2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

[pops69]

based on early projections the following in mlb today

all of these are ol ML fav and should move down:

col -125
stl -140
hou -125
kc -120

i plan to check again in an hour. trying to get my timing right at this point

 

[pops69]

big change from the early position. most are no change now

 

[Atlanta1978]

Cant see Duke winning today. This is exactly the type of team they have trouble with. Size (length), speed and talent will takeover and I like the fact that Baylor is playing in Houston. I really like the moneyline but I'll take the dog @ +5 and not be greedy.

GL

 

[Atlanta1978]

Pops any thoughts on the NCAA maybe wanting one NAME team like duke in the final four?

 

[pops69]

Pops any thoughts on the NCAA maybe wanting one NAME team like duke in the final four?

duke does have a very large following. the final 4 i went to in minn with them there it was packed with those crazy's that wouldnt sit down

but not true with the ncaa thing though it will sell out anyway

 

[pops69]

sunday march 28th

morning all

got wv to the final four, but best finish for me will be 2nd place period

post em if you got em as not many shopping days til xmas

 

[TyBounce]

I'm a little embarassed to ask this as it's obviously simple math that i SHOULD be able to figure myself , BUT ...

Does anybody know where i can find a deci % chart or parlay odds conversion chart ?

I've googled and searched but cant find one. Theres a million places with parlay calculators that figure it for you , but i'm looking for the actual chart. .... thanks

 

[bluelabga]

Pops - I know that u usually fade line moves in other sports - do you fade the large line moves with regard to baseball also? What is an example of a line move that you would consider fading ( Ex: Would opening line of -125 to closing line of -140 be considered a fade?)

 

[pops69]

Pops - I know that u usually fade line moves in other sports - do you fade the large line moves with regard to baseball also? What is an example of a line move that you would consider fading ( Ex: Would opening line of -125 to closing line of -140 be considered a fade?)

no i try to find those that will move the most and scalp them

 

[pops69]

I'm a little embarassed to ask this as it's obviously simple math that i SHOULD be able to figure myself , BUT ...

Does anybody know where i can find a deci % chart or parlay odds conversion chart ?

I've googled and searched but cant find one. Theres a million places with parlay calculators that figure it for you , but i'm looking for the actual chart. .... thanks

some of the os have them and the casino give them out. i think i thru mine away when i left vegas. i'll look around but i doubt it

 

[TyBounce]

some of the os have them and the casino give them out. i think i thru mine away when i left vegas. i'll look around but i doubt it

ok thanks pops.

ive only got 2 os. Both have calculators and will obviously show the win back on any bet amount but they dont have a chart , you have to put the amount and then cancel.

i know this much
-110 = 1.91 or .91
-115 = 1.87
-120 = 1.83
-125 = 1.80
-130 = 1.77
and obviously
-200 = 1.50

... but i need help with the rest.

 

[ARD]

Pops--

What's a typical "day at the office" for you?

What are some of the first things you look for?

 

[Atlanta1978]

Couldve used that last 3 by Dunn. But thats how it go. Couldnt box out in that zone d. Too many 2nd chance points.

 

[jacksonjohn]

ok thanks pops.

ive only got 2 os. Both have calculators and will obviously show the win back on any bet amount but they dont have a chart , you have to put the amount and then cancel.

i know this much
-110 = 1.91 or .91
-115 = 1.87
-120 = 1.83
-125 = 1.80
-130 = 1.77
and obviously
-200 = 1.50

... but i need help with the rest.

This should help:

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="33%"><tbody><tr><td width="47%">-1.05 = 0.95
-1.15 = 0.87
-1.25 = 0.80
-1.35 = 0.74
-1.45 = 0.69
-1.55 = 0.64
-1.65 = 0.61
-1.75 = 0.57
-1.85 = 0.54
-1.95 = 0.51
-2.10 = 0.48
-2.30 = 0.43
-2.50 = 0.40
-2.70 = 0.37
-3.00 = 0.33
-3.50 = 0.29</td> <td width="53%">-1.10 = 0.91
-1.20 = 0.83
-1.30 = 0.77
-1.40 = 0.71
-1.50 = 0.66
-1.60 = 0.62
-1.70 = 0.59
-1.80 = 0.55
-1.90 = 0.53
-2.00 = 0.50
-2.20 = 0.45
-2.40 = 0.42
-2.60 = 0.38
-2.80 = 0.36
-3.25 = 0.31


</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="33%"><tbody><tr><td width="47%">
</td> <td width="53%">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table>

<input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><!--Session data--><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">

 

[RenoChazz]

Just take one and divide it by the odds so -1.45 would be 1 divided by 1.45

 

[TyBounce]

This should help:

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="33%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD width="47%">-1.05 = 0.95
-1.15 = 0.87
-1.25 = 0.80
-1.35 = 0.74
-1.45 = 0.69
-1.55 = 0.64
-1.65 = 0.61
-1.75 = 0.57
-1.85 = 0.54
-1.95 = 0.51
-2.10 = 0.48
-2.30 = 0.43
-2.50 = 0.40
-2.70 = 0.37
-3.00 = 0.33
-3.50 = 0.29
</TD><TD width="53%">-1.10 = 0.91
-1.20 = 0.83
-1.30 = 0.77
-1.40 = 0.71
-1.50 = 0.66
-1.60 = 0.62
-1.70 = 0.59
-1.80 = 0.55
-1.90 = 0.53
-2.00 = 0.50
-2.20 = 0.45
-2.40 = 0.42
-2.60 = 0.38
-2.80 = 0.36
-3.25 = 0.31



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<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="33%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD width="47%">

</TD><TD width="53%">

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<INPUT id=gwProxy type=hidden><!--Session data--><INPUT id=jsProxy onclick=jsCall(); type=hidden>

thanks jj , that's exactly what i needed

 

[pops69]

Monday March 29th

beware of the ides of march

morning all

less than 1 week until xmas. hope i have a the stuff wrapped correctly

 

[pops69]

Pops--

What's a typical "day at the office" for you?

What are some of the first things you look for?

i assume you asking what i look for vs the hours and hours sitting at the puter trying to make a few bucks

but it all starts once the opening lines come out and i upload them to the pdws

that is the most important document i start with as is the basis for everything i do. it's all about the pitching match up 1st and look for the large diff between the two, than look into the why's

once data is adj and set i look for all the know external factors. if 1st game of a series i hold on any o/u until they are know

after that it's all grind grind and mo grind. the most boring job in the world. but most jobs are the same way, but only 8 hours per day with a lunch break and a ton of bs along the way

 

[DollarDay]

Pops.

So based on last years thread and what you said earlier here, we're to play big dogs early in the season.

Are there any teams you concentrate on where you've seen the biggest movement & potential scalp, or do you generally look at the biggest 2 or 3 dogs early, put the plays in then scalp back later?

Is there a "minimum" you look at for the bigger dogs, or do you find better opportunities with smaller (+130) dogs?

thanks

 

[pops69]

Pops.

So based on last years thread and what you said earlier here, we're to play big dogs early in the season.

Are there any teams you concentrate on where you've seen the biggest movement & potential scalp, or do you generally look at the biggest 2 or 3 dogs early, put the plays in then scalp back later?

Is there a "minimum" you look at for the bigger dogs, or do you find better opportunities with smaller (+130) dogs?

thanks

in general all OL ML fav are bet down from the open. so if you plan to bet the fav wait as most will drop