I think I saw 20 to 1 on him, but, I don't recall where. go to www.betbrain.com and you can check it like that.
Why? Do you think he has a chance?
JP
Why? Do you think he has a chance?
JP
15-20-1 on Watanabe seems a little high. He's the longest shot in the catagory in some places... Maybe it shouldn't be this high though... I'm reaching a little here but if Robbins doesn't win it people are automatically thinking Baldwins name will be called next. (I for one)..But I don't know if we can count out the other few, and they may be bunched together closer then most people think....
It's tough to dissect it but Robbins and Baldwin are high profile actors and doesn't it seems as if this award should be given to a lessor statue performer? If that's the case it opens up endless possiblilties.....But theres also the possibility that it will be based on performance?,,,,(Novel idea).....
People want to throw out Toro because he won it already, which you can do (and I personally will do so)...but again, he could be right there.....But.......if you do toss him that leaves Hounsou and Watanabe ....I really think Watanabe is ahead of Hounsou, and in some places he is....but in some places (books) he's overlooked in a big way.
Robbins may be several lengths ahead of everyone but if he breaks stride it may not be inconceiveable that the rest of the pack is neck and neck.....This is a deep threat that could prove victorious lighting up the tote board
It's tough to dissect it but Robbins and Baldwin are high profile actors and doesn't it seems as if this award should be given to a lessor statue performer? If that's the case it opens up endless possiblilties.....But theres also the possibility that it will be based on performance?,,,,(Novel idea).....
People want to throw out Toro because he won it already, which you can do (and I personally will do so)...but again, he could be right there.....But.......if you do toss him that leaves Hounsou and Watanabe ....I really think Watanabe is ahead of Hounsou, and in some places he is....but in some places (books) he's overlooked in a big way.
Robbins may be several lengths ahead of everyone but if he breaks stride it may not be inconceiveable that the rest of the pack is neck and neck.....This is a deep threat that could prove victorious lighting up the tote board
I'm getting the feeling that Shohreh Aghdashloo is second choice for BSA right now.....I never really like Zellwigger in anything, and some people likened her acting to Granny Clampett of the Beverly Hillbillies in that load of dung movie called Cold Mountain........
7-1 seems like a pretty good odds on the Iranian Assassin..Especially since the longshots prevail in this category...I don't like that she doesn't speak English very well though, and she mostly communicated non-verbally in the movie.....But what the hell_o do I know..........I'm in it for the cash......Maybe a one stack bet of high society is warranted here???..
I still can't get the Iranian Hostage Crisis
out of my mind in the late 70's w/ Ayatollah (assahola) Khomeini though......Not to mention the hate the US has to the middle east right now...It may really kill her chances
7-1 seems like a pretty good odds on the Iranian Assassin..Especially since the longshots prevail in this category...I don't like that she doesn't speak English very well though, and she mostly communicated non-verbally in the movie.....But what the hell_o do I know..........I'm in it for the cash......Maybe a one stack bet of high society is warranted here???..
I still can't get the Iranian Hostage Crisis
out of my mind in the late 70's w/ Ayatollah (assahola) Khomeini though......Not to mention the hate the US has to the middle east right now...It may really kill her chances
YOTS, read my posts. I've been saying that about Aghdashloo for a while and, I've been thinking about Wantanabe also. I just think that Robbins is way out in front now (yes, Oren, I do), and, with each passing day, I think he distances himself further. In the acting categories, he's probably the closest thing to a lock, although I don't think he is one, just yet, but, he's as close as there is to one in the categories.
As for Shoreh, read my posts. I got her at better than 10 to 1 at Wsex, but, you won't find that anywhere anymore.
JP
As for Shoreh, read my posts. I got her at better than 10 to 1 at Wsex, but, you won't find that anywhere anymore.
JP
Just watched Mystic River again tonight -- and while I think Robbins is the front-runner, I think its more to do with his competition than the quality of his performance.
