2015 NCAA Football Systems

ECC · Dec 16, 2015

quick question i'm sure you've answered it a ton of times... the team to play in the tables you post are the team under the column TEAM not OPP. correct? Like in post 154 or the post in 157 where the record shows 1-27 ... in those situations you'd play OPP ??

thanks

TheComputerGroup · Dec 16, 2015

Play under on any Bowl dog that has at least 2 more losses than their opponent if the total is greater than 50, and less than 64:

4-25 O/U

NEB/UCLA

OHIO U./APP ST.

PITT/NAVY

New system for you to check out Rolltide ......

TheComputerGroup · Dec 16, 2015

Play on any December Bowl team that has from at least 2 less days rest than their opponent, and not more than 8 days less rest than their opponent (so 2-8 days less rest) if they are a dog of +6 or more:

28-10 ATS

Plays on:

N. ILL

S. MISS

Air Force

Houston

TheComputerGroup · Dec 16, 2015

Play on any Bowl team vs an opponent that averages more than 29 points a game, if they are a double-digit dog:

12-1 ATS

Play on :

Tulsa

Kan St.

rolltide · Dec 17, 2015

ECC said:
quick question i'm sure you've answered it a ton of times... the team to play in the tables you post are the team under the column TEAM not OPP. correct? Like in post 154 or the post in 157 where the record shows 1-27 ... in those situations you'd play OPP ??

thanks

it's very easy ECC. the team listed to the left corresponds to the SU or ATS shown on the left. So if the system is a 1-27 ATS and Temple is on the left, Toledo is on the right that means Temple fits the 1-27 ATS query. Toledo fits because they are playing Temple but the system is "Opposing Temple"

The Computer Group said:
Play under on any Bowl dog that has at least 2 more losses than their opponent if the total is greater than 50, and less than 64:

4-25 O/U

NEB/UCLA

OHIO U./APP ST.

PITT/NAVY

New system for you to check out Rolltide ......

wins <= o:wins -2 and game type = BG and 50 < total < 64

SU:	22-27-0 (-1.49, 44.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	28-20-1 (1.93, 58.3%)	avg line: 3.4	+6: 36-13-0 (73.5%)	-6: 16-32-1 (33.3%)	+10: 38-11-0 (77.6%)	-10: 11-37-1 (22.9%)
O/U:	12-36-1 (-7.07, 25.0%)	avg total: 56.9	+6: 8-41-0 (16.3%)	-6: 25-24-0 (51.0%)	+10: 6-43-0 (12.2%)	-10: 29-18-2 (61.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.8	147.9	32.8	18.1	208.0	1.8	5.5	6.5	5.9	5.9	24.2
Opp	35.6	142.7	34.8	20.1	239.5	1.7	5.9	7.7	5.1	6.8	25.7

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Dec 31, 2015	Thursday	18	2015	FLST	HOU	neutral	-7.0	54.5	0
Dec 30, 2015	Wednesday	18	2015	AUB	MEM	neutral	-2.5	63.5	0
Dec 28, 2015	Monday	17	2015	PIT	NAVY	away	3.5	56.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	NEB	UCLA	neutral	3.5	61.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	WAS	SMIS	neutral	-8.5	56.0	0
Dec 24, 2015	Thursday	17	2015	CIN	SDST	neutral	-1.5	57.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	OHU	APP	neutral	7.5	54.5

this one is in a nice 3-24-1 o/u streak:

wins <= o:wins -2 and game type = BG and 50 < total < 64 and date > 20101226

SU:	11-17-0 (-0.86, 39.3%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	15-13-0 (3.75, 53.6%)	avg line: 4.6	+6: 21-7-0 (75.0%)	-6: 9-18-1 (33.3%)	+10: 22-6-0 (78.6%)	-10: 8-19-1 (29.6%)
O/U:	3-24-1 (-10.29, 11.1%)	avg total: 56.7	+6: 2-26-0 (7.1%)	-6: 12-16-0 (42.9%)	+10: 2-26-0 (7.1%)	-10: 15-12-1 (55.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	39.5	158.8	32.3	17.5	199.3	2.0	6.0	6.3	6.3	4.1	22.8
Opp	35.8	131.7	35.2	20.5	239.0	1.5	5.8	6.5	4.4	7.0	23.6

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Dec 31, 2015	Thursday	18	2015	FLST	HOU	neutral	-7.0	54.5	0
Dec 30, 2015	Wednesday	18	2015	AUB	MEM	neutral	-2.5	63.5	0
Dec 28, 2015	Monday	17	2015	PIT	NAVY	away	3.5	56.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	NEB	UCLA	neutral	3.5	61.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	WAS	SMIS	neutral	-8.5	56.0	0
Dec 24, 2015	Thursday	17	2015	CIN	SDST	neutral	-1.5	57.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	OHU	APP	neutral	7.5	54.5

The Computer Group said:
Play on any December Bowl team that has from at least 2 less days rest than their opponent, and not more than 8 days less rest than their opponent (so 2-8 days less rest) if they are a dog of +6 or more:

