2015 NCAA Football Systems

[rolltide]

1star 2-1(19-12)
2star 1-1 (34-29-1)
3star 5-6 (64-61-3)
4star 5-5 (56-47-4)
5star 4-4 (20-14)
other 2-2 (25-14-1)
1h play 2-2


other: UNDER MAC non Fri/Sat game with reasonable total. (OHIO/BALL under) 1-3 o/u ytd, on a 2-18 o/u current streak


1-star OPPOSE home favs off shutout win scoring <28 vs opponent off a terrible game. 8-26 ATS, 0-0 ytd (on Ball State)


5-star OPPOSE teams on road that just lost bowl eligibility vs opponent still bowl eligible vs opponent that won <7 games LY. 0-25 SU, 2-23 ATS, 1-3 YTD (PLAY ON Ohio U)




will run the rest on Thursday

 

[rolltide]

messing around with stuff on teams with as terrible of an offense as Kent St and came up with some interesting ones.

other:

OPPOSE home team with terrible offense that has scored <23 points combined L3 games and facing decent defense. (on CMU)

points + ppoints + pppoints < 23 and H and otA(ooints) < 28.8 and tA(points) < 22
SU: 33-126-1 (-15.84, 20.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 50-95-2 (-3.86, 34.5%) avg line: 11.7 +6: 83-61-3 (57.6%) -6: 36-110-1 (24.7%) +10: 99-45-3 (68.8%) -10: 24-123-0 (16.3%) O/U: 19-13-0 (3.22, 59.4%) avg total: 46.8 +6: 13-19-0 (40.6%) -6: 24-8-0 (75.0%) +10: 8-24-0 (25.0%) -10: 26-5-1 (83.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.0 100.9 28.9 15.5 169.1 2.2 3.1 4.2 3.2 5.4 15.6 Opp 42.2 195.4 27.6 17.1 204.8 1.4 7.6 9.2 8.6 8.1 31.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 18, 2015 Wednesday 12 2015 KEST CMCH home 10.0 41.0

and if they have already lost 6+ games on season....

points + ppoints + pppoints < 23 and H and otA(ooints) < 28.8 and tA(points) < 22 and losses > 5
SU: 10-60-0 (-20.14, 14.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-49-1 (-5.67, 25.8%) avg line: 14.6 +6: 32-33-2 (49.2%) -6: 10-56-1 (15.2%) +10: 43-23-1 (65.2%) -10: 7-60-0 (10.4%) O/U: 7-4-0 (6.45, 63.6%) avg total: 48.7 +6: 6-5-0 (54.5%) -6: 8-3-0 (72.7%) +10: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -10: 8-2-1 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.0 71.5 30.5 15.7 161.7 2.3 2.1 4.6 2.7 5.6 15.0 Opp 47.8 267.4 22.3 13.5 172.7 1.3 7.5 14.5 9.0 9.0 35.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 18, 2015 Wednesday 12 2015 KEST CMCH home 10.0 41.0

 

[rolltide]

1-star PLAY ON heavy rushing teams off great rushing defense game vs bad rush defense opponent that allowed rushing TD last game (on UMASS, on MTSU) 21-11 ytd

week > 5 and opo:rushing touchdowns > 0 and season > 2007 and C and p:margin > -4 and 2.4 < tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) < 4.46 and oS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) > 3.91 and po:rushing yards < 89 and tA(rushes) > 28.2 SU: 178-78-0 (9.41, 69.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 164-90-1 (4.11, 64.6%) avg line: -5.2 +6: 194-56-5 (77.6%) -6: 117-132-6 (47.0%) +10: 212-37-6 (85.1%) -10: 90-162-3 (35.7%) O/U: 128-123-4 (1.48, 51.0%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 95-157-3 (37.7%) -6: 168-86-1 (66.1%) +10: 69-184-2 (27.3%) -10: 193-56-6 (77.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.1 173.2 31.2 19.2 239.4 1.4 7.8 9.7 7.4 7.4 32.6 Opp 35.3 136.1 35.0 20.0 228.7 2.1 4.9 6.7 5.2 6.2 23.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MAS MIAO neutral -10.0 54.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MTEN NTX home -24.0 62.0

1-star PLAY ON small dog, home or away, with decent defense not in big blowout game last week (on MISSOURI) 15-9-2

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(oassing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral
SU: 182-245-0 (-3.26, 42.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 266-148-13 (2.90, 64.3%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 316-108-3 (74.5%) -6: 179-244-4 (42.3%) +10: 338-87-2 (79.5%) -10: 132-291-4 (31.2%) O/U: 194-225-8 (-0.75, 46.3%) avg total: 50.1 +6: 130-294-3 (30.7%) -6: 261-160-6 (62.0%) +10: 102-323-2 (24.0%) -10: 310-113-4 (73.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.3 136.4 30.5 17.6 207.5 1.8 5.0 6.5 5.0 6.1 23.0 Opp 37.1 153.6 32.1 19.0 227.0 1.8 5.7 7.8 5.5 6.9 26.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MIZ TEN home 8.5 42.5

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2-star PLAY ON high scoring away teams within 3.5 of pk vs non-elite defensive home team (big list, see below) 21-12 ytd

tA(points) >= 30.75 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14
SU: 148-73-0 (4.39, 67.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 151-65-5 (4.41, 69.9%) avg line: 0.0 +6: 174-47-0 (78.7%) -6: 100-115-6 (46.5%) +10: 182-37-2 (83.1%) -10: 73-144-4 (33.6%) O/U: 108-107-6 (0.95, 50.2%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 88-130-3 (40.4%) -6: 136-83-2 (62.1%) +10: 66-152-3 (30.3%) -10: 156-62-3 (71.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.8 185.8 32.1 19.6 237.5 1.4 6.7 9.0 7.3 8.1 32.3 Opp 39.6 164.6 36.8 21.6 255.7 2.0 5.7 8.1 5.6 7.5 27.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MSST ARK away 3.5 58.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 IND MARY away 2.5 64.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 GTCH MIAF away -1.0 56.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 BAY OKST away 0.0 78.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MEM TEM away -1.5 61.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 UCLA UTAH away 2.0 58.0 0 Nov 20, 2015 Friday 12 2015 CIN SFL away -2.5 64.0

2-star week 10+ UNDER non-conf game with at least one team 9+ wins and at least one went over last game (BAMA under)

(wins >= 9 or o:wins >= 9) and (p:O or op:O) and conference != o:conference and (game type = RS or game type = BG) and (site = home or site = neutral) SU: 144-140-0 (1.05, 50.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 137-143-4 (-0.34, 48.9%) avg line: -1.4 +6: 188-92-4 (67.1%) -6: 86-196-2 (30.5%) +10: 212-70-2 (75.2%) -10: 63-219-2 (22.3%) O/U: 100-174-8 (-3.46, 36.5%) avg total: 56.4 +6: 74-208-0 (26.2%) -6: 148-134-0 (52.5%) +10: 57-223-2 (20.4%) -10: 170-108-4 (61.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.6 153.9 33.3 19.3 234.2 1.9 6.1 7.9 5.8 6.9 27.1 Opp 36.6 150.9 32.9 18.8 228.6 1.9 5.9 7.2 5.8 6.8 26.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 ALA CHSO home -38.5 50.0

2-star week 10+ PLAY ON unbeaten conference home team not favored by >TD (on OK ST)

week > 9 and losses = 0 and site = home and line > -6 and season > 1983 and C
SU: 30-9-0 (5.97, 76.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 29-9-1 (5.06, 76.3%) avg line: -0.9 +6: 31-7-1 (81.6%) -6: 19-18-2 (51.4%) +10: 34-4-1 (89.5%) -10: 12-26-1 (31.6%) O/U: 8-6-0 (-0.36, 57.1%) avg total: 61.1 +6: 3-11-0 (21.4%) -6: 10-3-1 (76.9%) +10: 3-11-0 (21.4%) -10: 12-2-0 (85.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.7 109.1 36.2 23.5 306.0 1.8 5.8 8.9 8.5 7.9 26.2 Opp 41.8 178.2 30.0 17.8 241.1 2.2 7.7 8.0 7.1 6.7 20.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 OKST BAY home 0.0 78.0

3-star PLAY ON beaten home dog avenging home loss (on TEMPLE)

HD and line < 14 and P:HL and P:game number > 2 and P:season = season -1 and 100 > WP >= 25
SU: 35-58-1 (-2.71, 37.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 62-29-3 (3.51, 68.1%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 72-20-2 (78.3%) -6: 39-54-1 (41.9%) +10: 79-14-1 (84.9%) -10: 28-65-1 (30.1%) O/U: 10-10-1 (1.02, 50.0%) avg total: 54.5 +6: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -6: 13-8-0 (61.9%) +10: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -10: 15-4-2 (78.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.5 147.7 33.7 20.5 223.5 1.8 4.1 6.0 6.8 7.9 23.1 Opp 36.6 160.8 33.2 20.5 250.1 1.5 4.9 8.9 7.5 8.0 25.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 TEM MEM home 1.5 61.5

3-star game 4+ play on home fav of 3+ off conf away win vs opponent off 3+ straight conf wins (on ORE, on WIS)

HF and p:ACW and op:CW and opp:CW and oppp:CW and season > 1995 and line < -2.5
SU: 84-20-0 (16.01, 80.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 71-32-1 (6.12, 68.9%) avg line: -9.9 +6: 79-25-0 (76.0%) -6: 53-49-2 (52.0%) +10: 84-18-2 (82.4%) -10: 44-60-0 (42.3%) O/U: 27-20-2 (0.33, 57.4%) avg total: 58.0 +6: 17-31-1 (35.4%) -6: 31-16-2 (66.0%) +10: 9-39-1 (18.8%) -10: 37-12-0 (75.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.9 225.0 28.7 18.4 229.6 1.6 8.5 11.0 8.4 8.3 35.9 Opp 34.0 132.9 32.0 18.4 202.6 2.0 5.2 5.7 5.7 5.0 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 ORE USC home -4.0 71.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 WIS NORW home -10.0 40.0

3-star PLAY ON low line away teams off b2b conference wins (on SoBama, on LVILLE, on Col ST, on Michigan, on UNC)