Two great actors (Robbins and Del Toro) both put in performances that, IMO, were below their regular quality in their nominated roles.
Two great actors (Robbins and Del Toro) both put in performances that, IMO, were below their regular quality in their nominated roles.
Yesteray on Saturday night the WGA gave their awards to Lost in Translation (Best Original Screenplay) and American Splendour (Best Adapted Screenplay).
....I ain't playing with these to replicate their success next Sunday though Best Adapted Screenplay becomes a free-for-all unless you think American Splendour does the seemingly unlikely.
I'm hoping Jennifer Lopez wins at the Razzies on Saturday.
....I ain't playing with these to replicate their success next Sunday though Best Adapted Screenplay becomes a free-for-all unless you think American Splendour does the seemingly unlikely.
I'm hoping Jennifer Lopez wins at the Razzies on Saturday.
Oh Gawd! The acting races look crazy AND predictable after tonight's SAG results:
* JOHNNY DEPP takes Best Actor!
* Charlize Theron takes Best Actress.
* Tim Robbins takes Best Supporting Actor.
* Renée Zellweger takes Best Supporting Actress.
You can take the juice or take the risk in an upset but not me, not I. At this rate, I'll just be watching the show next Sunday with a coupla small bets (no big deal but it's always nice to have some action. Oh, and win as well.).
"Come on Keisha!"
....and after a freaky result, I'm now rooting for:
"Come on Johnny!"
* JOHNNY DEPP takes Best Actor!
* Charlize Theron takes Best Actress.
* Tim Robbins takes Best Supporting Actor.
* Renée Zellweger takes Best Supporting Actress.
You can take the juice or take the risk in an upset but not me, not I. At this rate, I'll just be watching the show next Sunday with a coupla small bets (no big deal but it's always nice to have some action. Oh, and win as well.).
"Come on Keisha!"
....and after a freaky result, I'm now rooting for:
"Come on Johnny!"
Jcambert...saw that you posted your percentages on chances to win the oscars..do last nights results change those??..does Depp now have a shot in your opinion..played him at OLYMPIC at 8/1 a few weeks ago but he went back up to 15/1 and i figured i had no shot..maybe now?..also OLMYMPIC takes odds off after sags, do most other offshore?
Here are my thoughts on last night's awards. First off, I don't think they change anything with regards to who will/could win next Sunday, as in recent years, these awards haven't been very accurate predictors. In each of the last two years, they have been 1 out of 4 predicting the Oscars.
As for Depp, I had given him a 10% chance of winning this award, and, with the added, demonstrated support, I might be upping that number to about 15%.
As for the rest of them, my opinion hasn't changed. I think Keaton is out, with Keisha a very possible spoiler. I think that Robbins is as close to a lock, in the acting categories, as there is. I would now move him up to about 60%, with Baldwin the spoiler at about 25% to 30%, with nobody else having much of a shot.
I still firmly believe that Murray and Aghdashloo will win in their respective categories. Remember that Aghdashloo has only faced Zellwegger ONCE, in a very minor precursor award and, Aghdashloo came out on top. Aghdashloo's performance was more universally praised than Renee's, who's performance was divisive.
I really don't think too much has changed since last week. We shall see, though.
JP
As for Depp, I had given him a 10% chance of winning this award, and, with the added, demonstrated support, I might be upping that number to about 15%.
As for the rest of them, my opinion hasn't changed. I think Keaton is out, with Keisha a very possible spoiler. I think that Robbins is as close to a lock, in the acting categories, as there is. I would now move him up to about 60%, with Baldwin the spoiler at about 25% to 30%, with nobody else having much of a shot.
I still firmly believe that Murray and Aghdashloo will win in their respective categories. Remember that Aghdashloo has only faced Zellwegger ONCE, in a very minor precursor award and, Aghdashloo came out on top. Aghdashloo's performance was more universally praised than Renee's, who's performance was divisive.
I really don't think too much has changed since last week. We shall see, though.
JP