28-10 ATS

Plays on:

N. ILL

S. MISS

Air Force

Houston

game type = BG and month = 12 and D and line >= 6 and (rest < o:rest -1 and rest < o:rest + 9)

SU:	19-34-0 (-5.28, 35.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	36-17-0 (3.68, 67.9%)	avg line: 9.0	+6: 38-15-0 (71.7%)	-6: 25-27-1 (48.1%)	+10: 41-12-0 (77.4%)	-10: 17-36-0 (32.1%)
O/U:	9-8-1 (-0.81, 52.9%)	avg total: 60.3	+6: 5-12-1 (29.4%)	-6: 12-6-0 (66.7%)	+10: 5-13-0 (27.8%)	-10: 13-5-0 (72.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	45.9	222.1	24.3	13.8	152.4	1.8	6.6	7.2	6.2	6.5	24.3
Opp	36.1	165.3	33.7	21.4	292.7	1.7	7.0	11.5	6.8	7.7	29.6

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Dec 31, 2015	Thursday	18	2015	HOU	FLST	neutral	7.0	54.5	0
Dec 29, 2015	Tuesday	18	2015	AIR	CAL	neutral	7.0	66.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	SMIS	WAS	neutral	8.5	56.0	0
Dec 23, 2015	Wednesday	17	2015	NIL	BOIS	neutral	8.0	55.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	NMX	ARZ	neutral	9.0	65.0

The Computer Group said:
Play on any Bowl team vs an opponent that averages more than 29 points a game, if they are a double-digit dog:

12-1 ATS

Play on :

Tulsa

Kan St.

Va Tech only avg 27.8 ppg so not sure why they would list Tulsa? unless i am not understanding what they are typing but seems pretty straight forward. dog of 10+ playing against a team avg >29 ppg

game type = BG and otA(points) > 29 and D and line >= 10

SU:	23-66-0 (-10.09, 25.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	47-39-3 (2.74, 54.7%)	avg line: 12.8	+6: 61-27-1 (69.3%)	-6: 37-49-3 (43.0%)	+10: 67-21-1 (76.1%)	-10: 27-61-1 (30.7%)
O/U:	18-16-0 (2.32, 52.9%)	avg total: 60.5	+6: 16-18-0 (47.1%)	-6: 22-12-0 (64.7%)	+10: 13-21-0 (38.2%)	-10: 23-10-1 (69.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.6	142.9	34.4	19.8	246.4	1.8	5.5	7.9	5.8	7.7	23.2
Opp	35.5	185.6	35.5	23.3	281.5	1.7	6.9	10.0	8.9	9.8	33.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Jan 02, 2016		Saturday	18	2015	KAST	ARK	neutral						11.5	59.0

mws · Dec 17, 2015

rolltide said:
well i wouldnt consider Sys 1, 3, 9, 10, 11, or 13 at all and cannot verify 14. Also sys 7 & 12 have nothing for 2015... so of the remaining:

sys 2 = LaTech, Utah State
sys 4 = LaTech and under
sys 5 = Indiana
sys 6 = Nevada
sys 8 = under in LaTech, SJSU, AppSt, Wky, UtahSt, Temple, NoIll, BGSU, WMich, Cincy, Marsh, and Nevada games
sys 9 = Georgia, Ole Miss

So I guess Clemson doesn't qualify as a play under no. 4 and Okla doesn't qualify under no. 5 because a playoff game doesn't count as a bowl game in the database's language? Otherwise the parameters are satisfied.

rolltide · Dec 17, 2015

mws said:
So I guess Clemson doesn't qualify as a play under no. 4 and Okla doesn't qualify under no. 5 because a playoff game doesn't count as a bowl game in the database's language? Otherwise the parameters are satisfied.

good point. you can add "game type = BG or game type=PO" to any of these so the playoff games are added....

line <= 6 and P:L and P:margin <= -24 and (game type = BG or game type = PO) and (p:margin > 10 or p:margin < 0)

SU:	16-30-0 (-3.83, 34.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	11-35-0 (-5.12, 23.9%)	avg line: -1.3	+6: 23-19-4 (54.8%)	-6: 8-38-0 (17.4%)	+10: 30-16-0 (65.2%)	-10: 7-39-0 (15.2%)
O/U:	6-21-0 (-7.94, 22.2%)	avg total: 54.7	+6: 4-23-0 (14.8%)	-6: 14-13-0 (51.9%)	+10: 3-24-0 (11.1%)	-10: 16-11-0 (59.3%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.9	147.7	29.4	17.8	217.1	2.0	5.6	6.6	5.0	5.0	21.5
Opp	36.0	138.3	31.3	18.1	195.5	1.6	6.5	5.1	5.3	7.1	25.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Dec 31, 2015		Thursday	18	2015	OKLA	CLEM	neutral						-3.5	66.0									0
Dec 19, 2015		Saturday	16	2015	AKST	LTCH	neutral						2.0	68.0

