2nd half bet system (bowls)

[ACEWHO]

actually I got it at pk (+100) that's a bit of a dog.

 

[jblonghorn]

I see, so when you're saying dog, you're meaning for 2nd half, not for the game (prior to kickoff), correct?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I see, so when you're saying dog, you're meaning for 2nd half, not for the game (prior to kickoff), correct?

Yes, I don't take 1H spreads into account. What oddsmakers do 90% of the time is take the 1H spread, split it in half, and put the line out there. What this system does is identify 1H performance, and take advantage of oddsmakers deficiencies.

Looks like a 2H push in the Independence Bowl. Would have been a winner if you got +0.5.

 

[RazorGus]

still early, but NC St dominating 1st half ydg. + points will be a gift on the 2nd half

 

[letsgohoosiers]

NC State is looking like a play. I expect the spread to be around +3.5 (half of the 7 that the game opened at).

Unless NC State gets a TD here, wow nice run.

 

[Mr.Cover123]

Probably won't get a good line here for NC St.

 

[Mr.Cover123]

NC St. 269 to 159.

Wilson got banged up on that last play though.

NC St. +5.

 

[kidman232]

halftime line is nc state +5

 

[PAPASMURF]

I got ncst @ 4.5

 

[thefriedone]

Wow, got NC St +5 at bookmaker. Definitely qualifies as a system play right?

edit: dropped to +4 after like 1 minute

 

[Ilovetobet]

I got ncst @ 4.5

i got the same for nc st +4 1/2

 

[jblonghorn]

Let's GO, WHAT"S THE WORD? Are we playing this?

 

[Ilovetobet]

2nd Half
Mon, Dec 29, 2008 EST
Time Rot # Team Pointspread Moneyline Total Team Total
3:00p
225 NC State Wolfpack
+4½ -110 +175
28½ O -110
U -110

10½ O -145
U +115
226 Rutgers Scarlet Knights -4½ -110 -220
17 O -110
U -120
Live Betting ESPN TV. Papa Johns Bowl Legion Field, Birmingham, AL.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

It qualifies. Dogs of .5 to 6.5 points who have a yardage edge between 63-166 are 9-2 ATS. This is exactly the same as the USM/Troy game earlier, except that game was tied at halftime.

I don't like the feeling of this play at all. I think this line will grow from +5. I run queries and it's 4-3 when the minimum yardage is greater than 159 and the differential is greater than 110.

 

[tbonestk]

Half Time Stats: It's a play on NC St ... how many units?


<table class="yspwhitebg" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="yspsctbg"><td colspan="3" class="ysptblhdr" height="18"> Team Statistics</td> </tr> <tr class="ysptblthbody1" align="right"> <td width="64%" height="18"> </td> <td class="yspdetailttl" width="18%">Wolfpack</td> <td class="yspdetailttl" width="18%">Scarlet Knights </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> First Downs</td> <td>15</td> <td>9 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Passing</td> <td>8</td> <td>5 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Rushing</td> <td>7</td> <td>4 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Penalty</td> <td>0</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Third Down Efficiency</td> <td>5-8</td> <td>2-7 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Fourth Down Efficiency</td> <td>0-0</td> <td>1-1 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> TOTAL NET YARDS</td> <td>269</td> <td>159 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Total Plays</td> <td>41</td> <td>32 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Average Gain Per Play</td> <td>6.6</td> <td>5.0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> NET YARDS RUSHING</td> <td>83</td> <td>44 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Rushes</td> <td>18</td> <td>13 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Average Per Rush</td> <td>4.6</td> <td>3.4 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> NET YARDS PASSING</td> <td>186</td> <td>115 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Completions-Attempts</td> <td>11-23</td> <td>9-19 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Yards Per Pass Play</td> <td>8.1</td> <td>6.1 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Times Sacked</td> <td>1</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Yards Lost to Sacks</td> <td>8</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Had Intercepted</td> <td>0</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> PUNTS</td> <td>2</td> <td>3 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Average Punt</td> <td>30.5</td> <td>37.3 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> PENALTIES</td> <td>1</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Penalty Yards</td> <td>0</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow2" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> FUMBLES</td> <td>2</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> <tr class="ysprow1" align="right"> <td class="first" align="left"> Fumbles Lost</td> <td>1</td> <td>0 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td height="7">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[BlindDate]

NC State is the play - +4.5

 

[Railbird]

Let's GO, WHAT"S THE WORD? Are we playing this?

Can you not think for yourself. Rutgers is from gross overrated Big East. nuff said. Horrible send out of 7, NC St should have been 7. A 7 favortie is getting 5 at half. think about it. Northeast doesnt play football well, a basketball area at best.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Play

NC State (1 unit) +5

Tread lightly people... don't like this play at all but doing what the system says.

 

[philly74]

wilson out for rest of game

 

[kidman232]

nc state qb is out for 2nd half, spells disaster for nc state