A and -7.5 < line < 4.5 and p:CW and pp:CW and (conference != P12 and conference != P10) and season > 2009 and o:WP < 90
SU: 137-53-0 (7.48, 72.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 130-56-4 (5.19, 69.9%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 151-38-1 (79.9%) -6: 89-97-4 (47.8%) +10: 163-27-0 (85.8%) -10: 70-116-4 (37.6%) O/U: 82-102-6 (-0.52, 44.6%) avg total: 54.1 +6: 65-125-0 (34.2%) -6: 117-73-0 (61.6%) +10: 42-147-1 (22.2%) -10: 138-51-1 (73.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.2 179.9 30.7 18.5 227.7 1.4 6.2 9.1 7.4 7.3 30.6 Opp 37.2 150.8 33.0 19.0 217.8 1.9 5.0 6.6 4.2 6.9 23.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 SALA GAST away 2.5 62.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 COST NMX away -2.0 57.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 LOU PIT away 2.0 48.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MICH PNST away -4.0 42.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NCAR VTCH away -6.5 61.5

3-star PLAY ON conference teams on 3+ streak with 56+ ats margin and opponent not unbeaten (on NAVY, on Ok ST)

pp:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin > 51.5 and streak >= 3 and 29 < opoints < 62 and C and o:losses < 6 and o:WP > 30
SU: 188-91-2 (7.29, 67.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 183-95-3 (3.81, 65.8%) avg line: -3.5 +6: 214-66-1 (76.4%) -6: 130-144-7 (47.4%) +10: 227-53-1 (81.1%) -10: 91-187-3 (32.7%) O/U: 59-51-1 (2.19, 53.6%) avg total: 58.1 +6: 45-65-1 (40.9%) -6: 67-41-3 (62.0%) +10: 33-78-0 (29.7%) -10: 73-35-3 (67.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.5 183.0 32.2 19.5 237.8 1.7 7.4 9.5 7.4 7.5 31.4 Opp 36.6 149.0 34.7 20.3 251.2 2.0 6.9 8.0 6.1 7.1 24.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 OKST BAY home 0.0 78.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NAVY TLS away -12.0 68.0

3-star OPPOSE dogs 3.5+ off b2b conference wins vs opponent off away win (on UGA, on ORE, on SoMISS, on WISC)

op:AW and D and line > 3 and p:CW and pp:CW and season > 2004 and o:streak < 8
SU: 22-113-0 (-14.57, 16.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 47-86-2 (-4.41, 35.3%) avg line: 10.2 +6: 74-60-1 (55.2%) -6: 30-105-0 (22.2%) +10: 83-51-1 (61.9%) -10: 19-114-2 (14.3%) O/U: 58-63-2 (-0.02, 47.9%) avg total: 55.8 +6: 45-78-0 (36.6%) -6: 74-48-1 (60.7%) +10: 33-89-1 (27.0%) -10: 87-36-0 (70.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.8 126.3 34.6 19.9 216.1 2.1 4.3 5.9 4.8 5.7 20.7 Opp 40.7 201.0 28.7 18.2 224.4 1.3 8.0 10.6 8.4 7.7 35.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 GSOU GEO away 14.5 50.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 USC ORE away 4.0 71.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 OLDD SMIS away 21.0 61.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NORW WIS away 10.0 40.0

3-star OPPOSE teams on road that just lost bowl eligibility vs opponent still bowl eligible vs opponent that won 7+ games LY (on AUB, on NOTRE DAME, on CLEM, on KANSAS ST, on NC STATE)

losses = 7 and p:L and site != home and season > 2009 and o:losses < 7 and p:margin < -3 and oRSW > 6
SU: 6-48-0 (-19.85, 11.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-32-2 (-2.41, 38.5%) avg line: 17.4 +6: 33-19-2 (63.5%) -6: 16-38-0 (29.6%) +10: 39-14-1 (73.6%) -10: 10-44-0 (18.5%) O/U: 27-26-1 (-1.84, 50.9%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 16-37-1 (30.2%) -6: 32-21-1 (60.4%) +10: 11-42-1 (20.8%) -10: 34-20-0 (63.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.6 137.3 29.6 15.9 173.3 1.9 3.6 5.2 3.9 4.3 17.1 Opp 41.1 211.1 29.3 19.0 244.8 1.3 9.1 9.6 9.6 8.6 36.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 IDA AUB away 33.5 61.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 BCOL NOTD neutral 16.5 42.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 WAKE CLEM away 19.0 48.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 IWST KAST away 6.0 56.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 SYR NCST away 17.0

3-star OPPOSE away/neutral teams off a conference loss and b2b2b poor scoring games (on NOTRE DAME)

p:CL and points < 18 and ppoints < 18 and pppoints < 20 and (site = away or site = neutral) and line > -3 and p:line < 4.5 SU: 10-104-0 (-18.02, 8.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 30-78-6 (-4.22, 27.8%) avg line: 13.8 +6: 69-41-4 (62.7%) -6: 18-94-2 (16.1%) +10: 81-32-1 (71.7%) -10: 12-101-1 (10.6%) O/U: 16-17-1 (0.34, 48.5%) avg total: 48.8 +6: 10-22-2 (31.2%) -6: 23-11-0 (67.6%) +10: 6-28-0 (17.6%) -10: 27-7-0 (79.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.2 118.4 29.7 15.1 178.6 2.2 4.3 4.8 3.7 4.6 13.7 Opp 44.0 209.1 30.0 16.8 207.5 1.4 7.4 7.9 7.9 8.4 31.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 BCOL NOTD neutral 16.5 42.5

3-star OPPOSE home favs off an OT loss vs opponent not off OT game (on LSU, on UCLA)

HF and p:L and pvertime > 0 and p:ats margin > -20.5 and p:ats margin < 21 and season > 1997 and opvertime = 0 and points > 14
SU: 75-40-0 (7.03, 65.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 38-74-3 (-4.50, 33.9%) avg line: -11.5 +6: 60-52-3 (53.6%) -6: 24-89-2 (21.2%) +10: 76-38-1 (66.7%) -10: 19-96-0 (16.5%) O/U: 34-24-1 (2.95, 58.6%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 22-37-0 (37.3%) -6: 41-18-0 (69.5%) +10: 16-43-0 (27.1%) -10: 45-14-0 (76.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.8 187.8 31.0 18.9 234.4 1.8 7.6 9.2 6.9 7.9 31.4 Opp 35.8 135.9 33.8 18.4 219.8 1.7 5.2 6.1 6.3 7.0 24.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MIS LSU home -4.0 55.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 UTAH UCLA home -2.0 58.0

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4-star OPPOSE big non conference dogs off OT loss (on UK)

pvertime > 0 and p:L and line >= 16 and not C SU: 2-28-0 (-33.97, 6.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-21-0 (-7.03, 30.0%) avg line: 26.9 +6: 11-17-2 (39.3%) -6: 6-24-0 (20.0%) +10: 18-12-0 (60.0%) -10: 3-27-0 (10.0%) O/U: 12-7-0 (0.82, 63.2%) avg total: 55.7 +6: 6-13-0 (31.6%) -6: 15-4-0 (78.9%) +10: 3-16-0 (15.8%) -10: 15-4-0 (78.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.9 99.9 30.4 16.9 184.6 2.1 1.6 5.3 2.9 2.6 11.2 Opp 39.9 216.4 28.5 18.1 238.4 1.3 10.2 13.9 11.1 8.9 45.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 CHAR KTKY away 24.5 55.5

4-star PLAY ON great running conference away team vs home team that can't run or stop the run (on NEVADA)

AC and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and pp:rushing yards > 204 and pp:rushing yards > 204 and o:WP > 0 and otA(o:rushing yards) >= 114 SU: 76-12-0 (15.32, 86.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-23-1 (6.13, 73.6%) avg line: -9.2 +6: 74-14-0 (84.1%) -6: 44-43-1 (50.6%) +10: 80-8-0 (90.9%) -10: 33-55-0 (37.5%) O/U: 43-44-1 (-0.03, 49.4%) avg total: 56.3 +6: 31-56-1 (35.6%) -6: 57-30-1 (65.5%) +10: 22-65-1 (25.3%) -10: 65-22-1 (74.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.0 229.9 26.4 16.8 216.5 1.3 8.8 10.3 8.4 7.9 35.8 Opp 32.3 114.2 36.5 20.4 231.1 1.9 3.9 5.8 4.3 6.3 20.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NEV UTST away 14.0 54.5

4-star UNDER after DD away dog win (WASH ST under, NEW MEX under, NM STATE under)

p:ADW and C and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2005 and (conference = AAC or conference = MWC or conference = WAC or conference = MAC or conference = SBC or conference = P12 or conference = P10 or conference = BE or conference = USA)
SU: 55-45-0 (2.68, 55.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 52-46-2 (1.95, 53.1%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 72-27-1 (72.7%) -6: 34-65-1 (34.3%) +10: 78-20-2 (79.6%) -10: 27-72-1 (27.3%) O/U: 29-69-2 (-3.03, 29.6%) avg total: 54.0 +6: 24-76-0 (24.0%) -6: 50-50-0 (50.0%) +10: 19-80-1 (19.2%) -10: 68-29-3 (70.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.0 146.0 32.5 19.2 230.3 1.6 5.4 8.1 7.0 6.3 26.8 Opp 37.2 159.7 32.9 18.9 225.6 2.1 6.0 6.3 5.1 6.6 24.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NMST LLAF away 16.5 66.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NMX COST home 2.0 57.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 WAST COLO home -15.0 62.5

4-star UNDER dogs <=10 or favs that were 3 TD+ dogs last season (OKST under, NEW MEX under)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line > 21.5 and line < 10.5 and date > 20091101 and P:margin > -45 SU: 29-49-0 (-4.24, 37.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-37-1 (-0.22, 51.9%) avg line: 4.0 +6: 53-25-0 (67.9%) -6: 20-58-0 (25.6%) +10: 57-19-2 (75.0%) -10: 17-59-2 (22.4%) O/U: 21-55-2 (-4.53, 27.6%) avg total: 56.7 +6: 16-61-1 (20.8%) -6: 37-39-2 (48.7%) +10: 12-66-0 (15.4%) -10: 50-26-2 (65.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.4 144.2 33.5 19.7 243.3 1.9 4.9 7.4 5.7 5.6 24.0 Opp 39.4 179.1 31.4 19.2 229.7 1.7 6.2 8.3 6.8 6.8 28.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 NMX COST home 2.0 57.0 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 OKST BAY home 0.0 78.0