(game type = BG or game type = PO) and rest < 39 and p:W and p

oints >= 46 and F and line >= -4 and season > 1981

SU:	20-2-0 (10.95, 90.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	17-5-0 (7.93, 77.3%)	avg line: -3.0	+6: 20-2-0 (90.9%)	-6: 11-11-0 (50.0%)	+10: 21-1-0 (95.5%)	-10: 10-12-0 (45.5%)
O/U:	4-7-0 (-4.27, 36.4%)	avg total: 61.1	+6: 3-8-0 (27.3%)	-6: 4-7-0 (36.4%)	+10: 2-8-1 (20.0%)	-10: 4-6-1 (40.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.8	160.3	33.1	21.6	262.5	1.7	10.1	10.9	6.3	5.9	32.4
Opp	37.5	138.5	32.2	18.2	246.0	2.1	4.3	5.5	4.6	9.3	21.4

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Dec 31, 2015		Thursday	18	2015	OKLA	CLEM	neutral						-3.5	66.0									0
Dec 26, 2015		Saturday	17	2015	IND	DUKE	neutral						-2.0	67.0

rolltide · Dec 17, 2015

PLAY AGAINST low line teams off a non-cover playing opponent off 2+ straight covers. (note: only 4-5 ATS in bowl games)

-3 < line < 3 and ats streak < 0 and o:ats streak > 1 and season > 2010

SU:	30-66-0 (-6.75, 31.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	28-66-2 (-6.80, 29.8%)	avg line: -0.0	+6: 45-48-3 (48.4%)	-6: 14-80-2 (14.9%)	+10: 54-39-3 (58.1%)	-10: 11-85-0 (11.5%)
O/U:	42-52-2 (-0.65, 44.7%)	avg total: 54.3	+6: 30-66-0 (31.2%)	-6: 56-40-0 (58.3%)	+10: 26-70-0 (27.1%)	-10: 61-34-1 (64.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.1	149.6	34.1	19.0	223.2	1.9	4.9	7.2	4.8	6.2	23.4
Opp	39.9	168.3	31.4	18.6	244.3	1.7	6.8	8.4	6.9	7.9	30.2

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Jan 02, 2016	Saturday	18	2015	WVA	AZST	neutral	0.0	66.0	0
Jan 02, 2016	Saturday	18	2015	ORE	TCU	neutral	0.0	78.5	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	SJST	GAST	neutral	-2.5	56.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	LTCH	AKST	neutral	-2.0	68.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	UTAH	BYU	neutral	-2.5	52.0

OPPOSE single digit dogs off b2b conference wins vs opponent off a road win. (on APPST, on FSU)

3 < line < 10.5 and p:CW and pp:CW and op:AW and season > 2005

SU:	19-81-0 (-11.09, 19.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	32-66-2 (-4.65, 32.7%)	avg line: 6.4	+6: 58-41-1 (58.6%)	-6: 20-80-0 (20.0%)	+10: 63-36-1 (63.6%)	-10: 12-86-2 (12.2%)
O/U:	49-49-2 (-0.56, 50.0%)	avg total: 55.3	+6: 35-65-0 (35.0%)	-6: 62-36-2 (63.3%)	+10: 24-75-1 (24.2%)	-10: 72-28-0 (72.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	33.9	129.0	34.6	20.0	225.6	2.2	4.6	6.0	4.9	6.3	21.9
Opp	40.6	187.7	29.7	18.8	230.5	1.4	7.5	9.7	7.3	7.7	32.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Dec 31, 2015		Thursday	18	2015	HOU	FLST	neutral						7.0	54.5									0
Dec 19, 2015		Saturday	16	2015	OHU	APP	neutral						7.5	54.5

PLAY ON solid dogs against a good rushing defense (on NoILL)

2 < line < 9.5 and D and otA(o:rushing yards) < 124.8 and op:rushing yards / op:rushes > 5.42 and season > 2010

SU:	62-63-0 (-1.58, 49.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	86-34-5 (4.06, 71.7%)	avg line: 5.6	+6: 100-24-1 (80.6%)	-6: 57-66-2 (46.3%)	+10: 103-21-1 (83.1%)	-10: 36-82-7 (30.5%)
O/U:	54-68-3 (-0.01, 44.3%)	avg total: 55.1	+6: 43-82-0 (34.4%)	-6: 76-48-1 (61.3%)	+10: 31-94-0 (24.8%)	-10: 84-41-0 (67.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.8	146.4	33.9	20.1	231.5	1.5	5.3	6.3	6.8	8.0	26.8
Opp	40.2	176.2	32.0	18.9	234.3	1.7	5.8	8.3	6.1	7.5	28.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Dec 23, 2015		Wednesday	17	2015	NIL	BOIS	neutral						8.0	55.0

