2019-2020 NHL Picks/News/Trends/Best Bets - Thru The Stanley Cup !

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, February 17

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FLORIDA (30-22-0-6, 66 pts.) at SAN JOSE (26-28-0-4, 56 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 198-217 ATS (-75.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 22-31 ATS (-17.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 4-9 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-1 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (33-18-0-6, 72 pts.) at ARIZONA (29-24-0-8, 66 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 85-62 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 102-111 ATS (+249.6 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (24-27-0-7, 55 pts.) at CALGARY (30-24-0-6, 66 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 581-480 ATS (+32.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 306-241 ATS (+34.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CALGARY is 3-7 ATS (-5.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CALGARY is 25-27 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-13 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.7 Units)

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WASHINGTON (37-16-0-5, 79 pts.) at VEGAS (30-22-0-8, 68 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 6:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 17-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 154-100 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-26 ATS (+11.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-28 ATS (+70.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-10 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 30-30 ATS (-20.6 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 31-33 ATS (-17.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 9-16 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VEGAS is 11-15 ATS (-11.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (39-15-0-5, 83 pts.) at COLORADO (33-18-0-6, 72 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 101-44 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 46-22 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in February games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-3 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
TAMPA BAY is 260-251 ATS (+528.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 55-65 ATS (-53.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, February 17


Florida @ San Jose

Game 41-42
February 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
9.884
San Jose
11.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+115); Under

Anaheim @ Calgary

Game 45-46
February 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
9.874
Calgary
11.164
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-190
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-190); Over

NY Islanders @ Arizona

Game 43-44
February 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.962
Arizona
9.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+110); Under

Washington @ Vegas

Game 47-48
February 17, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
9.826
Vegas
11.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-130
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-130); Under

Tampa Bay @ Colorado

Game 49-50
February 17, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.880
Colorado
12.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+100); Under

 

[Udog]

By: Josh Inglis


NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT ARIZONA COYOTES
AFTERNOON DELIGHT

Monday is President’s Day (US) and Family Day (Canada) which means a trio of 4 p.m. ET games. The Islanders bring their six-period goalless drought to Arizona to take on the Coyotes who are clinging to the final playoff spot in the West. Arizona is 6-4 SU at home in its last 10 but has gotten at least one point in nine of those games.

The Islanders have played to a sub-.500 record against the West this year and are 1-6 SU on the road in their last seven matches against Western Conference opponents. We like the home team on this holiday early game and are fading an Islanders team that has been shutout in back-to-back games.


TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT COLORADO AVALANCHE
BATTLE OF THE BEST

It’s not often we get a Tampa Bay moneyline that is -120 or better, but Monday night gives us a great price on the Lightning mainly because Tampa is in Colorado and facing arguably the West’s best team in the Avalanche.

The Lightning are riding a 10-game winning streak (eight wins in regulation) and have also won six straight on the road. Since January 1, Tampa Bay leads the league in goals against allowing just 1.71 goals per game. Tampa is also scoring at the third-best rate (3.64 per game) which is impressive because its powerplay has been awful at a league-worst 7.7 percent success rate.

The Avalanche have dropped two straight games and will likely be without their No. 1 goaltender in Philipp Grubauer. The next man up is Pavel Francouz who is 2-2 SU in 2020 and has done much worse at home this year with a .902 save percentage in the Pepsi Centre versus a .946 save percentage on the road. Francouz has started just two games in the last 35 days. We are grabbing the Lightning on the moneyline.


TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS AT PITTSBURGH PENGUINS
LEAFS ON THE BUBBLE

The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Under in four of thir last five games and are coming off a bad 5-2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres on Sunday that doesn’t help their playoff hopes. However, on the year Toronto is one of the best road Over teams hitting it at 63% on the season and is 7-3 O/U in its last 10 road games.

Goalie Freddy Andersen should draw the start against the Penguins on Tuesday, and the Leafs No. 1 goalie has a 3.95 goals against average and a .857 save percentage in the last 14 days.

The Leafs will face a Penguins team in Pittsburgh on Tuesday that finished the week with a comfortable 5-1 win over the Red Wings and has recorded at least one point in 11 of its last 12 home games — winning nine. Pittsburgh took the only matchup earlier this year with a 6-1 thumping of the Buds back in November. We like the Pens on the ML and the Over 6.5 especially with Toronto’s D-core extremely banged up.


NEW YORK RANGERS AT CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS
RANGERS LOOK GOOD IN ORIGINAL SIX MATCHUP

On Wednesday, the Rangers and their 4-1 SU record over their last five head to Chicago to take on the Blackhawks who have lost six of their last seven.
The Rangers have been hot over their last 10 and have the fourth-most points in the East across that stretch. Chicago has won four of the last five original-six matchups but both teams have yet to face each other this year.

The Rangers’ powerplay has been the catalyst to their success as the Blue Shirts top the league since January 1 in power play scoring percentage at an impressive 37 percent. That could be a problem for the Chicago penalty kill as it is giving up goals at a 20-percent rate while shorthanded since the new year. We are taking the visiting team on the moneyline.


GOALIE PROFILE: TUUKKA RASK, BOSTON BRUIN

The Bruins’ backstop has been a wall in 2020 and hasn't allowed more than two goals in any of his 10 starts in the new year. Rask has won seven of those 10 games including five of his last six. The Bruins, as a team, have the fourth-best save percentage against scoring chances and the fifth-best save percentage against high danger shots.

