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Saturday’s 6-pack
NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
— Clippers covered eight of last nine games with Sacramento.
— Brooklyn is 3-9 ATS in its last dozen road games.
— Hawks covered eight of their last ten games with Dallas.
— Miami covered seven of its last eight games with Cleveland.
— Suns are 3-6 ATS if they played the night before.
— 76ers are 1-11-1 ATS in their last thirteen road games.

Quote of the Day:
“If you’re saying to me, if I can choose what team I want to play on, as far as my favorite team growing up, then I probably tell you the Cowboys.”
Alabama QB Tuo Tagovailoa

Saturday’s quiz
Who did the Dallas Cowboys beat, last time they won a playoff game?

Friday’s quiz
Of the 40 teams in the Final Four over the last ten years, 19 of them won their conference tournament that season.

Thursday’s quiz
Miami coach Jim Larranaga was coach at George Mason when they made the Final Four in 2006.

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Saturday’s Den: Trends that could help you fill out your brackets…….

13) Over last decade, 40 teams made the Final Four; 19 of those won their conference tournament that year. Four of the 19 teams had to win more than three games to win the conference tourney:
2011— UConn 5-0
2012— Louisville 4-0
2018— Michigan 4-0
2019— Auburn 4-0

12) Only four of the 40 teams lost their first conference tourney game:
2010— Michigan State
2016— Syracuse
2017— South Carolina
2019— Texas Tech

7 of 40 teams went W-L in their conference tournament.

11) Seven of last ten years, a #1 seed won the NCAA Tournament.
— In 2016, Villanova won the title as a 2-seed.
— UConn won as a 3-seed in 2011, as a 7-seed three years later.

10) The last seven years, eight teams ranked lower than a 4-seed reached the Final Four; in 2014, UConn was a 7-seed, Kentucky an 8-seed.

9) Last team to win the national title after going unbeaten in conference play? Kentucky in 2012, one of four teams over last decade to make Final Four after going unbeaten in conference games.

8) Last eight years, 27 of 32 Final Four teams were ranked in KenPom’s top 20 before the NCAA Tournament started. 2014 UConn was only one of the five to win the national semifinal; they also won the national title- they were #23.

In 2011, the Final Four had seeds 3-4-8-11, only time in last decade there wasn’t a #1 or #2 seed in Final Four.

7) Only nine of 40 Final Four teams were in top 100 in experience; 12 of 40 teams were outside top 200. Talent outweighs experience.

6) Looking at continuity instead of experience, only 12 of 40 teams ranked in top 100; 14 of 40 teams ranked outside top 200.

5) 14 of 40 Final Four teams ranked in top 100 in forcing turnovers; another 14 ranked outside the top 200.

4) eFG% defense seems like an important category; 33 of last 40 Final Four teams were in top 100 in eFG% defense. 21 of those 33 teams were in the top 50.

3) NCAA Tournament has longer TV commercials, which means that depth isn’t as important; only four of last 40 Final Four teams had benches in top 100 of minutes played. 26 of 40 teams had teams that ranked outside top 200.

They don’t call as many fouls in the NCAA tournament.

2) Some in-tournament trends about the eventual national champ:
— Last 14 years, national champ was 12-2 ATS in first round
— Last 18 years, national champ was 16-2 ATS in second round.
— Last 12 years, national champ was 10-2 ATS in regional semis.

1) Of the last 20 defending national champs, 2007 Florida Gators were only team to return to Sweet 16; Florida won consecutive national titles.

Since 2004, the defending national champ is 2-8-1 ATS in its first round game, 3-7 in its second round game, 0-5 ATS in regional semifinals.
 

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31WASHINGTON -32 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 3-16 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

33WINNIPEG -34 PHILADELPHIA
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

35BUFFALO -36 PITTSBURGH
BUFFALO is 1-14 ATS (-12.7 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

37CAROLINA -38 TORONTO
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-11.9 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

39MONTREAL -40 OTTAWA
MONTREAL is 2-7 ATS (-11 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

41SAN JOSE -42 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 30-27 ATS (11.1 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

43TAMPA BAY -44 ARIZONA
TAMPA BAY is 18-5 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

45COLUMBUS -46 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 8-15 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

47FLORIDA -48 VEGAS
FLORIDA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off a road loss in the current season.

49BOSTON -50 VANCOUVER
BOSTON is 22-10 ATS (13.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

51COLORADO -52 LOS ANGELES
COLORADO is 17-7 ATS (10.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.
 

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NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 22