PLAY AGAINST any team that allowed 37+ last game and facing an opponent off b2b blowout wins (on WASH)

po

oints > 36 and op:margin >= 28 and opp:margin >= 28 and p:ats margin < 17

SU:	21-167-0 (-25.24, 11.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	60-126-1 (-4.17, 32.3%)	avg line: 21.1	+6: 97-86-4 (53.0%)	-6: 46-137-4 (25.1%)	+10: 117-68-2 (63.2%)	-10: 35-151-1 (18.8%)
O/U:	45-39-2 (2.63, 53.6%)	avg total: 61.5	+6: 33-53-0 (38.4%)	-6: 58-28-0 (67.4%)	+10: 27-59-0 (31.4%)	-10: 67-19-0 (77.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.1	121.7	34.9	19.3	214.7	2.0	3.7	5.7	4.5	5.5	17.6
Opp	40.2	225.0	33.0	21.0	283.8	1.5	12.2	13.5	10.4	8.3	42.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Dec 26, 2015		Saturday	17	2015	SMIS	WAS	neutral						8.5	56.0

PLAY AGAINST big dogs, avg team, off a close conference win (on ARK)

p:CW and p:margin <= 3 and D and 10.5 < line < 33 and 44 < WP < 55 and season > 1996

SU:	2-39-0 (-26.41, 4.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	7-34-0 (-8.01, 17.1%)	avg line: 18.4	+6: 19-22-0 (46.3%)	-6: 5-35-1 (12.5%)	+10: 23-18-0 (56.1%)	-10: 4-37-0 (9.8%)
O/U:	11-6-1 (7.86, 64.7%)	avg total: 56.3	+6: 9-9-0 (50.0%)	-6: 13-5-0 (72.2%)	+10: 6-12-0 (33.3%)	-10: 15-2-1 (88.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	31.3	108.5	34.5	20.3	235.2	2.1	4.2	5.1	6.3	5.1	16.5
Opp	43.7	212.1	29.1	19.3	254.4	1.3	9.0	14.4	10.7	9.4	42.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Jan 02, 2016		Saturday	18	2015	KAST	ARK	neutral						11.5	59.0

rolltide · Dec 17, 2015

the tally....

New Mexico 38-13-3, 33-12-2, 36-17

Utah 134-71
BYU 66-28
BYU/UTAH under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 13-39, 25-50

AppSt 105-64, 66-32
Ohio/AppSt under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 152-326-12, 37-51, 12-36

Georgia St 66-28
SJSU/GaSt under 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

LaTech 31-9, 52-28, 35-11, 21-1
ArkSt 41-15
LaTech/ArkSt under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 13-39, 25-50, 7-27, 37-51

SoFlorida 41-15, 52-28
Wky/SoFla under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 25-50, 37-51

Utah State 21-1
USU/AKR under 25-50, 37-50, 7-27

Toledo 27-1
Toledo/Temple under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 37-51

NoILL 40-14, 36-17, 86-34
Boise/NoIll under 144-286-14, 13-39, 25-50, 37-51

Ga Southern 27-1
GaSo/BGSU under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 13-39, 25-50, 37-51

W Michigan 27-1
MTSU/WMICH under 42-84-3, 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

SD State 27-1
Cincy/SDST under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 152-326-12, 13-39, 37-51, 12-36

Uconn/Marshall under 152-326-12, 37-51

Miami Fl 27-1
Wazzou/MIA under 25-50, 7-27

SoMiss 33-12-2, 36-17
Wash 41-15, 126-60
SoMiss/Wash under 152-326-12, 42-84-3, 3-22, 12-36

Indiana 17-5, 27-1

Tulsa 38-13-3, 33-12-2, 134-71

Nebraska 134-71
UCLA/NEB under 27-64-1, 25-50, 7-27, 12-36

Pitt 12-2
Navy 43-21, 25-8, 27-1
Pitt/Navy under 27-64-1, 25-50, 7-27, 12-36

Minnesota 27-1
MIN/CMU under 25-50, 7-27

Air Force 25-8, 40-14, 36-17
California 134-71

UNC 29-5, 40-17
UNC/BAYLOR under 152-326-12, 25-50

Nevada 40-14, 17-1
CSU/NEV under 13-39, 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

LSU 134-71, 27-1
LSU/TexTech under 27-64-1

Auburn 134-78, 27-1
MEM/AUB under 27-64-1, 13-39, 25-50, 12-36

NC State 27-1
MISST/NCST under 25-50, 7-27

Texas A&M 27-1

WIS/USC under 27-64-1, 13-39, 7-27

Florida St 105-64, 66-32
Houston 52-28, 36-17
FSU/HOU under 13-39, 12-36

Clemson 35-11
Oklahoma 17-5

Ohio State 134-71, 20-7
OSU/NDU under 7-27, 15-34

STAN/IOWA under 7-27

Oklahoma State 134-71

UGA/PSU under 27-64-1

Arkansas 34-7

TCU 66-28

Arizona St 40-17, 37-15, 21-5, 18-2, 66-28

TheComputerGroup · Dec 17, 2015

rolltide said:
the tally....

