2X Totals = 2-3 40.0%. -2.6 units
Totals = 52-45 53.6%. +3.1 units
Sides = 16-16-2 50.0%. -1.7 units
Odd day yesterday, I got my butt handed too me in terms of CLV but went 5-1. I'll take it.
Overnights for 12-14-23:
#872 Citadel/Charleston under 148.5
#874 ECU/Florida over 151
#306563 UL-Monroe/Lamar over 143.5
And a side:
#306563 UL-Monroe +2.5 (-105)
Don't think we really know what we have in ULM as they've played just 8 games vs a very tough schedule (#67) for their type of school. I think their pace number is a bit deceiving as 3 of their games have come vs the #1, #22, and #49 best defensive teams in the country and that's effected both their pace of play and their offensive performance in a statistically significant way. They have yet to play a single team that plays with any sort of pace and have been forced to play slow facing strong defensive squads and teams with more talent, that won't be the case in this matchup. Lamar has played a very weak schedule (#306) and have benefitted from playing every game vs a team that matches their desire to play more up-tempo. Lamar doesn't defend at all and both I, KenPom, & Torvik have ULM power rated as the better squad. We know what Lamar is, I'm willing to grab more than a bucket at reduced juice with the slightly better team and see if we can find out what the are.