____________________________________________________________________________

5-star PLAY ON away fav in 2nd of b2b away games on regular rest vs opponent off fav loss (on SAN JOSE, on MICHIGAN, on MEMPHIS)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 25-2-0 (18.00, 92.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 23-4-0 (10.09, 85.2%) avg line: -7.9 +6: 25-2-0 (92.6%) -6: 17-10-0 (63.0%) +10: 25-2-0 (92.6%) -10: 17-10-0 (63.0%) O/U: 10-17-0 (0.00, 37.0%) avg total: 56.0 +6: 8-18-1 (30.8%) -6: 17-10-0 (63.0%) +10: 7-20-0 (25.9%) -10: 19-8-0 (70.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 47.2 241.9 26.7 16.7 229.8 1.4 8.0 11.3 8.4 9.1 37.0 Opp 33.2 134.1 34.5 18.0 196.6 2.0 4.9 5.2 4.3 4.4 19.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 SJST HAW away -10.0 53.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MICH PNST away -4.0 42.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 MEM TEM away -1.5 61.5

other:

game 11 OPPOSE game 11 teams still not bowl eligible but were bowl eligible last year and have now lost 2 straight games (on MIAMI FL, on ORE ST, on NEVADA)

game number = 11 and wins < 6 and streak = -2 and PRSW >= 7 and season > 1982 and o:wins > 0 SU: 24-37-0 (-6.00, 39.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-43-1 (-6.75, 28.3%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 29-31-1 (48.3%) -6: 9-52-0 (14.8%) +10: 36-24-1 (60.0%) -10: 5-56-0 (8.2%) O/U: 10-10-0 (3.42, 50.0%) avg total: 55.3 +6: 10-10-0 (50.0%) -6: 13-7-0 (65.0%) +10: 7-12-1 (36.8%) -10: 15-5-0 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.9 176.4 30.6 18.6 209.8 1.6 5.6 8.3 5.5 7.3 23.2 Opp 38.4 173.1 32.7 20.8 232.1 1.5 7.8 6.8 7.0 8.7 29.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 GTCH MIAF away -1.0 56.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 WAS ORST away -15.0 48.5 0 Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 UTST NEV home -14.0 54.5

 

[rolltide]

tiny sample size but unbeaten DD favs in week 11 are winless ATS against good teams

game number = 11 and losses = 0 and o:WP > 60 and F and line < -10
SU: 8-6-0 (6.14, 57.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 0-12-2 (-12.36, 0.0%) avg line: -18.5 +6: 4-10-0 (28.6%) -6: 0-14-0 (0.0%) +10: 5-9-0 (35.7%) -10: 0-14-0 (0.0%) O/U: 3-2-0 (0.10, 60.0%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 2-3-0 (40.0%) -6: 4-1-0 (80.0%) +10: 2-3-0 (40.0%) -10: 4-1-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.2 231.0 30.2 17.8 219.8 1.6 7.4 11.2 7.4 4.8 32.4 Opp 39.4 165.0 34.6 19.2 264.0 1.6 8.4 5.2 4.8 9.0 26.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 21, 2015 Saturday 12 2015 OHST MCST home -14.5 52.5

 

[shale]

Line keeps inching up....word is Cook will not play from browsing around the web.

 

[rolltide]

1star 1-2 (20-14)
2star 3-6 (37-35-1)
3star 11-9 (75-70-3)
4star 5-2 (61-49-4)
5star 3-1 (23-15)
other 4-2 (29-16-1)
1h play 2-2




only time to run the 4-5 stars and a few "others". GL this weekend


4-star OPPOSE late season favs off a dog win over a previously unbeaten opponent (on Penn St)

line < 0.5 and pW and po:losses = 0 and week > 10 and p:line > 2 and op:margin > -27 and season > 1982
SU: 32-22-0 (6.57, 59.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-38-0 (-4.61, 29.6%) avg line: -11.2 +6: 23-31-0 (42.6%) -6: 13-41-0 (24.1%) +10: 35-18-1 (66.0%) -10: 9-44-1 (17.0%) O/U: 11-6-2 (3.71, 64.7%) avg total: 55.7 +6: 7-12-0 (36.8%) -6: 15-4-0 (78.9%) +10: 4-15-0 (21.1%) -10: 16-3-0 (84.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.5 218.7 28.2 17.8 223.2 1.6 7.0 10.9 8.2 9.1 30.7 Opp 35.4 134.9 32.5 18.6 234.9 1.6 4.7 6.5 6.8 6.7 24.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 MCST PNST home -11.0 46.5

4-star OPPOSE home fav after close home loss as dog or small fav (on COLO)

HF and p:HL and p:line > -3 and p:margin > -11 and 18 > points > 7
SU: 79-27-1 (7.99, 74.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-72-1 (-4.35, 32.1%) avg line: -12.3 +6: 60-47-0 (56.1%) -6: 25-82-0 (23.4%) +10: 72-35-0 (67.3%) -10: 12-93-2 (11.4%) O/U: 13-19-1 (2.95, 40.6%) avg total: 47.9 +6: 11-21-1 (34.4%) -6: 20-13-0 (60.6%) +10: 9-23-1 (28.1%) -10: 24-9-0 (72.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.9 188.9 27.1 16.8 211.1 2.0 6.6 9.1 8.4 6.7 26.3 Opp 35.7 137.3 31.1 16.9 200.9 2.0 4.3 5.1 5.1 5.4 18.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 UTAH COLO home -16.5 49.0

4-star UNDER non power 5 conference off DD away dog win (NMST under, NM under)

p:ADW and C and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2005 and (conference = AAC or conference = MWC or conference = WAC or conference = MAC or conference = SBC or conference = P12 or conference = P10 or conference = BE or conference = USA)
SU: 57-46-0 (2.80, 55.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 54-47-2 (2.12, 53.5%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 75-27-1 (73.5%) -6: 36-66-1 (35.3%) +10: 81-20-2 (80.2%) -10: 28-74-1 (27.5%) O/U: 30-71-2 (-3.25, 29.7%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 25-78-0 (24.3%) -6: 51-52-0 (49.5%) +10: 19-83-1 (18.6%) -10: 70-30-3 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.1 148.1 32.6 19.2 230.0 1.6 5.4 8.1 7.0 6.3 26.9 Opp 37.2 159.8 32.9 19.0 226.6 2.0 6.0 6.3 5.0 6.6 24.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 NMST AKST home 17.0 72.0 0 Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 AIR NMX away -10.0 53.5

4-star OPPOSE away fav that won last year as a fav but allowed >30 (on AUB, on NMST)

AF and P:FW and Points > 51 and Pooints > 32 and P:season = season -1
SU: 23-22-2 (0.38, 51.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-36-1 (-9.82, 21.7%) avg line: -10.2 +6: 19-28-0 (40.4%) -6: 4-43-0 (8.5%) +10: 23-23-1 (50.0%) -10: 2-45-0 (4.3%) O/U: 9-13-1 (-0.39, 40.9%) avg total: 62.7 +6: 7-16-0 (30.4%) -6: 12-11-0 (52.2%) +10: 6-17-0 (26.1%) -10: 19-4-0 (82.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.5 164.1 36.7 21.1 278.3 0.9 7.6 9.0 6.0 8.9 31.5 Opp 37.3 148.0 36.9 21.7 273.8 1.5 6.3 7.4 6.9 8.9 31.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 ALA AUB away -14.0 48.5 0 Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 AKST NMST away -17.0 72.0

4-star OPPOSE rested home dog off a non-covering lost vs opponent with regular rest (on UNLV)

HD and rest > 9 and p:L and p:ats margin < 0 and o:rest = 6 and season >= 2003
SU: 21-101-0 (-13.76, 17.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 36-84-2 (-4.02, 30.0%) avg line: 9.7 +6: 69-52-1 (57.0%) -6: 27-94-1 (22.3%) +10: 84-35-3 (70.6%) -10: 19-102-1 (15.7%) O/U: 44-52-1 (-1.51, 45.8%) avg total: 53.7 +6: 27-69-1 (28.1%) -6: 56-40-1 (58.3%) +10: 21-76-0 (21.6%) -10: 68-28-1 (70.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.5 123.2 32.2 17.7 195.5 2.0 4.3 5.3 4.0 5.2 19.0 Opp 40.6 191.8 30.9 19.6 241.5 1.5 7.5 9.6 8.2 7.9 32.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 WYO UNLV home 3.0 59.5

4-star OPPOSE DD dogs of <4TD that lost as a home/neutral fav last week vs opponent that won by >TD (on CLEMSON)

p:FL and D and line > 9.5 and o:WP = 100 and season > 2010 and line < 29 and p:site != A and op:margin > 7
SU: 2-35-0 (-27.59, 5.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-27-2 (-7.82, 22.9%) avg line: 19.8 +6: 17-20-0 (45.9%) -6: 5-32-0 (13.5%) +10: 21-15-1 (58.3%) -10: 3-34-0 (8.1%) O/U: 17-20-0 (1.51, 45.9%) avg total: 58.0 +6: 14-23-0 (37.8%) -6: 24-11-2 (68.6%) +10: 13-24-0 (35.1%) -10: 29-8-0 (78.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.1 118.2 32.6 17.7 183.8 2.1 4.1 4.9 2.7 4.2 15.9 Opp 42.5 234.8 31.1 20.8 276.7 1.4 10.5 12.6 11.7 8.7 43.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 SCAR CLEM home 17.0 55.0

4-star PLAY ON 3-5 TD conf HF off blowout conference fav win (on APP ST)

CHF and -35.5 < line < -20.5 and p:CFW and p:margin > 19 and season >= 1999 and rest != 5
SU: 168-6-0 (31.52, 96.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 122-48-4 (4.77, 71.8%) avg line: -26.8 +6: 139-35-0 (79.9%) -6: 79-86-9 (47.9%) +10: 151-22-1 (87.3%) -10: 61-110-3 (35.7%) O/U: 58-49-1 (2.04, 54.2%) avg total: 58.2 +6: 42-63-3 (40.0%) -6: 74-33-1 (69.2%) +10: 30-77-1 (28.0%) -10: 84-22-2 (79.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.1 231.5 29.8 20.2 288.2 1.3 11.4 13.0 12.0 9.2 45.3 Opp 35.3 125.7 30.0 15.7 169.1 2.1 2.4 4.5 3.5 3.8 13.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 APP LLAF home -23.0 60.0

4-star OPPOSE conference fav after home dog win vs opponent with revenge (on UCONN)