New Mexico 38-13-3, 33-12-2, 36-17

Utah 134-71
BYU 66-28
BYU/UTAH under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 13-39, 25-50

AppSt 105-64, 66-32
Ohio/AppSt under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 152-326-12, 37-51, 12-36

Georgia St 66-28
SJSU/GaSt under 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

LaTech 31-9, 52-28, 35-11, 21-1
ArkSt 41-15
LaTech/ArkSt under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 13-39, 25-50, 7-27, 37-51

SoFlorida 41-15, 52-28
Wky/SoFla under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 25-50, 37-51

Utah State 21-1
USU/AKR under 25-50, 37-50, 7-27

Toledo 27-1
Toledo/Temple under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 37-51

NoILL 40-14, 36-17, 86-34
Boise/NoIll under 144-286-14, 13-39, 25-50, 37-51

Ga Southern 27-1
GaSo/BGSU under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 13-39, 25-50, 37-51

W Michigan 27-1
MTSU/WMICH under 42-84-3, 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

SD State 27-1
Cincy/SDST under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 152-326-12, 13-39, 37-51, 12-36

Uconn/Marshall under 152-326-12, 37-51

Miami Fl 27-1
Wazzou/MIA under 25-50, 7-27

SoMiss 33-12-2, 36-17
Wash 41-15, 126-60
SoMiss/Wash under 152-326-12, 42-84-3, 3-22, 12-36

Indiana 17-5, 27-1

Tulsa 38-13-3, 33-12-2, 134-71

Nebraska 134-71
UCLA/NEB under 27-64-1, 25-50, 7-27, 12-36

Pitt 12-2
Navy 43-21, 25-8, 27-1
Pitt/Navy under 27-64-1, 25-50, 7-27, 12-36

Minnesota 27-1
MIN/CMU under 25-50, 7-27

Air Force 25-8, 40-14, 36-17
California 134-71

UNC 29-5, 40-17
UNC/BAYLOR under 152-326-12, 25-50

Nevada 40-14, 17-1
CSU/NEV under 13-39, 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

LSU 134-71, 27-1
LSU/TexTech under 27-64-1

Auburn 134-78, 27-1
MEM/AUB under 27-64-1, 13-39, 25-50, 12-36

NC State 27-1
MISST/NCST under 25-50, 7-27

Texas A&M 27-1

WIS/USC under 27-64-1, 13-39, 7-27

Florida St 105-64, 66-32
Houston 52-28, 36-17
FSU/HOU under 13-39, 12-36

Clemson 35-11
Oklahoma 17-5

Ohio State 134-71, 20-7
OSU/NDU under 7-27, 15-34

STAN/IOWA under 7-27

Oklahoma State 134-71

UGA/PSU under 27-64-1

Arkansas 34-7

TCU 66-28

Arizona St 40-17, 37-15, 21-5, 18-2, 66-28

Thanks for doing this man, really helps........

HotRocks · Dec 18, 2015

rolltide said:
well i wouldnt consider Sys 1, 3, 9, 10, 11, or 13 at all and cannot verify 14. Also sys 7 & 12 have nothing for 2015... so of the remaining:

sys 2 = LaTech, Utah State
sys 4 = LaTech and under
sys 5 = Indiana
sys 6 = Nevada
sys 8 = under in LaTech, SJSU, AppSt, Wky, UtahSt, Temple, NoIll, BGSU, WMich, Cincy, Marsh, and Nevada games
sys 9 = Georgia, Ole Miss

Thnx for clearing all that up rolltide, I had a copy of those trends from a while back and they hadn't been doing very well as of late, not sure where I found them, I think it was BC forum

Anyway, thnx again

PonyPlayer · Dec 19, 2015

Great work Rolltide and Computer Group!

gggoldengreek · Dec 19, 2015

rolltide...

Hate to ask , but if you have the time and patience can you check these ?

New Bowl system #2

Play against any Bowl team that has covered their last 3 games if the line is +2.5 to -4 (competitive game), and the team has a winning percentage of less than .750

12-42 ATS (so play against them:

Goes against:

S. Fla
Indiana
Ariz St.

New bowl system #3

Play against any Bowl team that has more rest than their opponent, as a favorite, if their winning percentage is worse than their opponent:

27-54 ATS (applies to 9 games)

against:

SJ St.
LA Tech
AZ
CINN
Wash
Cal
FL St.
Mich
AZ St.

New bowl system #5

Play against any Bowl team that has lost at least 3 straight games ATS if the line is less than +3 (in other words the line is +2.5 or less Pick 'em, and any favorite)

That's 58-98-2 ATS:

Play against:

ARK ST

S. FLA

W. KY

IND

FLA ST.

AZ ST.

New Bowl System #7

Play against any Bowl team that saw their total points scored by both teams from 80-89 points, if their opponent is off a win:

12-30 ATS

Against:

LA TECH

AZ

TENN

OK ST.

Bowl System #8

very simple, play on a Bowl team with 2 losses, if 1 of those 2 losses occurred in their last game:

44-24 ATS

TOL

NC

ND

OK ST.

Bowl System #9

Very simple, play against any Bowl team that has won and covered in at least their last 4 games:

34-53 ATS:

Against:

GA ST.