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WASHINGTON (37-17-0-6, 80 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (23-27-0-10, 56 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 1:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 154-102 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-27 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-29 ATS (+71.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-4 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 7-17 ATS (+29.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 5-17 ATS (+31.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-3 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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WINNIPEG (32-25-0-5, 69 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (34-20-0-7, 75 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 1:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 14-23 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-11 ATS (+10.2 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-7 ATS (+23.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+10.4 Units) on Saturday games this season.
WINNIPEG is 43-44 ATS (+109.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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BUFFALO (27-25-0-8, 62 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (37-16-0-6, 80 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 1:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-21 ATS (+40.6 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 5-20 ATS (+37.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 4-22 ATS (+38.1 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-4 ATS (+7.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-3 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
BUFFALO is 230-250 ATS (+539.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 27-32 ATS (-21.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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CAROLINA (34-22-0-4, 72 pts.) at TORONTO (32-22-0-8, 72 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-3 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-30 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 38-33 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 33-38 ATS (-26.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 163-161 ATS (-89.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 12-18 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-11 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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MONTREAL (28-27-0-8, 64 pts.) at OTTAWA (21-29-0-11, 53 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 28-35 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 3-14 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
MONTREAL is 6-16 ATS (-10.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
MONTREAL is 10-14 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MONTREAL is 28-23 ATS (+59.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 127-119 ATS (-19.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-3 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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SAN JOSE (26-30-0-4, 56 pts.) at NY RANGERS (32-24-0-4, 68 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 22-33 ATS (-21.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 32-28 ATS (+72.1 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 16-12 ATS (+32.0 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 10-3 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 109-132 ATS (-42.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 256-261 ATS (-108.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 167-166 ATS (-81.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 128-129 ATS (-56.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 150-146 ATS (-84.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-1 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (40-16-0-5, 85 pts.) at ARIZONA (30-26-0-8, 68 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 102-45 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-1 ATS (+7.4 Units) in February games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-4 ATS (+12.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 60-23 ATS (+20.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-11 ATS (+13.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-7 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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COLUMBUS (30-19-0-13, 73 pts.) at NASHVILLE (29-23-0-8, 66 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 23-36 ATS (-17.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 220-188 ATS (+15.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 194-183 ATS (+387.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 29-31 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 2-6 ATS (-6.2 Units) in home games on Saturday games this season.
NASHVILLE is 2-6 ATS (-4.9 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NASHVILLE is 4-8 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
NASHVILLE is 11-16 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 2-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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FLORIDA (32-23-0-6, 70 pts.) at VEGAS (32-22-0-8, 72 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 127-137 ATS (+300.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
VEGAS is 32-30 ATS (-4.2 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 33-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 11-16 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VEGAS is 28-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 26-29 ATS (-18.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 3-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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BOSTON (39-11-0-12, 90 pts.) at VANCOUVER (32-22-0-6, 70 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 67-75 ATS (-31.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 223-175 ATS (+45.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 20-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-6 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 65-52 ATS (+119.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
BOSTON is 64-53 ATS (+121.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 224-249 ATS (+529.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 18-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 259-261 ATS (-117.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 3-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 3-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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COLORADO (35-18-0-7, 77 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (22-34-0-5, 49 pts.) - 2/22/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 16-8 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
LOS ANGELES is 218-283 ATS (-115.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 132-142 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 36-72 ATS (+116.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-2 (+5.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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NHL

Saturday, February 22


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Trend Report
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Washington @ New Jersey
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
New Jersey is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games

Winnipeg @ Philadelphia
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Buffalo

San Jose @ NY Rangers
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Montreal @ Ottawa
Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games

Carolina @ Toronto
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Carolina


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NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, February 22



Washington @ New Jersey

Game 31-32
February 22, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
11.539
New Jersey
10.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-210
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-210); Under

Winnipeg @ Philadelphia


Game 33-34
February 22, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.223
Philadelphia
13.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-155
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-155); Over

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh


Game 35-36
February 22, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
11.576
Pittsburgh
10.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-230
6
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+190); Under

Carolina @ Toronto


Game 37-38
February 22, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
12.207
Toronto
11.550
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-145
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+125); Over

Montreal @ Ottawa


Game 39-40
February 22, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
11.056
Ottawa
9.718
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-145
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-145); Over

San Jose @ NY Rangers


Game 41-42
February 22, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
9.972
NY Rangers
12.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-175
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(-175); Under

Tampa Bay @ Arizona


Game 43-44
February 22, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.327
Arizona
11.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+150); Over

Columbus @ Nashville


Game 45-46
February 22, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.235
Nashville
10.106
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+135); Under

Boston @ Vancouver


Game 49-50
February 22, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.611
Vancouver
11.917
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+120); Under

Florida @ Vegas


Game 47-48
February 22, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
12.006
Vegas
10.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+165); Over

Colorado @ Los Angeles


Game 51-52
February 22, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
11.630
Los Angeles
10.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-160); Over
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack
NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
— Raptors covered six of their last eight games with Indiana.
— Last four Celtic-Laker games went over the total.
— Chicago is 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven Minnesota-Denver games.
— Spurs covered seven of last ten games with Oklahoma City.
— Golden State covered once in its last five home games.

Tweet of the Day:
“Refs have bad games. Crews have bad games. But this isn’t a single game issue. This is the same s— that has been going on for 20 years. Hire former refs who think they know how to hire, train and manage. Realize 2 years later they can’t. Repeat.”
Mark Cuban

Sunday’s quiz
Of the 30 major league baseball teams, how many train in Arizona, how many in Florida?

Saturday’s quiz
Dallas Cowboys beat the Seahawks in 2018, last time they won a playoff game.

Friday’s quiz
Of the 40 teams in the Final Four over the last ten years, 19 of them won their conference tournament that season.

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Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….

It was an eventful day of college basketball, to be sure……
13) UNLV 66, San Diego State 63— These teams played twice; Aztecs won by 4, then lost by 3, which given UNLV’s 15-14 overall record, is very surprising.

My question is this; does losing a game get a monkey off of San Diego State’s back? They were the last unbeaten team in the country, now the national media will forget about them for a few weeks, until the brackets come out. Over the long haul, maybe that helps them.

12) Kansas 64, Baylor 61— Jayhawks avenge an earlier loss to Baylor; they’ve won 12 games in a row, are tied with Bears atop Big X standings. Both of these teams will probably be #1 seeds in the NCAA tournament. Baylor was only 8-15 on foul line in this game which obviously hurt.

11) Oregon 73, Arizona 72, OT— Peyton Pritchard played all 45:00, scored 38 points, making 6-14 on arc. Ducks are one of three teams that are half-game behind Arizona State atop the Pac-12 standings.