Boston travels to Edmonton on Wednesday and although Rask hasn’t lost at home this year, he is still 8-5 SU with a 2.24 GAA on the road. Rest has also been beneficial to the Finnish netminder as Rask has just one regulation loss in his 22 starts with three or more days of rest. With Boston playing on the road, we might get a better price for the Bruins moneyline in regulation.


INJURY UPDATE: F EVGENY KUZNETSOV, WASHINGTON CAPITALS

The Washington Capitals are one the league’s best Over teams going 36-19-3 O/U on the year but the Caps will be without Evgeny Kuznetsov for a third straight game on Monday for their date with the Golden Knights.

The Under has hit in both games that Kuznetsov — the team’s second-line center and scoring 0.87 points per game — has missed and now the Capitals’ offense will face Vegas goalie Marc-Andre Fleury who is coming off a 19-save shutout on Saturday. Fleury is quite familiar with the Capitals from his time with the Penguins. We like the Under 6.5 on Monday.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• With the playoff race tightening up with just 20 or so games to go for most teams, it’s no wonder that the Under has been hitting more consistently of late. Over the last seven days, teams went 22-31 O/U with the Under hitting at 58.5 percent with that number dropping to 52 percent over the last month.

• This week gives us some great cross-conference trends to test. The Bruins are 15-6 SU versus the West and 7-2 SU against the Pacific Division and face the Oilers in Edmonton on Wednesday. Edmonton is 15-13 SU at home this year but 10-2 SU against teams from the Metro Division. The Islanders are 3-7 SU versus the Pacific this year and travel to Arizona Monday to face the Coyotes who are 12-14 SU against Eastern Conference opponents.

• Looking for some plays that have been hitting at 80 percent or better? Take a look at first-period totals. The Kings and Blue Jackets are both hitting first-period Unders at 90 percent over their last 10 while the Capitals are hitting the 1P Over at 90 percent in their last 10.

 

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
NBA trends to ponder…….
— Atlanta Hawks: 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Boston Celtics 5-2-1 ATS last eight home games.
— Brooklyn Nets won/covered its last five home games.
— Chicago Bulls are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 road games.
— Cleveland Cavaliers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 home games.
— Seven of last nine Dallas Maverick games went over the total.


Quote of the Day:
“He has the worst (bleep)ing diet ever. He has like five French toast, drowns it in syrup with strawberries and bananas. Then he has like a four-egg omelette and then he goes and just (bleep)ing dunks on somebody. He eats desserts with every meal…..he loves sweets. It is crazy how his body just burns it.”
Tristan Thompson, talking about Lebron James’ eating habits

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was basketball coach at North Carolina before they hired Roy Williams?

Monday’s quiz
George Washington was the first President of the United States; John Adams was the first Vice-President.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Irvine’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

**********************************************************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Random idea to raise money for charity in the summer:
— A 64 player 1-on-1 tournament.
— Two players from each NBA team, with four Wild Card additions.
— When they show the brackets, it would be highly-anticipated TV.
— Each player picks a charity of his choice and earns $$$ for that charity.
— Games are to 20, have to win by 3 points (shots outside arc are 2 points).

Would be difficult to get all the star players on board, but it would be great fun.

12) XFL observations:
— Home teams won six of the first eight games.
— Home favorites are 3-2 ATS, home underdogs 1-2
— Six of eight games stayed under the total.

11) Much like the AAF last year, quarterback play in this spring league is sub-par; thinking back to the USFL in the 80’s, they had Jim Kelly, Doug Flutie, Doug Williams, Steve Young, Bobby Hebert, Brian Sipe, John Reaves— NFL quarterbacks, which is part of what made it so good.

The XFL has been fun to watch so far, but it ain’t the NFL, which is fine.

10) Most interesting part of the XFL so far is the extra point; you cannot kick a PAT, you have three options:
— A one-point conversion from 2-yard line (6-22)
— A two-point conversion from 5-yard line (3-14)
— A three-point conversions from 10-years line (1-2)

So a 9-point game is still a one-possession game; there is no set-in-stone strategy on what is the smart thing to do. Coaches are learning on the fly, which is interesting to observe.

9) XFL teams are running an average of 61.4 plays per game; New York ran only 45-47 plays in their first two games, St Louis ran 71-83 plays in its two games.

8) Defenses are usually ahead of offenses early in any season; we’ll see if the scoring goes up as the season moves along.

7) Xavier 77, St John’s 74— Fast-paced, fun game to watch; Musketeers get their 11th straight win over St John’s. Xavier improves to 17-9, 6-7 in Big East play.

6) In his Hall of Fame career, Tony Gwynn his .302 in at-bats after he had two strikes on him. From 1974-2019, the next best average in that situation? Wade Boggs, at .262.

Some college basketball notes…….
5) Pac-12: Four teams are tied for first in loss column, with four losses. USC/UCLA are both 8-5, a game out of first place. Arizona-Colorado-Oregon look like locks for the tournament; rest of the league is beating each other up.

4) Big 14: If you had a Maryland/Penn State exacta to win the league, you’re looking good right now. Rutgers is trying for its first NCAA Tournament bid since 1991; they could use a road win or two to strengthen their case.

