2nd half bet system (bowls)

[abc]

Well, they're not going to cover either the 2H or the game. That sucks.

 

[abc]

Oh Lord, stop giving me hope.

 

[ACEWHO]

Just score already. Please. That fall by the qb earlier killed us on this play!

 

[ACEWHO]

This game should've been an easy cover for the game. He missed a chip field goal, Longshore tripped on his own feet. You explain it!

 

[JROD2007]

I bet it at half too, but I just doubled it up for the 4th Qtr bet at -1/2 Cal so I am happy!

 

[jblonghorn]

Wow, maybe we don't have enough games to know that this system truly works? I mean, 0-2 today w/ all these great numbers doesn't look too good. Thanks for trying though. BOL.

 

[Mr.Cover123]

I think you have to judge how the first half ended. You can see FSU had all the momentum after the TD pass to Carr. Same with Miami as they controlled the whole 2nd quarter.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Well, no such thing as locks in betting. It's either win or lose and we lost. I really thought we were on the right side, disappointing to see countless opportunities by Cal just flushed away. I mean, even the great Randizzle lost in this one people! :shocked:

Ace Who, I don't factor in time of possession. I feel yardage is more important that TOP, because teams can run out of bounds, pass a ton, and move the ball, yet be losing in TOP. I care about who is moving the ball on offense.

If you're tracking, that's 1-2 (-2.3 units). I'm still hopeful that this thing will work. Maybe it's bad breaks we caught today (as yardage leaders at half were 0-2-1 ATS). Lots of opportunities left. I will post at every game.

 

[RazorGus]

I would say to add the 6 winners ending with the ND game to the total. You may or may not have bet them, but for the tracking I think its important to include them since they are on the first page and all of the info is there. 7-2 thus far in bowl season?

 

[bookiebanger]

Looking at a play this game?

 

[Raffie]

good luck hoosiers thanks for posting this.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Really can't get a "feel" on this game.

NIU will have the yardage edge, but not by a significant amount.

Minimum yardage requirements are met.

NIU is looking to be around pick'em or a dog.

HOLD UP! FUMBLE! LA TECH GOT IT! Let's wait

 

[letsgohoosiers]

No play people. We'll get 'em tomorrow!

 

[skyline69]

We do have the dog in the game with a 54 yd advantage don't we ?? I thought this fit the criteria ???

 

[jblonghorn]

We do have the dog in the game with a 54 yd advantage don't we ?? I thought this fit the criteria ???

Yeap, I thought so too? Go Hoosiers? No?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

We do have the dog in the game with a 54 yd advantage don't we ?? I thought this fit the criteria ???

Teams with a 0-62 yardage edge are 21-22-3 ATS.
Dogs with the yardage edge are are 24-14-2.
NIU is the lean, I'm not playing it.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Yeap, I thought so too? Go Hoosiers? No?

I guess it is. I am hesitant because of last night and wanted to change it up a bit, but if we're going my the original system it's a play. Dogs with the yardage edge are always leans. They are 24-14-2 ATS (63%). I wanted to do these type of plays as 1 unit plays.

What ideally I want to look for in a 2h play is if the team is in that 75-160 edge range, and if the team meets minimum yardage requirements. That is what Cal was last night and those teams are now 22-3 ATS. These types of games are 2 unit plays

If they are a dog, and meet the other requirements, it is an increased unit play. These teams are 9-0. These type of plays are 3 unit plays.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Also the reason I wasn't classifying it as a play is because on my book NIU is the favorite. Didn't mention that in my first post. If your book has NIU as a .5 dog, play it.

 

[ACEWHO]

how bout a pick?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

how bout a pick?

Don't play. NIU is the lean, however they are not a "dog" on my book.

It would be a play if you can get +0.5. They are the underdog with the yardage edge and those teams are 24-14-2.