Arizona missed two foul shots with 0:02 left in regulation, two more with 0:01 left in OT; you go 10-23 on the foul line in a one-point loss, thats not good.

10) BYU 91, Gonzaga 78— Cougars made 11-25 on arc, Gonzaga 5-25. Corey Kispert has made 43.3% of his 3’s for Gonzaga this season, but was only 1-10 in this game.

9) Memphis 60, Houston 59— Tigers were 21-30 on foul line, Houston 9-12, in game that Cougars led 8-0 out of the gate. Memphis is least-experienced team in country; they’ve won four of last five home games- their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT.

8) Hofstra 78, Delaware 62— Hofstra leads CAA by two games, but in 19 years in the CAA, they’ve never won the conference tournament. Pride is experience team #7 whose bench plays the fewest minutes in America, which could be a problem when playing consecutive days in the tournament.

Jay Wright had the Pride in the NCAA’s his last two years at Hofstra, but they were in America East back then, a much lesser conference.

7) Upsets:
— Md-Baltimore County (+16) 66, Vermont 64
— Hampton (+16) 87, Winthrop 81
— UNLV (+15.5) 66, San Diego State 63
— Wyoming (+8) 78, Air Force 72
— Tulane (+7.5) 75, Central Florida 74
— Charlotte (+6.5) 72, Western Kentucky 70
— New Orleans (+6.5) 82, McNeese State 77
— NC-Wilmington (+6) 68, Charleston 55
— Mercer (+6) 85, Chattanooga 80

6) Auburn 73, Tennessee 66— Tigers avoid a 3-game losing streak by rallying back from a 54-37 deficit with 13:27 left to play. Tennessee turned ball over 24 times (-11).

5) Eastern Illinois 83, Austin Peay 80, OT— Quite a week for the Panthers, who upset Murray State in last game after trailing by 27 in second half. EIU trailed this game by 13 with 11:11 left in game, but rallied for their second consecutive dramatic win- their last four games were decided by a total of nine points.

4) Montana 59, Montana State 54— Grizzlies lead Big Sky by a game at 13-3; not sure what it says about a league when the first place team was 4-7 out of conference, but Grizzlies have now won six games in a row, are peaking at right time.

3) Wright State 81, Cleveland State 74, OT— Wright coach Scott Nagy got his 500th career win; Raiders blew a 10-point lead with 9:52 left, but escaped Cleveland with an OT win.

2) Texas State 86, Georgia State 76— Bobcats won four in row, 11 of last 13 games, have risen to 2nd place in Sun Belt, two games behind Little Rock.

Last time Texas State made NCAA Tournament was 1997, when their coach was Mike Miller, who is now coaching the New York Knicks.

1) Saturday was February 22nd, the birthday of two of my favorite people.

My Aunt Jo was also my godmother; she had a great laugh, was extremely nice and always had a piece of pie ready when I visited her house. Probably a good thing she lived in Brooklyn; if she lived closer to here, I’d weigh 300 pounds.

I’ve written about my dad here before; he passed away in 2015, and I miss him every day. His middle name was George, sharing a birthday with George Washington. He loved golf, baseball and going to the racetrack. Am hoping Aunt Jo and my dad had a drink together today and had some fun, assuming they have drinks in heaven.
 

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53PITTSBURGH -54 WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH is 26-11 ATS (13.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

55WINNIPEG -56 BUFFALO
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

57CHICAGO -58 DALLAS
DALLAS are 31-17 ATS (11.3 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

59SAN JOSE -60 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 72-43 ATS (31.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

59SAN JOSE -60 NY ISLANDERS
BARRY TROTZ is 72-43 ATS (24.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal (Coach of NY ISLANDERS)

61CALGARY -62 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-31 ATS (-20.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

63ST LOUIS -64 MINNESOTA
ST LOUIS are 0-7 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

65EDMONTON -66 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 7-24 ATS (-13.6 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

67VEGAS -68 ANAHEIM
VEGAS are 27-7 ATS (19.3 Units) on Sunday games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 23


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (37-17-0-6, 80 pts.) at WASHINGTON (37-18-0-6, 80 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 12:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 154-103 ATS (+26.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 79-59 ATS (-0.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-7 ATS (-11.1 Units) in February games this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-12 ATS (-6.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 8-7-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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WINNIPEG (32-26-0-5, 69 pts.) at BUFFALO (28-25-0-8, 64 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 3:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BUFFALO is 231-250 ATS (+546.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 14-8 ATS (+25.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
WINNIPEG is 26-11 ATS (+11.1 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-8 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 48-72 ATS (-47.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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CHICAGO (27-26-0-8, 62 pts.) at DALLAS (35-20-0-6, 76 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 3:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 13-3 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 267-176 ATS (+42.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 238-163 ATS (+30.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-10.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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SAN JOSE (26-31-0-4, 56 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (34-20-0-6, 74 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 5:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 82-81 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 22-34 ATS (-22.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 10-21 ATS (+33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 86-64 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 169-128 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (31-25-0-6, 68 pts.) at DETROIT (15-44-0-4, 34 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 15-48 ATS (-50.8 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 10-34 ATS (+63.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 61-63 ATS (-66.9 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1996.
DETROIT is 8-34 ATS (+66.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DETROIT is 5-31 ATS (+64.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 13-49 ATS (+93.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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ST LOUIS (35-17-0-10, 80 pts.) at MINNESOTA (29-24-0-7, 65 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 290-285 ATS (+608.5 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 4-10 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-22 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-16.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-45 ATS (+72.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-42 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-15 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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EDMONTON (32-22-0-7, 71 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (22-34-0-6, 50 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 30-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 36-73 ATS (+118.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-5 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 6-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (33-22-0-8, 74 pts.) at ANAHEIM (24-30-0-7, 55 pts.) - 2/23/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 33-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 34-33 ATS (-15.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 12-16 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VEGAS is 27-29 ATS (-14.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 10-14 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 581-483 ATS (+58.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 306-243 ATS (+39.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 283-261 ATS (+589.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
VEGAS is 27-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 0-8 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 9-2 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 9-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Dunkel

