2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

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There are other years available but data is not necessarily in the same columns. You would have to organize it by col. A big task because of the size.

Thanks CTP. No task a large task if there's a chance it brings further validity in the form of reduced variance to the data, but I understand 90+ columns would be a fun cut-n-paste-fest.
 

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MNAT, that how I did it for the bases db which only deals with MLs. But if I have something like:

H score.........V score.........H-spreadD.........V-spread
88................ 83................ -9............... 9
92................ 95................ 2.5................ -2.5
101................ 96................ -3 ................ 3

I want to create a separate column now for "Dog" and "Fave". No rush, I'll be out of town for a couple days.

Pops, for some reason my e-mail to you keeps getting sent back. I was using a different database that wasn't nearly as extensive as yours. The strongest correlation was b/w certain umps and the line moves (for totals), but you already knew that.

The reason I don't think I found anything was because all of this info is already available so there's really no reason for it to cause a line move. But now that I have your master handy, there is a lot more stuff for me to work with. I'm out of town from tomorrow until Monday, but I'll get my hands dirty starting monday night.

I put the first line of your data into line 1, col A, B, C & D of an excel wksh and here is the formula. There may be a more precise one, but his will work.

+IF(C1<0,IF(((A1-B1)>-C1),"Fav","Dog"),IF(((B2-A2)>-C2),"Fav","Dog"))

Thanks for giving me something else to do besides work this am!

PC
 

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I put the first line of your data into line 1, col A, B, C & D of an excel wksh and here is the formula. There may be a more precise one, but his will work.

+IF(C1<0,IF(((A1-B1)>-C1),"Fav","Dog"),IF(((B2-A2)>-C2),"Fav","Dog"))

Thanks for giving me something else to do besides work this am!

PC

Nice work, PC! Good to know there's some Excel gurus around these parts. It works for line 1, but I get a "VALUE" error with the subsequent data set (e.g. flip the score, and pretend the road team is fav'd).
 

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pops, any chance you have 2008's full master, which games could be added to the current master. Intent, obviously, is to just have a little bit larger sample size to draw from. On the flip side, I understand how much teams change, situations change, etc., but some of these cats/pivots would benefit from multiple years of sample size. How about a PDWS with 2008's games? Will that bring the current master sheet to its knees? lol

i believe i do. i'll check and upload. every year is diff plus many of the cols have changed as well as the calc so be careful if you just try to dump all into one
 

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I put the first line of your data into line 1, col A, B, C & D of an excel wksh and here is the formula. There may be a more precise one, but his will work.

+IF(C1<0,IF(((A1-B1)>-C1),"Fav","Dog"),IF(((B2-A2)>-C2),"Fav","Dog"))

Thanks for giving me something else to do besides work this am!

PC

dam you guys are making my dick stiff with all these calc and data
 

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pops, any chance you have 2008's full master, which games could be added to the current master. Intent, obviously, is to just have a little bit larger sample size to draw from. On the flip side, I understand how much teams change, situations change, etc., but some of these cats/pivots would benefit from multiple years of sample size. How about a PDWS with 2008's games? Will that bring the current master sheet to its knees? lol


below is 2008. make sure you change pitcher and ump naming between the two years. it's 22mb. couldnt get it to upload w/o using compression

enjoy
 

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thanks pops. Probably won't have time to mess with it until next week sometime, but will certainly take a look to see how quickly data can be transferred.
 

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I put the first line of your data into line 1, col A, B, C & D of an excel wksh and here is the formula. There may be a more precise one, but his will work.

+IF(C1<0,IF(((A1-B1)>-C1),"Fav","Dog"),IF(((B2-A2)>-C2),"Fav","Dog"))

Thanks for giving me something else to do besides work this am!

PC

Here is the corrected version

+IF(C1<0,IF(((A1-B1)>-C1),"Fav","Dog"),IF(((B1-A1)>-C1),"Fav","Dog"))

The first version had some bad #'s in the 2nd half of formula, since I wrote them as separate pieces and then merged them together.

PC
 

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day 2 ML move projections

only listing the ones that should have decent moves from the open

sd ol -120 should move down
sfo ol -125 should move down

dont project much change on any of the others
 

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Pops or anyone I'm in vegas and want to place future bet. Cinn over or under 79 wins....I'm thinking over.
 

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Pops or anyone I'm in vegas and want to place future bet. Cinn over or under 79 wins....I'm thinking over.

I would probably lean toward the over, but for what it's worth I like these two a lot more:

TB Rays over 89.5
Astros over 74.5

PC
 

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day 2 ML move projections

only listing the ones that should have decent moves from the open

sd ol -120 should move down
sfo ol -125 should move down

dont project much change on any of the others

What are these for, possible scalps?
 

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What are these for, possible scalps?

yep just fine tuning something for the start of the season

was right on sd moving down from -120 to -110 although not a big move

i think i pick up the roc game numbers not sfo which looks like a no change now
 

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Friday March 26th

morning all from the motherland

all but the one i needed won yesterday

was told that if xav that i would prob win my pool if wv wins it all. won kenty, syr, wv but no cigar on xav

goes to show you how far you can go in these thing w/o watching one game, listing to talking heads or looking at any data
 

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just checked an even with wv taking it all i can win

always next year
 

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Pops, talked to a guy who does only totals and says his key stat on umps is first strike %.Is there anywhere you can get such info?I believe it to be relevent as I know batters hit about -.140 less when the count is not in thier favor.
 

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Pops, talked to a guy who does only totals and says his key stat on umps is first strike %.Is there anywhere you can get such info?I believe it to be relevent as I know batters hit about -.140 less when the count is not in thier favor.

someone prob tracks that but i dont have any site that pub it. so would be almost impossible to track
 

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Pops, talked to a guy who does only totals and says his key stat on umps is first strike %.Is there anywhere you can get such info?I believe it to be relevent as I know batters hit about -.140 less when the count is not in thier favor.

I think if you have mlbtv for your internet you can go back and watch each game so i guess you could go thru and watch each first pitch, probably pretty time consuming....
 

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saturday march 27th

morning all

lesser known teams have no place to hide once they hit the 16 as they get scouted much better

butler only one left and doubt msu can overcome there injuries with tenn sunday. wv not in great shape either

well only 7 more shopping days to xmas. sure wish i could test everything b4 than. oh well only time will tell
 

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