Author's NCAA Basketball 2023-24

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2X Totals = 2-3 40.0%. -2.6 units
Totals = 45-42 51.7%. -0.6 units
Sides = 16-16-2 50.0%. -1.7 units

#306604 Jacksonville/South Carolina St. over 147.5
#882 Yale/Quinnipiac over 146
#886 Utah Tech/Cal-St. Northridge over 147.5
 
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2X Totals = 2-3 40.0%. -2.6 units
Totals = 47-43. 52.2%. +0.3 units
Sides = 16-16-2 50.0%. -1.7 units

Thought we might get them all yesterday but just couldn't do it.

For 12-12-23:

#606 Georgia Southern/Tennessee over 144
 
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2X Totals = 2-3 40.0%. -2.6 units
Totals = 47-44 51.7%. -0.8 units
Sides = 16-16-2 50.0%. -1.7 units

For 12-13-23:

#306530 Incarnate Word/Rice over 157.5
#306532 Norfolk St./Stony Brook over 139
#306534 Boston/Dartmouth under 131
#630 UTSA/Arkansas-Little Rock over 163.5
#642 Utah St./Santa Clara over 152
#646 Seattle/San Francisco under 135.5
 
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2X Totals = 2-3 40.0%. -2.6 units
Totals = 52-45 53.6%. +3.1 units
Sides = 16-16-2 50.0%. -1.7 units

Odd day yesterday, I got my butt handed too me in terms of CLV but went 5-1. I'll take it.

Overnights for 12-14-23:

#872 Citadel/Charleston under 148.5
#874 ECU/Florida over 151
#306563 UL-Monroe/Lamar over 143.5

And a side:

#306563 UL-Monroe +2.5 (-105)
Don't think we really know what we have in ULM as they've played just 8 games vs a very tough schedule (#67) for their type of school. I think their pace number is a bit deceiving as 3 of their games have come vs the #1, #22, and #49 best defensive teams in the country and that's effected both their pace of play and their offensive performance in a statistically significant way. They have yet to play a single team that plays with any sort of pace and have been forced to play slow facing strong defensive squads and teams with more talent, that won't be the case in this matchup. Lamar has played a very weak schedule (#306) and have benefitted from playing every game vs a team that matches their desire to play more up-tempo. Lamar doesn't defend at all and both I, KenPom, & Torvik have ULM power rated as the better squad. We know what Lamar is, I'm willing to grab more than a bucket at reduced juice with the slightly better team and see if we can find out what the are.
 
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Solid CLV yesterday on all 4 games, to poor results.

For 12-15-23:

#306606 Mount St. Mary's/St. Francis under 137
#306608 Texas A&M CC/UT-Rio Grande over 149
2X #888 New Mexico/NMSU over 151.5
#890 Cal St. Bakersfield/Fresno St. over 133
 
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2X Totals = 2-4 33.3%. -4.8 units
Totals = 54-48-1 52.9%. +1.8 units
Sides = 17-17-2 50.0%. -1.75 units

Big card. No one should really be following this but I'll release them as I find them and play them. Later start than usual today.

#608 Georgia Tech/Penn St. over 148
 
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2X Totals = 3-4 42.9%. -2.8 units
Totals = 60-50-1 54.6%. +5.6 units
Sides = 18-17-2 51.4%. -0.75 units

More sides than usual for today. Some totals moving towards better numbers for me so I'll wait on releasing those.

#722 USC/Auburn over 151
2X #306590 Howard/Texas Southern over 140

#733 North Texas +7
#741 Missouri -1.5
#743 Oral Roberts +9.5
 
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2X Totals = 4-4 50.0%. -0.8 units
Totals = 61-52-1 54.0%. +4.4 units
Sides = 18-20-2 47.4%. -4.05 units

Well those add-ons didn't work. A half point loss and and under loss by going to OT, rough. Should have known better than to play 3 sides as well.
 

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