ARK ST.

S. FLA

Akron

M. TENN ST.

sdf · Dec 19, 2015

it's a verrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrry small sample size but something to watch now that we have 114 bowl games happening

5 win bowl teams are 0-3 SU/ATS

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+and+wins=5+and+o:wins>5&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

Dec 14, 1991	Saturday	16	1991	FRES	BOWL	home	21-28	-15.0		-7	-22.0	L	L
Dec 29, 1991	Sunday	18	1991	MIS	AIR	neutral	15-38	-9.0		-23	-32.0	L	L
Dec 18, 2001	Tuesday	18	2001	NTX	COST	neutral	20-45	11.0		-25	-14.0	L	L
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	SJST	GAST	neutral		-1.0	55.5
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	NEB	UCLA	neutral		3.5	61.0
Dec 28, 2015	Monday	17	2015	MIN	CMCH	neutral		-6.0	49.5

rolltide · Dec 19, 2015

gggoldengreek said:
rolltide...

Hate to ask , but if you have the time and patience can you check these ?

New Bowl system #2

Play against any Bowl team that has covered their last 3 games if the line is +2.5 to -4 (competitive game), and the team has a winning percentage of less than .750

12-42 ATS (so play against them:

Goes against:

S. Fla
Indiana
Ariz St.

New bowl system #3

Play against any Bowl team that has more rest than their opponent, as a favorite, if their winning percentage is worse than their opponent:

27-54 ATS (applies to 9 games)

against:

SJ St.
LA Tech
AZ
CINN
Wash
Cal
FL St.
Mich
AZ St.

New bowl system #5

Play against any Bowl team that has lost at least 3 straight games ATS if the line is less than +3 (in other words the line is +2.5 or less Pick 'em, and any favorite)

That's 58-98-2 ATS:

Play against:

ARK ST

S. FLA

W. KY

IND

FLA ST.

AZ ST.

New Bowl System #7

Play against any Bowl team that saw their total points scored by both teams from 80-89 points, if their opponent is off a win:

12-30 ATS

Against:

LA TECH

AZ

TENN

OK ST.

Bowl System #8

very simple, play on a Bowl team with 2 losses, if 1 of those 2 losses occurred in their last game:

44-24 ATS

TOL

NC

ND

OK ST.

Bowl System #9

Very simple, play against any Bowl team that has won and covered in at least their last 4 games:

34-53 ATS:

Against:

GA ST.

ARK ST.

S. FLA

Akron

M. TENN ST.

system 2 ... i moved the parameters around a bit because, as written, it wasn't very convincing. the one i wrote looks great.
PLAY AGAINST a low line team on a 3-5 game ATS streak that hasn't won exactly 9 games:

2 < ats streak < 6 and game type = BG and -5 < line < 3 and wins != 9

SU:	18-49-0 (-6.31, 26.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	14-52-1 (-7.74, 21.2%)	avg line: -1.4	+6: 30-35-2 (46.2%)	-6: 9-58-0 (13.4%)	+10: 39-28-0 (58.2%)	-10: 8-59-0 (11.9%)
O/U:	12-13-0 (1.60, 48.0%)	avg total: 56.0	+6: 10-15-0 (40.0%)	-6: 14-10-1 (58.3%)	+10: 8-17-0 (32.0%)	-10: 17-8-0 (68.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	33.3	117.0	36.8	21.1	252.2	2.5	7.4	7.4	4.9	5.8	24.0
Opp	37.5	142.3	32.0	19.2	250.3	1.6	6.2	9.1	6.2	9.4	30.4

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Jan 02, 2016	Saturday	18	2015	AZST	WVA	neutral	0.0	66.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	IND	DUKE	neutral	-2.0	67.0	0
Dec 21, 2015	Monday	16	2015	SFL	WKY	neutral	2.5	66.5	0
Dec 21, 2015	Monday	16	2015	WKY	SFL	neutral	-2.5	66.5

bowl system 3....I added stipulation that team should have no more than 8 wins

rest > o:rest and WP < o:WP and F and game type = BG and wins < 9

SU:	28-35-0 (0.83, 44.4%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	17-46-0 (-3.94, 27.0%)	avg line: -4.8	+6: 35-28-0 (55.6%)	-6: 11-52-0 (17.5%)	+10: 44-18-1 (71.0%)	-10: 9-54-0 (14.3%)
O/U:	12-10-3 (2.32, 54.5%)	avg total: 55.6	+6: 10-15-0 (40.0%)	-6: 20-5-0 (80.0%)	+10: 9-16-0 (36.0%)	-10: 20-5-0 (80.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	33.7	129.1	35.2	21.0	276.6	1.7	7.3	8.6	7.8	7.1	27.5
Opp	40.2	179.3	30.2	17.5	212.2	1.7	4.9	8.4	5.6	8.1	26.7