3) Selection Sunday figures to be more dramatic than usual; the bubble is overcrowded, Lots of mediocre/pretty good teams. 15-20 teams can legitimately win the national title, but most of those teams could also lose their first round games. It is that wide open.

2) I’ve said this before, but no conference should get more than eight teams into the NCAA Tournament; if you finish 9th in a league, you don’t deserve to play for the national title, no matter how good your league is.

1) Notre Dame 77, North Carolina 76— Tar Heels are having the season from hell; they had a 15-point lead with 8:39 left in this game, but lost on a 3-pointer with 0:01.6 left. UNC is 3-12 in ACC games, they’re in last place- six of their last seven losses were by 6 or fewer points.

 

[Udog]

51COLUMBUS -52 PHILADELPHIA
COLUMBUS are 17-14 ATS (7.8 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

53TORONTO -54 PITTSBURGH
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-11.9 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

55MONTREAL -56 DETROIT
DETROIT is 6-31 ATS (-21.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

57BUFFALO -58 OTTAWA
BUFFALO is 5-21 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

59CAROLINA -60 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 8-14 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

61NEW JERSEY -62 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 4-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

63LOS ANGELES -64 WINNIPEG
LOS ANGELES are 6-23 ATS (-13.8 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 18

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COLUMBUS (30-18-0-12, 72 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (32-20-0-7, 71 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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TORONTO (31-21-0-8, 70 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (36-15-0-6, 78 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 31-29 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 32-37 ATS (-25.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-26 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-42 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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MONTREAL (27-26-0-8, 62 pts.) at DETROIT (14-43-0-4, 32 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 27-34 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 2-13 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 48-78 ATS (+132.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-17 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
MONTREAL is 2-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 16-10 ATS (+31.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 9-3 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-47 ATS (-54.8 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 129-155 ATS (-114.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 324-307 ATS (-146.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 4-31 ATS (+83.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 6-29 ATS (+64.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 107-126 ATS (-74.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
DETROIT is 5-25 ATS (+54.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 466-382 ATS (+62.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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BUFFALO (27-24-0-8, 62 pts.) at OTTAWA (20-28-0-11, 51 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 7-30 ATS (+56.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 4-21 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-26 ATS (+42.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 68-70 ATS (+159.3 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
BUFFALO is 309-294 ATS (+610.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
OTTAWA is 126-118 ATS (-19.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 3-11 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 174-161 ATS (-64.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-5 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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CAROLINA (33-21-0-4, 70 pts.) at NASHVILLE (29-22-0-7, 65 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 425-448 ATS (-135.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 29-29 ATS (-17.2 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 9-12 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
NASHVILLE is 10-13 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (22-26-0-10, 54 pts.) at ST LOUIS (32-17-0-10, 74 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 4-19 ATS (+28.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 11-6 ATS (+18.8 Units) after a division game this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-6 ATS (-8.7 Units) in February games this season.
ST LOUIS is 6-12 ATS (-11.1 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (21-33-0-5, 47 pts.) at WINNIPEG (30-25-0-5, 65 pts.) - 2/18/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 10-4 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.9 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 18


Columbus @ Philadelphia

Game 51-52
February 18, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
10.498
Philadelphia
11.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-145); Under

Toronto @ Pittsburgh

Game 53-54
February 18, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
10.220
Pittsburgh
11.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-140); Under

Buffalo @ Ottawa

Game 57-58
February 18, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
10.387
Ottawa
11.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+100); Under

Montreal @ Detroit

Game 55-56
February 18, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.028
Detroit
10.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-210
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+175); Over

New Jersey @ St. Louis

Game 61-62
February 18, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
9.733
St. Louis
10.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-240
6
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-240); Over

Carolina @ Nashville

Game 59-60
February 18, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.517
Nashville
11.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-125); Under

Los Angeles @ Winnipeg

Game 63-64
February 18, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
11.322
Winnipeg
10.525
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+140); Under

 

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Best NBA teams ATS when favored:
— Memphis Grizzlies, 12-4 ATS, +7.5 units
— Miami Heat, 21-13-1 ATS, +7.2
— Toronto Raptors, 23-16 ATS, +6.6
— Milwaukee Bucks, 30-22 ATS, +6.5
— Boston Celtics, 21-15-2 ATS, +5.2
— LA Clippers, 24-19 ATS, +3.9


Quote of the Day:
“You got two choices: You can compete your butt off, or you can get in the fetal position and curl up and start crying……”
Roy Williams

Wednesday’s quiz
Which Las Vegas casino looks like a castle on the outside?

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Doherty was basketball coach at North Carolina before they hired Roy Williams.

Monday’s quiz
George Washington was the first President of the United States; John Adams was the first Vice-President.

******************************************************************

Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Baylor 65, Oklahoma 54— Bears have won 23 games in a row, longest win streak in history of the Big X; Baylor played without starting G MaCio Teague; they’ve now held onto the #1 spot in country longer than anyone since Kentucky five years ago.

12) Creighton 73, Marquette 65— Bluejays sweep Marquette, have won eight of their last nine games. Creighton is shooting 37.9% on the arc (#17).

