Armadillo: Monday's six-pack
Top six picks for Week 12 in Westgate Super Contest:
6) Titans -3, (748)- W
5) Cowboys +6.5 (840)- W
4) Jets +3 (891)- W
3) Ravens -3 (1,021)
2) Seahawks +2 (1,148)- W
1) Packers +3.5 (1,312)- L
2019 record: 37-31-3
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Armadillo: Monday's Den; Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Browns 41, Dolphins 24:
— Dolphins had 8 penalties for 94 yards; they had been the least penalized team in league.
— Fitzpatrick turned 37 Sunday; how does it help Miami for him to play?
— Dolphins are 7-14 ATS in last 21 road games, 3-2 TY.
— Former Dolphin Landry caught 10 balls for 148 yards, two TD’s.
— Cleveland’s first five drives: 34 plays, 264 yards, four TD’s.
— Browns won their last three games after a 2-6 start.
Bills 20, Broncos 3:
— Broncos’ first five drives: 30 plays, 127 yards, nine first downs, 3 points.
— Broncos’ last five drives: 15 plays, 2 yards, no first downs, no points.
— Denver lost four of its last five games; they’ve converted only 18 of last 88 3rd down plays..
— Buffalo is 8-0 TY when it scores 17+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
— Bills outgained Denver 424-134; they ran ball for 244 yards.
— Under is 8-3 in Buffalo games TY.
Steelers 16, Bengals 10:
— Steelers benched QB Rudolph at halftime; 3rd-stringer Devlin played 2nd half.
— Pitt won five of its last six game, after a 1-4 start.
— Steelers are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (0-1 TY)
— Winless Bengals are 0-5 SU at home, with three losses by 10+ points.
— Cincy scored three TD’s on 33 drives in Finley’s three starts
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
Bears 19, Giants 14:
— Giants lost their last seven games (2-5 ATS).
— Giants started three drives in row in 2nd quarter in Chicago territory, went TD/MFG/MFG, missing 42-43 yard field goals.
— Big Blue threw for 134 yards, averaging 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Bears are 4-0 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-6 when they allow more.
— Five of Bears’ six home games, and last five games overall, stayed under total.
— Trubisky threw for 278 yards; the hip pointer he had last week healed pretty quickly.
Jets 34, Raiders 3:
— Didn’t see this coming; Jets outgained Raiders, 401-208.
— Oakland has lost four of five true road games this year.
— Darnold averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempt against the Raider defense.
— Jets won their last three games, scoring 34-34-34 points.
— NYJ’s first six drives: 44 plays, 330 yards, 18 first downs, 3 TD’s, 2 FG’s, one missed FG.
— Jets are 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.
Saints 34, Panthers 31:
— Carolina missed a PAT, and a 28-yard FG with 1:56 left, with score tied.
— Panthers lost four of last five games after a 4-2 start.
— Carolina is 25-13 ATS in last 38 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY.
— Saints won eight of their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
— New Orleans scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
— Underdogs covered nine of last ten Panther-Saint games.
Bucs 35, Falcons 16:
— Tampa Bay averaged 11.2 yards/pass attempt; Godwin caught 7 balls for 184 yards, two TD’s.
— Bucs are 3-3 when they’re even/positive in turnovers; 1-4 otherwise.
— Tampa Bay turned it over twice; thats 27 turnovers for season (-10).
— Under Quinn, Atlanta is 11-20 ATS as a home favorite, 0-2 TY.
— Falcons lost their last four home games, giving up 30.8 ppg.
— Atlanta scored only one TD, kicked three FG’s in four red zone drives.
Redskins 19, Lions 16:
— Detroit outgained Redskins 364-230, but turned ball over four times (-2).
— Lions scored only 13 points on three trips to red zone.
— Detroit lost four games in row, seven of last eight.
— Washington’s only TD was a 91-yard kick return in second quarter.
— Redskins scored two TD’s on their last 46 drives.
— Six of Redskins’ last eight games stayed under the total.
Seahawks 17, Eagles 9:
— Seattle is 9-2 with one win by more than eight points.
— Seahawks covered seven of last ten post-bye games.
— Seahawks are 6-0 SU on road TY, giving up 19.5 ppg; they’re 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite, 2-1 TY.
— Eagles went 21 drives between touchdowns, scoring one here with 0:20 left.
— Hard to win when you turn ball over five times on 12 drives (-3).
— Four of Philly’s last five games stayed under the total.
Titans 42, Jaguars 20:
— Jacksonville was outscored 101-36 in losing its last three games.
— Jax is 11-21-1 ATS in last 33 games where spread was 3 or fewer points
— Jaguars allowed 13.3 yards/pass attempt vs Ryan Tannehill.
— Tennessee scored 29.4 ppg in winning four of Tannehill’s first five starts.
— Titans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 225 yards, 8 first downs, 4 TD’s.
— Tennessee won last four home games; their last five games went over.
Patriots 13, Cowboys 9:
— Cowboys lost field position by 20 yards in this game.
— Dallas lost five of its last eight games after a 3-0 start.
— Dallas missed a FG off the upright, had punt blocked on next series.
— New England scored one TD, on a 12-yard drive.
— Patriots are 24-9-2 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
— New England won all five home games TY by average score of 27-11
49ers 37, Packers 8:
— Green Bay converted 1-15 on 3rd down, averaged 1.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers won five of last seven games, with both losses in California.
— Green Bay/Minnesota are tied for first place in NFC North.
— 49ers outscored last five opponents 91-33 n first half.
— Garoppolo averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.
— This was fourth time this season 49ers held an opponent under 200 yards.
