Bar n Grill - Hard Wood Jan 2-17

[barman]

One more full game selection for Wednesday

STATE +9 (-110) vs Laker Girls $10

Welcome to the western rerun of Bos at Cha the other night after Celtics lost SU vs the lowly Knicks

Warriors - despite their many woes - are 6-7 SU at Home this season and have only been beaten by more than nine points twice. In fact, roll the clock back all the way to Opening Night last season when they were trounced at home hosting the Jazz and Golden State is 49-3-1 at Home when graded at +9

Meanwhile, LA is just 4-8-1 this year playing Away when graded at -9.

And they're coming off their first SU Home Loss of the season. Leaguewide, NBA teams playing Away After a SU Home Loss are winning 31% of their games (33-71) compared to just over 40% for all Away games. I don't have the breakdown for how many of those 33 Away Wins were by double digits, but it's reasonable to presume it's a dozen or less.

 

[barman]

Strong Leans which I will be watching for possible 2H tie ins

CHA/CLE Undah 182.5
ORL/ATL Undah 192


MEM/NJ Undah 188
PHI/MIL Over 195
MIL -7.5

MIA +5.5
MIA/DEN Undah 199

DET/POR Undah 176.5

 

[barman]

2TeamParlay

HAWK 2H -5 (-110) vs Magic
RAPTOR/BULLET 2H Over 96 (-110)

Lay 6
Pays 15.60
----------------

 

[barman]

2TeamParlay

HEAT 2H teamtotal Over 48.5 (-110)
PACER 2H teamtotal Undah 52 (-110)

Lay 5
Pays 13.00
============

 

[barman]

PISTON 2H teamtotal Over 43 (-110) $10

 

[Legend-I-Aint]

PISTON 2H teamtotal Over 43 (-110) $10

This Stuckey character for Detroit is going to single handedly kill your Over 43. I can't believe how many times he's turned over the ball in the second half. Oh yeah, and Iverson is just jacking up wild shots all over the place.

I thought 43 was a good number and played it ass well.

Always tomorrow.

 

[barman]

Yeah...I got the number of shots I was seeking...Portland doesn't make it easy to score in second half most nights at Home. I should have just closed the book on what could have been a 5-2 evening

 

[barman]

Jan 7 summary

5-3 (+7.60)
---------------

 

[barman]

THURSDAY, Jan 8

KNICKERBOCKER 2H teamtotal Undah 48 (-110) $6

 

[barman]

urk

 

[barman]

Having trouble getting this to read right

LITTLE MAVERICKS 2H -7.5 (-110) $6

 

[barman]

Jan 8 summary

2-0 (+12.00)
-----------------

Block Update

20-17 (-23.70)

 

[barman]

FRIDAY, Jan 9

IRISH/CAV Undah 183 (-110) $10

Grind Ball

 

[barman]

KING +4.5 (-110) vs Heat

Despite their numerous woes, Sacramento remains a fairly solid bet when playing at Home with at least one day off.

So far this year, they're 6-9 SU and 9-6 when graded at +4.5

Meanwhile, Miami has beaten -4.5 just three times in 16 Away games. And in the three road games where they were lined as favorites, they're 1-2 SU and 0-3 vs -4.5

Kings are as healthy as they've been at any point in season and playing first game back after a tough eastern road swing. Since the beginning of last season, they've made eight trips that took them east of the Mississippi and in first game back they're 7-1 SU and 8-0 vs +4.5

Rpll the clock back even further and they're 16-2 SU and 17-1 vs +4.5 when playing first game back from traveling east

Best to us all for a profitable Friday

 

[barman]

Utterly random pic here showing The Fucking Poodle in context with housemates Charlie Hustle (back left) and Cartman (front fat)

 

[artiesliver]

Nice night B'man. Maybe it's the "lucky" poodle....

 

[barman]

It's something in the water....49-32 past 81 here....let's keep it going

 

[barman]

2TeamParlay

BULLET/BULL Undah 197.5 (-110)
THUNDER +7.5 (-110) vs Rock

Lay 7
Pays 18.20

Washington past 15 Away have seen only two top 197.5, while Chicago past 15 at Home are 8-7 vs 197.5

As for OKC...gimme, gimme some lovin'

Thunder are 15-6 ATS in past 21 overall - and 8-2 in past ten Home when graded at +7.5

Meanwhile, so far this season, Houston just not the same dominance playing Away as they had been in previous couple years. They're just 4-8 SU and 3-9 (-7.5) ATS in past dozen road tilts. In past 13 Overall, After Allowing 91 or less points, they're just 6-7 SU and 4-9 (-7.5) ATS

And overall, After a SU Away Win, they're just 4-6 SU and 3-7 (-7.5) ATS

They've been to OKC once already this year and got away with a 100-89 win. We like the notion of it moving at least one basket each way towards the middle to grab us the spread win here.

 

[barman]

Situations I will be watching for 2H middle opportunities:

CHA/PHI Under 191
MEM/TOR Over 190

ATL/ORL Under 192
LAC TeamTotal Under 84.5

NJ/MIL Under 194
DAL/PHX Under 208 (strong)
IND/LAK 2H Under if 1H hits 120+

also

IND teamtotal Under 105.5, especially if they hit 55+ in first half

 

[barman]

In games

NET/BUCK 2H Undah 97 (-110) $7