11) John Beilein is expected to leave the NBA’s Cleveland Cavaliers today, after less than a year on the job; if he wants to return to college coaching, that will make some coaches who are having bad years queasy. Beilein is a very good coach whose experiment with the NBA was a failure, but colleges will line up to hire him. NBA is obviously way more of a players’ league.

10) William Hill sportsbooks have posted 83.5 as the over/under for number of times Houston Astro batters will get drilled by pitches this season.

Astro batters were hit 66 times LY; only nine times in last five years has a team been hit by more than 83 pitches in a season.

9) St Joe’s 73, Davidson 72— Wildcats led by 19 at half, lose to a St Joe’s team that was 0-12 in conference coming in. Davidson had won six of their last eight games before this.

8) Someone at The Mirage in Las Vegas wagered $500 on San Diego State to win the national title when the Aztecs were 500-1, so they’re sitting on a quarter million bucks if that happens.

7) Upsets:
— St Joe’s (+11.5) 73, Davidson 72
— St Francis (+7.5) 87, LIU 77
— Illinois (+6.5) 62, Penn State 56
— Central Connecticut (+5.5) 76, FDU 75

6) Drew Brees announced he is coming back to the Saints next year, which means backup Teddy Bridgewater will be moving along to another team, a team that will be lucky to have him.

5) UNLV 80, Colorado State 56— This was best game the Rebels have played in several years; they just hammered a Colorado State team that beat UNLV 95-77 in Fort Collins 17 days ago.

4) When Virginia coach Tony Bennett worked at Washington State, his Coogs went 32-22 in Pac-12 games. Pullman is a tough place to recruit to. 32-22 is a very good record.

Since Bennett left the Coogs for Virginia, Wazzu is 56-137 in conference games.

3) Last five years, Gonzaga is 69-3 in conference games!!!! 69 and freakin’ 3!!!!!

2) Pretty cool that former NBA star Marques Johnson, posted a video on Twitter Monday of him dunking a basketball in his driveway. Johnson is 64, so thats cool.

I’m 60; only dunking I’ve ever been able to do involves a donut and some hot chocolate.

1) There will be actual baseball games Saturday so we’ll have something to talk about other than the BS of the last couple months. They’re only exhibition games, but thats good enough for now.

 

[Udog]

65NY RANGERS -66 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 3-13 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

67BOSTON -68 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 10-1 ATS (12 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

69ARIZONA -70 DALLAS
DALLAS are 30-16 ATS (12.2 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

71NY ISLANDERS -72 COLORADO
NY ISLANDERS are 23-5 ATS (17.5 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

73FLORIDA -74 ANAHEIM
FLORIDA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the current season.

75MINNESOTA -76 VANCOUVER
MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 19


NY Rangers @ Chicago

Game 65-66
February 19, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
10.606
Chicago
12.003
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-130
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-130); Under

Boston @ Edmonton

Game 67-68
February 19, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
12.788
Edmonton
11.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-175
6
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-175); Under

Arizona @ Dallas

Game 69-70
February 19, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.902
Dallas
10.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); Over

Florida @ Anaheim

Game 73-74
February 19, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.135
Anaheim
10.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-135); Under

NY Islanders @ Colorado

Game 71-72
February 19, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.828
Colorado
10.320
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+145); Over

Minnesota @ Vancouver

Game 75-76
February 19, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.741
Vancouver
11.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-135); Over

 

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (30-24-0-4, 64 pts.) at CHICAGO (26-25-0-8, 60 pts.) - 2/19/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 6-29 ATS (+53.2 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-3 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
NY RANGERS are 30-28 ATS (+62.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 40-51 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (37-11-0-12, 86 pts.) at EDMONTON (32-21-0-6, 70 pts.) - 2/19/2020, 8:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 32-27 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 11-6 ATS (+18.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 16-9 ATS (+26.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
EDMONTON is 14-9 ATS (+4.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 18-3 ATS (+12.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-14 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 13-20 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (30-24-0-8, 68 pts.) at DALLAS (34-19-0-6, 74 pts.) - 2/19/2020, 8:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (33-19-0-6, 72 pts.) at COLORADO (33-18-0-7, 73 pts.) - 2/19/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 85-63 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 22-12 ATS (+34.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 102-112 ATS (+250.8 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 54-50 ATS (+121.4 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
COLORADO is 55-66 ATS (-54.6 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
COLORADO is 3-7 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (31-22-0-6, 68 pts.) at ANAHEIM (24-28-0-7, 55 pts.) - 2/19/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 199-217 ATS (-74.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 581-481 ATS (+59.0 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 306-242 ATS (+51.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 283-259 ATS (+587.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 0-7 ATS (+7.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (27-24-0-7, 61 pts.) at VANCOUVER (32-22-0-5, 69 pts.) - 2/19/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-22 ATS (-15.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 32-27 ATS (+60.2 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 18-12 ATS (+34.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 259-260 ATS (-115.6 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 413-394 ATS (-38.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 108-98 ATS (-69.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-4 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds for this week’s WGC – Mexico Championship
6-1— Rory McIlroy
8-1— Dustin Johnson
10-1— Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas
20-1— Fleetwood, Matsuyama, Schauffele, Scott, Simpson
30-1— Bryson DeChambeau
40-1— Casey, Garcia, Kuchar, Morikawa, Oosthuizen, Reed, Woodland


Tweet of the Day:
“The way the media talk so down on us (Cincinnati Bengals) is really absurd. The disrespect is crazy but it’s life all it consist of is proven people wrong.”
Bengals’ WR Tyler Boyd

Thursday’s quiz
Which current ACC basketball coach was coach at George Mason when they made the Final Four in 2006?

