Election 2010: Indiana Senate
Indiana Senate: Coats (R) 51%, Ellsworth (D) 36%
Friday, May 07, 2010
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Newly chosen Republican nominee Dan Coats earns 51% support while his Democratic rival Brad Ellsworth’s attracts 36% in the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Indiana Senate race following Tuesday’s GOP Primary.
Six percent (6%) of likely voters in the state favor some other candidate. Eight percent (8%) remain undecided.
Coats, who previously served in the U.S. Senate from 1989 to 1999, captured 39% of the vote in a five-way race on Tuesday to win the state Republican Senate nomination. His four opponents have now endorsed his candidacy. Ellsworth, a U.S. congressman, is unchallenged for his party’s nomination.
In surveys since Democratic Senator Evan Bayh’s surprise announcement that he would not seek reelection, Coat’s support in match-ups with Ellsworth has grown from 46%
in Februaryto 54%
last month. Ellsworth’s support in those same surveys has remained in the narrow range of 32% to 34%.
Ellsworth voted in favor of the recently-passed national health care plan, but 59% of Indiana voters favor repeal of that plan. The Indiana finding includes 48% who Strongly Favor repeal. Thirty-eight percent (38%) oppose repeal, with 26% who Strongly Oppose it. Those figures are similar to the
national average.
Eighty-one percent (81%) of those who Strongly Favor repeal support Coats, while 80% of those in the smaller group who Strongly Oppose it support Ellsworth.
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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Indiana was conducted on May 5-6, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by
Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See
methodology.
Thirteen percent (13%) of Indiana voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Coats, while nine percent (9%) regard him Very Unfavorably.
Ellsworth is seen Very Favorably by nine percent (9%) and Very Unfavorably by 13%.
At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
Sixty-one percent (61%) of Indiana voters support a law like Arizona’s that authorizes local police to check the immigration status of anyone they suspect of being an illegal immigrant. Twenty-nine percent (29%) oppose such a law. Again, those figures are close to the
national average.
But 52% of voters in Indiana are at least somewhat concerned that such a law will violate the civil rights of some U.S. citizens. Forty-seven percent (47%) are not very or not at all concerned.
Sixty-five percent (65%) favor a welcoming immigration policy that excludes only “national security threats, criminals and those who would come here to live off our welfare system.”
Most Indiana voters think it is at least somewhat important for Congress to pass energy legislation this year to reduce global warming, but just 38% favor such an energy bill now. Forty-one percent (41%) oppose it.
Most voters know the GOP has been identified as the Party of No for its unified opposition to President Obama’s legislative agenda, but they’re narrowly divided over whether that’s a good place for the Republicans to be.
In line with
the view among voters nationally, 65% in Indiana say America is overtaxed.
Forty-three percent (43%) of voters in the state approve of how Obama is handling the role of president, up four points from a month ago. Fifty-six percent (56%) disapprove. Indiana voters are more critical of Obama’s job performance than voters nationwide in
the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Again this month, 60% approve of how Republican Governor Mitch Daniels is doing his job. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disapprove.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In Indiana during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed a close race with McCain edging Obama 49% to 46%. Obama won 50% to 49%. In the Democratic Primary, Rasmussen Polling showed Hillary Clinton defeating Obama 46% to 41%. Clinton won 51% to 49%.
See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for
president,
Senate and
governor. See 2006 results for
Senate and
governor. See
2004 state results for president.
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Hawaii.
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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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