CF and P:W and P:ats margin > -7 and p:HDW and line < -9
SU: 84-19-0 (11.01, 81.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 29-70-4 (-4.62, 29.3%) avg line: -15.6 +6: 52-50-1 (51.0%) -6: 25-77-1 (24.5%) +10: 68-32-3 (68.0%) -10: 14-88-1 (13.7%) O/U: 17-10-0 (3.46, 63.0%) avg total: 56.1 +6: 12-15-0 (44.4%) -6: 19-8-0 (70.4%) +10: 10-17-0 (37.0%) -10: 19-8-0 (70.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.4 214.2 32.7 21.4 251.4 1.5 7.7 9.7 8.1 11.5 32.1 Opp 35.4 128.1 32.1 17.8 213.1 1.7 5.1 5.3 6.8 4.8 21.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 TEM CON home -13.0 41.0

4-star OPPOSE team that allowed <3 yards per carry in heavy opponent rush game but still gave up 20+ points as long as they aren't coming off blowout loss (on ODU, on AKRON)

po:rushes > 41 and po:rushing yards < 124 and pooints > 19 and game type = RS and p:margin > -25
SU: 51-65-0 (-2.71, 44.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 37-75-2 (-5.06, 33.0%) avg line: -1.8 +6: 52-60-2 (46.4%) -6: 26-87-1 (23.0%) +10: 68-44-2 (60.7%) -10: 21-91-2 (18.8%) O/U: 59-53-1 (-0.14, 52.7%) avg total: 53.2 +6: 42-71-0 (37.2%) -6: 70-39-4 (64.2%) +10: 32-80-1 (28.6%) -10: 81-31-1 (72.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 145.1 32.7 19.4 228.8 1.8 6.3 7.0 5.5 6.3 25.2 Opp 38.9 158.5 29.9 17.7 215.0 1.5 6.6 8.5 5.8 6.8 27.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 FATL OLDD away -4.0 54.5 0 Nov 27, 2015 Friday 13 2015 KEST AKRON away 10.5 38.5

4-star OPPOSE favs that needed OT to win as big fav last game (on GT)

pvertime > 0 and p:FW and -27.5 < p:line < -8.5 and F and line < -3 and rest < 12
SU: 43-16-0 (9.03, 72.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-42-2 (-4.89, 26.3%) avg line: -13.9 +6: 34-24-1 (58.6%) -6: 10-49-0 (16.9%) +10: 43-16-0 (72.9%) -10: 4-54-1 (6.9%) O/U: 15-11-1 (-1.56, 57.7%) avg total: 54.6 +6: 9-18-0 (33.3%) -6: 19-8-0 (70.4%) +10: 7-20-0 (25.9%) -10: 19-8-0 (70.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.8 185.7 32.0 20.7 242.2 1.8 7.2 9.6 8.1 7.3 31.7 Opp 32.4 111.2 33.7 19.3 206.0 1.6 5.6 5.6 4.4 5.2 22.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 GEO GTCH away -4.0 47.5

 

[rolltide]

5-star OPPOSE teams on road that just lost bowl eligibility vs opponent still bowl eligible vs opponent that won <7 games LY (on GA ST)

losses = 7 and p:L and site != home and season > 2009 and o:losses < 7 and p:margin < -3 and oRSW < 7
SU: 0-26-0 (-25.62, 0.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-24-0 (-10.52, 7.7%) avg line: 15.1 +6: 7-19-0 (26.9%) -6: 2-24-0 (7.7%) +10: 15-11-0 (57.7%) -10: 0-26-0 (0.0%) O/U: 12-13-1 (-0.29, 48.0%) avg total: 55.4 +6: 9-17-0 (34.6%) -6: 15-11-0 (57.7%) +10: 5-21-0 (19.2%) -10: 17-8-1 (68.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 110.8 33.3 18.3 214.3 2.2 2.6 4.2 4.4 3.6 14.7 Opp 42.9 239.5 26.7 17.0 235.5 1.0 11.9 11.3 10.5 6.7 40.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 27, 2015 Friday 13 2015 TROY GAST away 1.0 57.5

5-star OPPOSE away dogs off big dog conference win vs opponent off DD win (on TEMPLE)

AD and p:CDW and p:line > 4 and op:margin > 9 and season > 2005
SU: 4-57-0 (-23.49, 6.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-46-2 (-6.66, 22.0%) avg line: 16.8 +6: 22-37-2 (37.3%) -6: 10-51-0 (16.4%) +10: 34-27-0 (55.7%) -10: 5-56-0 (8.2%) O/U: 27-33-1 (0.69, 45.0%) avg total: 54.0 +6: 21-39-1 (35.0%) -6: 40-20-1 (66.7%) +10: 13-46-2 (22.0%) -10: 45-16-0 (73.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.6 120.9 31.4 16.8 177.6 2.3 3.1 4.7 3.5 4.4 15.6 Opp 41.3 218.1 28.9 18.5 241.3 1.7 9.2 13.1 7.4 9.2 39.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 CON TEM away 13.0 41.0

5-star PLAY ON away fav in 2nd of b2b away games on regular rest vs opponent off fav loss (on NAVY)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 27-3-0 (16.60, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-5-0 (8.93, 83.3%) avg line: -7.7 +6: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -10: 17-13-0 (56.7%) O/U: 12-18-0 (-0.07, 40.0%) avg total: 55.5 +6: 9-20-1 (31.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 21-9-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.0 229.6 27.5 17.5 231.0 1.3 8.2 11.0 8.2 8.4 36.0 Opp 33.4 136.8 33.8 17.5 196.9 1.9 4.5 5.4 4.3 5.1 19.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 27, 2015 Friday 13 2015 NAVY HOU away -4.0 61.0

other:


OPPOSE Notre Dame as a late season dog vs opponent off win (on STAN)

team = NOTD and game number > 10 and op:W and D
SU: 4-22-0 (-16.58, 15.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-20-0 (-8.71, 23.1%) avg line: 7.9 +6: 9-17-0 (34.6%) -6: 4-22-0 (15.4%) +10: 12-13-1 (48.0%) -10: 3-23-0 (11.5%) O/U: 3-5-0 (-1.25, 37.5%) avg total: 51.2 +6: 2-5-1 (28.6%) -6: 5-3-0 (62.5%) +10: 2-6-0 (25.0%) -10: 6-2-0 (75.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.1 104.0 33.8 17.4 194.6 1.9 3.4 3.9 6.1 3.4 17.0 Opp 38.4 200.9 27.1 17.5 240.8 1.6 8.8 9.1 7.6 7.8 33.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 NOTD STAN away 3.5 56.0

under Kelly play UNDER Notre Dame as dog or <TD favorite (ND/STAN under)

team = NOTD and season > 2009 and line > -14.5
SU: 33-20-0 (3.51, 62.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-24-2 (1.21, 52.9%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 34-17-2 (66.7%) -6: 17-35-1 (32.7%) +10: 43-10-0 (81.1%) -10: 12-41-0 (22.6%) O/U: 14-36-3 (-5.38, 28.0%) avg total: 51.7 +6: 10-42-1 (19.2%) -6: 26-27-0 (49.1%) +10: 7-46-0 (13.2%) -10: 34-18-1 (65.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.6 147.1 34.2 19.8 243.8 1.8 6.3 5.9 6.2 6.3 24.9 Opp 35.5 139.8 32.6 19.5 217.1 1.4 5.3 5.8 3.8 6.3 21.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 NOTD STAN away 3.5 56.0

OPPOSE game 11 teams still not bowl eligible but were bowl eligible last year and have now lost 2 straight games (on APP ST)

game number = 11 and wins < 6 and streak = -2 and PRSW >= 7 and season > 1982 and o:wins > 0
SU: 26-38-0 (-5.22, 40.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-45-1 (-6.43, 28.6%) avg line: -1.2 +6: 30-33-1 (47.6%) -6: 10-54-0 (15.6%) +10: 37-26-1 (58.7%) -10: 6-58-0 (9.4%) O/U: 13-10-0 (3.67, 56.5%) avg total: 55.0 +6: 11-12-0 (47.8%) -6: 16-7-0 (69.6%) +10: 7-14-2 (33.3%) -10: 18-5-0 (78.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.7 187.7 29.2 17.8 198.9 1.7 6.4 8.3 5.7 7.4 23.7 Opp 37.6 169.8 31.3 19.4 222.0 1.5 7.3 7.3 7.0 7.8 28.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 LLAF APP away 23.0 60.0

UNDER late season non-conf game with at least one team 9+ wins and at least one went over last game (UF/FSU under)

(wins >= 9 or o:wins >= 9) and (p:O or op:O) and conference != o:conference and (game type = RS or game type = BG) and (site = home or site = neutral)
SU: 145-140-0 (1.22, 50.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 138-143-4 (-0.30, 49.1%) avg line: -1.5 +6: 189-92-4 (67.3%) -6: 87-196-2 (30.7%) +10: 213-70-2 (75.3%) -10: 63-219-3 (22.3%) O/U: 101-174-8 (-3.41, 36.7%) avg total: 56.4 +6: 75-208-0 (26.5%) -6: 149-134-0 (52.7%) +10: 58-223-2 (20.6%) -10: 171-108-4 (61.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.6 154.1 33.3 19.3 234.1 1.9 6.2 8.0 5.8 6.9 27.2 Opp 36.6 150.6 32.8 18.7 227.9 1.9 5.9 7.2 5.8 6.8 26.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 FLA FLST home 2.5 43.0

OPPOSE 9+ win teams that aren't favored by >2TD vs an <.500 opponent (on NEB, on ILL)

wins > 8 and losses < 3 and o:WP < 50 and line > -16 and game type = RS and season > 1990
SU: 30-11-0 (4.85, 73.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-31-1 (-4.60, 22.5%) avg line: -9.5 +6: 20-20-1 (50.0%) -6: 8-33-0 (19.5%) +10: 28-13-0 (68.3%) -10: 7-34-0 (17.1%) O/U: 9-16-0 (-1.82, 36.0%) avg total: 53.5 +6: 7-18-0 (28.0%) -6: 14-11-0 (56.0%) +10: 5-20-0 (20.0%) -10: 17-7-1 (70.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.0 152.6 34.1 21.0 255.2 1.2 5.3 8.9 6.4 6.9 28.1 Opp 35.2 148.9 32.7 18.2 218.9 2.0 6.2 7.9 5.6 3.6 23.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 28, 2015 Saturday 13 2015 NORW ILL neutral -3.5 42.0 0 Nov 27, 2015 Friday 13 2015 IOWA NEB away -2.5 58.0

 

[mws]

Thank you! Have a happy Thanksgiving!