Sunday, February 23



Pittsburgh @ Washington

Game 53-54
February 23, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.712
Washington
9.290
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Under

Chicago @ Dallas


Game 57-58
February 23, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
9.640
Dallas
11.644
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-190
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-190); Over

Winnipeg @ Buffalo


Game 55-56
February 23, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
11.594
Buffalo
12.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+100); Over

San Jose @ NY Islanders


Game 59-60
February 23, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
9.301
NY Islanders
11.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-220
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-220); Under

Calgary @ Detroit


Game 61-62
February 23, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.915
Detroit
8.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-220
6
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-220); Under

St. Louis @ Minnesota


Game 63-64
February 23, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
13.253
Minnesota
11.643
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Under

Vegas @ Anaheim


Game 67-68
February 23, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
10.956
Anaheim
11.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+150); Over

Edmonton @ Los Angeles


Game 65-66
February 23, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
10.466
Los Angeles
11.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+120); Over
 

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Monday’s 6-pack
NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
— Milwaukee won/covered six of its last seven games.
— Cavaliers are 3-10 ATS in last thirteen home games.
— 76ers covered nine of their last 11 home games.
— Brooklyn won five of last six, covered eight of last nine games.
— Knicks are 4-9 ATS in their last thirteen road games.
— Minnesota covered once in its last thirteen games.


Quote of the Day:
“The officiating definitely went right for Grand Rapids. That was as unprofessional as an officiating performance — I hope you tweet this out and tag the league, because that was embarrassing. Matt Rafferty is a f—ing clown. That being said, we have to be so much better at the end of games. We can’t blow a 21-point lead with 12 minutes to go. However bad and biased and unfair and illegal and cheating the referees are, we have to be better closing games. So that’s the way I feel.”
Wisconsin Herd head coach Chase Buford (G League)

Monday’s quiz
Who was the basketball coach at Kansas before Bill Self?

Sunday’s quiz
Of the 30 major league baseball teams, 15 train in Arizona, 15 in Florida.

Saturday’s quiz
Dallas Cowboys beat the Seahawks in 2018, last time they won a playoff game.

*************************************************************************

Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Is this the weirdest rule in pro sports?

At every NHL game, an emergency goalie is available to either team, should both their goalies get hurt in that game. It is actually possible for the emergency guy to play for both teams in the same game.

Saturday, both of Carolina’s goalies left the game with injuries, so 42-year-old Dave Ayres came in as the emergency backup goaltender — and stopped 8 of 10 shots to get credit for the Hurricanes’ 6-3 win over the hometown Toronto Maple Leafs. Ayres was paid $500 for the game and was allowed to keep his game-worn jersey.

Ayres is a Zamboni driver and arena maintenance worker for the Maple Leafs’ AHL affiliate, the Toronto Marlies. Now he is a celebrity with a great story to tell.

12) Chicago Cubs are starting their own TV network this season, the Marquee Sports Network, which signed on for the first time Saturday afternoon.

The Cubs owning their own TV channel has been a cornerstone of the Ricketts family’s plans to improve the Cubs’ revenue flow since they acquired the ballclub, Wrigley Field and associated properties in 2009.

11) Virginia Commonwealth lost its last four basketball games, is 17-10, 7-7 in A-14 and has slid off the NCAA bubble, for now. This is VCU’s first four-game losing streak in 20 years.

10) Arizona Diamondbacks must be thrilled about this; newly acquired pitcher Madison Bumgarner has been competing in rodeo events under the alias Mason Saunders and even won $26,560 in a team-roping competition in December.

What could possibly go wrong?

Bumgarner agreed to an $85M, five-year contract with the Diamondbacks in December; he injured his pitching shoulder in 2017 in a dirt bike accident and missed three months of San Francisco’s season. He hasn’t been quite the same since then.

9) An 84-year old lady at an Ole Miss basketball game made a 94-foot putt the length of the basketball court during a timeout in the Rebels’ basketball game, and won herself a new car in the process, as part of an auto dealer’s promotion in the arena.

Was cool how excited the other fans in the arena were for her.

8) One unexpected by-product of the longer 3-point arc in college basketball; decent amount of kids step out of bounds on the sideline as they try to stay behind the arc to catch a pass, or drive to the basket.

7) Upsets:
— Wagner (+6) 75, St Francis 71 OT
— Loyola Md (+4.5) 70, Lafayette 68
— Canisius (+3.5) 57, Manhattan 56

6) Best wishes to Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh, who had a knee replaced recently and won’t be at the NFL Combine this week.

5) I’ve said this before, but when you listen to really good announce teams, it is like you’re eavesdropping on two friends having a conversation.

In the case of ESPN’s NBA broadcasts with Mike Breen, Jeff Van Gundy and Mark Jackson, that would be three friends having a conversation. The three pf them are great together.

4) Colorado Buffaloes hired Karl Dorrell as their new football coach; The 56-year old Dorrell was an assistant for the Buffs for six years back in the 90’s, under Bill McCartney, Rick Neuheisel.

3) XFL teams have both white/dark jerseys, unlike the AAF last year, where teams had only one color, which made the league seem like a cheapskate league, which it was.