Wednesday’s quiz
Excalibur Casino in Las Vegas casino looks like a castle on the outside.

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Doherty was basketball coach at North Carolina before they hired Roy Williams.

*****************************************************************************

Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) NC State 88, Duke 66:
— Sunday, Wolfpack lost to a sub-par Boston College team
— This game, they ran the Blue Devils off the floor.
— Saturday, they host Florida State, another top 25 team.

To win the national title, you have to win six games in a row; not sure how many teams there are in this year of incredibly erratic play that can play well six games in a row.

12) Seton Hall 74, Butler 72— Pirates scored on a lob pass on an out-of-bounds under play with 0:00.6 left to win this game, after they blew a 5-point lead with 0:35 left. Butler lost for fourth time in last six games, despite shooting 58.8% inside arc.

11) Sounds like the NFL is expanding the playoffs to 14 teams next year, so the #1 seeds in each conference will be the only teams to get a first-round bye.

10) Mississippi State 79, South Carolina 76— Bulldogs won eight of last 11 games, are 8-5 in SEC as they try to get off the NCAA bubble.

Miss State coach Ben Howland got UCLA to the Final Four three years in a row, from 2006-08, never won the national title, and wound up getting fired after a 25-10, 13-5 season in 2013. He’s a really good coach; Starkville ain’t the easiest place to win. Would be impressive if Miss State makes it to the NCAAs this year, with experience team #287.

9) East Tennessee State 75, Furman 66— Buccaneers improve to 12-3 in SoCon, lead Furman and NC-Greensboro by game. In five years under Steve Forbes, ETSU is 124-47, 68-19 in conference games. How the hell has some big $$$$ team not hired this guy?

8) Stephen F Austin could be a very nervous team on Selection Sunday, unless they win the Southland Conference tournament. Lumberjacks are 23-3, have run away with the regular season title in Southland, and they won 85-83 in OT at Duke Nov 26. Big win.

But SF Austin is ranked #110 on KenPom, nowhere near the bubble; they lost by 12 at Rutgers, by 10 at Alabama, two losses that look better now than they did then- they also lost a league game in Corpus Christi, a bad loss.

If the Lumberjacks were to get upset in the Southland tourney, I’d still much rather see them in the NCAAs than the 10th or 11th place team in the Big 14. Don’t think it’ll happen, though.

7) Upsets:
— Central Florida (+11) 89, Cincinnati 87, 2OT
— Texas A&M (+10.5) 74, Alabama 68
— George Washington (+10) 70, Duquesne 67
— Lamar (+8.5) 77, Sam Houston State 65
— Tulane (+8) 80, SMU 72
— VMI (+8) 74, Western Carolina 71
— NC State (+7.5) 88, Duke 66
— Indiana (+6.5) 68, Minnesota 56
— Incarnate Word (+6.5) 65, McNeese State 59

6) Michigan 60, Rutgers 52— Scarlet Knights are much improved at 18-9, 9-7 in conference, but they look like they practice without a basketball. Rutgers is shooting 29.8% on arc (#318), 65.2% on arc (#320). No bueno.

5) Miami 102, Virginia Tech 95, 3OT— Kameron McGusty scored 21 points in 44:00 for Miami, and he didn’t start. Teams combined to make 53 of 60 foul shots. Hurricanes led by 12 early in second half, needed 3 OT’s to break their 6-game road losing streak.

Tech led by 7 with 4:35 left, but lost for sixth time in last seven games.

4) Someone posted a video on Twitter Wednesday; Bogdan Bogdanovic of Sacramento Kings, making 90 foul shots in a row at practice- they actually just showed him missing the 91st foul shot, but you get the idea. The skill level of NBA players is underrated, how hard they work to become as good as they are.

3) Drake 77, Valparaiso 75 OT— Bulldogs were up 18 at the half, survive in OT and improve to 18-10, 8-7 in Missouri Valley. Drake is on its fifth head coach in eight years; they’re 20-13 in MVC in two years under Darian DeVries.

2) ESPN runs a promo for SportsCenter during the NC State-Duke game, what is their big promo? Lebron James? Astros? Drew Brees? The Wilder fight this weekend?

Nope, they hype an interview with Zion Williamson, who would be on the network less if his mother ran ESPN. Enough already with the kid, at least for a while.

1) They called a flagrant foul on a Duke player early in the 2nd half last night; players were under the basket, jockeying for position, nothing major, but the NC State kid got slapped in the face, and they called it a flagrant foul. Rule makers are making basketball a much softer game, and I don’t think it helps the game— too many whistles, too many replay reviews.

 

[Udog]

1SAN JOSE -2 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 3-11 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

3PHILADELPHIA -4 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

5MONTREAL -6 WASHINGTON
MONTREAL is 26-34 ATS (-16.7 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

7PITTSBURGH -8 TORONTO
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-12.9 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

9WINNIPEG -10 OTTAWA
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

11ARIZONA -12 ST LOUIS
ARIZONA is 40-107 ATS (-50.8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.

