2009 Tennis Picks

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J Monaco o F Gonzalez @ 3.4 @ Bet365 (1 unit) L -1

Tennis Record: 109-157-6 (+32.38)


Gonzo has been a thorn on my side these last two days. Lucky wins from a set down.
 

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Estoril
G Garcia-Lopez o M Gonzalez @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle (1.5 unit)

Munich
J Hernych o N Almagro @ 4.02 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
 

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Nothing tempting on the match for me. Might try to trade in-play. Was hoping the total would be set lower.
 

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Estoril
G Garcia-Lopez o M Gonzalez @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle (1.5 unit) L -1.5

Munich
J Hernych o N Almagro @ 4.02 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) L -1

0-2 (-2.5)
Tennis Record: 109-159-6 (+29.88)

Shithouse plays, really poor. Felt bad for the bookies, it was time to give some back. The pricks.
 

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Outright
Simone Bolelli to win Munich @ 17 @ Betfred (1 unit)

Taking advantage of the price. The overwhelming fave Fernando Gonzalez will be withdrawing from this event, he's in Bolelli's half. Bolelli's first round opponent Jarkko Nieminen will also be withdrawing due to an injury suffered last week. Books have not taken this into account yet. The main contenders on the other half of the draw. Simone isn't in great form but had an excellent run here last year, hopefully he can replicate it with an even easier draw.
 

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Munich
I Kunitsyn o P Starace @ 2.50 @ Bet365 (1 unit)
T de Bakker o R Schuettler @ 3.20 @ PaddyPower (1 unit)

Treble
J Tipsarevic / F Serra / D Ferrer @ 1.97 @ PaddyPower (1.5 unit)

Mug treble as Tipsy/Serra can't be trusted at such short odds, but I believe they'll have enough against pretty poor opposition.
 

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Munich
I Kunitsyn o P Starace @ 2.50 @ Bet365 (1 unit) L -1
T de Bakker o R Schuettler @ 3.20 @ PaddyPower (1 unit) W +2.2

Treble
J Tipsarevic / F Serra / D Ferrer @ 1.97 @ PaddyPower (1.5 unit) W +1.45

Adding
Estoril:
M Kukushkin o JC Ferrero @ 5.00 @ Bet365 (1 unit) L -1

2-2 (+1.65)
Tennis Record: 111-161-6 (+31.53)
 

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Belgrade:
L Mayer o A Seppi @ 3.45 @ Betfair (1 unit) L -1

Outright
Simone Bolelli to win Munich @ 17 @ Betfred (1 unit) L -1

Should have hedged on the Bolelli match by backing Potito at good odds.

0-2 (-2)
Tennis Record: 111-163-6 (+29.53)
 

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MUNICH
M Youzhny o PHM @ 2.12 @ Pinny (1 unit)

ESTORIL
A Montanes o G Simon @ 2.87 @ Pinny (1 unit)
 

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on the same

good luck

grabbed brands at +200 too at a slow moving book
 

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Cheers BetIt. Good to see you around, hope you're well mate.

You got a nice price on Brands. Starace's price has drifted alot that I've actually taken him in a double.

Adding a dodgy double:
P Starace / A Seppi @ 2.34 @ 10Bet (1 unit)

Two Italians capable of playing like mugs. Doesn't exactly fill you with confidence.
 

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MUNICH
M Youzhny o PHM @ 2.12 @ Pinny (1 unit) W +1.12

ESTORIL
A Montanes o G Simon @ 2.87 @ Pinny (1 unit) W +1.87

Adding a dodgy double:
P Starace / A Seppi @ 2.34 @ 10Bet (1 unit) VOID
A Seppi @ 1.34 @ 10Bet (1 unit) W +0.34

3-0 (+3.33)
Tennis Record: 114-163-6 (+32.86)

Youzhny and Monty win in tight 3 setters. Good to be on the right side of those. Starace retires, so the double turns into a single on Seppi.
 

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Couple of dodgy ones here:
ESTORIL
J Blake o N Davydenko @ 3.41 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)

Blake leads the h2h 6-0. However, Davy is a much better clay courter. Still worth a shot for me at those odds.

BELGRADE
L Kubot o I Karlovic @ 3.61 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)

Kubot has had a lucky run here. Ivo has served well but I'm happy enough to fade him at this price on clay against a guy who seems to have God on his side at the moment.
 

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Madrid Qualies
D Vemic o T Gabashvili @ 3.00 @ PaddyPower (1 unit)

Ancic has withdrawn from the main draw of Madrid. Gaba is the highest ranked player among the qualifiers, meaning he'll be given a spot in the main draw irrespective of this match. I'm hoping he tanks this match.
 

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Adding:
Belgrade Final
N Djokovic vs. L Kubot - UNDER 19 GAMES @ 1.83 @ SportingBet (2 units)
 

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ESTORIL
J Blake o N Davydenko @ 3.41 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) W +2.41

BELGRADE
L Kubot o I Karlovic @ 3.61 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) W +2.61

Madrid Qualies
D Vemic o T Gabashvili @ 3.00 @ PaddyPower (1 unit) L -1

2-1 (+4.02)
Tennis Record: 116-164-6 (+36.88)

Two good dogs in Blake/Kubot come through. Pretty horrendous luck in the Vemic match. Gaba has always been known as a fixer and tanks matches regularly. He had no reason to win today as he's already in the main draw. He fought back from a set down to play a 3 hour match. Vemic served for the match at 6-5 in the 3rd, missed 2 mps and got broken. He was 4-0 up in the TB, but was taken to 5-5, then doubelfaulted, for Gaba to serve out the match.

Hopefully that's the worst of my luck this month!

Pending:
Belgrade Final
N Djokovic vs. L Kubot - UNDER 19 GAMES @ 1.83 @ SportingBet (2 units)
 

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Belgrade Final
N Djokovic vs. L Kubot - UNDER 19 GAMES @ 1.83 @ SportingBet (2 units) L -2

Tennis Record: 116-165-6 (+34.88)


Shit play really. Better to avoid these later rounds, and Novak matches especially.

Madrid Masters through the week. Hope for some good matchups.
 

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