 

[rolltide]

5-star PLAY ON away fav in 2nd of b2b away games on regular rest vs opponent off fav loss (on NAVY)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 27-3-0 (16.60, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-5-0 (8.93, 83.3%) avg line: -7.7 +6: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -10: 17-13-0 (56.7%) O/U: 12-18-0 (-0.07, 40.0%) avg total: 55.5 +6: 9-20-1 (31.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 21-9-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.0 229.6 27.5 17.5 231.0 1.3 8.2 11.0 8.2 8.4 36.0 Opp 33.4 136.8 33.8 17.5 196.9 1.9 4.5 5.4 4.3 5.1 19.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 27, 2015 Friday 13 2015 NAVY HOU away -4.0 61.0

watching line on this one. Navy as dog or PK is not a fit

 

[rolltide]

tiny sample size but something to consider...

OPPOSE championship favs that allowed >70 rushing yards in their home game last week

game type = CH and F and p:H and po:rushing yards > 70
SU: 11-7-0 (-3.39, 61.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-16-0 (-11.44, 11.1%) avg line: -8.1 +6: 7-11-0 (38.9%) -6: 2-16-0 (11.1%) +10: 12-6-0 (66.7%) -10: 2-16-0 (11.1%) O/U: 10-8-0 (-4.36, 55.6%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 4-13-1 (23.5%) -6: 11-7-0 (61.1%) +10: 2-16-0 (11.1%) -10: 11-7-0 (61.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.5 156.4 34.6 22.1 248.7 1.8 5.9 9.2 3.7 6.9 25.8 Opp 38.5 169.2 27.1 15.8 236.0 1.4 7.2 7.7 7.3 7.1 29.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 05, 2015 Saturday 14 2015 HOU TEM home -6.5 55.0 0 Dec 05, 2015 Saturday 14 2015 MCST IOWA neutral -3.5 51.5 0 Dec 05, 2015 Saturday 14 2015 STAN USC neutral -4.5 58.5 0 Dec 06, 2014 box Saturday 15 2014 BOIS FRES home 14-0 7-0 7-7 0-7 28-14 -22.0 69.0 14 -8 -27 -17.5 -9.5 W L U 0 Dec 06, 2014 box Saturday 15 2014 FLST GTCH neutral 7-14 21-7 3-7 6-7 37-35 -3.5 63.5 2 -1.5 8.5 3.5 5.0 W L O 0 Dec 06, 2014 box Saturday 15 2014 ALA MIZ neutral 7-0 14-3 0-10 21-0 42-13 -14.5 49.0 29 14.5 6 10.2 -4.2 W W O 0 Dec 06, 2014 box Saturday 15 2014 MRSH LTCH home 0-10 13-7 3-6 10-0 26-23 -9.5 68.0 3 -6.5 -19 -12.8 -6.2 W L U 0 Dec 06, 2014 box Saturday 15 2014 WIS OHST neutral 0-14 0-24 0-7 0-14 0-59 -3.5 57.0 -59 -62.5 2 -30.2 32.2 L L O 0 Dec 07, 2013 box Saturday 15 2013 AZST STAN home 7-14 7-14 0-3 0-7 14-38 -3.5 53.5 -24 -27.5 -1.5 -14.5 13.0 L L U 0 Dec 07, 2013 box Saturday 15 2013 MRSH RICE away 0-14 10-7 0-13 14-7 24-41 -5.5 64.0 -17 -22.5 1.0 -10.8 11.8 L L O 0 Dec 06, 2013 box Friday 15 2013 NIL BOWL neutral 7-17 6-14 7-0 7-16 27-47 -3.5 59.0 -20 -23.5 15.0 -4.2 19.2 L L O 0 Dec 01, 2012 box Saturday 14 2012 ALA GEO neutral 0-0 10-7 8-14 14-7 32-28 -7.5 50.5 4 -3.5 9.5 3.0 6.5 W L O 0 Dec 01, 2012 box Saturday 14 2012 FLST GTCH neutral 7-0 14-6 0-3 0-6 21-15 -14.5 59.0 6 -8.5 -23.0 -15.8 -7.2 W L U 0 Dec 03, 2011 box Saturday 14 2011 WIS MCST neutral 21-7 0-22 7-7 14-3 42-39 -9.5 56.0 3 -6.5 25.0 9.2 15.8 W L O 0 Dec 02, 2011 box Friday 14 2011 NIL OHU neutral 10-0 10-0 0-7 0-16 23-20 -3.5 70.5 3 -0.5 -27.5 -14.0 -13.5 W L U 0 Dec 05, 2009 box Saturday 14 2009 FLA ALA neutral 3-9 10-10 0-7 0-6 13-32 -5.0 41.0 -19 -24.0 4.0 -10.0 14.0 L L O 0 Dec 05, 2009 box Saturday 14 2009 HOU ECAR neutral 7-7 12-7 0-10 13-14 32-38 -1.5 68.5 -6 -7.5 1.5 -3.0 4.5 L L O 0 Dec 04, 2009 box Friday 14 2009 CMCH OHU neutral 10-7 7-0 3-3 0-0 20-10 -13.0 54.0 10 -3.0 -24.0 -13.5 -10.5 W L U 0 Dec 05, 2008 box Friday 15 2008 BALL BUF neutral 0-7 10-0 7-21 7-14 24-42 -14.5 61.0 -18 -32.5 5.0 -13.8 18.8 L L O 0 Dec 01, 2007 box Saturday 14 2007 LSU TEN neutral 6-7 0-0 7-7 8-0 21-14 -7.5 58.5 7 -0.5 -23.5 -12.0 -11.5 W L U 0 Dec 01, 2007 box Saturday 14 2007 OKLA MIZ neutral 0-3 14-11 14-0 10-3 38-17 -3.0 65.5 21 18.0 -10.5 3.8 -14.2 W W U 0 Showing 1 to 21 of 21 entries

 

[rolltide]

Navy is 2-11 ATS as a home favorite vs a current power-5 team ... they are -5 vs Pitt in the Military Bowl

season > 1997 and team = NAVY and HF and (o:conference = BE or o:conference = SEC or o:conference = B10 or o:conference = B12 or o:conference = ACC or o:conference = P10 or o:conference = P12)
SU: 5-9-0 (-4.86, 35.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-12-0 (-11.39, 14.3%) avg line: -6.5 +6: 4-10-0 (28.6%) -6: 2-12-0 (14.3%) +10: 5-9-0 (35.7%) -10: 1-13-0 (7.1%) O/U: 2-2-1 (6.00, 50.0%) avg total: 54.8 +6: 2-3-0 (40.0%) -6: 4-1-0 (80.0%) +10: 1-4-0 (20.0%) -10: 4-1-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 51.4 197.8 19.8 10.0 167.6 0.8 3.4 7.2 4.8 11.0 27.5 Opp 39.6 160.6 29.0 20.6 270.4 1.6 6.8 16.0 6.8 4.8 32.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 20, 2014 box Saturday 4 2014 NAVY RUT home 7-7 7-17 3-7 7-0 24-31 -6.0 55.0 -7 -13 0 -6.5 6.5 L L P 0 Oct 20, 2012 box Saturday 8 2012 NAVY IND home 0-10 14-10 7-3 10-7 31-30 -3.0 61.5 1 -2 -0.5 -1.2 0.8 W L U 0 Oct 30, 2010 box Saturday 9 2010 NAVY DUKE home 0-3 0-21 7-7 24-3 31-34 -13.0 55.5 -3 -16.0 9.5 -3.2 12.8 L L O 0 Sep 22, 2007 box Saturday 4 2007 NAVY DUKE home 10-14 15-22 7-7 14-0 46-43 -12.0 56.5 3 -9.0 32.5 11.8 20.8 W L O 0 Oct 14, 2006 box Saturday 7 2006 NAVY RUT home 0-0 0-10 0-10 0-14 0-34 -2.5 45.5 -34 -36.5 -11.5 -24.0 12.5 L L U 0 Nov 20, 2004 Saturday 13 2004 NAVY RUT home 54-21 -3.5 33 29.5 W W 0 Sep 25, 2004 Saturday 5 2004 NAVY VAN home 29-26 -8.5 3 -5.5 W L 0 Sep 04, 2004 Saturday 2 2004 NAVY DUKE home 27-12 -7.0 15 8.0 W W 0 Sep 28, 2002 Saturday 6 2002 NAVY DUKE home 17-43 -2.0 -26 -28.0 L L 0 Sep 21, 2002 Saturday 5 2002 NAVY NORW home 40-49 -3.0 -9 -12.0 L L 0 Nov 18, 2000 Saturday 13 2000 NAVY WAKE home 26-49 -2.5 -23 -25.5 L L 0 Oct 21, 2000 Saturday 9 2000 NAVY RUT home 21-28 -7.5 -7 -14.5 L L 0 Sep 02, 2000 Saturday 2 2000 NAVY TEM home 6-17 -10.5 -11 -21.5 L L 0 Nov 07, 1998 Saturday 11 1998 NAVY RUT home 33-36 -10.5 -3 -13.5 L L 0 Showing 1 to 14 of 14 entries

 

[METFAN]

ROLLTIDE,

Do you know any sites that give over under history on the bowls? appreciate any help

 

[rolltide]

ROLLTIDE,

Do you know any sites that give over under history on the bowls? appreciate any help

need to be more specific. i run all my own stuff so if you give me parameters i can run them. but, no i don't know of a specific site that will just give you totals history


anyway, more bowl stuff:


OPPOSE favs off b2b losses and not a blowout win 3 games ago (on UNC)
one more tightener:

F and game type = BG and p:L and pp:L and (line > -4 or line < -7) and ppp:margin < 30 SU: 13-22-0 (-1.77, 37.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-29-1 (-6.37, 14.7%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 20-14-1 (58.8%) -6: 4-31-0 (11.4%) +10: 25-9-1 (73.5%) -10: 3-31-1 (8.8%) O/U: 7-8-0 (-0.67, 46.7%) avg total: 57.0 +6: 5-10-0 (33.3%) -6: 8-7-0 (53.3%) +10: 3-12-0 (20.0%) -10: 11-4-0 (73.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.7 123.0 38.3 23.2 282.1 1.9 4.8 7.6 6.3 9.1 28.1 Opp 40.7 147.5 31.3 17.5 243.1 1.6 7.3 9.3 6.0 5.9 29.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 BAY NCAR neutral -3.0