13TAMPA BAY -14 VEGAS
TAMPA BAY is 18-4 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

15FLORIDA -16 LOS ANGELES
FLORIDA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (26-29-0-4, 56 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (22-27-0-10, 54 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 22-32 ATS (-20.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games in February games this season.
SAN JOSE is 14-6 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 4-17 ATS (+31.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NEW JERSEY is 6-19 ATS (+27.1 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (33-20-0-7, 73 pts.) at COLUMBUS (30-19-0-12, 72 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 269-289 ATS (-102.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 450-398 ATS (-125.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-11 ATS (+10.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 1-7 ATS (-9.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-5 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (27-27-0-8, 62 pts.) at WASHINGTON (37-17-0-5, 79 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 27-35 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 2-14 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-13 ATS (-9.7 Units) after a division game this season.
MONTREAL is 19-40 ATS (+65.3 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 48-79 ATS (+132.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-18 ATS (-11.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
MONTREAL is 2-12 ATS (-14.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MONTREAL is 15-39 ATS (+67.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 154-101 ATS (+290.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 135-86 ATS (+33.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 27-23 ATS (+58.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-5 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (37-15-0-6, 80 pts.) at TORONTO (31-22-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (31-25-0-5, 67 pts.) at OTTAWA (21-28-0-11, 53 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 13-7 ATS (+23.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
OTTAWA is 127-118 ATS (-18.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 1-11 ATS (+19.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
OTTAWA is 175-161 ATS (-120.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-3 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (30-25-0-8, 68 pts.) at ST LOUIS (33-17-0-10, 76 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 25-22 ATS (+56.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-12 ATS (-12.4 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 6-2 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 6-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (40-15-0-5, 85 pts.) at VEGAS (31-22-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 102-44 ATS (+24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 47-22 ATS (+16.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in February games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-3 ATS (+13.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 38-14 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-3 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 31-30 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 32-33 ATS (-16.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 4-9 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
VEGAS is 10-16 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VEGAS is 27-32 ATS (-16.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 2-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (32-22-0-6, 70 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (21-34-0-5, 47 pts.) - 2/20/2020, 10:38 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, February 20


Pittsburgh @ Toronto

Game 7-8
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.170
Toronto
10.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-115
6 12
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-105); Under

San Jose @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
9.387
New Jersey
10.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(-125); Under

Montreal @ Washington

Game 5-6
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
10.673
Washington
9.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+170); Under

Philadelphia @ Columbus

Game 3-4
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.264
Columbus
11.051
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-120); Under

Winnipeg @ Ottawa

Game 9-10
February 20, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.524
Ottawa
11.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-135); Over

Arizona @ St. Louis

Game 11-12
February 20, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.561
St. Louis
11.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-175); Under

Tampa Bay @ Vegas

Game 13-14
February 20, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.568
Vegas
11.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(+100); Under

Florida @ Los Angeles

Game 15-16
February 20, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.567
Los Angeles
11.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-140
6
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+120); Over

 

[Yankeecanuck22]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, February 20


Pittsburgh @ Toronto

Game 7-8
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.170
Toronto
10.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-115
6 12
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-105); Under

San Jose @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
9.387
New Jersey
10.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(-125); Under

Montreal @ Washington

Game 5-6
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
10.673
Washington
9.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+170); Under

Philadelphia @ Columbus

Game 3-4
February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.264
Columbus
11.051
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-120); Under

Winnipeg @ Ottawa

Game 9-10
February 20, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.524
Ottawa
11.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-135); Over

Arizona @ St. Louis

Game 11-12
February 20, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.561
St. Louis
11.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-175); Under

Tampa Bay @ Vegas

Game 13-14
February 20, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.568
Vegas
11.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(+100); Under

Florida @ Los Angeles

Game 15-16
February 20, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.567
Los Angeles
11.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-140
6
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+120); Over

is Cnotes ok? Haven’t heard from him in forever

 

[Udog]

is Cnotes ok? Haven’t heard from him in forever

I haven't talked with him in a couple of weeks, Yankee. He was feeling a little better but he must have relapsed. He thought he had the flu in the beginning but the docs ruled that out. I just don't know what's going on. I hope he's okay.

 

[Udog]

Friday’s 6-pack
NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
— Washington covered eight of its last 11 home games.
— Mavericks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
— Phoenix covered once in its last six road games.
— Knicks are 9-6 ATS at home since changing coaches.
— Minnesota covered twice in its last sixteen games.
— Nuggets are 7-4 in their last eleven games.

Quote of the Day:
“It’s kind of hard when you have a computer program that breaks your signs. We actively changed signs. Every single pitch, we were changing signs. You had to because they would relay them to second, stealing them from first, too — from between your legs. They had a very intricate system going on. We were well aware of it and it was a challenge. It was a mental challenge to really overcome that. ”
Veteran catcher Jonathan Lucroy, talking about playing against the Astros

Friday’s quiz
Of the 40 teams in the Final Four over the last ten years, how many of them won their conference tournament that season?

Thursday’s quiz
Miami coach Jim Larranaga was coach at George Mason when they made the Final Four in 2006.