The point-after conversion options continue to be fascinating; no one knows what the right thing to do is. I’m thinking that going for three points from the 10-yard line is the right play, unless you have a QB who is a good runner, then I might prefer the 2-point option from the 5-yard line.

2) XFL trend; Over is 3-0 in Houston games, 1-8 in all the other games.

1) Was listening on TV the other night and Wally Szczerbiak was talking about when he played in the NBA All-Star Game; he mentioned how guys on the winning team make more money than guys on the losing team.

Turns out that guys on the winning team make $100,000 each; guys on losing side make $25,000 each. I did not know that.
 

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69OTTAWA -70 COLUMBUS
OTTAWA is 1-16 ATS (-16.6 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, February 24


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OTTAWA (21-30-0-11, 53 pts.) at COLUMBUS (30-19-0-14, 74 pts.) - 2/24/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 6-22 ATS (+37.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 3-9 ATS (-8.6 Units) in February games this season.
COLUMBUS is 1-8 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Monday, February 24



Ottawa @ Columbus

Game 69-70
February 24, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
9.498
Columbus
10.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-210
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-210); Over
 

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Messages
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by: Josh Inglis


OTTAWA SENATORS AT COLOMBUS BLUE JACKETS
LONE MONDAY GAME


The Columbus Blue Jackets come into Monday night’s showdown with the Ottawa Senators having lost eight in a row and hitting the Over in five of their last six. A big reason for the losing skid has been injuries to key players but also the play of their goaltending.

After leading the league in goals against for most of 2020, the BJ’s have slipped to the fifth-most goals against (3.67/game) over the last 10 days. Columbus’ M/O is win low-scoring affairs as its offense is a bottom-third unit in goals per game, and without top-end goaltending, its playoff hopes are diminishing.

The Senators haven’t been stepping up their game of late either as they are 3-9 SU in their last 12 and 1-10 SU in their last 11 road games. With two struggling teams, our only play on Monday is to bet against the goaltending and hammer the Over which opened at 5.5 but should move to 6 . Ottawa is 6-1-1 O/U on totals of 6 of late while the last meeting between the two clubs back in December ended in a 4-3 Ottawa win in overtime.


NEW JERSEY DEVILS AT DETROIT RED WINGS
RUNNING WITH THE DEVIL


It may not be known to everyone, but the New Jersey Devils are hot right now. They are 6-3 SU in their last nine and have knocked off the Capitals, Blue Jackets and Flyers to name a few in that stretch. They also beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1 on February 13 and have the chance to deal the Wings another loss on Tuesday.

The Devils have the seventh-lowest goals against in February and have been getting great goaltending from MacKenzie Blackwood (see below) who is 6-0 SU in his last six. It’s tough to get any value against the Wings, but taking the Devils on the puckline (-1.5) might be the best move. New Jersey may be just 3-3 ATS in its last six wins, but Detroit has allowed its opponents to go 11-2 ATS in its last 13 losses. We are grabbing the Devils on the puckline this Tuesday.


NEW YORK RANGERS AT NEW YORK ISLANDERS
BATTLE OF NEW YORK


Tuesday gives us the battle of both New York clubs as the Islanders play host to the surging Rangers. One month ago, the Rangers had zero playoff aspirations, now one week before March the Rangers are just four points out a playoff spot after collecting the third-most points in the East over the last 10 games.

The Islanders are just 1-4 SU in their last five but have played better at home of late collecting nine of a possible 10 points in their last five home contests. Not to be outdone, the Rangers have won seven straight on the road, a streak that all began with a 3-2 win in February versus the Islanders. We expect the Rangers to be a good-value underdog on Tuesday and we are backing the them on the moneyline.


EDMONTON OILERS AT LAS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS
EVEN CONNOR CAN’T TOPPLE KNIGHTS


Connor McDavid is back but even the best player in the league might not be enough for the Edmonton Oilers as they visit the Vegas Golden Knights who have ripped off six straight wins. Vegas has been quite comfortable at home of late as the Knights have played five of their last six in Vegas and start another four-game homestand on Wednesday night.

Las Vegas owns the third-best home record in the West and have scored at least five goals in four of its last six home matches. The Oilers are 16-10 SU versus the Eastern Conference this year but just 16-19 SU versus the West. We like the boys in the desert to keep things rolling at home and are grabbing the Knights on the 3-way moneyline on Wednesday.


GOALIE PROFILE: MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD, NEW JERSEY DEVILS

As we mentioned above, the Devils have been playing better than their record of late and a lot of that has to do with the goaltending of rookie goalie MacKenzie Blackwood. The Devils backstop has won six straight starts and has allowed more than two goals just once in that stretch while picking up two shutouts.

In those six victories, the Devils won at +170, -130, +110, -190, -115 and +190. Blackwood might be worth taking some longshot stabs in the next week while the team is playing well in front of him. New Jersey has the Red Wings, Sharks and Kings on deck which are all winnable road games for Blackwood and the Devils.


INJURY UPDATE: THE CAROLINA HURRICANES

Last Saturday night was a bittersweet win for the Hurricanes as they lost both their goalies to injuries and Top-4 defense Brett Pesce who will be out “a while”. The Canes are already without defender Dougie Hamilton — who was in the middle of Norris-type season — and will certainly be active ahead of the trade deadline.

Goalie James Reimer is also expected to be out “a while” which leaves Petr Mrazek who exited the game after getting run over by Leafs’ Kyle Clifford. The Hurricanes had to use an emergency goalie in the game who was actually the Zamboni driver for the Leafs’ affiliated team the Toronto Marlies — and the Leafs still lost.