UNDER bowl game with good rushing team up against a good rushing defense (under in BYU/UTAH, AKST/LATECH, OU/APP, WKY/SoFLA, TOL/TEMP, BOISE/NoILL, GaSO/BGSU, CIN/SDST)

game type = BG and tA(rushing yards) > 120 and otA(o:rushing yards) < 198 and 21 > wins + o:wins > 15 and PRSW > 3 and oRSW > 3 SU: 112-116-0 (-0.32, 49.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 112-110-6 (-0.17, 50.5%) avg line: 0.1 +6: 151-74-3 (67.1%) -6: 72-153-3 (32.0%) +10: 164-63-1 (72.2%) -10: 63-164-1 (27.8%) O/U: 76-145-7 (-3.92, 34.4%) avg total: 56.1 +6: 54-174-0 (23.7%) -6: 119-109-0 (52.2%) +10: 44-182-2 (19.5%) -10: 140-84-4 (62.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.5 151.8 32.8 19.0 223.9 1.9 5.8 7.5 6.0 6.4 25.9 Opp 36.3 148.9 33.5 19.4 231.0 1.9 5.9 7.9 5.9 6.4 26.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 SDST CIN neutral 1.5 58.0 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 CIN SDST neutral -1.5 58.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOWL GSOU neutral -7.5 66.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 GSOU BOWL neutral 7.5 66.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 NIL BOIS neutral 8.0 55.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOIS NIL neutral -8.0 55.0 0 Dec 22, 2015 Tuesday 17 2015 TEM TOL neutral -1.0 53.0 0 Dec 22, 2015 Tuesday 17 2015 TOL TEM neutral 1.0 53.0 0 Dec 21, 2015 Monday 16 2015 SFL WKY neutral 3.5 66.0 0 Dec 21, 2015 Monday 16 2015 WKY SFL neutral -3.5 66.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 APP OHU neutral -8.0 55.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 OHU APP neutral 8.0 55.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 LTCH AKST neutral -1.5 67.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 AKST LTCH neutral 1.5 67.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 UTAH BYU neutral -3.0 54.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 BYU UTAH neutral 3.0 54.0

UNDER any bowl game where dog of TD or less has much better winning percentage (big list, see below)

game type = BG and WP - o:WP >= 10 and line <= 7 and oRSW > 3
SU: 130-91-2 (2.57, 58.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 108-113-2 (-1.01, 48.9%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 143-74-6 (65.9%) -6: 72-149-2 (32.6%) +10: 167-54-2 (75.6%) -10: 51-170-2 (23.1%) O/U: 27-64-1 (-6.08, 29.7%) avg total: 55.6 +6: 16-76-0 (17.4%) -6: 45-47-0 (48.9%) +10: 10-81-1 (11.0%) -10: 51-39-2 (56.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.9 142.8 33.9 19.8 236.4 1.6 6.2 7.5 5.9 6.4 25.5 Opp 38.4 153.0 30.7 17.0 202.5 1.9 5.7 6.9 4.8 5.9 22.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 GEO PNST neutral -6.5 43.0 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 MEM AUB neutral 2.5 63.5 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 WIS USC neutral 3.0 51.5 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 LSU TXT neutral -7.0 73.0 0 Dec 28, 2015 Monday 17 2015 CMCH MIN neutral 5.5 49.0 0 Dec 28, 2015 Monday 17 2015 NAVY PIT home -4.5 56.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 UCLA NEB neutral -3.5 60.0 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 SDST CIN neutral 1.5 58.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOWL GSOU neutral -7.5 66.0 0 Dec 21, 2015 Monday 16 2015 WKY SFL neutral -3.5 66.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 APP OHU neutral -8.0 55.0

play on teams not favored by 3+ scores that were hot before losing their last game as a home fav (on La Tech)

p:HFL and p:streak >= 3 and game type = BG and line > -16
SU: 29-11-0 (6.25, 72.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-9-0 (4.92, 77.5%) avg line: -1.3 +6: 32-7-1 (82.1%) -6: 15-23-2 (39.5%) +10: 34-6-0 (85.0%) -10: 12-28-0 (30.0%) O/U: 8-8-0 (-0.97, 50.0%) avg total: 59.8 +6: 7-9-0 (43.8%) -6: 10-6-0 (62.5%) +10: 4-12-0 (25.0%) -10: 13-3-0 (81.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 170.5 37.6 22.8 281.7 1.5 7.8 8.2 6.1 10.9 27.8 Opp 37.5 159.9 33.4 18.5 216.8 2.2 4.9 6.8 6.4 7.2 21.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 LTCH AKST neutral -1.5 67.0

oppose teams with far more rest than opponent and big disparity in winning percentage (on NAVY - only if they beat Army)

game type == BG and rest - o:rest > 13 and (WP > o:WP or WP - o:WP < -15) SU: 31-38-0 (-4.01, 44.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-43-0 (-4.12, 32.8%) avg line: 0.3 +6: 31-31-2 (50.0%) -6: 15-48-1 (23.8%) +10: 40-23-1 (63.5%) -10: 14-50-0 (21.9%) O/U: 7-6-0 (-2.46, 53.8%) avg total: 52.5 +6: 2-10-1 (16.7%) -6: 7-6-0 (53.8%) +10: 1-12-0 (7.7%) -10: 7-5-1 (58.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 121.5 29.6 16.3 194.5 2.2 7.5 6.0 4.5 4.8 22.9 Opp 32.9 118.5 35.6 21.4 242.5 2.0 5.3 8.8 7.6 5.5 26.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 28, 2015 Monday 17 2015 PIT NAVY away 4.5 56.0

PLAY ON big december dog vs non-elite opponent (on Tulsa, on New Mexico)

WP <= 75 and game type = BG and month = 12 and line > 7 and op:ats margin < 7 and o:WP < 75 SU: 20-34-0 (-2.41, 37.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 38-13-3 (7.65, 74.5%) avg line: 10.1 +6: 47-7-0 (87.0%) -6: 25-27-2 (48.1%) +10: 48-6-0 (88.9%) -10: 20-32-2 (38.5%) O/U: 8-9-1 (-2.72, 47.1%) avg total: 59.8 +6: 4-13-1 (23.5%) -6: 10-8-0 (55.6%) +10: 2-16-0 (11.1%) -10: 12-5-1 (70.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.1 167.8 31.5 18.5 221.6 1.4 5.7 7.6 6.1 6.8 25.4 Opp 34.8 170.4 33.6 20.9 253.5 2.1 6.7 9.2 6.8 7.4 27.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 TLS VTCH neutral 13.5 60.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 NMX ARZ neutral 10.0 63.0

OPPOSE power-5 favs of 8+ in december bowl games. (on New Mexico, on Tulsa, on So Miss)

line <= -8 and game type = BG and F and month = 12 and (conference = P10 or conference = P12 or conference = ACC or conference = B10 or conference = SEC) SU: 30-17-0 (3.53, 63.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-33-2 (-7.31, 26.7%) avg line: -10.8 +6: 22-25-0 (46.8%) -6: 8-39-0 (17.0%) +10: 27-19-1 (58.7%) -10: 5-41-1 (10.9%) O/U: 5-4-0 (4.44, 55.6%) avg total: 62.0 +6: 4-4-1 (50.0%) -6: 5-4-0 (55.6%) +10: 4-5-0 (44.4%) -10: 6-2-1 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.2 230.7 28.9 18.6 240.2 1.3 8.3 11.0 8.4 9.2 27.9 Opp 43.7 190.0 30.7 19.2 230.3 1.8 7.7 10.0 6.1 5.7 24.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 VTCH TLS neutral -13.5 60.5 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 WAS SMIS neutral -8.5 56.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 ARZ NMX neutral -10.0 63.0

PLAY ON academies in bowl games vs opponent allowing <30 ppg (on NAVY, on AFA)

(team = NAVY or team = ARMY or team = AIR) and game type = BG and otA(ooints) < 30.63 SU: 19-14-0 (2.88, 57.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-8-0 (7.06, 75.8%) avg line: 4.2 +6: 28-5-0 (84.8%) -6: 15-18-0 (45.5%) +10: 29-3-1 (90.6%) -10: 13-20-0 (39.4%) O/U: 7-6-0 (-3.31, 53.8%) avg total: 55.0 +6: 2-11-0 (15.4%) -6: 8-5-0 (61.5%) +10: 2-11-0 (15.4%) -10: 8-5-0 (61.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 58.3 290.7 12.2 6.2 83.3 1.5 6.2 7.8 3.8 8.5 27.3 Opp 35.6 177.4 27.4 17.3 231.3 2.3 5.5 6.2 6.7 6.9 24.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 AIR CAL neutral 7.0 63.0 0 Dec 28, 2015 Monday 17 2015 NAVY PIT home -4.5 56.0

PLAY ON single digit DEC dogs with good defense that ended season poorly (on NoILL, AFA, NEVADA)

D and game type = BG and p:L and pp:L and ppp:margin < 20 and tA(ooints) < 33 and line < 11 and month = 12 SU: 32-21-1 (1.80, 60.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-14-0 (6.39, 74.1%) avg line: 4.6 +6: 44-10-0 (81.5%) -6: 25-27-2 (48.1%) +10: 46-7-1 (86.8%) -10: 16-36-2 (30.8%) O/U: 9-14-0 (-2.98, 39.1%) avg total: 54.3 +6: 5-17-1 (22.7%) -6: 13-10-0 (56.5%) +10: 5-18-0 (21.7%) -10: 15-8-0 (65.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.7 159.4 30.6 18.1 221.3 1.6 7.6 6.8 5.6 5.8 22.9 Opp 32.7 140.5 35.1 19.9 255.4 1.7 5.7 7.5 5.7 6.0 21.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 AIR CAL neutral 7.0 63.0 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 NEV COST neutral 3.0 54.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 NIL BOIS neutral 8.0 55.0

 

[rolltide]