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Dec 29, 2015	Tuesday	18	2015	CAL	AIR	neutral	-7.0	66.0	0
Dec 26, 2015	Saturday	17	2015	WAS	SMIS	neutral	-8.5	56.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	SJST	GAST	neutral	-1.0	55.5	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	LTCH	AKST	neutral	-1.5	68.5	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	ARZ	NMX	neutral	-8.0	65.0

bowl system 5....i come nowhere close to your ATS

line < 3 and game type = BG and ats streak <= -3

SU:	45-36-0 (3.78, 55.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	41-40-0 (-0.10, 50.6%)	avg line: -3.9	+6: 53-26-2 (67.1%)	-6: 22-59-0 (27.2%)	+10: 64-16-1 (80.0%)	-10: 14-66-1 (17.5%)
O/U:	15-17-1 (-1.62, 46.9%)	avg total: 58.5	+6: 11-21-1 (34.4%)	-6: 21-12-0 (63.6%)	+10: 6-27-0 (18.2%)	-10: 21-11-1 (65.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.8	171.3	31.5	19.9	244.6	1.5	7.5	8.7	7.0	8.6	28.4
Opp	37.3	147.4	33.7	20.0	242.7	2.0	6.3	5.9	4.9	7.2	24.6

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Dec 30, 2015	Wednesday	18	2015	AUB	MEM	neutral	-2.5	63.0	0
Dec 22, 2015	Tuesday	17	2015	UTST	AKRON	neutral	-6.5	47.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	UTAH	BYU	neutral	-2.5	50.0

bowl system 7:

79 < p

oints + po

oints < 90 and game type = BG and op:W

SU:	16-26-0 (-5.43, 38.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	12-30-0 (-6.23, 28.6%)	avg line: -0.8	+6: 22-18-2 (55.0%)	-6: 7-34-1 (17.1%)	+10: 27-13-2 (67.5%)	-10: 5-37-0 (11.9%)
O/U:	9-12-0 (-4.21, 42.9%)	avg total: 62.0	+6: 6-15-0 (28.6%)	-6: 13-8-0 (61.9%)	+10: 2-19-0 (9.5%)	-10: 14-7-0 (66.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	29.8	122.4	39.1	22.3	272.5	2.3	5.3	7.3	6.4	5.5	26.8
Opp	41.0	188.0	33.0	21.3	255.7	1.6	7.0	9.6	8.0	8.4	32.2

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Jan 01, 2016	Friday	18	2015	TEN	NORW	neutral	-8.0	45.5	0
Jan 01, 2016	Friday	18	2015	OKST	MIS	neutral	7.0	67.0	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	LTCH	AKST	neutral	-1.5	68.5	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	ARZ	NMX	neutral	-8.0	65.0

bowl system 8...

p:L and losses = 2 and game type = BG

SU:	47-24-0 (4.89, 66.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	44-24-1 (3.38, 64.7%)	avg line: -1.7	+6: 54-13-2 (80.6%)	-6: 27-37-5 (42.2%)	+10: 59-10-0 (85.5%)	-10: 21-47-1 (30.9%)
O/U:	10-9-0 (-1.08, 52.6%)	avg total: 59.8	+6: 7-12-0 (36.8%)	-6: 12-7-0 (63.2%)	+10: 6-13-0 (31.6%)	-10: 14-4-1 (77.8%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	35.8	167.3	37.3	22.1	271.3	1.8	7.1	7.9	7.1	9.2	29.4
Opp	39.5	171.9	31.9	18.9	218.8	2.3	6.7	7.4	6.8	6.5	24.5

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Jan 01, 2016	Friday	18	2015	NOTD	OHST	neutral	6.5	54.0	0
Jan 01, 2016	Friday	18	2015	OKST	MIS	neutral	7.0	67.0	0
Dec 29, 2015	Tuesday	18	2015	NCAR	BAY	neutral	2.0	70.0	0
Dec 22, 2015	Tuesday	17	2015	TOL	TEM	neutral	2.0	49.5

bowl system 9...

ats streak > 3 and streak > 3 and game type = BG

SU:	38-50-0 (-4.08, 43.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	34-53-1 (-4.55, 39.1%)	avg line: -0.5	+6: 47-37-4 (56.0%)	-6: 25-62-1 (28.7%)	+10: 60-28-0 (68.2%)	-10: 12-74-2 (14.0%)
O/U:	15-12-0 (0.67, 55.6%)	avg total: 57.3	+6: 10-17-0 (37.0%)	-6: 21-5-1 (80.8%)	+10: 7-20-0 (25.9%)	-10: 24-3-0 (88.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	33.3	115.3	37.1	21.6	254.0	1.9	4.6	7.6	5.7	7.6	24.6
Opp	36.6	157.4	34.9	20.1	261.6	1.6	7.6	9.4	5.7	9.1	28.7

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Dec 24, 2015	Thursday	17	2015	MTEN	WMCH	neutral	5.0	63.5	0
Dec 22, 2015	Tuesday	17	2015	AKRON	UTST	neutral	6.5	47.0	0
Dec 21, 2015	Monday	16	2015	SFL	WKY	neutral	2.5	66.5	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	GAST	SJST	neutral	1.0	55.5	0
Dec 19, 2015	Saturday	16	2015	AKST	LTCH	neutral	1.5	68.5

rolltide · Dec 19, 2015

adding these last several systems to tally:

