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*$3,000* Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5) over Kansas City Chiefs (-110)
Fading a bad Chiefs team that ranks 30th in the NFL in total offense and defense. Offensively, Chiefs lead the league in one of the worst categories possible for an offense, namely, amount of plays resulting in -yardage. They are ahead of the pack, with 92 total offensive plays that have resulted in negative yardage on the season, which comes out to an average of more than 10 plays per game that result in negative yardage for Kansas City's offense! Take a second to soak in how bad that is. They are also 2nd to last in the NFL in total sacks allowed, as their O-line has given up 27 sacks on the year. Defensively, Kansas City's run "D" is giving up an avg of 130+ yds /per game on the ground to opposing ball carriers, and a matchup against Mo Jo and co figures to make matters worst for them in that department. With the exception of Seattle who jumped out to the early lead against Jax, (which forced them to abandon the run), the Jaguars have averaged more than 150 rush yd/per game in their 6 other contests this year! Gerrard was also recently stripped of his ability to audible out of running plays at the line of scrimmage, to enforce a run first mentality for the Jaguars. Mo Jo should have a field day against this defense, and is coming off a 8 rush, 177 yard, 2 TD performance against the Titans. Jaguars also in the proverbial bounce back spot at home, after getting embarrassed by a divisional foe last week. Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio, has had his team practicing in Full pads this week (a tactic that teams have historically responded to in the past!) and there has been an extra emphasis on Run "D" during practices this week. Everything points to a Jaguars victory here, from Drive Chart analysis, to Play by Play analysis, to Drive Chart/Turnover Difference theory, among a great deal of other things. Jacksonville wins this game in front of their home crowd, and the points don't come into play, imo. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their L9 and 1-10 SU in their L11 games. My money will be with the home fave here, in a game that has blowout potential written all over it
Fading a bad Chiefs team that ranks 30th in the NFL in total offense and defense. Offensively, Chiefs lead the league in one of the worst categories possible for an offense, namely, amount of plays resulting in -yardage. They are ahead of the pack, with 92 total offensive plays that have resulted in negative yardage on the season, which comes out to an average of more than 10 plays per game that result in negative yardage for Kansas City's offense! Take a second to soak in how bad that is. They are also 2nd to last in the NFL in total sacks allowed, as their O-line has given up 27 sacks on the year. Defensively, Kansas City's run "D" is giving up an avg of 130+ yds /per game on the ground to opposing ball carriers, and a matchup against Mo Jo and co figures to make matters worst for them in that department. With the exception of Seattle who jumped out to the early lead against Jax, (which forced them to abandon the run), the Jaguars have averaged more than 150 rush yd/per game in their 6 other contests this year! Gerrard was also recently stripped of his ability to audible out of running plays at the line of scrimmage, to enforce a run first mentality for the Jaguars. Mo Jo should have a field day against this defense, and is coming off a 8 rush, 177 yard, 2 TD performance against the Titans. Jaguars also in the proverbial bounce back spot at home, after getting embarrassed by a divisional foe last week. Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio, has had his team practicing in Full pads this week (a tactic that teams have historically responded to in the past!) and there has been an extra emphasis on Run "D" during practices this week. Everything points to a Jaguars victory here, from Drive Chart analysis, to Play by Play analysis, to Drive Chart/Turnover Difference theory, among a great deal of other things. Jacksonville wins this game in front of their home crowd, and the points don't come into play, imo. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their L9 and 1-10 SU in their L11 games. My money will be with the home fave here, in a game that has blowout potential written all over it