With so many injuries to the back end, Carolina may be a team to avoid or to play on the Over going forward. The Hurricanes take on the Dallas Stars on Tuesday with a total of 5.5 being the most probable opening line.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• The Colorado Avalanche are without their best winger and No. 1 goalie due to injuries. Their O/U record reflects this. In their last 10, the Avs are 1-9 O/U and have only had 19 combined goals in their last five games — the lowest total in the league. Colorado plays the Sabres on Wednesday.

• The Dallas Stars are known as an Under team (22-38-2 O/U on the year) but their special teams have bettors looking at the Over. The Stars’ powerplay is scoring at a league-best 31 percent in February while their penalty kill has been porous, sitting in third-last at 30 percent. Dallas is 3-1-1 O/U in its last five and hasn’t seen a total of 6 since Jan.

• We understand that sometimes you want to watch some action but don’t have time for the full game. Well, we got you fam, and for those quick hitters the NHL has first-period betting that can get you in and out in under 30-35 minutes. The best teams at hitting first-period Overs in the last 10 games are the Philadelphia Flyers, Vegas Golden Knights, Washington Capitals, and Florida Panthers who are all converting at a rate of 80 percent.
 

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OTTAWA
[D] 02/22/2020 - Thomas Chabot injured last game, is "?" Monday vs Columbus ( Lower Body )
[RW] 02/22/2020 - Tyler Ennis is "?" Monday vs Columbus ( Traded )
[C] 02/22/2020 - Vladislav Namestnikov is "?" Monday vs Columbus ( Traded )

COLUMBUS
[GO] 02/23/2020 - Joonas Korpisalo is upgraded to available Monday vs Ottawa ( Knee )
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
— Thunder won 12 of last 15 games, covered last eight road games.
— Detroit lost last six road games; they’re 7-4 ATS in last 11.
— Celtics covered five of their last seven games as a road favorite.
— Charlotte is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight road games.
— Lakers won/covered four of their last five home games.
— Golden State lost last five home games, covered one of last five at home.


NFL Combine Note of the Day:
“Joe Burrow’s hand size was measured at 9 inches; the length from pinkie to thumb was tied for the smallest among first-round quarterbacks measured at the combine since 2008.”
ESPN.com

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NFL team has gone the longest since drafting a QB in the first round?
(Hint: They’ve gone 18 years longer than any other team)

Monday’s quiz
Roy Williams was the basketball coach at Kansas before Bill Self.

Sunday’s quiz
Of the 30 major league baseball teams, 15 train in Arizona, 15 in Florida.

*****************************************************************************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Major League Baseball needs to promote its product better; they’ve become arrogant/entitled and don’t promote their great sport to younger people.

They also need to get rid of TV blackouts, so more people can see the game and learn to enjoy it.

12) Another thing baseball needs is a Hard Knocks-type program in spring training, where HBO would focus its cameras on one team every year during exhibition games, the way an NFL team does it every year. For the first year, I’d pick the Astros as that team, as part of their punishment for the whole sign-stealing thing.

11) Wisconsin Herd (G-League) head coach Chase Buford was suspended for two games after his epic rant about the officials Saturday night. After posting his quote in this space yesterday, I became curious who Buford was, where he came from.

I mean, his team is 28-9, as the best record in the league; why was he so mad?

10) Buford is 30, went to high school in the San Antonio area:
— He scored 9.2 ppg in his junior year of HS, as a 6-3 guard
— He didn’t play as a senior; he had mononucleosis.

— Despite that shaky resume, he landed at Kansas as an invited walk-on, where he almost never played for three full seasons.

Huh?

9) Turns out that Buford is the son of RC Buford, GM of the San Antonio Spurs, who was a Kansas assistant in the Larry Brown era. His mother played college golf at Kansas.

8) Young Buford has worked his way up the ranks in his pro coaching career:
— 2012-14— Regional scout, video intern for the Atlanta Hawks
— 2015-17— Coordinator of player development, Chicago Bulls
— 2017-18— Assistant coach, Erie BayHawks, G-League
— 2018-19— Assistant coach, Delaware Blue Coats, G-League

His dad got his foot in the door, but he is earning his stripes the right way.

7) Florida State 82, Louisville 67— Seminoles are 24-4, 14-3 in the ACC; they’ve got a legit chance at making the Final Four. Louisville lost three of its last five games after 21-5 start; they don’t play again until Sunday, which helps at this time of year.

6) Scott Cochran is joining Kirby Smart’s staff as Georgia Bulldogs’ new special teams coach; he had been the strength coach at Alabama since Nick Saban took over in Tuscaloosa in 2007.

Cochran was making $595,000 at Alabama; I’m assuming he makes more now, plus this will be his first job as an on-field coach. Alabama-Georgia meet on September 19.

5) ESPN televises cornhole tournaments, which isn’t compelling TV. I’d much rather watch guys play poker or bowl than play cornhole.

4) You watch NBA games and guys travel and lot of times it doesn’t get called, partly because they have a different, more liberal interpretation of what traveling is.

What is traveling everywhere else in the world isn’t always a travel in the NBA; I think it hurts their product, but no one asked what I think.

3) 76ers star Ben Simmons is out with lower back tightness, and is expected to miss an extended period of time.

2) Kansas 83, Oklahoma State 58— OSU is 4-11 in Big X, in 9th place in a tough 10-team league. Cowboys were 10-3 out of conference, beating Houston, Syracuse, Texas A&M, but they’re not good enough to beat the big guys in one of the country’s best leagues.

1) Orioles have 69 guys on their roster right now, Red Sox have 66. Part of the HBO series they should have would be showing the logistics of getting all these guys at-bats, innings on the mound, as teams pare their rosters down to 26 before Opening Day.

