past 8 days. I have only had one losing day over that stretch. The goal over the course of an mlb season is to grind out a profit. Nothing wrong with going 2-1 every night, which is pretty much what I have done the past 8 days. I’m not sure if +16 units is my season high, but I’m getting close. Now that I brought this up, I will probably go 0-3 tonight. But I will try to keep putting together profitable weeks through the end of the season. GL
 

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Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 228-207, +17.39

August 7th


Marlins ML (+125), 1*
Royals ML (-148), 1*

This Red Sox/Royals series has gone very similarly to their series before the all-star break. The Red Sox got to Singer and Lugo in the prior series and did it again the last two days. I think Ragans will have success again versus Boston. The Red Sox best lineup is against right handed pitchers and that’s without Casas who is returning imminently. Boston has struggled all season against lefties. O’ Neill might be back from his illness today, but he has been playing all year. Even with him in the lineup, the Sox don’t hit lefties well. KC cannot afford to get swept against their most direct playoff competition. I will have 1-2 more bets this afternoon. GL
 

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