Author's NCAA Basketball 2023-24

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#306512 Morgan St./Virginia over 132
Situational setup for the total. Morgan St. has been pretty much able to get every team they face to run. Virginia plays slow and hasn't found a lot of offensive success this year. Well rested, off the holiday break, and reeling from a dismal 54 point offensive performance vs Memphis, this is a great "get right" spot for the Cavs offense vs a terrible Morgan St. defense. Morgan St. does have some offensive weapons and have a legit scorer in G Tabbs (16.4 ppg) and they have put up solid overall offensive numbers vs the #90 SOS so not just cupcakes. Interestingly, the Cavs own the #3 D but Morgan St. has also faced the #2 and #9 defenses and have averaged 54.5 ppg vs them. If Morgan St. can reach that number here, this game should go calmly over the total as I'd expect the Cavs to be able to reach 77+.

 

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For 12-28-23:

#706 Ark-Little Rock/Tennessee Tech over 153
#720 USC/Oregon over 148.5
#724 Cal-Northridge/Cal Poly SLO over 140.5

 

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2X Totals = 7-5 58.3%. +3.0 units
Totals = 69-71-1 49.3%. -8.4 units
Sides = 19-22-2 46.3%. -5.46 units

Record updated through yesterday.

Adding:

2X #306528 Prairie View A&M/ UTSA over 147.5
#714 Sacramento St./Idaho over 139.5

 

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2X Totals = 8-5 58.3%. +5.0 units
Totals = 72-72-1 50.0%. -6.5 units
Sides = 19-22-2 46.3%. -5.46 units

For 12-29-23:

#306532 Kennesaw St./Indiana over 162.5
#306550 E. Kentucky/Purdue over 153

 

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#306548 Stetson +3.5
#848 Niagara/Buffalo over 144.5
#306536 McNeese St./Michigan over 144.5

 

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#880 San Diego -1
#886 Arizona St./Stanford under 148.5

 

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#882 Tarleton St./Loyola-Marymount over 132

 

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2X Totals = 7-5 58.3%. +3.0 units
Totals = 72-74-1 49.3%. -8.7 units
Sides = 20-23-2 46.5%. -5.56 units

My opinions on sides are pretty worthless, don't think I've won 2 in a row all season. Late to the game today but let's get it.

For 12-30-23:

2X #642 Southern Miss/Ga. Southern over 142.5
2X #674 UNC-Wilmington/Arkansas over 147

 

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2nd Half - Howard/Lasalle over 78

 

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#645 Louisiana +3
#648 Montana St./Weber St. under 136

 

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2X #672 Sacramento St./Eastern Washington over 144

 

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#306624 Incarnate Word/UT-Rio over 154.5

 

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#696 UT-Chattanooga/Auburn over 152.5

 

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2X Totals = 10-5 66.7%. +9.0 units
Totals = 73-77-1 48.7%. -11.0 units
Sides = 20-24-2 45.5%. -6.66 units

Nice job identifying the best 2X bets for yesterday, the rest of the wagers were trash.

For 12-31-23:

2X #854 Detroit/IPFW over 144.5
#306640 Morgan St./NJIT over 153.5

#306631 New Hampshire +27

 

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#876 Morehead St./SE Mizz St. over 144

 

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2X Totals = 11-5 68.8%. +11.0 units
Totals = 74-78-1 48.7%. -11.1 units
Sides = 21-24-2 46.7%. -5.66 units

For 1-2-24:

2X #606 Iowa/Wisconsin over 152.5
#638 SJSU/Wyoming over 143

#615 Purdue -5.5
#652 Colorado St. -3 (-118)

 

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My numbers put on an unusual amount of sides for today. Not sure I like it, because it's mostly faves, but I'm willing to give it a limited shot here to start the New Year.

Adding:
#638 SJSU/Wyoming over 142 (this essentially makes it a 2X)
#610 Buffalo/C. Michigan over 142.5
#624 Wake Forest/Boston College over 150

#614 Miami (OH) -5
#640 UTSA +7

 

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2X Totals = 13-5 72.2%. +15.0 units
Totals = 75-79-1 48.7%. -11.2 units
Sides = 24-25-2 49.0%. -3.76 units

The increase in side plays was OK (3-1 ATS) and the add-ons didn't cost me as I did go 3-2 on those but really just 2-2 as the additional profit was solely wrapped up in increasing the wager of a previously released total. I was one bucket away in the C. Michigan game from making this a very good day.

Overnights for 1-3-24:
2X #694 Eastern Washington/S. Dakota over 154
#306522 Presbyterian/Charleston Southern over 141.5
#726 Idaho St./Denver over 151

 

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#682 Furman/UNC-Greensboro over 147
Curious of the substantial line drop on this one. I made the number 152 but would have considered playing over the opening number (151.5) because of matchups. Someone really likes the under here.

 

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2X Totals = 14-5 73.7%. +17.0 units
Totals = 76-81-1 48.4%. -12.4 units
Sides = 24-25-2 49.0%. -3.76 units

Small winning day moves us into the plus. Keep grinding I guess, originating is very difficult.

1-4-23:

2X #744 Elon/William & Mary over 152
#742 Old Dominion/Troy over 147.5
#746 IUPUI/Robert Morris over 144.5
#764 Campbell/North Carolina A&T over 142.5
#796 UTEP/NMSU over 138


#739 Cleveland St. +6