J Monaco o F Gonzalez @ 3.4 @ Bet365 (1 unit)
Gonzo has a convincing h2h record over Pico, and ordinarily, I think his aggressive game would probably edge it again. However, he's played alot of tennis lately and looked pretty tired/out-of-sorts today. Monaco is finally finding some of the form he had 2 years ago, and can play very solid tennis, mixing it up with retrieving and controlled aggression. He did not face a breakpoint against Cilic today in a very comfortable victory, and was very close to pulling off the upset over Gonzo last week. Have to take a shot.