Wednesday’s quiz
Excalibur Casino in Las Vegas casino looks like a castle on the outside.

***************************************************************************

Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

13) Eastern Illinois 63, Murray State 60— Racers led this game 50-23 with 11:45 left to play, and lost; they led by 24 with 8:33 left. Panthers outscored Murray 35-10 over last 10:00 of game, as Racers lose for third time in last five games, and slip into a tie for 2nd in OVC with Belmont.

12) Gonzaga 71, San Francisco 54— USF was up 31-22 at half; first time they met, Gonzaga was down 43-35 at halftime, but won 83-79. Gonzaga was 25-32 on foul line in first meeting, only 4-5 on arc. Last night, they were 5-13 on arc, 8-15 on foul line.

San Francisco might be the best 17-11 team in the country; whoever draws Gonzaga in the NCAA’s is going to watch film of these two games, for sure.

11) Four games in the WCC Thursday, favorites won all four, but none of them covered.

10) Arizona State 77, Oregon 72— Bill Walton’s random fact of the night: Tempe, AZ is the #1 drop-off destination in the country for U-Haul vehicles.

Frank Caliendo joined the broadcast for part of the first half; his impersonation of Walton is spot-on. Having two guys on a broadcast who talk like Walton was a bit much.

9) Temple 93, UConn 89 2OT— Owls were 27-35 on foul line, UConn 18-20, in game where the Huskies led by 12 early on. Temple won three of its last four games, with all three wins by 4 or less points, or in OT.

8) 3-pointers became a permanent thing in college basketball in the fall of 1986; since then, only two teams (UNLV, Princeton) have made a 3-pointer in all their games.

Vanderbilt was also on this list, until they went 0-25 on arc against Tennessee January 18.

7) Indiana State 67, Northern Iowa 64— Minor upset in MVC, but Panthers lose in Terre Haute for fifth year in a row, so not as big an upset as the standings would suggest.

6) Hawai’i 56, Cal-Riverside 55— Rainbows blew a 17-point lead, but won and snapped their 4-game losing skid in what was an oddly entertaining game. Not often Riverside gets national TV exposure; both teams played their hearts out, but neither team is very good.

5) Stanford 72, Washington 64— This is how fragile teams are in today’s college basketball, even really good teams. On January 5, Washington pounded USC 72-40; they were 11-4, ranked #50 in country by KenPom. Then point guard Quade Green flunked out of school.

Since then, losing one player, Washington is 1-11, and has dropped into last place in Pac-12. Huskies would be a lock for the NCAA’s if they had better tutors (kidding, kind of).

4) Upsets:
— Denver (+6.5) 100, Oral Roberts 96 OT
— Wm & Mary (+6) 61, Towson State 51
— Youngstown State (+6) 88, Wright State 70
— UMBC (+5) 69, Albany 50
— Eastern Illinois (+4.5) 63, Murray State 60

3) Surprising stat of the day: Patrick Mahomes played for three years at Texas Tech; they went 16-21 in those three seasons.

2) 76ers 112, Nets 104 OT— If you had Brooklyn +6.5, this was a bitter defeat; Nets led by 20 at one point. Ben Simmons didn’t play; Embiid scored 39, grabbed 16 rebounds.

1) All winter long, I’ve read about the Cubs trading Kris Bryant; all of a sudden, Bryant is going to be their new leadoff hitter. Go figure.

 

[Udog]

17DETROIT -18 NY ISLANDERS
BARRY TROTZ is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games (Coach of NY ISLANDERS)

19NY RANGERS -20 CAROLINA
NY RANGERS are 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

21NASHVILLE -22 CHICAGO
NASHVILLE is 11-15 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

23ST LOUIS -24 DALLAS
DALLAS are 13-3 ATS (11.6 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

25BOSTON -26 CALGARY
BOSTON is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

27MINNESOTA -28 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 10-2 ATS (11 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

29COLORADO -30 ANAHEIM
COLORADO is 16-7 ATS (9.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, February 21


NY Rangers @ Carolina

Game 19-20
February 21, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.287
Carolina
12.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-160); Under

Detroit @ NY Islanders

Game 17-18
February 21, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
8.756
NY Islanders
10.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-300
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-300); Over

Nashville @ Chicago

Game 21-22
February 21, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
10.222
Chicago
11.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-125
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+105); Over

St. Louis @ Dallas

Game 23-24
February 21, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
11.638
Dallas
10.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+120); Over

Boston @ Calgary

Game 25-26
February 21, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.585
Calgary
11.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+120); Under

Minnesota @ Edmonton

Game 27-28
February 21, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.576
Edmonton
10.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-105); Under

Colorado @ Anaheim

Game 29-30
February 21, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
10.672
Anaheim
9.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-160); Over

 

[Udog]

by: Josh Inglis


ST LOUIS BLUES AT DALLAS STARS
WESTERN SHOWDOWN

Two of the top teams in the West will square off on Friday when the struggling St. Louis Blues visit the Dallas Stars. The Blues have managed just 17 points since the beginning of the year and are losers of five of their last six games.
Dallas, on the other hand, has the most points in the West over its last 10 games even though the Stars are allowing the 10th-most goals and scoring the 13th-fewest goals per game since January 12.