Top six picks for Week 12 in Westgate Super Contest:
6) Titans -3, (748)- W
5) Cowboys +6.5 (840)- W
4) Jets +3 (891)- W
3) Ravens -3 (1,021)
2) Seahawks +2 (1,148)- W
1) Packers +3.5 (1,312)- L
2019 record: 37-31-3
**********
Armadillo: Monday's Den; Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Browns 41, Dolphins 24:
— Dolphins had 8 penalties for 94 yards; they had been the least penalized team in league.
— Fitzpatrick turned 37 Sunday; how does it help Miami for him to play?
— Dolphins are 7-14 ATS in last 21 road games, 3-2 TY.
— Former Dolphin Landry caught 10 balls for 148 yards, two TD’s.
— Cleveland’s first five drives: 34 plays, 264 yards, four TD’s.
— Browns won their last three games after a 2-6 start.
Bills 20, Broncos 3:
— Broncos’ first five drives: 30 plays, 127 yards, nine first downs, 3 points.
— Broncos’ last five drives: 15 plays, 2 yards, no first downs, no points.
— Denver lost four of its last five games; they’ve converted only 18 of last 88 3rd down plays..
— Buffalo is 8-0 TY when it scores 17+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
— Bills outgained Denver 424-134; they ran ball for 244 yards.
— Under is 8-3 in Buffalo games TY.
Steelers 16, Bengals 10:
— Steelers benched QB Rudolph at halftime; 3rd-stringer Devlin played 2nd half.
— Pitt won five of its last six game, after a 1-4 start.
— Steelers are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (0-1 TY)
— Winless Bengals are 0-5 SU at home, with three losses by 10+ points.
— Cincy scored three TD’s on 33 drives in Finley’s three starts
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
Bears 19, Giants 14:
— Giants lost their last seven games (2-5 ATS).
— Giants started three drives in row in 2nd quarter in Chicago territory, went TD/MFG/MFG, missing 42-43 yard field goals.
— Big Blue threw for 134 yards, averaging 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Bears are 4-0 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-6 when they allow more.
— Five of Bears’ six home games, and last five games overall, stayed under total.
— Trubisky threw for 278 yards; the hip pointer he had last week healed pretty quickly.
Jets 34, Raiders 3:
— Didn’t see this coming; Jets outgained Raiders, 401-208.
— Oakland has lost four of five true road games this year.
— Darnold averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempt against the Raider defense.
— Jets won their last three games, scoring 34-34-34 points.
— NYJ’s first six drives: 44 plays, 330 yards, 18 first downs, 3 TD’s, 2 FG’s, one missed FG.
— Jets are 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.
Saints 34, Panthers 31:
— Carolina missed a PAT, and a 28-yard FG with 1:56 left, with score tied.
— Panthers lost four of last five games after a 4-2 start.
— Carolina is 25-13 ATS in last 38 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY.
— Saints won eight of their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
— New Orleans scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
— Underdogs covered nine of last ten Panther-Saint games.
Bucs 35, Falcons 16:
— Tampa Bay averaged 11.2 yards/pass attempt; Godwin caught 7 balls for 184 yards, two TD’s.
— Bucs are 3-3 when they’re even/positive in turnovers; 1-4 otherwise.
— Tampa Bay turned it over twice; thats 27 turnovers for season (-10).
— Under Quinn, Atlanta is 11-20 ATS as a home favorite, 0-2 TY.
— Falcons lost their last four home games, giving up 30.8 ppg.
— Atlanta scored only one TD, kicked three FG’s in four red zone drives.
Redskins 19, Lions 16:
— Detroit outgained Redskins 364-230, but turned ball over four times (-2).
— Lions scored only 13 points on three trips to red zone.
— Detroit lost four games in row, seven of last eight.
— Washington’s only TD was a 91-yard kick return in second quarter.
— Redskins scored two TD’s on their last 46 drives.
— Six of Redskins’ last eight games stayed under the total.
Seahawks 17, Eagles 9:
— Seattle is 9-2 with one win by more than eight points.
— Seahawks covered seven of last ten post-bye games.
— Seahawks are 6-0 SU on road TY, giving up 19.5 ppg; they’re 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite, 2-1 TY.
— Eagles went 21 drives between touchdowns, scoring one here with 0:20 left.
— Hard to win when you turn ball over five times on 12 drives (-3).
— Four of Philly’s last five games stayed under the total.
Titans 42, Jaguars 20:
— Jacksonville was outscored 101-36 in losing its last three games.
— Jax is 11-21-1 ATS in last 33 games where spread was 3 or fewer points
— Jaguars allowed 13.3 yards/pass attempt vs Ryan Tannehill.
— Tennessee scored 29.4 ppg in winning four of Tannehill’s first five starts.
— Titans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 225 yards, 8 first downs, 4 TD’s.
— Tennessee won last four home games; their last five games went over.
Patriots 13, Cowboys 9:
— Cowboys lost field position by 20 yards in this game.
— Dallas lost five of its last eight games after a 3-0 start.
— Dallas missed a FG off the upright, had punt blocked on next series.
— New England scored one TD, on a 12-yard drive.
— Patriots are 24-9-2 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
— New England won all five home games TY by average score of 27-11
49ers 37, Packers 8:
— Green Bay converted 1-15 on 3rd down, averaged 1.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers won five of last seven games, with both losses in California.
— Green Bay/Minnesota are tied for first place in NFC North.
— 49ers outscored last five opponents 91-33 n first half.
— Garoppolo averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.
— This was fourth time this season 49ers held an opponent under 200 yards.