Sending guys down to the minors wouldn’t be as emotional as cutting guys the way NFL teams do, but it would still be good television.
 

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1CALGARY -2 BOSTON
BOSTON is 155-136 ATS (-73.9 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

3VANCOUVER -4 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 13-20 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

5SAN JOSE -6 PHILADELPHIA
SAN JOSE is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

7DALLAS -8 CAROLINA
DALLAS are 13-4 ATS (9.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

9TORONTO -10 TAMPA BAY
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-13.6 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

11NY RANGERS -12 NY ISLANDERS
NY RANGERS are 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

13WINNIPEG -14 WASHINGTON
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

15NEW JERSEY -16 DETROIT
DETROIT is 15-52 ATS (-42.2 Units) off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

17OTTAWA -18 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 9-15 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

19CHICAGO -20 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 4-10 ATS (-9.4 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

21COLUMBUS -22 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

23FLORIDA -24 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest in the current season.

25EDMONTON -26 ANAHEIM
EDMONTON is 12-6 ATS (9 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.
 

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NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 25


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CALGARY (32-25-0-6, 70 pts.) at BOSTON (39-12-0-12, 90 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 4-10 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
BOSTON is 20-4 ATS (+12.4 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-12 ATS (+11.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-14 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-12 ATS (+33.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 304-252 ATS (-107.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 57-60 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (33-22-0-6, 72 pts.) at MONTREAL (29-27-0-8, 66 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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SAN JOSE (26-32-0-4, 56 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (35-20-0-7, 77 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 82-82 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 22-35 ATS (-23.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 5-16 ATS (+21.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 10-22 ATS (+35.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-27 ATS (+74.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-11 ATS (+11.2 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 93-66 ATS (+20.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-30 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 270-289 ATS (-29.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 451-398 ATS (-173.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 4-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 4-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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DALLAS (36-20-0-6, 78 pts.) at CAROLINA (35-22-0-4, 74 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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TORONTO (32-23-0-8, 72 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (40-17-0-5, 85 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 32-31 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-39 ATS (-27.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-28 ATS (-17.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-7 ATS (-7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 102-46 ATS (+51.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-5 ATS (+10.3 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-5 ATS (+11.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-2 ATS (+12.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 60-24 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 55-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-4 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 261-252 ATS (+572.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 1-6 ATS (-9.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-2 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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NY RANGERS (33-24-0-4, 70 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (35-20-0-6, 76 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 101-118 ATS (-54.6 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 87-64 ATS (+192.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 33-23 ATS (+5.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 33-28 ATS (+65.3 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 15-12 ATS (+32.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 9-3 ATS (+5.8 Units) in February games this season.
NY RANGERS are 12-5 ATS (+18.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NY RANGERS are 15-13 ATS (+32.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-4 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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WINNIPEG (32-27-0-5, 69 pts.) at WASHINGTON (38-18-0-6, 82 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 155-103 ATS (+42.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-9 ATS (+26.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
WINNIPEG is 35-26 ATS (+68.8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 10-4 ATS (+14.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
WINNIPEG is 43-45 ATS (+110.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (24-27-0-10, 58 pts.) at DETROIT (15-45-0-4, 34 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 4-20 ATS (+29.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-11 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
DETROIT is 17-10 ATS (+32.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 11-7 ATS (+20.5 Units) after a division game this season.
DETROIT is 15-49 ATS (-38.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 130-155 ATS (-112.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 8-35 ATS (+66.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DETROIT is 5-32 ATS (+65.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 7-30 ATS (+66.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 467-382 ATS (-35.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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OTTAWA (21-30-0-12, 54 pts.) at NASHVILLE (30-23-0-8, 68 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 5-18 ATS (+31.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 99-87 ATS (+195.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 30-31 ATS (+68.2 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 9-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
NASHVILLE is 5-8 ATS (-8.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NASHVILLE is 12-16 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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CHICAGO (27-27-0-8, 62 pts.) at ST LOUIS (36-17-0-10, 82 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 24-45 ATS (+73.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-6 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-5-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.8 Units)

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COLUMBUS (31-19-0-14, 76 pts.) at MINNESOTA (29-25-0-7, 65 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-19 ATS (-6.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-23 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-15 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-17 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-28 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-14 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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FLORIDA (32-24-0-6, 70 pts.) at ARIZONA (31-26-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 121-177 ATS (+299.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
FLORIDA is 200-218 ATS (-74.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ARIZONA is 9-3 ATS (+12.3 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
ARIZONA is 10-1 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (33-22-0-7, 73 pts.) at ANAHEIM (24-30-0-8, 56 pts.) - 2/25/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 111-190 ATS (+325.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
EDMONTON is 28-48 ATS (+77.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 45-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 581-484 ATS (+58.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 306-244 ATS (+54.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 283-262 ATS (+590.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 0-9 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 6-14 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 25



Calgary @ Boston

Game 1-2
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
10.088
Boston
11.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-210
6
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-210); Over

Vancouver @ Montreal


Game 3-4
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
11.341
Montreal
12.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-140
6
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-140); Under

Toronto @ Tampa Bay


Game 9-10
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
10.436
Tampa Bay
12.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-190
7
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-190); Under

NY Rangers @ NY Islanders


Game 11-12
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
10.862
NY Islanders
12.288
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-135); Under

San Jose @ Philadelphia


Game 5-6
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.813
Philadelphia
10.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-245
6
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+205); Over

Winnipeg @ Washington


Game 13-14
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
11.467
Washington
9.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+170); Under

Dallas @ Carolina


Game 7-8
February 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
10.043
Carolina
12.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-105); Over

