2nd half bet system (bowls)

[KGHawk]

I have had +1/2 the whole time! What up with that?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I am playing Wisconsin. The line moved on Sportsbook from +2.5 to +1. My patience was dumb, should have stuck with my gut. No way does Wisconsin lose this second half. I don't see much of a difference between +2.5 and +1. As long as it's a positive number, you're getting value.

 

[kidman232]

i got +2 on sportsbook, hopefully wisc will win the 2nd by a fg and ill hit both bets

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Less than 1 TD dogs (.5 to 6.5) who have the yardage edge at halftime cover the 2H spread 83% of the time (10-2).

The two times it didn't cover, one was a big flag in Vanderbilt against Kentucky, when Vandy had a 208 yardage edge at halftime.

The other was Marshall against Rice, where Marshall turned the ball over twice in the 4th quarter.

Florida State started the game out with 5 straight punts, while Wisconsin got into scoring position twice. A fluke turnover is the reason this isn't a 1 point game or a Wisconsin lead at halftime.

Wisconsin has a huge rushing edge and their rushing attack only gets stronger in the 2H from what I've been seeing all year long.

PLAY Wisconsin +1 (1 unit)

 

[BAMARED]

would you play it at a PK bookmaker is running that #? thanks

 

[kingking]

Thanks very much letsgohoosiers!! BOL to us both!!! :toast:arty:

 

[Pshinnamon]

Re Second Half

I figured who needs a half of point. I took the money line and got Wisc even at +110

thanks for your help

Pete

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Well this one is a loser!

How many times are they going to fumble the ball in FSU territory? 4? 8? 32?

 

[seanjohn007]

so lets see how the "system" bounces back after a loss. since theres no way wisconsin is going to come back, they dont even care anymore lol

seanjonh007

 

[jblonghorn]

Let's warm this thread up and get a winner to close out the night, okay boys? So far after the 1st quarter Cal is killing Miami in total yards 152 to 48.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Can't win 'em all, no worries. I got faith in this working in the long run. That's why you bet the same amount every time.

Cal looking like a nice 2H play. They're at the minimum yardage and the yardage differential requirements right now, the auto play factors.

 

[jblonghorn]

Can't win 'em all, no worries. I got faith in this working in the long run. That's why you bet the same amount every time.

Cal looking like a nice 2H play. They're at the minimum yardage and the yardage differential requirements right now, the auto play factors.

Remind me what the minimum yardage and differential requirements are again Hoosiers? Thanks in advance.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Okay, yardage differential is the basis of the system. We want to bet on teams that are moving the ball better. Ideally, we want a team who is out-gaining their opponent by 63-166 yards going into halftime.

Minimum yardage is used to weed out teams that have been asleep, abysmal, and could have a second half turnaround. We want to make sure our opponent has at least 75-160 yards.

This Cal game is setting up to be a stronger play than the UW play. Depending on odds, I might make this a 2 unit play.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

We might be able to get -3 for Cal which would be AMAZING. The odds on The Greek right now are Cal -3.5 (+100). Lets see what other books open at.

The play is Cal people. This is a stronger play than the UW game.

 

[LuvParlays]

Would you still take Cal -3.5?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Would you still take Cal -3.5?

Hell yes! I'd take Cal -4 even.

 

[jblonghorn]

Mine's at -3.5 (-115)

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Official play:

Cal -3.5 (2 units)

 

[JimmyVegas]

Gl with your system..........I just can't pull the trigger with the QB they have........i have to pass

 

[aderol]

i got -3.5 at -110. oh well, a winner's a winner