UNDER in game with non-elite defenses, at least one team off an over, and at least one team with 9+ wins. (UNDER in BYU/UTAH, AKST/LaTECH, OU/APP, TOL/TEMP, CIN/SDST, WAS/SoMISS, UCONN/MARSH)

tA(ooints) + otA(ooints) > 27 and (wins >= 9 or o:wins >= 9) and (p:O or op:O) and conference != o:conference and (game type = RS or game type = BG) and (site = home or site = neutral)
SU: 138-135-0 (0.92, 50.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 132-137-4 (-0.34, 49.1%) avg line: -1.3 +6: 180-89-4 (66.9%) -6: 84-187-2 (31.0%) +10: 204-67-2 (75.3%) -10: 60-210-3 (22.2%) O/U: 91-172-8 (-3.99, 34.6%) avg total: 56.7 +6: 65-206-0 (24.0%) -6: 139-132-0 (51.3%) +10: 50-219-2 (18.6%) -10: 161-106-4 (60.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.7 154.3 33.4 19.4 234.3 1.9 6.1 7.8 5.9 6.9 26.9 Opp 36.5 151.2 32.9 18.8 228.5 1.9 5.9 7.1 6.0 6.7 26.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 MRSH CON neutral -4.5 43.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 CON MRSH neutral 4.5 43.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 WAS SMIS neutral -8.5 56.5 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 SMIS WAS neutral 8.5 56.5 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 SDST CIN neutral 1.5 58.0 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 CIN SDST neutral -1.5 58.0 0 Dec 22, 2015 Tuesday 17 2015 TEM TOL neutral -1.0 53.0 0 Dec 22, 2015 Tuesday 17 2015 TOL TEM neutral 1.0 53.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 APP OHU neutral -8.0 55.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 OHU APP neutral 8.0 55.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 LTCH AKST neutral -2.0 67.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 AKST LTCH neutral 2.0 67.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 UTAH BYU neutral -2.5 54.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 BYU UTAH neutral 2.5 54.0

 

[rolltide]

BET ON neutral team off b2b comfortable wins, including blowout 2 games ago, vs opponent off a shootout last game. (on WASH, on USF, on ARK ST)

p:margin > 4 and pp:margin > 21 and opoints + opooints > 71 and site = neutral SU: 38-18-0 (9.21, 67.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-15-0 (5.18, 73.2%) avg line: -4.0 +6: 42-14-0 (75.0%) -6: 22-33-1 (40.0%) +10: 48-8-0 (85.7%) -10: 18-37-1 (32.7%) O/U: 14-16-0 (-0.30, 46.7%) avg total: 66.0 +6: 10-20-0 (33.3%) -6: 22-8-0 (73.3%) +10: 5-25-0 (16.7%) -10: 25-5-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.8 211.1 33.1 20.8 274.5 1.8 8.7 11.6 8.9 9.1 34.5 Opp 36.3 148.9 35.4 20.6 253.6 2.1 6.0 7.9 7.8 5.7 25.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 WAS SMIS neutral -8.5 56.5 0 Dec 21, 2015 Monday 16 2015 SFL WKY neutral 3.5 66.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 AKST LTCH neutral 2.0 67.0

OPPOSE dogs 3.5+ off b2b conference wins vs opponent off away win (on FSU, on APP ST)

op:AW and D and line > 3 and p:CW and pp:CW and season > 2004 SU: 32-140-0 (-14.60, 18.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-105-3 (-3.18, 37.9%) avg line: 11.4 +6: 99-71-2 (58.2%) -6: 45-127-0 (26.2%) +10: 111-60-1 (64.9%) -10: 32-138-2 (18.8%) O/U: 77-76-4 (0.40, 50.3%) avg total: 56.4 +6: 55-101-1 (35.3%) -6: 98-57-2 (63.2%) +10: 41-115-1 (26.3%) -10: 116-41-0 (73.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.1 126.4 34.3 19.6 214.7 2.1 4.5 5.9 4.9 5.8 21.3 Opp 40.4 198.1 29.7 18.9 237.5 1.5 8.0 10.5 8.5 8.0 35.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 31, 2015 Thursday 18 2015 HOU FLST neutral 7.0 53.0 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 OHU APP neutral 8.0 55.0

 

[rolltide]

UNDER high total with home/neutral team off b2b good defense vs opponent off good offensive game (UNDER WAS/SoMIss, UNDER MTSU/WMU) - also watch for total >=52 for aTm, Tenn, and Akron games

pooints + ppooints < 22 and (site = home or site = neutral) and opoints > 26 and total >= 52 SU: 95-34-0 (11.78, 73.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 63-62-4 (1.26, 50.4%) avg line: -10.5 +6: 91-37-1 (71.1%) -6: 44-82-3 (34.9%) +10: 103-24-2 (81.1%) -10: 35-92-2 (27.6%) O/U: 42-84-3 (-3.34, 33.3%) avg total: 59.0 +6: 28-101-0 (21.7%) -6: 62-63-4 (49.6%) +10: 22-106-1 (17.2%) -10: 82-45-2 (64.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.1 186.5 32.6 20.3 257.6 1.8 7.5 9.7 8.2 7.9 33.7 Opp 36.3 133.0 33.8 19.0 226.3 1.9 4.5 6.5 4.6 6.0 21.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 WAS SMIS neutral -8.5 56.5 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 MTEN WMCH neutral 3.0 60.5

 

[rolltide]

this one went 11-2 ATS last year ... essentially is is betting on teams that covered <44% when playing an opponent that covered >40% without an elite defense. (on UTAH, on UTAH ST, on LSU, on CAL, on aTm, on NEB, on TULSA, on OhSt, on AUB, on Okie St)

season > 1990 and game type = BG and tS(ats margin>0) / tS(ats margin>-100) < 0.44 and otS(ats margin>0) / otS(ats margin>-100) > 0.4 and ...
SU: 119-90-0 (2.95, 56.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 134-71-4 (4.28, 65.4%) avg line: 1.3 +6: 162-42-5 (79.4%) -6: 86-119-4 (42.0%) +10: 172-35-2 (83.1%) -10: 65-139-5 (31.9%) O/U: 55-64-2 (-0.90, 46.2%) avg total: 53.8 +6: 40-79-2 (33.6%) -6: 75-46-0 (62.0%) +10: 29-91-1 (24.2%) -10: 84-36-1 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.5 154.4 31.5 18.4 226.8 1.9 7.0 8.1 5.6 6.7 27.3 Opp 36.2 138.8 32.7 18.8 227.2 1.9 6.2 7.2 5.4 6.4 24.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 AZST WVA neutral -1.5 65.0 0 Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 WVA AZST neutral 1.5 65.0 0 Jan 01, 2016 Friday 18 2015 OHST NOTD neutral -6.5 53.5 0 Jan 01, 2016 Friday 18 2015 OKST MIS neutral 7.0 68.5 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 AUB MEM neutral -2.5 63.5 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 TXAM LOU neutral -3.0 48.0 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 CAL AIR neutral -7.0 63.0 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 LSU TXT neutral -7.0 73.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 CON MRSH neutral 4.5 43.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 UCLA NEB neutral -3.5 60.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 NEB UCLA neutral 3.5 60.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 TLS VTCH neutral 13.5 60.5 0 Dec 22, 2015 Tuesday 17 2015 UTST AKRON neutral -6.5 48.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 UTAH BYU neutral -2.5 54.0

 

[rolltide]

UNDER Dec bowl team off b2b games as a favorite, both both teams from last year. (UNDERS in UTAH/BYU, LaTECH/ARKST, NoILL, BOISE, GaSo/BGSU, COLST/NEV, WIS/USC, MEM/AUB, FSU/HOU)

game type = BG and month = 12 and p:F and pp:F and PRSW >= 8 and oRSW >= 7 and season > 2007
SU: 30-22-0 (2.44, 57.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-21-0 (1.76, 59.6%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 39-11-2 (78.0%) -6: 17-34-1 (33.3%) +10: 42-10-0 (80.8%) -10: 14-37-1 (27.5%) O/U: 13-39-0 (-8.41, 25.0%) avg total: 56.0 +6: 7-45-0 (13.5%) -6: 23-29-0 (44.2%) +10: 4-47-1 (7.8%) -10: 31-21-0 (59.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.8 146.3 33.4 20.0 228.4 2.0 6.9 7.3 4.8 5.8 25.0 Opp 38.8 148.6 32.3 18.6 211.2 2.1 6.8 5.9 4.1 5.7 22.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 31, 2015 Thursday 18 2015 FLST HOU neutral -7.0 54.0 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 MEM AUB neutral 2.5 64.0 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 WIS USC neutral 3.0 50.5 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 COST NEV neutral -3.0 55.0 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 CIN SDST neutral -1.5 57.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOWL GSOU neutral -7.0 66.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 GSOU BOWL neutral 7.0 66.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOIS NIL neutral -8.0 54.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 LTCH AKST neutral -2.0 66.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 UTAH BYU neutral -2.5 53.5

OPPOSE notre dame as a late season dog vs opponent off a win (on OSU)

team = NOTD and game number > 10 and D and op:W
SU: 4-23-0 (-16.04, 14.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-20-0 (-8.33, 25.9%) avg line: 7.7 +6: 10-17-0 (37.0%) -6: 4-23-0 (14.8%) +10: 13-13-1 (50.0%) -10: 3-24-0 (11.1%) O/U: 4-5-0 (0.83, 44.4%) avg total: 51.8 +6: 3-5-1 (37.5%) -6: 6-3-0 (66.7%) +10: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -10: 7-2-0 (77.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.6 125.7 32.8 16.9 199.0 1.8 3.8 4.9 6.4 3.8 17.7 Opp 38.9 195.6 26.4 17.4 243.9 1.4 9.3 8.9 7.6 8.0 33.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 01, 2016 Friday 18 2015 NOTD OHST neutral 6.5 54.0

UNDER bowl game where both teams allow just 21-29.25 ppg. (huge list of unders....)

