JUMPING AHEAD to:
TUESDAY, Jan 6
THUNDER +2 (-110) vs Knickerbocker $9
Sticking with similar core notion here
Visiting Knicks coming off a Defensive performance -8 below their average while hometown OKC is in the HomeAfterHome(1DayRest) role, as well as coming off a game where they allowed 8+ over their normal defensive average.
Good lean to the Under here as well, but will watch for a 2H middle chance tomorrow night.
TUESDAY, Jan 6
THUNDER +2 (-110) vs Knickerbocker $9
Sticking with similar core notion here
Visiting Knicks coming off a Defensive performance -8 below their average while hometown OKC is in the HomeAfterHome(1DayRest) role, as well as coming off a game where they allowed 8+ over their normal defensive average.
Good lean to the Under here as well, but will watch for a 2H middle chance tomorrow night.
Tonight's card in need of some good strong grinding feedback
Play It Loud
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Play It Loud
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ADDING for Tuesday night
CAT +9.5 (-110) vs Irish $9
IRISH/CAT Undah 179 (-110) $9
Plain and simple here....Charlotte 17-4 this season at Home vs +9.5 and Boston just 6-10 Away vs -9.5
Those big road covers at SAC, MIN, TOR, WAS, OKC and DET
All but Pistons are in bottom third of league defense. Charlotte, otoh, is a Top 5 Defense and thus we get league's #1 and 5 Ds here along with Bobcats' 30th ranked offense. This one may not even reach 170.
CAT +9.5 (-110) vs Irish $9
IRISH/CAT Undah 179 (-110) $9
Plain and simple here....Charlotte 17-4 this season at Home vs +9.5 and Boston just 6-10 Away vs -9.5
Those big road covers at SAC, MIN, TOR, WAS, OKC and DET
All but Pistons are in bottom third of league defense. Charlotte, otoh, is a Top 5 Defense and thus we get league's #1 and 5 Ds here along with Bobcats' 30th ranked offense. This one may not even reach 170.
Well, we've been doing well with our overnight looks, so let's stay focused
WEDNESDAY, Jan 7
HAWK -1 (-110) vs Magic $10 (oly)
Atlanta playing with two days rest and Orlando coming in playing a 3rdin4. Though the Magic are 6-0 in this role so far, all of those half dozen were vs teams from the bottom third of the NBA.
Hawks are playing Home After a Home game with rest. In this role, they're 23-7 SU going back through last season (8-1 this year). Further, they've won three of past five H2H with Orlando. With both Pietrus and Bogans out of action, the Magic should face a bit of extra strain playing the 3rdin4 and B2B Away vs a Top10 Defense.
JAZZ -4.5 (-110) vs Bee $10 (5Dimes)
New Orleans not facing as stout an overall challenge as Magic, but they're playing B2B after having to go the full 48 in LaLaLand. And now they jump up to Rocky Mountain altitude to face a Utah team that is playing the Home After Home role with 1DayRest. This is the strongest scheduling role in the NBA overall and no team plays it better than the Jazz. Past two+ seasons in this role they're a lusty 31-2 SU and 21-12 ATS (18-1, 13-6 since beginning of last season)
Past four times Jazz have hosted New Orleans, they've beaten -5 each time with an average SU win of 21 pts per game.
Best to us all for a profitable Wednesday
WEDNESDAY, Jan 7
HAWK -1 (-110) vs Magic $10 (oly)
Atlanta playing with two days rest and Orlando coming in playing a 3rdin4. Though the Magic are 6-0 in this role so far, all of those half dozen were vs teams from the bottom third of the NBA.
Hawks are playing Home After a Home game with rest. In this role, they're 23-7 SU going back through last season (8-1 this year). Further, they've won three of past five H2H with Orlando. With both Pietrus and Bogans out of action, the Magic should face a bit of extra strain playing the 3rdin4 and B2B Away vs a Top10 Defense.
JAZZ -4.5 (-110) vs Bee $10 (5Dimes)
New Orleans not facing as stout an overall challenge as Magic, but they're playing B2B after having to go the full 48 in LaLaLand. And now they jump up to Rocky Mountain altitude to face a Utah team that is playing the Home After Home role with 1DayRest. This is the strongest scheduling role in the NBA overall and no team plays it better than the Jazz. Past two+ seasons in this role they're a lusty 31-2 SU and 21-12 ATS (18-1, 13-6 since beginning of last season)
Past four times Jazz have hosted New Orleans, they've beaten -5 each time with an average SU win of 21 pts per game.
Best to us all for a profitable Wednesday
I'll also likely use PHX teamtotal Over once I get a number
Strong Lean to MIL and MIL Under
And also to MIA +5.5 and Under 199. Denver coming off the big blowout win, but now no Melo. So far this season, Nuggets are just 5-4 SU and 2-7 (-5.5) when playing at Home versus teams from top20 of NBA.
Strong Lean to MIL and MIL Under
And also to MIA +5.5 and Under 199. Denver coming off the big blowout win, but now no Melo. So far this season, Nuggets are just 5-4 SU and 2-7 (-5.5) when playing at Home versus teams from top20 of NBA.
Let's get the pace going for tonight's card
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Adding for Wednesday
PACER teamtotal Undah 108.5 (-110) at Sun $10
Enough already. Indiana wracked up 115 two nights ago in Denver, but only 45 in second half. This came on the heels of a 122 pt outburst vs Sacramento in previous game.
Pacers have not hit 109 in three consecutive (regulation) games going back to beginning of last season - a stretch of 115 games. Nor did they do it in previous two seasons, but I think those are less relevant anyway because they were playing a more pure half court style prior to last season.
Meanwhile, across the court, the traditional (for four previous seasons) Phoenix defense which allowed 110+ average scoring has this season shaved it down to under 102 both overall and at Home. Only three times in 16 Home tilts this year have they surrendered 109+ and in fact only seven times in 31 overall games.
Plus in this one, they're playing with four days rest and plenty of time to scheme neccesary D strategies against the potentially high scoring Pacers.
So far this season in nine games played with 2+DaysRest, Suns have permitted 109+ just twice.
Finally, in 13 games this season vs teams from bottom half of NBA, Suns have permitted 109+ just once
PACER teamtotal Undah 108.5 (-110) at Sun $10
Enough already. Indiana wracked up 115 two nights ago in Denver, but only 45 in second half. This came on the heels of a 122 pt outburst vs Sacramento in previous game.
Pacers have not hit 109 in three consecutive (regulation) games going back to beginning of last season - a stretch of 115 games. Nor did they do it in previous two seasons, but I think those are less relevant anyway because they were playing a more pure half court style prior to last season.
Meanwhile, across the court, the traditional (for four previous seasons) Phoenix defense which allowed 110+ average scoring has this season shaved it down to under 102 both overall and at Home. Only three times in 16 Home tilts this year have they surrendered 109+ and in fact only seven times in 31 overall games.
Plus in this one, they're playing with four days rest and plenty of time to scheme neccesary D strategies against the potentially high scoring Pacers.
So far this season in nine games played with 2+DaysRest, Suns have permitted 109+ just twice.
Finally, in 13 games this season vs teams from bottom half of NBA, Suns have permitted 109+ just once