New Mexico 38-13-3, 33-12-2, 36-17, 46-17, 30-12

Utah 134-71
BYU 66-28
BYU/UTAH under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 13-39, 25-50

AppSt 105-64, 66-32
Ohio/AppSt under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 152-326-12, 37-51, 12-36

Georgia St 66-28, 46-17
SJSU/GaSt under 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

LaTech 31-9, 52-28, 35-11, 21-1
ArkSt 41-15, 46-17, 30-12
LaTech/ArkSt under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 13-39, 25-50, 7-27, 37-51

SoFlorida 41-15, 52-28, 52-14
W Kentucky 52-14
Wky/SoFla under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 25-50, 37-51

Utah State 21-1
USU/AKR under 25-50, 37-50, 7-27

Toledo 27-1, 44-24
Toledo/Temple under 144-286-14, 152-326-12, 37-51

NoILL 40-14, 36-17, 86-34
Boise/NoIll under 144-286-14, 13-39, 25-50, 37-51

Ga Southern 27-1
GaSo/BGSU under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 13-39, 25-50, 37-51

W Michigan 27-1
MTSU/WMICH under 42-84-3, 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

SD State 27-1
Cincy/SDST under 144-286-14, 27-64-1, 152-326-12, 13-39, 37-51, 12-36

Uconn/Marshall under 152-326-12, 37-51

Miami Fl 27-1
Wazzou/MIA under 25-50, 7-27

SoMiss 33-12-2, 36-17, 46-17
Wash 41-15, 126-60
SoMiss/Wash under 152-326-12, 42-84-3, 3-22, 12-36

Indiana 17-5, 27-1
Duke 52-14

Tulsa 38-13-3, 33-12-2, 134-71

Nebraska 134-71
UCLA/NEB under 27-64-1, 25-50, 7-27, 12-36

Pitt 12-2
Navy 43-21, 25-8, 27-1
Pitt/Navy under 27-64-1, 25-50, 7-27, 12-36

Minnesota 27-1
MIN/CMU under 25-50, 7-27

Air Force 25-8, 40-14, 36-17, 46-17
California 134-71

UNC 29-5, 40-17, 44-24
UNC/BAYLOR under 152-326-12, 25-50

Nevada 40-14, 17-1
CSU/NEV under 13-39, 25-50, 37-51, 7-27

LSU 134-71, 27-1
LSU/TexTech under 27-64-1

Auburn 134-78, 27-1
MEM/AUB under 27-64-1, 13-39, 25-50, 12-36

NC State 27-1
MISST/NCST under 25-50, 7-27

Texas A&M 27-1

WIS/USC under 27-64-1, 13-39, 7-27

Florida St 105-64, 66-32
Houston 52-28, 36-17
FSU/HOU under 13-39, 12-36

Clemson 35-11
Oklahoma 17-5

Ohio State 134-71, 20-7
Notre Dame 44-24
OSU/NDU under 7-27, 15-34

STAN/IOWA under 7-27

Oklahoma State 134-71, 44-24
Ole Miss 30-12

Northwestern 30-12

UGA/PSU under 27-64-1

Arkansas 34-7

TCU 66-28

Arizona St 40-17, 37-15, 21-5, 18-2, 66-28
West Virginia 52-14

gggoldengreek · Dec 19, 2015

Much appreciatted !

rolltide · Dec 19, 2015

another... not that i need more systems for New Mexico

... anyway:

PLAY ON any solid dog off a double digit conference win vs opponent that allowed >30 in a game they also scored >25. (on NEW MEXICO)

p:CW and p:margin >= 10 and op

oints > 25 and opo

oints > 30 and D and 13 > line > 5 and conference != P12 and o:ats streak > -4

SU:	48-61-1 (-1.85, 44.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	80-29-1 (6.23, 73.4%)	avg line: 8.1	+6: 89-21-0 (80.9%)	-6: 56-51-3 (52.3%)	+10: 95-14-1 (87.2%)	-10: 38-69-3 (35.5%)
O/U:	29-31-0 (-0.09, 48.3%)	avg total: 59.8	+6: 17-41-2 (29.3%)	-6: 40-19-1 (67.8%)	+10: 11-49-0 (18.3%)	-10: 44-15-1 (74.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.8	150.4	34.0	19.9	243.4	1.5	5.9	8.3	5.8	8.3	27.6
Opp	38.6	171.8	34.0	21.4	258.1	1.7	7.3	8.4	6.6	7.9	29.5

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Dec 19, 2015		Saturday	16	2015	NMX	ARZ	neutral						9.0	65.0

PonyPlayer · Dec 20, 2015

New Mexico was a GREAT play today! What a battle back! Thanks for your work.

Kaboom · Dec 22, 2015

Not too good so far ... weird .. would have expected much better with these trends .. Thx for the work though

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