New Jersey @ Detroit


Game 15-16
February 25, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
8.757
Detroit
10.393
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+115); Over

Chicago @ St. Louis


Game 19-20
February 25, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
10.141
St. Louis
12.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-200); Under

Ottawa @ Nashville


Game 17-18
February 25, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
9.469
Nashville
10.393
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-325
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-325); Under

Columbus @ Minnesota


Game 21-22
February 25, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.055
Minnesota
10.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+155); Over

Florida @ Arizona


Game 23-24
February 25, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.796
Arizona
10.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+105); Over

Edmonton @ Anaheim


Game 25-26
February 25, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.061
Anaheim
9.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-150); Under
 

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Joined
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Messages
18,427
Tokens
Wednesday’s 6-pack
NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
— Orlando covered five of its last seven games with Atlanta.
— Clippers covered eight of their last ten games with Phoenix.
— 76ers won their last five games with Cleveland by an average of 19 points.
— Last three Charlotte-New York games stayed under the total.
— Dallas covered six of last nine games with San Antonio.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis-Houston games.

Quote of the Day:
“None of us fear L.A. or the Clippers or Denver like we feared Golden State. It’s not like how we were scared of them. We could easily win the West this year or get knocked out in the first round. Both L.A. teams, Denver, Houston, we’re all excellent teams. Just comes down to somebody gets hot and makes a shot. Our chances are as good as they’ve ever been.”
Houston Rockets owner Tilman Fertitta

Wednesday’s quiz
The great comedian Bill Murray has a son who is an assistant basketball coach for which ACC team?

Tuesday’s quiz
New Orleans Saints have gone the longest since drafting a QB in the first round; they took Archie Manning in the first round of the 1971 draft,

Monday’s quiz
Roy Williams was the basketball coach at Kansas before Bill Self.

********************************************************************

Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Flash back to October 20, 1991—Rams lose a tough game 20-17 to the Raiders; I wasn’t happy about the loss, which dropped the Rams to 3-4 at the time.

I announce right then that I will not have another soda, piece of cake/pie or candy/chips until the Rams win again, which I assumed would be the next week. Wrong.

Rams lost their last 11 games of the season, finished 3-13, and didn’t win another game until September 13, 1992. Not my finest moment.

12) You have to realize; when I worked for New York State, I’d usually be good for three 16-ounce Cokes a day, plus lot of Doritos or Fritos; I freakin’ loved Doritos, but for 11 long months, I didn’t have any. Drank a lot of water, ate lot of pastries. No bueno.

11) I remember on Thanksgiving 1991, I’m at a family dinner with my future ex-wife’s family, and one of her nieces, a 5 or 6-year old girl, walks in the room and hands me a piece of pumpkin pie on a plate. It looked really good, but I explained to her how the Rams hadn’t won yet so she had to bring the pie back to the kitchen. She gave me a strange look.

10) When the Rams finally won the next year, I was 26 pounds lighter than I was 11 months earlier. Learned my lesson; no more stupid statements when I’m ticked off.

9) King McClure is a TV analyst on ESPN; he is only 23 years old, having quit basketball at Baylor because he has the same heart condition that wound up killing Hank Gathers 30 years ago. McClure is a good analyst no matter what his age, but for age 23, he is really, really good.

8) New baseball rule:
— Disabled list is still 10 days for position players, but 15 days for pitchers.
— Same thing with the minor leagues; a position player has to stay in the minors for 10 days, and pitchers have to stay down for 15.

7) Upsets:
— Wake Forest (+10.5) 113, Duke 101, 2OT
— Northern Illinois (+3.5) 73, Eastern Michigan 71
— Oklahoma (+3) 65, Texas Tech 51

6) If the people who run college basketball really want more scoring, a simple way to do that would be to put the NBA’s continuation rule into play. Makes the game more exciting, creates more highlights, and there really isn’t a downside to it.

5) Bronx P Luis Severino needs Tommy John surgery, will miss all of 2020.

4) Wake Forest 113, Duke 101 2OT— Blue Devils led by 9 with 1:21 left, but blew the game, as Demon Deacons end an 11-game losing streak against Duke.

Wake Forest became first Division I team in 19 years to have all five starters score 15+ points and grab 5+ rebounds in the same game.

3) Steph Curry will be back on the court when Golden State plays Washington this Sunday; Curry has been out since October 30 with a hand injury.

2) New Jersey Giants are talking about trading down from the #4 slot in the NFL Draft; since 1967, they’ve traded down in the first round once, so not real likely.

1) ESPN suspended a radio host in Cleveland after the guy called Baker Mayfield a “bleeping midget” when he didn’t know his mike was live on the air.

Apparently “midget” is now an offensive term; not really sure which one got the guy some time off, dropping an f-bomb on the air or insulting a really short person, but he is suspended.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
27BUFFALO -28 COLORADO
BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS (-10.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

29PITTSBURGH -30 LOS ANGELES
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

31EDMONTON -32 VEGAS
EDMONTON is 10-4 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 26


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (29-25-0-8, 66 pts.) at COLORADO (36-18-0-7, 79 pts.) - 2/26/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 232-250 ATS (+541.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 4-12 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 4-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (37-18-0-6, 80 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (22-35-0-6, 50 pts.) - 2/26/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 6-15 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
PITTSBURGH is 20-6 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 22-32 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-42 ATS (+59.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 36-74 ATS (+114.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (33-22-0-7, 73 pts.) at VEGAS (34-22-0-8, 76 pts.) - 2/26/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 14-10 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VEGAS is 80-73 ATS (+178.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-4 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-4-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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