Not known for their offense, the Stars shouldn’t have any problem scoring against the Blues as the defending champs are allowing 3.45 a game in their last 10 (the sixth-highest rate in the league), although they did shutout the Devils on Tuesday. The Blues have won the last three meetings in Dallas while the Under has hit in eight straight meetings. We like the home team on the moneyline and wouldn’t say no to the Under 5.5.


WINNIPEG JETS AT PHILADELPHIA FLYERS
BATTLE OF THE BEST

Saturday afternoon gives us February’s best offense in the Eastern Conference as the Flyers host the Winnipeg Jets. Philadelphia is averaging just over four goals a game this month and is 6-3 O/U. The Jets are scoring 3.56 goals per contest (5th) this month thanks in part to averaging 34.5 shots per game — the fifth-most in the league.

These two clubs played to a 7-3 Jets win back in December and we like another high-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon. Both teams won’t be on much rest as they will be playing their third game in five nights. We are a big fan of afternoon Overs and home teams. We are riding the Flyers’ moneyline if priced reasonably and for sure taking the Over which should be set at 6 but willing to play it at 6.5


CAROLINA HURRICANES AT TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
FADING FAST

The last time the Maple Leafs played the Carolina Hurricanes, Toronto walked away with an incredible 8-6 win after blowing a 3-0 lead and trailing 5-3 in the third. Well, the Leafs don’t seem to have the same fight in them as before and have only won in regulation twice in their last ten games.

They may be fighting for a playoff seed but the Buds have shown very little motivation heading into the weekend with embarrassing losses to Pittsburgh and Buffalo earlier in the week. Saturday will mark Toronto’s third game in five nights and its second chance to collect a regulation win at home since Jan 14. Even with the decent performance at home versus Pittsburgh on Thursday, we are still in full Toronto fade-mode and will look to take the Canes on the moneyline or team total Over 3.5.


CALGARY FLAMES AT DETROIT RED WINGS
FLAMING THE WINGS

Want a piece of the league’s hottest offense? On Sunday, the red-hot Calgary Flames will take their league-best offense over the last five games to Detroit — the league’s worst team at keeping pucks out of its net.

On the year, Detroit is dead-last in goals allowed per game at 3.74 per contest and also sits last in save percentage. Calgary won’t have a problem racking up goals, but it’s the defense/goaltending that has us looking at the Over. Although the Flames are scoring over four goals a game this month, they are also surrendering the most goals against, too. Taking an Over with Detroit is risky (26-28-8 O/U on the season) but if they can get two, Calgary should be able to do the rest. We are taking the Over 6 to wrap up the week.


GOALIE PROFILE: SERGEI BOBROVSKY, FLORIDA PANTHERS

With the Panthers in the middle of a playoff race, one would expect some steady goaltending from their prized off-season acquisition, but unfortunately for the Cats, Sergei Bobrovsky has been anything but consistent. Bob has won just two of his last seven starts and has an ugly 3.60 goals against over the last 30 days.

Over backers have enjoyed the Florida goalie’s starts this year. In his last 21 starts, Bobrovsky has allowed three or more goals in 16 of those games. Think about that for a bit. There is a reason Florida is 34-21-3 O/U on the season. The Panthers take on the Golden Knights in Vegas on Saturday night.


INJURY UPDATE: F MIKKO RANTANEN, COLORADO AVALANCHE

The Colorado Avalanche will be without forward Mikko Rantanen for an extended period of time after Monday’s loss to the Lightning. Rantanen is second on the team in points per game at just under one per contest. The Finnish forward has already missed 16 games this and won’t be able to help his team as the Avs make a push to win the Pacific Division.

Since Rantanen's return in late November, the Avs have averaged 3.52 goals per game (2nd) and are 20 percent on the powerplay (20th). In the games that Rantanen was out of the lineup in late October and November, Colorado managed just a slight dip in goal production at 3.38 per game (7th) and a similar 19 percent on the powerplay. There is a reason why the Avs are one of the best teams in the league and part of that has to do with their adaptability. Don’t fade the Avs just because they are missing their top winger.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• A big part of hitting -1.5 pucklines, which are hitting at 34 percent over the last month, is getting the empty netter. Some teams are better at that than others with players who are in scoring races always looking to get a freebie or two. The Capitals, Coyotes, Bruins, Hurricanes and Leafs are the league’s best at getting empty-net goals while the Golden Knights, Ducks, Devils, Kings and Canadiens are scoring the fewest.

• A great bet that holds a lot of value is “team to score first wins — NO.” These odds usually sit in the +160 to +200 range and some teams are much better at cashing than others. The Red Wings (obviously), Kings, Ducks, Canadiens, Jets, Rangers, Sabres and Senators are the league’s losingest teams when scoring first. Oddly, the Boston Bruins have a .595 winning percentage when scoring first which is the seventh-worst mark in the league. The Panthers and Hurricanes are the only two teams that are winning at .800 percent or better when scoring first.

• Powerplay goals are an important part of hitting Overs. It is uncommon to get six or seven 5-on-5 goals in a single game. The Ducks, Senators and Blues are all allowing at least one powerplay goal against per game in February while the Stars and Wild are scoring at least one powerplay goal per game in February. The Flyers and Coyotes lead the league this month in powerplay time on ice per game while the Bruins and Hurricanes lead the league in penalty kill time on ice per game.