game type = BG and 29.25 > otA(ooints) >= 21 and 29.25 > tA(ooints) >= 21 and F and season > 2005
SU: 53-24-0 (7.05, 68.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 47-30-0 (1.62, 61.0%) avg line: -5.4 +6: 57-20-0 (74.0%) -6: 29-47-1 (38.2%) +10: 63-12-2 (84.0%) -10: 21-55-1 (27.6%) O/U: 25-50-2 (-5.99, 33.3%) avg total: 57.8 +6: 20-57-0 (26.0%) -6: 35-42-0 (45.5%) +10: 15-62-0 (19.5%) -10: 40-36-1 (52.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.7 172.4 32.2 19.2 233.3 1.7 7.5 7.8 7.2 6.6 29.4 Opp 36.8 136.8 32.9 19.0 217.7 2.1 5.4 6.8 4.9 5.0 22.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 AUB MEM neutral -2.5 64.0 0 Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 MSST NCST neutral -5.5 59.0 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 COST NEV neutral -3.0 55.0 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 BAY NCAR neutral -3.0 0 Dec 28, 2015 Monday 17 2015 MIN CMCH neutral -5.5 49.5 0 Dec 28, 2015 Monday 17 2015 NAVY PIT home -3.5 56.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 UCLA NEB neutral -3.5 61.0 0 Dec 26, 2015 Saturday 17 2015 WAST MIAF neutral -3.0 61.5 0 Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 WMCH MTEN neutral -3.0 62.5 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOWL GSOU neutral -7.0 66.0 0 Dec 23, 2015 Wednesday 17 2015 BOIS NIL neutral -8.0 54.5 0 Dec 22, 2015 Tuesday 17 2015 UTST AKRON neutral -6.5 48.5 0 Dec 21, 2015 Monday 16 2015 WKY SFL neutral -3.5 65.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 SJST GAST neutral -3.0 56.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 LTCH AKST neutral -2.0 66.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 UTAH BYU neutral -2.5 53.5

OPPOSE 9+ win bowl teams that have won and covered at least 3 straight games. (on HOU, on LaTECH, on SoFL)

game type = BG and streak >= 3 and ats streak >= 3 and wins > 8 and o:streak < 12 and season > 1988
SU: 35-45-0 (-4.09, 43.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-52-0 (-5.70, 35.0%) avg line: -1.6 +6: 41-36-3 (53.2%) -6: 16-63-1 (20.3%) +10: 51-28-1 (64.6%) -10: 11-67-2 (14.1%) O/U: 17-15-0 (1.09, 53.1%) avg total: 55.6 +6: 13-19-0 (40.6%) -6: 19-12-1 (61.3%) +10: 11-21-0 (34.4%) -10: 23-9-0 (71.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.8 134.7 35.7 20.7 249.5 1.9 5.2 7.2 5.9 7.6 25.7 Opp 36.5 154.0 32.8 19.3 260.4 1.6 5.8 9.6 7.7 7.8 29.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 31, 2015 Thursday 18 2015 FLST HOU neutral -7.0 54.0 0 Dec 21, 2015 Monday 16 2015 WKY SFL neutral -3.5 65.5 0 Dec 19, 2015 Saturday 16 2015 AKST LTCH neutral 2.0 66.5

OPPOSE single-digit B12 teams vs opponent off a loss. (on UNC, on ARZ ST)

game type = BG and conference = B12 and op:L and -10 < line < 10
SU: 21-36-0 (-3.68, 36.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-40-0 (-4.84, 29.8%) avg line: -1.2 +6: 30-24-3 (55.6%) -6: 9-48-0 (15.8%) +10: 36-19-2 (65.5%) -10: 7-49-1 (12.5%) O/U: 13-11-1 (0.78, 54.2%) avg total: 56.1 +6: 9-16-0 (36.0%) -6: 16-9-0 (64.0%) +10: 9-16-0 (36.0%) -10: 19-6-0 (76.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.3 121.0 38.4 24.1 269.1 2.2 6.4 7.7 5.8 6.9 24.5 Opp 39.6 190.0 30.5 17.0 214.4 1.4 7.0 9.3 6.0 7.7 28.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 WVA AZST neutral 1.0 66.5 0 Dec 29, 2015 Tuesday 18 2015 BAY NCAR neutral -3.0

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON January bowl fav off a single loss vs a team that did not make their conference championship game (on ARIZ ST - if stay favorite)

game type = BG and month = 1 and p:L and op:game type = RS and F and pp:margin > 1
SU: 40-12-0 (9.25, 76.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 37-15-0 (3.57, 71.2%) avg line: -5.7 +6: 39-12-1 (76.5%) -6: 22-28-2 (44.0%) +10: 42-9-1 (82.4%) -10: 19-33-0 (36.5%) O/U: 12-8-0 (0.65, 60.0%) avg total: 55.1 +6: 8-12-0 (40.0%) -6: 14-6-0 (70.0%) +10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -10: 14-6-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.3 186.6 32.8 20.5 260.3 1.9 7.0 11.3 8.3 8.3 30.0 Opp 33.4 98.4 35.0 20.6 230.4 2.5 4.3 5.0 5.6 5.9 20.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 AZST WVA neutral -1.0 66.5

OPPOSE January bowl dog off single loss that blew out opponent in 2nd to last game of season. (on ARIZ ST - only if favored)

game type = BG and month = 1 and p:L and op:game type = RS and line >= 0 and pp:margin > 13 and season > 1989 SU: 3-24-0 (-10.19, 11.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-21-1 (-5.24, 19.2%) avg line: 4.9 +6: 15-11-1 (57.7%) -6: 3-24-0 (11.1%) +10: 17-10-0 (63.0%) -10: 2-25-0 (7.4%) O/U: 5-6-2 (-2.54, 45.5%) avg total: 53.4 +6: 4-9-0 (30.8%) -6: 8-5-0 (61.5%) +10: 4-9-0 (30.8%) -10: 9-4-0 (69.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.8 131.4 34.5 18.8 200.7 2.0 3.2 6.7 3.6 7.3 20.6 Opp 33.8 143.1 33.1 19.4 224.9 1.3 5.8 8.2 7.7 8.2 30.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 WVA AZST neutral 1.0 66.5

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE January bowl dog off single loss that blew out opponent in 2nd to last game of season. (on ARIZ ST - only if favored)

note that on this one these dogs are 1-20 SU when opponent isn't coming into game on a 5+ game winning streak. The only defeat was Houston over Pitt last year in the biggest blown lead in bowl history as Pitt lost game with a 25-point 4th quarter lead....

game type = BG and month = 1 and p:L and op:game type = RS and line >= 0 and pp:margin > 13 and season > 1989 and o:streak < 5
SU: 1-20-0 (-13.52, 4.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-18-1 (-8.21, 10.0%) avg line: 5.3 +6: 11-9-1 (55.0%) -6: 0-21-0 (0.0%) +10: 13-8-0 (61.9%) -10: 0-21-0 (0.0%) O/U: 5-4-2 (-0.05, 55.6%) avg total: 52.4 +6: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -6: 7-4-0 (63.6%) +10: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -10: 8-3-0 (72.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.5 124.7 34.5 19.3 209.5 2.1 3.2 6.4 4.0 8.6 18.7 Opp 33.2 140.3 33.3 19.1 216.3 1.4 5.5 7.7 7.6 9.0 32.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 02, 2016 Saturday 18 2015 WVA AZST neutral 1.0 66.5 0 Jan 02, 2015 box Friday 19 2014 HOU PIT neutral 0-0 6-17 0-7 29-10 35-34 4.0 54.0 1 5 15 10.0 5.0 W W O 0 Jan 02, 2015 box Friday 19 2014 KAST UCLA neutral 0-17 6-14 15-3 14-6 35-40 1.0 60.5 -5 -4 14.5 5.2 9.2 L L O 0 Jan 01, 2013 box Tuesday 19 2012 MSST NORW neutral 0-10 10-3 3-14 7-7 20-34 1.5 54.0 -14 -12.5 0 -6.2 6.2 L L P 0 Jan 01, 2013 box Tuesday 19 2012 MICH SCAR neutral 3-14 10-7 9-0 6-12 28-33 5.0 48.0 -5 0.0 13.0 6.5 6.5 L P O 0 Jan 03, 2012 box Tuesday 19 2011 VTCH MICH neutral 3-0 3-10 3-7 11-3 20-23 2.5 51.5 -3 -0.5 -8.5 -4.5 -4.0 L L U 1 Jan 08, 2011 box Saturday 19 2010 KTKY PIT neutral 3-0 0-13 7-7 0-7 10-27 4.0 52.0 -17 -13.0 -15.0 -14.0 -1.0 L L U 0 Jan 01, 2011 box Saturday 18 2010 PNST FLA neutral 7-0 10-14 7-6 0-17 24-37 7.0 48.0 -13 -6.0 13.0 3.5 9.5 L L O 0 Jan 01, 2009 box Thursday 19 2008 MCST GEO neutral 3-3 3-0 0-14 6-7 12-24 9.0 56.0 -12 -3.0 -20.0 -11.5 -8.5 L L U 0 Jan 01, 2008 box Tuesday 19 2007 VIR TXT neutral 9-7 12-0 0-7 7-17 28-31 5.0 59.0 -3 2.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 L W P 0 Jan 01, 2007 box Monday 18 2006 NEB AUB neutral 7-7 7-7 0-3 0-0 14-17 1.5 46.0 -3 -1.5 -15.0 -8.2 -6.8 L L U 0 Jan 01, 2007 box Monday 18 2006 MICH USC neutral 0-3 3-0 0-16 15-13 18-32 1.0 47.5 -14 -13.0 2.5 -5.2 7.8 L L O 0 Jan 01, 2003 Wednesday 20 2002 FLA MICH neutral 30-38 1.0 -8 -7.0 L L 0 Jan 01, 2003 Wednesday 20 2002 NOTD NCST neutral 6-28 1.0 -22 -21.0 L L 0 Jan 01, 1999 Friday 19 1998 KTKY PNST neutral 14-26 7.0 -12 -5.0 L L 0 Jan 01, 1999 Friday 19 1998 MSST TEX neutral 11-38 6.5 -27 -20.5 L L 0 Jan 01, 1998 Thursday 20 1997 PNST FLA neutral 6-21 13.5 -15 -1.5 L L 0 Jan 01, 1998 Thursday 20 1997 OHST FLST neutral 14-31 6.5 -17 -10.5 L L 0 Jan 01, 1997 Wednesday 20 1996 WVA NCAR neutral 13-20 6.5 -7 -0.5 L L 0 Jan 02, 1995 Monday 19 1994 TXT USC neutral 14-55 6.5 -41 -34.5 L L 0 Jan 01, 1994 Saturday 19 1993 NCST MICH neutral 7-42 14.5 -35 -20.5 L L 0 Jan 01, 1991 Tuesday 20 1990 IOWA WAS neutral 34-46 7.0 -12 -5.0 L L 0 Showing 1 to 22 of 22 entries